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A Critical Comment
In the last two decades, the pan-European crisis of 1846-8 and the revolu-
tionary upheavals of 1848 itself have been a chosen testing ground for the
theoretical approaches of some eminent American sociologists and political
scientists. The embroilment of Franceand central Europe in a revolutionary
process and, conversely, the absence of any comparable revolutionarychal-
lenge in England has been interpretedin the light of large scale evolutionist
theories of modernization and stages of economic development. Older em-
phases on the political origins of revolution or its absence have been down-
played in favor of comparative social typologies, and the propensity to a
politics of confrontation and direct action have been placed within a frame-
work of developmental sociology. In general, what seems to have been
involved is an inversion of the classical Marxist model of proletarianrevolu-
tion. Despite the considerabledifferencesof object and emphasis in the work
of Barrington Moore, Charles Tilly, and Eric Wolf, one common theme at
least emerges. It is that the bearers of anticapitalist revolution were not the
new factory proletariat, but those groups most threatened by industrializa-
tion - "preindustrial"artisans and peasants.' Eric Wolf, in his book Peasant
Wars of the 20th Century, emphasizes the revolutionary role of middle
peasants, the most vigorous carriers of peasant traditions and a social
stratum both willing and still able to organize collective resistance to the
incursions of capitalist agricultureand the world market. BarringtonMoore
in his latest work, Injustice,treats 1848 in Germanyas a revolt of guild-mas-
ters and preindustrial journeymen. The new proletariat, so far as they
existed, he considers to have possessed no coherent political perspectiveand
to have remained quiescent. Charles Tilly and the many historians of nine-
teenth-century France inspired by his work have again stressed the role of
tight-knit communities of artisans and peasants and correlate their capacity
to organize resistancewith the traditionalismof their values and goals. Once
University of Cambridge
What emerges from all these accounts is the conservative character of the
revolutionary. Just as Trevor Roper, in his account of the English seven-
teenth-centuryrevolution, assigned the revolutionary role to the declining
gentry,2so Craig Calhoun, who broadly shares Tilly's approach, states that
"we need to see revolutions against capitalism as based not in the new class
that capitalism forms, but in the traditional communities and crafts that
capitalism threatens."What is stressed in this more or less shared picture of
confrontationist and potentially revolutionary social groups is a "rooted-
ness" in a social order under threat, and this pre-existing social order is
generallycharacterizedas traditional,"preindustrial,"steeped in custom and
ritual, dominated by face-to-face social relations, affective rather than cal-
culative and rational in its social bondings. Paradoxically, however, much of
the intellectual authority, both conceptual and empirical, appealed to in
recent times by this approach, also derives from the work of two English
historians who stand in a position of self-confessed allegiance to a Marxist
tradition of historiography - Eric Hobsbawm and Edward Thompson.
However much their ultimate evaluation of the historical process may di-
verge from some of the American theorists, Hobsbawm's work Primitive
Rebels and Thompson's notion of "moral economy" or "customs in com-
mon," are not difficult to assimilate into a pictureof societal development in
the nineteenthand twentieth centuries,which derives more inspirationfrom
Weber than from Marx.3 What they have strongly reinforcedis a notion of
the preindustrial,as a culture, as a coherent system of values and customs,
not only distinct from emerging liberal capitalism, but also, implicitly at
least, distinct from later working-classlife under industrialcapitalism.
their replacementby a new industrial working class, more distant from and
increasingly without "radical"preindustrialroots, culturally permeable to
ascendant capitalist values and prone to "respectability"and reformism.
England escaped revolution in 1848 because it stood severalstages nearerto
the evolutionary terminusimplied by this model - that in which, accordingto
Craig Calhoun, capitalism would "recreate the majority of the working
population into its [own] more individualisticand bureaucraticimage."
The first thing I would like to question about this picture of nineteenth-cen-
tury revolution as the product of threatened social groups of artisans and
peasants rooted in preindustrialvalues, customs, and communities, is its
implicit model of capitalist development. Like the Communist Manifesto
model of Marxism to which it is juxtaposed, it assumes that the destiny of
such groups was to disappear in the face of large-scalecapitalist agriculture
and modern factory industry. If, however, we projectthat model forward in
time to the late nineteenth century - or even further into the twentieth - we
can see that such a predictionis very misleading.The Englishdevelopment of
capitalist agriculturehas been the exception ratherthan the rule, and may be
ascribedto the highly peculiarpolitical frameworkdevised by a seventeenth-
and eighteenth-centuryagrarian capitalist class, rather than to a universal
logic of capitalist development. In Prussia, for example, where the intention
of the Stein-Hardenbergreformsof 1807-21 was preciselyto promote a form
of peasant emancipation that would benefit an English-styleclass of substan-
tial agrarian capitalists, rather than a French-style class of peasant small-
holders, peasants in the first half of the nineteenth century sacrificed 1 mil-
lion hectares to landed proprietors. Yet, even so, by 1869 the peasantry
owned 49% of the land, the Junkers 45%. The explanation of this paradox
was the tremendous extension of cultivation that succeeded emancipation
(from 7.3 to 12.5million hectaresbetween 1815and 1848).4The laterattempt
by the Russian state to generate a capitalist agriculture was a far more
unequivocal failure.5 In general, peasants have not simply disappeared
through the logic of capitalist developments. Where they have, long sus-
tained state pressure or exceptional political violence - from enclosure to
collectivization - have been necessary in addition. Certainly peasants in
Western and Central Europe have not disappeared, as can be testified by
anyone who has studied the politics of the Common Market today.
completely new industry which took off in the second half of the nineteenth
century - iron shipbuilding.8It is important to note that these industriesto
which I have alluded were as much new industries of the nineteenth century
as mechanical spinning had been a distinctive innovation of the end of the
eighteenth century. It is quite misleading to harp on their "traditional"
features, when their working methods, their products, their markets,and the
bulk of their labor force were no more or less rooted in preindustrialcustoms
or values than were their equivalents working in cotton mills and iron
foundaries.
If the decline of Chartism after 1842 was not uniform between regions, this
again cannot be correlated in any neat way with a division between factory
districts, handloom weaving areas, or skilled workshop areas. In part, the
The primary division in England, at least to the end of the 1880s, lay not
between factory workers and artisans, but between those who possessed a
So far we have argued against the exaggeration of the polarity between the
outlook of artisansand factory workersin the recent historiographyof 1848.
In the country where factory production was most highly developed and
where that polarity may be most extensively tested - England - recent
researchcasts doubt on the strong contrasts that have habituallybeen drawn
between the Chartism of factory workers and that of artisans or outwork-
ers.'6This is not to suggest that thereare no relevantdiversitiesbetweentypes
of production, occupation, or popularcultures.It is simply to arguethat such
diversities do not in themselves explain the prevalence or absence of a
particular type of popular politics and that their pertinence must be con-
structed in each case, not simply assumed on the basis of a priori social
hypotheses. It has also been arguedthat skilledartisanswere not a disappear-
ing component of the workforce in either England, France, or Germany in
the second half of the nineteenth century;and it would also be necessary to
add that they did not retreat from the salient role they had played in labor
movements either. In England around the time of the Second Reform Bill,
they dominated the trade union movement and continued to do so up to the
1880s, just as in Paris they dominated the Commune and the Bourses de
Travailand in Germanythey formed the core of the SPD. Thus, if we are to
explain why the capitalist order appeared much more stable in the second
half of the nineteenth century, our explanation would have to include
artisans within it.
How then does the global crisis of 1845-7 relate to the revolutions of 1848,
and why did England escape them? Rather than comparing countries ac-
cording to some scale of comparative stages of social and industrialevolu-
tion, as the Communist Manifesto, Rostovian growth theorists, and histori-
cal sociologists are alike prone to do, we should, I believe, think in terms of
phases of capitalist development as a global entity - as a system of combined
and uneven development - that (a) should be looked at structurally and
synchronically in any given epoch, but (b) will be decisively inflected by its
political conditions of existence and operation in different states.
In the case of the relative impact of the economic crisis in France and
England between 1845and 1848, its incidence has been admirablydescribed
by Mark Traugott, so I will not go over the same ground. What I will briefly
attempt to do, is on the one hand to place the crisis in a more epochal
framework and, on the other, to highlight the importance of the different
political conditions that obtained in each country. One conclusion that might
follow from this is that the reason there were fewer"social movements"in the
second half of the nineteenthcenturyis not primarilybecause other countries
were now following the path successfully pioneered by England, but rather
because there was greater stability to the capitalist system as a whole.
Changes on this scale indicate something more than harvestcrisis on the one
hand and industrialdepression on the other. They suggest a more long-term
disruption of the relationsbetweentown and country, engenderednot simply
by potato blight and bad wheat harvests, but compounded by a pervasive
crisis of rural bye-industryin the textile sector. To explain this aspect of the
crisis, we must attempt to place the crisis of the 1840s in the generalcontext of
British and European industrialization in the first half of the nineteenth
century.
Compared with the last half of the eighteenth century and the second half of
the nineteenth, the pace of technological change was slow (for example, the
slowness of the introduction of mechanical weaving). This was mainly the
result in Britain of abundance of labor supply and uncertainty of foreign
markets. In Europe, this was accentuated by the decline of linen exports and
the domestic competition between linen and cotton. Protoindustrialization
in the eighteenth century had particularlybenefitted those on the margin of
rural society. Areas of protoindustrializationhad been characterizedby a
higher than average birth rate, lower ages of marriageand, much literary
evidence suggests, higher rates of illegitimacy.24Moreover, political changes
during the French revolutionary period increased the labor supply. In
France, the dividing up of the commons and the imposition of stricter
forest laws increasedthe hardshipof those beneath the peasant smallholders,
and impelled them into whatever subsidiary industrial employments were
available. In Prussia, the onerous conditions of peasant emancipation, and
the proliferationof a practicallylandless stratum of cottagers dependent on
casual labor had a similar effect.
But while the supply of rural labor increased, the demand contracted. The
mechanization of spinning in cotton pushed former spinners into weaving.
The contraction of the export market for linen had analogous effects. The
domestic marketdid not greatly expand. The debt burdenson the peasantry
if anything encouraged a tendency towards subsistence. Moreover, the do-
mestic market was subject to the constant pressure of foreign competition.
Cottage industryin textiles had to face Britishmachine competition. Cotton
prices fell 72% between 1815 and 1851. The price of linen yarn halved
between the 1790sand 1840s. In such a situation, however, where labor was
abundant and agriculturalearnings were low, workers in domestic industry
reacted to superior factory competition by increasing output and lowering
their rates, thus retardingthe pace of mechanization. In England, according
to Habakkuk, between 1819 and 1829, the number of handlooms fell from
1840s, mitigated the impact of the crisis at home. Even with a considerable
rise in the price of corn in 1846-7, the domestic marketfor manufactureswas
not hit so heavily because unemploymentwas far less severe in those sectors
of the economy dependent on exports.
If we wish to trace the connection between the crisis and the revolutions,
however, this differencebetween Englandand Europewould certainlynot be
sufficient.First,as MarkTraugott has shown, the crisisin England,while not
as harsh as France, was neverthelesssevere - indeed more so, if we included
the Irish crisis; and conversely, the worst of the crisis in France was over
before February 1848. Moreover the crisis in the countryside played only an
indirect role in the 1848 revolutions, which were in the first instance generat-
ed in capital cities. The handling of distress by the state was an object of
political criticism among the urban classes both in France and in Central
Europe. But, until the Red Republican movement of 1849-50, which devel-
oped after the Parisian working class had been defeated in June 1848, there
was little synchronization and no effective political coordination between
urban and rural movements; and even then, the areas most hit by the
protoindustrial crisis - Westphalia and Northern and Western France, for
instance - were more likely to be mobilized by parties of order.28
Among the working classes themselves, the picture of their activities in 1848
is incomprehensible unless it is understood that politically - as a coherent
movement with coherent aims and tactis - Chartism had already been
defeatedfrom the early 1840s.29In the first half of the yeartherewerea consid-
erablenumberof riots by the unemployed. Most contemporariescommented
on the general youthfulness and disorderliness of the participants, and
Chartist activists were forced on several occasions to disown them. In
general, one is struck by the absence of the large, threatening,but controlled
meetings that had so impressed observers of Chartism in the late 1830s and
early 1840s. Second - and here perhaps is a possible connection with the
previous agriculturalcrisis - the momentum of Chartism, such as it was in
1848, and in particularafter April 10, was mainly the result of the alliance
between the Chartistsand the Irish.The insurrectionarytone, the propensity
to violent struggle, and most of the conspiratorial activity was centered on
the Irish issue. Chartism itself was already a spent force. Even its own
activists had become sceptical of its methods - the petition, the convention,
the appeal to the disaffected middle classes. Only in the West Riding and in
certaindistrictsof London could it be said that the movement was more than
a shadow of its former self. The reason for this, as I have argued, had little to
do with the decline of artisan or outworkercommunities. In the first instance
it was because Chartism had already been politically and ideologically
defeated in the years leading up to the Repeal of the Corn Laws. Whereas
republicanism and socialism provided growth points, capable of uniting
town and country at least in Southern France between 1849 and 1851, in
England the chances of any popular alliance comparable to Red Republica-
nism had been academic since the end of the 1830s. The economic stabiliza-
tion that occurred in the 1840s only confirmed this trend and helped to
consolidate the new framework of popular politics - affecting artisan and
factory worker alike - that became predominant after the mid-century.
NOTES