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HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT | MARCH 2024 | V1.0
PHTI.com
About This Report
The Peterson Health Technology Institute (PHTI) provides independent evaluations of innovative
healthcare technologies to improve health and lower costs. Through its rigorous, evidence-based
research, PHTI analyzes the clinical benefits and economic impact of digital health solutions,
as well as their effects on health equity, privacy, and security.
These evaluations inform decisions for PHTI selects assessment topics The findings contained within this report
providers, patients, health plans, and based on the: are current as of the date of publication.
investors, accelerating the adoption of • B
urden of disease to the Readers should be aware that new
high-value technology in healthcare. healthcare system; evidence may emerge following the
PHTI was founded in 2023 by the publication of this report that could
• Investment and innovation in the digital
Peterson Center on Healthcare. PHTI influence the results. Digital diabetes
health technology;
assessments evaluate evidence on the management solutions are likely to
clinical and economic impact of these • B
ody of evidence about the evolve over time, which may impact
technologies using an ICER-PHTI effectiveness of the technology; and their performance. PHTI may revisit
Assessment Framework for Digital • S
takeholder interest (purchasers, its analyses in updates to this report
Health Technologies that was designed providers, and patients) in the future.
by a team of experts specifically for
All companies included in this report The economic models used in this
digital health products and solutions.
were notified and given an opportunity report are intended to compare clinical
This is a secondary research review
to submit clinical, commercial, and/or outcomes and expected costs at the
that relies on published literature
economic data, which were included population level. Model results represent
and information. PHTI did not conduct
when determined to be relevant to average findings and should not be
original testing of the products.
the evaluation. presumed to represent cost or outcomes
for any specific patient or payer.
2
Table of Contents
4 32
Introduction Economic Impact
4 Letter From the Executive Director 32 Budget Impact Model Methodology
5 Report Contributors and Reviewers 32 Budget Impact Model Results
6 The Case for Innovation 36 Change in Overall Spending
7 Summary of Findings
40
9 Summary Ratings
Technology Context
11 Recommended Care for Diabetes
42
12 Patient Perspective Next Steps
13 Digital Diabetes Management Solutions 42 Recommendations for Purchasers
43 Recommendations for Innovators
45
19 List of Appendices
Clinical Effectiveness
19 Methodology and Approach 46
21 Systematic Literature Review References
23 Primary Outcome: Glycemic Control
26 Secondary Health Outcomes
27 Solution-Specific Analysis
30 User Experience
30 Health Equity
31 A Note on Safety
31 Clinical Effectiveness Ratings
Letter From the Executive Director
The Peterson Health Technology Institute (PHTI) was established in July 2023 with a steadfast commitment
to advancing innovative technologies that improve health and lower costs. At the heart of our mission lies
the recognition that the United States spends too much on healthcare and gets too little in return.
Technology is a critical tool capable of improving healthcare system efficiency and performance. Yet too
often, health technology drives added cost and complexity without clear benefits to health outcomes or
health equity. PHTI addresses these challenges by providing independent evaluations of digital technologies
to help inform decision-making about digital health product development and adoption.
Our first evaluation focuses on some of the earliest digital health solutions: those that support diabetes
management. Diabetes is a persistent, growing, and expensive condition that disproportionately affects
diverse and underserved populations.1 Diabetes places a tremendous burden on patients and families to
monitor blood glucose and make diet and lifestyle changes to support better outcomes. In this context,
the timely innovation in technology solutions aimed to augment diabetes care holds promise — but all
new technologies must also be met with scrutiny.
People living with diabetes deserve good medical advice, support, and compassion. They also deserve to
know that if they invest time, energy, and money to engage with a digital health solution, that it will improve
their health. And the providers of diabetes care should have clarity about the performance of these digital
solutions. Payers, including health plans and employers, also deserve to know how these solutions impact
the health of their members and employees and be able to determine whether the clinical benefits
justify the added cost.
Central to our approach is the recognition that reported estimates of cost savings must be interpreted
judiciously and thoroughly. Increasing value lies in tangible improvements in patient outcomes, including
glycemic control, reduced prescription use, fewer hospital visits, and improved affordability. Through this
report, we aim to help the sector define and evaluate what clinically effective solutions look like, including
what additional evidence gaps warrant further research. Ongoing improvement and technological innovation
depend on a comprehensive understanding of what works.
As we seek to raise the bar for digital health technologies, I extend my gratitude to our partners and advi-
sors who contributed to this report, and the many stakeholders who support the mission of PHTI. Together,
we can and must harness the transformative power of technology to improve the care people across the United
States receive today.
Sincerely,
4
Report Contributors and Reviewers
PHTI partners with a diverse set of contributors, advisors, and stakeholders throughout the assessment process.
See our website for a full list of partners and advisors.
a
Evaluation partners have no conflicts of interest to disclose.
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Achieving glycemic control in people Technology has the potential to support Digital diabetes management
with type 2 diabetes is important. People patients’ self-management. Over the solutions should deliver meaningful
who live with diabetes have a much past 10–15 years, a range of digital benefits to patients. Effective digital
higher likelihood of suffering from eye, technologies have come to market diabetes management solutions should
kidney, nerve, immune, vascular, and that aim to support both patients and demonstrate clear, substantial and
heart damage caused by excess sugar providers between doctor’s visits. durable progress toward glycemic control
circulating in their blood.7,8,9 As blood Many are built on a foundation of in people with type 2 diabetes, resulting
glucose levels rise, people require more noncontinuous glucose monitoring in a lower prevalence of uncontrolled type
medical care, which reduces their quality integrated with digital applications that 2 diabetes across the population. This
and length of life and increases overall can be accessed on patients’ mobile would result in important reductions in
healthcare spending.10,11,12 Conversely, if devices or desktop computers. These diabetes-related health risks, fewer
people with type 2 diabetes are supported solutions integrate varying levels of prescriptions, fewer healthcare events,
in regulating their blood sugar, they suffer clinical, behavioral, and/or diet- and lower healthcare spending. Digital
fewer health consequences.13 related coaching and education via solutions should also target patients
synchronous, asynchronous, and with severe disease and diverse groups
Diabetes self-management is complex
AI-enabled communication. who would benefit most from improved
and demanding on patients. Leading
self- management support. Ideally,
organizations, such as the American Purchasers want meaningful results for
these solutions would help achieve
Diabetes Association (ADA), have clinical patients. Purchasers (i.e., health plans,
diabetes remission.16
guidelines that define the standard self-insured employers, and providers)
of care (“standard care”).14 However, have responded by widely adopting these This report reviews the performance of
real-world practice (“usual care”) almost solutions because, if they work well, digital diabetes management solutions
always lags behind guidelines and reflects people live healthier, longer lives and as a category, and eight widely-used
variations in knowledge, resources, and require less costly medical care. However, solutions more specifically. It incorporates
practice patterns across care settings. purchasers would benefit from deeper scientific evidence, company data,
Current treatment recommendations analysis of clinical and economic and budget modeling to answer three
require significant coordination between impact and clear information on fundamental questions: How well do
physicians and patients, as well as patient performance expectations. they work? For whom do they work?
self-management, to monitor blood And are they worth it?
glucose levels, calibrate medication
levels, and manage diet and exercise.15
DarioHealth Glooko Omada Perry Health Teladoc (Livongo) Verily (Onduo) Vida Virta
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Summary of Findings
Digital diabetes management solutions in the remote patient monitoring and behavior and lifestyle modification
categories do not deliver meaningful clinical benefits, and they increase healthcare spending relative to usual
care. Nutritional ketosis solutions hold promise for diabetes remission.
b
This evaluation is conducted at the category level. Based on the similarity of approaches and the consistency of clinical outcomes, it is likely that individual solutions perform
in line with the category.
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Exhibit 1
SUMMARY OF PHTI EVALUATION OF DIGITAL DIABETES MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS
WHAT IS THE Improved glycemic control for adults with type 2 diabetes, achieved through improved self-management
GOAL OF THE using a noncontinuous glucometer with digital reminders, education, and behavioral coaching.
TECHNOLOGY?
WHICH CATEGORIES Remote Patient Monitoring Behavior and Lifestyle Modification Nutritional Ketosis
ARE INCLUDED? Glooko DarioHealth Teladoc (Livongo) Virta
Omada Verily (Onduo)
Perry Health Vida
WHAT ARE THE Small improvement in HbA1c compared with usual care — only three out of 10 comparative HbA1c
CLINICAL BENEFITS? studies achieved a clinically meaningful between-group difference of at least 0.5% pt HbA1c (e.g.,
8.0% to 7.5%). People who complete a nutritional ketosis program experience greater benefits.
WHAT IS THE Digital diabetes management solutions increase total health spending because the average price of
BUDGET IMPACT? the solutions exceeds the savings from improved clinical outcomes. Nutritional ketosis programs have
greater potential to produce savings over multiple years for patients who can complete them.
WHICH TARGET POPULATIONS 1 | People with higher starting HbA1c who are newly starting on insulin; or
COULD BENEFIT MOST?
2 | People who are able to complete nutritional ketosis
HOW CAN PURCHASERS ACHIEVE Regularly analyze outcomes Deploy solutions to more Reward
BETTER VALUE? and tie contracts to clinical diverse and high-risk evidence
performance populations generation
WHERE ARE THERE OPPORTUNITIES Evolve solutions to achieve clinically meaningful outcomes, which may include
FOR FURTHER INNOVATION? GLP-1s, continuous glucose monitors, and nutritional ketosis. Focus R&D efforts
on underserved populations.
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Technology Context
In the United States, about one in seven adults — more than 38 million Americans — has type 2 diabetes,
which is the eighth leading cause of death. At $412.9 billion of total healthcare spending annually (2022),
it is the most expensive chronic condition to treat and manage.17
Each year, an additional 1.2 million adults Alaskan Natives, and Black and Hispanic of new diagnoses accelerates (Exhibit 3).20
are diagnosed with diabetes, with a people (Exhibit 2).18,19 As alarming as this The current and projected burden of
disproportionate impact on low-income sounds, future projections are worse: The diabetes has been a powerful motivator
individuals and certain racial and ethnic number of adults with type 2 diabetes is for digital health technology companies
groups, including American Indians, projected to double by 2030 as the rate and investors over the past 15 years.
Exhibit 2
RATES OF DIABETES, ADULTS 18+, BY DEMOGRAPHIC GROUP*
GENDER
9.8% 8.6%
Female Male
INCOME
AGE
Notes.
* Includes type 1 and type 2 diabetes.
** FPL = Federal poverty level.
Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. “United States Diabetes Surveillance System.” Accessed January 30, 2024.
https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/diabetes/diabetesatlas-surveillance.html. 9
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Exhibit 3
DIABETES PREVALENCE BY DIAGNOSIS STATUS, 2001–2020*
Undiagnosed Diabetes Diagnosed Diabetes Total Diabetes
14%
12%
Age-adjusted Percentage
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
2001–2004 2005–2008 2009–2012 2013–2016 2017–2020
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Source: Davies, Melanie, Vanita Aroda, Billy Collins. “Management of Hyperglycemia in Type 2 Diabetes, 2022. A Consensus
Report by the American Diabetes Association (ADA) and the European Association for the Study of Diabetes (EASD).” Diabetes
Care. 45,11 (November 2022): 2753–2786. https://doi.org/10.2337/dci22-0034.
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Patient Perspective
Patient Role in Patient Experience Ongoing Support
Managing Diabetes With Digital Solutions Effective use of digital diabetes
Managing diabetes is a complex and Digital diabetes solutions aim to help management solutions often requires
demanding task for patients. Beyond make self-management easier through multiple types of support. Patients
frequent doctor visits, patients are asked a combination of education, support, reported needing help at eligibility
to take an active role in their own disease reminders, planning, and personalized verification, set-up, and at subsequent
management. These demands — which information. Critical to this is the overall regular intervals because of ongoing
can range from modifications in diet user experience. To be effective, these technical challenges. Most often, patients
and exercise to interpreting blood solutions often require that patients add turned to their provider for support,
glucose levels and self-titrating multiple additional tasks to their self-management although they reported receiving varying
medications — can be both physically routines: recording activities and meals, levels of support.
and mentally taxing. Focus group inputting health data, or answering health
Digital diabetes management solutions
participants reported that having an status questions produced by a coach or
primarily aim to augment traditional care.
app that serves as a data repository and an algorithm. Patients reported varying
As such, data sharing with the patient’s
provides information on glucose trends degrees of engagement with the tools,
primary physician is important. Patients
can be useful. For this reason, some may particularly with inputting self-reported
reported substantial variation in how they
regard digital diabetes tools as valuable, outcomes, such as diet and exercise.
shared their data — from showing their
independent of their clinical performance. These data are critical, as most solutions
provider their phone during a visit to
build recommendations and actions
having their data uploaded/transferred
based on a mix of automatically uploaded
automatically.
data and manually inputted patient infor-
hen I was first
W mation. Minimizing manually entered data
diagnosed with requirements is critical to create value for
diabetes… the patient and to ensure they continue to
y physician suggested
M
use these solutions over time.
I was overwhelmed by all the new that I use a digital
numbers and measurements I had to health tool.
keep track of. Using the digital solution
helped me keep track of my blood I feel that it has helped me significantly,
sugar levels, what I eat, and organize I t senses automatically especially to keep track of my glucose
my meds. It was helpful to have when I need supplies every day. It has helped me in learning
what my trends are throughout the
everything in one place. If I was only or any lancets. day and it has helped me manage
keeping track using pen and paper,
I wouldn’t record data points nearly All I have to do is just refer to the my medications as well.”
as much as I do now.” system and place the order on it and — Patient Focus Group Participant
then they put the order in for anything
— Patient Focus Group Participant that I need. So, that’s good.”
— Patient Focus Group Participant
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Digital Diabetes
Management Solutions
Investment in digital diabetes
Given the important role of patient users, these solutions aim to improve management solutions has been
self-management in diabetes, over glycemic control by reminding patients significant. Since 2010, $5.7 billion
the past 15 years, there has been to track their blood glucose and by of venture capital41 has been invested
considerable investment in creating supplementing glucometer readings in companies providing these solutions,
digital diabetes management solutions to with additional information, including and transactions (including mergers
support patients’ disease management timely digital and human intervention. and acquisitions and other investments)
Interventions may include digital have totaled $58 billion.42
through virtual and technology-enabled
platforms. With patients as the primary reminders, trend analysis, goal-setting,
Exhibit 5
ELEMENTS OF DIGITAL DIABETES MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS
Patient Patient
sees 90 days sees
PCP PCP
Patient data uploaded DHT processes data DHT and coach work Targeted patient behavior
to DHT via human (e.g., coach) together to drive modifications
and algorithm behavioral change
Lifestyle
Physical activity Health coach review Improved diet
modifications
Reminders
Ketones No action
and alarms
Exhibit 6
COMPANY HISTORY AND FUNDING
Notes. a Acquired by Teladoc in 2020 for $18.5 billion. b Joint venture, 9/2016.
Source: Pitchbook Data, Inc.
Exhibit 7
HOW DIGITAL DIABETES MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS WORK
92% Check in
Time in Range 2.5%
Action List
228mg/dL mg/dL
300
Track Food & Drinks
2:00pm Track 2 more meals
250
200
Keep Moving
Track 2 more meals
150
100
Read Lesson 1
Complete Lesson 1 this week
50
lB
ehavioral science
LB
lU
ser experience
00:00
12:00
24:00
PERSONALIZED INTERACTIONS
WITH CARE TEAM
MANUALLY ENTERED DATA
Hi Lisa
Looks like you have been
CLINICIAN taking more glucose
WEDNESDAY, MAR 6 measurements lately.
And your numbers are
Summary getting better every day.
— Coach Linda
Activity
Move THURSDAY, FEB 29 Hi Coach Linda
300 CAL
Food Diary Yes! I have been trying
Steps to take at least five
WEDNESDAY, MAR 6 5,000 DINNER 514 CAL measurements every
day. This is really
Health Specs Distance
2.25 MIL Chicken Caesar Salad helping me to keep
my numbers
Height 5.4 (feet) Broccoli 50 under control.
(1/2 cup)
Weight WORKOUTS — Lisa
140 (lbs)
Blueberries 165
(2 cups)
Exercise
1 X a week 5 X a week SNACKS 260 CAL
2 X a week 6 X a week Cheddar Puffs 260
3 X a week 7 X a week (2 oz.)
4 X a week
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Exhibit 8
CATEGORIES OF DIGITAL DIABETES MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS
Intensity
At their core, each of these digital As Exhibit 8 shows, solutions included in Remote patient monitoring: Remote
diabetes management solutions this report fall into three categories: patient monitoring refers to the collection
facilitates the collection and tracking and transmission of physiological data
• R
emote patient monitoring — Enable
of patient data, including blood that are automatically sent from a point
physicians to support remote patient
glucose, other biometric readings, of care to a health professional.47 The
monitoring of blood glucose, with
and self-reported information (Exhibit 7). Centers for Medicare and Medicaid
a goal of improved glycemic control.
These results — whether patient- Services (CMS) started reimbursing
entered or uploaded through a • B
ehavior and lifestyle modification for remote patient monitoring in 2018
connected device — are used to track — Engage patients with a mix of across a number of disease areas.
glucose levels over time to inform behavioral, clinical, and lifestyle In 2021, nearly 17% of claims were
self-management and/or clinical care modification programs in addition for diabetes-related diagnoses.48 There
teams. The solution then delivers digital to glycemic feedback with a goal are many companies that offer remote
nudges or reminders to take actions of glycemic control and other health patient monitoring platforms and fall into
that align with better glycemic control. improvements. this category. Glooko’s solution is focused
• N
utritional ketosis — Induce a state on enabling physicians to support remote
of ketosis in patients through intensive patient monitoring of blood glucose.
dietary guidance and monitoring of Glooko is somewhat unique because
FDA Regulation
glycemic and ketone levels with the of its size and exclusive focus on diabetes
The FDA regulates glucometers to ensure goal of diabetes remission. management with tailored provider
that they produce accurate, reliable
support. Glooko is purchased primarily by
measures. However, there is no entity
healthcare providers, who offer the tool to
that regulates applications that use
software and human intervention to guide patients and are reimbursed for their time
patients’ self-management based on spent reviewing the data through remote
glucose measurements. Companies patient monitoring billing codes.
offering these solutions build and
refine proprietary workflows that reflect
their clinical approach to optimal
diabetes management.
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Behavior and lifestyle modification: in the diet, which can result in diabetic All digital diabetes management solutions
Six companies — DarioHealth, Omada, remission if this highly disciplined diet aim to improve blood sugar management,
Perry Health, Teladoc (Livongo), Verily therapy is followed. Like any highly and many products target additional
(Onduo), and Vida — provide a mix disciplined diet, following a nutritional benefits, such as weight loss, blood
of behavioral, clinical, and lifestyle ketosis diet and entering sustained pressure regulation, medication
modification programs, in addition to ketosis is challenging. However, when adherence, or deprescribing (overview
glycemic feedback. All of these solutions successful, literature suggests that the in Exhibit 9). Several companies also
collect additional patient data, such as nutritional ketosis diet improves short-term promote such benefits as reduced
information on diet, exercise, weight, HbA1c.49,50 The focus of this report is on depression and anxiety, improved general
blood pressure, and mental health. Most the digital solution that supports patients function (e.g., lower cholesterol, less
solutions in this category offer chronic as they attempt to achieve nutritional pain), and/or patient satisfaction and
care management services beyond ketosis. Of note, a key distinction of the engagement.
diabetes, often for hypertension and nutritional ketosis category is its goal
weight management. Although most of of diabetes remission.
these solutions can facilitate data sharing
with a patient’s primary physician, the
Exhibit 9
ease of sharing and level of integration
HEALTH BENEFITS TARGETED BY DIGITAL DIABETES MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS
with provider systems varies.
Blood Glucose/ Weight Loss/ Medication
Solutions in this category are mainly HbA1c Body Mass Index Blood Pressure Adherence
differentiated by the breadth of the Company Management Reduction Regulation or Reduction
offering, frequency of human versus
DarioHealth l l l l
algorithm-based feedback, and the type
or level of providers that are available to Glooko l l
enrollees. These solutions are primarily
Omada l l l l
sold to health plans and employers on
a capitated (per user per month) basis, Perry Health l
often as part of the wellness benefit.
Teladoc (Livongo) l
Nutritional ketosis: One solution, Virta,
has a specific focus on inducing a state Verily (Onduo) l l l
of ketosis in patients through intensive
Vida l l l
dietary guidance and monitoring of both
the patient’s glycemic and ketone levels. Virta l l l l
Ketosis is a metabolic state that occurs
Notes. Several companies noted other benefits, including reduction in depression and/or anxiety, improved general function
when the body burns fat for energy. It (e.g., lower cholesterol, lower pain), and/or patient satisfaction and engagement.
relies on greatly restricting carbohydrates Source: Public information (websites, marketing materials, company-provided public information, etc.).
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In 2022, the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) undertook a special review of how to secure
remote patient monitoring systems that cross these three domains.
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Clinical Effectiveness
Two of the most important questions for payers, providers, and patients considering using any digital health
technology are “how well does it work?” and “for whom does it work?” In more technical terms, these
questions seek to identify the specific clinical benefits associated with using a solution in one or more
subpopulations. As described in the ICER-PHTI Assessment Framework for Digital Health Technologies,
the evaluation begins with a review of the technologies’ clinical effectiveness to understand how the solutions
perform on both primary and secondary clinical endpoints of interest, and how long those benefits persist.
It is also important to clarify which populations stand to benefit the most from using the technology.
c
Risk of bias analysis was performed using the NOS method for observational studies and ROB2 for interventional studies. 19
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Durability: Given that type 2 diabetes is for digital literacy, instills or exacerbates device, while others invest to ensure their
a chronic disease, it is also important to implicit biases, and is adaptable to meet platforms remain compatible with older
understand the durability or lasting effect the usability needs of health disparity devices, and still others may send users
of clinical improvements. Ability to assess populations; and a compatible device if they do not own
the durability of clinical effects may be one. Similarly, some solutions may permit
2) Access — Whether the solution is
limited by the length of the study design users to engage with the platform both
available/distributed across different
and duration of follow-up. synchronously and asynchronously,
patient subpopulations and geographic
allowing them to upload their data once
Health Equity: Evidence on the impact areas (e.g., rural vs. urban, socio-
they access wi-fi; without this, patients
of digital diabetes management solutions economically diverse communities).
in broadband deserts would be less likely
on health equity was considered on
Both categories are important, as they to upload their information in a timely
two dimensions:
may be related to and/or directly impact manner and, thus, may have lower
1) Accessibility and Inclusivity — the clinical effectiveness of a given engagement with the solutions.
Whether the diabetes management solution. For instance, some solutions may
solution is culturally and linguistically require users to have a compatible mobile
appropriate, has a low barrier to entry
Exhibit 10
PRISMA DIAGRAM OF SYSTEMATIC LITERATURE REVIEW (SLR) AND COMPANY-PROVIDED DATA
Unique studies included in the SLR References identified for inclusion in SLR
(n = 49) (n = 22)
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The systematic literature review (SLR) Records excluded from the systematic This body of evidence is sufficient to
using online databases identified 1,139 literature review were those that did not understand the primary outcomes of
relevant scientific records that met the target type 2 diabetes patients (e.g., interest for digital diabetes management
search parameters using PICOTS prediabetes), those about unrelated solutions — their impact on glycemic
(population, intervention, comparators, interventions, or those that had a study control. It also provides information on
outcomes, timing, and setting/study design that did not meet the criteria for many of the secondary outcomes,
design) criteria (Prospero Registry). eligibility. Forty-one of the 69 articles although questions remain about user
Complete details of the PICOTS criteria were assessed for study quality and risk experience, health equity, and durability
are described in Table 3 of Appendix A. of bias using standardized approaches of effects. Despite this evidence being
Each record was screened for inclusion (25 abstracts/posters and three sufficient for our assessment, we note
based on the Preferred Reporting meta-analyses were not rated). Among with concern that there were relatively
Items for Systematic Reviews and articles with interventional trial designs, few high-quality, low risk of bias articles
Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) Checklist [see three had high risk of bias, four had with many participants after a decade
Appendix B], resulting in 47 articles. moderate risk of bias, and six had low risk plus of research and development
of bias. Among articles with observational invested into these solutions.
Additionally, three of the companies
trial designs, 20 had poor ratings and
under review (DarioHealth, Virta, and The subsequent report sections review
eight had fair ratings [see Appendix D
Omada) submitted a combined total the evidence for key outcomes of interest,
for detailed risk of bias tables].
of 120 clinical references that were also provide solution-specific analysis,
screened, resulting in an additional 22 This body of literature included evidence describe the impact of the technologies
articles that were included in the clinical about primary and secondary outcomes, on health equity and user experience,
analysis, for a final combined total of 69 including: HbA1c (42 articles); blood and identify evidence gaps (on the
articles stemming from 49 unique studies glucose levels (33 articles); proportion performance of these tools) that ought
[see Appendix C for complete list of of in/above/below glucose range to be addressed by future research.
articles]. Of note, Perry Health also (17 articles); medication use (eight
submitted clinical findings but did articles); diabetes treatment satisfaction
not provide citations or references. (four articles); patterns of use (18
articles); and self-efficacy, knowledge,
and behaviors (eight articles) [see
Appendix E for HbA1c articles, Appendix
F for blood glucose articles, Appendix G
for articles on additional health outcomes,
and Appendix H for articles on user
experience outcomes].
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Primary Outcome:
Glycemic Control
In clinical practice, there are many ways comparative HbA1c articles was variable:
to measure glycemic control. They three with low risk of bias, four with
include directly measuring the quantity moderate, one with high, and three that Blood Glucose Findings
of glucose in the blood at a single point in could not be rated [see Appendix I]. Out of the 33 articles on blood glucose,
time, which can fluctuate depending on Exhibit 11 includes an overview of the one observational and four interventional
what a patient ate, the time of day, or the 10 studies that have a comparator articles included a usual care comparator
equipment used. Given these variations, group. Minimum evidence standards were
available for analysis.
met in all five comparator articles, but
HbA1c is the most widely used
The 10 studies with comparators show three of the articles were rated as having
measurement for both clinicians and a high risk of bias. Overall, their findings
that HbA1c improved over time for both
patients because it serves as a superior showed improvements (not always
users of digital solutions and those
measurement of glycemic control over statistically significant) in blood glucose
receiving usual care [see Appendix E].
time. HbA1c was the most reported over time in both the usual care and the
Patients who received the digital diabetes
outcome of glycemic control identified digital intervention groups [see Appendix F].
management intervention achieved
in the systematic review and the most
improvements of 0.63% pt to 3.2% pt in
common way companies evaluate the
HbA1c. Patients who received usual care
efficacy of their digital solutions.
showed HbA1c improvements between
There were 24 articles summarizing 0.28% pt to 2.0% pt, although two articles
interventional studies and 18 articles found that HbA1c actually increased by
summarizing observational studies that 0.2% pt–0.4% pt under usual care.
assessed HbA1c. Of these, 10 studies Because patients receiving usual care
had a comparator available for analysis, generally achieve a reduction in HbA1c,
meeting at least the minimum standards this assessment focuses on the between-
of evidence. Notably, the number of group differences in HbA1c to isolate the
participants across interventional studies incremental benefits of digital diabetes
was relatively low, ranging from 14 to 349, management solutions compared with
with a mean of 150. The quality of the usual care.
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HbA1c Improvements
With Digital Solutions
Compared to Usual Care
Of the 10 studies comparing HbA1c people using remote patient monitoring represent the “best case” performance
changes from baseline in digital had HbA1c reductions of 0.34% pt to when digital diabetes management
intervention to usual care groups, five 1.2% pt greater than usual care (Exhibit solutions are linked with highly-integrated
examined remote patient monitoring, 11). Two studies in this group met delivery models.
four examined behavior and lifestyle the 0.5% pt standard for clinically One of the largest effect sizes in the
modification, and one examined meaningful difference; they are remote patient monitoring category was
nutritional ketosis (reporting on described below. observed in a small cohort of 40 patients
one- and two-year follow-ups). who were followed for 10–14 weeks.58
One remote patient monitoring study was
Four out of five studies reported a randomized trial conducted by Kaiser Notably, the study enrolled patients who
statistically significant between-group Permanente, which found that frequent were starting insulin for the first time and
differences for HbA1c using remote users of digital diabetes management had the highest average starting HbA1c
patient monitoring compared with usual solutions achieved HbA1c reductions of levels (10.8%) in the analysis. This group
care. Each of these studies found that 0.6% pt greater than usual care. This may achieved HbA1c reductions of 1.2% pt
Exhibit 11
BETWEEN-GROUP COMPARISONS FOR HbA1c
NUTRITIONAL KETOSIS
Notes. * p<.05. ** p<.01. *** p<.001. (I/O): I = Interventional Study; O = Observational Study; NA = Not Applicable; Insufficient methodological data to assess study quality and risk of bias
for conference proceedings. a Between group difference in mean change from baseline HbA1c % pt. Values indicate between-group difference in % pt improvements in glycemic control.
b
Calculated value based on data provided in study article.
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greater than usual care. This represents differences achieved the 0.5% pt discussion. A single, nonrandomized
a promising but limited use case that threshold for meaningful clinical interventional, intention-to-treat study
suggests digital diabetes management benefits used in this report. with one- and two-year follow-ups
solutions may perform best when targeted demonstrated statistically significant
Across both the remote patient
to patients with higher starting HbA1c HbA1c reductions of more than twice
monitoring and behavior and lifestyle
levels who are at critical transition points the threshold for clinically meaningful
modification categories, despite the
in their diagnosis and care plan (when differences. The adjusted between-group
variability in study design and quality,
behavioral modifications may be effect size was a reduction of 1.3% pt
the results across all studies are tightly
more impactful). HbA1c at year one (mean starting
grouped and very consistent. This
HbA1c of 7.6%) and 1.2% pt at the
For the behavior and lifestyle increases confidence in the reliability of
two-year follow-up.60 Notably, this study
modification category, three studies the findings across the body of evidence.
reported that after two years, 53.5%
reported between-group differences in Taken together, the data suggest that
of participants met criteria for diabetes
HbA1c, with digital solutions achieving remote patient monitoring and behavior
reversal (HbA1c less than 6.5% and no
HbA1c reductions of 0.23% pt to 0.37% and lifestyle modification solutions deliver
use of medication other than metformin
pt greater than usual care (Exhibit 11). only small incremental benefits to HbA1c
and an additional 17.6% of patients
One of the studies is a well-designed RCT relative to usual care, and that effect
were in remission, meaning they
that reported 0.37% pt reduction (not sizes may be greater for populations
had HbA1c of less than 6.5% with
statistically significant) in HbA1c under with higher starting HbA1c levels.
no diabetes medication.61) Details on
the digital diabetes management solution
The performance of the nutritional the study design and generalizability
compared with usual care after 12
ketosis category — containing one are included below.
months.59 None of these between-group
solution, Virta — merits separate
Exhibit 12
BETWEEN-GROUP DIFFERENCES IN HbA1c
RPM Behavior and Lifestyle Modification Nutritional Ketosis
1.6
1.4
Digital Solutions Compared to Usual Care
Between-Group HbA1c Improvement for
1.2
1.20
1.0 1.30
0.8
0.40
0.6 0.30 0.41
Clinically meaningful difference (0.5% pt)
0.4 0.60
0.2 0.37
0.24 0.23
0.34
0.0
6 7 8 9 10 11
Non-Weighted Average Starting HbA1c for Digital Solution and Usual Care Groups
Notes. RPM = Remote patient monitoring. Size of bubbles represent the number of people in interventional studies. Observational studies are depicted with triangles. 25
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Durability of HbA1c Benefits participants to a usual care group that secondary health outcomes for long-term
Across the studies, the duration of the maintained HbA1c at a level of 8–9% risks for people with diabetes, these
measured interventions ranged from and an intensive therapy group that articles reported no significant changes in
three months to one year, except for achieved high glycemic control body mass index, low-density lipoprotein,
nutritional ketosis that included (1.5% pt improvement in HbA1c over total cholesterol, or waist circumference.
follow-up at two years. Given the chronic usual care). Following the end of the Evidence for weight loss and blood
nature of type 2 diabetes, these findings intervention, HbA1c levels between the pressure effects was limited. Four out
speak to a relatively short duration, groups immediately began to converge, of 13 studies reported significant
preventing definitive conclusions about reaching only 0.2–0.3% pt HbA1c between-group differences in body
the durability of the observed outcomes. difference after three years, and no weight. One of the studies focused on the
In most cases, it is not possible to difference between groups after four benefits of adding health coaching to a
conclusively discern whether patients years. Further, the study found that digital diabetes management solution.64
can sustain their HbA1c and other long-term clinical benefits of reduced Another single study reported statistically
outcomes after the study ends. Further, cardiovascular events and mortality significant differential changes from
it is unclear whether the incremental did not accrue from temporary HbA1c baseline in systolic blood pressure at
benefits of digital technologies relative control. In other words, people with one year: both groups got slightly worse,
to usual care erode over time, as patients diabetes must sustain blood glucose but more so for usual care (0.90 mmHg)
experience reminder fatigue, lack of habit control permanently to achieve health compared with the intervention (0.31
formation, and lack of integration with benefits. Therefore, the value of mmHg).65
other tools used to manage their care. a diabetes intervention is dependent
Another goal of successful diabetes
on long-term, rather than short-term
One of the behavior and lifestyle management is improved adherence
maintenance of HbA1c control.
modification articles is from a to prescribed medications, which is
With the exception of nutritional ketosis,
well-designed RCT consisting of a important to support glycemic control
there is no evidence of sustained effects
six-month digital diabetes management in people with diabetes. Most digital
for digital diabetes management solutions
solution, followed by six months of usual diabetes management solutions include
relative to usual care after the intervention
care. The benefit of the digital diabetes prompts that remind users to take their
period is complete, which is consistent
management solution that was seen at medicine. Few articles reported on
with the New England Journal of Medicine
six months disappeared by 12 months.62 medication adherence, and generally
study’s findings. Unless remission is
Only the nutritional ketosis category found that digital solutions helped
achieved, this category’s impact will
included a long-term follow-up study that improve medication adherence among
likely diminish with time, including with
revealed diminishing, but still clinically users. While improved medication
sustained use, and there is no evidence
meaningful (i.e., greater than 0.5% pt) adherence should improve overall
to suggest long-term benefit.
between-group differences in HbA1c performance of glycemic control, these
control in year two. results were not sufficient to produce
Secondary Health Outcomes
Although most of the studies were clinically meaningful benefits, as
Additional health outcomes captured described above.
not designed to examine durability of included body weight (13 articles), blood
intervention effect, additional evidence pressure (10 articles), body mass index Taken together with the company-
suggests that patients generally struggle (five articles), high-density lipoprotein submitted data, the evidence does not
to maintain intensive HbA1c control over (11 articles), low-density lipoprotein (11 indicate that either the remote patient
longer periods of time. A 2019 study articles), total cholesterol (10 articles), monitoring or behavior or lifestyle
published in the New England Journal triglycerides (nine articles), and waist modification category produces clinically
of Medicine analyzed intensive diabetes circumference (two articles) [see meaningful improvements on any
management intervention with long-term Appendix G for detailed outcomes]. secondary health outcomes, relative
follow-up.63 This study randomized Despite the importance of these to usual care.
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By contrast, the nutritional ketosis Solution-Specific Analysis Not all solutions in this report have clinical
category produced superior results The following section reviews the data that meets the inclusion standards
in secondary health effects, including evidence on the performance of individual based on the assessment methodology.
statistically significant improvements solutions compared with the performance Given the similarity of approaches across
in blood glucose, weight loss, blood of the diabetes management solution the behavior and lifestyle modification
pressure, cholesterol and liver profiles categories assessed above. The solutions and the consistency of clinical
compared with usual care after two years. solution-specific evaluations include outcomes across the fully body of
In addition, as a result of remission, literature from the SLR, as well as evidence, it is fair to assume that
findings showed that patients were able solution-specific information identified companies without solution-specific
to reduce glycemic control medication via internet research. Four companies data perform in line with the rest of the
use (except for metformin) from 55.7% — DarioHealth, Omada, Perry category. However, purchasers and users
to 26.8%, including a 62% reduction Health,and Virta — submitted will have to make their own assumptions
in insulin use and 100% stoppage of company-specific information for this about performance. Some companies
sulfonylureas, a common oral diabetes assessment [see Appendixes C-1 and indicated that they were making product
medication.66 Findings for nutritional C-2 for a full list of company-specific updates that may impact the results.
ketosis are promising and would benefit clinical references].
from more rigorous study designs to
explore the generalizability of results
to more diverse patient populations.
Exhibit 13
RISK OF BIAS FOR COMPANY EVIDENCE
Low Moderate High NA
Interventional 2
Glooko
Observational 1 2
DarioHealth Observational 2 9
Interventional 2 1
Virta
Observational 2 2 5
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Notes. NA = Not Applicable; Insufficient methodological data to assess study quality and risk of bias for conference proceedings. The ROB2 and NOS
were used to assess interventional and observational articles, respectively. See Appendix A for detailed risk of bias assessment methodology. 27
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From 120 company-submitted cohort.70 Among patients with a starting in this mixed-effects study design.72,73
references, 22 met the PICOTS criteria HbA1c above 9%, they had a 0.47% pt These solution-specific results are
and were reviewed along with 15 SLR greater decline than patients whose consistent with the performance profile
references related to the solutions in this starting HbA1c was 9% or lower. This seen at the category level for behavior
report. Of these 37 references, only 15 supports the conclusion that people with and lifestyle modification solutions,
could be evaluated for risk of bias (the higher starting HbA1c may benefit more including the finding that benefits from
remaining 22 references were abstracts from digital diabetes management digital diabetes management solutions
or posters). As shown in Exhibit 13, nine solutions. DarioHealth also shared diminish over time. Beyond HbA1c
had a high risk of bias, four were rated as several conference posters and results, the other two interventional
moderate risk of bias, and two had a low abstracts that suggest there were no articles focused on varying the amount/
risk of bias. Details on risk of bias for significant differences in solution effect intensity of coaching delivered in the
individual studies can be found in between rural/non-rural populations and Livongo program;74 these results
Appendix D. across racial/ethnic groups. Additionally, generally indicated that more coaching
in a poster presentation describing a or provider intervention was beneficial.
Glooko: Glooko did not submit data for
retrospective matched cohort study,
this assessment. From the literature Omada: Omada provided 23 references
Dario users had a 23.5% lower all-cause
scan, five total publications were for this evaluation. Omada’s solution
inpatient hospitalization rate compared
reviewed for Glooko, including four targets population-level care for several
with non-users.71
conference abstracts and one chronic conditions, including diabetes,
retrospective publication67 that had Teladoc (Livongo): Teladoc (Livongo) hypertension, and musculoskeletal
a high risk of bias. Of these, three did not submit data for this assessment. care. Many of the clinical articles
pieces of evidence had comparators The SLR included eight publications on submitted by Omada focused on
to usual care, and one was a RCT that the Teladoc (Livongo) solution, including diabetes prevention for a prediabetes
used Glooko’s platform in addition to three high-quality interventional studies population, which is beyond the scope
coaching compared with usual care.68 that had a low risk of bias. The studies of this assessment. One relevant study
The latter study yielded an HbA1c included a well-designed crossover for type 2 diabetes was examined. This
reduction of 0.34% pt more than RCT that compared usual care from was a single-armed, nonrandomized
usual care,69 which is in line with the a diabetes Center of Excellence with trial that demonstrated improvement
remote patient monitoring category Livongo’s solution integrated into of 0.8% pt HbA1c among a self-selected
performance described above. the center’s workflow for six months, group of participants from an online
and then the patients from one group health community; however, there was
DarioHealth: DarioHealth provided
crossed over to the other. The groups no comparator and the study had a high
42 references that were reviewed in
that received the Livongo solution risk of bias.75 This result is consistent
addition to evidence from the SLR.
in either six-month period saw a with the absolute longitudinal reductions
Eleven total references met the PICOTs
statistically nonsignificant reduction in HbA1c identified for the category
criteria. Only one poster reported
in HbA1c of 0.4% pt compared with of behavior and lifestyle modification.
between group differences in HbA1c,
usual care. However, the Livongo Additionally, a microsimulation analysis
with the Dario intervention reporting
solution group did not demonstrate a found Omada users had overall
0.23% pt greater decline in HbA1c
benefit over usual care after 12 months reductions of 0.9% Hba1c on average
compared with the matched non-user
within 6 months.76
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Vida: While the SLR did not include threshold. The between-group effect this study had a larger sample size and
any studies on Vida, a broad search size was a reduction of 1.2% pt79 HbA1c longer duration than the rest of the
of solution-specific evidence identified after two years. More importantly, after literature, it has a moderate risk of
two single arm, retrospective studies two years, 71.1% of users achieved bias because of concerns regarding
of Vida’s solution. These studies showed HbA1c levels below the 6.5% threshold selection and comparability of cohorts.
an absolute decrease of 0.81% pt for diabetes, either taking no diabetes Specifically, because participation was
and 1.35% pt HbA1c from baseline drugs or only metformin.80 These not randomized, the intervention arm of
among Vida users. The applicability Virta participants saw considerable the study was likely to attract participants
of both studies was limited by reductions in their prescription drug who were more willing to make the
methodological characteristics, use and also reported significant intensive dietary changes required for
most notably a lack of a usual care improvements in weight, blood nutritional ketosis. As such, results may
comparison group and likely selection pressure, and cholesterol levels. not be broadly attainable for all people
bias. Nonetheless, the longitudinal living with type 2 diabetes and real-world
These results suggest that compared
improvements in HbA1c in these studies participation and success rates may be
with people using other digital diabetes
are consistent with the evidence lower than those seen among the study
management solutions, those who
included in the SLR and suggest that population. Notably, Virta’s data suggest
complete the nutritional ketosis
Vida performs in line with the behavior comparable impact on HbA1c across
intervention are more likely to achieve
and lifestyle modification category. racial and ethnic backgrounds and
clinically meaningful benefits in glycemic
patients who reside in areas of
Perry Health and Verily (Onduo): The control, including remission, and those
socioeconomic disadvantage.
SLR did not yield any studies that met benefits may be more durable. Although
inclusion criteria for Perry Health or
Verily (Onduo). Perry Health submitted
a variety of information describing their
product but no clinical publications. Two Key Questions Remain for Virta’s Solutions
Perry Health’s submissions did include 1) Who can follow a program of nutritional ketosis?
two clinical claims without sources Several articles support the durability of Virta’s effects among the 83% of study
and the results could not be verified. participants who completed the program. This suggests that patients who
Verily (Onduo) did not submit any are willing to participate in and complete nutritional ketosis programs can
solution-specific data; however, given achieve significant health benefits. However, because the study designs were
similarities in solution design, these nonrandomized, they are likely to suffer from selection bias, from attracting
solutions are likely to perform in line participants who are most willing to follow the program and most likely to see
with the rest of the behavior and lifestyle improvement without any intervention. The significant dietary changes required for
nutritional ketosis may not be achievable for all people living with type 2 diabetes.
modification category.
Virta: Twelve of the 55 publications 2) Is this solution relevant for people with low socioeconomic status or
of different racial or ethnic backgrounds?
reviewed for Virta were relevant for this
evaluation, including multiple articles This topic is under-researched and deserves additional attention. One study
found statistically meaningful reductions in HbA1c across all socioeconomic
derived from a single longitudinal
levels,81 yet preliminary results from another study on user engagement suggests
cohort study.77,78 As noted above,
that age, race, and HbA1c level may differentially influence the use of Virta.82
this nonrandomized, interventional, These preliminary results ought to encourage future study designs that allow
intention-to-treat study with one- for adequately powered subgroup analyses and that control for these and other
and two-year follow-ups demonstrated relevant covariates in analyzing patient outcomes. This would expand the evidence
significant HbA1c reductions of more about how users experience this category of solutions, as well as the solutions’
than twice the clinically meaningful track record in reaching groups who can most benefit from these interventions.
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User Experience
Eighteen articles reported information • D
iverse populations with high disease Unfortunately, demographic
on patterns of use, including four prevalence — The burden of type 2 characteristics of study participants
interventional and 14 observational diabetes disproportionately affects are sparsely reported across the 69
study designs. Use of digital diabetes people who are lower income, have articles [see Appendix J]. Only 14
management programs decreased over limited health literacy, and come from articles reported on one or more
time across all articles, including those Black or Hispanic backgrounds. sociodemographic characteristics,
within the remote patient monitoring and • P
atients with high starting HbA1c namely geographic location (seven
the behavior and lifestyle modification levels — As described above, diabetes articles), educational background
categories. Most follow-up time periods complications are more serious for (10 articles), employment status
ranged from weeks to a year, with a people with starting HbA1c levels (six articles), and internet access
few exceptions for multiyear follow-up of greater than 9%. Further, given (one article). Only 24 articles reported
periods described above [see full details that the clinical evidence suggests that race/ethnicity, with the vast majority of
in Appendix H]. these digital diabetes management these including primarily white patient
solutions may have a greater impact populations in the study. It is regrettable
A separate set of articles that included
on patients with high HbA1c levels, and inadequate that these studies do not
outcomes for self-efficacy, knowledge,
prioritizing this group could have reflect the demographic mix of people
and self-management behaviors showed
more meaningful impact. living with diabetes.
marginal impacts, with few studies
reporting significant between-group • P
eople with limited access to diabetes Two articles reported on patient
differences. Some studies demonstrated care — People who live in rural or engagement by race/ethnicity. One
benefits in blood glucose testing and underserved areas that may have less reported significantly higher engagement
general self-care behaviors with the digital access to regular, high-quality, by white participants than Black
diabetes management solutions,83 while in-person diabetes care. While this participants87 and the other reported
others showed nonsignificant or mixed review did not uncover specific no significant differences between white
results,84 with limited durability over evidence related to this subgroup, participants and those of other racial
time.85 Of note, one study found a remote management solutions could and ethnic backgrounds.88 It is imperative
significant increase in self-management be particularly helpful to those with that further research be conducted to
skills among patients using a digital more limited access to in-person care. determine whether patient engagement
solution in conjunction with health and clinical outcomes for digital diabetes
The ability to conduct a detailed analysis
counseling, but not among patients management solutions are comparable
of how digital diabetes management
using the digital solution alone nor across diverse populations.
solutions impact health equity was
those receiving usual care.86
constrained by the available evidence. Of the 42 articles that report on HbA1c,
Unfortunately, most studies were only 12 articles had participants with
Health Equity
not designed or statistically powered average starting HbA1c levels above 9%,
Diabetes disproportionately affects certain
for detailed subgroup analysis. Given suggesting these solutions are often being
racial and ethnic groups and low-income
that the studies did not produce deployed to populations with lower blood
individuals who are more likely to
population-specific evidence, we glucose levels.
experience barriers to high-quality
considered more indirect measures Based on the available research, there
healthcare and to have higher starting
of health equity by looking at the inclusion is no compelling evidence that digital
HbA1c levels. As such, digital diabetes
criteria, demographic composition, diabetes management solutions are being
management solutions could improve
and demographically related findings used to address health disparities or
health equity by targeting the solutions
across all studies. deployed to patients with higher starting
to these groups that would benefit most
from improved management: HbA1c levels who suffer the most serious
consequences from diabetes.
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Of note, DarioHealth, Omada, Perry, and Clinical Effectiveness Ratings For the nutritional ketosis category,
Virta all supplied additional information on Using the evidence-rating matrix from the specifically for Virta, there is a low to
health equity and accessibility, much of it ICER-PHTI Assessment Framework, the moderate level of evidence certainty
informed by user data. The data suggest body of evidence for both remote patient based on a single large, long-term trial
that these companies are making efforts monitoring and behavior and lifestyle with a moderate risk of bias. However,
to understand variations in the use of their modification technologies delivers the clinical results at both one- and
solutions and to improve such areas as moderate to high certainty. The evidence two-year follow-ups demonstrate
accessibility, cultural competency, and meets both minimum and best evidence substantial comparative net health
equitable access. Ongoing analysis and standards. While the risk of bias varies benefits of the intervention relative
publication of these findings would help across articles, each category includes to usual care, as well as to other
fill an existing data gap. one or more well-designed, comparative solutions included in this assessment.
studies. Most importantly, the study This produces an overall clinical
Given the characteristics, prevalence
results that are statistically significant effectiveness rating of “Comparable
and seriousness of this disease,
(regardless of risk of bias) are tightly or Better”e for Virta.
combined with the associated health
access challenges, ongoing research clustered, which enhances the reliability It would be beneficial to further
and evidence generation about the of the findings. substantiate these initial promising results
health equity effects of these solutions The comparative net health benefit for to meet the best evidence standard
and their potential for positive impact glycemic control consistently shows a for a Tier 3a intervention by conducting
should be a priority. small, positive benefit for patients using studies that randomize patients to
digital diabetes management solutions, the intervention group. This would limit
A Note on Safety the risk of selection bias given the
compared with usual care. Taken
There were limited data on adverse together, the evidence certainty and net intervention’s reliance on strict patient
events in the body of evidence. Some health benefit result in a “Comparable compliance with a ketosis diet. Further
studies, such as the one conducted using or Incremental” ratingd for clinical evidence generation should also focus
Virta, did report the absence of safety effectiveness in remote patient on broader populations, including
and adverse events in the intent-to-treat monitoring and behavior and lifestyle more-diverse groups and those with
population attributed to the intervention. modification. Solution-specific evidence higher starting HbA1c, who stand
Even without evidence of harm, a Tier 3a varies, as described above. Because to benefit the most from improved
intervention still has potential risk all of these solutions deliver similar glycemic management.
that may arise from incorrectly used interventions to patients, it is likely that
glucometers, misinterpretation of results, their performance will be comparable
or suboptimal clinical support. That said, to that of the rest of the category.
because these diabetes management Additional evidence generation
solutions augment standard care is needed, however, to both validate
approaches or provide clinical oversight, and differentiate the performance
these potential risks may be addressed of individual technology solutions
in treatment. in these categories.
d
This corresponds to a C+ in the ICER Evidence Rating Matrix™.
e
This corresponds to a C++ in the ICER Evidence Rating Matrix™.
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Economic Impact
The economic impact on purchasers of digital diabetes management solutions depends on the price of the
digital solution and how it affects patterns of healthcare utilization and spending for patients who use them.
People with diabetes have higher overall levels of healthcare spending, which increases with higher levels of
HbA1c.89 As a result, there is potential to reduce healthcare system spending if patients with diabetes achieve
meaningful benefits in glycemic control that result in reductions in medication use, outpatient services,
hospitalizations, and testing supplies.
Careful assessment of the economic It assumes a 25% adoption rate among These components come together to
impact of these technologies must eligible users. estimate the net impact on healthcare
balance the incremental health benefits spending for a given user of a digital
Based on the clinical effectiveness results
and cost savings that these solutions diabetes management solution. To scale
above, the budget model estimates the
deliver against the price paid to estimates, the model calculates changes
impact of digital diabetes solutions on
companies for the solution. If digital in spending across a hypothetical
healthcare spending for people with type
diabetes management solutions could one-million-member plan. This is used to
2 diabetes in three scenarios: 1) those
improve glycemic control enough to result calculate the total change in spending
using remote patient monitoring solutions,
in healthcare savings that exceed the cost across all digital diabetes solution users in
2) those using behavior and lifestyle
of the product, they would deliver both the plan, and the overall per member per
modification solutions within a general
clinical and economic benefits. month impact of that spending across all
adult type 2 diabetes population, and
enrollees in the plan.
3) those using digital diabetes solutions
Budget Impact
targeted specifically to insulin users.
Model Methodology Budget Impact Model Results
This section also describes the
While there are many methods to Eligible Population: The model
potential for long-term budget impact
estimate the savings impacts of estimates the number of adults with
associated with diabetes remission
healthcare interventions, to create type 2 diabetes who are recommended
under nutritional ketosis.
comparability across digital diabetes to use a glucometer (insulin users and
categories, this analysis uses a budget There are three primary components of nonusers) across commercial, Medicare,
impact approach to estimate net the budget impact: and Medicaid coverage. After accounting
healthcare spending impacts on payers. 1) Eligible population — The total for adults with diagnosed diabetes across
The budget impact model estimates number of patients who may qualify for payers, it is estimated that 20% of all
the expected one- and three-year a digital diabetes management solution, patients with type 2 diabetes90, 91 rely
change in total healthcare spending if broadly implemented; on insulin, and approximately 55% of
from implementing digital diabetes insulin users self-monitor their blood
2) Savings from health improvements
management solutions for eligible glucose levels using a noncontinuous
— The changes in healthcare spending
participants. The model accounts for glucometer.92 Of the remaining people
that result from improved glycemic
the number of people who could be with type 2 diabetes who do not use
control under usual care and digital
eligible for digital diabetes interventions, insulin, an estimated 75% perform
diabetes management solutions; and
the gross reduction in expected regular self-monitoring.93 Based on
healthcare spending resulting from 3) Technology price — The price paid these assumptions, the proportion
improved glycemic control for patients to a digital health technology company of people who could be clinically
enrolled in these programs, and the net (under a capitated agreement) or eligible to participate in digital diabetes
impact on health system spending once to a provider (under remote patient
such savings are offset by spending on monitoring reimbursement).
the diabetes management solutions.
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Exhibit 14
ESTIMATING THE ELIGIBLE POPULATION FOR DIGITAL DIABETES MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS
78.9% % ADULTS
8% PREVALENCE OF
DIAGNOSED DIABETES
95% PROPORTION
TYPE 2 DIABETES
20% PROPORTION
USING INSULIN 80% PROPORTION
NOT USING INSULIN
Proportion not using insulin who use a noncontinuous glucometer100 75.0% 75.0% 75.0%
TOTAL ELIGIBLE POPULATION FOR DIGITAL DIABETES MANAGEMENT 4.3% 17.0% 4.8%
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management programs is as much between-group differences in HbA1c year in Medicare, and $114 per user per
as 4.3% of people with commercial between individuals receiving usual care year in Medicaid.
insurance, 17% of those with Medicare, and those enrolled in a digital diabetes
For the people who use behavior and
and 4.8% of those with Medicaid management program, as reported in the
lifestyle modification solutions, the
(Exhibit 14). clinical literature. For reductions in HbA1c
incremental HbA1c reduction was 0.37%
that are less than 1%, we take a pro rata
pt using Teladoc (Livongo) compared with
Savings From reduction in cost based on the 1.7% for
usual care. Based on average spending
Health Improvements a 1% reduction.
for people with type 2 diabetes, this
The model estimates the impact of digital
For the people with type 2 diabetes who would reduce annual healthcare
diabetes management solutions’ total
use remote patient monitoring solutions, spending for users by approximately
healthcare spending for insured adults
the incremental HbA1c reduction ranged $109 in commercial insurance, $157
with type 2 diabetes who are enrolled
from 0.23% pt to 0.60% pt. One study in Medicare, and $125 in Medicaid.
in commercial insurance, Medicare, or
with a 24-week follow-up for patients
Medicaid.101 For people with starting As described above, one study found
using Glooko compared with usual care
HbA1c above 7%, researchers have larger between-group differences (1.2%
found between-group differences of
found that each point (1% pt) decrease pt HbA1c) for users who were newly
0.34% pt HbA1c. Using this study, the
of HbA1c is associated with a linear 1.7% beginning insulin. For this population,
incremental health savings from HbA1c
decrease in total cost of care (including all the model estimates that users of digital
reductions with remote patient monitoring
healthcare costs, not just diabetes).102 diabetes management solutions could
is estimated at $100 per user per year in
achieve gross healthcare savings of
The budget impact model applies this commercial insurance, $144 per user per
$354 per year in commercial insurance,
spending reduction assumption to the
$508 per year in Medicare, and $406
per year in Medicaid (Exhibit 15).
Exhibit 15
ANNUAL HEALTHCARE SAVINGS FROM IMPROVED HBA1C COMPARED WITH USUAL CARE
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Exhibit 16
REMOTE PATIENT MONITORING: NET CHANGE IN HEALTHCARE SPENDING
Per User Per Year (Diabetes RPM Users Only) $2,002 $1,011 $723
* Assuming 25% of eligible people shift to RPM from usual care, the middle estimate for HbA1c improvement, providers bill the maximum RPM reimbursement per year, and no test strips
are included with the solution.
Exhibit 17
BEHAVIOR AND LIFESTYLE MODIFICATION: NET CHANGE IN HEALTHCARE SPENDING
* Assuming 25% of eligible people shift to digital diabetes management from usual care and digital solutions include all test strips and lancets.
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For the targeted application of digital in commercial, $162 in Medicare, Three-Year Spending Impact
diabetes management solutions to new and $322 in Medicaid. Because this There are limited data on durability of
insulin users, the budget impact is more approach has a more-targeted set the glycemic control achieved by digital
favorable because there are greater of patients, total spending per million diabetes management solutions, but the
savings associated with better HbA1c members is estimated at a lower level literature suggests these solutions lose
control (1.2% pt compared with usual of $0.4 million in commercial, $1.1 million efficacy over time.113 The model assumes
care) and it targets a much smaller in Medicare, and $0.6 million in Medicaid a 30% annual reduction in HbA1c control
number of eligible enrollees. The model in year one. achieved by these interventions after the
assumes that digital solutions would be first year. By the third year, this virtually
Given these stronger clinical meaningful
offered to all insulin users, although it eliminates any expected health savings.
benefits and attainment of MCID, more-
could be even more narrowly targeted If users remain enrolled in these solutions
targeted investment in these solutions
to an incident population who is newly as clinical efficacy diminishes, then
could be potentially worthwhile to
diagnosed with diabetes. If limited to only costs continue to accrue to payers. This
support. For example, if these solutions
people with diabetes who are using insulin underscores the importance of payers
could achieve a 1.6% pt HbA1c
and self-monitoring their blood glucose, monitoring to ensure that payments for
reduction relative to usual care,
the eligible population shrinks to 0.7% of digital solutions are limited to active users.
they would start to be cost- saving
commercial coverage members and 2.6%
for Medicare beneficiaries. However, Exhibit 18 shows three-year spending
of Medicare enrollees. Assuming a $64
solutions would need to demonstrate estimates for digital diabetes solutions,
per month charge for the digital solution,
that new insulin users are able to sustain assuming that 25% of eligible users
the net impact on total healthcare
these health benefits over time to justify participate in the program, but that
spending would be an increase of $239
continued spending on the solution. clinical efficacy declines annually by 30%.
Exhibit 18
THREE-YEAR NET SPENDING IMPACT OF DIGITAL DIABETES MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS
FOR A ONE-MILLION-MEMBER PLAN
* Assuming 25% of eligible people shift to digital diabetes management from usual care.
Taken together, according to the clinical savings from improved clinical outcomes. are more likely. For these targeted
evidence available, digital diabetes These solutions are more promising for populations, purchasers can expect
management solutions in the remote people with newly diagnosed diabetes improved clinical performance with some
patient monitoring and behavior and who are beginning self-monitoring of increase in spending, although digital
lifestyle modification categories are found their glucose, as well as those with higher solutions must demonstrate that
to increase total health spending because starting blood glucose — for whom outcomes can be sustained over
the cost of the solution exceeds the more-significant improvements in HbA1c multiple years.
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Limitations
A key assumption in the model is the However, studies that track patients who If we were to use this enhanced savings
1.7% linear savings reduction from a 1% actually reduce their blood glucose levels assumption in the model for all users, the
pt HbA1c improvement across all payer find that, while spending goes down, it still cost of digital diabetes management in
types. This estimate was based on a study exceeds that of the cohort who had a commercial insurance would effectively
that used a commercial claims dataset lower starting HbA1c.118 break even ($15 per user per year) in year
for people with starting HbA1c levels one and still remain cost-increasing over
One actuarial analysis on the impact
above 7%. Other estimates of savings three years as clinical benefits erode over
of diabetes management solutions
from improved glycemic control find the time. In Medicare, using this assumption,
estimated a much larger reduction in
savings are higher in commercial digital diabetes management solutions
healthcare spending equal to 9% in
populations than in Medicare, for which would increase costs by $209 per user
commercial insurance and 5% in
healthcare spending is less sensitive per year in year one and would continue
Medicare. However, in this simulation,
to improvements in HbA1c.117 As a to increase in future years. In Medicaid,
patient HbA1c levels went down by 1% pt
result, this budget impact model may first year per user costs would be $36
with an accompanying 10mm/hg drop
overestimate savings in Medicare relative and would increase rapidly in future years.
in blood pressure and improvements in
to those in commercial insurance.
cholesterol. This highlights the potential
While other studies estimate higher health for better budget impact performance,
savings from HbA1c improvements, these if digital diabetes management solutions
studies have several limitations. First, can produce both incremental HbA1c
many studies assume that individuals improvements and blood pressure and
who reduce their HbA1c — for instance, cholesterol benefits compared with usual
from 8% to 7% — will have annual care — none of which was found in the
spending patterns that are similar to the clinical literature for these solutions.
population with a lower starting HbA1c.
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Summary Ratings
Digital diabetes management solutions in the remote patient monitoring and behavior and lifestyle modification
categories do not deliver meaningful clinical benefits, and they increase healthcare spending relative to usual
care. Nutritional ketosis solutions hold promise for diabetes remission.
Based on evidence from a range of products, these solutions increase net the potential to deliver more dramatic
studies, digital management solutions healthcare spending for purchasers and durable clinical benefits — including
consistently demonstrate that they help because the small estimated savings diabetes remission and deprescribing —
patients achieve small reductions in are less than the cost of the solution. for those who can adhere to the intensive
HbA1c beyond what they would achieve change in diet.
There are two important exceptions
with usual care, but the evidence rarely The first exception underscores the
to these summary findings:
reported improvement that exceeded importance of patient selection. Patients
commonly used thresholds for 1) People with higher starting HbA1c
with uncontrolled diabetes who are
meaningful clinical benefit. Further, who are newly starting insulin are likely
trying to make large, relatively rapid
evidence suggests that such small to experience greater benefits from
shifts in their glycemic control in
benefit will reduce over time. After the use of these technologies; and 2)
collaboration with their providers
accounting for the average price of these nutritional ketosis, as offered by Virta, has
may better utilize the feedback loops
Exhibit 19
PHTI CATEGORY-LEVEL RATINGS FOR DIGITAL DIABETES MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS
l Positive l Moderate l Negative
l Higher Evidence Certainty Lower Evidence Certainty
Source: PHTI, Digital Diabetes Management Solutions Assessment, March 2024. See full PHTI report on digital diabetes management solutions for complete assessment, methods,
and recommendations.
a
Economic impact for remote patient monitoring based on standard provider reimbursement using remote patient monitoring (RPM) codes. Economic impact for behavior and lifestyle
modification category assumes a $64 per user per month product price.
b
Summary rating reflects the combination of clinical and economic results.
c
ot all solutions have clinical data that meet the inclusion standards for this report. Based on the similarity of approaches and the consistency of clinical outcomes across the category,
N
it is fair to assume that companies without solution-specific data perform in line with the category. Purchasers and users will have to make their own assumptions about performance.
d
Potential for improved and meaningful clinical benefits in populations with higher starting HbA1c who are newly starting insulin.
e
Key questions for nutritional ketosis involve generalizability of evidence and adherence rates among real-world users.
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and support that these technologies Remote patient monitoring and behavior Nutritional ketosis solutions are more
provide. These focused use-cases could and lifestyle modification solutions likely to achieve clinically meaningful
be important places to start for showed small incremental benefits benefits in glycemic control — including
developing more effective technologies. (0.23–0.60% pt reduction in HbA1c) diabetes remission — with greater health
The second exception, nutritional ketosis, compared with usual care. However, benefit durability compared with other
rests upon the potential of this solution they also are likely to increase total health digital diabetes management solutions.
category in achieving diabetic remission. spending. An estimated 4.3% of all people
In terms of impact to health equity, the
With this goal, the higher upfront effort enrolled in commercial coverage and up
literature shows no compelling evidence
and spending appears to deliver longer- to 17% of all Medicare beneficiaries could
to suggest that these solutions are being
term health benefits and associated cost be eligible for these solutions. However,
used to address health disparities or
savings, which continue to accrue over remote patient monitoring solutions are
create access for patients without
time. Virta is building an evidence base estimated to increase annual spending
standard care options. Most studies
that includes multi-year follow-up, and we by $2,002 per user in commercial
are focused on patients with lower
encourage more research on patient coverage and $1,011 per active
starting blood glucose levels, rather
characteristics that are predictive of Medicare beneficiary, and $732 per
than individuals who are at highest risk
program completion. Medicaid beneficiary. Behavior and
for diabetes-related complications.
lifestyle modification solutions increase
These findings are based on the criteria Published results should be reviewed
annual spending by $484 per user per
set forth in the Assessment Framework carefully before generalizing across
year in commercial coverage, $513
and the currently available evidence. populations.
per Medicare user, and $574 per
Medicaid user.
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Next Steps
Recommendations for Purchasers For purchasers who are contracting ) Refocus performance guarantees
3
As discussed above, the current available with the digital diabetes management on patients with the highest HbA1c
evidence for remote patient monitoring solutions included in this report, we offer — As discussed above, people with
and behavior and lifestyle modification the following recommendations: higher starting HbA1c who are newly
diabetes management solutions suggests starting insulin are likely to experience
) Require data analysis and
1
only small incremental benefits to HbA1c greater benefits from the use of these
transparency — Purchasers should
levels and a higher overall cost of care, technologies. Populations that have
contractually require data and analysis of
compared with usual care. As a result, the high HbA1c are also more likely to be
digital solution’s performance in their own
current evidence base reviewed in this low-income and disproportionately Black
member population at regular intervals.
report does not support broader adoption and Hispanic. While some contracts with
This should include a clear method of
of these solutions by purchasers on the digital solutions include performance
reviewing evidence in key areas of clinical
basis of their clinical or economic guarantees, they are often not focused on
impact (including HbA1c), as well as user
performance. specific subpopulations. Purchasers
engagement, program completion rates,
should define meaningful clinical and
For purchasers with existing contracts for and key predefined clinical outcomes or
economic impact targets that empha-
these solutions or purchasers who are utilization changes.
size success in these important sub-
interested in these solutions for other ) Align payments and performance
2 populations who may be more likely
reasons, we suggest a tailored, data- — We recommend that purchasers to benefit from the solution.
driven approach below. As solutions use these additional performance data
continue to evolve and the evidence base to ensure that payments are tied to
expands, purchasers may need to update successful results. This may include
their approach to contracting. increasing the portion of contracts at risk
Nutritional ketosis solutions are more and/or including claw back clauses for
likely to achieve clinically meaningful overpayments. These provisions should
benefits in glycemic control, including be balanced with significant payments for
diabetes remission. As a result of this solutions that achieve meaningful targets,
promising performance, the evidence at price levels that both reward the
supports broader adoption of these solution provider and lower the overall
solutions with ongoing evidence cost of care.
generation to strengthen and validate
the evidence about clinical benefits
and confirm the budget impact.
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List of Appendices
Appendix A Appendix F
Methodology Overview Blood Glucose in Interventional and
Observational Trials
Appendix B
PRISMA Checklist Appendix G
Other Health Outcomes in Interventional and
Observational Trials
Appendix C
Complete SLR and Company-Submitted References
Appendix H
User Experience Outcomes
Appendix D
Risk of Bias in Interventional and
Observational Studies Appendix I
Between Group Comparisons for Glycated
Hemoglobin Levels (HbA1c) by Solution Category
Appendix E
Glycated Hemoglobin Levels (HbA1c) in Prospective
Interventional and Observational Trials Appendix J
Baseline Patient Demographic Characteristics
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