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Theory
This year is the 30th
anniversary of the
publication of Stephen Jay
Gould's famous essay,
Evolution as Fact and
Theory in Discover
magazine (May 1981).1
Also:
There are some people who are not anti-science but still
claim that evolution is "only" a theory that can't be
proven. This group needs to distinguish between the fact
that evolution occurs and evolutionary theories about the
mechanisms of evolution. But there's an additional point
that needs to be emphasized. Some of the proposed
mechanisms of evolution, such as natural selection and
random genetic drift, are facts, not speculations. We know
for a fact that both these mechanisms occur in living
populations. These are not "theoretical models" of
evolution, they actually occur. They are part of
evolutionary theory because, in many cases, we don't
know for sure which one predominates in a particular case
—or even if there might be another mechanism such as
Lamarckian inheritance, molecular drive, or mutationism.
The honest scientist, like the philosopher, will tell you that
nothing whatever can be or has been proved with fully
100% certainty, not even that you or I exist, since we
might be dreaming the whole thing. Thus there is no sharp
line between speculation, hypothesis, theory, principle,
and fact, but only a difference along a sliding scale, in the
degree of probability of the idea. When we say a thing is a
fact, then, we only mean that the probability of it being
true is high—so high that we are not bothered by doubt
about it and are ready to act accordingly. By this use of
the term "fact"—the only proper definition—evolution is a
fact. For the evidence in favor of it is as voluminous,
diverse, and convincing as in the case of any other well
established fact of science concerning the existence of
things that cannot be directly seen, such as atoms,
neutrons, or solar gravitation ....