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where yit , yjt denote per capita GDP in countries i, j at time t for
a sample of countries i, j = 1, . . . , N, and ȳ denotes the overall
✩ We would like to thank William Brock for many challenging ideas and
suggestions, and an anonymous referee for valuable comments. This research has
average (for all countries) per capita GDP. These quantities can
been co-financed by the European Social Fund – and Greek national funds through
the Program: ARISTEIA – AUEB, ‘‘Spatiotemporal Dynamics in Economics’’. be regarded as providing a measure of spatial nonhomogeneity
∗ Corresponding author. of GDP per capita, in the sense that an increasing measure over
E-mail address: ayannaco@aueb.gr (A.N. Yannacopoulos). time means that the spatial distribution of GDP becomes more
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmateco.2016.09.010
0304-4068/© 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
126 250 A. Xepapadeas, A.N. Yannacopoulos / Journal of Mathematical Economics 67 (2016) 125–137
DS
2010). Models of optimal development over space and time, which
DA
Linear [DS]
could be regarded as a suitable vehicle for studying economic
Linear [DA] growth in a geographical context, were developed in the 1970s by
200
Isard and Liossatos (see e.g., Isard and Liossatos, 1973; Isard and
Liossatos, 1973; Isard and Liossatos, 1978; Carlson et al., 1991).
Dynamic spatial economic modeling was developed in the context
150
DS,DA
1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
right of the region. This leads to a model of classic local diffusion
Year
with a constant diffusion coefficient. Modeling capital movements
Fig. 1. Regional nonhomogeneity measures. in this way implies that capital stock moves from locations of high
capital concentration (i.e. rich countries) to locations of low capital
spatially heterogeneous or ‘‘less flat’’ relative to space.1 Thus concentration (i.e. poor countries). This property seems not to be
increasing measures over time indicate that the dispersal of per compatible with empirical findings since – as indicated by Lucas
capita GDP across the countries in the sample increased during in the context of the Lucas paradox (see, e.g., Lucas, 1990; Lucas,
the sample period. The two nonhomogeneity measures, along with 2003; Prasad et al., 2007) – capital does not seem to flow from rich
the corresponding linear trend, are presented in Fig. 1 for eleven countries to poor countries.
regions of the world,2 , 3 for the period 1980–2011. In the present paper, we contribute to the ongoing research
The evolution of both measures has a very similar pattern, and on spatiotemporal dynamics and spatial growth by developing a
the associated linear trend suggests that the overall dispersal is model in which the basic mechanism underlying the movements
increasing at the regional level.4 This observation, although broad of capital across space is the quest for locations where the marginal
in nature, indicates that the spatial distribution of GDP per capita productivity of capital is relatively higher than the productivity at
does not tend to become more uniform with the passage of time or, the location of origin, without imposing the constraint that capital
to put it differently, does not seem to converge to a geographical moves from locations of high concentration to locations of low
homogeneous state for countries grouped in the traditional way concentration. By assuming that capital flows toward locations of
according to their level of per capita GDP. Countries that start high returns, which is a plausible assumption underlying capital
with lower per capita income in the region may grow faster than flows with endogenous velocity depending on the existing stock
high income countries, which is consistent with β convergence of capital, our model implies that the spatiotemporal evolution
arguments, but this growth does not seem to result in a spatially of capital is governed by a nonlinear diffusion equation. In this
flatter distribution in the long run. case, the ‘‘diffusion coefficient’’ is not constant but depends on
In this context, the purpose of this paper is to develop a spa- the capital stock and the rate of change of marginal productivity
tial model of economic growth and, by doing so, to explore mech- of capital (the second derivative of the production function). This
anisms that could generate, through economic forces, persistent approach for modeling capital flows essentially differs from the
nonuniform spatial distributions of per capita capital and GDP classic diffusion models used in the existing literature which are
across locations, and determine the temporal evolution of these based on the trade balance (e.g., Carlson et al., 1991; Brito, 2004;
spatial distributions. In a sense, we are exploring how traditional Camacho and Zou, 2004; Boucekkine et al., 2009; Boucekkine et al.,
neoclassical growth theory can be extended to a spatial growth 2013a,b), and describe the spatiotemporal evolution of capital
theory which would provide models capable of approximating per- by a parabolic partial differential equation (PDE) with constant
sistent spatial heterogeneity across countries in terms of per capita diffusion coefficient.
GDP. Our contribution, by using the plausible mechanism in which
Economic geography and economic growth has been discussed capital moves toward locations of higher productivity and not a
in the so-called second generation of new economic geography mechanism in which capital moves necessarily from higher to
models, but not in a formal growth context (e.g., Martin and lower concentrations, is more in line with the mainstream neoclas-
Ottaviano, 2001; Baldwin et al., 2001, 2003; Baldwin and Martin, sical models than the existing spatial growth models. Using stan-
2004; Fujita and Mori, 2005; Desmet and Rossi-Hansberg, 2009, dard neoclassical growth assumptions, this mechanism generates
spatial distributions for per capita capital and GDP which are char-
acterized by large and persistent spatial nonhomogeneities. These
nonhomogeneities could be regarded as compatible with existing
1 The DS measure can be related to a discretized version of a Sobolev norm,
t observations. The notion of capital we employ is a ‘‘mechanistic’’
while the DAt measure, by using the absolute value of pairwise comparisons, can
kind that cannot move very fast, as financial capital does, to ar-
be regarded as consistent with the Lorentz criterion (Ray, 1998).
2 The World Bank database was used for the GDP per capita (PPP constant 2005 eas of high marginal productivity because of adjustment costs and
international $). The regions according to the World Bank classification are: Arab other potential institutional barriers in this location.
World, ARB; Caribbean Small States, CSS; East Asia & Pacific (developing only), EAP; By considering a distance metric concept based on economic
European Union, EU; Europe & Central Asia (developing only), ECA; Latin America distance, we develop local models of capital diffusion and we
& Caribbean (developing only), LAC; Middle East & North Africa (developing only), develop an analytical framework that extends the standard Solow
MNA; North America, NAC; Pacific Island Small States, PSS; South Asia, SAS; Sub-
Saharan Africa (developing only), SSA.
model in a geographical context. The spatial Solow model with
3 We would like to thank Petros Xepapadeas for computational assistance with a mechanism underlying capital flows which leads to nonlinear
the nonhomogeneity measures. diffusion, generates solutions in which spatially nonhomogeneous
4 A similar pattern is detected for the groups of high and low income countries distributions of per capita capital and income across locations
defined according to the World Bank classification. persist over time. In certain cases, spatial nonhomogeneity may
A. Xepapadeas, A.N. Yannacopoulos / Journal of Mathematical Economics 67 (2016) 125–137 127
be amplified over time and locations may end up at a steady state of V , and then pass to the limit as V contracts to a single point z. The
in poverty cores with capital stock approaching zero. Our results rate of net inflow and outflow of capital from V is modeled through
about persistent spatial heterogeneity and nonsmoothing of spatial a vector field v : [0, T ] × V → Rd , such that
differences do not require increasing returns and are obtained
J (t , z ) := v(t , z )k(t , z ) = (v1 (t , z )k(t , z ), . . . , vd (t , z )) (2)
under standard diminishing returns to capital.
provides the velocity (flux) of capital stock at location z ∈ V at time
2. Modeling the spatiotemporal evolution of capital t, with vi (t , z ) corresponding to the component of capital velocity
in direction i ∈ {1, . . . , d}. The ansatz (2) reflects the fact that
An issue that should be addressed by a spatial growth model is only a fraction of the capital at location t will relocate so that, in a
the definition of an appropriate distance metric. The most common sense, vi (t , z ) can be interpreted as the propensity of capital stock
metric of the distance between two spatial points (say countries) at location z at time t to move along direction i.
is geographical distance, as measured for example by the distance
between capital cities. Conley and Ligon (2002) suggest that a Assumption 1. At any point (t , z ) ∈ [0, T ] × U, the velocity field
more appropriate metric for measuring distances associated with v depends on the spatial gradients of the marginal productivity
∂y
economic activities is that of the economic distance – the economic of capital m(t , z ) = ∂ k (t , z ) and the stock of capital k(t , z )
metric – reflected in transportation costs. It turns out that the accumulated at z, as follows:
distance between countries might be very different, depending on
v(t , z ) = B(z )ψ(k(t , z ))∇z m(t , z ),
whether the geographic or the economic metric is used.5
Using the concept of economic distance, we develop a local where ψ : R+ → R+ is a function reflecting the assumption that
model that enables us to study the spatiotemporal evolution of the tendency of capital to move from location z may depend on
capital in the context of an economic metric. Since each element the existing stock of capital at z, and B : U → R+ is a function
of the economic space can be mapped to one and only one modeling specific location characteristics.
element of the geographical space, any spatial distribution defined
in economic space can be transformed into a corresponding Assumption 1 models the fact that, at any location z, capital
distribution in the geographical space. This equivalence allows us stock will try to relocate toward the direction where marginal
to work with local models defined in the economic space through productivity of capital, m, increases, and the (local) direction of
local transport operators, an approach which is not appropriate maximum increase of m is captured by the gradient vector field
∂m
when capital flows are defined in the geographical space. ∇z m = ∂ z1
, . . . , ∂∂zmd . If ψ is an increasing function of k, then
We assume that for any (fixed) time instance t, economic an increase in the stock of capital at z increases the tendency of
activity takes place in a domain U ⊂ Rd , of sufficiently smooth capital to move to another location, provided that it can attain
boundary Γ = ∂ U with point z ∈ U. The domain U may represent a higher marginal productivity at the new location. The opposite
either physical space (in which case d = 1, 2) or more abstract holds if ψ is a decreasing function.7 Using the above assumptions
economic structures (in which case d can be higher than 2). The and the Gauss divergence theorem, we may obtain a local model
spatiotemporal allocation of per capita capital is then modeled by for the spatiotemporal evolution of capital concentration in terms
a function k : [0, T ] × U → R+ , describing the distribution of of a nonlinear PDE.
capital in space over time, so that k(t , z ) denotes the density of per
capita capital at time t ∈ [0, T ] at point z ∈ U. Proposition 1. If capital movements follow Assumption 1, then the
At any time t and spatial location z, we assume that per capita spatiotemporal evolution of the capital stock, when saving rates s (z )
output, y(t , z ), depends on the per capita capital stock, k(t , z ), are exogenous across locations, is given in terms of the solution of the
though a neoclassical production function f : R+ → R+ , nonlinear diffusion equation
y(t , z ) = A(z )f (k(t , z )), ∂k f ′ (k) ∇ A
(1)
= −div ABψ(k)kf ′′ (k) ∇ k + ′′
which is assumed to be twice differentiable on (0, ∞) and ∂t f (k) A
concave. The factor A accounts for spatial heterogeneities related to + sAf (k) − δ k, (3)
productivity. Our implicit assumption is that labor is immobile.6 A
location z is characterized by an exogenous saving ratio 0 < s < 1 which is assumed to hold for any (t , z ) ∈ (0, T ] × int(U), and
d ∂
and exponential capital depreciation at a given rate δ > 0. div = j =1 ∂ z i .
Capital stock accumulated at location z can be moved out If A does not depend on space, then Eq. (3) reduces to the simpler
of z to locations z ′ , or flow into z from locations z ′′ through a equation
transport mechanism. The transport mechanism prescribes that
capital moves toward locations where its marginal productivity, ∂k
= −div ABψ(k)kf ′′ (k)∇ k + sAf (k) − δ k.
(4)
m, is higher than that in the location of origin. In order to build ∂t
a local spatiotemporal model for k, we need to consider the local
balance equation for capital stock in any region V ⊂ U such that Proof. For the proof, see Appendix A.1 in Appendix.
V ∩ Γ = ∅. This should take into account the balance between
For the behavior of k on the boundary points, z ∈ ∂ U, we
the temporal rate of change of k, the local rate of accumulation of k
assume Neumann boundary conditions J (t , z ) · n = 0, where
through savings, and the net inflow and outflow rate into and out
n is the outward normal at ∂ U, corresponding to no flux of the
capital stock from the boundary of U. Alternative assumptions
could involve Dirichlet boundary conditions k(t , z ) = 0 for z ∈
5 For example, while the geographical distance between Australia and Egypt ∂ U, periodic boundary conditions, or treating U as an infinite
is smaller than the distance Australia–UK and Australia–USA, the corresponding
economic distance between Australia and Egypt, both in terms of UPS and airfare,
is larger than the distance Australia–UK and Australia–USA.
6 This assumption may be revisited by including labor mobility in the model, 7 The existence and the monotonicity of ψ is an empirical issue. Our modeling
although it seems justified taking into account the relative difficulty of labor framework is quite general and capable of incorporating alternative assumptions.
mobility as compared to capital mobility. If, for example, the stock of capital does not affect the flux, then ψ = 1.
128 A. Xepapadeas, A.N. Yannacopoulos / Journal of Mathematical Economics 67 (2016) 125–137
domain and ∂∂z k(t , z ) → 0 as |z | → ∞. Periodic boundary Except for the special case where β = 0, our model is a
conditions lead to the same results as Neumann conditions. nonlinear diffusion model9 with an effective diffusion coefficient
Furthermore, Neumann and periodic boundary conditions allow Deff (t , z ) depending on the state of the system as follows:
for the endogenous emergence of spatial patterns and do not
induce them exogenously as the Dirichlet conditions do. Deff (t , z ) := D(k (t , z )) = D̄D0 k (t , z )β , (7)
Eq. (3) is a nonlinear diffusion equation in which the transport where D0 is a constant. Therefore, in our model the diffusion
mechanism is nonlinear and depends on the underlying production coefficient Deff (t , z ), which determines capital mobility across
function. This can be contrasted with spatial growth models based space, is determined endogenously under the assumption that
on the trade balance approach which assume a linear diffusion capital flows to locations of relatively higher productivity, unlike
transport mechanism and usually admit the form of a semilinear the standard models of linear diffusion in which the fixed diffusion
equation coefficient D is determined exogenously. We feel that, although the
degree of dependency of the diffusion coefficient on the stock of
∂k
= Ddiv∇ k + sAf (k) − δ k. (5) capital and the structure of capital velocity is an empirical issue,
∂t our approach – by relating these factors to capital flows – provides
The nonlinear form of the transport mechanism in our model (3) a richer environment for studying the spatiotemporal evolution
stems from the assumption that capital moves toward locations of capital stock and could provide a starting point for empirical
of higher marginal productivity, which underlies the structure of research. The qualitative aspects of the spatiotemporal behavior of
capital flows across locations. Some remarks are in order here. capital stock depend on the exponent β in (7). To see this (assuming
for simplicity that D0 = 1), we can express (6) in an equivalent
1. Since the production function is concave (decreasing returns), form as
f ′′ < 0, Eq. (3) is a nonlinear diffusion equation with a positive
∂
nonlinear diffusion coefficient, which leads to a well-posed k = D̄kβ 1k + v · ∇z k + sAkα − δ k, (8)
parabolic problem.8 ∂t
2. An alternative way to derive (3) is to consider it as the where v = β D̄kβ−1 ∇z k is an advection field resulting from the
continuous limit of a random walk on a discrete lattice, in fact that the diffusion coefficient is nonlinear. (Note that this term
which capital stock at a lattice site i may move to any of its vanishes if β = 0, i.e. when diffusion is linear.) While the Laplacian
neighboring lattice sites j with probability proportional to the term (first term on the right hand side of (8)) corresponds to a
difference of marginal productivity between site i and site j. If random walk type of motion with equal probability of movement
m(t , j) > m(t , i), then the capital stock at i will move to j but in each direction, the second term corresponds to a motion of
not otherwise. The continuous limit of this random walk will capital along the direction indicated by the velocity vector −v ,
lead to a PDE similar to (3). which is concentration dependent. The direction of −v points
toward the regions where k is decreasing, thus encouraging the
flow of capital toward regions of low capital stock concentration.
3. A spatial Solow model However, the intensity or magnitude with which this phenomenon
occurs depends on the capital stock concentration at the particular
We turn now to a detailed study of the implications of capital region we consider. For example, if 0 < β < 1, then the
flows across locations modeled by (3) for the traditional Solow magnitude of this phenomenon is almost zero for regions where
model with a Cobb–Douglas production function f (k) = Akα , k is large (since then kβ−1 → 0), whereas on the contrary it
α ∈ (0, 1), where for simplicity A is assumed to be independent is very large for regions where k is small (since then kβ−1 →
of z. ∞). This means that while large capital concentrations have the
tendency to move toward regions where capital concentration is
Assumption 2. The tendency of capital to move across locations small, this movement takes place with a velocity whose magnitude
follows the form in Assumption 1 with ψ(k) = kρ and (for is decreasing with capital concentration, thus impeding movement
simplicity) with B independent of z. If ρ > 0, then an increase toward locations with small capital concentration. On the contrary,
in the capital stock will enforce the tendency of capital to move in the opposite phenomenon happens for regions of small capital
search of higher marginal returns, whereas if ρ < 0, the opposite concentration, encouraging thus capital outflow from such regions.
will take place. The quantities s and δ may depend on z. Such phenomena are not present in the linear diffusion case where
β = 0. Note that β could potentially be specified from economic
The spatial Solow model is defined in the following proposition, quantities such as the marginal elasticity of production α and
whose proof is straightforward and thus omitted. tendency of capital to migrate ρ . The intuition developed in this
section will be verified and enhanced by detailed analytic and
Proposition 2. Under Assumption 2, the fundamental equation of numerical treatment of the model in the remainder of the paper.
economic growth describing the spatiotemporal evolution of the In conclusion, we must note that our model, in the absence of the
capital stock is given by the quasilinear degenerate PDE capital generation term sAf (k) − δ k, reduces to the well-known
and widely studied porous medium equation, which for β > 0
∂ produces phenomena which are never to be observed for linear
k = D̄D0 ∇z · kβ ∇z k + sAkα − δ k,
(6)
∂t diffusion, such as for example the finite velocity of propagation
and the sustainability of sharp spatial gradients (see e.g. Vázquez,
where D̄ = α(1 − α), β = ρ − (1 − α) and D0 = BA. 2006). It is interesting to note that we arrived at this nonlinear
diffusion model by using economic principles and not by just
overlaying a nonlinear diffusion mechanism on top of a temporal
8 If we allowed for increasing returns, then the diffusion coefficient would be economic growth model.
negative, leading to an ill-posed parabolic problem. By ill-posed we mean that
even though solutions may exist, we may lose continuity with respect to the initial
condition or have sharp concentrations of capital, blow up phenomena, etc. The case
of increasing returns is an interesting issue for future research. 9 The special case of an AK model where α = 1, ρ = 0 leads to D̄ = 0.
A. Xepapadeas, A.N. Yannacopoulos / Journal of Mathematical Economics 67 (2016) 125–137 129
4. Qualitative and quantitative aspects of the spatial Solow While the exact spatial distribution of capital may depend
model either on the boundary conditions or the specific spatial variability
of the coefficients, there are certain qualitative features which are
In this section we study the nonlinear spatial growth PDE (6) robust with respect to these two aspects and in our view offer
characterizing the spatial Solow model defined in Proposition 2. interesting insight into the problem. These are collected in the
By an appropriate rescaling of the spatial variable z, the model can following propositions.
be written as: Our first result is an existence and uniqueness result for the
steady-state PDE (13) in any spatial dimension allowing for spatial
∂ variability of the coefficients c1 , c2 . Clearly this PDE always has the
k = D1kβ+1 + sAkα − δ k, (9)
∂t solution k(z ) = 0 for every z ∈ U, which will hereafter be called
where D > 0 is a coefficient (independent of k), s is the savings the trivial solution.
ratio (possibly spatially varying), A is a productivity parameter, δ
Proposition 3. Let β ≥ 0, α < 1 and assume Hölder
(possibly spatially varying) is the rate of capital depreciation, and
continuity properties10 for the coefficients c1 , c2 . The steady-state
α ∈ (0, 1) is the production elasticity. Furthermore, without loss
equation (13) has a classical (nontrivial) positive solution,11 satisfying
of generality, by a rescaling of the variable t, we may express the
the a priori bounds
above equation in the form
1
∂
1−α
c̄1
k = 1kβ+1 + c1 kα − c2 k (10) 0≤k≤ ,
∂t c2
where where
sA δ c̄1 = sup c1 (z ), c 2 = inf c2 (z ).
c1 = ≥ 0, c2 = > 0, β = ρ − (1 − α). z ∈U
D D z ∈U
Note that in general c1 and c2 could depend on the spatial location The solution is unique if α − 1 < β . The results of the proposition
z. We further allow for regions where c1 = 0 (i.e. regions where no remain true if we consider Dirichlet or periodic boundary conditions.
saving is possible). The possibility of allowing for a set U0 ⊂ U ⊂
Proof. For the proof, see Appendix A.2 in Appendix.
Rd , with the property c1 (z ) = 0 if z ∈ U0 , may provide insights
regarding the existence of poverty traps. The spatial model with nonlinear diffusion allows us to explore
The PDE (10) of the spatial Solow model will be complemented cases in which the spatial domain contains locations where
with an initial condition k(0, z ) = k0 (z ), where k0 : U ⊂ Rd → savings vanish. This might be a realistic situation for extremely
R+ is an initial capital stock distribution, and also with boundary impoverished locations. We will call these regions poverty cores
conditions related to the prescribed behavior of the distribution of and will define them as regions V0 ⊂ U with the property that
capital stock at certain parts of the domain U. We consider the case c1 (z ) = 0 if z ∈ V0 . The poverty core suggests the existence of
where there is no flux of capital at the boundary, i.e., homogeneous regions where capital is identically zero at a steady state, implying
Neumann boundary conditions n · ∇ kβ+1 = 0 on ∂ U where n is the that the steady-state distribution of the capital stock contains
outward normal vector on ∂ U. Our final model will therefore be regions with no capital and regions with positive capital. Thus
economies where savings are not possible could eventually be
∂k
= 1Φ (k) + f (z , k), (t , z ) ∈ (U )T , trapped in the poverty core where their capital stock is depleted.
∂t Since poverty cores will coexist with regions of positive capital,
∂ Φ (k) convergence – in the sense used in growth theory – is not possible
(t , z ) = 0, (t , z ) ∈ (∂ U )T , (11)
∂n at the steady state. The existence of poverty cores is verified by
k(0, z ) = k0 (z ), z ∈ U , the existence of compact support solutions for the steady-state
equation (13) and is established in the following proposition.
where (U )T = [0, T ] × U, (∂ U )T = [0, T ] × ∂ U, and where
Φ : [0, ∞) → [0, ∞), f : U × [0, ∞) → [0, ∞) is defined as: Proposition 4. Let β > 0, assume that c1 , c2 are Hölder continuous
ρ+α α
functions and that for some z0 ∈ U and ρ > 0, c1 vanishes, due to zero
Φ (k) := k 1+β
=k , f (z , k) := c1 (z )k − c2 (z )k. (12) savings ratio s, inside a ball centered at z0 with radius 2ϱ, situated
in the interior of the spatial domain. Then, any nontrivial positive
solution of the steady-state equation (13) will develop a poverty core,
4.1. Steady-state solutions
i.e. a region of total depletion of capital stock inside a ball centered at
z0 and of radius ϱ, as long as the parameters of the problem satisfy the
The starting point for our analysis will be the steady-state
condition
solutions of model (11), i.e., solutions which depend only on z and
not on t. A steady-state solution k∗ = k∗ (z ) can be regarded as a − γ1−γ2
c̄1 −γ2 1
steady-state distribution of the capital stock across space. For such − c2 + νϱ2 ((ν − 1) + (d − 1)) ≤ 0, (14)
solutions, the spatial Solow equation (11) simplifies to: c2
n · ∇ kβ+1 = 0, z ∈ ∂ U , form if β = 0. The proposition also holds true for the case of Dirichlet
boundary conditions or periodic boundary conditions.
where β + 1 = ρ + α .
In the special case where c1 and c2 are constants, it is easy to see
1/(1−α)
c1 10 A function g : Rd → R is called Hölder continuous when there exist α < 1 and
that (13) admits two possible solutions, k = 0 and k = c2
,
C > 0 such that |g (x) − g (y)| ≤ C |x − y|α for every x, y ∈ Rd . Hölder continuity is
which will be called hereafter the flat solutions. These are the a form of uniform continuity which is weaker than Lipschitz continuity.
standard solutions of the non-spatial Solow model. However, the 11 The regularity of the solution depends on the regularity of the coefficients c , c .
1 2
PDE (13) has a rich behavior, and can generate a large variety of If c1 , c2 ∈ L∞ (U ), then the solution is a weak solution k ∈ L1 (U ), whereas if the
spatially varying steady-state solutions. coefficients c1 , c2 enjoy Hölder continuity properties, the solution is classical.
130 A. Xepapadeas, A.N. Yannacopoulos / Journal of Mathematical Economics 67 (2016) 125–137
10
Proof. The proof is given in Appendix A.3 in Appendix.
k
productivity of capital as capital is depleted, no part of the inflow
is used for local capital accumulation since nothing is saved. If 5
the parameters are such that condition (14) is satisfied, then no
accumulation will take place at this location and eventually the 4
capital stock will be depleted. The vanishing of savings at a point
is not, however, enough to guarantee the existence of a poverty 3
(i) If k∗ > 0, the steady state is linearly asymptotically stable. where k̂ (t , z ) is the solution of (9) as depicted in Fig. 4.
(ii) If k∗ ≥ 0, i.e., when the steady state develops a poverty trap, the The convergence of the Sobolev norm to a fixed number
core of the trap is persistent. means that the spatial gradients remain constant after a certain
point in time, implying that the system converges to spatially
The proposition also remains true for Dirichlet or periodic
boundary conditions.
12 Wolfram Mathematica was used for the numerical simulations. The PDEs were
Proof. For the proof, see Appendix A.5 in Appendix. solved for t ∈ [0, 1000].
132 A. Xepapadeas, A.N. Yannacopoulos / Journal of Mathematical Economics 67 (2016) 125–137
Fig. 6. A flat spatiotemporal distribution of capital. Fig. 7. Spatiotemporal evolution of a poverty trap.
locations of relatively higher marginal productivity, with a velocity Definition 1. A function u ∈ W 1,2 (U ) is called a weak solution of
determined by the existing stock of capital. Considering that the (16) if
spatial domain corresponds to economic space, we developed
a local model where the fundamental growth equation of the J (u) := ∇ u · ∇ψ dz + f (z , u)ψ dz = 0, ∀ψ ∈ W 1,2 (U ).
Solow model is augmented by a nonlinear diffusion term which U U
characterizes spatial movements.
If we restrict our choices to test functions ψ ≥ 0, and the above
We show that the augmented Solow equation has a solution and
(a) holds for a function u ∈ W 1,2 (U ) as the inequality J (u) ≤ 0, we
that steady states exist. Furthermore, under diminishing returns,
say that u is a sub-solution, (b) holds for a function ū ∈ W 1,2 (U )
the growth process could lead under plausible assumptions to
as the inequality J (ū) ≥ 0, we say that ū is a super-solution of (16)
a stable spatially non-homogeneous distribution for per capita
respectively.
capital and income in the long run. Insufficient savings may lead
to the emergence of poverty cores where capital stock is depleted Proof of Proposition 3. Using the Kirchhoff transformation u =
in some locations. Stability analysis indicates that a steady state k1+β = kρ+α we bring the system (13) to the equivalent form
with poverty cores is stable. This suggests that economies can
persistently remain in the poverty core while economies in other − 1u = c1 uγ1 − c2 uγ2 , (17)
locations will have a positive capital stock. In the spatial Solow with homogeneous Neumann boundary conditions where
model, zero capital stock in some locations is consistent with the
long-run stability of the entire spatial distribution of the stock α α 1 1
γ1 = = , and γ2 = = .
of capital. Numerical simulations confirm our theoretical results. 1+β ρ+α 1+β ρ+α
Our approach, by endogenizing the velocity of the capital flow,
provides a rich environment for studying growth processes in a For existence we can use the method of sub and supersolutions
spatiotemporal context. Furthermore, by linking capital flows with (see Definition 1). If we express Eq. (17) as J (u) := −1u −
differences in the marginal productivity of capital across locations c1 uγ1 + c2 uγ2 = 0 in U with ∂∂n u = 0 on ∂ U, and recall that a
and not with differences in the stock of capital across locations, our (weak) sub(super) solution u (ū) is a W 1,2 (U ) function such that
approach seems to provide a more plausible mechanism for capital J (u) ≤ 0 (J (ū) ≥ 0) resp. with the inequalities considered in
flows across locations. The emergence of spatial distributions a weak sense (see e.g. Schmitt, 2007 and references therein). If
where persistent poverty cores coexist with locations where the a pair of sup and supersolutions u and ū exist such that u ≤ ū
stock of capital is high, is a potentially interesting result suggesting with |c1 uγ1 (z ) − c2 uγ2 (z )| ≤ φ(z ) for every z ∈ U and u(z ) ∈
that the nonlinear diffusion approach could support outcomes [u(z ), ū(z )] with φ ∈ L2 (U ), then there exists a solution of (17) u
which could be in line with observed situations. The obvious such that u ≤ u ≤ ū (see e.g. Theorem 2.3 in Schmitt, 2007 for the
extension is to incorporate the transport mechanism for capital case of weak solutions).
developed here into a Ramsey-type optimal growth model. A candidate for ū is a constant function, ū =M. It is easily seen
that J (M ) = M γ1 −c1 + c2 M γ2 −γ1 ≥ M γ1 −c̄1 + c 2 M γ2 −γ1 ,
1/(γ2 −γ1 )
Appendix. Proofs c̄1
so that choosing ū = M = c2
we guarantee
A.1. Proof of Proposition 1 that ū is a supersolution. On the other hand, we look for u
in the form u = ϵφ1 , where φ1 > 0 is the eigenfunction
Proof. Consider any V ⊂ U which consists only of interior points related to the dominant eigenvalue λ1 > 0 of the problem
of U. Assuming only the integrability of J, and since anything that −1φ = λφ , with homogeneous Neumann boundary conditions,
moves in or out of V must definitely pass through its boundary ∂ V , and ϵ > 0 is to be chosen appropriately. Since J (ϵφ1 ) =
γ −1 γ −1
we may express the net inflow (I) and outflow of capital (O) from ϵφ1 λ1 − ϵ γ1 −1 c1 φ1 1 + ϵ γ2 −1 c2 φ1 2 and the only negative
V in terms of a surface integral, term is the middle term, we see that for ϵ > 0 small enough
J (ϵφ1 ) ≤ 0 hence u is a subsolution. Therefore, there exists a
I−O= J · ndS = (vk) · ndS = − divJ (t , z )dz , weak solution u ∈ W 1,2 (U ) such that ϵφ1 ≤ u ≤ M. The proof
∂V ∂V V
then concludes using a standard bootstrapping argument (see e.g.
where we also used Gauss’ divergence theorem. This leads to a Ambrosetti and Álvarez, 2011 Chapter 7): Since u ∈ W 1,2 (U ) by
book-keeping equation for V of the form the Sobolev embedding theorem, u ∈ Lr0 (U ) (where r0 = ∞
∂ if d = 2 and r0 = d2d if d > 2). Then we rewrite (17) as
−2
k(t , z )dz = − divJ (t , z )dz + (s(z )A(z )f (k(t , z )) −1u = f (x) with f (x) = c1 (x)u(x)γ1 − c2 (x)u(x)γ2 and, by the
∂t
properties of u, we see that f ∈ Lr0 /γ2 (U ). Then the analogue of the
V V V
− δ k(t , z )) dz , Agmon–Douglis–Nirenberg estimates for the Neumann problem
whereby dividing by vol(V ) and passing to the limit as vol(V ) → −1u = f (see e.g. Agmon et al., 1959 or Lemma 5.2 in Wang,
0, we obtain (3), upon observing that Assumption 1 leads to 1991) guarantees that u ∈ W 2,p (U ) and a further application
(dropping explicit dependence on (t , z )) of the Sobolev embedding theorem implies that u ∈ C µ (Ū ) for
some µ ∈ (0, 1). Since c1 , c2 are Hölder functions, we have by
f ′ (k) 1
J (t , z ) = A Bψ(k)kf ′′ (k) ∇ k + ′′ ∇A . the previous estimates that f is Hölder, and considering once more
f (k) A the Neumann problem −1u = f with a Hölder right hand side
using the extension of the Schauder theory for such boundary
conditions (see e.g. Theorem 6.26 in Gilbarg and Trudinger, 2015),
A.2. Proof of Proposition 3 we conclude the higher regularity of u.
For uniqueness we need the extension of the classic results of
For the reader’s convenience we recall the definition of weak Brezis and Oswald (1986), which are valid for the Dirichlet case,
solution for an elliptic equation of the form to the Neumann case. The uniqueness is guaranteed if the function
f (x,u)
−1u + f (z , u) = 0, in U , (16) u → ϕ(x, u) = u is strictly decreasing for every z ∈ U for u ∈
n · ∇ u = 0, on ∂ U . [0, ∞) (see e.g. Theorem 2 in Morales-Rodrigo and Suárez, 2006).
Since ϕ(x, u) = c1 uγ1 −1 −c2 uγ2 −1 we can calculate ϕ (x, u) = (γ1 −
′
134 A. Xepapadeas, A.N. Yannacopoulos / Journal of Mathematical Economics 67 (2016) 125–137
γ −1
1)c1 uγ1 −2 − (γ2 − 1)c2 uγ2 −2 = (γ1 − 1)uγ1 −2 c1 − γ2 −1 c2 uγ2 −γ1 , B2 \ B1 , 0 ≤ r − ϱ ≤ ϱ, we choose ν = 1−γ 2
, and for this choice
1 2
from which the claims follow. we see that it is sufficient to choose the parameters as in (14).
Poverty traps cannot develop if β ≤ 0, since then
A.3. Proof of Proposition 4 0 = 1u + g (u)u ≤ −1u + Ku,
Proof. We will show that if γ1 < γ2 < 1, and c1 vanishes on a as any solution u satisfies 0 ≤ u ≤ M∗ , and since the function
subset of U (of positive measure), then any solution u of (17) (hence u → g (z , u) := −c1 uγ1 −1 + c2 uγ2 −1 is strictly increasing, it is
k) develops a poverty trap, i.e., u is a non-trivial solution of (17) bounded above by a positive constant K for every u ∈ [0, M ∗ ]. An
that vanishes on a region of positive measure. Our argument relies application of the strong maximum principle for −1u + Ku ≥ 0
heavily on Delgado and Suárez (2000), who studied a very similar leads to the result that u cannot vanish anywhere in the interior of
system with Dirichlet boundary condition.14 U, therefore a poverty core may not develop.
Without loss of generality assume that c1 vanishes inside a ball
of radius 2ϱ centered at x0 = 0. Let Bi = B(0, iϱ), i = 1, 2 observe A.4. Proof of Proposition 5
that U = B1 ∪ (B2 \ B1 ) ∪ (U \ B2 ) =: RI ∪ RII ∪ RIII , and consider
the function Ψ (z ) = 01B1 (z ) + ψ(z )1B2 \B1 (z ) + 11U \B2 (z ), where We need to recall the following definition.
1A is the indicator function of a set A, and ψ is a function such
∂ψ Definition 2. Let k0 ∈ L∞ (U ).15 The function k ∈ L∞ (UT ), k ≥ 0,
that ∂ n = 0 on ∂ B1 , to be specified soon. If we show that any
is called a (weak) solution of (11) if
solution of (17) u ≥ 0 satisfies u ≤ M Ψ for M large enough or
equivalently that W + := max(u − M Ψ , 0) = 0, then clearly any
positive solution will develop a poverty core, located within B2 . k(t , z )ψ(t , z ) dz = k0 (z )ψ(0, z ) dz
1/(γ2 −γ1 ) U U
, then W + (z ) = 0 for z ∈ RIII . ∂ψ
c̄1 t
If M ≥ M∗ = c2
+ k(s, z ) (s, z ) + Φ (k(s, z ))1ψ(s, z )
If ∇ W (z ) = 0 a.e. (i.e. W is constant) then W (z ) = 0 for
+ + +
0 U ∂t
every z ∈ U and we are done. To show that it suffices to show
that I := U |∇ W + |2 dz ≤ 0. Observe that by the choice of M and + f (k(s, z ))ψ(s, z ) dz ds,
Ψ (and using Green’s theorem),
for 0 ≤ t < T and every
I = ∇ W · ∇ W + dz
∂ψ
U
ψ ∈ J := ψ ∈ C (UT ) : ψ ≥ 0, = 0 and
∂ n (∂ U )T
= ∇ u · ∇ W + dz + M 1Ψ W + dz
∂ψ
B2 B2 \B1
, 1ψ ∈ L2 (UT ) .
=− c2 uγ2 dz + M 1Ψ W + dz ∂t
B2 B2 \B1
If we substitute the equality above with ≥, resp. ≤, then we obtain
≤ (−c2 uγ2 + M ∆Ψ ) W + dz =: J , the concept of supersolution, resp. subsolution of (11). A function
B2 \B1 which is at the same time a supersolution and a subsolution is a
solution.
where for the second line we used the weak form of (17) with
W + ∈ W 1,2 (U ) as a test function and the facts that c1 = 0 in B2 Proof of Proposition 5. The proof uses a regularization argument,
and c2 ≥ 0, u ≥ 0. We will show that J ≤ 0. Indeed, according to which we approximate the non-Lipschitz (with
respect to the variable k) function f by a sequence of Lipschitz
J = (−c2 uγ2 + M 1ψ)(u − M ψ)1{u−M ψ≥0} dz , functions {fϵ } which converges in a monotone fashion to f as ϵ →
B2 \B1 0, and in particular fϵ ↑ f . This is possible for any continuous
function. For the present case one such possible regularization
recalling that Ψ = ψ on B2 \ B1 , and since (u − M ψ)1{u−M ψ≥0} ≥ 0,
scheme is the sequence of functions
we simply need to show that (−c2 uγ2 + M 1ψ)1{u−M ψ≥0} ≤ 0.
c1 (z )ϵ α−1 k − c2 (z )k, 0 ≤ k ≤ ϵ,
Noting that since c2 ≥ 0,
fϵ (z , k) =
γ2
(−c2 u + M 1ψ)1{u−M ψ≥0} ≤ −c 2 M ψ γ2 γ2
+ M 1ψ =: S (ψ), c1 (z )kα − c2 (z )k k ≥ ϵ,
we need to choose ψ as the solution of the inequality S (ψ) ≤ 0 which is easily seen to satisfy the required properties. We now
∂ψ consider the approximate problem
in B2 \ B1 with boundary conditions ∂ n = 0 on ∂ B1 and ψ = 1
on ∂ B2 . We look for spherically symmetric solutions of the form ∂w
ψ(r ) = ϱ−ν (r − ϱ)ν , for ν > 1 as yet unspecified, which upon = 1Φ (w) + fϵ (w), in (U )T ,
∂t
substitution leads to the condition ∂ Φ (w)
= 0, on (∂ U )T , (18)
S := −c 2 M γ2 −1 + ν(ν − 1)ϱ−σ (r − ϱ)σ −2 ∂n
+ (d − 1)νϱ−σ r −1 (r − ϱ)σ −1 ≤ 0, w(0, z ) = k0 (z ) + ϵ, z ∈ U ,
which on account of the Lipschitz property of fϵ has a unique
where σ = ν − γ2 ν . Clearly by the signs of the coefficients the
solution for every ϵ > 0, that we will denote by wϵ . Furthermore,
first term must dominate, and matching exponents noting that in
the comparison principle holds for (18), meaning that if w and w̄
are a sub and supersolution of (18) with w(0, z ) ≤ w̄(0, z ), then
w(t , z ) ≤ w̄(t , z ) for every t ∈ [0, T ] and the same result holds
14 In fact, it turns out that since the argument relies on local considerations, only
minor modifications are required, however, it is reproduced here as it allows us to
obtain concrete conditions on the parameters of the system for the poverty trap to
exist, which are of interest from the economic point of view. 15 Meaning that the initial condition is essentially bounded on U.
A. Xepapadeas, A.N. Yannacopoulos / Journal of Mathematical Economics 67 (2016) 125–137 135
for solutions (see e.g. Ruan, 1998). Using the comparison principle we have that
for (18) repeatedly, we may conclude that {wϵ } is a nonincreasing
∂ γ2
∂ γ2
sequence in ϵ which is bounded below by 0, hence the limit k := I1 := u ϕ= ϵ γ2 v ϕ
UT ∂ t (B1 )T ∂t
limϵ→0 wϵ ≥ 0 is well defined and is also a weak solution of the
γ2 −1 ∂v
original problem (11). We can now show that any solution k of + ϵγ2 u0 ϕ + O(ϵ),
(11) must satisfy the inequality k ≤ k , hence k is the maximal ∂t
(U \B1 )T
solution. To show that, consider the function kϵ := max(k, ϵ)
which can be shown to be a subsolution of (18) so that kϵ ≤ wϵ by
I2 := ∇ u · ∇ϕ = ∇ u0 · ∇ϕ + ϵ ∇v · ∇ϕ,
U U UT
the comparison principle for (18). Furthermore, since by definition T T
γ
k ≤ kϵ , we see that k ≤ kϵ ≤ wϵ for every ϵ > 0 and passing to I3 := c1 uγ1 ϕ = c1 u01 ϕ
the limit as ϵ → 0 we obtain the required result k ≤ k . Again, by UT (U )T
a comparison principle, it is straightforward to see that k ≤ M∗ . γ −1
+ ϵγ1 c1 u01 vϕ + O(ϵ),
The minimal solution is constructed in terms of the solution (U \B2 )T
of the regularized problem (18) with the sole difference that the γ
where we used the fact that c1 = 0 on B2 (so that c1 u01 on B2 ), and
initial condition is now replaced by k0 (instead of k0 + ϵ ). This
is again a well-posed problem with a unique solution which for
γ
any ϵ > 0 will be denoted by vϵ . Repeated applications of the I4 := − c2 uγ2 ϕ = − ϵ γ2 c2 v γ2 ϕ − c2 u02 ϕ
(U )T (B1 )T (U )T
comparison principle for this problem lead to the conclusion that
{vϵ } is a nondecreasing family in ϵ > 0 bounded above, hence the γ 2 −1
− ϵγ2 c2 u0 vϕ + O(ϵ).
limit k := limϵ→0 vϵ ≥ 0 is well-defined. It can be shown further (U \B1 )T
that for any weak solution k of (11), it holds that k ≤ k, hence k Collecting all the above in (19) we obtain that
is the minimal solution.
∂ γ2
Suppose now that k0 ≥ ϵ0 > 0. Choose ϵ < ϵ0 and consider
γ γ
(∇ u0 · ∇ − c1 u01 + c2 u02 )ϕ + ϵ γ2 v + c2 v γ2 ϕ
the solution of the regularized problem (18) for this choice of UT (B1 )T ∂t
ϵ and initial condition k0 . This problem has a unique solution
γ −1 ∂v
and by comparison results as well as by the construction of the +ϵ γ2 u02 ϕ+ ∇v · ∇ϕ
approximate family {fϵ }, it is clear that fϵ (k) = f (k) so that the (D\B1 )T ∂t UT
solution of the original problem coincides with the solution of the γ −1 γ2 −1
− γ1 c1 u01 vϕ + γ2 c2 u0 vϕ + O(ϵ) = 0.
regularized problem and uniqueness thus follows. (U \B2 )T (U \B1 )T
γ −1 ∂v γ −1 ∂v
γ −1 γ −1 γ −1
γ2 u02 = 1v + γ1 u01 c1 v − γ2 u02 c2 v, γ2 u02 ϕ+ ∇v · ∇ϕ − γ1 c1 u01 vϕ
∂t (D\B1 )T ∂t UT (U \B2 )T
for v , which is problematic as its validity relies on a Taylor + γ2 c2 u02
γ −1
vϕ = 0.
expansion of the nonlinearity, which in turn relies on the property (U \B1 )T
that the nonlinearity is C 1 which clearly fails in the core of the
As this is true for any test function ϕ , choosing first a test function
poverty trap where u0 is zero, a fact which is further displayed in
γ −1 γ −1 concentrated on (B2 \ B1 )T , where c1 = 0, and then a test function
the fact that the potentials u02 and u01 blow up to infinity in concentrated on (U \ B2 )T , we get that
the core of the poverty trap, hence the linearized equation is not
well-posed. γ −1 ∂v γ −1
γ2 u02 = 1v − γ2 c2 u02 v, z ∈ B2 \ B1 (21)
To overcome the above difficulties, we resort to the weak form ∂t
of (11) (after the application of Kirchhoff’s transformation), setting
and
u = u0 + ϵv and using a test function φ ∈ W 1,2 (U ),
γ −1 ∂v γ −1 γ −1
∂ γ2 γ2 u02 = 1v + γ1 c1 u01 v − γ2 c2 u02 v, z ∈ U \ B2 . (22)
γ1 γ2 ∂t
u ϕ+ ∇ u · ∇ϕ = (c1 u − c2 u )ϕ. (19)
UT ∂t UT UT
The evolution of a small perturbation of the poverty trap up to
We use the notation AT := [0, T ] × A for any set A, we break UT as O(ϵ) is governed by the evolution equations (20)–(22). Within the
UT = [0, T ]×(B1 ∪(B2 \B1 )∪(D\B2 )) =: (B1 )T ∪(B2 \B1 )T ∪(U \B2 )T , poverty core, in B1 , and since c2 > 0, Eq. (20) can be explicitly
and consider each of the integrals in the weak solution separately. estimated as
Using the fact that u0 = 0 on B1 and the differentiability of uγi , ∂ γ2
i = 1, 2 around u0 whenever z ̸∈ B1 , since u0 ̸= 0 in this region, v = −c2 v γ2 ≤ −c 2 v γ2
∂t
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