Soya Beans (in Tons)

Apparent
Local Production (A) Import (B) Export (C) Consumption
Year (A + B – C)
% Share of % Share of
Qty Growth Rate Qty Growth Rate Qty Growth Rate Qty Growth Rate
consumption consumption
2006 3,812 0% 47 4,459 5450.54% 91 0% 8,180 0%
2007 5,849 53% 123 118 -97% 246.62% 1,196 1221% 4,771 -42%
2008 8,401 44% 123 574 388% 837.32% 2,121 77% 6,854 44%
2009 7,899 -6% 56 6,570 1045% 4690.43% 462 -78% 14,007 104%
2010 7,205 -9% 60 5,125 -22% 4280.48% 357 -23% 11,973 -15%
2011 15,824 120% 55 14,023 174% 4861.95% 1,005 181% 28,843 141%
2012 35,880 127% 112 364 -97% 113.54% 4,221 320% 32,023 11%
2013 63,653 77% 235 3 -99% 1.14% 36,556 766% 27,101 -15%
2014 61,025 -4% 105 2 -41% 0.31% 2,698 -93% 58,329 115%
2015 72,184 18% 100 - -100% 0.00% - -100% 72,184 24%
Average 28,173 42% 101 3,124 128% 2048.23% 4,871 227% 26,426 37%
Source: Local Production “Central Statistics Agency annual agricultural sample survey report”
Import and Export “ERCA – Ethiopian Revenue and Customs Authority”

As you can see from the data, for the last two years there is no import and export of soya bean therefore we can
assume that currently the local manufacturers of soya bean oil uses the local production for their input source.
The data also showed that the local production of Soya bean is increasing on average growth rate of 42% which
indicate the country has huge potential for the growth of soya bean production. Therefore, the project can satisfy
its raw material need from local production within short period of time.
Note: According to the information I got from oil seed expert, there is a huge challenge from ministry of agriculture
to import soya bean. Bureaucratic and inconsistent procedures. May be it is one of the reason for decreasing of
soya bean importation.

You can refer the below information I got from internet browsing

1. Favourable growing conditions

o Ethiopia has suitable natural conditions and vast land for investment in soybean farming.
o There are many favourable locations particularly in west and east parts of the country including Jimma, Bedele,
Chawaka, Assossa, Pawe, Harar, Shashemene, and Arsi (Wijnands et al. 2011).
o While the actual yield productivity of the crop has been 920-1146 kg/ha, it Is possible to achieve the potential yield of
2000-3500kg/ha (CDI-WUR 2011).
o There are close to 50 improved soybean varieties with high yield performance at high, medium and low altitude areas
in the country (Pawe Agricultural Research Center)

Potential for import substitution

 Ethiopia heavily depends on imported palm oil and soybean oil for supplying 80% the domestic edible oil consumption
despite the potential of the country to be self-sufficient.
 A significant amount of soybean blended food is also imported to Ethiopia (Wijnands et al. 2011).
  Increased domestic edible oil and soybean blended food can substitute these products and improve the trade balance,
implying opportunities and economic benefits for investment in soybean production and processing of the imported products
locally.

Enabling environment for soybean value chain development

 There are several interventions such as the Dutch supported value chain development projects since 2009 that facilitated the
establishment of a soybean platform and development of new value chains. A fourth follow on Dutch funded project is the
Agribusiness Support \Facility (ABSF) which maintains the soybean platform, among other support provided to the
development of the subsector.
 The government of Ethiopia also provides attractive incentives for investment in subsector and encourages not only export
cultivation but also import substitution.

 The government is also promoting industrial zone development and processing industries with backward linkages to
soybean production such as edible oil, nutritious food and animal feed can be supported with access to the agro processing
zones.