Professional Documents
Culture Documents
After Bos
After Bos
BY
MIAN JAN
A thesis submitted to The University of Agriculture, Peshawar in partial fulfillment of
the requirements for the degree of
BY
MIAN JAN
A thesis submitted to The University of Agriculture, Peshawar in partial fulfillment of
the requirements for the degree of
Approved By:
___________________
Dr. Idrees Ali Shah Chairman Supervisory Committee
___________________ Member
Dr. Sabeeh Ullah
___________________ Member
Dr. Shah Hassan
________________
Prof. Dr. Shahid Sattar Director Advanced Studies and Research
LIST OF TABLES................................................................................................i
ABSTRACT..........................................................................................................ii
I. INTRODUCTION.........................................................................................1
4.2 Multicollinearity....................................................................................28
..........................................................................................................................................28
4.3 Correlation.............................................................................................29
4.6 Discussions:................................................................................................33
5.1 Summary................................................................................................35
5.2 Conclusion..................................................................................................36
5.2 Recommendations.................................................................................37
REFERENCES...................................................................................................38
LIST OF TABLES
i
EFFECT OF CORRUPTION ON CASH HOLDING:
A CASE STUDY OF PAKISTAN AND CHINA
BY
Mian Jan and Dr. Idrees Ali Shah
ABSTRACT
The aim of the research is to investigate how corruption affects cash holdings in
China and Pakistan. The information, which covers the years 2016 through 2021, was
given by the Pakistan Stock Exchange and the Shengai Stock Exchange. The
companies listed on the Shengai and Pakistan stock markets make up the sample
population for the research. The sugar business has this defense since it is 's second
sector of industry. Panel data analysis is used in the analysis. The results of the fixed
effect model show that corruption has a positive and substantial influence on
corporate cash holding. The results support the agency hypothesis, which contends
that in societies with high rates of corruption, powerful managers amass vast
quantities of money and utilise them for their personal gain at the cost of owners.
Cash flow and market-to-book ratios are examples of control factors that have a
strong beneficial influence on cash holding. But, the quantity of money you have on
hand is mostly unaffected by age and leverage.
Keywords: Cash Holdings, Corruption Index, Net working capital, market to book
ratio, Leverage, Age of business
ii
I. INTRODUCTION
(Tran and Trung., 2019) Investigate how corporate cash reserves are affected
by corruption. A analysis showed that corruption was positively linked to both
currency reserves and cash flow sensitiveness, with a dataset of 9,333 findings
across 46 countries. They also found that, when appropriate, the consequences of
corruption are greater. Analysis reveals, moreover, that corruption lowers cash
valuation. Studies demonstrate that cash bribery is consistent worldwide and
companies appear in their corporate liquidity management to balance motives and
bribery motives.
According to (Gao et al., 2013), who looked at the cash ratios of US public
and private companies, private companies still have roughly half as much cash as
public enterprises, despite having more financial constraints. This discrepancy is
partly responsible for the relative worse agency problems that the latter category of
companies experience. (Bigelli and Sanchez-Vidal., 2012) share the same conclusions
on how financial constraints affect the cash strategies of private enterprises both
domestically and abroad (2014).
Yet, maintaining cash may reduce the costs of managing unfamiliar capital
2
business sectors, and although it is difficult to get credit, it might be used as a
financial cradle available to the company, according to (Rocca et al., 2017). On the
other hand, a cash arrangement may encourage wise management. According to
Rocca et al., 2017), the utilisation of cash stock, while crimes like pay-offs, gifts, or
salaries have been used to promote personal benefits and some financial
specializations, they may be used interchangeably under certain circumstances.
In their 2017 study, Rocca et al. noted that past research by experts have
called attention to the moderating effect of depreciation on the relationship between
cash property and business success in the Italian setting. Yet, research into mitigating
the effects of deterioration in the relationship between corporate governance and
business execution slows down. Because of this, this investigation tries to ascertain
the extent to which retaining cash and client administration have a degraded effect on
corporate operations..
1.3Problem Statement
Corruption, interacting with cash available, may improve gains rather than
exacerbate corporate liquidity drawbacks, exacerbating opportunistic and systemic
issues(La Rocca et al., 2017).In situations where investor security and manipulation
3
are weaker than those where institutional efficiency is stronger, cash liquidity may
especially be negative for corporate success (Amess et al., 2015; Pinkowitz et al.,
2006).
This seems to be due to the fact that management might have big cash
reserves for corruption activities, of strong discretion and opportunistic autonomy,
rather than optimising equity of shareholders. In comparison, the carrying of cash
enhances output in situations of better regulation of corruption by the convergence of
preferences between management and customers, without distorted results resulting
from conditions of Black Money. This seems to occur because administration could
retain vast cash reserves for illicit activity, high discretion and opportunistic
sovereignty rather than optimising shareholder capital.
1st Chapter:
highlights the study's opening arguments, problems statement, purpose, research
objectives, and significance.
2nd Chapter
focuses on various research initiatives and papers while discussing the literature
review of prior investigations.
4
3rd Chapters:
introduces the methodological challenges that were involved in gathering the
project's resources.
4th Chapter:
conclusions and analysis drawn from financial data.
5th Chapters:
Conclusion and suggestions are made regarding the subject of the study after taking
the data into account.
5
II. LITERATURE REVIEW
High cash holdings are a common occurrence for businesses worldwide. Also,
global studies reveal that publicly traded corporations throughout the globe maintain
sizable cash balances and have preventative measures. For instance, Ferreira and
Vilela (2004) discovered that in Continental Europe in the early 2000s, corporations
held 15% of their total assets in cash and cash equivalents. Together with the US
research, they discovered a favorable relationship between cash reserves, company
cash flows, and their ability to acquire bank financing (eg. Bates et al., 2009, Opler et
al., 1999).
In spite of the legislative framework developed in the year 2002 to limit the
vice, Transparency International (2017) states that corruption is pervasive in Pakistan.
Transparency International also emphasizes that government workers and law
enforcement workers are engaged in small-scale, difficult to oppose corrupt practises.
It shows a close relation between corruption and the history of the country, with the
time the country was created by certain writers.
6
Types of Corruption
1. Bribery
2. Conflict of interest
4. Influence peddling
6. Nepotism
8. State capture
10. Vote-buying
Javaid (2010) It was fully conveyed that, unfortunately, corruption defined as
abuse of privately held authority is rampant in Pakistan. It is immune to no structure,
hierarchy or public sector office. It's huge spread. It penetrated every state organ—it
even placed its clutches on the court and legislature beyond the executive level. It was
no exaggeration to suggest that this illness and its lifeless weight plagues the whole
state of Pakistan. Its impact is such that Pakistan has placed 139th among nations on
the level of free governance of corruption. This classification is not enviable or
acceptable at all.
7
The Corruption Index Indicator of Global Competitiveness, the namely very file of a
Discussion Site of Socioeconomic Character traits, the Global Competitiveness
Document, the global Country Based On the Risk folder by the Group of Political
Risk Services, and the worldwide administration markers are all included by Ahmad
and Aziz (2001). These records expose all official behavior, such as that of
lawmakers and other government officials.. In spite of
These materials most certainly explain deceit in a similar way, but there is no
evidence to support the conclusions they make.
Yang and Zhang (2009), two separate scientists, conduct research on the
impact of organisational management on financial resources in relation to financial
conflicts between controlling as well as various investors. So, they discovered that the
market value of cash assets may be increased by better corporate management and
that cash property and friend esteem are strongly connected at a massive degree of
1%. Through their investigation, Yanyan, Jinwei, and Hanming (2013) showed that
excess cash might benefit companies in terms of their financial needs. Also, the value
of the extra cash kept by privately held companies is far larger than that of state-
owned enterprises.. Faulkender (2006) noticed abundance stock re-visitations of set
8
up the distinction in cutoff points achieved by different cash-related arrangements and
the impact of capital restrictions on cash esteem. Thus, it was demonstrated that the
minimal cash esteem builds as per the degree of cash holding proportion and financial
influence. On different hands, cash utilized to deliver profits will lessen as far as
possible when contrasted with an offer repurchase. The broad writing of corporate
administration outlines that corporate administration has significantly affected
business execution in the fiasco by influencing the company's danger taking and
financing approaches.
According to Kashyap, Rajan, and Stein (2008), raising money during a crisis
is wasteful. Given that it considered resource developments from current investors to
borrowers throughout the emergency, it may have triggered disintegration in the
value profit percentage. The institutional framework within which a company
conducts business is one of the areas of current research on the link between cash
assets and corporate execution.
In order to evade market scrutiny, Abiola and Olausi (2014) found that
companies with poor organizations choose unconstrained cash over bank loans.
Azmat (2014) assessed and observed monetary resources both during open activities
and private ones. After adjusting for standard features, this research demonstrated that
private businesses often retain less cash than public businesses.
Corruption is a global ill that affects both developed and emerging nations
alike. It is a prevalent phenomenon that exists in all nations, whether they are
wealthy or developing. Only the severity of the corruption varies. Leading politicians
from the UK, Belgium, France, Spain, and Italy have all been found guilty of
corruption in the last five years. The outcome was the resignation of the whole
European Commission. The notion of corruption is said to date back to ancient times
by U-Myint (2000), the World Bank (2001), the Appellate Authority of a
10
Government of India (2001), and Anupam Das et al. (2001). Corruption continues to
be a significant issue in the contemporary world, particularly in emerging nations,
despite the fact that it may take on new shapes throughout time.. U-Myint (2000) says
that corruption is a worldwide problem that affects every country..
UlHaq et al. (2020) examine the impact of cash holding and governance
practices onbusiness performance while controlling for corruption. Furthermore,
control factors such as leveraged (Debt to Equity), business size, and asset quality
have been included. The dataset of 70 nonfinancial businesses was gathered for
twelve years (2008-2019) to verify the empirical state of the connection. After the
relevant assumptions have been met, inferential and descriptive statistics have been
used. Pooled regression was employed to verify the empirical state of the hypotheses
because panel data was utilised. The results demonstrate that corporate governance
and cash management have a significant, positive influence on the firm's
performance. The performance of a corporation is impacted by corruption.
Corruption also acts as a moderator in the link between cash hoarding, governance,
and company success. The findings of the research might help law enforcement
agencies in their fight against corruption, which would improve how well corporate
governance affects cash holdings and firm performance.
A significant amount of past research has shown that corruption regularly has
a detrimental impact on macroeconomic concerns, however according to Tran
(2019), there is disagreement over the connection between corruption and corporate
financial decisions. In this study, we look at how the presence of corruption affects a
company's cash holdings. We demonstrate that corruption is positively connected
with both cash holdings or cash flow sensitivity in a sample of 199,333 samples from
12
46 different nations. Robustness tests using a smaller sample without US and
Chinese companies, additional metrics of cash holdings, and regression techniques
all support our findings. We also discovered that if shareholders have adequate legal
protection, the impacts of corruption are exacerbated. Moreover, our analysis
demonstrates that corruption lowers the monetary value. According to the statistics,
companies balance agency and corruption aims while managing their liquidity, and
the global incentive for corruption with regard to cash holdings is also shown.
2019 (Nguyen Thanh) (Nguyen Thanh) Look into any suggested cash holding
ratios for improving business success. To determine the threshold impact of the cash
holding ratio on the firm performance of the 306 non-financial companies listed on
the Vietnamese stock market between 2008 and 2017, the threshold regression model
is employed. The experimental findings show that the success of the business and its
money supply growth ratio are linked by a single threshold. The corporation may
perform better if its effective money supply growth rate is 9.93% or lower. To put it
another way, efficiency gradually decreased as the cash holdings ratio rose.
Due to the favourable value, which starts to decrease after the cash holding
ratio surpasses 9.93 percent. As a consequence, the success of the company and its
cash holding ratio are not directly related. This holding has policy implications for
non-financial enterprises listed on the Vietnam Stock Exchange when choosing how
much cash to keep on hand. For non-financial enterprises listed just on Vietnam
Stock Exchange, the maximum cash holding ratio is 9.93%. To safeguard and
enhance the functioning of the company, the suggested range of money supply
growth ratios should be lower than 9.93 percent. Han and Seo from 2018.
13
Using 97 international data sets, empirical research is done on the effects of
government corruption on corporate cash holding practises and the effects of cash
holdings and business performance. We discover a nonlinear cubic function
connection between firm cash holdings and political corruption as well as a negative
quadratic term for the political corruption coefficient. Official corruption with cash
assets correlates in a U-shape in industrialized nations that have a low incidence of
political corruption; however, in frontier and developing countries, the association is
reversed. These findings demonstrate the non-exclusiveness of the "Expropriation
Shielding hypothesis" and the "Preoccupancy hypothesis," two previous literary
conceptions. .but may be explained differently depending on the degree of
development of nations and the extent of political corruption. Furthermore, we
discover that the consequences of government corruption on corporate performance
differ in rich and developing nations when enterprises use cash. We conclude that
political corruption is a significant determinant in corporate finance policy and
business performance based on these findings.
Currently, there is a rising worry about corruption on a global scale. There has
been a significant quantity of academic study on corruption as a consequence of
growing public interest in and concern about it. Economic rent is a key notion in
corruption. Corruption is widespread and deeply ingrained in Pakistan. The public
policy makers in Pakistan have a number of options for eradicating corruption (Khan
et al. 2012).
Academics from all around the globe are taking notice of the enormous
increase in corporate cash holdings. As a result, there has been a significant amount
of academic study on the connection between cash holdings and firm profitability and
value. To clarify the two main causes of cash hoarding—agency and prudence—this
article analyses and summarises the relevant literature. After examining empirical
15
research to see how well-established ideas are supported by data from various
nations, the authors provide a more straightforward model that analyses the barter
between these two reasons for holding onto money. Moreover, they investigate how
successfully different corporate governance practises reduce cash holdings and the
degree to which these practises provide investors confidence that their cash won't be
squandered. Finally, they talk about problems with measurement and methodology in
empirical research on cash holdings (Amess et al. 2015).
(La Rocca et al. 2017) examined the link between capital reserves and
performance while taking into account the moderating impact of institutional
corruption that occurs in the setting in which enterprises operate. The findings
highlight how crucial corruption is in influencing the magnitude and trajectory of the
price of cash assets. Depending on the degree of corruption, corporate liquidity has a
different impact in how well a corporation performs. It has been shown that having
cash on hand considerably and not insignificantly supports corporate operations,
indicating a possible area of interest for future research.
(Kusnadi et al. 2011) investigate how political ties affect business liquidity
strategies and their effects in a global context. Our research reveals that managers of
politically linked businesses tend to accumulate more cash than their non-connected
peers. Additionally, the existence of political links devalues cash assets. Our major
results are more evident, according to our study, for companies in developing markets
as well as for companies located in nations with inadequate investor protection laws
and significant levels of corruption. Our empirical findings generally support prior
research on the agency cost justification of corporate cash hoarding.
For social and economic progress, government and good governance are
essential. However, due to Pakistan's poor reputation in international relations, these
characteristics seem outdated in Pakistan. In most cases, corruption is a likely result
of such circumstances. The acceptance of corruption has grown through time despite
the fact that it is pervasive in the nation. This study focuses on analyzing corruption
in the nation with particular reference to the nation's anti-corruption agency. Data
were gathered by analyzing policy papers and conducting semi-structured interviews
with National Accountability Bureau employees. The interviews were analyzed using
a thematic approach. The findings indicate that many cops don't fully comprehend the
problem. Instead, several cops justified the phenomena in terms of recouping stolen
public funds from dishonest individuals.
The officers also didn't care about how integrity breaches and corruption were
defined, since corruption was sometimes defined too broadly and other times too
narrowly. Unlawful monetary rewards and the illegal use of power are among the
most significant kinds of corruption, according to research on the most and least
common types of corruption. The issue of Statutory Regulatory Ordinances (SRO) is
thought to be one of the least frequent forms of corruption in NAB-KP. The study
demonstrates many causes for the prevalence as well as strategies to reduce it. This
study concludes with several policy suggestions and new paths for the area's future
research (Ali et al. 2016).
Companies keep cash at the desired amount after accounting for marginal
benefits. As a consequence, the majority of companies have a target cash holdings
level. On the other side, the pecking order theory argues that companies lack such
target and instead maintain additional cash on hand to serve as a stopgap among
retained earnings and future investment needs. The money that a person or company
keeps on hand for spending as opposed to investing. Managers' capacity to react to
the market is constrained by insufficient cash holdings. In contrast to assets like real
estate, stocks, and bonds, ready cash is a person's or company's only source of
resources. So, businesses maintain cash reserves to prevent borrowing from outside
sources when retained earnings are inadequate to cover fresh investments (Uyar and
Kuzey 2014).
2.3.2 Independent Variables
A measurement that contrasts the book value and market value of your
company is the market to book ratio. This is based on the stock's current market price
18
and any outstanding shares that it may have. The book to market ratio works similarly
when used in reverse and may be used to ascertain the same thing—the total worth of
your firm. To determine if your company is overpriced or undervalued, analysts and
investors may utilize both measures (Bhattacharyya & Hodler, 2010).
Market Capitalization
MTB=
Total Book Value ¿
¿
ii. Net working Capital
Net working capital is the difference between such a company's current assets,
which include cash, accounts deferred revenue invoices from customers, inventories
of raw materials, and finished goods, and its current liabilities, which include loans
and accounts payable (NWC). It's a widely used indicator to evaluate the current state
of a company..
CurrentAssets
NWC=
Current liabilities
The Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) is the most popular corruption index
used globally. According to academics and businesses, it gauges how corrupt each
nation's governmental sector is thought to be. According to academics and businesses,
the Index rates 180 countries and territories based on how corrupt the public sector is
seen to be. It employs a scale of zero to 100, with zero being severely corrupt and 100
being very clean, and it draws on 13 separate data sources. The average worldwide
score stays constant at 43, while 68% of countries have ratings below 50. 25 countries
have greatly raised their ratings during 2012, while 23 have significantly decreased.
19
III. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
The secondary data was be used for the current study and the data for the
variables on firm-based was downloaded from annual reports of respective firms.
Data was collected from the PSX and SSE.
The population is 22 and 278 from PSX and SSE, respectively. The
justification behind sugar sector is that it is the second largest sector of Pakistan. The
current study used the data from the sample of 22 firms each listed in Sugar sector at
Pakistan stock Exchange and 278 firms listed at Shanghai Stock Exchange from 2016
to 2021(6 Years data).
The following regression equations was applied (Made up with the help of
previous literature). The model aims to analyze the determinants of cash holdings
(CH) in a company. The factors considered in the model are Corruption Perception
Index (Corruption), Size (measured by the natural logarithm of total assets), Market
to Book Ratio (MtoB), Leverage (calculated as the ratio of total debt to total equity),
and Net Working Capital (NWC). The model assumes a linear relationship between
these variables and cash holdings.
Corruption is included as a binary variable in the model. The Corruption Perception
Index (CPI) dummy variable is used to capture the level of corruption in a country. It
20
is reasonable to assume that companies operating in more corrupt environments may
hold higher cash reserves as a precautionary measure to mitigate risks associated with
corruption (Fan et al., 2007). The coefficient β1 captures the effect of corruption on
cash holdings. Size is included as a control variable in the model. The natural
logarithm of total assets is used as a measure of firm size. Larger firms may tend to
hold more cash due to economies of scale, increased financing needs, or strategic
considerations (Opler et al., 1999). The coefficient β2 represents the relationship
between firm size and cash holdings.
The market to book ratio is included as a proxy for market valuation and growth
opportunities. It measures a company's market value relative to its book value. Higher
market to book ratios may indicate higher growth prospects, which can influence cash
holding decisions (Ferreira & Vilela, 2004). The coefficient β3 reflects the impact of
market to book ratio on cash holdings.
Leverage is included as a control variable in the model. It is calculated as the ratio of
total debt to total equity. Firms with higher leverage may hold more cash to ensure
liquidity and financial stability in the face of debt obligations (Opler et al., 1999). The
coefficient β4 captures the relationship between leverage and cash holdings.
Net working capital is included as a control variable in the model. It represents the
difference between current assets and current liabilities. Companies with higher net
working capital may have more cash available for operational needs, which can
influence their cash holding levels (Opler et al., 1999). The coefficient β5 captures
the impact of net working capital on cash holdings.
Overall, the model incorporates multiple variables to examine the determinants of
cash holdings in a company. The coefficients β0, β1, β2, β3, β4, and β5 represent the
respective relationships between the variables and cash holdings. By estimating these
coefficients using empirical data, the model aims to provide insights into the factors
influencing a firm's cash holding decisions.
The references provided are examples of relevant literature that discuss the
relationship between the variables mentioned. Please ensure that you consult and cite
the appropriate sources specific to your research context.
(Source: La Rocca, Cambrea, & Cariola, 2017; Kalcheva & Lins, 2016)
21
22
Table 3.1 Description of the Variables
CH Cash Holding
1. Panel model
23
i) Fixed Effect Model
In this model Fixed results of lower squares are calculated (or, more generally,
maximum likelihood). It Explores the relation between prediction and result
variables in an entity (country, person, company, etc.). The indicator variables
may or may not affect each entity's individual characteristics
In this model Random results of reduction are predicted (in the Robinson
terminology, 1991). The justification for random effects is that the changes between
agents are considered random and unconnected with the indicator or independent
variables used in the model, in contrast to the Fixed Effects model.
The Hausman test is also referred to as the model defect test. You can
choose a model of fixed effects or a model of random effects for the panel analysis
with the use of the Hausman Test.
2. Multicollinearity
3. Descriptive Statistics
It was defined using the data's mean, median, highest and lowest values. Brief
informative statistics known as descriptive statistics are used to summarise a
particular data collection, which may be a sample of a population or a representation
of the whole population. Measures of central tendency and assessments of variability
are both included in descriptive statistics (spread). The mean, median, and mode are
24
measurements of central tendency, while the standard error, variation, maximum and
lowest variables, kurtosis, or skewness are measures of variability. It was defined
using the data's average, median, highest and lowest values. Brief informative stats
known as descriptive statistics are used to summarise a particular data collection,
which may be a sample of a population or even a representative of the whole
population. Measures of central tendency and assessments of variability are both
included in descriptive statistics (spread). The mean, median, and mode are
measurements of central tendency, while the standard deviation, variation, maximum
and lowest parameters, kurtosis, and skewness are measures of variability.
4. Correlation Analysis
It was done to demonstrate how closely the variables were connected to one
another. A statistical technique known as correlation analysis is used in research to
determine the relationship between two variables and gauge how strongly they are
linearly connected. Correlation analysis, to put it simply, evaluates how much one
variable shifts in response to a change in another. A substantial association between
the 2 factors is shown by a high correlation, whilst a tenuous relationship is indicated
by a low correlation. In market research, association analysis is used to examine
quantitative data collected by survey research or live polling methods. They look for
trends, patterns, links between two components or datasets, and connections between
key relationships.
When a rise in one variable causes an increase in the other, the two variables have a
positive correlation. A negative correlation, on the other hand, indicates that when
one variable rises, the other falls, and vice versa.
25
26
IV. DATA ANALYSIS
The average corruption index for this data was 0.561 units, according to the
CPI's mean value of 0.561. Its smallest value, 1.57, is equal to the CPI's minimum
range, while its greatest value, 13.25, is equal to the CPI's maximum range for the
data set. Between the mean and each individual value of the corruption index,
there is a difference of 0.152 units.
The maximum value of LEV, on the other hand, is 4.32, which is the greatest value of
LEV in the data set, while the lowest of Leverage is 1.001, indicating the highest data value.
The average of all observations indicates the mean of all the data set's findings, which is 3.35
units. The standard deviation, which is.124, on the other hand, demonstrates that each value
of banking leverage deviates from of the mean by a factor of 0.512.
28
The descriptive analytics of the data shown in the aforementioned table 4.2
include the highest and lowest values of the observations, their mean values, their
standard deviations, and the total number of observations.CH has 150 observations,
with a minimum value of -5.72, meaning it has the lowest possible value of business
cash holding, and a maximum value of 14.53, meaning it has the greatest possible
value of company cash holding. Its mean is 3.46 and worth of all cash holdings as a
whole. The standard deviation shows that each observation deviates from the mean
by .534 units as a result. The average corruption index for this data was 7.21 units it
shows that PSX has a higher CPI as compare to SSE. Its smallest value, 3.521, is
equal to the CPI's minimum range, while its greatest value, 10.52, is equal to the
CPI's maximum range for the data set. Between the mean and each individual value
of the corruption index, there is a standard deviation of .621 units.
Contrarily, the minimum value of NWC in the data set is 1.171, and the
maximum value of NWC in the data set is 2.120, making up the two extremes of
NWC. The average of all observations indicates the mean of all the data set's
observations, which is 1.621 units. The standard deviation, which is.124, on the other
hand, demonstrates in which each value for NWC deviates from of the mean by a
factor of.124.
4.2 Multicollinearity
Table 4. 3 Variance Inflation Factor
29
The multicollinearity of the model is connected to the data in table 4.3 above.
Multicollinearity is an issue that typically occurs when there are several independent
variables, some of which may be negligible or of the signs, with outcomes that may
even be the exact opposite of those that are statistically significant. Therefore, make
sure that multicollinearity is enabled while interpreting the regression analysis
findings.
The table above displays the variance inflation factor values. Since each
independent variable only appears in our model in less than 10 occurrences,
multicollinearity is not a problem. It proves that the model doesn't have the issue.
There is no issue with multicollinearity in the instance of NWC because the VIF
value is 1.04 times and the tolerance is close to 0.957. Additionally, the CPI has
inflation with a variation inflation factor of about 1.04 times, showing that
Multicollinearity is not a problem. Age and LEV both have VIFs of 1.01 and 1.01,
showing that they are not related to the Multicollinearity issue..
4.3 Correlation
Table 4. 4 Correlation Matrix
The correlation chart in table 4.4 above shows the strength of the relationships
between all variables, independent or dependent. This either indicates that the
30
variables are believed to be independent or that the correlation does not include the
outcome variable.
The results indicate a strong relationship between the CPI and CH. At the 0.05
level of significance, the correlation coefficient is 40.91%, which is very significant.
It was shown that when the MTB was discussed and applied to CH, there
was a 33.96% degree of linkage. Given that the p-value is 0.000, this discovery is
likewise statistically significant at the 0.05 level. The fact that this correlation was
found to be inverse indicates that MTB has a detrimental influence on CH.
32
Table 4. 5 Summary of Panel Diagnostic Test
The research employed panel data since the data included observations across
time on numerous cross sections. Panel data may be thought of as a one-dimensional
special case of data from time series and cross-sections. Three tests—the Chow test, a
Bresch-Pagan test, and the Hausman test—were run on the panel data model, as
indicated in the previous table. Only the Chow test implies a random effect; the other
two tests, the Hausman and the Breusch Pagan test, do not. As a result, a decision
random effect model was used for the punitive data. As shown in the table, the
random effect model is a suitable test as according Breusch-Pagan and the Hausman
test.
4.5Regression Analysis
Entrepreneurs, statisticians, and economists frequently employ regression
analysis. Business owners utilize it as well. It determines or predicts how one item
may effect another using statistical formulae. Regression analysis, for instance, may
demonstrate how interest rates influence people's choices about asset investments.
Regression analysis is frequently used to determine how an employee's annual
earnings, such as their salary, are influenced by their education and job experience.
33
Table 4. 6 Regression Analysis
The result of table 4.5 depicts that corruption has positive and significant
effect on corporate cash holding. According to the table above, there were 1800
observation in total for the data. The overall R square is 0.084, indicating that the
dependent variable varied by 8.4% as a result of varying independent factors,
including, among others, Net working capital, Market to book ratios, Leverage, Age,
and Corruption Index. In addition, it was found that the Included variables
contributed 56.14 percent of the Dependent variable's value.
The model's overall significance has been assessed to be significant since the
F-Stats value is 24.71 and the P-value is 0.000. The model seems to be extremely
significant since the F-statistics value is greater than four (4) and the p-value is even
less than 0.05.
If we focus on the individual variables, we can see that the P-value for each of
the independent variables—corruption index, Net working capital and market to book
ratios—is less than 0.05, indicating that they are all highly significant in relation to
cash holding. Additionally, the t statistic's value is larger than two, indicating that the
explanatory factors (such as the corruption index, net working capital, market-to-
book ratios) are highly significant in relation to the dependent variable (Cash holding-
CH). Only two independent variables leverage and age were found in significant
towards Cash holding because they have p-value greater than 0.05, as well as the
statistics is less than two which reflects that both the variables are insignificant and
34
have no effect on Cash holding.
The correlation between the corruption index's size and the CH is positive,
suggesting that a higher corruption index may lead to a cash holding for the company.
Therefore, the corporation benefits from having a regular CPI. The corruption index's
magnitude is 0.501, meaning that a change of one unit in the corruption index will
result in a rise of one unit in the cash holding.
Additionally, the net working capital has an advantageous link with value
development and has an effect on cash holding. It demonstrates how a company's
ability to store more cash will increase its net working capital. NWC's magnitude is
larger than the other variables' magnitudes According to the value of 0.913, a change
of one unit in NWC will cause a change in the dependent variable equivalent to 0.913
units inside the independent variable.
The market-to-book ratio has a p-value below 0.05 and a t-statistic over two.
It illustrates how important the market to book ratio is for cash holding. Its
coefficient, which is 0.097, is positive. It shows that an increase in cash holding will
result from a one-unit rise in market to book.
4.6 Discussions:
The results presented in Table 4.5 indicate that corruption has a positive and
significant effect on corporate cash holdings. The analysis was based on a dataset
comprising 1800 observations. The overall R-squared value of 0.084 suggests that
approximately 8.4% of the variation in the dependent variable (cash holding) can be
explained by the independent factors included in the model, such as net working
capital, market-to-book ratios, leverage, age, and corruption index. Furthermore, the
included variables collectively account for 56.14% of the variation in the dependent
variable.
The overall significance of the model was assessed using the F-statistic, which
yielded a value of 24.71 with a corresponding p-value of 0.000. This indicates that the
model is highly significant as the F-statistic exceeds the critical value of 4 and the p-
35
value is less than 0.05, implying that the observed results are unlikely to occur by
chance.
When examining the individual variables, it can be observed that the p-values
for each independent variable—corruption index, net working capital, and market-to-
book ratios—are all less than 0.05, indicating their high significance with respect to
cash holding. Additionally, the t-statistic values for these variables are greater than
two, further supporting their significant explanatory power in relation to the
dependent variable. In contrast, the variables leverage and age were found to be
insignificant with p-values greater than 0.05 and t-statistic values less than two. This
implies that these variables have no significant effect on cash holding.
The positive correlation between the corruption index and cash holding
suggests that higher levels of corruption may lead to increased cash holdings by
corporations. Therefore, companies benefit from maintaining a regular Corruption
Perception Index (CPI). The magnitude of the corruption index coefficient is 0.501,
indicating that a one-unit change in the corruption index corresponds to a one-unit
increase in cash holding.
The market-to-book ratio also exhibits significance with a p-value below 0.05
and a t-statistic greater than two. This highlights the importance of the market-to-
book ratio in explaining cash holding. The positive coefficient of 0.097 indicates that
an increase in cash holding is associated with a one-unit rise in the market-to-book
ratio.
In summary, the results suggest that corruption, net working capital, and
market-to-book ratios have a significant impact on corporate cash holdings. Higher
levels of corruption, greater net working capital, and higher market-to-book ratios are
36
associated with increased cash holdings. On the other hand, leverage and age were
found to be insignificant in relation to cash holding, indicating that they do not have a
notable effect on this variable.
37
V. SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND
RRECOMMENDATIONS
5.1 Summary
They contend that companies must think creatively and consider how they
may help resolve social and environmental problems as well as how these issues may
influence their current and future competitiveness. Businesses may take a systemic
stance when they study social changes from the outside in. Banks and other
companies may use the idea in many different ways. The same is true for
organizations, who might utilise it to benefit their own business divisions.
They may benefit from the model in a variety of ways as they create and
enhance their sector-specific analyses. Also, it makes it simple for investors and
lenders to compare the businesses they lend the money to. Those who pay attention to
(lack of) long-term value potential may be eligible for loans and investments. In such
case, banks and lengthy investors may adopt our approach. They may then divide the
money amongst the winners and losers.
The opportunity to include model components into one's own invention was
also provided by Dimson, Karakaş, and Li (2015). This will increase the value of the
item. In these ways, a career in finance helps hasten the shift to an eco-friendly way of
living. would be able to achieve its main goal, which is to provide people money
within the society system, if it had that (Schoenmaker and Schramade, 2019).
38
5.2 Conclusion
In the long run, this COVID-related slowdown may make it harder for
companies to make investments, making it further harder to convince them to do so
(Hepburn et al., for instance), such as by making their goods more environmentally
friendly but still being able to exist in the near term.2020).
39
40
5.2 Recommendations
Companies shouldn't, in the first place, have more money available than
assets. Second, for firms with a higher cash holding ratio than necessary, it's crucial
to reduce the ratio in order to attain the appropriate ratio. The ideal range for the cash
holding proportion should be in the below order to guarantee and enhance the
performance of the company. To accomplish this objective, it is required to determine
the variables that affect the desire to store cash, which calls for establishing special
rules to alter the cash holding ratios to make it more appropriate for each unique set
of businesses.
Based on this idea, we will look at the variables that affect each group of
firms' motivation to keep cash at each cash holding rate level.
The results from the following study should make it easier for us to determine how
much cash to keep on hand to increase a company's performance and worth.
According to our research, political expropriation has an influence on cash policy,
leverage, and effective corporate taxation, all of which have an impact on how much
an investor will pay for a particular investment and reduce the value of their
company.
Our findings thus provide fresh insight into the microeconomic implications of
political corruption at the corporate level. Our research suggests that it is crucial for
countries, especially rising ones, to invest in anti-corruption initiatives and the fight
against official corruption. One advantage of the current Chinese pro effort is that it
will enable businesses to make dood financial choices.
41
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