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Neuro Manuscript - An01288
America
2
Independent Researcher, Ontario, Canada
Abstract
There have been reports associated with the development of neurological adverse
events (AEs) post-vaccination. Here, we retrospectively examine the Vaccine Adverse
Events Reporting System (VAERS) database for neurological AEs reported following
vaccination. Since VAERS is a passive reporting system, to minimize reporting bias
and to reduce background events, this retrospective study examines both age-
stratified AE reports made with onset within 24 h of immunization, and age-stratified
AE reports regardless of timeframe from immunization. Immediate temporal onset
data patterns for febrile convulsion, seizure, and syncope AEs were observed for
multiple vaccines. For age-stratified AEs in infants up to 3 years of age, the following
patterns of high association were observed: (i) Aphasia, autism spectrum disorder,
and speech disorder were found to be highly associated with the measles, mumps,
and rubella and hepatitis B (HepB) vaccines; (ii) febrile convulsion and syncope were
found to be highly associated with the meningococcal group B vaccine; and (iii)
seizures were found to be highly associated with diphtheria and tetanus toxoids and
whole-cell pertussis (DTP) vaccines.
*Corresponding author:
Darrell O. Ricke
(doricke@molecularbioinsights.com) Keywords: Neurological diseases; Vaccines; COVID-19 vaccines; Febrile convulsion;
Seizure; Syncope; Autism spectrum disorder
Citation: Ricke DO, Rose J, 2024,
Signatures of neurological adverse
events after vaccination. Adv Neuro.
https://doi.org/10.36922/an.2258
pertussis (DTP),8,9 measles,9 and measles, mumps and type 2, alpha NaV1.2 (SCN2A),31,32 and katanin catalytic
rubella (MMR) vaccines.8 Neurological AEs following subunit A1 like 2 (KATNAL2).33
vaccinations10-12 and COVID-19 immunization have also
Multiple diseases with a genetic component have
been reviewed.13-16
been found to be triggered by vaccinations, and
Vaccine excipients have been considered in the several pathological events and diseases, such as the
context of possible associations with neurological AEs. overrepresentation of HLA-DR2 antigen in multiple
In a precautionary measure to decrease overall exposure sclerosis following vaccination34 (overviewed by Pordeus
to mercury in young children, the United States Food et al.35), Dravet syndrome with SCN1A4,36 and multiple
and Drug Administration (FDA) removed thimerosal autoimmune diseases have been reported.37 Children
from all childhood vaccines in 2001 with the exception of with Dravet syndrome, also known as severe myoclonic
inactivated influenza vaccine in multi-dose vials. A meta- epilepsy of infancy, present with their first seizure following
analysis concluded that exposure to thimerosal-containing vaccination. Mutations in the sodium channel protein
vaccines is associated with AEs, including autism spectrum type 1 subunit alpha (SCN1A) gene are frequently found
disorder (ASD) and speech disorders.17 A retrospective in these children.4,36 Furthermore, 18 additional genes
study of VAERS data from 1998 through 2000 found that associated with neurological AEs have been identified by
the vaccines for hepatitis B (HepB), diphtheria, tetanus sequencing post-vaccination.38
toxoids, and acellular pertussis (DTaP/DTAP) which
Both febrile and afebrile seizures that occur within
contained thimerosal were associated with an increased
14 days after immunization are regarded as vaccine-
risk ratio for the incidence of ASD.18 It is important to
proximate seizures.39 The vaccine-proximate seizure
note that VAERS19 data represents only a small fraction of
risk interval (days after vaccination) has been observed
AEs experienced by vaccinees due to well-known under
to be 5 – 14 days for live-attenuated MMR and measles,
reporting.20
mumps, rubella, and varicella vaccines and 0 – 2 days for
Wakefield et al. published a small case series in the three inactivated vaccines.39 Duffy et al.40 observed that
Lancet in 1998, indicating a possible association of ASD the risk for febrile seizures increased with concomitant
with the triple MMR vaccination, but this article was administration of influenza trivalent (IIV3) vaccine
retracted in 2010.21 It should be noted that thimerosal with either pneumococcal (PCV) or DTAP and further
is not found in the MMR vaccine. In a retrospective increased with concomitant administration of IIV3,
study in Denmark, 263 of 440,655 vaccinated children PCV, and DTAP. In a Danish study of children aged 15
(normalized frequency = 59.7)1 developed ASD while – 17 months, the cumulative incidence rate for febrile
53 of 96,658 unvaccinated children (normalized seizures per 1,000 children was 2.46 for MMR-vaccinated
frequency = 54.8) developed ASD.22 A time trend analysis children and 0.90 for unvaccinated children.41 Comparable
observed increasing risks of ASD from 1988 to 1993 results to the Danish study were observed in a systematic
while the MMR vaccination rate remained consistent at review and meta-analysis.42 Febrile seizures attributed to
over 95% for boys aged 2 to 5 in the United Kingdom.23 A DTP and MMR vaccines has been estimated to be 6 to 9
similar retrospective time trend analysis from California, and 25 – 34/100,000 children, respectively.8 A small subset
U.S.A., also showed increasing rates of ASD that were not of these events and all other AEs are passively collected in
associated with MMR vaccination.24 Based on multiple the VAERS database.19
studies including,22-25 the current medical community The VAERS database is designed to collect voluntary
consensus does not associate ASD onset with MMR submissions of AEs and SAEs post-immunization. Ideally,
immunization. In addition to exposure-associated AEs, the subset of AEs reported in VAERS is representative of
individual genetics plays a role in ASD. A large number AEs experienced by all vaccinees. As the time between
of genetic variants (copy number variations, duplications, the onset of symptoms of AEs post-immunization
deletions, translocations, inversions, and mutations) increases, the likelihood of reporting decreases, this
are associated with ASD,26-29 including mutations in the is referred to as reporting bias. Within a population,
genes chromodomain helicase DNA binding protein AEs can occur randomly and these are referred to as
8 (CHD8),30 neuronal voltage-gated sodium channel, background events. Each vaccine dose represents a single
immunization event. AEs reported post-immunization
1 Normalized frequency was calculated by dividing the total number
of AEs by the number of vaccinated individuals and multiplying
were compared against control populations (who
by 100,000 to obtain the rate of AE occurrence per 100,000 people received no immunization) for a window of time (days).
vaccinated. Signals that are temporally associated with immunization
can be lost against background frequencies of AEs as 2.2. Adverse events following immunization
the number of days considered increases. The observed Adverse events following immunization can be represented
highest reports of neurological AEs on day 0 may by the following equation for a population subset
simply reflect reporting bias. The observed frequencies X
immunized (P), AE (X), (n) days, reporting bias ( ri ) for
of AEs for each vaccine should represent background the i day post-immunization, vaccine-associated AEs
th
frequencies with expected random variations. Higher reported on the ith day post-immunization (viX ), and daily
associated frequencies of AEs likely represent potential
safety signals worthy of further investigations such background rate of AE (bX) (Equation I).
as proportional reporting ratio, Bayesian, or causality n days
Adverse event ( X ) = P * [ Σr
X
assessments. Performing surveillance on VAERS can i * (viX + b X ) ] (I)
help discover safety signals not detected in pre-market i=0
rb44 for summary totals by vaccine. To minimize the 19 immunizations with symptoms varied by age and
impact of reporting bias, the normalized frequencies AE (Figure 2 and Table S2). Differences in normalized
of multiple neurological AEs arising within 24 h of frequencies of neurological AEs were observed between
immunization were compared across multiple vaccines; the COVID-19 and influenza (FLU3) vaccines by age group
AEs were normalized to 100,000 VAERS reports for (Figures 2 and 3, Tables S2 and S3). For both influenza and
each vaccine, as shown in Figure 1 and Table S1 for 13 COVID-19, the normalized frequencies increased with age
vaccines. Syncope (loss of consciousness) is a known AE (>60 years old) for AEs: abnormal behavior (>70 years),
that can occur following immunization.45 For human aphasia (>70 years), cognitive disorder (>80 years),
papillomavirus quadrivalent (HPV4), the normalized encephalopathy (>80 years), seizure (>80 years), and speech
frequency of syncope is considerably higher than for other disorder (>80 years) (Tables S2 and S3); and for COVID-
vaccines (Figure 1 and Table S1). For the vaccine DTP, the 19 alone, the normalized frequencies increased with age
normalized frequency of seizures is three times that of for delirium (>70 years), and metabolic encephalopathy
DTAP vaccine, and nine times that of influenza (FLU3) (>70 years) (Table S2).
(Table S1). Increased reactogenicity for DTP compared
to DTAP has been previously reported.46 For abnormal 3.3. Infants (aged 0 – 2) safety signals
behavior, PNC13 has the highest normalized frequency For infants aged 0, 1, and 2, neurological AEs per
(Table S1). ASD has the highest normalized frequencies 100,000 shots with symptoms are summarized in Table 1
for MMR and Haemophilus B conjugate vaccine (HIBV or for 10 vaccines. The highest number of reports for all
HIB) (Table S1). This is further examined in the following neurological AEs had onset within the first 24 h, followed
section. The normalized frequencies for febrile convulsions in decreasing order by 48 h and 72 h. The Centers for
and syncope are high for meningococcal group B, rDNA Disease Control and Prevention has provided vaccination
absorbed (MENB) vaccine followed by DTP (Figure 1 recommendations based on age.47 It has been observed that
and Table S1). For the AE Staring, pneumococcal seizure episodes occurring on the day of vaccination are
(PNC) vaccine is associated with the highest normalized
most likely vasovagal syncopal episodes.48 For infants aged
frequency (Table S1).
0 – 1, syncope normalized frequencies are higher than for
3.2. COVID-19 and influenza vaccines safety signals those aged 1 – 2 and 2 – 3 (Table 1). Assuming no reporting
bias between identification of syncope and seizure, the
The COVID-19 vaccines were widely administered in the increase in reported seizure AEs associated with the
United States and comprised both the modified mRNA
DTP vaccine for infants aged 1 and 2 likely represents a
and adenoviral SARS-CoV-2 spike protein vaccines. The
vaccine-specific association (Table 1). In comparison,
frequencies of neurological AEs per 100,000 COVID-
the normalized frequencies for abnormal behavior are
relatively low for DTP in comparison to MMR and other
vaccines (Table 1). The normalized frequencies for febrile
convulsions and syncope are high for the MENB vaccine
(Table 1). The normalized frequencies for MMR are also
Figure 1. Day 0 adverse events frequencies per 100,000 vaccinations with Figure 2. Influenza (FLU3) neurological adverse events by age per
symptoms. 100,000 vaccinations with symptoms.
Table 1. Neurological adverse events per 100,000 vaccinations with symptoms in infants aged 0 – 2 years
Adverse events Age DTAP DTP FLU3 HEP HIBV IPV MENB MMR PNC PNC13
(AEs) (year)
Recommended 0 2, 4, and 6 See DTAP 6 mo. Birth and 2 and 4 mo. 2, 4, and 2, 4, and 2, 4, and 6 mo.
dosing mo. 1 – 2 mo. 6 – 18 mo. 6 mo.
1 15 – 18 mo. See DTAP 24 mo. 6 – 18 mo. 12 – 15 mo. 6 – 18 mo. 12 – 15 mo. 12 – 15 mo. 12 – 15 mo.
VAERS shots 0 14,496 13,133 1,859 14,616 31,980 13,316 1,687 980 15,681 14,579
with symptoms 1 13,940 4,351 3,166 2,884 17,024 4,398 621 30,890 8,069 6,421
2 2,557 761 1,016 802 1,858 809 252 2,208 1,023 844
Pyrexia (fever) 0 27,794 42,382 26,573 27,107 31,482 29,716 37,759 26,939 29,144 22,388
1 28,615 64,054 26,374 38,592 39,433 34,538 42,351 41,489 32,606 30,649
2 19,398 56,636 17,028 25,935 29,279 24,475 34,921 33,877 24,536 18,009
Abnormal 0 938 198 646 691 722 698 711 2,143 797 1,008
behavior 1 1,083 345 1,011 1,942 999 1,023 483 1,984 868 1,090
2 1,291 394 984 2,244 1,346 742 397 2,174 684 1,777
Aphasia 0 248 61 108 151 125 120 <59 1,633 83 158
1 574 437 632 589 693 455 322 1,172 359 716
2 391 131 98 499 646 124 <397 1,132 196 237
Autism spectrum 0 911 343 538 937 416 623 119 5,102 332 316
disorder 1 1,198 1,402 600 2,774 1,416 1,342 322 3,373 1,115 716
2 1,212 657 197 3,616 1,507 1,607 <397 4,982 978 711
Coordination 0 124 69 <54 103 59 75 59 612 38 48
abnormal 1 323 735 158 728 435 477 <161 702 359 140
2 117 394 492 873 431 371 <397 272 293 237
Encephalopathy 0 373 449 108 356 288 345 178 306 293 192
1 201 253 190 416 241 227 161 282 211 187
2 117 394 98 499 54 247 <397 272 <98 355
Encephalitis 0 366 297 108 322 266 368 296 612 166 254
1 158 161 126 277 282 227 161 450 335 265
2 274 263 197 499 161 494 397 136 293 <118
Febrile 0 1,462 1,432 4,034 1,368 1,401 1,675 9,959 2,959 1,422 1,907
convulsion 1 4,340 6,964 7,960 4,161 5,645 5,070 16,264 5,442 4,722 5,996
2 1,643 2,760 3,543 2,244 2,799 2,843 17,460 3,125 1,369 3,791
Meningitis 0 724 777 54 472 810 691 830 306 784 357
1 136 322 32 208 499 250 322 207 273 234
2 156 263 98 <125 1,722 <124 397 136 587 118
Nervous system 0 345 168 215 397 219 293 <59 1,327 249 144
disorder 1 222 161 95 1,110 229 250 <161 223 186 93
2 235 <131 98 1,372 215 124 <397 91 391 <118
Seizure 0 8,471 9,564 7,208 7,198 7,364 8,073 7,469 4,388 6,875 5,563
1 6,227 16,617 6,822 8,599 9,034 7,071 7,246 7,595 6,556 5,669
2 3,324 14,060 4,429 4,988 6,512 4,326 5,556 6,612 3,617 3,673
Speech disorder 0 531 442 108 684 313 421 <59 2,143 230 219
1 710 712 221 1,144 746 750 161 1,437 632 327
2 548 526 394 1,372 969 494 1,587 1,630 196 829
Staring 0 1,794 129 753 718 1,001 1,540 1,304 816 1,786 1,571
1 832 92 758 728 717 955 483 903 1,029 1,028
2 665 <131 295 249 538 1,112 397 725 880 474
Syncope 0 1,621 921 699 1,232 1,185 1,975 5,453 1,122 1,817 1,687
1 725 850 442 832 723 1,364 4,026 864 768 1,168
2 548 1,183 1,181 998 646 742 2,778 951 782 592
Note: Neurological AE frequency greater than 1,000 are in bold. Abbreviation: mo.: Months.
A B
Figure 5. Autism spectrum disorder yearly normalized frequencies for (A) polio virus, inactivated; (B) measles, mumps, and rubella; and (C) Haemophilus
B conjugate vaccine. The charts were developed based on Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System data from 1990 to November 3, 2023.
AEs—contrary to the conclusion of a recently published Relative proportions could be compared with detailed
systematic review.54 The authors found significantly more AE tracking in large clinical trials to detect possible
neurological AEs reported following Janssen (AD26. perturbations in the VAERS database such that as the
CoV2.S) vaccination when compared to either Pfizer– timeframe widens post-immunization, the fraction of
BioNTech (BNT162b2) or Moderna (mRNA-1273) AEs reported decreases. For example, a clinical study to
vaccination;55 however, their calculations do not include the reveal differences in reporting bias could be conducted
X
reporting bias ( ri ) term. Influenza vaccinees have higher by comparing two matched populations by tracking
normalized frequencies for ages of 0 – 9 years compared to VAERS reports: Group A based on the current VAERS
older ages for abnormal behavior, aphasia, coordination reporting while group B based on the reporting of all
abnormal, seizure, and speech disorder (Tables S2 and S3); AEs. Adverse events for group A would be tracked (as
therefore, the risk of neurological AEs may decrease with done currently) and all AEs are collected for group B.
increasing child age. In the case of the COVID-19 products, These results could then be compared to larger clinical
the normalized frequencies for mental status changes were studies using adjustments for asymptomatic individuals
found to increase when compared to influenza for adults and the tracking details of AEs. For each specific AE,
older than 60 (Tables S2 and S3), with upward trends for reporting biases would be the same for all vaccines to
older adults with multiple AEs reported for both vaccines. enable quantitative comparisons.
The etiology for these observations remains unknown and
there could be other contributing factors, including lower 5. Conclusion
resiliency associated with aging and unknown effects of
repeat “boosting” with COVID-19-modified mRNA and The risks associated with developing neurological AEs
adenoviral platforms. A retrospective cohort study of older following vaccinations might be reduced through the
adults in the United States found a low risk for AEs in the following measures: (i) Modifying the current vaccination
context of the modified mRNA products while noting that schedule recommendations for infants, (ii) reducing the
the risk of all AEs increased with greater frailty.56 In the case number of concomitant vaccinations, (iii) evaluation and
of tinnitus, COVID-19 vaccines have the highest normalized removal of possible contaminants from the manufacturing
frequency (Table S1). COVID-19 vaccine-associated process, (iv) modifying or removing vaccine excipients
tinnitus has been documented57 and the observed (e.g., replacing aluminum-containing adjuvant with
immediate onset of tinnitus (within 24 h of vaccination) an alternative adjuvant), and (v) modifying vaccine
may not be consistent with the proposed possible components (the AE profiles for closely related vaccines for
mechanisms of molecular mimicry and autoimmune the same target organism can have different AE profiles).
reactions or antibody-antigen complexes leading to type III Relevant documents (e.g., FDA package insert) should be
hypersensitivity reaction. COVID-19 vaccines have been adjusted as appropriate to ensure that informed consent
suggested to act as a trigger event for serious neurological requirements are met.
AEs following immunization.58
Acknowledgments
4.3. Comparing normalized frequencies
None.
Examining AEs by age across all vaccines enables the
identification of safety signals (Table 1). Comparing and Funding
contrasting normalized frequencies between equivalent None.
vaccines can better inform consent and future dosing
recommendations. Examining yearly normalized frequencies Conflict of interest
can illuminate impacts of changes to excipient compositions
and manufacturing quality improvements. The author declares they have no competing interests.
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