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(c) All three strategies together:
2004
Selling Price 10,000
Volume 160,000
£m
Revenue 1,600
Less Variable Costs:
– Materials and Labour 460·8
– Assembly 128·0
– Marketing 25·6
– Delivery 12·8
627·2
Contribution 972·8
Less Fixed Overheads
– Assembly 450
– Marketing 30
– Delivery 60
– Administration 10
– Strategy 1 30
– Strategy 2 10
– Strategy 3 70
––––––
660
––––––
Profit 312·8
––––––
(e) Gap Analysis is concerned with the gap between the forecast position from continuing with current activities and the position
that the organisation desires. It is not the gap between the current position and the forecast position. The Managing Director
is unhappy with the current profit/(loss) forecast of £140m in 2004, £48m in 2005 and £(44)m in 2006. The strategies
outlined will enable a profit of £312·8m to be achieved in 2004.
Each strategy contributes towards filling the gap
£312·8m – £140m = £172·8m
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The desired position for 2004 is to achieve more than double the current profit estimate of £140m i.e. in excess of £280m.
Gap analysis can be illustrated with the following diagram.
£m Profit
312·8
298
} Synergy gain
£14·8m
} Str 3
extra £77m
} Str 2
extra £65m
Desired
} Str 1
extra £16m outcome
£280m
Current
forecast
£140m
Year
2003 2004
(f) (i) Sensitivity Analysis is a technique that permits options to be tested as to their sensitivity/responsiveness to changes in
specified key variables such as units sold, price and material costs. The strategies outlined above generate other
predicted outcomes from specified changes in particular variables. For example:
Strategy 3 Strategy 3 offers a 20% reduction in variable costs as a result of a £70m cost reduction programme. What
if the £70m cost reduction programme only reduced costs by 15% – is it still worthwhile? How sensitive is
the success of the strategy on the original estimates?
Strategy 1 What additional profits result from strategy 1 if the sales only rose to 155,000 or 156,000?
Strategy 2 What if a re-design permitted the price to rise to £9,700 or £10,200 and not 10,000?
Sensitivity Analysis can be used to assess the robustness of a strategy – will it continue to deliver its major benefits in
spite of some changes in key variables.
It provides management with more information than a single point estimate of an outcome. It provides a range of
predicted outcomes depending upon the behaviour of key variables. It considers risk and uncertainty by offering
alternative scenarios – increasing realism and complexity.
(ii) Percentage changes/sensitivity data:
Strategy 1 – % change in volume
Contribution required = £580m + £280m = £860m
Original forecast contribution = £690m
Therefore, units increase required = (£860m – £690m) /£690m = 24·6%
Strategy 2 – % increase in selling price from re- design
Extra profit required = £280m – £205m = £75m
Therefore the revenue required = £1,500m + £75m = £1,575m
This requires a selling price of £1,575m/150,000 = £10,500 per car
Therefore the % increase in selling price = (£10,500 – £9,500)/£9,500 = 10·5%
Strategy 3 – % reduction in variable cost from cost reduction programme
Additional profit required = £280m – £217m = £63m
The variable costs required = £588m – £63m = £525m
Therefore the % reduction in variable costs required = (£735m – £525m)/£735m = 28·6%
This indicates that a much greater percentage change from the current forecast is required in the key variable(s) for
strategies 1 and 3 if the desired outcome is to be achieved as compared to the percentage change required for
strategy 2.
(g) The financial performance of the company will be influenced by the economic, financial, legal and social environment within
which it operates. There is a range of non-controllable factors that will have a significant impact upon the performance that
the company achieves. Therefore an assessment of the success of the strategies will require these factors to be considered.
– The general level of economic activity – is it a period of growth or contraction?
– The presence of local economic factors that make the situation particularly favourable or difficult e.g. the availability of
skilled labour.
– Interest rate movements and the debt structure of the company. A heavily indebted company during times of rising
interest rates will be operating in a particularly difficult financial environment.
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– Strategy 1 depends upon the success in entering a new overseas market. The condition of the overseas economy and
exchange rate movements will be particularly vital to the success of this strategy.
– Government policy towards car ownership can have a significant influence on the performance of the company –
taxation, safety and environmental legislation, policy towards traffic congestion – all these have the potential to impact
on car sales.
– Competitors – they are unlikely to be passive and will take counter measures to maintain their market share in response
to the strategies.
This list is illustrative and is obviously not exhaustive and alternative approaches are acceptable e.g. candidates may refer to
PEST analysis.
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3 (a) Learning Curve Theory is concerned with the idea that when a new job, process or activity commences for the first time it is
likely that the workforce involved will not achieve maximum efficiency immediately. Repetition of the task is likely to make
the people more confident and knowledgeable and will eventually result in a more efficient and rapid operation. Eventually
the learning process will stop after continually repeating the job. As a consequence the time to complete a task will initially
decline and then stabilise once efficient working is achieved.
The cumulative average time per unit is assumed to decrease by a constant percentage every time that output doubles.
Cumulative average time refers to the average time per unit for all units produced so far, from and including the first one
made.
4 (a) NB – A structured approach could take many alternative forms. This suggested answer represents one approach – candidates
are likely to offer many variations. The request for a ‘structured’ approach is to avoid candidates merely listing a series of
random indicators without consideration to the relationship between them and their contribution towards overall performance
assessment.
‘Overall performance’ refers to a comprehensive coverage of the major issues that are generally regarded as important in
assessing a public service. They could be broken down into three categories:
1. Financial indicators (assessing efficiency).
2. Non-financial quantitative indicators (assessing effectiveness).
3. Qualitative indicators that are difficult to quantify (assessing effectiveness).
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Financial:
– Cost per unit of activity/unit cost measurement e.g. per hospital bed per annum, annual cost per pupil, per arrest, per
each call to attend a fire.
– A comparison between actual and budgeted or standard cost (variance analysis) – flexible budget approach may be
adopted to relate costs to activity levels.
– Benchmarking costs against other regions and/or ‘best practice’.
– An indicator that measures cost recovery against service delivered – e.g. fees received from dental patients who are
required to contribute towards the cost of a service – may be set at a ratio to total costs incurred.
– The ratio of one cost component to the total cost of the service e.g. staff costs as a percentage of the total costs. This
could be supplemented by benchmarking ratios.
Non-financial (quantitative):
– Units of activity delivered within a period e.g. operations undertaken, number of children attending school, criminals
arrested, fires attended.
– Flexibility and speed of response e.g. time taken for ambulances to arrive, hospital waiting lists and time elapsed
between diagnosis and treatment.
– Quality of Service/output measures – pupils’ test marks, crime rates, life expectancy, the number of hospital deaths
arising from infections, numbers of people rescued from fires.
– Utilisation of resources e.g. – bed occupancy ratios, average class size, ratio of police vehicles currently operational.
– Number of complaints received.
– Accessibility – e.g. distance to nearest hospital or school.
Qualitative:
– Public confidence in the service – the strength of the expectation that –
a criminal will be arrested.
a pupil will receive a ‘good’ education.
a patient will be ‘well looked after’ in hospital.
the fire service will respond rapidly when required.
– The morale of the workforce.
– The ‘attitude’ of the staff – do they appear concerned, helpful and confident when dealing with the public?
– How effective are they at meeting the information needs of their ‘customers’?
– Cleanliness, comfort, security – do people feel ‘comfortable’ within the premise owned by the public service (school and
hospital)? It is part of ‘quality’, but it is difficult to quantify.
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5 (a) The role of a management accountant is to provide information which can be used to assist and guide management in the
pursuit and achievement of organisational objectives. The management information provided is read, interpreted and
responded to by people within the organisation, and their responses will determine the quality of the decisions made and the
extent to which corporate objectives are achieved. Management accountants should be aware of this relationship and
endeavour to ensure that the information that they supply is used in a way that benefits their organisation. The design and
operation of a management accounting system should anticipate the behavioural consequences that are likely to arise as a
result of its activities. A management accountant who fails to consider these repercussions or denies responsibility for them
is likely to operate a dysfunctional system. This is most likely to manifest itself in a failure to secure goal congruence between
the interested parties. The management accounting system will need to consider the particular culture of the organisation,
whether it has a hierarchical or democratic structure, its attitude towards employee empowerment and the extent of delegated
team decision making.
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Transfer Pricing:
Transfer pricing is primarily concerned with ensuring that semi-autonomous business units behave in a way that contributes
towards the achievement of corporate and not merely divisional objectives. An effective transfer pricing system encourages
divisional managers with autonomous decision making authority to pursue the interest of the corporation automatically whilst
endeavouring to maximise the performance of their own business unit. Their decisions are made with self (divisional) interest
as the driving factor, but coincidentally benefit the entire company. Effective transfer pricing systems consciously endeavour
to harness selfish divisional behaviour to induce decisions that foster goal congruence. Problems can arise when inappropriate
prices are set that result in ‘wrong signals’ being sent and non-optimal decisions being made:
– Too high a price may result in unused capacity, lost contribution, reduced incentive to find external markets and
unnecessary external sourcing from the buying division.
– Too low a price may result in ‘excessive’ internal trading and a loss of valuable external business.
To avoid these pitfalls the transfer pricing determination should consider:
– The cost behaviour (fixed and variable) of the different divisions.
– The adequacy of the information available to the divisions concerning both internal and external prices.
– Both the short and long run consequences of the prices set – internal and external markets and capacity levels.
– The degree of autonomy given to the divisions.
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Part 3 Examination – Paper 3.3
Performance Management June 2003 Marking Scheme
(c) Contribution 2
Profit 2 4
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(e) Comment 2
Graph 5 7
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4 (a) Explanation of overall performance 4
Financial issues 2
Non-financial issues 2
Qualitative issues 2 6
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(b) Problems (1 x 6) 6
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