| index Number: Class: Pre! MATHEMATICS (Higher 2) Paper 1 Additional Materials: Answer Paper List of Formulae (MF26) Graph Paper DUNMAN HIGH SCHOOL iminary Examination 9758/01 September 2018 3 hours READ THESE INSTRUCTIONS FIRST Write your name, index number and class on the work you hand in. Write in dark blue or black pen on both sides of the paper. ‘You may use an HB pencil for any diagrams or graphs. Do not use staples, paper clips, glue or correction fluid. ‘Answer alll the questions. Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place in the case of angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question. You are expected to use an approved graphing calculator. Unsupported answers from a graphing calculator are allowed unless a question specifically states otherwise. Where unsupported answers from a graphing calculator are not allowed in a question, you are required to present the mathematical steps using mathematical notations and not calculator commands. You are reminded of the need for clear presentation in your answers. At the end of the examination, fasten all your work securely together. The number of marks is given in brackets [ ] at the end of each question or part question. For teachers’ use: Qn [ai | a2 [ a3 | a4] a5 | ag | a7 | a8 | Q9 | Q10 | Q11| Total Score | Max 7 a a Score co 5 6i 8 1 4 9 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 1002 1 Ifx is a sufficiently small angle, find the first three non-zero terms in the Maclaurin series for sin’(x+4n). Bl 2 @ Using appropriate expansions from the List of Formulae (MF26), show that the series expansion of In(1+e**) in ascending powers of x, up to and including the term in(x*) is I =. 3 In2+x+> B) ind the set of values of x such that the value for the above expansion for In(1+e”) is within 40.3 of the value of In(1+e*). 2 Deduce an expansion for > 2 — upto and including the term in x. 2) +e 3. If x=3cos*@+6sin?@, show that 6~x=3cos?@, and find a similar expression for x—3. By using the substitution x=3cos* 0+6sin* 0, evaluate exactly f° i x 5 oe (5) 8 [(x-3K6-x 4 Show that the following inequality tanx+eotx>4 for 0 Most students obtain the 2 marks + Some students tied replacement, which is totally wrong since its not ‘change of variable but simple trigonometry. He deat" 0+ Gain @, e050(-sin6) + 12sind(cos0)} sind cose when x=3, 3c0s' 0+ 6sin? 0=3 when x=6, Boos 8 +65 Bens 9+ 6(sin? 9-1) =0 Beas? 8+-6c0s'# =0 0s = 09 1 See . Uearaseary orn 40 ~$ffiae =a{ef -2[£-0] (sFor define integral involving substitution, remember to change x = 3 and 6 to the corresponding values in 0, + There were a ot of careless mistakes in manipulation. + Studens should use GC to verify their final answer TF YGTE Mak Pin P soaon mara coments suggested Solution 4 [tans cot 4 sina, 2053, y sin’ xt cos'x. Snax eW@esin2x<} (shown) Sowehave creche or frcdxen dexege or iecxche Markers? comments + Always refer to the result tw be shown for how to star, Since the shown rel contains only you should convert everything in terms of sin and cos (Note the pairing (of trigo fonctions Le. sin- ‘cos, se-tan, cosee- R, and D, need to Be ‘writen explicitly as R= C=) and D,=(0, 1) inorder to convince that R, subset of Dy. + handful of student did not get the correct R25, they did not consider the restriction on the domain of {when it comes to the sketching of the graph off wr Taret inx-l + Ths part is generally well done: Students need to know how to use Method 1 to obtain the answer. 018 VOT Mah eck Paton marke commenLet = (8740) f=0 n(gia))= +1 laze : ing? da) =(o™ ot Inz+i=0 ry sted bee Lae (et) +1284 : | "Toil Nari ay O=eF | am 7 | [Qa [Suggested Satation Lets = (GX) | | Suggested Sola ‘Marken? commen oe a > Many students failed e()=0 pepe do chain rule to gt irate fa) =O ade usin @), eating = as Substitute fix) = 0: Given yor? Bares E 0) Soca cae Substitute g Feminded hai is “layee! Subsite (2) it (1 constant with ospect 19 a OF be aia ay Seton there isn change fe} (0) ‘of variable involved > There are some eaccless Method 3 (find inverse direct mistakes, anging fom nxt! Sign ero (which can be Laty = fata) = BT checked by simple a Aisfretation and substituting bck) tothe following xc 1 xO ) > Welkatempied @ > Many sadn who has the erect general : equation only drew the We cot ing pos ‘tom half ofthe graph. rmoltiply both sides by Before sketching to obtain h(2). However, woul be good have wwe could ue Method Ito side of wath ap ace x by "G0 since should look like 5 Beek . you an spot the missing, a(e%n)=* an ats YET Math Pisin PY soaon mare commas TR VOTE Wi Pec Phin aka commonsigaested Salution ‘Markers' comments ‘On Suggested Solution Markers’ comments + Students can also use ‘oom-fit on thet GC 10 see the whole graph, = Close tall students did ‘not omit (0,0), when iis given that x0. + There are some studen's ‘who has the corect ‘general equation but ‘evaluated the oblique ‘ymptote incorrectly When C=0, particular soins y straight line and as no tuming pint. > Many studons did't answer the question by stating the equation explicily. + Many id differentiation instead of tied to solve Be Boo + Studens are reminded to Took tthe number of smar{s) given forthe time/eont needed. aoa Given y= 4-14 Devt => % 24 De > a > Many students got dis correct + There were some students who attempted to integrate y in terms of ‘to obtain sy, which is completely incorect. Ta) Ce (vei) (vei) ara) «nag Since "is purely imaginary, ~frer=(2k+ (44), eZ + portant to remember the properis of complex numbers: v HEFT arp(z)=~are(z") + Not efficent 0 expand the denominator (vss)! + The almative method fs ausefl end efficient ‘vay of finding the modulus and argument of complicaed| ‘expressions atone go. + 1s wrong to write Jaa-ix. A separate line should be used for this + On the other hand, for ‘complex numbers ‘which are purely rea, ‘arguments would take the form kx, eZ Total marks 11 YET Na Prin PY sion maiko come OO oe f()=-18=> a+bre=? fC) =-S4>a-bye= ld £(Q)=0=> 16a+8b+4e=-4 From GC e=7 Instead of ong division, i's easier to ‘se remainder and facto theorems to find ‘the 3 equations, before solving simultaneously using GC. 60478 +2dx-# If 3-(42)i is a root, 34+(¥2)i is also a root (since equation has| all1eal coefficients OR by eonjugate root theorem) 7 Ie important to state the reason for existence ofthe conjugate root 34 (2 Bag has all real coef oF ¥ Conjugate root theorem TE Nak Fim FT aon nara camelssinod CEE 2) tatr one polynomial equation, caqeeeraeae, [sE6- ANI] sE a eCBaGa)oa-e+7 4203 G=(aNG+ K-20) 44 C+ (V'X-Dae—s Method2 [2--C2yn]fx-6+ 299] =[(4~9)+2}T-9 12 =[ee-9' +2] =x =6e411 Since (x2) is a factor ofthe polynomial equation, xx 472 +24x-44=0 > (# ~6x+1NG—2\+2)=0 (by inspection) the other roots are 3+(¥2}i, 2 and -2 ‘Note the correct description “Factor: (x-2) “Root: x=2 ‘Note that question states ...showing, your working “leary.” s0 use of GC isnot allowed to find the rst ofthe root, But you ean use the GC to verify your answers. + Conclude by isting the other roots together. 7] “Total marke 11 aan ona ‘Ga_[ Suggested Solution Niarkens? comments 8) [> A number of studonis confused the graph of] yetdx) with the raph of 1 f(3)) + For the former, vated f(a) ifx20 f-3) ifx Most were ble to label the critical features of] the graph (Stationary Points, Asymptotes) though quite a number fail to observe thatthe ‘raph passes through the origin + For a step to step guide fon how to sketch the reciprocal graph, scan the QR ode below: ‘TOLN Vo HT Na Pin Ps“Translate the graph by b wats in the negative x-direction. Scale the graph by a factor of ~*paralle! to the x-axis. (also accept sea factor of 4, But donot accept seale factor a of Reflect inthe axis. From original graph, f(-1) =. To find s-intercept of new graph, f(ar+b) = 0 $0 ax+ Coordinates ofthe point where the graph of y= f(ax+ b)euts the f= Nowe that foreach transformation, only x ‘ory isto be replaced + Recommended order of transformation —_of| graphs of the form (a) is TSR for x, RST for y while for raphs of the form a)= fa) eg ty for both x andy. + Since <0, youncedto bbe careful when performing the sealing. ‘The seale factor should be the positive constant is TSR J+ Note that for this ‘equation, transformations only fnvolved x the x interept in new graph must result from the transformation of ‘the original x-intercept Tye Gl ‘Therefore, ¢=-1 (shown) ‘Suggested Solutions Total Marks: 9 ‘Markers comments cre to the noma ofp) and the point A doesnot lie on p. (8 2 P-2P-24320 2 t=-lorl ‘Ifthe line andthe plane have no common point of intersection, the ine has tobe parallel to the plane aad not lying on the plane, Hence have to show that the line is perpendicular to the ‘normal of the plane, and that any point on the line does not ‘on the plan. “The direction vector of his parallel top (ie, perpendicular | « Since itis @ “show” question, ‘sufficient working is expected , TE Wak Pin PT slaten wai cnet Ti) The distance between fi and p = shortest distance of 4 top Oar a bt + This is finding the length of projection of the vector Goining point A and any point on the Plane) onto the normal of the plane. aa + Instead of using OA +, some students use deen which is incoreet i a) (0 ha By: jeu) |e 0) ly, ‘Method ta Therefore, fis parallel top Ce ‘Therefore, flies on p (shown). 3 Method Substitute f:2y'= =, x=3 into equation ofp LHS of p=-3-2+2y=-3= RHSof p [> Most sadenis get This part correct J+ Take note of proper presentation. PWV Nah iar shin Rear omehod 1 ow. Ta 3+24 |, forsome 2€R 2434, 3 GE=| |, forsomeweR 2u 314A =| w-3-24 2u-2-34, Since BC's perpendicular obo / and, B+d, =0 and BC-d, =0 3et4a w-3-24 2 2u-2-34)\3 A-t=7 (1) oot S-16a BC=| w-3-22 |= iu Dea wv 3-24 |=] -2 2u-2-3a) (1 Solving the equation, = = 2y-2-34, 3-144 (0 and | u~3-22 1 ]=0 2u-2~3a} 2, BASue-7 (2) “Since point B and C lie on and fs respectively, we can formulate the vector expression for BC. Also, since BE is Perpendicular to both lines, it ‘would be perpendicular to the Aiector vector of both lines. Altematively, BC is parallel to the normal vector of bots lines Be careful when solving for the values of y and 2 using your GC. @) | Method Let be the line of reflection ofA inp. Let point be the point ying on andi also the reflection of B inp. : (: ‘BB =2BC = OB'=28C+OB ie “FACS s}( (3) \ “h ee eee Spf because is parallel top. od? Let point be the foot of perpendicular of point 4 on plane oho Since point Flies on plane p, oy sotving, an “ihe esognive that is pare fhe plane, and) 30. the reflection ofthe lin wil lo be parallel wo the plane Then it suffices 10 fad the point of reflection of any oont on inthe plane Since point B lies on f, and point C fies on the plane {because point C lies on fs which ie the plane), and ‘hat BCs perpendalr tothe plane, Hi'= 280. 3 Wis alo possible to find the point of reflection of point A ‘sing ratio (or mid-point) theorem. See Method 2 {YET Ma Pek FI slaion mathew commons SSR ‘TOS VO HE Nah relen Plvaaton Rime commentsgti ot ten eli :} rer s(1+a)' (a) sre) (e) ‘The common ratio for bath sequences = a (I-+a) yb ‘Total marks: 13.) Sola Marken comments For first Od-no Days _| For fit Even-n0 Da Ts s(l+a) 2 [s0+a)(@) ‘S(1+a) (a) 3 | s(+a) (ay ‘S(1+a) (a)° + uray ey 3(ta) (a) z Majority are sbte to set this mark For GP sumo niyo ns need ~I 42.195, where mis even fe invving the tot From GC, You sould wpve for distance a | Divanss en Day eee 2. Students forgot aR [a 36595 22.195 eee that this oitnce 50-4 257735 22.195 formula only Smallestn= 50 aeplicable or cen nad Method2 concluded Distance rn onthe mth oddrumbered day smalest n= 9, = s{(ussy(ossyy" * oe difrence Distaneero onthe mth even-numbered day between nding - 1.65)(0.65)" the mth even= 5(1.65)[(1.65)(0.65)" numbered day Yor finding coniee . Day nA let 5{(.65)(065)J" > 42.195. vs. 5(1.68)[(1.65)(0.65)]"" > 42.195 | concluded n= 28 men vs mz25 Since m forthe even-numbered ysis smale, the dstance wil ist exceed 42195 on Day n=25%2 ve snalest n= 30. To] Diane Tor SOs Common are = Distance for fit 25 odd-numbered days T'Counting. the + Distance for st 24 evernumbered ays oven and of 4 Distance on ey 30 fumbered ays For first Odd-no Days | For fist Even-no Days Aya ieee s(l+a) accom the Taser a diane num ‘on saya) s(lay(a) = 3 | si+ay(ay s(1+a) (a) 3. Eror in applying a)? fa)? ‘S, formula. 4 5(1+a)' (a) S(1+a)' (a) 3 [5(sa) (a) (10) (a) ee ; i 7 a(t Total | ist 2S oAtnumibers | Tis 4 even-numbered dave Serie dina | dave 5(L68)((168)(068))" |_| nrereeats the wm | sesyesnyt-q| Ce Ceoneen-f] | aepeer ay (a OS=1 you sum CayOes)- ‘08 YR Wak Prin PI slaion © malar comments"Toil distance covered THe [(.58)(065)}°-1} sae a ltessosnajesouss 86668 Using GC, 3713, puLSTIS= 1885 = TSE TOSSD ‘At market equilibrium, the price is $1880, ‘sing abe To use he GC means that you can use GC to find the soln, Total marks 13 ‘Suggested Solution ‘Marker comments Desi 2} 0, ‘Note: Remember to bitireeise ort won include this term sc re C Youset cpa vty Be ssaeneaas seneaicaneee ee &e ince x>0 and 0 — 1 2 (i) Show that the total area of all » rectangles, S,, is given by 34S S,=-2423". Hence evaluate S,, leaving your answer in terms of n. (4) (i) Find the exact value of lim S,, 2) 3 x The equation of eurve Cz is given by y=—T=— 4+ The region R is bounded by C1, C \d x =2, Find the volume of the solid of revolution formed when R is rotated through 4 ri ngles about the x-axis, giving your answer correct to 2 decimal places. BIA sequence u, is given by 3 4, . where 7 and M are positive integers such that 2. 2 Cae The diagram below shows the curve y=f'(x). It has tuming points at (0, 6), (5, 0) and (7, 7) and intersects the x-axis at (~3, 0) and (8, 0). (i) State the x-coordinates of the stationary points for the curve y= f(x). Hence determine the nature of these stationary points. (3) (ii) State the range of values of x such that the curve y= f(x) is concave downwards. 1 (iii) A student makes a claim on each of the following statements: (A) If the curve y = f(x) passes through the point (3, 7), then f(x)>7 for -3 s24i8)-3 £(-3). For each of the above statements, explain briefly whether the student is right to make such a claim. B)5 (a) A curve has the equation (x+ y)' = 4e” @ Find * in terms of x and y. 2) (ii) Given that the curve cuts the positive y-axis at point 4, find the equation of the tangent to the curve at A. 2] (iii) The tangent to the curve at A meets the curve at another point B. Find the coordinates ofB. B) (b) A closed cylinder is designed to contain a fixed volume of p cm? of liquid such that its external surface area is a minimum. Find the radius of the cylinder in terms of p inem. [5] Section B: Probability and Statistics [60 marks] 6 A test consists of 15 multiple choice questions, where each question has n possible options, of which only one is correct. A student took the test by randomly choosing an answer to each question. It is known that the probability of answering exactly 3 questions correctly is the same as the probability of answering exactly 4 questions correctly. (® By forming an equation in terms of n, find the value of n. B) Each correct answer is awarded 3 marks and each incorrect answer carries a penalty of 1 mark. ‘The score is the total marks awarded based on the number of correct and incorrect answers. (ii) Find the expected score, s, obtained by the student. BI (ii) Find the probability that the score obtained by the student is within 4 marks of s. (2 7 During a symposium, 4 boys and 8 girls are divided into 4 groups of three each for discussion. How many ways are there to divide the 12 participants such that each group consists of exactly 1 boy? Q) After the discussion, all members of the 4 groups sit at random at a round table. Find the probability that (@ the 3 members in each group are next to each other, 2) (ii) every boy is separated from each other by exactly 2 girls B] For the 12 participants, events A and B are defined by A: every boy is separated from each other by exactly 2 girls; and B: none of the boys are seated next to each other. (ili) Determine if the events A and B are independent 2)8 Aninteractive simulation ride allows a group of 5 riders to take the ride at a time. The ride time, X minutes, follows a normal distribution with mean #1 minutes and standard deviation 2 minutes. The ride starts promptly at 10 am daily with no wait time between any groups of 5 riders. There are only 4 scheduled rides every morning. At 10 am on a particular morning, there are already 20 people queuing for the ride. It is assumed that all the people in the queue will take the ride based ‘on the sequence of the queue and the ride times are independent. (@ Show that :=14, correct to the nearest integer, if P(z< X <16)=0.35. 2) For the rest of the question, use 44 = 14 for your calculations. A ride is considered long if it has a ride time of at least 15 minutes. (ii) Find the probability that the 12" person in the queue took the ride before 10.30 am on that moming. BI (iii) Show that the probability of having at least 2 long rides on that moming is 0.363. 2] (iv) Given that there are at least 2 long rides on that morning, find the probability that none of these long rides are consecutive. 2] 9 To study the recent relationship between the property price index, p (in %) and the stock index, s (in thousands), of a particular city, Hilton recorded the readings from each of the past 8 quarters in the table below. Stock Index, s (thousands) 2.12 | 2.53 | 2.63 | 2.70 | 2.75 | 2.83 | 2.87 | 2.98 Property Price Index, p (%) 115 | 130 | A4X | 140 | 146 | 150 | 155 | 170 Hilton realised that he recorded one of the values of p incorrectly. (i) Sketch a scatter diagram for the data and circle the erroneous point X on your diagram. [2] [For the remaining parts of this question, you should exclude the point X.] Hilton proposes that s and p can be modelled by one of the formulae: p=atbs or = Inp=c+ds, where a, b, ¢ and d are positive constants. (ii) Determine the better model for the given data, giving a reason for your choice. 8) (ii) Assuming that the value of s at X is correct, estimate the corresponding value of p. Give two reasons why you would expect this estimate to be reliable. 14] Hilton concludes that higher stock index will lead to higher property price index. Comment on his conclusion in the context of the question. a)10 The discrete random variable X has probability mass function given by fox = 1,2... P(X=x)=\nneh . 0 otherwise, where a is a constant. (Show that a=2. 2) Gi. Find EQ in terms of n. You may use the result that 37? = 2(n+1X2n41). BI (wo players Rand P, play a game with(n+1 tc tokens labelled 1 to n+1. Each player randomly picks one foken without replacement and the player who picks the token with the smallef number Joses, The amount of money lost by the losing player, in dollars, will be the number on the winning token. For example, if 2 and P, pick the tokens labelled 5 and 3 respectively, P, loses $5 to R. (iii) Explain why the probability of P, losing a game is 0.5. i] (iv) Given that P, loses, find the probability P, loses'$(m-+1) in terms of m and n, where m is such that 1$mStS4..+ aS (shown) Mao 3 Sader Sed (dom meas daod Tai vias ‘Qn [Suggested Sotaion ‘Marien comments] 40) Many students wrote daw iniimaum point at the coordinates ofthe ¥enaimnom point at 8, stationary points of fe) as (3.0), 6.0) and 0), hiss | | noe: SSS ‘wrong as adtonal saapestepe infomation is needed to xy [Lee ow the -coorinate. This ‘Statpofialeion is de tothe fact that a a) ffs) ar= FO) +e a 1()= fr d= Fo) @ oo The eradent is decreasing ‘ Sets ill Snow nue, seen tha tems concave upwards / dtnvards which "canbe >, siopesiacesing tesed i the Aleve, "YEH Math Prelim FY slaion @ mata mens ETE VET at icin Pein a come0) ange of x ar either 0< <5 OF 3>7. Note that the raph given sa gradient curve which means we are joking for parts of the curve that decreases asx eis right Because for-3< <3, P™G)>0, is increasing, thus f3) > 7 ‘Thore i 8 vary of reasons given but the most precise answer isthe one given here Students need to be awae tha ‘postive gradient wil imply ‘Qa [Suggested Solution Markers comments SUN | (x+y) = Ae” aery)(1-2) wo(:+) Beh -yns de yea” ‘Note Lev aecte’ =e" 2. Inde”) # 4ay.Itshould be alte”) =lndeay 3, Do not attempt to "sq root" the ‘equation as it wil result in = (xy) ate" = xtyas2et ‘You will then have to choose the correct equation based on the point Ain (i), Do not overcomplieate ‘your working, w y=2(vy>0) Wena (0.2), #-222 1 gut oft angst thee a (0,258 ince 20 and F9)2 084-3558, Eeyay20.nd ft eyydr>o Erzoan fi Zee) a tea 3210)-211-3)- fF rena <2 Je is wrong to make this statement information from the curve of y= £°G) inorder to answer the gn TE Wah Prin PE laon Smash cmets | (x fect | Using G.C. xa-2or (toject “its point 4) ‘thot as x increases, the change y-2eal(x-0) a ae EGFP SRST soeo[ a) [Erne peeeea coe GH [swsineyaee tine (=A. | SURE Uma by pans, it should be obvious (epee?) ade betveen tho two curves that you will need to take (2002) =e? y=(xel)! and psoordinate of B which is wrong. "Note that you ae solving, forthe coordinate of Bin that equation ‘and you wil need the equation of a(-20) ecagenteyened ogee - Pscotdinae (wy Ua ra aig ae | Seino ave a ew ploue afin vals we ‘varying. From the gn iti clear that ps a constant (i. iteannot vary). You may vary but its ‘variation will affect h since they are connected by the volume ‘equation, So for this scenario, you fare to vary 7 such that you can get ‘the minimum surface area. “FOUR VTi Math rain PY aation marke commentswith examine, a Note: (ari) #2 ash varies For students who se the first derivative test, they should present the working as ber 2 2228?) og ro P ‘thatthe sign ofthe derivative can be easily observed by the "Total Marks: 12 a | Suggesied Soli ‘Markers’ comments 1)_| Let be the random varable denoting the number of ‘Common eros: ‘questions answered correctly out of 15 1 Wrong pdf for binomial. tn y-CEE) ‘You can refer to (MF26 forthe pat for abinomial distribution la\¥ ams noned (15.17.39 Ii\vigbinonraf (5.17404) june, mob vedios ou (2) ou 2 Cofng in te anne 1S YH Nah Pein P oaon mane omnes ‘Common Exvors ic a [@ | x-a(is4) Tome sues Sune a oes Mathod mex 2. Sees" vte | etre the score for 15 questions ae Tale on scorer a aa 15 questions often : ress ou te owe i fees [ane | > Lt YL. nian of OC || sa[s@Q)fes-0 Lech ema Kinin of ‘correct pdf, GC can Mat? Geter | esi te wet Let beth sere frt uesion. (4) a 22800 Mahal \ | || Lee te nom varie dentin the mnber of To ta dae ot independ You pecdio wre Yin terms of X yu wnt | tale Var(34-1) ii “Major Concept erst 245) Enon crests) Shes asuned 710 fee nomma den || eprsy-rars2) «290-4 6 290=3) wise when Tiss cals Soe orden ride I Total Marks: 8 ‘SIF YOIG Mah Prin P wince marker cones] between guested Solu a — Markers” comments [Riese shoe ea oars equivalent to | Many students did not Nays to divide the 12 students with 1 boy in each group “There were quite a few eee ‘between every 2 boys". Thus event isa subset een ae yee " dion uh hs oteve Shomaiea wong paseo OR =! 200 . C)GIE)G) <2 O* aera a wow (a8) = POPE (a | ay a ct mania] (CMHC aap mat ee raat | ink a ony P(the 3 members in ‘cach group are next to each other) ‘Many students had ‘deducted for those who Gv) (34 instead of (3 | computed P(B) = 0.000198 | ingorrectly. Note that ‘only P(B) #1 is reed nd eee teebaned Serra eo a A which di not t "Foial Marks csi a sane of pen. i naar — Sues Seton rie ome boys By] meee Tass 8) | P(we X <16) =035 = An analytical method of A] | ntensive | idnt Saas nea : ‘multiply by 2. P(X <16)-P(X <1) #035 ae emia areas vin Hr RE Tis Medd pembity we + POH) tremaod xe a2!) =o Sa Tagroatay Tp neta ao al 2a en Sata patvomen Toorea os Using oC, se cp tsa (aria rerihn : so 3 cacton is avized. ‘m= 13.927 = 14 (shown) Ea ceca noseR fp Te De aaTINS oT s Leeds | tg grup, a forthe 12" rider to ride before 2 10.30 am, the first two 2 Required Proabiity = PCT <30) hee ra cores = 0.760 3 sf) Je XX 42K | 2 means eine GE _Dl= ways oat gains cle | take by one gop of (tomate above eee coin en by 00 : pap ones 15 YET Ha rein PF vlaion maa coments [ak Fim PY lace Emareo comineisTe F’be the numberof Tong rides out of ¥~ B(4, PUY 215)) > ~ BU4.030854) P(r22)=1-P(Y s1) 1-0.63661 = 0336339 = 0.363 (shown) “Sulicent working is necessary since this a “show” question, 7 | Penone ofthese rides are consecutively = 2) arr etof Por p=e'e curve has the same] |snape as p=a+bs’. Thus we are not able to decide the] Shudenis tend wo Torget © delete the point X, or they deleted a neighbouring point. You can press ‘trace’ bution to track the points Taterpoation i based on the given value (inthis ease £2.63) ying within data ange, not the estimated ster model purely from the sete plo. (From Gc, p=101.4494+0.2795075° opened ot tena * satiate for p when = When s= 263,p=136618=137 Gs) 263, some students proceeded 10 find the Two reasons: ore data vale for Te The evalu (0.995) is very close to 1, indicating a| Shen y= 2.63. Reise strong fit of model to the daa that there hould not Be 2. 12263 les wihin data range 2.125298, thus | tow up question on interpolation i sed reasons forthe dla value tobe reiable ‘For those who have chosen X to be the first (or last) point, you should realise by now that the estimate is unveiable Because i is ‘an extrapolation. (i) _| High correlation doesnot necessarily imply causation ‘There could be other foctors (strong economy, inerease in population) which ean lead to higher property price index. So the higher property price index need not be caused by higher stock index. Noe that both siemens ‘eed to be stated to give a complete answer in contest of the question, which some students were not able to do during the ‘Toial Maria 10 ‘SIS WO TE Na Prim 2 aaon mateo ooets| Satation - Markers comments TGF, loses a ams) or PUR, wins a a) Oy) Spur fe For any discrete LYn),( 1 nal) (1 \(n-2 ryt a random vail X Urea) Gat te rt i thesom of ; uA = probability values L ob le forall poste TaebFipets )\| tener 2” values of tmnt J+ Note than this stan = cos aad nae | wmaivenrner” | | Mocisane ‘constants so they | L fan be factored ot | : from the sum inthe = (eae3etn) first method. | mar 2 7 + Theresa sum em) P(X =)=Lata=2 isan AP so apply m2") i the AP formula ian Cn general, ote | fez a [a Reaaned proaniiny Nove date | aowedge 0 [OP | = Pte loses Si) 2 toss) required | only in istin = RE, loses Som +0) probability is 7 sept in Ee Eenitional on he ) >This par is PCF, picks "m1*) 0.03, we donot reject Hy and conclude that there is insuficient evidence at 3% significance level ‘that the mean speed is ess than SO km/h. Hence WRP is not needed. the random variable x + x normal» Yaormal no need to se CLT. Important to answer the question the end ic. *WRP isnot need”. VOTE Waa Pics PE elation maar comeats (hy | Unbiased estimate of popalaion varianes, 30 2 fr100)= Ho Os Shrroo}- 1139-1110 Gas) Totes Hy: = my va H> a Conduct Itai test 8% signtiance level vate, F-4( ts) Ifmean speed exceeds /y => His rejected, | => pralue=P(%200)$ 008 7 The sample variance 100, We need to find the unbiased | estimate by using the formula = Gsample var) o ee sia eat | ehaos) ‘shown on the left. A. | eo GC method is not : ae oe ser ‘() | Assumption eae ao | a eestor crea ero Tis ova Na in Pi sltion maa commons