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CIMA

Paper P3

Risk
Management

Notes
© Kaplan Financial Limited, 2015

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ii
CONTENTS
Page

Chapter 1 Risk 1

Chapter 2 Risk management 11

Chapter 3 Internal control 27

Chapter 4 Risk and control of Information Systems 37

Chapter 5 Information strategy 45

Chapter 6 Management control systems 55

Chapter 7 Fraud 67

Chapter 8 Ethics 75

Chapter 9 Corporate governance 83

Chapter 10 Internal audit 97

Chapter 11 Financial risk 115

Chapter 12 Currency risk management 121

Chapter 13 Interest rate risk management 137

Chapter 14 Cost of capital and capital investment decisions 147

Chapter 15 Managing conflict, implementation and post completion 165

Appendix Tables 175

iii
iv
Chapter 1
Risk

Outcome

By the end of this session you should be able to:

 identify the types of risk facing an organisation

and answer questions relating to these areas.

The underpinning detail for this Chapter in your Notes can be found in
Chapter 1 of your Study Text

1
Chapter 1

Overview

Why incur risk?

What is risk?

RISK

CIMA risk Categories of


cycle risk

2
Risk

What is risk?

1.1 Definitions

 Risk is the chance that future events or results may not be as expected.

 ‘Risk is a condition in which there exists a quantifiable dispersion in the possible


outcomes from any activity.’ (CIMA official terminology)

 Risk can be defined as the combination of the probability of an event and its
consequences. (ISO Guide 73)

Note: some writers make a distinction between risk and uncertainty

1.2 Positive and negative aspects of risk

Can have:

 downside risk

 upside risk.

3
Chapter 1

Why incur risk?

2.1 Reasons why companies take risks

 To increase financial return - It is generally the case that firms must be willing
to take higher risks if they want to achieve higher returns:

 To gain competitive advantage - To generate higher returns a business may


have to take more risk in order to be competitive. Conversely, not accepting
risk tends to make a business less dynamic and implies a ‘follow the leader’
strategy.

4
Risk

CIMA’s risk management cycle

Establish risk management Business strategy


group and set goals

Identify risk areas

Review and Understand and


refine process assess scale of
and do it again risk
Information
for decision
making
Implementation Development of
and monitoring risk response
of controls strategy

Implement strategy and


allocate responsibilities

5
Chapter 1

Identify
Categories (or sources) of risk risk areas

4.1 Political, legal and regulatory risk

Risks that businesses face because of the regulatory regime that they operate in.

 Political risk Risk due to political instability

 Legal/litigation risk Risk that litigation will be brought against business

 Regulatory risk Risk of changes in regulation affecting business

 Compliance risk Risk of non-compliance with law resulting in fines,


penalties, etc.

4.2 Business risk

Risks that businesses face due to nature of operations and products.

 Strategic risk Risk that business strategies (e.g. acquisitions) will fail

Risk of failure of new products / loss of interest in


 Product risk
existing products

 Commodity
Risk of a rise in commodity prices (e.g. oil)
price risk

 Product reputation
Risk of change in product’s reputation or image
risk

Risk that business operations may be inefficient or


 Operational risk
business changes may fail

 Contractual Risk that the terms of a contract do not fully cover a


inadequacy risk business against all potential outcomes

6
Risk

4.3 Economic risk

Risks that changes in the economy might affect the business.

4.4 Financial risk

Risk of a change in a financial condition such as an exchange rate, interest rate,


credit rating of a customer or price of goods.

 Credit risk Risk of non-payment by customers

 Political risk Risk arising from actions taken by a government that


affect financial aspects of the business

 Currency risk Risk of fluctuations in the exchange rate

 Interest rate risk Risk that interest rates change

 Gearing risk Risk in the way a business is financed (debt v equity)

4.5 Technology risk

Risk that technology changes will occur that either present new opportunities to
businesses, or on the down-side make their existing processes obsolete or
inefficient.

4.6 Environmental risk

Risk that arises from changes in the environment such as climate change or natural
disasters.

4.7 Corporate reputation risk

Reputation risk is for many organisations a down-side risk as the better the
reputation of the business the more risk there is of losing that reputation.

7
Chapter 1

4.8 Fraud risk

Risk that is the vulnerability of an organisation to fraud.

4.9 Employee malfeasance risk

Risk that an organisation might be exposed to actions by employees that result in an


offence or crime (other than fraud).

4.10 Risks in international operations

International business are subject to additional risks factors relating to culture,


litigation, credit risk, items in transit and financial risks (especially currency).

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

8
Risk

9
Chapter 1

You should now be able to answer these questions from the Study Text

and these from the Exam Practice Kit.

For further reading, visit the following Chapters from the Study Text.

10
Chapter 2
Risk management

Outcome

By the end of this session you should be able to:

 identify the types of risk facing an organisation and recommend appropriate


responses

 evaluate senior management’s responsibility for risk

 evaluate alternative risk management tools

and answer questions relating to these areas.

The underpinning detail for this Chapter in your Notes can be found in
Chapter 2 of your Study Text

11
Chapter 2

Overview

What is risk
management?

ERM RISK MANAGEMENT

Risk strategies

Identifying risks

Quantifying risks

Risk Mapping

Risk Response

Risk Reporting

Roles and responsibilities

Evaluating strategies

12
Risk management

What is risk management?

1.1 Definitions

 ‘the process of understanding and managing the risks that the


organisation is inevitably subject to in attempting to achieve its
corporate objectives’
(CIMA Official Terminology)

1.2 Reconciling conformance and performance

 Conformance Avoiding downside risk

 Performance Benefitting from upside risk

Conformance Performance

Controlling threats or Maximising return


hazards or opportunity
Risk
Management
‘bad things do ‘good things might
happen’ not happen’

13
Chapter 2

Enterprise Risk Management (ERM)

2.1 What is ERM?

 'A process, effected by an entity’s board of directors, management and other


personnel, applied in strategy setting and across the enterprise, designed to
identify potential events that may affect the entity, and manage risk to be within
its risk appetite, to provide reasonable assurance regarding the achievement of
entity objectives'. (COSO 2003)

2.2 COSO ERM Framework

14
Risk management

2.3 Eight components:

 Internal environment.

 Objective setting.

 Event identification.

 Risk assessment.

 Risk response.

 Control activities.

 Information and communication.

 Monitoring.

2.4 Benefits of ERM

 Enhanced decision making by integrating risks.

 Improvement in investor confidence, and hence shareholder value.

 Focus of management attention on the most significant risks.

 A common language of risk management.

 Reduced cost of finance.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

15
Chapter 2

Risk management strategy

3.1 Formulation of a risk strategy

 Risk appetite the amount of risk an organisation is willing to accept in


pursuit of value

 Risk capacity the amount of risk that the organisation can bear

 Risk attitude the overall approach to risk, in terms of the board being
risk averse or risk seeking

 Residual risk the risk that a business faces after its controls have
been considered

3.2 Features of a risk management strategy (CIMA and IFAC joint report)

 Statement of the organisation’s attitude to risk – the balance between risk and
the need to achieve objectives

 The risk appetite of the organisation

 The objectives of the risk management strategy

 Culture of the organisation in relation to risk

 Responsibilities of managers

 Reference should be made to the risk management systems the company uses
(i.e. its internal control systems)

 Performance criteria should be set so that the effectiveness of risk


management can be evaluated

16
Risk management

Identify risk
Identifying risks areas

4.1 Risk Identification

 Process controlled by risk committee.

 Risks recorded in a risk register.

 Various sources of information.

17
Chapter 2

Understand and
Quantifying risk assess scale of risk

5.1 Expected values

 Expected value (EV) = Σ (probability × outcome).

5.2 Volatility

 Simplest measure would be to look at the range of possible outcomes.

 Standard deviation is a measure of the average dispersion of outcomes around


the EV.

5.3 Value at risk (VaR)

 VaR assesses the scale of the likely loss in value of a portfolio in a specified
time period at a defined level of probability.

 'There is a 95% chance that the value of the portfolio will fall by less than
$10 million over the next week'.

 VaR = standard deviation × appropriate Z score from Normal distribution tables.

 Regulators require banks to use VaR as a measure of risk.

5.4 Regression and correlation analysis

 Regression coefficients show the significance of individual risk factors.

5.5 Simulation

 Allows many different factors/scenarios/assumptions to be modelled.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

18
Risk management

19
Chapter 2

Understand and
Risk mapping assess scale of risk

6.1 Risk maps (also known as assurance maps)

 Prepared by the Board, the Risk Committee, the Audit Committee and senior
management from various departments.

 Can provide a framework for prioritising risks in the business.

Impact/consequence
Low High

High Further analysis


Highest priority
required?

Probability
/likelihood
Low Risks can probably Further analysis
be accepted required?

20
Risk management

Development of risk
Risk response response strategy

7.1 Objectives

 Exposure to severe risks is minimised.

 Unnecessary risks are avoided.

 Appropriate measures of control are taken.

 The balance between risk and return is appropriate.

7.2 Risk treatment (management) methods

 Avoid risk.

 Transfer risk.

 Pool risks.

 Diversification.

 Risk reduction.

 Hedging.

 Risk sharing.

21
Chapter 2

7.3 TARA

 Transfer Transfer risk wholly or in part to a third party – e.g. insurance.

 Avoid Many risks are unavoidable, so the only choice here may be
not to invest.

 Reduce Reduce or mitigate risks by limiting probability and /or impact,


especially of downside exposure.

 Accept Accept the risk and deal with the consequences.

Impact/consequence
Low High

High REDUCE AVOID

Probability
/likelihood
Low TRANSFER /
ACCEPT
SHARE

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

22
Risk management

Risk reporting

Risk reports now form part of UK annual reports.

8.1 Risk reporting

A risk reporting system would include:

 a systematic review of the risk forecast (at least annually)

 a review of the risk strategy and responses to significant risks

 a monitoring and feedback loop on action taken and assessments of significant


risks

 a system indicating material change to business circumstances, to provide an


‘early warning’

 the incorporation of audit work as part of the monitoring and information


gathering process.

8.2 Gross and net risk

Risk reports would show:

 Gross risk Assessment of risk before the application of any


controls, transfer or management responses

 Net (residual) risk Assessment of risk, taking into account the controls,
transfer and management responses

23
Chapter 2

Roles and responsibilities

9.1 Specific responsibilities

 Board of directors Ultimate responsibility for risk management

Define risk appetite

 Audit committee Responsible for reviewing internal control systems

Working with external / internal auditors

 Risk committee Direct responsibility for risk management

 Risk management Report to Board via audit /risk committees


group
Identify risks

Monitor effectiveness of overall process

 Internal audit Review of internal controls

Support management in risk management process

9.2 General responsibilities

 All employees Be aware of risks


Be audible

24
Risk management

Evaluating a risk management strategy

Risk Strategy
Evaluation

Has the strategy


Do the benefits
achieved its
outweigh the costs?
objectives?

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

25
Chapter 2

You should now be able to answer these questions from the Study Text

and these from the Exam Practice Kit.

For further reading, visit the following Chapters from the Study Text.

26
Chapter 3
Internal control systems

Outcome

By the end of this session you should be able to:

 evaluate risk management strategies and internal control

and answer questions relating to these areas.

The underpinning detail for this Chapter in your Notes can be found in
Chapter 3 of your Study Text

27
Chapter 3

Overview

Definitions and
responsibilities

INTERNAL CONTROL SYSTEMS

Effective control Details of


systems control

Turnbull Report Examples


COSO Classification

Evaluation

28
Internal control systems

Introduction

1.1 Definition of internal control systems

 'The whole system of controls, financial and otherwise, established


by the management in order to carry out the business of the
enterprise in an orderly and efficient manner, ensure adherence to
management policies, safeguard the assets, prevent and detect fraud
and error and secure as far as possible the completeness and
accuracy of the records’.

 a system for management to control certain risks and therefore help


businesses achieve their objectives.

1.2 Internal controls and risk management

 The need for a robust system of internal control and risk management is seen
as a major element of good corporate governance.

 The UK Corporate Governance Code requires the board of directors to review


the system of internal control in their organisation, and satisfy themselves that a
suitable system is in place.

 Since profits are, in part, the reward for successful risk taking in business, the
purpose of internal control is to help manage and control risk appropriately
rather than to eliminate it.

1.3 Responsibilities

 The board of directors is responsible for the company's system of internal


control.

 All employees have some responsibility for internal control as part of their
accountability for achieving objectives.

29
Chapter 3

The Turnbull Report (2005)

2.1 Elements of a sound system of internal control

 An internal control system encompasses the policies, processes, tasks,


behaviours and other aspects of a company that, taken together:
– facilitate its effective and efficient operation by enabling it to respond
appropriately to significant risks
– help ensure the quality of internal and external reporting
– help ensure compliance with applicable laws and regulations.

 The system of internal control will include:


– control activities
– information and communications processes
– processes for monitoring the continuing effectiveness of the system.

 The system of internal control should be:


– embedded within operations
– able to respond to changing risks
– includes procedures for reporting failings or weaknesses.

 A sound system of internal control reduces, but cannot eliminate, the possibility
of poor judgement in decision making, human error; control processes being
deliberately circumvented and the occurrence of unforeseeable circumstances.

 A sound system of internal control therefore provides reasonable, but not


absolute, assurance that a company will not be hindered in achieving its
business objectives by circumstances which may reasonably be foreseen.

30
Internal control systems

COSO model of internal control

In 1992 COSO (Committee of Sponsoring Organisations) stated that effective internal


control systems consist of five integrated elements.

3.1 Control environment

 The control environment can be thought of as management's attitude, actions


and awareness of the need for internal controls – the ‘tone at the top’.

3.2 Risk assessment

 Need to identify and assess risks in respect of established objectives.

 Assessment should consider internal and external factors and distinguish


between controllable and uncontrollable risks.

3.3 Control activities (= internal controls)

 Once controllable risks have been identified, actual specific control activities
can be undertaken to reduce those risks.

3.4 Information and communication

 In order for managers to operate the internal controls, they need quality
information.

3.5 Monitoring

 If the system is not monitored it will be very difficult to assess whether it is out
of control and needs amendment.

 This element of an internal control system is associated with internal audit, as


well as general supervision.

31
Chapter 3

The detail of controls

4.1 Examples of controls

 Segregation of duties Separate (1) authorisation or initiation of the


transaction, (2) the handling of the asset and (3)
recording the transaction.

 Physical controls e.g. using a safe to hold cash

 Authorisation and e.g. spending limits


approval

 Management control Include top-level reviews and activity controls.

 Supervision Helps to ensure that individuals do the tasks they are


required to and perform them properly

 Organisational e.g. delegating authority, setting up responsibility


structure centres

 Arithmetic and e.g. double checking the figures in a sales invoice


accounting before sending it to a customer

 Personnel controls e.g. selection, induction and training of staff

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

32
Internal control systems

Classification of controls

5.1 Financial controls

 These controls express financial targets and spending limits.

 Examples include budgetary control and controls over sales, purchases, payroll
and inventory cycles.

5.2 Non-financial qualitative controls

 These controls focus on targets against which performance can be measured


and monitored.

 Examples include balanced scorecard targets and TQM quality measures

 It is important that a feedback loop exists:

– performance target (standard) set

– actual result recorded

– compared with target

– control action taken (if required).

5.3 Non-financial quantitative controls

 These form the day to day controls over most employees in organisations.

 Examples include employee training, management control methods (such as


organisation structure, contracts of employment), physical controls and project
management.

33
Chapter 3

Evaluation of an internal control system

6.1 Costs

 Time of management involved in the design of the system.

 Implementation:

– costs of IT consultants to implement new software

– training all staff in new procedures.

 Maintenance of system:

– software upgrades

– monitoring and review.

6.2 Benefits

 The reduction of identified risks.

 Achievement of business objectives.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

34
Internal control systems

35
Chapter 3

You should now be able to answer these questions from the Study Text

and these from the Exam Practice Kit.

For further reading, visit the following Chapters from the Study Text.

36
Chapter 4
Risk and control of Information Systems

Outcome

By the end of this session you should be able to:

 evaluate the essential features of internal control systems for identifying,


assessing and managing risks in the context of information systems

 advice managers of the risks in the development of strategies for information


systems that support the organisation's strategic requirements

and answer questions relating to these areas.

The underpinning detail for this Chapter in your Notes can be found in
Chapter 4 of your Study Text

37
Chapter 4

Overview

Risks Controls

RISK AND CONTROL OF


INFORMATION SYSTEMS

Systems Changeover
development methods

Development
controls

38
Risk and control of Information Systems

Risks

1.1 Risks to a computer system

Risks to information processing facilities may arise from:

 dissatisfied employees might deliberately modify or destroy information in the


system

 accidental mistakes could be made on input to the system

 inadequate security of the hardware or data

 faults in the hardware system.

1.2 Risks specific to networks:

 A hacker or industrial spy might break into the system.

 Viruses or malicious software could be introduced.

 File copying.

 File server security.

39
Chapter 4

Controls in an IS environment

2.1 Controls in an information systems environment

 General controls Personnel

 Appropriate use of systems and security Logical access


from loss of data
Facility

Business continuity

 Application controls Input

 Designed for the individual application to Processing


prevent, detect and correct processing
errors Output

 Software controls Reputable dealers

 Ensure that the software in use is Original disks


authorised
Licences

 Network controls Firewalls

 Arisen due to the growth in distributed Flow


processing and e-commerce
Data encryption

Virus protection

40
Risk and control of Information Systems

Systems Development

3.1 Systems Development Life Cycle (SDLC)

 Planning Feasibility study including goal setting, timing, duration and


budget

 Analysis Definition of project goals and analysis of user needs

 Design Features of system described in detail including screen


layouts, process layouts, business rules and
documentation. A prototype may be built

 Development Conversion of the design into a physical system including


the acquisition and installation of the hardware and
software

 Implementation The real code is written. Staff training. Testing for errors,
bugs and inoperability (Quality assurance);

 Review User acceptance testing, maintenance, post-


implementation review

3.2 Systems development risks

 Fails to satisfy user’s real requirements: the system was specified incorrectly.

 Do not provide the data processing or information for which they were
designed, or to the quality expected.

 The system was therefore designed and programmed incorrectly.

 They cost much more to develop and run than expected.

41
Chapter 4

Development Controls

4.1 Controls

Should be built in at all stages of the systems development life cycle and include:

 approval of outline system specification by the user/IT steering committee

 detailed system design documented using standard approaches

 programs written using programming standards and fully documented

 systems and program testing

 user testing

 development timetable and cost control using project management techniques

 implementation controls

 monitoring and audit of new systems.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

42
Risk and control of Information Systems

Changeover methods

5.1 Changeover methods

 Direct Old system switched off and new system switched on

Cheap but risky

 Parallel Old and new systems run together for some time, until it is
felt safe to switch off the old.

Costly (duplication) but less risky

 Pilot One part of the business changes over first and then plans
rolled out to the rest of the business

Should reduce some risks as can learn from the pilot but
other locations may have different issues / problems

 Phased Introduce new system one part of the business at a time

Less risky but takes longer

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

43
Chapter 4

You should now be able to answer these questions from the Study Text

and these from the Exam Practice Kit.

For further reading, visit the following Chapters from the Study Text.

44
Chapter 5
Information strategy

Outcome

By the end of this session you should be able to:

 advise managers of the risks in the development of strategies for information


systems that support the organisation's strategic requirements

and answer questions relating to these areas.

The underpinning detail for this Chapter in your Notes can be found in
Chapter 5 of your Study Text

45
Chapter 5

Overview

Developing
IS

Types
of IS INFORMATION STRATEGY

Steering Data
committees warehousing
and mining

Big Data

46
Information strategy

Developing an information strategy

1.1 Developing the information strategy

Mission Statement

Corporate Strategy

Business Objectives

Critical Success Factors

Key Performance
Indicators

Information to Proposals for


measure new systems or
performance modifications

Information needs

Information strategy

47
Chapter 5

1.2 Information strategy components

 Information Systems Division/SBU/function based


Strategy
Demand orientated

Business focused

 Information Technology Activity based


Strategy
Supply orientated

Technology focused

 Information Management Organisation based


Strategy
Relationships orientated

Management focused

1.3 Benefits of an information strategy

 Goal congruence between the information systems objectives and the


corporate objectives.

 Create and sustain competitive advantage.

 High levels of expenditure on information systems will focus on supporting key


aspects of the business.

 Developments in IT can be exploited at the most appropriate time.

 IT can be very expensive to get wrong.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

48
Information strategy

Types of information system


System Purpose Features Example(s)
Transaction Captures and Batch, on-line or real Sales order processing
processing stores transaction time processing.
system data. Accounting system

Management Integrated system Data gathered from Databases


information for supporting TPS.
system operations and Reporting systems
decision-making. Predetermined output
format.
Enterprise Integration of Commercial software CRM
resource information across package installed on
planning the company. a Database Balanced scorecard
system Management performance reporting
System.
Decision Manipulation of User-friendly style Budgeting on a
support information to and assists with spreadsheet
system support decision- unstructured
making. problem.
Executive Present Highly visual and Executive performance
information selected/focused incorporate internal ‘dashboard’
system information for and external data.
senior executives.
Expert Present decision Modify its knowledge Tax advice
system options to ‘non- database in
expert’ users. accordance with its Legal advice
own results.
Selection of training
methods
Strategic Assist with Incorporates tools Significant investment
enterprise strategic decision- such as ABM. decisions
management making.
system Acquisition decisions

49
Chapter 5

50
Information strategy

Steering Committees

3.1 Steering Committee

Due to the strategic importance of IS/IT and the high level of spend that
many companies make in this area, steering committees are usually
established to decide on the provision of the information services.

3.2 Membership

Chair
Member of board

Senior managers Senior IT staff Senior finance


Key IT user Provide technical manager
departments input in committee Appraises costs/

3.3 Purpose of the steering committee

 Plan, monitor and control IS/IT/IM strategy.

 Identify and analyse IS/IT risk.

 Consider the competitive issues raised by IT.

 Ensure that IS/IT programmes achieve their specified objectives, in line with
organisational policy and objectives.

 Make resource decisions and IT funding decisions.

 Plan for future systems developments.

51
Chapter 5

Data warehousing and data mining

4.1 Data warehousing (as opposed to local databases)

Advantages Disadvantages

 Lower volumes of data held  New hardware and software


required
 Lower storage costs
 Training for staff
 Easy to amend data
 Existing data will need to be
 User confidence in up-to-date data analysed and cleansed

 Data management improved  Individual requirements may not


be met by central system
 Controls over data are improved
 Database failure is critical
 Consistency is achieved
 Response times may be slower

4.2 Data mining

Data mining is the process of analysing data from different perspectives and
summarising it into useful information.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

52
Information strategy

Big data

5.1 Definition

Big Data is a term for the collection of data which is so large that it
becomes difficult to store and process using traditional techniques and
data processing applications.

5.2 Features of big data

The features of Big Data can be described by the 4Vs:

 Variety

 Veracity

 Variety

 Volume.

5.3 Benefits and drawbacks of Big Data

Benefits Drawbacks

 Drives innovation  Difficult to convert into useful


information

 Helps create competitive advantage  Lack of skills within the organisation

 Improves productivity  Data security and data protection


issues

53
Chapter 5

You should now be able to answer these questions from the Study Text

and these from the Exam Practice Kit.

For further reading, visit the following Chapters from the Study Text.

54
Chapter 6
Management control systems

Outcome

By the end of this session you should be able to:

 recommend appropriate measures for the strategic control and direction of


various types of organisations

 recommend solutions for the risks of dysfunctional behaviour arising from the
associated models of performance measurement

and answer questions relating to these areas.

The underpinning detail for this Chapter in your Notes can be found in
Chapter 6 of your Study Text

55
Chapter 6

Overview

Organisations
Controls
as systems

MANAGEMENT CONTROL Strategic


SYSTEMS MA

Behavioural
Divisional PM
aspects

Beyond Transfer
budgeting pricing

56
Management control systems

Organisations as systems

1.1 Introduction

 An organisation is a social system, in which people combine


together to carry out the purpose(s) for which the organisation
exists.

1.2 Characteristics of systems

 A system is a set of interacting components that operate together to accomplish


a purpose. Essentially this consists of Input > process > output

 Companies are open systems – they react to their environment

 A system must have an objective – everything else is geared towards this

 Control - A system must be controlled to keep it stable or to allow it to change


safely. Control is dependent on receiving and processing information.

 Feedback control - 'The measurement of differences between planned outputs


and actual outputs achieved, and the modification of subsequent action and / or
plans to achieve future required results.'

– Negative feedback = feedback taken to reverse a deviation from


standard.

– Positive feedback = feedback taken to reinforce a deviation from


standard.

 Feedforward control - 'The forecasting of differences between actual and


planned outcomes and the implementation of actions before the event to
prevent such differences.'

57
Chapter 6

Management control systems

2.1 Management control systems

 The processes by which managers attempt to ensure that their


organisation adapts successfully to its changing environment.

2.2 Designing a management accounting control system

 Output requirements.

 Response required.

 Timing of information.

 Sources of information.

 Processing.

 Cost-benefit analysis.

2.3 Structure of management accounting control systems

Should consider:

 organisation structure

 responsibility accounting

 performance target setting

 behavioural implications.

58
Management control systems

Behavioural aspects of control systems

3.1 Principles of good performance management systems

 Effective control systems must incorporate a feedback loop

– set targets

– measure actual results

– compare actual with target

– control action taken.

 This will facilitate management by exception.

 When comparing actual and budget consider whether the budget should be
flexed.

 Targets should be neither too easy, nor too hard.

 Participation in target setting usually increases ownership and motivation but


can result in budget padding.

 Controllability – managers should only be assessed on factors under their


control.

 Targets should be linked to the type of business unit – e.g. profit centre.

 Targets should have a mixture of financial and non-financial performance


indicators.

 Targets should be linked to long term performance as well as short term.

59
Chapter 6

Beyond budgeting

4.1 Criticisms of traditional management accounting control systems

Traditional budgets based on fixed annual periods:

 encourage rigid planning and a lack of flexibility. This may not be appropriate in
a fast moving business environment

 are time consuming

 encourage managers and employees to meet only the lowest target rather
than attempting to beat the target set (this is inconsistent with a TQM approach)

 encourage managers and employees to achieve the budget even if this results
in undesirable action

 encourage managers and employees to spend what is in the budget, even if it


is not necessary, to guard against next year's budget

 reinforce the barriers between departments rather than encourage knowledge


sharing

 are seen as a mechanism for top-down control by senior management but


organisations should be empowering individuals on the frontline

 ignore key drivers of shareholder value by focusing on short term financial


performance

 produced inadequate variance reports leaving the 'how' and 'what'


unanswered

 emphasis on financial targets can result in important non-financial factors


being ignored

 targets may result in managers taking excessive risks.

60
Management control systems

4.2 The 'Beyond Budgeting' approach

 The manager sets their own 'stretch targets' (therefore takes more ownership).

 The manager is given full support to achieve the targets but carries sole
responsibility for meeting them.

 Targets are both strategic and financial.

 Monthly balanced scorecards are produced and measures are compared to


last year, other divisions and competitors.

 Performance reviews are called on an ad hoc basis when there is a blip in


performance. These reviews focus on action plans and possible improvements.

4.3 Advantages of the beyond budgeting approach:

 Managers are not punished for failing to reach the full target (improving
motivation).

 The use of the BSC promotes a balanced range of performance measures.

 Managers set their own targets increasing ownership.

 Reviews of action plans encourage feedback and learning.

 Beating internal and external competitors is motivational.

 Managers share a bonus pool that is based on share price or long-term


performance against a basket of competitors (encouraging teamwork and a
long-term perspective.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

61
Chapter 6

Divisional performance measures

5.1 Key principles

 Targets should be linked to the type of business unit – e.g. profit centre.

 Targets should encourage goal congruence – improving divisional


performance should not be in conflict with overall company performance.

5.2 Performance measures for investment centres

 Return on investment Simple to understand / calculate

Should be based on controllable profit

ROI can be boosted either by increasing profit OR


reducing capital employed

Can result in short termism

Danger that managers can boost divisional ROI at the


expense of company ROI

 Residual income Simple to understand / calculate

Should be based on controllable profit

Can result in short termism

Less risk of dysfunctional decision making

 EVATM NOPAT – Capital × WACC

Modified version of RI with large number of


adjustments

Good correlation with shareholder value

62
Management control systems

Transfer pricing

6.1 Objectives of transfer pricing

 Goal congruence TP can influence decisions

 Divisional autonomy Head office would rather not interfere in every


decision

 Performance
TP affects divisional performance
measurement

 Fair allocation of profits TP splits profits between seller (TP = income) and
between divisions buyer (TP = cost)

 Minimising global tax TP moves profit from one tax jurisdiction to another

 Recording movement of Basic accounting – otherwise transactions not


goods and services recognised

6.2 Typical methods of setting transfer prices

 Market price If one exists!

Usually results in goal congruence

May be adjusted for selling/buying costs

 Cost plus Which cost?

Actual cost may result in inefficiencies

 Negotiation One division may have more power

 Dual pricing Different TPs for seller/buyer

63
Chapter 6

The Balanced Scorecard

This model aims to provide a broad range of financial and non-financial measures.

Financial
perspective –
how should we
appear to
shareholders?
Customer Internal business
perspective – process – what
how should we business
appear to our processes should
customers? we excel at?

Learning &
growth/
innovation – how
will sustain our
ability to change
and improve?

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

64
Management control systems

Strategic management accounting

8.1 Manufacturing methods

TRADITIONAL MODERN

 Standardisation of product Globalisation

 Long production runs Competition

 ‘Acceptable’ level of quality JIT and TQM

 Slow product development ‘Intelligent machines’

8.2 Modern management accounting techniques

SITUATION TECHNIQUE

 JIT and TQM environments Throughput accounting

Back flush accounting

Costs of quality

Non-financial performance indicators

 Large overhead costs Activity based costing (ABC)

Activity based budgeting (ABB)

 Focus on longer-term strategic Non-financial performance indicators


issues
Balanced scorecard

Strategic management accounting


(SMA)

65
Chapter 6

You should now be able to answer these questions from the Study Text

and these from the Exam Practice Kit.

For further reading, visit the following Chapters from the Study Text.

66
Chapter 7
Fraud

Outcome

By the end of this session you should be able to:

 evaluate risk management strategies and internal controls in the context of


fraud management

and answer questions relating to these areas.

The underpinning detail for this Chapter in your Notes can be found in
Chapter 7 of your Study Text

67
Chapter 7

Overview

What is
fraud?

FRAUD

Prerequisites for Fraud risk


fraud management
strategies

68
Fraud

What is fraud?

1.1 Definitions

 Dishonestly obtaining an advantage, avoiding an obligation or causing a loss to


another party.

 Note: distinction made between fraud and errors (unintentional mistakes).

1.2 Examples of fraud

 Crimes against customers, e.g. pyramid schemes; selling counterfeit goods.

 Employee fraud against employers, e.g. falsifying expense claims.

 Crimes against investors, consumers and employees, e.g. FS fraud.

 Crimes against financial institutions, e.g. fraudulent insurance claims.

 Crimes against government, e.g. social security benefit claims fraud; tax
evasion.

 Crimes by professional criminals, e.g. money laundering; advance fee fraud.

 e-crime by people using computers, e.g. spamming, copyright crimes, hacking.

1.3 Prerequisites for fraud

 An ability to rationalise the fraudulent action and hence act with dishonesty.

 A perceived opportunity to commit fraud.

 A motive, incentive or pressure to commit fraud.

69
Chapter 7

Fraud risk management strategy

2.1 Overview

70
Fraud

2.2 Fraud prevention

 Anti-fraud culture

 Risk awareness

 Whistleblowing

 Sound internal control systems

A fraud policy statement, effective recruitment policies and good internal controls
can minimise the risk of fraud.

2.3 Fraud detection

 Performing regular checks.

 Warning signals/fraud risk indicators:

– failures in internal control procedures

– lack of information provided to auditors

– unusual behaviour by individual staff members

– accounting difficulties.

 Whistleblowers.

71
Chapter 7

2.4 Fraud response

 Response plan:

– internal disciplinary action

– civil litigation

– criminal prosecution

– responsibilities.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

72
Fraud

73
Chapter 7

You should now be able to answer these questions from the Study Text

and these from the Exam Practice Kit.

For further reading, visit the following Chapters from the Study Text.

74
Chapter 8
Ethics

Outcome

By the end of this session you should be able to:

 evaluate the risks associated with corporate governance

and answer questions relating to these areas.

The underpinning detail for this Chapter in your Notes can be found in
Chapter 8 of your Study Text

75
Chapter 8

Overview

ETHICS

Business Personal
ethics ethics

Ethical principles

Threats and
safeguards

Conflict
resolution

76
Ethics

Introduction

1.1 What is ethics?

 Ethics can be defined as the ‘moral principles that govern a person’s behaviour
or the conducting of an activity’. (The Oxford English Dictionary)

1.2 Business ethics

 CSR, sustainability.

 Miss-selling, misleading advertising.

 Mistreatment of staff – e.g. discrimination, unfair dismissal.

 Bribery and corruption, especially of foreign government officials.

1.3 Personal ethics - use CIMA ethical code

 Conceptual framework – principles, threats, safeguards – see below.

1.4 Ethics as a source of risk

 Reputational damage.

 Fines/discipline.

 May affect chances of winning major contracts.

77
Chapter 8

Ethical principles

A professional accountant shall comply with the following fundamental principles.

 Integrity to be straightforward and honest in all professional and


business relationships

 Objectivity to not allow bias, conflict of interest or undue influence


of others to override professional or business
judgments

 Professional to maintain professional knowledge and skill at the


competence and due level required to ensure that a client or employer
care receives competent professional services based on
current developments in practice, legislation and
techniques and act diligently and in accordance with
applicable technical and professional standards

 Confidentiality to respect the confidentiality of information acquired as


a result of professional and business relationships and,
therefore, not disclose any such information to third
parties without proper and specific authority, unless
there is a legal or professional right or duty to disclose,
nor use the information for the personal advantage of
the professional accountant or third parties.

 Professional to comply with relevant laws and regulations and avoid


behaviour any action that discredits the profession.

78
Ethics

Ethical threats

Threats fall into one or more of the following categories.

 Self-interest threat the threat that a financial or other interest will


inappropriately influence the professional accountant’s
judgment or behaviour

 Self-review threat the threat that a professional accountant will not


appropriately evaluate the results of a previous
judgment made or service performed by the
professional accountant, or by another individual within
the professional accountant’s firm or employing
organization, on which the accountant will rely when
forming a judgment as part of providing a current
service

 Advocacy threat the threat that a professional accountant will promote a


client’s or employer’s position to the point that the
professional accountant’s objectivity is compromised

 Familiarity threat the threat that due to a long or close relationship with a
client or employer, a professional accountant will be
too sympathetic to their interests or too accepting of
their work; and

 Intimidation threat the threat that a professional accountant will be


deterred from acting objectively because of actual or
perceived pressures, including attempts to exercise
undue influence over the professional accountant.

79
Chapter 8

Ethical safeguards

4.1 Safeguards

 Safeguards are actions or other measures that may eliminate threats or reduce
them to an acceptable level.

4.2 Safeguards created by the profession, legislation or regulation

 Educational, training and experience requirements for entry into the profession.

 CPD requirements.

 Corporate governance regulations.

 Professional or regulatory monitoring and disciplinary procedures.

 External review by a legally empowered third party of the reports, returns,


communications or information produced by a professional accountant.

4.3 Safeguards in the work environment

 Firm-wide safeguards.

 Engagement-specific safeguards.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

80
Ethics

Ethical conflict resolution

Step 1: Clarify the situation

 Ensure you are not acting on inaccurate or incomplete information

Step 2: Analysis

 What ethical issues are involved? Who is affected and how?

 Which fundamental ethical principles apply? How have they been


compromised, if at all, and to what extent?

 Is behaviour dictated by law (e.g. money laundering)?

 Does the organisation have internal policies that need to be followed?

Step 3: Alternatice courses of action

 Escalate concern internally, i.e. to direct management.

 Escalate issue further to your manager's boss, the Board or a non-executive


director (following any internal grievance or whistleblowing procedure).

 Seek advice from CIMA.

 Report externally to auditors or relevant trade/regulatory body.

 Remove yourself from the situation?

81
Chapter 8

You should now be able to answer these questions from the Study Text

and these from the Exam Practice Kit.

For further reading, visit the following Chapters from the Study Text.

82
Chapter 9
Corporate governance

Outcome

By the end of this session you should be able to:

 evaluate the risks associated with corporate governance

and answer questions relating to these areas.

The underpinning detail for this Chapter in your Notes can be found in
Chapter 9 of your Study Text

83
Chapter 9

Overview

Introduction

SOX
CORPORATE
GOVERNANCE
Controls

Leadership Committees

Directors’ Audit
remuneration Committee

Nomination
Committee

Remuneration
Committee

84
Corporate governance

Introduction

1.1 What is corporate governance?

 ‘The system by which companies are directed and controlled in the interest of
shareholders and others stakeholders’.

1.2 Importance of corporate governance:

 In most countries listed companies are required to comply.

 It is often built into stock exchange listing rules.

 Major influence on, and key part of, a company’s risk management strategy.

1.3 Limitations of corporate governance:

 It does not prevent company failure or collapse.

 It cannot prevent companies failing to achieve their objectives.

1.4 Principles-based or rules-based

 Principles-based approach – e.g. UK Corporate Governance Code (2010):

– Comply or explain.

 Rules-based approach – e.g. US Sarbanes-Oxley (SOX):

– Enforcement and documentation.

85
Chapter 9

1.5 Corporate governance guidelines

Not all companies in the exam will be subject to the UK Corporate


Governance Code (2010) but it should be viewed as best practice.

UK Code covers the following five key areas:

 leadership

 effectiveness

 accountability

 remuneration

 relations with shareholders.

86
Corporate governance

Leadership

2.1 General principles

 Chairman (who runs the board) and CEO (who runs the company) should be
separate individuals to prevent one individual having too much power.

 Balance between executive directors (EDs) and independent non-executive


directors (INEDs); generally at least 50% of the board should be INEDs.

 NED roles:

– strategy role: this recognises that NEDs have the right and responsibility
to contribute to strategic success, challenging strategy and offering advice
on direction.

– scrutinising role: NEDs are required to hold executive colleagues to


account for decisions taken and results obtained.

– risk role: NEDs ensure the company has an adequate system of internal
controls and systems of risk management in place.

– people role: NEDs oversee a range of responsibilities with regard to the


appointment and remuneration of executives and will be involved in
contractual and disciplinary issues.

 The board should communicate clearly and honestly with stakeholders,


particularly shareholders.

87
Chapter 9

2.2 UK Corporate Governance Code – CEO, Chairman and EDs

 CEO and Chairman must be different individuals.

 The CEO cannot go on to be Chairman of the same company.

 Chairman should be independent on appointment.

 A full time ED can’t also take on more than 1 FTSE 100 NED role.

 A full time ED can’t also be the chairman of a FTSE 100 company.

 A significant portion of EDs’ pay should be performance related.

2.3 UK Corporate Governance Code – NEDs

 Appoint one independent non-executive director (INED) as the senior


independent director.

 A director may not be independent if they:


– were an employee within the last 5 years
– represent a significant shareholder
– have close family ties with Co.
– receive other pay or benefits in addition to a directors' fee
– had material business relationship with the Co. within the last 3 years
– have served on the board for more than 9 years.

 NEDs serving longer than 6 years should be subjected to a rigorous review.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

88
Corporate governance

Audit committee

3.1 General principles

There should be an audit committee to monitor the independence of the


external auditors

3.2 Typical roles and responsibilities

 To monitor the integrity of the financial statements of the company and any
formal announcements relating to the company’s financial performance.

 To review the company’s internal control and risk management systems.

 To review the effectiveness of the company’s internal audit function.

 To make recommendations re the appointment, reappointment and removal of


the external auditor, and to approve remuneration and terms of engagement.

 To review and monitor the external auditor’s independence and objectivity and
the effectiveness of the audit process.

 To develop and implement policy re non-audit services by the external auditor.

3.3 UK Corporate Governance Code

 Should be 100% INEDs.

 FTSE 350 – committee should have least 3 members.

 Smaller listed companies – should have at least 2 members.

 At least one member should have recent and relevant financial experience.

89
Chapter 9

Nomination committee

4.1 Nomination committee

 There should be a nomination committee charged with ensuring the


board has the appropriate skills, knowledge and experience.

4.2 Typical roles and responsibilities

 Review regularly the structure, size, composition and balance of the board

 Consider the balance between executives and NEDs on the board.

 Ensure appropriate management of diversity to board composition.

 To reduce domination in executive selection by the CEO/chairman.

 Give full consideration to succession planning for directors.

 Prepare a description of the role and capabilities required for any particular
board appointment including that of the chairman.

 Identify and nominate board candidates to fill board.

 Make recommendations concerning the standing for reappointment of directors.

4.3 UK Corporate Governance Code

 Over 50% of the NC should be INEDs.

90
Corporate governance

Remuneration committee

5.1 General principles

The executive directors' remuneration should be set by the remuneration


committee, so that EDs don't have the power to set their own pay.

5.2 Typical roles and responsibilities

 Setting the remuneration for EDs and the Chairman, including pension rights
and any compensation payments.

 Note: remuneration of NEDs should be determined by the Board or, where


permitted by the Articles, a separate committee.

5.3 UK Corporate Governance Code

 Should be 100% INEDs.

 FTSE 350 – committee should have least 3 members.

 Smaller listed companies – should have at least 2 members.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

91
Chapter 9

Directors’ remuneration

6.1 Behavioural impact

 Remuneration packages should be sufficient to attract, retain and motivate


directors of appropriate quality.

 However, they should also be designed to align the interests of directors with
those of the shareholders and to promote the long-term success of the
company – e.g. UK Code advises that share options should not granted with
exercise dates < 3 years.

6.2 Components of remuneration package

 Basic salary Determined by the experience of the director and the


market rate.

 Performance related Should be linked to measurable long-term performance


bonuses or enhanced shareholder value. Criteria should be risk
adjusted to prevent excessive risk taking.

 Benefits in kind Could include company cars, life assurance,


healthcare etc. Package offered to directors should not
be excessive compared to other employees

 Pensions The UK Corporate Governance Code states that, as a


general rule, only basic salary should be pensionable

 Share options Should align management and shareholder interests.


However, given there is no downside risk, directors
may proceed with high risk projects. Also risk that
directors may try to boost short term share price
leading up to the exercise date.

92
Corporate governance

Governance and internal controls

7.1 Board responsibility

Board is responsible for:

 maintaining a sound system of internal control

 reviewing the effectiveness of internal controls

 reporting to shareholders that this review has been carried out.

7.2 Turnbull Report

The Turnbull Report requires that internal controls should be established using a risk-
based approach. Specifically a company should:

 establish business objectives

 identify associated key risks

 decide upon controls to address the risks

 set up a system to implement the required controls, including regular feedback

 review internal controls under the five headings identified by COSO.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

93
Chapter 9

US Sarbanes-Oxley (SOX)

It is relevant to US companies, directors of subsidiaries of US listed


businesses and auditors who are working on US listed businesses.

8.1 Differences to UK Combined Code

 Enforcement.

 Documentation.

8.2 Key points of SOX

 Auditor Auditors restricted in extra services they can provide


independence

 Audit partner Senior partner must be changed every 5 years

 Restrictions on Directors prohibited from trading in shares at ‘sensitive


dealing times’

 Increased financial Reports to detail off-balance sheet finance


disclosures

 Certification of Must be vouched for by CEO and CFO


accuracy of FS

 Internal control report Annual report must include statement on internal


control systems

 Audit committee US stock exchanges are prohibited from listing any firm
that does not have an audit committee.

94
Corporate governance

95
Chapter 9

You should now be able to answer these questions from the Study Text

and these from the Exam Practice Kit.

For further reading, visit the following Chapters from the Study Text.

96
Chapter 10
Internal audit

Outcome

By the end of this session you should be able to:

 evaluate the purposes and process of audit in the context of internal control
systems

 evaluate the effective planning and management of internal audit and internal
audit investigations

and answer questions relating to these areas.

The underpinning detail for this Chapter in your Notes can be found in
Chapter 10 of your Study Text

97
Chapter 10

Overview

Scope External v
Standards
internal

Need Introduction Types of


work

INTERNAL AUDIT

Audit process

Audit report

Audit of computer
systems

98
Internal audit

Introduction

1.1 Definition

 Internal audit is ‘an independent appraisal activity established


within an organisation as a service to it. It is a control which
functions by examining and evaluating the adequacy and
effectiveness of other controls’. (CIMA)

1.2 Context – management review of controls (Turnbull)

 A review of internal controls should be an integral part of management’s role.

 The identification, evaluation and management of all key risks facing the
organisation.

 The effectiveness of internal control – financial, operational, compliance and


risk management controls.

 Communication to employees of risk objectives with targets and performance


indicators.

 The action to be taken if any weakness is found.

1.3 Internal audit vs. risk management

Internal Audit Risk Management

 Testing and evaluating controls  Own entire risk management


process
 Special investigations as
directed by management  Maintain risk register

 Support and assist senior  Lead in developing risk


management in projects, some response strategy
outside risk management arena
 Provide training and
 Contribute to risk identification development in risk
management matters

99
Chapter 10

100
Internal audit

The need for internal audit

2.1 Factors that affect the need for internal audit

 The scale, diversity and The larger, the more diverse and the more
complexity of the company’s complex a range of activities is, the more
activities there is to monitor (and the more opportunity
there is for certain things to go wrong).

 The number of employees As a proxy for size, the number of employees


signifies that larger organisations are more
likely to need internal audit to underpin
investor confidence than smaller concerns.

 Cost/benefit Management must be certain of the benefits


that will result from establishing internal audit
and they must obviously be seen to outweigh
the costs of the audit.

 Changes in the organisational Any internal (or external) modification is


structures, reporting processes capable of changing the complexity of
or underlying MIS operations and, accordingly, the risk.

 Changes in key risks The introduction of a new product, entering a


new market, a change in any of the
PEST/PESTEL factors or changes in the
industry might trigger the need for internal
audit.

 Problems with existing internal Any problems with existing systems clearly
control systems. signify the need for a tightening of systems
and increased monitoring.

 An increased number of System failures or similar events are a clear


unexplained or unacceptable demonstration of internal control weakness
events.

101
Chapter 10

Scope of internal audit

Review accounting Economy, efficiency


and internal control & effectiveness
systems review of operations

Sample Scope of
Minimise risks
testing internal
audit

Compliance with Assist in carrying


laws, regulations or out external audit
internal policies procedures

Special
investigations

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

102
Internal audit

Standards of internal audit work

4.1 Attribute standards

 Independence Internal auditors should be Independent of executive


management. Head of internal audit report to senior
directors. Free from interference.

 Objectivity Internal auditors should be objective and avoid any


conflicts of interest.

 Professional care Internal auditors should exercise due professional care and
should have be competence to perform their tasks.

4.2 Performance standards

 Managing Establish risk-based plans to decide the priorities. Plans


internal audit should be reviewed at least annually and submitted for
board approval

 Risk Identify and evaluate significant risk exposures and


management contribute to the improvement of risk management and
control systems.

 Control Help maintain control system by evaluating the


effectiveness and efficiency of controls, and by promoting
continuous improvement

 Governance Assess the corporate governance process and make


recommendations

 Internal audit Identify, analyse, evaluate and record sufficient information


work to achieve the objectives of the engagement. Conclusions
should be based on suitable analysis and evaluation.

 Communicating Communicate the results of their engagement, including


results conclusions, recommendations and action plans.

103
Chapter 10

Outsourcing internal audit

5.1 Advantages of outsourcing internal audit

 Greater focus on cost and efficiency of the internal audit function.

 Staff may be drawn from a broader range of expertise.

 Risk of staff turnover is passed to the outsourcing firm.

 Specialist skills may be more readily available.

 Costs of employing permanent staff are avoided.

 May improve independence.

 Access to new market place technologies.

Reduced management time in administering an in-house department.

5.2 Disadvantages of outsourcing internal audit

 Possible conflict of interest if provided by the external auditors.

 Pressure on the independence of the outsourced function.

 Risk of lack of knowledge and understanding of the organisation.

 The decision may be based on cost with the effectiveness of the function being
reduced.

 Flexibility and availability may not be as high as with an in-house function.

 Lack of control over standard of service.

 Risk of blurring of roles between internal and external audit.

104
Internal audit

Internal and external audit

6.1 External and Internal Audit

External Internal

Role required  Statute, for all limited  Management, usually in


by: companies larger organisations

Appointed by:  Shareholders or directors  Audit committee/CIA

Reports to:  Shareholder (primary  Audit committee/CIA


duty) and management
(professional
responsibility)

Reports on:  Financial statements  Internal controls mainly

Forms  True and fair view and  Adequacy of ICS


opinions on: proper presentation

Scope of  Unlimited, to fulfil statutory  Prescribed by


assignment: obligation management/audit
committee

6.2 Relationship of internal audit to external audit

External auditors should take into account the following when planning their audit:

 Status of internal audit within organisation.

 Scope of internal audit function.

 Whether management act on recommendations of internal audit.

 Technical competence of internal auditors.

 Objectives of internal audit.

 Due professional care demonstrated in internal audit work.

105
Chapter 10

106
Internal audit

Types of internal audit work

7.1 Types of audit

 Compliance audit Compliance audits check the implementation of written


rules, regulations and procedures.

 Transactions A transactions audit involves the checking of a sample of


audit transactions against documentary evidence.

 Risk-based audit Plan audit tests so that more effort is directed towards the
most risky areas.

 Quality audit To establish whether quality objectives are being met.

 Post-completion An objective and independent appraisal of the measure of


audit success of a project.

 Value for money Whether proper arrangements have been made for
audit securing economy, efficiency and effectiveness (3Es) in
the use of resources

 Environmental Evaluation how well the company is safeguarding the


audit environment and meeting regulatory

 Social audit Looks at the company's contribution to society and the


community

 Management An objective and independent appraisal of the


(operational) effectiveness of managers and the corporate structure in
audit the achievement of the entities' objectives and policies

 Systems-based Audit of internal controls within an organisation


audit

107
Chapter 10

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

108
Internal audit

The audit process

8.1 Overall process

Agree the objectives of the audit

Plan the audit

Find out about systems and controls Planning

Confirm the operation of the system

Assess if controls are adequate

Test compliance with controls

Testing
Test application of controls

Review, report and recommend

109
Chapter 10

8.2 Audit planning

 Objectives of the audit.

 Conduct of the audit.

 Resources and timing.

8.3 Audit risk

 Inherent risk The risk that an amount in the financial statements might
be stated as a materially incorrect amount, ignoring the
existence of existing internal controls.

 Control risk The risk that the existing controls are not sufficient to
prevent or detect a material misstatement.

 Detection risk The risk that the auditors’ substantive tests will not reveal
a materially incorrect amount in the financial statements, if
such an error exists.

8.4 Systems investigation and documentation - Ascertaining systems

 Flowcharts.

 Interviews.

 Systems documentation.

 Observation.

8.5 Types of audit testing

 Compliance testing Test of controls

 Substantive testing Test of balances or transactions

 Analytical review Examination of ratios, trends and changes in balances.


Can be used at planning, substantive testing and overall
review stages of an audit

110
Internal audit

The audit report

9.1 The audit report

 The objectives of the audit work.

 A summary of the process undertaken by the auditor.

 The results of tests carried out.

 The audit opinion (if an opinion is required).

 Recommendations for action.

Illustrations and further practice


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and Kit questions.

111
Chapter 10

Audit of computer systems

10.1 Problems of auditing computer systems

 Concentration of controls in the IT department.

 Lack of primary records.

 Encoded data.

 Loss of audit trail.

 Overwriting of data.

 Program controls.

10.2 Audit approaches

 Though the computer.

 Round the computer.

10.3 Computer-assisted audit techniques (CAATs)

Audit software

 Extract a sample according to specified criteria.

 Calculate ratios and select those outside the criteria.

 Check calculations (for example additions).

 Prepare reports (budget vs actual).

 Produce letters to send out to customers suppliers.

 Follow items through a computerised system.

 Search for underlying relationships and check for fraud.

Test data

 Live data = processed during a normal production run.

 Dead data = processed outside the normal cycle.

112
Internal audit

113
Chapter 10

You should now be able to answer these questions from the Study Text

and these from the Exam Practice Kit.

For further reading, visit the following Chapters from the Study Text.

114
Chapter 11
Financial risk

Outcome

By the end of this session you should be able to:

 evaluate financial risks facing an organisation

and answer questions relating to these areas.

The underpinning detail for this Chapter in your Notes can be found in
Chapter 11 of your Study Text

115
Chapter 11

Overview

Introduction

FINANCIAL RISK

Types of
financial risk

116
Financial risk

Introduction

1.1 Definition of financial risk

 'A risk of a change in a financial condition such as an exchange rate,


interest rate, credit rating of a customer, or price of a good'.

1.2 To hedge or not?

Benefits of hedging Arguments against hedging

 Can provide certainty of cash  May harm interest of shareholders


flows with diversified portfolios

 Risk will be reduced  Significant transaction costs

 Reduction in probability of financial  Lack of expertise within the


collapse business

 May be perceived to be a more  Complexity of accounting and tax


attractive employer to risk-averse issues
managers
 For some risks, gains and losses
 May reduce taxes may cancel out in the long run.

1.3 Derivatives

 A derivative is a financial instrument whose value depends on the price of some


other financial asset or underlying factor (such as oil, gold, interest rates or
currencies).

 Derivatives can be used for hedging, speculation and/or arbitrage.

117
Chapter 11

Types of financial risk

2.1 Credit risk

Definition Management

Credit risk is the risk of non-payment or  Strong credit control procedures


late payment by debtors. Credit risk will
always exist in businesses that make  Insuring against the risk
credit sales and therefore it needs to be
managed.  Debt factoring without recourse

2.2 Political risk

Definition Management

The financial political risk is the risk  Entering into foreign joint ventures
arising from actions taken by a
government that affect financial aspects  Obtaining agreements and
of the business. contracts with overseas
government

 Using local financing

 Plans for ownership/part-ownership


by foreign country’s investors

118
Financial risk

2.3 Interest rate risk

Definition Management

Interest rate risk is the risk of gains or  Floating rate loans/investments


losses on assets and liabilities due to
changes in interest rates.  Fixed rate loans/investments

 Refinancing

See Chapter 13 for management.

2.4 Currency risk

Definition Management

Currency risk is the risk that arises from  Translation risk


possible future movements in an
exchange rate.  Transaction risk

 Economic risk

See Chapter 12 for management of transaction risk.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

119
Chapter 11

You should now be able to answer these questions from the Study Text

and these from the Exam Practice Kit.

For further reading, visit the following Chapters from the Study Text.

120
Chapter 12
Currency risk management

Outcome

By the end of this session you should be able to:

 advise on the effects of economic factors that affect future cash flows from
international operations

 evaluate appropriate methods for the identification and management of financial


risks associated with international operations

and answer questions relating to these areas.

The underpinning detail for this Chapter in your Notes can be found in
Chapter 12 of your Study Text

121
Chapter 12

Overview

Basics PPPT IRPT

Exchange
rates

Currency Risk
Management

Risk
management
Forward Swaps
contracts

MMH Options

Futures

122
Currency risk management

Exchange rates – basics

1.1 Definition of an exchange rate

 An exchange rate is expressed in terms of the quantity of one


currency that can be exchanged for one unit of the other currency. It
can be thought of as the price of a currency.

1.2 How rates are quoted

Can have:

 direct quotes: one unit of foreign currency = its value in home currency

 indirect quotes: one unit of home currency = its value in foreign currency

 note: Spreads are quoted so the bank wins!

1.3 Reasons for forecasting exchange rates

 Foreign debtor and creditor balances.

 Working capital.

 Pricing.

 Investment appraisal.

 Consolidation of foreign subsidiaries.

Illustrations and further practice


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and Kit questions.

123
Chapter 12

Purchasing power parity theory (PPPT)

2.1 Purchasing power parity

 ‘Law of one price’.

 Country with higher inflation will suffer a fall in the value of their currency

1+ if
 Future spot rate = Current spot rate × , where i = inflation rates.
1+ ih
 Assumes rates are quoted as indirect quotes.

2.2 Limitations

 Future inflation rates may not be accurate.

 Speculation.

 Government intervention.

Illustrations and further practice


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and Kit questions.

124
Currency risk management

Interest rate parity theory (IRPT)

3.1 Interest rate parity

 Difference between spot and forward rates is equal to the differential between
interest rates available in the two currencies.

 Equivalently, both countries have the same real interest rate (Fisher Effect).

 Country with higher interest rates will suffer a fall in the value of their currency.

1+ if
 Forward rate = Current spot rate × , where i = money interest rates.
1+ ih
 Assumes rates are quoted as indirect quotes.

3.2 Limitations

 Controls on capital markets.

 Controls on currency trading.

 Government intervention.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

125
Chapter 12

Currency risk management

4.1 Types of risk exposure

 Transaction risk The risk of exchange rates changing before the


settlement date of a transaction.

 Economic risk The risk that long-term adverse movements in


exchange rates make the company less competitive
internationally.

 Translation risk The risk of exchange rate movements between one


year and the next causing fluctuations in values of
foreign currency assets and liabilities in consolidated
accounts.

Note: unrealised translation losses can affect


borrowing capacity.

4.2 Internal Methods

 Home currency Passes risk to other party

Unlikely to be commercially acceptable

 Leading/lagging Speed up / delay payment depending on expectations of


exchange rate movement

Problem predicting movements

 Matching/netting Match / net off transactions in the same currency

Easier if use foreign bank accounts (risk exposure on net


balance)

 Countertrade Avoid using currency and exchange products of equivalent


value

126
Currency risk management

127
Chapter 12

Forward Contracts

5.1 Definition

A forward contract is a binding agreement to buy or sell a specific amount


of foreign currency at a given future date using an agreed forward rate.

5.2 Features and operation

 Forward contracts are a commitment, and as a result they have to be honoured


even if the rate in the contract is worse than the rate in the market.

 Forward contract rates are often quoted as an adjustment to the spot rate:

– add a discount ('add:dis')

– subtract a premium.

5.3 Advantages and disadvantages

ADVANTAGES DISADVANTAGES

 Simple  Contractual commitment

 Low transaction costs  Lose upside potential

 Fix the exchange rate  Forward markets banned in some


countries – e.g. China, Russia,
 Tailored India, Brazil

Illustrations and further practice


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and Kit questions.

128
Currency risk management

Money Market Hedges (MMH)

6.1 Basic ideas

 Avoid future (uncertain) exchange rate by making exchange now at (known)


spot rate.

 Use interest rates to create assets and liabilities that 'mirror' the future assets
and liabilities.

6.2 Operation

Future foreign CF? Payment Receipt

 Step 1: borrow Borrow in home currency Borrow in foreign currency

 Step 2: convert Convert to foreign currency Convert to home currency at


at spot spot

 Step 3: deposit Deposit foreign currency Deposit home currency

 Step 4: future Use deposit to pay supplier Receipt from customer


transaction date settles outstanding liability

129
Chapter 12

6.3 Calculations

 Always start with the future foreign cash flow.

 E.g. to hedge a payment in a foreign currency:

– calculate foreign deposit as the PV of the future payment

– then calculate how much home currency you need to borrow.

 E.g. to hedge a receipt in a foreign currency:

– calculate foreign borrowing as the PV of the future receipt

– then convert into home currency and place on deposit.

6.4 Advantages and disadvantages of MMH

ADVANTAGES DISADVANTAGES

 No currency risk  Complex

 Fairly low transaction costs  May be difficult to get overseas


loan
 Offer flexibility
 A company with a large overdraft
 May be able to use when forward may struggle to borrow funds now
contracts not available

6.5 Parities revisited

 IRPT implies that a forward contract and a MMH should give the same answer

Illustrations and further practice


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and Kit questions.

130
Currency risk management

Currency Futures

7.1 Features

 Standardised contracts to buy or sell standardised amounts of an underlying


asset at a pre-determined price in the future.

 In some respects futures sound similar to forward contracts except futures


contracts are rarely used to deliver. Instead a futures position is opened and,
later, closed out to leave a net gain or loss.

 The idea is that any gain or loss in the market is matched by a corresponding
loss or gain on the futures position, thus reducing the risk.

 Standard expiry dates – the last day of March, June, September and
December.

 All buyers and sellers are required to pay an initial margin (deposit) to the
exchange when they set up a position.

 Gains and losses are 'marked to market' on a daily basis and the initial margin
adjusted if necessary.

7.2 Advantages and disadvantages

ADVANTAGES DISADVANTAGES

 Effectively fix’ the exchange rate  Foreign futures market must be


used for £ futures
 No transaction costs
 Require up front margin payments
 Tradable
 Not for precise tailored amounts

131
Chapter 12

7.3 Futures hedging calculations

1. Now – set up the hedge

 Buy or sell futures? Look at the currency of the contract

 Which expiry date? First contract to expire after future transaction

 How many contracts? Look at contract size. May need to round. May
need to convert currencies to match size and transaction

2. Contact the exchange and pay the initial margin.

3. Future transaction date – close out the futures position.

 Buy or sell? e.g. if originally contracted to sell, then close by buying

 Calculate gain or loss May need to convert between currencies using


the spot on the transaction date

Illustrations and further practice


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and Kit questions.

132
Currency risk management

Currency Options

8.1 Definition

 A currency option is a right, but not an obligation, to buy or sell a currency at


an exercise price on a future date.

8.2 Features and operation

 If there is a favourable movement in rates the company will allow the option to
lapse, to take advantage of the favourable movement. The right will only be
exercised to protect against an adverse movement.

 The writer of the option will charge a non-refundable premium for writing the
option.

 There are two types of option:

– a call option gives the holder the right to buy the underlying currency

– a put option gives the holder the right to sell the underlying currency.

8.3 Advantages and disadvantages

ADVANTAGES DISADVANTAGES

 Offer the perfect hedge  Sterling currency options only


available in foreign markets
 Many choices of strike prices,
dates, premiums  High up front premium costs

 Can be allowed to lapse if not


required

133
Chapter 12

8.4 Options hedging calculations

1. Now – set up the hedge

 Call or put options? Look at the currency of the contract

 Which expiry date? First contract to expire after future transaction

 How many contracts? Look at contract size. May need to round. May
need to convert currencies to match transaction

 Which strike price? Many different ways of choosing – RTQ

2. Contact the exchange and pay the premium.

3. Future transaction date – compare the option price with the prevailing
spot rate and make decision – to exercise or allow to lapse?

4. Calculate CFs. The options may not match exactly with the future
transaction so extra exchanges may be necessary.

Illustrations and further practice


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and Kit questions.

134
Currency risk management

SWAPs

9.1 FOREX swaps

 Two parties agree to swap equivalent amounts of currency for a period and then
re-swap them at the end of the period at an agreed swap rate.

 The swap rate and amount of currency is agreed between the parties in
advance. Thus it is called a ‘fixed rate/fixed rate’ swap.

 The main objectives of a forex swap are:

– to hedge against forex risk, possibly for a longer period than is possible on
the forward market

– to access capital markets, in which it may be impossible to borrow directly.

 Forex swaps are especially useful when dealing with countries that have
exchange controls and/or volatile exchange rates.

9.2 Currency Swaps

 A currency swap allows the two counterparties to swap interest rate


commitments on borrowings in different currencies.

 In effect a currency swap has two elements:

– An exchange of principal in different currencies, which are swapped back


at the original spot rate

– An exchange of interest rates – the timing of these depends on the


individual contract.

135
Chapter 12

You should now be able to answer these questions from the Study Text

and these from the Exam Practice Kit.

For further reading, visit the following Chapters from the Study Text.

136
Chapter 13
Interest Rate Risk management

Outcome

By the end of this session you should be able to:

 evaluate appropriate methods for the identification and management of financial


risks associated with debt finance

and answer questions relating to these areas.

The underpinning detail for this Chapter in your Notes can be found in
Chapter 13 of your Study Text

137
Chapter 13

Overview

Interest Rate Risk


Management

Risk
management

FRAs Swaps

IRGs Options

Futures

138
Interest Rate Risk management

Interest Rate Risk management

1.1 Types of risk exposure

 On existing loans or Exposed to changes in interest rates if existing loans


deposits and deposits have variable interest rates.

Can avoid by using fixed rates or using swaps

 On future loans or Even if we want to use fixed rates, we do not know


deposits what the rate will be when we need the loan / deposit.

1.2 Internal Methods

 Smoothing Company has a balance between its fixed rate and


floating rate borrowing.

Natural hedge against changes in interest rates.

 Matching The company matches its assets and liabilities to have


a common interest rate (e.g. loan and investment both
have floating rates).

 Netting The company aggregates all positions, both assets and


liabilities, to determine its net exposure.

1.3 External hedging techniques

Over-the-counter (OTC) Exchange traded


instruments instruments

 ‘Fixing’ instruments Forward rate agreements Interest rate futures


(FRAs)

 ‘Insurance’ Interest rate guarantees Interest rate options


instruments (IRG)

139
Chapter 13

Forward rate agreements (FRAs)

1.1 Definition

 An FRA is a forward contract on an interest rate for a notional future


short-term loan or deposit.

1.2 Features and operation

 The FRA does not replace taking out the loan (deposit) but rather the
combination of the loan (deposit) and the FRA result in a fixed effective
interest rate.

 If looking to borrow money then you need to buy an FRA.

 If looking to deposit money then you need to sell an FRA.

 A receipt or payment will be made at the start of the loan period that will
compensate for interest rate changes between the FRA and the market rate for
the loan.

 FRAs are normally for amounts greater than £1m.

 Terminology – '5v8 FRA', '5-8 FRA'.

 Quoted rates – use higher rate if borrowing, lower rate if depositing.

Illustrations and further practice


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and Kit questions.

140
Interest Rate Risk management

Interest rate guarantees (IRGs)

3.1 Basic ideas

 IRGS are options on FRAs.

 Treasurer has the choice whether to exercise or not.

3.2 Operation

1. Now – set up the IRG.

 Call or put options? Borrowing – would buy FRA, so need a call

Depositing – would sell FRA, so need a put

 Everything else (dates, sizes) bespoke as OTC.

2. Future transaction date.

 Compare the IRG (option) rate with the prevailing spot rate and make
decision – to exercise or allow to lapse?

 Calculate receipt on FRA if necessary.

Illustrations and further practice


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and Kit questions.

141
Chapter 13

Interest rate futures

4.1 Features

 Two types – short term interest rate futures (STIRs) and long term bond futures.

 In both cases the underlying asset can be viewed as buying or selling bonds

 'Price' = 100 – interest rate.


Size of loan Duration of loan
 Number of contracts = ×
Size of contract Duration of contract

4.2 Futures hedging calculations

1. Now – set up the hedge.

 Buy or sell futures? Borrow = sell, deposit = buy

 Which expiry date? First contract to expire after future transaction

 How many contracts? Look at contract size and duration.

2. Contact the exchange and pay the initial margin.

3. Future transaction date – close out the futures position.

 Buy or sell? e.g. if originally contracted to sell, then close by buying

 Calculate gain or loss.

Illustrations and further practice


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and Kit questions.

142
Interest Rate Risk management

143
Chapter 13

Traded interest rate options

5.1 Basic idea

 Traded interest rate options are options on STIRs – i.e. futures contracts.

5.2 Options hedging calculations

1. Now - set up the hedge

 Call or put options? Borrowing – would sell STIR, so need a put

Depositing – would buy STIR, so need a call

 Which expiry date? First contract to expire after future transaction

 How many contracts? Same as for futures.

 Which strike price? Many different ways of choosing - RTQ

2. Contact the exchange and pay the premium

3. Future transaction date

 Compare the option price with the prevailing spot rate and make
decision – to exercise or allow to lapse?

 Calculate gain on futures position (if exercised)

144
Interest Rate Risk management

SWAPs

6.1 Definition
 An interest rate swap is an agreement whereby the parties agree to
swap a floating stream of interest payments for a fixed stream of
interest payments and via versa.
 There is no exchange of principal.

6.2 Reasons for using swaps


 As a way of managing fixed and floating rate debt profiles without having to
change underlying borrowing.
 To take advantage of unexpected increases or decreases in rates.
 To hedge against variations in interest rates.
 To benefit from ‘comparative advantage’.

6.3 SWAPs with intermediaries


 Bank offers two rates
– The ‘ask rate’ at which the bank is willing to receive a fixed interest cash
flow stream in exchange for paying LIBOR.
– The ‘bid rate’ that they are willing to pay in exchange for receiving LIBOR.
 The difference between these gives the bank’s profit margin and is usually at
least 2 basis points.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions
and Kit questions.

145
Chapter 13

You should now be able to answer these questions from the Study Text

and these from the Exam Practice Kit.

For further reading, visit the following Chapters from the Study Text.

146
Chapter 14
Cost of capital and capital investment
decisions

Outcome

By the end of this session you should be able to:

 evaluate the risks arising from changes in the environment for capital
investment appraisal

 evaluate investment projects

and answer questions relating to these areas.

The underpinning detail for this Chapter in your Notes can be found in
Chapter 14 of your Study Text

147
Chapter 14

Overview

Recap of Real Certainty


CAPM
basic NPV options equivalents

Key models

Cost of capital and


investment decisions

Which
discount rate?

Co WACC APV
Risk
adjusted
WACC

148
Cost of capital and capital investment decisions

Introduction

1.1 Risk and investment appraisal

When looking at investment appraisal we are particularly concerned with


changes in business risk (what the project activity involves) and gearing
risk (how it will be financed).

Key questions:

 how to measure and evaluate the different risks involved

 how each method incorporates risks into the decision making process

 how to decide on which investment appraisal technique to use, based on the


risks

 how to implement the techniques specified.

1.2 Incorporating risk

All investment appraisals are based on estimates of likely project returns.

Uncertainty in the estimates can be dealt with using:

 sensitivity analysis

probabilities/expected values

 certainty equivalents

 risk-adjusted discount rates.

149
Chapter 14

Recap of discounted cash flows (P2)

2.1 Time value of money

 Key concept is the time value of money. This is expressed as a discount rate.

 Discount rate reflects:

– risk

– inflation

– cost of finance

– alternative investment opportunities.

2.2 The basics of discounting

Discount factor Single Tables are provided in


=1/ (1+r)n CF
the exam
MIRR

Annuity
factor=
Annuity Perpetuity
Discounting
MIRR MIRR

Tables are Perpetuity


provided in the factor = 1/r
exam
Perpetuity
with growth

Present value of a growing


perpetuity = CFt=1 × 1/ (r–g)

150
Cost of capital and capital investment decisions

2.3 Net present value (NPV)

 Method: discount future cash flows to get their present value.

 NPV gives impact on shareholder wealth, so accept project if NPV > 0

2.4 Internal rate of return (IRR)

 IRR = discount rate. when NPV = 0

 IRR = breakeven cost of capital.

2.5 Expected values

 If forecasts are uncertain but probabilities can be attached to the possible


outcomes, expected values (EV) can be calculated.

 EV = (outcome 1 × probability 1) + (outcome 2 × probability 2) + ...

 However, there are limitations:

– EV is a long-run average, so less useful for one-off projects

– EV figure used (e.g. sales volume) may not be a possible outcome

– relying on EVs in isolation loses information about risk, so effectively


ignores risk preferences of investors (or assumes they are risk neutral)

– probabilities very difficult to estimate.

2.6 Sensitivity analysis

Sensitivity analysis can be used:

 to assess the impact on the NPV of a certain change in a particular input factor

 to consider by how much each input variable could change before the NPV of
the project became zero (and hence the project became unacceptable), and
hence to identify key estimates.

151
Chapter 14

Certainty equivalents

3.1 Method

1. The cash flows of the project are estimated / calculated as per normal

2. Cash flows are adjusted downwards by multiplying by a certainty equivalent


factor. This in effect decreases the cash flow to reflect the level of uncertainty.

3. The cash flows are then discounted at the risk free rate.

Benefits of using certainty equivalents

 They are a very simple way of incorporating risk into an investment appraisal.

 They enable the decision maker to reduce the possible future cash flows to give
a worst possible scenario NPV.

 By using a risk-free rate for discounting, they avoid double counting risk.

 Avoids the need to estimate an appropriate discount rate which reflects the risk.

 The certainty equivalent approach distinguishes between risk and time.

 In practice the major problem is that the use of certainty equivalents is


subjective.

Illustrations and further practice


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152
Cost of capital and capital investment decisions

Real options

4.1 Basic idea

 The traditional NPV method tends to undervalue projects because it does not
consider the value of options associated with a project.

 Strategic NPV = traditional NPV + value of embedded real options.

4.2 Types of real option

 Abandonment options:

– financial put option

– the ability to ‘bail out’, should events turn out worse than expected.

 Timing options:

– financial call option

– 'wait and see options'.

 Strategic investment options:

– financial call option

– 'follow-on options'.

4.3 Valuing real options using Black-Scholes option pricing model

 Key variables are:

– present value of the future project cash flows

– outlay on additional investment (proceed of future sale)

– time until the opportunity disappears

– variability of project returns (measured as a standard deviation)

– risk-free rate of interest.

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Cost of capital and capital investment decisions

The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)

5.1 Key elements of CAPM

 A methodology for measuring business risk.

 An equation for determining what level of required return is needed to


compensate for the measured level of risk.

5.2 Systematic and unsystematic risk

 As an investor increases the size of his/her portfolio, overall risk reduces.

Risk of
portfolio
(σ) Unsystematic
risk

Systematic
risk

Number of shares in portfolio

 If the investor has approximately 15–20 well-chosen shares in his portfolio, the
unsystematic risk will be eliminated and the investor is 'well-diversified'.

 Systematic risk is caused by general, macro-economic factors (e.g. recession,


interest rates, exchange rates). It cannot be diversified away.

 Unsystematic risk is caused by factors specific to the company or industry (e.g.


systems failure, R+D success, strikes).

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5.3 Systematic risk and betas

 A key concept with CAPM is that it only considers 'systematic risk', so


assumes the investor is well-diversified.

 Systematic risk is measured using beta factors.

 Beta = systematic risk of project ÷ typical level of systematic risk in the market:

– ß = 1 denotes average systematic risk

– ß > 1 for a riskier than average investment

– ß < 1 for a lower risk than average investment.

5.4 Required rate of return

 Required return = risk free rate + premium for systematic risk.

 Required return = risk free rate + ß × typical equity risk premium (ERP).

 Required return = Rf + ß × (Rm – Rf)

 The required return can often be interpreted as a cost of equity.

 If drawn as a graph, this shows the 'Securities Market Line'.

5.5 Criticisms of the CAPM model

 Single period model – e.g. Rf could change going forwards.

 Beta values are based on historic data.

 Market assumed to be perfectly efficient.

 No transaction costs.

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Cost of capital and capital investment decisions

Geared and ungeared betas

6.1 Two types of betas

 Ungeared ('asset') betas only incorporate systematic business risk.

 Geared ('equity') betas incorporate both systematic business risk and gearing
risk.

6.2 Estimating betas for projects (or unlisted companies)

 Many institutions calculate beta factors for listed companies by comparing


company performance with that of the stock market as a whole.

 This will typically give the company’s equity (geared) beta as it reflects all the
risks facing the shareholders, both systematic business risk and gearing risk.

 To get a project beta would involve the following steps.

1. Find a listed company with the same business activity as the project.

2. Take its equity beta and 'de-gear' it to give an asset beta.

3. Project asset beta = company asset beta as they have the same business
risk (but probably different gearing).

4. If required, 're-gear' the asset beta to incorporate project gearing to give a


project equity beta.

Note: You only need to know the concepts in P3 – the calculations


involved in de-gearing and re-gearing betas are tested in F3.

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Which discount rate to use?

7.1 Basic ideas

 Any discount rate should reflect project business risk and project financial
gearing.

 Two key questions must thus be asked.

– Does the project have a different level of business risk to the company?

– Will the finance package chosen change the overall gearing level and
hence the gearing risk of the company? For example, using just equity or
just debt is likely to change the overall gearing level.

 There are four possible outcomes.


Project business risk
Same as company Different

Use existing Calculate a project-


Constant
gearing company WACC as specific risk-adjusted
Impact
of
a discount rate WACC
Project
finance

Change in Adjusted present Adjusted present


gearing value value

 Each of these is discussed below.

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Cost of capital and capital investment decisions

Using the company WACC

8.1 When is the company WACC relevant?

 The existing company WACC can only be used as a discount rate for project
appraisal if:
– The project has the same level of business risk as the company
– The project is financed to keep the company gearing constant
– In effect, the project looks like the company in miniature.

8.2 Further considerations

Some firms get by the above restrictions and use the company WACC anyway. This
is usually justified as follows.

 The small project argument – a small project would not change risk, ke, kd or
the WACC to change materially, so the WACC can be used.

 The pool of finance pool argument – It may not be practical to use a mixture
of debt and equity for every project. Suppose for this particular project we use
debt the above table states that we should be using APV as the gearing has
changed. However, the firm could argue that next time it will use equity and that
in the long run gearing will be kept constant. This argument may also be
expressed as saying that rather than looking at the specific finance for the
project, we should consider the firm having a 'pool' of finance that gets topped
up.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions
and Kit questions.

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Chapter 14

Using a risk adjusted WACC

9.1 When is a risk adjusted project WACC relevant?

 A project specific WACC if

– The project has a different level of business risk as the company – thus
the company Ke needs to be replaced with a project Ke.

– The project is financed to keep the company gearing constant – thus the
company kd and gearing ratio are still appropriate.

9.2 Method

1. Find a listed company in the same industry as the project.

2. Take the equity beta of the listed 'donor' company and 'de-gear' it.

3. 'Re-gear' this ungeared beta to reflect the company’s gearing level.

4. Insert this re-geared beta into CAPM to find a project Ke.

5. Combine this with the company’s cost of debt in the company.

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Cost of capital and capital investment decisions

Adjusted Present Value (APV)

10.1 When is APV relevant?

 APV must be used if the gearing ratio of the company changes as a result of the
project and its finance.

 Note: The main reason we cannot use a WACC is that we do not know the final
new gearing level – even if we know the finance to be issued, the gearing will
be affected by the project NPV (which we are trying to calculate!).

 APV is particularly recommended when there are complex funding


arrangements (e.g. subsidised loans).

10.2 Step 1: Base case NPV

 Ignore gearing! – discount project cash flows using a suitable, ungeared ke.

 Steps.

1. Find a listed company in the same industry as the project.

2. Take the equity beta of the listed 'donor' company and 'de-gear' it.

3. Insert this de-geared beta (do not re-gear!) into CAPM to find a project
Ke (do not re-gear!).

4. Use this ungeared Ke to calculate a project NPV.

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Chapter 14

10.3 Step 2: Present value of financing side effects

 These include the following.

Issue costs

PV of tax relief on interest, discounted at pre-tax cost of debt

PV of post-tax interest savings on subsidized loans

 Note: when calculating the tax relief on interest you should use the increase in
debt capacity of the firm, rather than the actual debt raised.

10.4 Step 3

 APV = 'Base case NPV' + PV of financing 'side-effects'.

 If APV > 0, then accept.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

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Cost of capital and capital investment decisions

163
Chapter 14

You should now be able to answer these questions from the Study Text

and these from the Exam Practice Kit.

For further reading, visit the following Chapters from the Study Text.

164
Chapter 15
Managing conflict, implementation and
post completion

Outcome

By the end of this session you should be able to:

 evaluate the outcomes of projects post-implementation

and answer questions relating to these areas.

The underpinning detail for this Chapter in your Notes can be found in
Chapter 15 of your Study Text

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Chapter 15

Overview

Performance
measures

Managing conflict,
implementation and PCA
post completion

SDLC Project
implementation

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Managing conflict, implementation and post completion

Introduction

1.1 Stakeholder objectives

With any business strategy or investment decision there are likely to be conflicting
stakeholder objectives. For example:

 spending extra to reduce the environmental impact of a project may be valued


by local government but may be at the expense of reduced profits for
shareholders

 paying higher wages and offering better healthcare may result in a more
satisfied workforce but does this necessarily result in higher profit for
shareholders?

 having night-time deliveries may improve responsiveness to customer needs


but at the expense of noise to the local community who live near the factory.

1.2 Investment metrics

 By using NPV as an investment metric, shareholder wealth objectives have


effectively been prioritised.

 It is often during the implementation phase that other stakeholders’ views come
back into focus.

1.3 Strategic implementation

 A system of control measures and indicators can help ensure that the strategy
is delivered and that the views of different stakeholders are incorporated.

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Chapter 15

Performance and progress measures

2.1 Companies – typical measures

Financial Non-financial

 Profit  Market share

 Return on assets  Customer satisfaction

 CF  Quality measures

 Vale added  Risk measures

 Cost targets  Competitive position

2.2 Not for profit organisations

The strategic planning process can be more complex for NFPs since:

 multiple objectives, which are hard to prioritise

 objectives are more difficult to measure – usually non-financial

 influence/objectives of funding bodies

 recipients of the service are not the ones who pay for it.

Many NFPs therefore focus on the concept of value for money – the 3E’s model.

 Economy – focuses solely on inputs to the NFP.

 Efficiency – looks at the link between inputs and outputs.

 Effectiveness – looks solely at the outputs of the NFP.

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Managing conflict, implementation and post completion

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

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Chapter 15

Systems development life cycle (SDLC)


The System Development Life Cycle (SDLC), or sometimes called the System
Project Life Cycle (SPLC), has six main stages.

 Planning – Feasibility study including goal setting, timing, duration and budget.

 Analysis – Definition of project goals and analysis of user needs.

 Design – Features of system described in detail including screen layouts,


process layouts, business rules and documentation. A prototype may be built.

 Development – Conversion of the design into a physical system including the


acquisition and installation of the hardware and software.

 Implementation – The real code is written. Staff training. Testing for errors,
bugs and inoperability (Quality assurance).

 Review – User acceptance testing, maintenance, post-implementation review.

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Managing conflict, implementation and post completion

Project implementation and control

There are several stages in the project implementation and control process, starting
with conceptual stage and running through to control.

4.1 Stage 1: Conceptual stage

 The aim of the conceptual stage is to finalise the design of the new product,
service or process before high costs are incurred in the development and
construction stages.

 Project team is brought together, under the control of the project manager.

 The team members will be allocated specific roles and responsibilities


depending on their skills.

4.2 Stage 2: Development stage

 Once the concept of the product, service or process has been well defined, the
development stage is where the project team needs to check that the concept
meets customer requirements.

 This can be achieved by trial product testing and subsequent consumer


feedback.

 Any problems noted at this stage of the process can be addressed and the
design can once again be amended before further costs are incurred.

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Chapter 15

4.3 Stage 3: Construction and initial manufacturing/operating stage

 When the product, service or process has been developed, and any design
problems have been addressed, the next stage is where the new product,
service or process is launched.

 For a product, this stage will be where the large scale production begins,
making items based on the designs which were finalised during the
development stage.

 For a service or process, this is where the new service or process is


implemented.

 In the initial manufacturing/operating stage of the project, it will be critical for the
project team to control the new product, service or process by continual
product testing and product refinement (for products) or test runs and parallel
running (for services or processes).

4.4 Stage 4: Control stage

 The project team should continue monitoring the project, and comparing the
actual results against the original budget (time and cost).

 It will be the job of the project team at the control stage to keep considering
whether the project is likely to achieve its original objectives.

Illustrations and further practice


Now try TYU questions

and Kit questions.

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Managing conflict, implementation and post completion

Post-completion audit (PCA)

5.1 Definition

 'An objective independent assessment of the success of a capital


project in relation to a plan.'

5.2 Scope and purpose

 To identify causes of variances from budget and general lessons to be learned.

 Often carried out by small teams, typically consisting of an accountant and an


engineer who have had some involvement in the project.

 Not common to find PCA as the responsibility of internal audit.

5.3 Benefits of post-completion auditing

 It improves the quality of decision making by providing a mechanism whereby


past experience can be made readily available to decision makers.

 It encourages greater realism in project appraisal by providing a mechanism


whereby past inaccuracies in forecasts are made public.

 It provides a means of improving control mechanisms by formally highlighting


areas where weaknesses have caused problems.

 It enables speedy modification of under-performing/over-performing projects by


identifying the reasons for the under or over performance.

 It increases the frequency of project termination for ‘bad projects’.

 It highlights reasons for successful projects which may be important in


achieving greater benefits from future projects.

173
Chapter 15

You should now be able to answer these questions from the Study Text

and these from the Exam Practice Kit.

For further reading, visit the following Chapters from the Study Text.

174
Appendix
Tables

175
Appendix

176
Tables

177
Appendix

178

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