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North-Holland
David FLATH*
North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC27695-8110, USA
Vertically related Cournot oligopolies trading at arms’ length produce more output when
upstream firms own equity shares in downstream firms, particularly when the equity shares are
exclusive in the sense that no two upstream lirms own shares in the same downstream firm.
Shareholding by downstream firms in upstream firms has either the opposite effect on output or
no eNect. The reason for the asymmetry is that with arms’ length .transactions, upstream firms
are lirst movers and downstream firms are second movers.
1. Introduction
2. Assumptions
A number of assumptions are to be maintained throughout the paper.
First, firms produce subject to constant returns to scale, are identical to one
another, and face constant elasticity of demand. Demand elasticity is greater
than one. This assures that the area under the demand curve is a proper
integral, which rules out some nonsense results.
A.1 Market Demand. Let the inverse market demand for some good, y, be
P,=fpy_‘“, where P, is the price, Y the industry output, 4 a shift parameter,
and r> 1 the absolute value of the (constant) elasticity of demand.
It is assumed that each firm seeks to maximize the value of its profits,
including returns on any shares held in horizontal or vertical counterparts,
but controls only its own output. In the terminology of Bresnahan and Salop
(1986), firms are assumed to have ‘silent financial interests’ in other firms. In
D. Flarh, Vertical integration by shareholding interlocks 371
This assumption holds that transactions are at ‘arms’ length’. Buyers and
sellers deal with one another obliquely, perhaps through a passive inter-
mediary or impersonal market, not directly. Terms of trade between any
particular buyer and seller are not therefore the result of their negotiating
and forming a contract. This assumption may be a correct representation of
some vertical transactions but not others.
The alternative to the arms’ length approach is to model trading partners
as cooperating explicitly in setting outputs and dividing profits. If the game
is one in which side payments are allowed, the sets of cooperating firms can
be expected to attain their respective joint profit maximizing outputs, and
once these are well understood the only matter to resolve will be that of the
division of profits among the firms. The present essay, although it only
explicitly treats noncooperative equilibria, could be considered a necessary
rGreenhut and Ohta (1979) and later Perry and Groff (1985, p. 1310), also suggest this same
concept of equilibrium for successive oligopolies. But Waterson (1980) adopts a quite different
approach to the problem of successive oligopolies, one that is a generalization of Cournot’s
model of a zinc monopolist and copper monopolist selling to an atomistic brass industry.
372 D. Flath, Vertical integration by shareholding interlocks
prelude to the treatment of the cooperative equilibrium (of the output game
played by vertically related firms with shareholding interlocks). This is
because in the Nash bargaining theory and its variants, the noncooperative
outcome enters the determination of how the payoffs are divided when there
is cooperation.
I now consider the effects of vertical share linkages under the assumptions
described in the previous section. Here, suppose that there is no horizontal
cross-shareholding. The income emanating from downstream and upstream
firms, respectively, can be represented in matrix notation:
(3)
Equivalently, we have
(l-a-‘g=& (4)
(anyone who held all stock other than that held by firms would be in effect
the sole claimant on the operaing profits of all the firms). if II is the column
vector of market values of all stock in each firm (including that held by
firms), then (L-D& is the vector of values of stock in each firm held only by
individuals. From (4) this equals the vector z of operating profits of each
firm only if u=q3 Thus 7Lirepresents the market value of firm i’s stock as
claimed. This is the rationale for stating that rr is the vector of objective
functions of the firms in choosing their outputs: Each firm seeks to maximize
the market value of its own stock.4
To solve for the equilibrium, one differentiates (4) appropriately to yield
the set of reaction functions, keeping in mind the assumption that both
upstream and downstream firms regard their respective input prices as
exogenous and their respective output prices as endogenous, and finds the
solution to the reaction functions. From such a procedure one finds that in
the special case of no shareholding interlocks, Q=O, the equilibrium price-
cost margin for the entire vertical chain is:
Here the price-cost margin for the entire vertical chain is higher than would
be attained under either forward integration (= l/n,c) or backwards integ-
ration (= l/nJ). This result is in the literature [see Greenhut and Ohta
(1979)], and has come to be referred to ads ‘double marginalization.” It
would have been natural to conjecture that vertical shareholding interlocks
tend to induce such Cournot industries to behave as though vertically
integrated and to produce more output, lowering the final price Cjust as
horizontal shareholding induces Cournot industries to behave as if cartelized
and produce less output, raising the price, as demonstrated by Reynolds and
Snapp (1986) and Bresnahan and Salop (1986)]. In fact, that vertical share
‘A corollary is that if one simply added up the ni across firms the total would exceed the
operating profits in the industries (=(P-Ic)Y). There is a double counting involved in simply
adding the xi. The operating profits of any firm i are included in its own ni and in the x of firms
that hold an equity interest in i.
4To define the tirm’s objective function for modifying its ownership structure, as opposed to
choosing its output, a full capital market specification would be necessary. This is a problem for
a different paper, one that treats the pattern of cross-shareholding as endogenous.
‘Because I have assumed a Leontief production function for the downstream industry and
constant returns to scale for the upstream industry, vertical integration lowers the final price as
well as lowering the price-cost margin for the entire vertical chain. The special implication of
Leontief technology is a dominant theme in the literature regarding the effects of vertical
mergers on prices, profits, and outputs. For references to that literature see Blair and Kaserman
(1983), especially chapters 3 and 4.
314 D. Flath, Vertical integration by shareholding interlocks
where the symbols 11’stand for matrices of various with a one in every space.
From (6) and (4), the objective functions of a typical y supplier and typical x
supplier here can be expressed as
+ J@y
- ;ipJ( 1 _ &,S,fj,)’ 03)
pY-p_M,2_+
1
Y ny5 Cl -&d,(l +n,(n,- 1Nl
D. Flnth, Vertical integration by shareholding interlocks 375
aM -4
-=
- l))l
88, Cl - Q,( 1+ ny(nx
=0 if 6,=0
(10)
i >O if 6,>0
(1 +n,(n,- 1))
aM
9
as,=
1.1 If 6,=0, that is, no cross-sharing by upstream (x) firms, then the
price-cost margin is
P,-AC
=L+L
PY n,5 n.2
P,-AC
PY =$+$(I-$$ (I-nfc)
P-k 1
L=ns+(1-6”) 5 I-$
PY ( >
=M,--5 l-+ .
( >
does not in general attain the same low level as under complete forward
integration (= l/n.& if the upstream (x) industry is a monopoly however
(n,= l), it does attain this level.
(L-Q)-‘=1
1 -S& (_-Li_sY!
1
SJ i I ’ (12)
From (12) and (4), the objective functions of a typical y supplier and a
typical x supplier become
(13)
n,=x,(P,-q
(i’- 1 XY
+Yl(py--px)
(* >. XY
Because the share interlocks are both exclusive and recipocal, each firm’s
profits depend only upon its own operating earnings and that of the one
counterpart with which it is linked.
Under the presumption that firms will not deal exclusively with the
counterparts in which equity interests are maintained, terms such as @,/c?x,
and ~xi/ayi that occur in the reaction functions based on differentiation of
(13) will equal (l/n)l-’ and (l/n)A, respectively.’ One finds that the
following holds in equilibrium:
!++i+
(1 -sJl-$)
Y
( >1-y nt
‘If instead there is exclusive dealing then these terms will equal 1-r and 1. The absence of
exclusive dealing is not crucial to the main results that follow except that one might question
the appropriateness of the arms’ length framework in any case in which exclusive dealing was
present. The question of whether exclusive dealing is subgame perfect and how the presence of
shareholding interlocks affects this is deferred to another essay.
378 D. Flath, Vertical integration by shareholding interlocks
(14)
%
g!= M-L 2 =0 if s,=O
( >9
.._u
(15)
4 >O if s,>O.
( 1
l-3 1-s
.as,-- <o. (16)
1-y nt
( >
As in the case of nonexclusive shareholding links (and for the same reason),
cross-shareholding by upstream (x) firms induces a lower final price but
cross-shareholding by downstream (y) firms does not.
The limiting cases follow quite obviously from (14):
P,-AC
PY
2,’
n5 nt (1-Lnt> =M,.
P,-AC 1
=Q+(l-s,) $ 1-i
p, ( >
=M,-2 l-$ .
( >
One notes the similarity between 2.1 and 1.1. As in the case of nonexclusive
links, exclusive shareholding by downstream (y) firms alone is ineffective at
expanding the final output.
Comparison between 2.2. and 1.2.1 establishes that the price reducing
effects of exclusive vertical shareholding interlocks are more powerful than
D. Flath, Vertical integration by shareholding interlocks 379
5. Conclusion
There are numerous instances of actual firms holding equity shares in
vertical counterparts. A first step in understanding the motivation for such
shareholding interlocks is to develop a precise model that relates the
shareholding to the production equilibrium. This paper has examined the
production equilibria of vertically related Cournot oligopolies under several
different types of shareholding interlocks. If just downstream firms hold
shares in upstream firms, vertical integration is not induced. If upstream
firms hold shares in downstream firms, vertical integration is induced,
particularly if the shareholding ties are exclusive.
Further steps in the analysis of vertical shareholding ties are logical
corollaries of my first step. It remains to test the robustness of my
conclusions with respect to alternative assumptions about technology and
demand. It is also of interest whether vertical shareholding interlocks require
cooperation between firms, even assuming as here that firms do not
cooperate in choosing outputs. That is, if the stock market is efficient will
firms tend unilaterally to acquire shares in vertical counteparts or will they
do so only if assured of some quid pro quo from the target firms? A further
question is whether vertical shareholding ties might play a role in assuring
the stability of cooperation in setting output prices and quantities; the
framework explored here assumed the absence of such cooperation. And
finally it remains to study the empirical relevance of any conclusions. For
instance, in the keiretsu is there a tendency for upstream firms to hold shares
in downstream firms rather than the reverse? Or for that matter, is there a
tendency for shareholding ties to link trading partners rather than firms
which are not trading partners?
380 D. Flath, Vertical integration by shareholding interlocks
References
Blair, Roger D. and David L. Kaserman, 1983, Law and economics of vertical integration and
control (Academic Press, New York).
Bresnahan, Timothy and Steven C. Salop, 1986, Quantifying the competitive effects of
production joint ventures, International Journal of Industrial Organization 4, 155-175.
Caves, Richard E. and Masu Uekusa, 1976, Industrial organization in Japan (The Brookings
Institution, Washington, DC).
Greenhut. M.L. and H. Ohta. 1979. Vertical integration _ .
of successive oligopolists, American
Economic Review 69, 137-141.
Miyazaki, Yoshikazu, 1980, Excessive competition and the formation of keiretsu, in: Kazuo Sato,
ed., Industry and business in Japan (M.E. Sharpe, White Plains) 53-73.
Perry, Martin K. and Robert H. Groff, 1985, Resale price maintenance and forward integration
into a monopolistically compeitive industry, Quarterly Journal of Economics 100 1293-1311.
Reynolds, Robert 5. and Bruce R. Snapp, 1986, The competitive effects of partial equity interests
and joint ventures, International Journal of Industrial Organization 4, 141-153.
Waterson, Michael, 1980, Price-cost margins and successive market power, Quarterly Journal of
Economics 94, 135-150.