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Bond Valuation
Bond Terminology
Zero-Coupon Bonds
Coupon Bonds
Corporate Bonds
See the link between interest rates in the market and a firm’s opportunity
cost of capital
Understand bond terminology and compute the price and yield to maturity
of a zero-coupon bond and a coupon bond
Know how credit risk affects the expected return from holding a corporate
bond
We can use the same method to find the equivalent interest rate for periods shorter than
one year
In this case, we raise the interest rate factor (1+r) to the appropriate fractional power
Ex: (1.05)0.5 = $1.0247, so an annual rate of 5%, is equivalent to a rate of 2.47% every half of a
year
A discount rate of r for one period can be converted to an equivalent discount rate for n
periods
Equivalent n-period discount rate = (1+r)n – 1 (4.1)
When computing present or future values, you should adjust the discount rate to match
the time period of the cash flows
If you have no money in the bank today, how much will you need to save at the end of
each month to accumulate $100,000 in 10 years?
Timelines for the above saving plan
We can view the savings plan as a monthly annuity with 10 12 = 120 monthly payments
We have the future value of the annuity ($100,000), the length of time (120 months), and the
monthly interest rate (0.4868% per month) from the first question, therefore,
FV (annuity) $100, 000
C $615.47 per month
1 [(1
r
r ) 1]
n 1
0.004868
[(1.004868)120 1]
Because the APR does not reflect the true amount you will earn over one year, the
APR itself cannot be used as a discount rate
Instead, the APR is a way of quoting the actual interest earned each compounding period
Interest rate per compounding period = APR / m
where, m is the number of compounding period per year
1 EAR 1
The monthly compounding rate is 6%/12 = 0.5%, then it’s present value is
1 1
PV 4000 1 $170,321.27
0.005 1.00548
The PV of the cost of the lease is greater than purchasing value, $150,000, so, you should
purchase the system outright
Example
Let’s say that you are now 3 years into a $30,000 car loan (at 6.75% APR, originally for 60
months) and you decide to sell the car. When you sell the car, you will need to pay whatever
the remaining balance is on your car loan. After 36 months of payments, how much do you still
owe on your car loan?
We have already determined that the monthly payments on the loan are $590.50
The remaining balance on the loan is the present value of the remaining 2 years, or 24
months, of payments and the monthly discount rate is 0.5625%. The outstanding loan
balance, therefore, is
1 1
Balance with 24 months remaining $590.50 1 $13, 222.32
0.005625 1.00562524
The central bank attempts to use the relationship between interest rates and investment
incentives when trying to guide the economy
The central bank will often lower or raise interest rates in an attempt to stimulate investment if
the economy is slowing or to reduce investment if the economy is overheating
The relationship between the investment term and the interest rate is called the term
structure of interest rates
We can use the term structure to compute the PVs and FVs of a risk-free cash flow over
different investment horizons
Yield curve: a plot of bond yields as a function of the bonds’ maturity date
Risk-free interest rate: the interest rate at which money can be borrowed or lent without risk
over a given period
Present value of a cash flow stream using a term structure of discount rates
C1 C2 CN
PV = + + +
1+ 0 r1 (1+ 0 r2 )2 (1+ 0 rN )N
Term structure of risk-free U.S. interest rates, November 2006, 2007, and 2008
Problem: compute the present value of a risk-free five-year annuity of $1,000 per year,
given the yield curve for November 2008 in the above term structure
1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000
PV $4,775
1.0091 1.0098 1.0126 1.0169 1.0201
Problem
Suppose a friend offers to borrow $100 from you today and in return pay you $110 one year
from today. Looking in the market for other options for investing your money, you find your
best alternative option for investing the $100 that view as equally risky as lending it to your
friend. That option has an expected return of 8%. What should you do?
Your decision depends on what the opportunity cost is of lending your money to your friend
Your opportunity cost is at best an 8% expected return and it is less than the expected return
of your friend’s offer. So, you will better off to make the loan for your friend
Bond
A security sold by government and corporations to raise funds from investors today in
exchange for promised future payments (interests and principal)
It is simply a loan. When an investor buys a bond from an issuer, the investor is lending money
to the bond issuer and will receive promised interests and principal in the future
Bond terminology
Bond certificate
It states the terms of a bond as well as the amounts and dates of all payments to be made
Face value, par value or principal amount: the notional amount
The face value is used to compute the interest payments and typically, it is repaid at maturity
Maturity date: the final repayment date of a bond
Term: the time to maturity or the time remaining until the final repayment date of a bond
Coupons: the promised interest payments of a bond
It is determined by multiplying the face value and the coupon rate of a bond and dividing it
with the number of coupon payments in a year
It is paid periodically until the maturity date of the bond
Types of bonds
According to coupon payment ways
Perpetuity bond, coupon bond (fixed or floating) and zero-coupon bond (pure discount bond)
According to issuing prices
Premium bond, par bond and discount bond
According to issuers
Government bond and public bond, corporate bond, financial bond, specific laws bond, private
loan
Whether or not there is a collateral or a guarantee
Secured bond / unsecured bond, guaranteed bond / non-guaranteed bond
According to option type embedded in a bond
Callable bond and puttable bond
Convertible bond (CB), Exchange bond (EB), Bond with warrant (BW)
FV
FV
B0
1 0 rT T
Problem
What is the fair price of a one-year(from now), risk-free, zero-coupon bond with a $100,000
face value if the corresponding risk-free interest rate (or market interest rate) is 3.5% APR?
FV 100,000
B0 =
(1+ 0 r1 ) (1.035) = $96,618.36
=
Coupon bonds
The value of coupon bond is the sum of PV of all future coupon payments and PV of
the face value at maturity date
Coupon bonds make regular coupon interest payments and pay the face value at maturity date
I1 I 2
I T FV
I1 I2 IT FV
B0
10 r1 1 10 r2 2 10 rT T 10 rT T
Return on a coupon bond comes from the difference between the purchase price and
the principal value and periodic coupon payments
To compute the YTM of a coupon bond, we need to know the coupon interest
payments and when they are paid
Financial Management 21 Lecture Note 4. Interest Rates and Bonds
5.3 Coupon Bonds (Cont.)
25 25 25 25 25 1,025
0 .
1 1 0 .
1 0 .
1 0 .
1 0 .
1 0 .
2 2 2 2 2 2
$952.66
When prices are quoted in the bond market, they are conventionally quoted per $100
face value in U.S and per ₩10,000 face value in Korea
After the issue date, the market price of a bond generally changes over time
At any point in time, changes in market interest rates affect the bond’s YTM and its
price
As time passes, the bond gets close to its maturity date and the price converge to the
face value
900,000
B
o 800,000
n
700,000
d
600,000
P
r 500,000
i 400,000
c
e 300,000
200,000
(
₩
)
100,000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Interest rates or YTM (%)
Credit Risk
Credit risk is the risk of default by the issuer of any bond that is not default free
It is an indication that the bond’s cash flows are not known with certainty
Treasury bonds issued by government are widely regarded to be risk-free but corporate
bonds are not
Corporate bonds may fail to pay the promised cash flows due to the financial distress of issuing
firms. We call this possibility credit risk, default risk or counterparty risk
Corporations with higher default risk will need to pay higher coupons to attract buyers
to their bonds