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Smartphone, Internet and Digitalization in India: An Exploratory Analysis
Smartphone, Internet and Digitalization in India: An Exploratory Analysis
ABSTRACT
This study attempts to investigate the changing face of Indian smartphone market in the
era of internet and digitization being recently observed in the Indian consumer durables
market. In this century, the smartphone is now one of the most useful technological
applications which is changing from feature phone to smartphone market. Global
smartphone user rate is growing rapidly with India becoming the second-largest market.
We attempted to analyse the growth of the smartphone market considering the role of
internet user and digitalization in India following an exploratory approach. The study
shows huge potential of the smartphone market in India with changing shares of
different players in this market. This study also establishes that smartphones are
increasing more rapidly compared to mobile phone market.
1.0 Introduction
The smartphone was still rare outside Japan until the introduction of the „Danger
Hiptop‟ in 2002, which show moderate success US consumer. Outside the US and Japan,
Nokia was seeing success with its smartphone based on „Symbion‟, Originally developed
by Psion for their personal organizer and it was most popular Smartphone OS in Europe
during the middle to late 2000s. In 2007, the LG Prada was the first mobile phone
released with a large capacity touch screen. In October 2008, the first phone to use
Google‟s Android operating system. By the mid- the 2010s, almost all smartphone were
touchscreen-only and Android and iPhone Smartphone dominated the market
(Wikipedia).
Now India is the second-largest smartphone1 user in the world. India overcomes
the second placer of USA and ranks after China (eMarketer). The number of smartphone
users in the country is expected to be double to 859 million by 2022 from 468 million
users in 2017 growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.9%. The non-
smartphone ownership in India will decrease from 701 million in 2017 to 504 million in
2022 at a CAGR of -6.4% as more and more people opt for smartphone (Goenka 2019).
The country had 432 million mobile internet user in December 2016 of which 269
million (62.3%) were from urban India and 163 million (37.7%) from the rural area. The
number of internet user in India is expected to reach between 450-465 million by June
2017 (IAMAI & KANTAR IMRB, 2016). The number of Internet users in India has
registered an annual growth of 18% in 2018. The number of internet users is estimated to
be 566 million as of December 2018. By the end of the year, 2019 projects double-digit
growth and estimates that the number of internet users will reach 627 million. Not
surprisingly, 97% of users access the internet on their mobile device (Kantar IMRB
ICUBE 2018). Rural India is growing at a much higher rate than urban India. For the
greater affordability of mobile services in India especially with the launch of Reliance
Jio, The total monthly average mobile bill has decreased over time. This augurs well for
smartphone penetration in the coming days and can pave the path for greater penetration
for rural India as affordable handsets and cheap data plans are available for the lower
level income section of the population (IAMAI & IMRB). Wireless mobile internet shall
play a pivotal role in non-metro and rural areas. Even though the major portion of
wireless internet subscribers is 2G users, the adoption of 4G is gradually increasing. The
digital India initiatives by the government are also expected to be instrumental in driving
the demand for 4G. For these, the government is investing and Reliance Jio has
investment INR 700 bn for allocation of the 4G spectrum where their network would
encompass 6,00,000 villages in India. Digital Banking and cashless transaction are
increasing through the growing of smartphone in India. Therefore, today smartphone is
an essential personal device in the Indian population.
24 PRAGATI: Journal of Indian Economy, Volume 6, Issue 2, Jul-Dec 2019
people now spent more time on online content consumption when compared to data
consumption through traditional media. The reasons for this rise is due to the
improvement in the field of mobile technology, better internet connectivity, lowered cost
of smartphone and data plans. Saripalle and Mukhopadhyay (2016) worked on mobile
phone penetration, income inequality, and economic growth in India. It was a panel data
study of Indian states. This study attempted to find out the direction and magnitude of
the impact of income and inequality on mobile penetration along with other socio-
demographic variables. It observed that income, inequality population density was found
to have a significant impact on the penetration of mobile phones across Indian states.
The paper of Agarwal and Bhagoliwal (2016) examined the managing technology and
innovation in the mobile handset industry. This study explained on mobile phone
banking, social network through the mobile phone, entertainment appliance in the mobile
phone, and mobile cloud computing. The study attempted to review the post studies to
achieve a better understanding of the importance of management of technology and
innovation with no specific intent to influence the technology and innovation
management process. The study of Contreras and Lakshane (2017) has shown the
potential impact of the patent on the mobile device market in India. This study explained
the Indian telecommunication market, The Indian patent system, and the mobile patent
landscape in India. Indian manufacturers can no longer ignore patents. Foreign firms
already dominate the mobile device patent landscape in India. The aggressive assertion
of the patient by multinational firms against Indian‟s low-cost domestic producers could
reduce the supply of inexpensive mobile devices available to the Indian population,
thereby limiting the many social, health, and economic benefits afforded by mobile
technology. However, no work is done the growth of smartphone and mobile internet
use, as Smartphone is a personal device now, which is the most helpful of digitalization
of India.
The data has been collected from various secondary sources such as Internet and
Mobile Association of India (IAMAI), Indian Market Research Bureau (IMRB), Mobile
Marketing Association (MMA), Nielsen Intelligence, KPMG in India, IPSOS Business
Consulting, IDC (International Data Corporation) India, ICICI Securities, IBEF,
Ericsson, Deloitte, Consumer Voice, Census report-2011, Ministry of Electronics and
Information Technology, National Sample Survey (NSS), rural marketing books in India
etc. This work is an exploratory study of smartphone market penetration relating to
internet and digitization.
26 PRAGATI: Journal of Indian Economy, Volume 6, Issue 2, Jul-Dec 2019
The rapid upheaval of technology and storming fast internet has led to enormous
growth in the number of smartphone users in India. The smartphone market in India
grew 14.5% in 2018 with a shipment of 142.3 million units. In the previous year,
shipment stood at 124.3 million units (IDC 2019).
In 2014, smartphone user was 123.3 million in India. It was 21.2% of the total
mobile phone user. In 2019, smartphone user will be 317.1% of the total mobile phone
user that is 39% of the total mobile phone user in India. According to GSMA
Intelligence report, smartphone connection was 2% in the year 2010 and it will be
increased to 98% by the year 2020. With the increase in smartphone connection in India,
there will decrease in feature phone connection from 57% to 43%. According to ovum
Telecom Forecast and EY Estimates, smartphone growth rate was 24% in 2014 and 31%
in 2015 and it will have increased to 51% by the year 2018 and 59% by the year 2020.
Smartphone, Internet and Digitalization in India-An Exploratory Analysis 27
Being dependent on Ericsson mobile report (Heuveldop 2017), 270 million smartphone
subscribers was in 2016 and it will be 890 million in 2022. This growth rate will be
CAGR 22%.
900
813.2
775.5
800 730.7
684.1
700 638.4
581.1
600
500
400
317.1
279.2
300 243.8
204.1
200 167.9
123.3
100
0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Mobile Phone User(Million) Smartphone user( Million)
Depending on the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI), there are 499
million mobile subscribers in rural India (June-2017), which are 109 million users own
Smartphone
Figure 2: Feature Phone and Smart Phone Market Share in India (2012, 2017)
120%
Fearture Phone Smartphone
100%
12%
80%
48%
60%
88%
40%
52%
20%
0%
2012 2017
Source: Ipsos Business Consulting (n.d.) (India’s Mobile Phone Market)
the world leave behind the USA in 2016. The USA is now the third-largest smartphone
market in the world. India is a faster-growing smartphone market. Indians are still
beginning to get used to smartphone. The greatest reasons behind the increasing
penetration are the low-cost factors and with high-end features. For the cost coming
down, every person who goes out to purchase a mobile phone is tempted to buy
smartphone when he sees that he can get a better phone with more features for the same
price or even lesser.
800
700
600
2013
500 2014
400 2015
300 2016
200 2017
2018
100
0
China USA India Japan Russia
India already contributed almost 7.6% to the global smartphone market in 2015
and expected to reach 13.5% by 2019. Out of total handset sales of 30 crore units in
Smartphone, Internet and Digitalization in India-An Exploratory Analysis 31
2015, smartphone contributes 11.40 crore units (38%). This contribution is expected to
increase above 50% by 2020. Smartphone industries expect to leverage on the rural
demand and support the government in realizing the Indian digital dream. India is the
second-largest smartphone market in the world by the end of Feb 2016 with 608.4
million urban subscribers and 443.5 million rural subscribers. (According to the report
of, Assocham-KPMG and IBEF)
5.5 Entertainment spending time in smartphone, TV, and print media in India
The smartphone is special consumer durables in which consumers engage a lot
of time. It is now the most interesting entertainment side of daily life. The comparison is
given bellow with the smartphone and other entertainment.
counterparts. Another revealed in this report is the rise of online shopping category,
which now has 15% more reach than entertainment.
500 462
300
243 238
190
200
137 137
91
100 48
0
Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 *Jun-16
Total Internet User Mobile Internet User
According to the Kantar IMRB ICUBE report 2018, the number of internet users
in India has registered an annual growth of 18% and is estimated at 566 million as of
December 2018.It projected double-digit growth and estimates that the number of
Smartphone, Internet and Digitalization in India-An Exploratory Analysis 33
internet users will reach 627 million by the end of 2019. Ninety-seven percent of users
use a mobile phone as one of the devices to access the internet.
Figure 6: Mobile Internet User in Rural and Urban India (Figure in millions)
262
Rural
171
101 109
70 68
44 36
21
4
Rural Urban
that a large number of rural internet users are used to the mobile phone as it a personal
device that pocket size and transferable. Telecom Regulatory Authority of India
(TRAI) wants the government to consider free data suggestion to bridge rural
India‟s digital divide.
120% 1% 6%
7%
100% 17%
80%
60% 92%
77%
40%
20%
0%
Rural Urban
Source: IAMAI & KANTAR IMRB (2016), (Internet in India – 2016)
Female-25%
Female-40% Female-36% Female-41%
Male-75%
Male-60% Male-64% Male-59%
4 Million 4.2%
58.4%
346 Million
From Figure 10, we observed that, 4G market in India has grown from 4 million
to 346 million from the year 2015 to 2018. After 2G, 3G, 4G, the Indian government
wants to get an early adoption of 5G (Fifth Generation), which is expected to
commercially roll out by 2020. 5G is expected to offer not only more speed for the end-
user and also have the capacity to connected the billions of devices like some driverless
car and households appliance which will connect to the internet in the near future
(GSMA (2018).
Smartphone, Internet and Digitalization in India-An Exploratory Analysis 37
90 Crore
63 Crore
50 Crore
40 Crore
Smartphone users Mobile Phone users Internet users Aadhar Register users
Source: Digital India, Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology, GOI, August 24, 2017
38 PRAGATI: Journal of Indian Economy, Volume 6, Issue 2, Jul-Dec 2019
460 Lakh
500
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Source: Digital India-2017
Smartphone, Internet and Digitalization in India-An Exploratory Analysis 39
8.0 Findings
The smartphone market in India has been growing rapidly. The main reason for the
rising of smartphone is the affordable handset and data surfing in semi-urban and
rural India, especially with the launch of Reliance Jio.
Digital India vision, make in India and advance technology is the most important
efforts of this penetration.
People are now engaging more time on smartphone rather than entertainment like
TV, print media, etc. [IMRB &MMR]
Large screen smartphone and increasing internet connectivity is translated into
financial transactions and related digital activities.
9.0 Conclusion
The smartphone market in India has been increasing at a fast pace. India is
currently the second-largest smartphone market in the world after China. India is
40 PRAGATI: Journal of Indian Economy, Volume 6, Issue 2, Jul-Dec 2019
continuing to have a long way to go as the smartphone penetration of the total population
is 27.7% (newzoo, 2018). That is why the reasons that India continues to attract the latest
smartphone brand every quarter. The causes for such acceleration are the availability of
low-cost smartphone, huge online discount, data plan, and for most popular latest use
apps like Email, WhatsApp, Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, and other social networking
apps, latest banking, and payment apps. Make in India is attractive for this mobile
industry. The manufacturing cost in China is far less than in India. Therefore lower &
middle-class people are able to purchases more Shweta (2015). The market share of
Chinese brands in the Indian smartphone market reached a record 66% during Q1 2019
(Jain 2019). The youth population in India is a lot more. They are consuming much data
in digital format through smartphone. The cashless transaction is increasing due to more
penetration of smartphone and mobile data. Today, with the change in lifestyle and
digital platform, mobile phone and related service are rising on the wings of the wind.
Endnotes
1. “Mobile is both a channel to deliver the right message at exactly the right time and a right
manifestation of post-digital thinking. It is more than just an interface-it‟s a digital service
that offers activation in the physical world, offering intangible incentives in exchange for
digital data” - Tracey Follows, Head of planning, VCCP.
2. “Mobile gives us a lot of segmentation opportunities that don‟t exist in any other channel
today”- Stacy Fassberg, vp, Marketing Celltick.
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