Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Chalmers 1985 - Galileo's Telescopic Observations of Venus and Mars
Chalmers 1985 - Galileo's Telescopic Observations of Venus and Mars
JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide
range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and
facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org.
Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at
https://about.jstor.org/terms
and Oxford University Press are collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend
access to The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science
Discussions
GALILEO'S TELESCOPIC OBSERVATIONS OF VENUS AND MARS
According to the Copernican theory the distance of both Mars and Venus
from the Earth should vary appreciably during the course of the journeys of
We now know that the observed 'size' of a star is produced entirely by the interaction of light
from the star with the intervening medium and the eye and has no bearing on its physical size.
Incidentally, Galileo's hypothesis concerning irradiation gives him at least the beginnings of
an explanation of the 'inconsistency' between the magnification of planets and stars by the
telescope. Since the stars are more distant, the irradiation is more pronounced, perhaps too
pronounced to be entirely removed by the telescope. As we shall see, Galileo offered a direct
test of the dependence of irradiation on the distance of the source.
III
This is in keeping with Feyerabend's remarks on Reason and Practice in his [1978], pp.
16-3I.
2 This was the 'criterion of science itself' according to Scipio Ciaramonti (1565-1652), the
author of Anti Tycho quoted by Galileo ([19671, p. 248).
3 On this aspect of Aristotle's view see, for example, I. Block [1961] and S. Gaukroger ([1981],
PP. 75-89).
responded to the latter's use of the telescope by observing that 'if God had
meant man to use such a contrivance in acquiring knowledge, He would
have endowed men with telescopic eyes' (Kuhn [1959], p. 226) and it seems
to have been in Galileo's mind when he wrote that 'nature has not granted so
perfect [a sense of sight] to men that they can succeed in discerning such
distinctions [as the variations in size of Mars and Venus and the phases of the
latter]', whereas, in the telescope, 'it has pleased God to concede to human
ingenuity an invention so wonderful as to have the power of increasing
vision.. .' ([1967], p. 335).
By using the telescope, then, Galileo undermined in practice standards
implicit in Aristotelian methodology. In a similar way, a century later, the
generally held view that action at a distance is an absurdity was undermined,
in practice, through the success of Newton's theory involving gravitational
attraction. It is implausible, to say the least, that such moves could be
anticipated and legislated for in advance by methodologists. We can expect
methodologies to alter in the light of new discoveries, including practical
discoveries, and for this reason the notion of a universal, ahistorical account
of method that can serve as a standard, not only for present but also for
future knowledge, is an absurdity. In so far as the episode in science
involving Galileo's use of the telescope is an example of standards changing
in the light of practical discoveries, it provides the opportunity for
constructing a case against a universal method. I suggest that the argument
of this article indicates that Feyerabend has not taken full advantage of that
opportunity, and spoils his case by exaggerated, unsubstantiated and
unsupportable claims.
ALAN CHALMERS
University of Sydne
REFERENCES
Suppose as before that P(e jh & b)= i but this time imagine that e is known
[contained in the background information] so that P(e I b) = i. It follows im-
mediately from Bayes' Theorem that P(h I e & b) = P(h I b). Hence known evidence
cannot offer any additional confirmation. But this implication is counter-intuitive,
since there are central examples, as we noted earlier, where already known evidence
has increased the confirmation of a hypothesis.
Later, the authors resolve this difficulty in their long paper. My main
purpose is to point out that the difficulty was briefly resolved by an
argument published in 1968, which was based on the concept of dynamic
probability.
To make the argument concrete we may plug in 'values' for e, h and b. Let
h denote Newton's inverse square law of gravitation, let b, denote the
detailed observations of the positions and motions of planets, let b2 denote
other background information, so that b = b, & b2, and let e denote the fact
that the orbits of the planets are (approximately) elliptical. Then h implies e,
so P(bl I h & b2)/P(bl I - h & b2) would rightly be judged to be large by most
astronomers, that is, b has already provided substantial evidence in favour of
h. This corroboration of h is not increased by stating the evidence a second
time, if it has already been taken into account. Sometimes the background
information supports a hypothesis h, but the support has been overlooked.
When the support is noticed for the first time the multisubjective
probability of h increases suddenly. An example was the support of
Newton's inverse square law of gravitation by the previously known
approximate elliptical orbits of the planets. Before Newton did the
mathematics, this support was not noticed. This point was made by Good
([1968], p. 129). The argument exemplified the concept of dynamic
probability, called there shifting, slippery, sliding, superficial, surface,
changeable, or evolving probability. The same example has been recently
used by Niiniluoto [1983] who refers to the shift in conclusions owing to the