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the Containers?
Your monthly global container
logistics update
March edition
Letter from the CEO
The attacks on vessels in and around the Bab al-Mandab Strait have resulted in a
significant surge in ocean freight rates over the last two months. However, upward
pressure on shipping rates for crucial trade routes have started easing post-Chinese New
Year. This is in line with our anticipation discussed in the previous edition of this report—
where we mentioned that increased freight rates are not likely to be long-term due to the
structural supply-demand imbalance. Most importantly, this is not only true for freight
rates (which is always in high focus of industry participants and the press alike) but also
for container prices and leasing charges where rate levels have begun declining.
In this edition of Where Are All the Containers, we analyse the gradual alleviation of the
impact of the Red Sea Attacks on freight rates. Additionally, we discuss Chinese exporters’
inclination towards EU-bound rail freight as a viable alternative amidst the attacks; the UK
economy’s plunging recession with GDP contraction; and Mexico surpassing China as the
leading exporter of goods to the US for the first time in two decades.
Of course—as usual—you will also find detailed data and forecasts, average (container)
prices and pickup rates.
At Container xChange, we are a technology company striving to simplify the logistics of
global trade by making processes around the container as simple as the box itself. We do
that by providing a neutral infrastructure that connects all logistics companies to remove
friction and create economic opportunities. As part of this mission, we are also
continuously studying the industry, market, participants, strategies, trends, etc and
building reports around them to share these insights with you. We hope you enjoy yet
another update from our end.
Christian Roeloffs
2
Table of Contents
Asia 4
Chinese exporters seek rail freight as viable alternative
The US 7
US shifts trade tide: Mexico overtakes China as top exporter
Europe 10
UK economy plunges into recession with GDP contraction
Key findings 15
What the X? 18
Methodology 20
Contact us 23
3
Asia
Chinese exporters seek rail freight as
viable alternative
In response to disruptions caused by attacks on the Red Sea, shippers have urgently
sought alternative transportation routes for cargo from China to Europe. Consequently, air
cargo volumes along the primary apparel route from Vietnam to Europe surged by 62% in
the week ending 14th January, compared to the previous week.1 Rail routes through Russia
have also garnered attention from shippers.
The Red Sea disruption, coupled with the Lunar New Year, led to a significant rise in
demand for rail transport in February. Freight forwarders have reported a sharp uptick in
inquiries and bookings for the rail route. Data indicates that rail operators moved
approximately 28 million tonnes of goods between China and Europe via rail freight.2
Recent data suggests that sending a forty-foot container (FEU) from China to Europe via
rail costs around $7,900, compared to $6,507 per FEU for ocean freight from the Far East
to the Mediterranean.4 Furthermore, while concerns persist regarding global trade
receding from China, it is noteworthy that vessel manufacturers in China are
demonstrating resilience, reporting a multiyear backlog for new orders.
[1] https://www.xeneta.com/news/red-sea-crisis-sees-businesses-take-to-the-skies-to-avoid-ocean-freight-disruption
[2] https://theloadstar.com/china-kazakhstan-rail-freight-on-the-up-while-other-routes-struggle/
[3] https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/01/china-russia-rail-freight-demand-for-shipments-has-risen-since-red-sea-attacks.html
[4] https://www.xeneta.com/news/red-sea-crisis-latest-data-from-xeneta-forecasts-ocean-freight-shipping-rates-are-set-to-rise-
further-in-february
4
China’s shipbuilding industry records order surplus
In 2024, a total of 478 container ships with a combined capacity of 3.1 million TEU are
scheduled for delivery, surpassing the previous record set in 2023 by 41%. This surge is
expected to result in a 10% growth in the container fleet capacity for the year. Additionally,
83 ships, each exceeding 15,000 TEU, are set to be delivered in 2024, contributing 1.4
million TEU to this segment.
4.0 20%
3.0 15%
2.0 10%
1.0 5%
0.0 0%
-0.1 -5%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
“Chinese shipyards have benefitted most from the record high orders, delivering nearly
55% of all ship capacity during 2023 and 2024 and solidifying China as the premier
location for building container ships,” as reported by BIMCO.5 In fact, China’ shipyards are
experiencing a surplus of orders due to robust demand, with production schedules fully
booked through 2026.
[5] https://www.bimco.org/news-and-trends/market-reports/shipping-number-of-the-week/20240110-snow
5
Container Leasing Price
Average 40ft HC leasing rates from China to the US and Europe in February
6
The US
US shifts trade tide: Mexico overtakes
China as top exporter
In February 2024, recent data by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) unveiled a
significant shift: Mexico has surpassed China as the primary source of official imports for
the United States, marking the first time in two decades.
As recently as 2018, China commanded 47% of the inbound container volumes to the US.
“But rising geopolitical tensions between Beijing and Washington, new tariffs, and a post-
Covid shift in manufacturing momentum to Southeast Asia have cut into China’s
dominance,” reports the Journal of Commerce.6 Consequently, there has been a
noticeable uptick in imports from Mexico, Europe, South Korea, India, Canada, and
Vietnam.
500
400
300 China
$ billion
Mexico
Canada
200
100
0
2000 2005 2010 2015 2022
Source: U.S. Census Bureau; U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis; The New York Times
[6] https://www.joc.com/article/share-china-imports-us-dipped-below-40-last-year-amid-sourcing-shift_20240129.html
7
Between 2022 and 2023, the value of goods imported to the US from Mexico increased by
almost 5%, reaching over $475 billion, according to the Commerce Department. In
contrast, Chinese imports fell 20% at the same time, totaling $427.2 billion, just marginally
above Canada’s imports.7
Chinese New Year: The surge in shipments from China to the US is partially attributed
to the traditional pre-Chinese New Year rush, a period when coastal Chinese factories
expedite the movement of goods to ports before the extended holiday break.
Robust retail sales: Another contributing factor for the continued container flow is the
heightened demand from US importers to meet unexpectedly high retail sales.
Anticipating increased shipments, February and March are expected to be robust
months for US ports, particularly those along the West Coast.
Disparities in data: Some economists caution that the apparent reduction in US-China
trade might not be as sharp as bilateral data suggests. Notably, multinational
companies such as Hisun, a Chinese vehicle producer, have relocated portions of their
manufacturing to other countries while still sourcing raw materials and parts from
China. In some instances, companies may reroute goods produced in China through
other countries to avoid US tariffs.
[7] https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/07/business/economy/united-states-china-mexico-trade.html
[8] https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2024/01/12/changes-to-the-oc1-service
8
Imports and exports (TEUs) in the US
700,000
600,000
500,000
400,000
TEUs
Imports
300,000 Exports
200,000
100,000
Source: Econdb
9
Europe
UK economy plunges into recession with
GDP contraction
Britain's economy entered a recession in the second half of 2023, as official data reveal a
0.3% contraction in GDP during the three months ending in December. This followed a 0.1%
shrinkage from July to September.9
The British economy has only seen a marginal 1% growth since late 2019, prior to the
Covid-19 pandemic. Notably, among the G7 countries, only Germany is facing a more
challenging economic situation. Excluding the Covid years, the annual growth figure
represents the weakest performance since 2009. Furthermore, data also indicates a
slowdown in all main sectors including construction and manufacturing during the final
three months of 2023.10
Hapag-Lloyd's recent terminal operations update for Northern Europe reveals that hub
ports, including Rotterdam, Hamburg, and Southampton, experienced a spike in yard
utilization levels, reaching between 85% and 90% in the second week of February.
Previous weeks recorded as low as 55%, indicating successful handling of delayed vessel
arrivals.11
[9] https://www.investopedia.com/uk-and-japan-fell-into-recession-at-the-end-of-last-year-8582164
[10] https://www.bbc.com/news/business-68285833
[11] https://theloadstar.com/congestion-fears-ease-as-europes-ports-cope-with-arrival-of-delayed-vessels/
10
What did Container xChange data find?
The average price of a 20ft cargo-worthy container in ports of North Europe was $1,120 in
September 2023. The prices have decreased to $972 in February 2024, marking a 19.37%
decrease.
11
ISC & Middle East
Red Sea Attacks' grip on ocean freight
rates loosens
The Red Sea crisis led to a significant surge in ocean freight rates over the last two
months. However, there are indications that the upward pressure on shipping rates for
crucial trade routes may be easing. Ocean freight rates for shipping from Europe and the
Mediterranean began declining towards the end of January.
As of February’s General Rate Increases (GRIs), the cost for a forty-foot container from the
Far East to the Mediterranean is projected to be $5,950, down from the recent peak of
$6,050 on January 16. Similarly, on the trade route from the Far East to North Europe,
rates for 40-foot containers are expected to start at $4,820, slightly below the January 16
peak of $4,850.12
Interestingly, this reversal in ocean freight pricing is occurring despite the ongoing threats
to global maritime shipping. The timing of these rate decreases could impact upcoming
negotiations between ocean freight carriers and shippers as new contracts are discussed
at the beginning of March.
The decline in shipping rates coincides with a recent reduction in demand for Asian
manufacturing. Additionally, the Lunar New Year period, characterized by lower freight
volumes as Chinese manufacturing slows down for the holiday, contributed to the
decrease.
In the previous version of the Where Are All the Containers report, we mentioned how our
analysis indicates that increased freight rates are not likely to be long-term and rate
reductions can be anticipated post-Chinese New Year.
[12] https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/31/red-sea-freight-rate-inflation-may-be-peaking-already.html
12
significant contributions from crude oil, electronics, coal, and gold shipments.13
52.83 54.41
35.80 36.92
Exports Imports
However, Indian exporters remain cautious about the potential impact of continued Houthi
attacks in the Red Sea. The exports have not declined yet, as exporters have been
compelled to fulfill old orders despite the high shipping costs. “Much will depend on the
new agreement to be signed with buyers during the new fiscal as exporters have been
absorbing the burden of increased freight cost as per the old agreement,” according to
exporters’ body FIEO.14
[13] https://pib.gov.in/PressReleaseIframePage.aspx?
PRID=2006282#:~:text=Merchandise%20exports%20in%20January%202024,52.83%20Billion%20in%20January%202023.
[14] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/indias-exports-rise-312-in-jan-despite-red-sea-crisis-global-slowdown/
article67849941.ece
13
What did Container xChange data find?
In partnership with Freightos Baltic Index by Freightos, a global freight marketplace, we
found that the freight rates from China/East Asia to North Europe and the Mediterranean
saw a slight decrease from $5,654 to $5,194. However, freight rates from China/East Asia
to the US East and West Coasts continue to rise, albeit at a slow rate.
14
Key Findings
Chinese exporters seek rail freight as viable alternative
The Red Sea disruption, coupled with the Lunar New Year, led to a significant rise in
demand for rail transport in February. Data indicates that rail operators moved
approximately 28 million tonnes of goods between China and Europe via rail freight.
Sending a forty-foot container (FEU) from China to Europe via rail costs around $7,900,
compared to $6,507 per FEU for ocean freight from the Far East to the Mediterranean.
Container leasing rates from China to the US were higher than those to Europe. The
average leasing rates from Shanghai to ports in the US were $1,540, whereas the rates
from Shanghai to ports in Europe were $1,045.
Between 2022 and 2023, the value of goods imported to the US from Mexico increased
by almost 5%, reaching over $475 billion, according to the Commerce Department.
Chinese imports fell 20% during the same time, totaling $427.2 billion, just slightly
above imports from Canada.
In February 2024, 522,782 TEUs were imported to the US, while 331,085 TEUs were
exported, indicating a container surplus.
15
The average price of a 20ft cargo-worthy container in ports of North Europe was
$1,120 in September 2023. The prices have decreased to $972 in February 2024,
marking a 19.37% decrease in six months.
Freight rates from China/East Asia to North Europe and the Mediterranean saw a slight
decrease from $6,357 to $5,654. However, freight rates from China/East Asia to the US
East and West Coasts continue to rise.
16
Top 5 container price
spikes and plummets
Below are the top 5 locations with the largest week-on-week container price growth and
decline of 40ft containers, as per our container trading platform.
17
What the X?
What is container throughput?
Container throughput is a measure of the number of containers that pass through a port
within a given period. Throughput provides insights into the volume of goods being
transported and traded through a particular port. It looks at the overall container traffic—
encompassing both inbound and outbound containers, including full and empty units.
Do you have a question that you want us to answer? Please write to us at:
communications@container-xchange.com and we’ll answer it in our next edition.
18
Top 10 container
demand & supply
locations
Here are the top 10 container demand locations on the xChange platform.
Here are the top 10 container supply locations on the xChange platform.
19
Methodology
Container xChange’s monthly report – Where are all the containers? – offers a commentary
on the main events in the global logistics and supply chain industries. With the unique and
cutting-edge data that the company has, this report explains how they affect the global
economy and consequently, our mundane lives.
We also bring forward valuable insights for users and suppliers of shipping containers as
well as update them about the average prices of the 20ft, 40ft and 40 ft HC containers,
pick-up charges for one-way moves, and the Container Availability Index (CAx) of key
ports. Our analysis is based on global news, industry research material and insights
directly from established professionals in logistics and supply chain.
The data in this report as well as the pictorial representation are powered by Container xChange’s
product, Insights.
The prices of buying and selling and PU (pickup) charges for one-why leasing are always the
average numbers (in USD) over the month we are reporting on.
Data representing average prices and average PU charges for one-way leasing of
various types and conditions of containers, are based on the containers transacted on
Container xChange’s trading and leasing platforms.
A metric created by Container xChange, CAx is the tool or index which we use to
measure the import and export of full containers around the major ports of the world. A
CAx score of 0.5 means that the same number of containers leave and enter a port in
the same week.
© All rights reserved by Container xChange. No portion of this report may be reproduced
for commercial purposes without explicit written permission from the company.
20
About Container
xChange
The online platform for container
logistics and operations
TRUSTED BY 1,500+ LEADING HYSUN
Container Leasing
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21
Find the best locations to buy, sell or lease containers
Insights Market Price - Avg. last 7 days by City Area Most popular leasing stretches on xChange – last 2 mo.
Gdansk $3,735
Hamburg
Lyon
$3,512
$3,495
5.3%
32.0%
Budapest
Moscow
Le Havre $3,119
19.5% Gothenburg
Minsk
London $3,049 24.3%
London
Gliwice $2,967
Various data
Daily data updates Global coverage
sources
just one click away with international level” help in helping me find
Mr Supal Shah
CEO S g , o ese a es Grunsky,
J m
28
Contact us
Established in 2017, Container xChange is a technology company headquartered in
Hamburg, Germany. It is the world’s first online marketplace for buying, selling and leasing
shipper owned containers (SOCs). At present, we have more than 1,500 international
We offer our members efficient digital processes and market transparency to enhance
their operational flexibility. We cover the entire transaction process, from finding new
We are working towards a mission to simplify the logistics of global trade. And we are creating
an ecosystem of products and services for container logistics companies to empower them with
For questions about this report, our products and to request a demo, please write to:
Vatsala Singh
vsn@container-xchange.com
Ritika Kapoor
rka@container-xchange.com
© All rights reserved by Container xChange. No portion of this report may be reproduced
for commercial purposes without explicit written permission from the company.