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To cite this article: Md Muzahid Khan, Imranul Bashar, Golam Morshed Minhaj, Absar Ishraq
Wasi & Niamat Ullah Ibne Hossain (2023): Resilient and sustainable supplier selection:
an integration of SCOR 4.0 and machine learning approach, Sustainable and Resilient
Infrastructure, DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2023.2165782
ARTICLE
1. Introduction
a competitive advantage and improve organizational per
Suppliers are an important component of the supply formance. It establishes a common language for deciding,
chain because their performance has an indirect and organizing, and implementing supply chain procedures
significant impact on customer satisfaction. Over the (Delipinar & Kocaoglu, 2016; Munson & Santa-Eulalia,
last two decades, resilience and sustainability concerns 2014). The SCOR model has been successfully used in
have grown in importance in SCM (Ghamari et al., 2021). a variety of sectors, including the pharmaceutical industry,
The idea of sustainability has emerged as an essential way to identify efficient supplier solutions and this model can
of thinking across a variety of business domains as be used in conjunction with other Multi-Criteria Decision
a direct result of the rising awareness of social occupa Making (MCDM) tools and methods to facilitate supplier
tions and the preservation of the natural environment. selection (Es-Satty et al., 2020). Nevertheless, in today’s
Apart from that, the company supply chain is increas digital era, there are fundamental changes in the structure
ingly threatened by pandemics, natural, man-made, or of supply chains such as the integration of new technology.
mechanical hazards such as surges, seismic tremors, fires, Supply chain structure development with evolving tech
transportation mishaps, strikes, attacks, and so on. These nologies is critical for staying up with the times. The new
disasters interrupt the supply chain, which harms firms supply chain requirements should be precisely determined,
through lost productivity, revenue, competitive advan and new metrics should be carefully determined, taking
tage, profitability, and so on. As a consequence of this, into account new requirements. Digital technology and
it is necessary to take a resilient approach to the supply information systems are newly treated as two new metrics
chain to secure the buyer from disruptions and deficien in the SCOR model, and this novel model is known as
cies. Since a supplier can affect the overall performance of SCOR 4.0, which is a structured three-level hierarchical
a supply chain, companies must take resilience in supplier framework to analyze supply chain performance (Ayyildiz
selection decisions to reduce risk (Amindoust, 2018; & Taskin Gumus, 2021). Previously researchers have
Didier et al., 2018; Ghamari et al., 2021; Zhaoa et al., widely used different MCDM methods such as AHP,
2021). Hybrid Best Worst Method (BWM), Fuzzy Topsis,
The SCOR model was established by the Supply Chain Pythagorean fuzzy AHP, or other decision-making models
Council (SCC) to monitor chain performance to acquire with the traditional SCOR model for supplier selection
(Ayyildiz & Taskin Gumus, 2021; Huang et al., 2021; Lima- A company’s performance is heavily dependent on the
Junior & Carpinetti, 2016; Nazim & Yaacob, 2017). performance of its suppliers. For this, the evaluation of
Nevertheless, MCDM procedures frequently result in a supplier’s performance for development should be
enormously complicated models that are challenging to linked with the entire supply chain’s performance eva
handle and analyze. luation. The SCOR model is one way of performance
Machine learning (ML) has recently attracted more measurement of the supply chain that is frequently used
attention as a result of its effectiveness in a variety of by practitioners. The Supply Chain Council (SCC)
applications ranging from image categorization to established this model back in 1996, which provides
a variety of decision-making challenges. The applications a hierarchy of performance evaluation criteria (Lima-
of ML approaches have increased dramatically in recent Junior & Carpinetti, 2016). Hwang et al. (2008) created
years due to the explosion of data. In a predictive setting, a SCOR model based on three-level performance
methods such as data envelopment analysis supervised metrics to evaluate the supply chain process and
learning, and unsupervised learning has shown very out enhance the performance of sourcing. The researchers
standing performance (Tavana et al., 2016). Furthermore, used a regression model to examine the performance
machine learning can tolerate inaccuracies, uncertainty, metrics. Raut et al. (2012) suggested a hierarchical
and imprecise information to achieve robustness when approach based that incorporates AHP and Data
replicating human decision-making behavior. These func Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and considers both the
tions not only solve the problem of scalability and rapidity, quantitative and qualitative factors for supplier selec
but they also reduce the drawbacks of earlier approaches tion. Authors suggested that the most likely candidates
and meet the demands of ever more difficult supplier net for such programs are the highly efficient and low effi
works (Sepehri, 2020). The developments of artificial intel cient suppliers. Badi and Ballem (2018) used BWM for
ligence (AI) have drawn the attention of many researchers, supplier selection in the pharmaceutical supply chain in
considering how they can be used in supplier risk manage Libya. The researchers considered five different criteria
ment (Abdulla et al., 2019; Batta, 2020; Mirkouei & such as cost, quality, supplier profile, flexibility, and
Haapala, 2014). However, as the amount of data that delivery for supplier selection. The study’s results
needs to be processed expands the efficiency of the tradi showed that price is the most important factor, followed
tional methods decreases. Because of this, researchers came by quality in second place and the company’s profile in
up with several approaches such as machine learning, big third. Along the same line, Oroojeni Mohammad Javad
data analysis, and cloud computing that have a high cap et al. (2020) implemented BWM to find the green sup
ability to analyze and interpret enormous amounts of data. plier Khouzestan Steel Company located in Iran. The
To give this research a new dimension, we implemented researchers proposed a three-step method that helps the
machine learning with the integration of SCOR 4.0 company decision-makers rank different suppliers and
implemented. choose the one with the best green innovations abilities.
The object of this research is to develop a machine With the right deployment of resources, these ven
learning model-based supplier selection system with the dors with efficient infrastructure could achieve high-
integration of the SCOR 4.0 model. First, we developed performance levels. In another research, Lu et al.
a 3-level based SCOR 4.0 model to identify the supplier (2016) created a framework using the SCOR model for
performance related criterion and attributes for a local evaluating the performance of humanitarian supply
pharmaceutical company. Secondly, To calculate the chains. For performance evaluation, the researchers
weights of each attribute and criterion, BWM has been developed a 14 metrics-based SCOR model addition to
used for all the 3 levels of the SCOR 4.0 model. Finally, we this, numerous decision-making strategies for dealing
implement a gradient boosting machine learning algo with the process of supplier evaluation, particularly in
rithm to classify the supplier and find out the most poten the context of supplier selection, have been presented in
tial supplier. the relevant body of academic literature (Ayyildiz &
Taskin Gumus, 2021; Luitzen et al., 2001; Wendler-
Bosco & Nicholson, 2020; Wu & Barnes, 2018). Mañay
2. Literature review et al. (2022) used the SCOR model with the integration
of MCDM to assess the supply chain performance of the
2.1. SCOR model for supply chain performance
Ecuadorian flower industry. The authors measure the
evaluation
performance level of each construct and identified the
Identifying relevant and appropriate criteria for supplier external factors that need to be improved. Jain et al.
performance assessment is one of the most challenging (2022) used the SCOR model as the basic performance
parts of supplier selection (Alavi et al., 2021). evaluation hierarchy. In this research, the authors
SUSTAINABLE AND RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE 3
assessed the sustainability performance of a company’s Regressor Chain (RRC) method for better forecasting
e-waste supply chain to meet the sustainability goal. In accuracy and identification of suitable suppliers and
another research, Huang et al. (2021) applied Data DEA order quantities. In another research, Ayyildiz and
and SCOR model to evaluate the operational efficiency Taskin Gumus (2021) proposed a three-level based
of ports. The authors analyzed the operational efficiency SCOR 4.0 model for the evaluation of supply chain
of different key ports of different cities based on the performance. The researchers integrated hybrid BMW
ship’s inward and outward. Along the same line, He and and Pythagorean fuzzy AHP with the SCOR 4.0 model
Zhu (2022) developed a risk indicator system using to find out the weights of the metrics. Alavi et al. (2021)
DEA and SCOR model for the elderly care service proposed a model based on MCDM and machine learn
industry to enhance risk management capabilities. ing for sustainable supplier selection under uncertainty.
The proposed decision support system can be used for
supplier risk assessment to manage uncertainties in the
2.2. Machine learning for supplier selection
field of health care, manufacturing, or other sectors.
In recent years, a variety of strategies have emerged, Zhang et al. (2016) investigated the Ranking Neural
each based on a different set of criteria, to identify the Network (RankNet) ML model for supplier evaluation
best possible suppliers. The MCDM approach is one of and selection as well. In their research, new suppliers
the methods that is utilized the most frequently. were taken into account for each customer order, even
However, the drawback of existing multi-criteria sup when the customer placed multiple orders. The ML
plier selection and performance evaluation models for model that was developed as a result of this research
development is the model itself. Methods such as the improved with time because it was able to acquire
Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), the Analytic knowledge from previous experiences, and the more
Network Process (ANP), and the Fuzzy Analytic data that was available, the simpler it became. A Multi-
Hierarchy Process (Fuzzy AHP) are used in the majority Agent Systems (MASs) method has been proposed by
of the studies and these methods require decision- Ghadimi et al. (2019) to address sustainable supplier
makers to make judgments based on comparisons. performance evaluation and selection procedures.
Even though these methods are good for dealing with These processes aim to establish an appropriate struc
vague or qualitative information, they often restrict the ture of communication channels, organized exchange of
number of factors and suppliers that can be examined at information, and clarity among suppliers and manufac
analyzed the same time (Park et al., 2010; Pilkington & turers. In another research, Mustafa et al. (2020) imple
Mahmoud, 2016; Zeydan et al., 2011; Zhao et al., 2021). mented several ML models such as artificial neural
With the rise of AI, ML has been used in several ways in network (ANN), DT classifier, bayesian classifiers, and
various domains of supply chain management, such as k-nearest neighbor (KNN). They developed a data set
selecting, evaluating, and developing resilient and sus consisting of 1000 supplier profiles and classify the data
tainable suppliers. Mirkouei and Haapala (2014) inves using these ML models to identify the risky suppliers.
tigated how to choose the most suitable supplier for Along the same line, Sepehri (2020) This study pro
a biomass supply chain by taking into account both posed a framework for predicting supplier future value
qualitative and quantitative aspects. The researchers that incorporates contract history data, interpersonal
implemented Decision Tree (DT) for supplier classifica value, and supply network attributes for supplier selec
tion and Support Vector Machines (SVM) to identify tion and managing relationships. The researchers
the potential supplier. Along the same line, Abdulla et implemented Clustering techniques and DT for supplier
al., (2019) proposed a hybrid supplier selection model performance evaluation, selection, and relationship
by combining AHP and the machine learning model. management.
The researchers applied a DT classifier to classify the The relevant literature on supplier selection used
good and bad suppliers. In another research, Cavalcante in this research is mentioned in Table 1, followed by
et al. (2019) proposed a data-driven model combined existing research gaps and the contribution of this
with a SML model for resilient supplier selection. The research.
findings imply that this model can be useful for identi The above discussion shows that despite
fying portfolios of hidden, high-risk suppliers and for a gradually growing body of knowledge on resilient
prioritizing risk mitigation actions. Islam et al. (2021) and sustainable supplier selection, till now no
investigated the influences of forecasting methods on research has used the integration of SCOR 4.0 and
supplier selection. The researchers suggested a model ML approach together that focuses on assessing sup
with two stages for both the selection of suppliers and plier performance evaluation and selection. To bridge
the distribution of orders. They applied Relational this gap, we adopted the application of SCOR 4.0
4 M. D. M. KHAN ET AL.
and a supervised machine learning approach to rank healthcare services has a significant impact on the
the supplier based on their profile and identify the quality and form of patient care and accounts for
most potential suppliers. The adoption of SCOR 4.0 a significant proportion of supply chain expenses
and gradient boosting machine learning model that (Ishizaka et al., 2022). Apart from that, the
could rank the supplier based on their profile and COVID-19 pandemic’s severe shortage of essential
identify the most potential supplier. The contribution medical supplies created significant procurement dif
of this study is summarized as follows: ficulties in the healthcare supply chain. The discus
sion on how to improve supply chain resilience in
● Integration SCOR 4.0, and machine learning healthcare has picked up steam because maintaining
approach to select the best resilient and sustainable the availability of such items during disruptions is
supplier. essential. Healthcare supply chains now have more
● Implementation of SCOR 4.0 to develop the assess interdependencies and efficiency awareness due to
ment framework of supply chain performance eva expanding demand, rising costs, and more competi
luation and customer satisfaction. tion. As a supply network’s complexity rises, risk also
● Implementation of a supervised machine learning does as well (Craighead et al., 2020; Hossain et al.,
model (gradient boosting) to rank the suppliers 2016). Hospitals across the world have been
and find out the best supplier. impacted by the severe shortage of essential medical
● Demonstrate the efficacy of SCOR 4.0 integrated supplies like personal protective equipment, ventila
ML approach in supply chain management. tion systems, and medicines for COVID-19 treat
ment (Chamola et al., 2020). During this pandemic,
supply chain resilience is significantly impacted by
3. Case study: pharmaceutical industry
the purchasing decisions made by pharma companies
In the pharmaceutical sector, the challenge of sus and medical supply manufacturers, as well as by
tainable supplier selection is crucial. Global business suppliers (Spieske et al., 2022). Considering these
organizations have become increasingly concerned concerns, we have chosen the pharmaceutical indus
about the environmental impact of their manufactur try as our research field.
ing and other practices during the past few decades.
Thus, sustainability factors are integrated into the
supplier selection process to create a green supplier 4. Methodology of research
selection. This issue is enhanced by the fact that the
pharmaceutical sector is unique from other indus This section describes the detailed research methodol
tries in that patient care is its primary objective ogy of our approach. This research was conducted in
(Stević et al., 2020). Managing and selecting pharma a structured way with several stages. The detailed
ceutical raw materials, and supplies for vital research methodology is presented in the following
Figure 1 followed by a detailed description of each selected from a wide range of educational backgrounds
phase. and with different levels of managerial and industry
experience to ensure that we take into account every
individual’s point of view in the selection process. This
4.1. Phase I: development of the SCOR 4.0 model
resulted in a reduction in bias and was sufficient for the
This section discusses the development strategies of the purpose. Through their years of experience, the experts
SCOR 4.0 model for our research. in Table 2 are capable of figuring out which factors are
most important when choosing a supplier.
4.1.1. Data collection and analysis Figure 2 illustrates the strategy for the data collection
Data collection and analysis include identification, and analysis process. We collected data from different
screening, eligibility, and final selection. The findings local pharmaceutical companies, and academic and
were analyzed using a combination of theory-driven industry experts. Initially, we received a screened data
and data-driven approaches. For our data collection, set of 33 suppliers from different local suppliers of
a survey and interview were conducted with different a pharmaceutical company. We screened all the data
local industry experts, academicians, and researchers via sets and excluded the data which were not closely
face-to-face and phone calls interviews. However, related to this research. In the next step, we evaluated
regarding the inclusion and exclusion criteria, industry our existing data to check eligibility. We validated the
experts work in the supply chain area for pharmaceu data by fitting it into a normal distribution. Finally, we
tical companies, while academic experts conduct exten had a data set of 28 suppliers which were eligible for this
sive research in this area are chosen. As a result, these research.
experts are capable of understanding supplier data, eva
luation criteria, and selection criteria effectively. 4.1.2. Data validation
A paper-based survey form was sent out to ten experts, After data collection, we validated the data using the
of which one was unwilling to participate, and three normal distribution. In this phase, we evaluated the
have not completed the entire survey. Finally, we pro eligibility of the gathered data using MINITAB statisti
ceed with the survey input from six experts. These cal software and fit in the normal distribution. Here the
experts have direct experience in the area of subject null hypothesis represents that data is normally distrib
interest as well as decent managerial experience (two uted and the alternative hypothesis represents that data
of them for a period of five years), while others have is not normally distributed. We used the p value from
extensive hands-on experience. Our experts have been the normal distribution of every distinct criterion.
• Identify the factors for the SCOR 4.0 model factors based on literature
analysis and expert
• Data collection, analysis and validation
• Create a three level metrics for the pharmacutical company
Table 2. Supply chain expert’s profiles from industry and improve the efficiency of their supply networks and give
academia. a process-based way to measure the performance of the
Level of Managerial Industry experience supply chain (Ayyildiz & Taskin Gumus, 2021). Plan,
Experts education experience (Years) (Years)
Expert 1 PhD 2 5
Source, Make, Deliver, and Return are the five manage
Expert 2 Masters 7 13 ment processes that makeup SCOR which are further
Expert 3 Masters 5 10 broken down into categories, elements, tasks, and activ
Expert 4 Masters 1 5
Expert 5 Bachelors 0 3 ities. In addition, performance attributes and metrics
Expert 6 Bachelors 0 2 are the two types of components that comprise the
performance section of the SCOR model.
A performance attribute is a compilation of metrics
A statistically significant result is one with a p-value
that are utilized in the process of describing a strategy,
greater than 0.05, in that case, the null hypothesis is
whereas an attribute is utilized in the process of evalu
accepted which means the alternative hypothesis is
ating the objectives of a strategy (Ayyildiz & Taskin
rejected. As we have a total of 41 criteria, all p-values
Gumus, 2021). Figure 3 shows the visual representation
were determined individually. We have found all our
of the SCOR model.
p-value to be greater than 0.05, which signifies that the
We identified the performance attributes and devel
given data is normally distributed.
oped a 3-level based SCOR 4.0 model for the pharma
ceutical industry from a detailed literature review and
4.1.3. Create SCOR 4.0 model face-to-face interviews with academic and industry
The SCOR model is a screening tool for supply chain experts. Table 3 shows the 3 levels SCOR 4.0 model
performance management. It helps users understand where level 1 defines the process that is used to describe
how an organization runs its business and figure out the high-level configuration in a supply chain and level 2
which parts are most important to better customer differentiates the level 1 process based on strategies and
experience and satisfaction (Munson & Santa-Eulalia, tactics. Finally, the level 3 processes represent the step
2014). In 1996, the Supply Chain Council (SCC) came needed to be performed to accomplish the level 2
up with the idea of the SCOR model to help businesses process.
4.2. Phase II: implementation of best worst method use it to determine the importance weights of the cri
(BWM) teria that are employed in the stages of a problem. BWM
can also be applied to the solution of a variety of deci
This section discusses the detailed implementation pro
sion-making issues arising in the real world, including
cedure of BWM for this research work.
those of business, healthcare, and engineering. In the
ory, this strategy can be applied in any situation in
4.2.1. Best worst method (BWM) which the objective is to rank a group of options and
Rezaei (2015) introduced BWM as an MCDM approach pick one of those rankings as the best option (Pamučar
for calculating the weight of each criterion by minimiz et al., 2020). In this research, we chose BWM because of
ing the number of pairwise comparisons between cri its calculation flexibilities and decision-making
teria and inconsistent preferences. It is also possible to properties.
To determine the weight of the criteria for the ML where Aiw shows the level of importance of criterion
model, we applied BWM to all three levels of the SCOR j over the least important criterion W (Ayyildiz &
4.0 model. The steps for finding the weights of each Taskin Gumus, 2021).
criterion are given below. Step 5: Determine the optimal weight of each of the
Step 1: Determine the set of decision criteria (C1, C2, criteria (W1, W2, W3, . . .. . . . . .Wn). The main objective
C3, . . . . . . Cn). of Step 5 is to find the optimal weights �of the criteria
� to
�WB �
Step 2: Identify the Most Important (Best) and Least maximize
� � the disparity between � Wj A Bj � and
Important (Worst) criteria. � Wj �
�WB AjW � have to be minimized. The following math
Step 3: Make a pairwise linguistic comparison using
the linguistic scale as shown in Table 1. Table 4 shows ematical problem can be constructed by incorporating
the scales of linguistic terms and constructs the best to nonnegative constraints as well as the constraint for the
another vector, AB = (AB1, AB2, AB3 . . . . ABn) where ABj
represents the level of importance of the most impor
Table 4. Linguistic scale for best worst method (BWM).
tant criteria B over criterion j (Ayyildiz & Taskin
Numbers Linguistic Term
Gumus, 2021).
1 Equally importance
Step 4: Similarly, to Step 3, make a pairwise compar 2 Weakly importance
ison with the worst criterion to the other criterion and 3 Moderately importance
4 Very importance
develop the others to the worst vector. 5 Absolutely importance
6 Strongly importance
7 Strongly plus importance
Aw ¼ ðA1W ; A2W ; . . . . . . . . . :AnW ÞT 8 Very strong importance
9 Extreme importance
SUSTAINABLE AND RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE 9
total sum of all weights (Ayyildiz & Taskin Gumus, Table 5. Glossary of level 1 metric.
2021). Abbreviation Elaboration
This mathematical model can be represented as REL Reliability
FLEX Flexibility
Equation (1) as follows: RES Responsiveness
COS Cost
min � DT Digital Technology
IS Information Systems
Subject to SER Service
8 Pn
> W ¼1
>
> � � j
j¼1
>
> �WB � Table 6. Weight of level 1 criterion.
>
< �� Wj ABj �� � � ; for all j
Level 1 Weight
� Wj � (1)
>
> �WB AjW � � � ; for all j REL 0.2608
>
> EX 0.1565
>
> Wj � 0; for all j
: RES 0.1565
COS 0.0782
DT 0.0260
IS 0.0347
SER 0.2869
4.2.2. Calculation of the weights of the criterion � 0.0521
As stated earlier, we applied BWM to find the optimal
weights and rank of the criterion. To rank this type of
large matrix, each level needs to be weighted. In this data to improve their operations. Companies can
study, first, we found out the weights of the level 1 forecast market changes with the help of machine
criterion both from industry and academic experts and learning and can ensure that the forecasts are cor
reviewed the survey data to find out the importance of rect and updated by constantly receiving new data
each criterion in terms of weightage. After that, we (Judith & Daniel, 2018). Many different algorithms
followed the weight calculation steps of BWM men are used in machine learning to improve operations
tioned in section 4.2.1 both for level 2 and level 3, and explain information with possible outputs. The
respectively. We needed at least three criteria in the ML model learns to predict the output using the
MCDM models to find out the weights. But in our training data. After the model has been trained, it
level 2, we had some metrics where the criteria are will respond to specific input by returning the
only 2. In that case, we took expert opinions. Table 5 desired output when that input is given (Allgurin
shows the terms used in level 1. The glossary of level 2 & Filip, 2018). The ML model is broken into three
and level 3 metrics are given in Table A1 in the appendix major parts. The first part is the decision process,
section. where the model inputs some labeled or unlabeled
After the implementation of BWM for level 1 metrics, data (Zhang, 2017). Based on these data, it predicts
We obtained the weights for REL, FLEX, RES, COS, DT, a pattern for their decision-making process.
IS, SER as 0.26087, 0.156522, 0.015622, 0.078261, Followed by a decision process, an error function
0.026087, 0.034783, 0.286957 respectively. We also got helps the model rectify the error and store necessary
the value of �� for level 1 matrices as 0.05217. Table 6 information in the memory to assist in future deci
represents the weight of the criteria of level 1 metrics. sion-making (Batta, 2020). An example of supplier
Table 7 shows the final weights of the SCOR 4.0 model. selection using machine learning is illustrated in
A ranking was also done to find out the best and most Figure 4.
important criteria in each of the groups of metrics. In this research, we selected the gradient boosting
ML model because it uses advanced regularization that
helps to improve model generalization abilities.
4.3. Phase III: implementation of machine learning
Gradient boosting is a highly effective scalable end-to-
model
end tree boosting system and a widely used ML method.
This section discusses the selection and implementation The concept of boosting came from the sense that
of the ML model in this research. a weak learner can be improved (Bentéjac et al., 2021;
Dorogush et al., 2018). Apart from that, if the iterative
4.3.1. Gradient boosting machine learning (ML) approach is not appropriately regularized, this algo
model rithm may undergo from over-fitting (Bentéjac et al.,
Machine Learning (ML) is a popular topic right 2021). The attributes of gradient boosting are listed
now for businesses looking for novel ways to use below.
10 M. D. M. KHAN ET AL.
● Learning rate algorithm. This false positive value causes Type-I error
● Depth (maximum) of the tree due to the prediction of the opposite sign datapoint. The
● The rate of subsampling for random samples size model predicted one opposite signed value, whereas there
● Number of features was no false negative (FN) value which means no value
● The minimum of samples needed to segment an was falsely predicted.
internal node
4.4.2. Ranking of the suppliers
As discussed earlier, we applied the gradient boosting
ML algorithm to find out the acceptance score of the
Algorithm 1 Represents the gradient boosting suppliers. To prevent our model from overfitting, we
pseudo code that we have implemented in this divided the train and test dataset into a 70:30 ratio
research. (Roshan et al., 2022). We also applied feature extraction
and feature selection to increase the accuracy of the
model, eliminate redundant data and boost the learning
4.4. Phase IV: results analysis process. Initially, we fitted our supplier data in a data
frame and fitted X and Y with the supplier ratings and
In this section, the experiment results are presented and the ranking of the criteria obtained from BWM shown
discussed with suitable illustrations. in Table 7. We fitted the X and Y training dataset with
the gradient boosting classifier with an ‘n’ estimator of
4.4.1. Confusion matrix of gradient boosting 10 and a random state of 30. After finally fitting the
The confusion matrix visualizes the performance of model, the feature importance was determined between
a classification model. Figure 5 shows a 2 × 2 confusion the supplier ratings and the rank of the BWM. In this
matrix for the gradient boosting algorithm. Here we had way get the feature importance score, which shows how
a total of 12 predicted values that aligned the actual value the data are related compared to all the suppliers. Now
for true positive (TP) and true negative (TN). One data in our case, as the rank was used for the training dataset,
point was falsely predicted for the Gradient Boosting the less the score the better the supplier is. To visualize
the result, we converted the score to an acceptance score normalized the acceptance score within the range of 0
which made it easy for us to understand that the highest to 1, where 1 represents the best supplier. Table 8 shows
weight is the best supplier. Furthermore, we have the supplier’s acceptance score for the gradient boosting
algorithm and the acceptance scores in descending calculation for the criterion of each level of metrics, we
order. applied the gradient boosting ML algorithm to rank the
supplier. Table 8 represents the acceptance scores and
the rank of the 28 suppliers in descending order. From
5. Discussion of the results
Table 8, we can also evaluate the performance of the
The section provides an explanation and interpretation suppliers. Among all the 28 suppliers, Supplier number
of the results by comparing them with the previous 20 (S20) and supplier number 3 (S3) ranked at the
studies. Previously many research works have been con position of 1 with an acceptance score of 1.0. So, we
ducted where the SCOR model with the integration of can conclude that S21 and S3 are the best performing
MCDM has been used for supplier selection and very supplier. Apart from that, Supplier number 21 (S21)
few research works have been performed only using ranked 27 with an acceptance score of 0.89955, which
machine learning techniques for supplier selection and represents the weakest performed supplier among all the
performance evaluation. Previously Wilson et al. (2020) 28 suppliers. To measure the performance of our imple
implemented random forest and Zhao et al. (2021) used mented gradient boosting model, we have calculated the
K fold cross-validation machine learning algorithm for accuracy and error rate of our algorithm from the con
supplier selection. In this perspective, the proposed fusion matrix. Figure 5 shows the values of true positive
model in this paper is the first unified approach, where = 5, false positive = 1, false negative = 0, and true nega
the SCOR 4.0 model with the integration of gradient tive = 6. So, our implemented gradient boosting model
boosting machine learning algorithm has been imple has an accuracy of 91.6% in supplier selection and the
mented for supplier selection. In this research, we con error rate is 8.4%. The performance calculation of gra
sidered 28 different raw material suppliers of a local dient boosting algorithm of our research has shown in
pharmaceutical company. For this, we grouped the Table A2 in the appendix section. Sepehri (2020) used
main criterion of the suppliers under 7 categories the K fold cross-validation machine learning technique
which are reliability, flexibility, cost, responsiveness, for supplier selection, where the researchers were able to
digital technology, information systems, and services. achieve 92.83% accuracy. Because their dataset was lar
Extra metrics, such as digital technology and informa ger compared to ours. However, in our study, we were
tion systems, are included in the SCOR model to con able to achieve the precession percentage of 83.33%
struct the SCOR 4.0 model with a hierarchical metric which measures the correctly predicted number of sup
framework. The BWM has been used to determine the pliers, whereas the precision percentage achieved by
most and least important criteria of the SCOR 4.0 (Sepehri, 2020) was 70.1%. The findings of the experi
model. We developed the level 1 metrics based on relia ment demonstrate that using SCOR 4.0 in combination
bility, flexibility, cost, responsiveness, digital technol with machine learning can assist in identifying risk-free
ogy, information systems, and services. Level 2 and suppliers based on any supplier dataset. The decision-
level 3 metrics have been developed based on level 1 makers in charge of policy can acquire evaluations of
metrics. As discussed earlier, we used BWM to find out which suppliers or combinations of suppliers are the
the weights of level 2 and level 3 metrics. For this most critical in terms of the risks and can impact supply
purpose, we used 9 different linguistic variables to per chain performance. Therefore, the implementation of
form the pairwise comparison between the criterion of resilient and sustainable supplier selection in conjunc
each level of metrics. After the final weightage tion with artificial intelligence-based decision-making
SUSTAINABLE AND RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE 13
strategies has the capability of composing a reliable sys conclusion, the proposed methodology contributes sig
tem of supplier selection in any manufacturing nificantly to academic and industrial environments.
environment.
6.2. Implication for company executives and
policymakers
6. Implications
This research demonstrates an in-depth insight into
This section discusses the implications of this research
choosing the most potential suppliers for
from theoretical, practical, and company perspectives.
a pharmaceutical company. This research will help pol
icymakers in an organization determine which potential
suppliers can be included in their supply chain. This
6.1. Theoretical contribution and practical
study’s methodology will be a useful resource for deci
implication
sion-makers seeking to comprehend the impact of
This investigation has several implications for supplier diverse supplier selection criteria and sub-criteria. This
development strategies. The primary objective of sup snapshot would act as a standard for firms in the same
plier development is to identify prospective suppliers field and can enhance the company’s overall growth and
who can enhance a company’s past performance and future capabilities. The methodologies described in this
future capabilities. Firstly, machine learning can study give a lens for purchasing corporations to not only
improve supply chain risk management methods strengthen existing connections but also to uncover
because it permits the minimization of complexities potentially high-value partnerships in a supplier net
in risk management models through the analysis of work based on historical profiles and performance out
historical data and predicted outcomes, which can sub comes of any supplier.
stitute a variety of simplifying hypotheses. Secondly,
because the proposed model is based on a process of
7. Conclusion and future works
learning, it has the potential to make the decision-
making process more flexible and can dynamically With the advancement of globalization, it is becoming
analyze previous data to make better decisions. increasingly apparent that the supply chain must incor
Finally, the methodologies illustrated in this cannot porate resilience to gain a sustainable competitive ben
only can improve existing connections but also efit. The interconnected imperatives of resilience to
uncover potentially high-value partnerships in disruption and sustainability in evaluating and selecting
a supplier network based on historical patterns of pro suppliers’ performance have become a serious strategic
files and value outcomes. Compared to the existing problem. In recent years, environmental pressures have
literature on resilient and sustainable supplier selec made the supply chain and its management essential for
tion, this study appears to be the first to use SCOR organizations to remain competitive in the marketplace.
4.0 and machine learning to select the most potential However, a company’s supply chain is exposed to
supplier. This study also demonstrates the effectiveness a greater number of risks, including those posed by
and scalability of machine learning in the domain of nature, humans, and technology. These risks include
supply chain management. The methodology presented pandemics, floods, earthquakes, accidents involving
in this research has academic as well as industrial uses. transportation, labor strikes, and terrorist attacks.
The insights gained from this artificial intelligence- These disasters cause supply chain disruptions, which
based setting show both the flexibility and power of are detrimental to organizations due to lost productiv
machine learning techniques for making decisions in ity, revenue, competitive advantage, profitability, etc. To
supplier management that are flexible and proactive. protect the buyer from shortages and disruptions, it is
Companies can be more efficient with their resource essential to implement a resilient supply chain strategy
allocation when they have a clear understanding of for supplier selection. The fundamental objective of this
their suppliers’ different profiles and divide them into investigation is to develop a model that incorporates
groups that are easy to manage. Additionally, this a novel method for the selection of resilient and sustain
methodology can be applied in a variety of industrial able suppliers. The proposed methodology is divided
scenarios that can assist policymaker’s intake decisions into two phases. At the very first, the SCOR 4.0 model
while taking into account the choice of suppliers under was created and the evaluation criteria’s relative weights
diverse circumstances. In addition, humanitarian orga were solved by using BWM. The final weights of those
nizations operating mostly in distant places can gain criteria are then employed to rank the best and the most
direct insights from this study’s findings. In important criteria of each of the group metrics. In
14 M. D. M. KHAN ET AL.
the second phase, the gradient boosting ML algorithm is Niamat Ullah Ibne Hossain is an assistant professor in the
implemented to rank the supplier based on the criteria Department of Engineering Management at Arkansas State
of the group metrics. The cognitive ambiguity of experts University, USA. His main research interests include machine
learning, model-based systems engineering (MBSE)/SysML,
can be collected separately and then added to the model, data analytics, systems dynamics simulation, and systems
which is one of the advantages of the hybrid method. resilience, risk & sustainability management.
The SCOR model is more flexible when it comes to
processing information, which is another competitive
advantage of the method shown.
ORCID
In this research, there are some limitations. We have
considered the supplier only related to pharmaceutical Niamat Ullah Ibne Hossain http://orcid.org/0000-0002-
sectors. So, in the future other sectors can be explored. 6775-585X
Apart from that, we have applied only a gradient boost
ing algorithm for supplier ranking. In the future,
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Appendix