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Mammal Review ISSN 0305-1838

REVIEW

Puma–livestock conflicts in the Americas: a review of the


evidence
Maria de las Mercedes GUERISOLI* GECOBI (Grupo de Genética y Ecología en Conservación y
Biodiversidad), División Mastozoología Museo Argentino de Ciencias Naturales “Bernardino
Rivadavia”, Angel Gallardo 490, Buenos Aires, 1405, Argentina and Departamento de Biología,
Bioquímica y Farmacia e Instituto de Ciencias Biológicas y Biomédicas del Sur, Universidad Nacional
del Sur - CONICET, San Juan 670, Bahía Blanca, 8000, Argentina and S.P.E.C.I.E.S, P.O. Box 7403,
Ventura, California, USA. Email: mariadelasmercedesguerisoli@gmail.com
Estela LUENGOS VIDAL Departamento de Biología, Bioquímica y Farmacia e Instituto de Ciencias
Biológicas y Biomédicas del Sur, Universidad Nacional del Sur - CONICET, San Juan 670, Bahía Blanca,
8000, Argentina. Email: eluengos@gmail.com
Nicolás CARUSO Departamento de Biología, Bioquímica y Farmacia e Instituto de Ciencias Biológicas y
Biomédicas del Sur, Universidad Nacional del Sur - CONICET, San Juan 670, Bahía Blanca, 8000,
Argentina. Email: nccaruso@gmail.com
Antony J. GIORDANO S.P.E.C.I.E.S, P.O. Box 7403, Ventura, California, USA. Email: species1@hotmail.com
Mauro LUCHERINI Departamento de Biología, Bioquímica y Farmacia e Instituto de Ciencias Biológicas
y Biomédicas del Sur, Universidad Nacional del Sur - CONICET, San Juan 670, Bahía Blanca, 8000,
Argentina. Email: lucherinima@yahoo.com

Keywords ABSTRACT
American continent, conflict mitigation,
cougar, human–wildlife, large Felidae, 1. Loss of livestock is one of the greatest sources of conflict between humans
livestock depredation, Puma concolor and large felids worldwide. The puma Puma concolor is the most widespread
apex predator in the Americas, and conflicts between this felid and humans
*Correspondence author
are common throughout its geographical range. In response to predation on
Received: 19 March 2019
livestock, humans persecute and hunt pumas.
Accepted: 21 July 2020 2. We identified the main environmental and anthropogenic variables that define
Editor: DR puma–livestock conflict areas in the Americas as 12 conflict predictor vari-
ables, and explored the techniques proposed to mitigate conflicts between
doi: 10.1111/mam.12224 the puma and livestock producers.
3. We conducted a systematic search and subsequent review of the scientific
literature and found 92 publications on puma–livestock conflicts. Through
single-variable analyses and generalised linear models (GLM), we identified
which of the 12 conflict predictors were most predictive of the occurrence
of predation.
4. The single-variable analyses showed that high livestock density (goat, sheep,
and cattle), low latitudes, low habitat steepness, low co-predator richness,
high distance to habitat (shrub), and high distance to roads characterised
areas with conflict. The binomial GLM indicated that areas with conflicts
were primarily located in the temperate southern hemisphere and characterised
by densities of livestock. The most frequently cited conflict mitigation tech-
niques were ‘improving livestock management’, ‘predator control’, and the
‘use of fencing’.
5. Although our knowledge about the puma and its relationships with human
communities has improved, there are wide geographical gaps, and many facets
of puma–livestock conflicts are still little understood. Scientists should work

Mammal Review (2020) Mammal Review (2020) © 2020 The Mammal Society and John Wiley & Sons Ltd. 1
Puma-livestock conflicts: a continental review M. M. Guerisoli et al.

with local stakeholders to generate reliable information regarding the ecologi-


cal and societal consequences of puma–livestock conflicts, and to develop
conflict mitigation techniques that could facilitate the coexistence of pumas
and humans.

RESUMEN EN ESPAÑOL
1. La predación de animales domésticos es una de las más importantes fuentes
de conflictos entre humanos y grandes felinos a nivel mundial. El puma Puma
concolor es el predador tope más ampliamente distribuido en las Américas, y
los conflictos entre este felino y los humanos resultan ser comunes a lo largo
de toda su distribución geográfica. Como respuesta a los eventos de predación
de animales domésticos, el hombre persigue y caza a esta especie.
2. Identificamos las principales variables ambientales y antrópicas, que describen
las áreas de conflicto entre el puma y la ganadería en el continente Americano,
como 12 variables predictoras del conflicto, y estudiamos las técnicas propuestas
para mitigar los conflictos entre el puma y los productores ganaderos.
3. Realizamos una búsqueda sistemática, y posterior revisión, de la literatura cientí-
fica y encontramos 92 publicaciones sobre conflictos puma-ganado. A través
del análisis individual de las variables y modelos lineales generalizados (GLM),
identificamos cuáles de las 12 variables caracterizaban las áreas de conflicto.
4. Los análisis individuales de las variables mostraron que la densidad de ganado
(caprino, ovino y bovino), la latitud, la pendiente del hábitat, la riqueza de
especies de copredadores, la distancia al hábitat (arbustales) y la distancia a
las carreteras caracterizaron las zonas con conflicto. El GLM binomial indicó
que las áreas con conflictos se ubicaron principalmente en zonas templadas
del hemisferio sur y se caracterizaron por altas densidades de ganado. Las
técnicas de mitigación citadas con mayor frecuencia fueron "mejorar el manejo
del ganado", "control de predadores" y "uso de corrales".
5. Si bien el conocimiento sobre el puma y sus relaciones con las comunidades
humanas ha sido caracterizado, existen amplias brechas geográficas, y muchas
facetas de los conflictos que aún se desconocen. Los científicos debemos
trabajar con los actores locales para generar información confiable sobre las
consecuencias ecológicas y sociales del conflicto entre el puma y el ganado,
y, así, desarrollar técnicas de mitigación que podrían facilitar la coexistencia
entre el felino y la producción.

INTRODUCTION predation of livestock (Treves & Karanth 2003). In an


attempt to reduce depredation losses, people apply lethal
Human–wildlife conflicts are defined as actions, by hu- and/or non-lethal methods (van Eeden et al. 2018a, b).
mans or wildlife, that have negative effects on the other; Generally, non-lethal methods are more effective than
these include actual threats posed by wildlife to human lethal methods in preventing carnivore predation of
life or economic resources, among others, and the per- livestock (Treves et al. 2016), and it is important to
ception that wildlife threatens human safety, food, or address local cultural values and environmental condi-
property (Nyhus 2016). Thus, these interactions may tions in order to achieve long-term coexistence between
negatively affect humans (e.g. via vehicle collisions; farmers and large carnivores (van Eeden et al. 2018a,
Gunson et al. 2011), their resources (livestock depreda- b, Ohrens et al. 2019a).
tion, crop raiding; Conover & Decker 1991, Inskip & Large carnivores keep suffering from intense persecution
Zimmermann 2009), and/or wildlife (carnivore persecu- (Graham et al. 2005, Khorozyan et al. 2015), and conflicts
tion; Mateo-Tomás et al. 2012). Large carnivores star are enhanced by negative attitudes and perceptions of local
in human–wildlife conflicts worldwide, because of their people towards carnivores (Mkonyi et al. 2017, Marchini

2 Mammal Review (2020) © 2020 The Mammal Society and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
M. M. Guerisoli et al. Puma-livestock conflicts: a continental review

& Macdonald 2018). This is also true for jaguars Panthera information suggests that lethal control may heavily reduce
onca and pumas Puma concolor (e.g. de Azevedo & Murray puma numbers and lead to their local ecological extinction
2007, Thornton & Quinn 2009, Zarco-González et al. 2013), (Novaro et al. 2000). For example, in the Brazilian Amazonia,
the only large felids in the Americas. Due to its extensive 110–150 individual pumas and jaguars were hunted annu-
geographic range and broad ecological niche, the puma is ally due to livestock losses in an area of 34200 km2 (Michalsky
the top predator in a variety of ecosystems of the American et al. 2006). In the Argentinean Espinal, 1.1–1.4 pumas
continent (Nielsen et al. 2015). Throughout their range were killed/year/100 km2 in an area of 27000 km2 in retali-
(Fig. 1), pumas are persecuted and hunted by humans, ation to livestock depredation (Guerisoli et al. 2017).
mainly because of livestock predation (e.g. Polisar et al. Thus, identifying common patterns in conflicts between
2003, Peebles et al. 2013, Llanos et al. 2014, Guerisoli et pumas and livestock producers is fundamental for under-
al. 2017). Pumas attack mostly cattle Bos taurus (Conforti standing this phenomenon, designing more efficient pre-
& de Azevedo 2003, Polisar et al. 2003), sheep Ovis aries vention and mitigation techniques (Graham et al. 2005,
(Elbroch & Wittmer 2012, Guerisoli et al. 2017) and goats Miller 2015), and, ultimately, improving conditions for
Capra hircus (Mazzolli et al. 2002); predation by pumas the coexistence of humans and pumas (Castaño-Uribe et
on horses Equus caballus, domestic Camelidae, and swine al. 2016). A number of environmental variables may affect
Sus scrofa domesticus has been recorded more rarely. Faecal the occurrence and frequency of puma attacks on livestock
analyses detected livestock remains in puma diet in 38% locally, including vegetation type, elevation, topography,
of studies from Mexico to Brazil (Laundré & Hernández density of livestock, distance to forest, land protection
2010). Although livestock remains typically occurred in status, human settlements, roads, water sources, and wild
<10% of puma scats, higher percentages have been docu- prey availability (Mazzolli et al. 2002, Palmeira et al. 2008,
mented locally (Murphy & Ruth 2010). Monetary losses Rosas-Rosas et al. 2008, Zarco-González et al. 2013, Burgas
resulting from pumas killing livestock may be important et al. 2014). In many locations, poor livestock husbandry
(Palmeira et al. 2008, Zarco-González et al. 2012, Lucherini and management facilitate puma attacks on livestock
et al. 2018) and may trigger intense persecution of this (Polisar et al. 2003, Inskip & Zimmermann 2009, Zarco-
species (Yáñez et al. 1986, Iriarte et al. 1990, Mazzolli et González et al. 2018).
al. 2002, Polisar et al. 2003). Only a few studies have quan- Although conflicts over livestock between humans and
tified retaliatory or preventative hunting, but the available pumas seem to be widespread and potentially threaten

Fig. 1. Map of the continental Western Hemisphere showing the geographic range of the puma Puma concolor and the geographical locations of the
92 studies on puma–livestock conflict that were found in the systematic search and included in the analysis. The regions used in the analysis (North,
Central, and South America) are indicated.

Mammal Review (2020) © 2020 The Mammal Society and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.  3
Puma-livestock conflicts: a continental review M. M. Guerisoli et al.

the conservation of pumas in both natural and anthro- from the total number and the area of the puma’s range
pogenic ecosystems, there is still no range-wide review on in each region, by using a chi-square test with the func-
this subject. We propose to: (1) assess the research efforts tion chisq.test of R (R Core Team 2017). To prevent bias
dedicated to the study of puma depredation on livestock in the quantification of the total area occupied by pumas
throughout the Americas; (2) describe the environmental in each region, we summed only the areas of those coun-
and anthropogenic variables that characterise the presence tries where studies occurred. In this analysis, we used the
of conflict in a given area, and identify the main factors publication as the sampling unit.
that correlate with depredation; and (3) explore the tech-
niques chosen and applied to mitigate conflicts between
Characterisation and geographical
puma and livestock producers.
distribution of the presence and absence of
conflict
METHODS
We defined puma–livestock conflict as ‘present’ when the
authors of a study, regardless of the source of informa-
Sourcing information and assembling data
tion, reported depredation of livestock by puma, and as
We conducted a systematic search and review of the sci- ‘absent’ when a study did not report any livestock attacks
entific literature (Pullin & Stewart 2006) in English and by pumas. We then analysed each study in which conflict
Spanish that addressed predation by pumas in the Americas was present to extract information on the techniques em-
(Appendix S1a). Because several common names (i.e. puma, ployed to collect data and on all factors affecting the
cougar, mountain lion, panther) are used for Puma concolor presence of conflict. Whereas puma diet data derived from
(Murphy & Ruth 2010), we included all of them in our kill-site inspection were considered for this review, we
search and combined them (in both English and Spanish) excluded from the analyses the literature based on puma
with the following search terms: ‘predation’, ‘livestock’, scat analysis, because the presence of a prey item in faecal
‘diet’, ‘prey’, ‘attack’. We did not use the term ’conflict’ samples could be due to opportunistic scavenging and
in our search because it is a broad term including preda- not, necessarily, to active predation (Bauer et al. 2005).
tion on livestock, predation of pets, road kills, and attacks In order to understand whether conflict areas presented
on humans (see the International Union for Conservation a geographic pattern, we used the publication as the sam-
of Nature Species Survival Commission’s Human-Wildlife pling unit, and related the number of publications reporting
Conflict Task Force: http://www.hwctf.org/). All scientific conflicts in each of the three regions (observed value)
literature published by December 2017 was searched using with the total number of published papers found in our
Web of Science and Google Scholar. Following Inskip and systematic search per region (expected value). We then
Zimmerman (2009), we also employed a ‘snowball’ sam- applied a chi-square test, to test whether conflicts were
pling approach (Goodman 1961) to identify and include homogeneously distributed throughout the puma’s geo-
additional relevant literature matching our criteria and graphic range.
listed in the reference section of articles and chapters
identified during our primary searches. We intentionally
Protected areas and presence of conflict
excluded from our analyses unpublished reports, grey lit-
erature, and MSc and PhD theses. Human–wildlife conflict tends to be minimal or absent
inside Protected Areas (PAs; Borg et al. 2016, Borón et
al. 2016). In order to test this for puma–livestock conflict,
Characterisation and geographical
we identified in the literature those studies that were car-
distribution of the literature
ried out inside PAs. We excluded from this analysis the
Because puma distribution is expansive in widely varying literature in which: the study area (StA) was an entire
socio-cultural and economic contexts, we divided the state or country, the StA included both protected and
American continent into three broad-scale regions: North unprotected areas, and the study was carried out in a
America (defined here as Canada and the USA), Central PA, but conflict occurred in areas with livestock adjacent
America (from Mexico to Panama), and South America to the PA. To quantify the size of the area covered by
(all remaining countries; Fig. 1). To clarify whether re- PAs, we used the World Database on Protected Areas
search effort on puma–livestock conflict was homogenously (IUCN & UNEP-WCMC 2015). Finally, since sample sizes
distributed throughout the geographical range of the puma, were small, we used the fisher.test function of R (R Core
we compared the number of publications found in the Team 2017) and carried out a Fisher test (Fisher 1922)
systematic search per region (observed value; Nielsen et to test, through a contingency table, whether the frequency
al. 2015) with the number expected per region, calculated of puma–livestock conflicts in the PAs was greater than

4 Mammal Review (2020) © 2020 The Mammal Society and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
M. M. Guerisoli et al. Puma-livestock conflicts: a continental review

expected, based on the proportion of land area that was thus creating an area of 78.5 km2 (i.e. approximately the
protected within the geographic range of the puma. In size of an average puma home range; Franklin et al. 1999,
this analysis, we used the publication as the sampling Grigione et al. 2002, Elbroch & Wittmer 2012); and 10 km
unit. (BA10), corresponding to an area of 314 km2 (i.e. an
area potentially large enough to contain a resident male,
some resident females, and transients; Quigley & Hornocker
Livestock as prey: preferences and densities
2010). We used Geographic Information System software
To understand which livestock species were taken as prey (QGIS 3.0.2) to extract the values of the conflict predic-
by pumas, we extracted, directly from the literature, which tors in each buffer area (Table 1).
livestock species were present in each StA, and, when
several species co-occurred, which was the livestock species
Statistical analysis of conflict predictors
most commonly taken as prey by pumas. Additionally,
we noted the specified age of the animal or animals at- We used Mann–Whitney U-tests to understand which of
tacked. We excluded from this analysis horses, domestic the predictive variables were significantly associated with
Camelidae, and swine, because they were infrequently taken conflict. One-tailed tests were performed because we ex-
in the studies we reviewed. pected a priori a directional relationship of each variable
To estimate average livestock densities within the puma’s under examination with the presence of conflicts. We used
geographic range, we extracted the densities of livestock the wilcox.test function of R (R Core Team 2017).
species from a continent-scale map (Table 1; FAO 2010) To understand what combination of conflict predictors
overlaid with the puma’s distribution map. In this analysis, was related to the presence of conflict, we used generalised
we used the publication as the sampling unit. linear models (GLM; Zuur et al. 2009). The Mann–Whitney
U-test results, indicating which variables differed signifi-
cantly between areas where conflict was present and absent,
Conflict predictors
and the visual inspection of the predictors’ box plots as-
Based on prior information associated with livestock pre- sisted our selection of the predictors to include in the
dation by large felids, and particularly pumas (Mazzolli GLM analysis. We first performed a Kendall correlation
et al. 2002, Rosas-Rosas et al. 2008, Zarco-González et al. analysis (Zar 1999) to identify and eliminate highly cor-
2013), we defined and considered a set of conflict predic- related variables (those with r ≥ .5) and thus reduce po-
tors and associated predictions (Table 1) that could be tential problems due to multicollinearity among predictors
used to compare areas where conflicts occurred with areas (Zuur et al. 2009). We then fit a set of different binomial
where conflict was absent. GLMs using the presence or absence of conflict as the
For this analysis, we used the StA as the sampling unit. response variable (with ‘logit’ as the link function). Using
To map the locations covered by the literature, we ex- the function dredge (package ‘MuMIn’, R Core Team 2017),
tracted the geographical coordinates of the central point we created a list of all possible models assuming only
of each StA directly from the text (if provided) or, when additive effects for predictors. We ranked all models using
coordinates were not provided, through online maps based Akaike Information Criteria adjusted for finite samples
on the name of the location reported. In order to include (AICc) and used ΔAICc and relative weights to evaluate
as many studies as possible, we assigned a mean central the relative importance of each model in the final set
set of coordinates to the literature referring to a large (Burnham & Anderson 2002). We identified those models
region (e.g. a national park or reserve). When a given with ΔAICc < 2 to be competitive with the top-ranked
publication reported data from several StAs located at least model (Burnham & Anderson 2002, Caruso et al. 2016).
approximately 100 km apart, geographical coordinates were Finally, we analysed the 95% confidence intervals (CI) of
assigned to each one of those areas. Because large land- β coefficients (i.e. regression coefficients) of individual
scapes typically include ample variations in environmental covariates to evaluate their significance (i.e. when CI ex-
conditions, StAs ≥30000 km2 were not considered in sub- cluded zero; Zeller et al. 2011, Caruso et al. 2016).
sequent analyses. Additionally, in order to avoid overes-
timation of the presence or absence of conflict, when
Conflict mitigation
literature sources sampled the same StA, we considered
only one of the sources. The use of mitigation techniques is fundamental to efforts
For each StA, we extracted the values of the variables to promote and enhance coexistence between predators
(Table 1) that we used to predict the occurrence of puma– and livestock production. In order to understand which
livestock conflicts, by building a buffer area around the strategies can be more effective in mitigating puma–live-
StA location. We applied two buffer radii: 5 km (BA5), stock conflicts, we extracted from each literature all the

Mammal Review (2020) © 2020 The Mammal Society and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.  5
Puma-livestock conflicts: a continental review M. M. Guerisoli et al.

Table 1. List of conflict predictors and predictions (in italics) on puma–livestock conflict, and description of the data extraction processes used. Sources
of information (references cited only in this Table) are presented in Appendix S1(b). Around the central point of each study area (StA), data were ob-
tained for two buffer areas (BA5, with a 5 km buffer radius, and BA10, with a 10 km radius) where appropriate.

Conflict predictor Predictions and reasoning Data extraction process for each study area

Livestock density Higher densities of livestock will characterise areas with conflict. We used a continent-scale map of livestock density
Reason: for puma–livestock conflict to occur, livestock needs to be (head/km2) with spatial resolution of 1 km2 (FAO
present. High density of livestock has been found to result in 2010). We considered only cattle, goats, and sheep,
conflicts between farmers and large felids (Woodroffe & Frank and excluded equines, swine and domestic
2005, Peebles et al. 2013, Hoogesteijn et al. 2016a), including camelids, which are infrequently taken by pumas.
pumas (Reyna-Sáenz et al. 2019). For each StA, we computed the mean value of
livestock density of the pixels within BA5 and BA10.
Livestock richness A greater richness of livestock favours the occurrence of conflict. We used the mean numbers of cattle, sheep and goats
Reason: the availability of a greater variety of livestock, differing in within BA5 and BA10 to estimate richness, we
sizes and habits, may favour predation by pumas. counted the number of livestock species present
within BA5 and BA10 using the livestock continent-
scale map.
Livestock diversity A greater diversity/richness of livestock will occur in areas with conflict. We used the mean numbers of cattle, sheep and goats
Reason: the availability of a greater variety of livestock, differing in within BA5 and BA10 to calculate the Shannon
sizes and habits, may favour predation by pumas. Diversity Index (Shannon & Weaver 1949). The value
of the index equals 0 when only one domestic
species is present and reaches its maximum when
the diversity of livestock is the highest. We used the
diversity function of R (R Core Team 2017).
Human density The presence of puma–livestock conflict increases with increasing We calculated mean human density inside BA5 and
human population density. BA10 from the global population density map (FAO
Reason: greater human density is usually associated with reductions in 2015), where pixel values indicate the number of
wild prey numbers, which, in turn, may force carnivores to prey on persons/km2.
livestock (Halfpenny et al. 1991, Treves et al. 2002).
Habitat The presence of puma–livestock conflict is greater in areas where the To estimate, for BA5 and BA10, the intensity of habitat
fragmentation fragmentation of natural habitats is stronger. fragmentation, we used the magnitude given in the
Reason: heterogeneous, unfragmented natural habitat is an important habitat fragmentation map (Hoekstra et al. 2010),
determinant of the persistence of wild carnivore prey (Crooks 2002), which considers agriculture, urban infrastructure,
thus habitat fragmentation may indirectly favour predation on roads, and railroads as fragmenting features in the
livestock (Mazzolli et al. 2002, Michalsky et al. 2006). landscape. Lower values indicate more fragmented
areas.
Habitat steepness Puma attacks on livestock are less likely in areas where habitat is To estimate habitat steepness in each StA, we
steeper calculated the difference between the maximum
Reason: puma wild prey (guanaco Lama guanicoe, vicuña Vicugna and the minimum elevation for BA5 and BA10 using
vicugna, bighorn sheep Ovis canadiensis) occupy high-elevation Shuttle Land Elevation Data (Farr et al. 2007).
areas and tend to avoid livestock (Pedrana et al. 2010, Schröder et Although ruggedness, rather than steepness, has
al. 2013, Borgnia et al. 2008); most domestic livestock are kept on been associated with puma habitat use (Burdett et
flat or gently sloping terrain. Additionally, pumas typically use gentle al. 2010, Dickson et al. 2013), most of the study
slopes for hunting (Dickson et al. 2005, Dickson & Beier 2007). areas had low values of the Terrain Ruggedness
Thus, we expected that areas with conflicts would be characterised Index (Riley et al. 1999); thus we selected steepness
by low habitat steepness. for our analyses.
Co-predator Predation on livestock is more likely to occur in areas where pumas We used the number of co-predator species in each
richness co-occur with other large predators. StA. Data on presence/absence of each co-predator
Reason: resource partitioning can be present where large carnivores were from the Terrestrial Mammal Distribution Map
co-occur (Alexander et al. 2006). Black bears Ursus americanus, (IUCN 2014). The species considered were large
grizzly bears Ursus arctos horribilis, wolves Canis lupus and jaguars carnivores that prey on cattle: black bear, grizzly
Panthera onca are dominant over pumas (Elbroch & Kusler 2018). bear, wolf and jaguar. The spectacled bear
Thus, where these large carnivores occur, pumas have more limited Tremarctos ornatus was not included because its
access to their preferred wild prey, and are more likely to switch to range overlapped with a very small number of StA.
livestock.

(Continues)

6 Mammal Review (2020) © 2020 The Mammal Society and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
M. M. Guerisoli et al. Puma-livestock conflicts: a continental review

Table 1. Continued

Conflict predictor Predictions and reasoning Data extraction process for each study area
Distance to Predation on livestock is more likely to occur near areas with We calculated the linear distance (km) from each StA
habitat (trees vegetation such as trees and shrubs. to the nearest patch of trees or shrubs using the
and shrubs) Reason: puma occurrence is typically associated with areas with Global Land Cover SHARE map (FAO 2014).
semi-closed/closed vegetation (Scognamillo et al.2003, Guerisoli et
al. 2019), so ranches in proximity to these habitats are more
exposed to predation by pumas (Michalsky et al. 2006, de Azevedo
& Murray 2007, Inskip & Zimmermann 2009).
Distance to roads Proximity to roads favours the occurrence of conflict. We used the World Street Map (ESRI 2009) to
Reason: in natural landscapes, roads represent a major source of calculate the linear distance (km) from each StA to
anthropogenic disturbance (e.g. resulting in road-kills). In rangeland the nearest road. This map includes highways, major
areas, roads facilitate access for hunters and, indirectly, lead to a roads and minor roads.
decrease in wild prey populations. Thus, the proximity to roads may
indirectly be associated with greater predation on livestock by
carnivores (Treves et al. 2004, Miller et al. 2016).
Distance to Conflict is more frequent in areas far from human settlements. We calculated the linear distance (km) from each StA
human Reason: with the potential exception of some specific areas of the USA to the nearest human settlement (cities and towns)
settlement (e.g. southern California), large human settlements are incompatible using the World Topographic Map (ESRI 2013).
with the presence of dense puma populations, so puma–livestock
conflicts are unlikely to occur in the proximity of towns and cities
(Mazzolli et al. 2002, Inskip & Zimmermann 2009).
Latitude Conflicts are less frequent in the temperate regions of the American We used the angle (in degrees) from each StA to the
continent (at high latitudes) than in the tropics (low latitudes). Equator to indicate latitude.
Reason: in high-latitude regions, pumas find a greater availability of
their preferred wild prey, medium-sized ungulates, e.g. in North
America mule deer Odocoileus hemionus, white-tailed deer
Odocoileus virginianus, and bighorn sheep; in South America
guanaco (Anderson 1983, Murphy & Ruth 2010, Lucherini et al.
unpubl. data).

information on mitigation techniques that had been ap- and to 94% of the area covered by the puma’s geographic
plied or proposed, for comparison with information from range. We found no literature on puma–livestock conflict
most recent publications on human–carnivore conflict from Belize, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Guyana,
mitigation. Suriname, French Guiana, Ecuador, and Paraguay (Fig. 1).
Most of the studies took place in South America (52%,
n = 48), followed by North America (32%, n = 29) and
RESULTS
Central America (16%, n = 15). Based on the area of
the puma’s geographic range in North America and Central
Characterisation and geographic distribution
America, the observed number of studies from these re-
of the literature
gions was greater than expected, while the opposite was
The database created, based on our literature search and true for South America (χ2 = 10, df = 2, P < 0.005;
selection process for the analyses, produced 92 original Fig. 2).
literature sources, published between 1984 and 2017, de-
scribing studies that took place in North, Central, and
Characterisation and geographical
South America (Fig. 1). Among the sampling techniques
distribution of presence and absence of
used, interviews and community/ranch surveys were the
conflict
most common method (n = 57), followed by field surveys
of predation (e.g. kill-site inspections; n = 40), radio- Puma–livestock conflict was reported in 82% (n = 75) of
telemetry (n = 18), and mortality records of pumas (n = 4). the literature included in our database, but only 42 studies
In several papers, a combination of sampling techniques (56%) mentioned a factor, or factors, potentially conducive
was used (e.g. interviews and field surveys; Appendix S1). to conflict. Proximity to dense vegetation (48%) and poor
The literature sources were associated with 14 countries, or absent livestock husbandry (55%) were the most fre-
corresponding to 61% of countries where pumas occur quently cited factors that were believed to lead to conflict.

Mammal Review (2020) © 2020 The Mammal Society and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.  7
Puma-livestock conflicts: a continental review M. M. Guerisoli et al.

Additional important factors included scarcity of wild prey commonly taken as prey by pumas, we extracted data
(19%), proximity to water sources (19%), and high hu- from the StAs with conflicts where the three species
man densities (4.8%). Conflicts were reported more fre- co-occurred (n = 9). Sheep were the species most fre-
quently in studies originating from South and Central quently attacked in 56% of these areas, while goats were
America (92% and 93%, respectively); in North America, the species most intensely taken as prey in 33% and
conflict occurred in 59% of studies, but the differences cattle in 22%.
were not significant (χ2 = 4.3, df = 2, P = 0.1). Only 17 of 40 studies where predation on cattle oc-
curred specified the age of the animal attacked; these cases
reported that pumas mainly took calves (usually
Protected areas and presence of conflict
<12 months old). Eight of 47 studies with predation re-
Approximately 27% of the geographical range of the puma cords of sheep and goat specified that both juveniles and
has some form of protected land status (e.g. national park, adults were puma prey; none of the others provided details
reserve). South America has the greatest percentage of on the age of individuals attacked.
protected land area within the puma’s geographic range
(30%; n = 3792 PAs), followed closely by Central America
Individual analyses of conflict predictors
(23%; n = 1329), and lastly, North America (18%;
n = 7287). The percentage of studies mentioning puma– Central America and South America had higher average
livestock conflicts occurring inside PAs (37%, n = 26, livestock densities within the puma distribution range than
P < 0.05) was greater than expected based on the per- North America. Cattle were the most widespread livestock
centage of puma range comprised by PAs. species throughout the three regions (Appendix S2). On
Overall, breeding livestock within PA boundaries was average, and for both BA5 and BA10, the total livestock
unrelated to conflict occurrence, as conflicts were simi- density was higher in those StA with puma–livestock conflict
larly frequent inside (80%, n = 16) and outside (91%, than in areas where no conflict records were published
n = 40) PAs (P = 0.4). However, all the studies refer- (Table 2). Livestock diversity and richness did not differ
encing conflict in North America (n = 6) were located between areas where conflict was present and absent
outside PAs, whereas most studies inside PAs from Central (Table 2).
America and South America reported conflict (Fig. 3). Human population density tended to be greater around
the StAs where conflict was reported than in areas where
no conflict with pumas occurred (Table 2), but this vari-
Livestock as prey: preferences and densities
ation was not significant (either for BA5 and BA10). Habitat
Cattle were taken as prey in 52% of all StAs with con- fragmentation did not differ between StAs where conflicts
flict (n = 75), sheep in 37% and goats in 25%. To occurred and those where no conflicts were reported in
understand which of the three livestock species was most the literature (Table 2). Habitat steepness: conflict areas

20000 100

18000 90
Size of the puma’s geographic
% of papers found in systematic search

16000 range 80
Literature
14000 70
Area, in 1000 km2

12000 60
n = 48
10000 50

8000 40
n = 29
6000 30

4000 n = 15 20

2000 10

0 0
North America Central America South America

Fig. 2. Regional comparison between the percentage of papers found in the systematic search on puma–livestock conflicts (right axis), and the size of
the puma’s geographic range in each region (left axis).

8 Mammal Review (2020) © 2020 The Mammal Society and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
M. M. Guerisoli et al. Puma-livestock conflicts: a continental review

100

90
Conflict presence
80

70 Conflict absence

% of study areas
60

50

40

30

20

10

0
North Central South North Central South
America America America America America America
Protected No protected

Fig. 3. Percentages of studies found in the systematic search in which puma–livestock conflict was present and absent, within Protected Areas (left)
and outside Protected Areas (right), in each of the three regions in the Americas.

were less steep than areas without conflict; these results (distance to shrub), ‘droad’ (distance to road), and ‘lat’
were similar for BA5 and BA10 (Table 2). (latitude). Four of the top-ranked models showed
In 48% of all StAs, pumas co-occurred with at least ΔAICc < 2, for BA5 and BA10 (Table 3). We followed
one other species of large carnivore. In contrast to what the principle of parsimony sensu Midlane et al. (2014)
we expected, the median number of co-predator species and selected the model with the lowest number of vari-
was significantly lower in conflict areas (Table 2). Although ables (i.e. the model with ‘dtot’ and ‘lat’ as predictors,
the median distance to the closest patch of trees tended for both BA5 and BA10) as the final model. This model
to be lower in areas where conflict was reported than in strongly supported a positive relationship between livestock
areas with no conflict, this difference was not significant density and the occurrence of conflict (BA5: βdtot = 1.2,
(Table 2). The median distance to the closest patch of CI95%:0.04–3.4; BA10: βdtot = 1.7, CI95%:0.1–4.6), and a
shrubs was greater for areas with conflict than for areas negative relationship between the latitude of the StAs and
where no conflict was reported (Table 2). the occurrence of conflict (BA5: βdtot = −1.1, CI95%:-2.08
The median distance to roads in the areas with conflict to −0.4; BA10: βdtot = −0.3, CI95%:-1.7 to −0.1; Table 3).
was significantly greater than in those areas where no Areas in which puma–livestock conflict occurred were
conflict occurred, for both BA5 and BA10 (Table 2). The likely to have high livestock density and low latitude.
median distance to human settlements was similar in areas
with conflict and those with no conflict (Table 2). The
Conflict mitigation
latitudes of the StAs ranged from: −50.96° to 52.07°. On
average, latitude differed between areas with and without Mitigation techniques were applied and/or proposed in
conflict (Table 2). StAs with conflicts were located closer 81% of the articles reporting conflicts (n = 75). Between
to the Equator, while more publications from areas reg- one and five techniques were cited in all studies surveyed
istering no conflicts were located in the Northern (considering also two papers including only analysis of
Hemisphere (Appendix S3). the application of mitigation techniques, n = 94) for a
total of 123 mentions overall. The most frequently cited
mitigation techniques (Fig. 4) were as follows: (1) improv-
Combined analysis of conflict predictors
ing livestock management (29% of cases and 42% of areas),
From Table 2 and from box plots of the conflict predic- (2) predator control (18% and 28%, respectively), and
tors (Appendix S3), we selected the variables which were (3) the use of fencing (18% and 28%, respectively).
related to the presence and absence of conflict. The cor-
relation matrix showed that a correlation existed between
DISCUSSION
‘lat’ (latitude) and ‘copred’ (co-predators), for both BA5
and BA10 (Appendix S4). Thus, the explanatory variables Puma–livestock conflict was studied in only eight of the 13
included in the binomial GLM were as follows: ‘dtot’ countries of South America, and the number of articles was
(livestock total density), ‘step’ (habitat steepness), ‘dshrub’ lower than expected based on the extent of the puma’s

Mammal Review (2020) © 2020 The Mammal Society and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.  9
Puma-livestock conflicts: a continental review M. M. Guerisoli et al.

Table 2. Values of conflict predictors in the study areas (StAs) with the presence and absence of puma–livestock conflict, shown as median (interquar-
tile range; minimum-maximum, n = sample size). Distances were measured from the central coordinates assigned to each StA. All other values were
obtained for two buffer areas (BA5, with a 5 km buffer radius, and BA10, with a 10 km radius). For each predictor, we also present the Mann–Whitney
U-test statistics.

Buffer
area Conflict predictor Presence Absence Mann Whitney U test

BA5 Livestock density (head/km2)* 14.5 (43.06; 0–123.7, n = 68) 4.5 (8.39; 0–33.2, n = 12) U = 265, P < 0.05
Livestock richness (number of livestock 3 (1; 1–3, n = 52) 2.5 (1; 2–3, n = 8) U = 196, P = 0.4
species)
Livestock diversity (Shannon index) 0.3 (0.58; 0–0.95, n = 52) 0.3 (0.23; 0.1–0.6, n = 8) U = 201.5, P = 0.4
Human density (inhabitants/km2) 5.3 (32.48; 0–841.5, n = 68) 4.5 (18.22; 0–149.2, n = 12) U = 357.5, P = 0.2
Habitat fragmentation index (low = 2.5 (2.32; 0.33–84.95, n = 68) 6.2 (5.34; 1.47–25, n = 12) U = 204, P = 0.3
more fragmented)
Habitat steepness (m)* 256 (951.5; 2–2186, n = 68) 849 (499.5; 24–1401, n = 12) U = 268.5, P < 0.05
Co-predator richness (number of 0 (1; 0–3, n = 68) 1 (2; 0–3, n = 12) U = 229, P < 0.05
species)*
BA10 Livestock density* 145.5 (298.83; 0–942.3, n = 68) 24.5 (19.39; 0–268, n = 12) U = 180.5, P < 0.05
Livestock richness 3 (0; 0–3, n = 68) 3 (0.5; 0–3, n = 12) U = 399.5, P = 0.4
Livestock diversity 0.2 (0.55; 0–1, n = 68) 0.4 (0.51; 0–1, n = 12) U = 305, P = 0.08
Human density 6 (37.41; 0–994.58, n = 68) 3.6 (10.75; 1–481.46, n = 12) U = 351, P = 0.2
Habitat fragmentation index 15.53 (30; 2.4–91.4, n = 68) 16.2 (32.6; 3.1–92.7, n = 12) U = 298, P = 0.4
Habitat steepness* 254 (951.5; 2–2178, n = 68) 849 (499.5; 86–1401, n = 12) U = 261, P < 0.05
Co-predator richness* 0.4 (1; 0–3, n = 68) 1.3 (2; 0–3, n = 12) U = 229, P < 0.05
Distances Distance to shrubs (km)* 3 (10.9; 0–167, n = 68) 0.7 (5.8; 0–37, n = 12) U = 291.5, P < 0.05
Distance to trees (km) 0 (1.7; 0–14.33, n = 68) 0.4 (4.6; 0–84, n = 12) U = 319.5, P = 0.06
Distance to roads (km)* 16.1 (52.54; 0–564, n = 68) 11.6 (26.22; 0–89.4, n = 12) U = 343.5, P < 0.05
Distance to human settlement (km) 27.8 (42.80; 0–537.4, n = 68) 51.6 (47.12; 0–112.4, n = 12) U = 321.5, P = 0.1
Latitude (degrees N or S)* −12.3°(34.44°; −50.96°−52.07°, 39.1° (19.97°; −29.3°−51.16°, U = 177, P < 0.05
n = 68) n = 12)

* Conflict predictors with significant P-values in the Mann Whitney U Test.

geographic range. This is contrary to what we found for many PAs. Because PAs are intended to conserve wildlife,
publications in the rest of the continent. Several factors may ecosystem services, and associated cultural values (Day et
underlie these differences. Differential availability of economic al. 2012), we anticipated that conflict within these areas
resources for wildlife research is likely to play a major role would be minimal. Nonetheless, when livestock are bred
(dos Santos et al. 2020), but this gap may also reflect the within their borders, the presence of PAs does not reduce
value ascribed to wildlife in North American society. In the the occurrence of conflict. The relationship between PAs
19th and 20th Centuries, in Canada and the USA, wildlife and conflict differed among regions: in North America,
conservation began to play an important role in society, no conflict was found in PAs, indicating that depredation
which led people to consider wildlife as a resource in the is concentrated in rural areas, where ranching is predomi-
public domain and science as a fundamental tool to regulate nant or wildlife protection is less strict. The situation was
the protection of wildlife (the ‘North American Model of different in Central and South America, where the presence
Wildlife Conservation’; Organ et al. 2012). of conflicts was also common within parks and reserves.
We found that interviewing local ranchers was the main This contrast could be explained by several factors: the
approach used to collect data on puma–livestock conflict. extent or category of PAs, the density of livestock within
This methodology is particularly suitable in developing and adjacent to PAs, the abundance of wild prey, the
countries, where direct data collection (i.e. ranch monitor- level and effectiveness of protection that PAs provide to
ing, radio-tracking data) is generally limited by costs. predator populations, or the fact that PAs were created
Interviews also enable researchers to study the human on lands that belonged to local communities and early
dimension of conflict. settlers. Although we used the most comprehensive global
These limitations, however, do not affect the results of database on terrestrial PAs, we acknowledge that some of
this review, as we based our analyses exclusively on the the StAs that are not listed as PAs in some countries,
presence or absence and not on the magnitude of conflict. especially in North America, may be managed similarly
The evidence shows that puma–livestock conflicts are re- to areas classified as PAs in the rest of the continent.
current throughout most of South America, including in Conflicts between livestock producers and large carnivores

10 Mammal Review (2020) © 2020 The Mammal Society and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
M. M. Guerisoli et al. Puma-livestock conflicts: a continental review

Table 3. Parameters of fitted models and parameters of the model with the lowest number of variables for the presence of puma–livestock conflict in
the Americas for BA5 and BA10. Only models with ΔAICc < 2 are reported. Variable response: presence/absence of conflict. Int.: intersection; df: de-
grees of freedom; LogLik: log likelihood; AICc: value of the Akaike information criterion adjusted for small samples; ΔAICc: difference between the
AICc values; CI: confidence intervals (2.5% and 97.5%); Z-value: statistical test Wald; dtot: livestock total density; lat: latitude; dshrub: distance to
shrub; droad: distance to road; step: habitat steepness.

BA5 Models Int. dtot lat dshrub droad step df logLik AICc ΔAICc AIC weight

1 2.5 1.2 −1.1 – – – 3 −25.2 56.7 0 0.2


2 2.6 1.2 −1.1 0.7 – – 4 −24.6 57.9 1.1 0.1
3 2.7 1.3 −1.1 – 0.6 – 4 −24.7 58 1.2 0.1
4 2.6 1.2 −1.1 – – −0.3 4 −24.9 58.4 1.6 0.09
Estimate 2.5 1.2 −1.1
Std. Error 0.6 0.8 0.4
Z value 4.2 1.5 −2.8
2.5% 1.6 0.04 −2.08
97.5% 4.2 3.4 −0.4

BA10 AIC
Models Int. dtot lat dshrub droad step df logLik AICc ΔAICc weight

1 2.8 1.7 −0.8 – – – 3 −24.9 56.2 0 0.2


2 3.03 2.06 −0.7 – 0.7 – 4 −24.4 57.4 1.2 0.1
3 2.8 1.6 −0.8 0.6 – – 4 −24.5 57.5 1.3 0.1
4 2.8 1.6 −0.8 – – −0.3 4 −24.5 57.7 1.4 0.09
Estimate 2.8 1.7 −0.8
Std. Error 0.7 1.1 0.3
Z value 3.6 1.6 −2.2
2.5% 1.7 0.1 −1.7
97.5% 4.9 4.6 −0.1

40
LM: improve livestock management
35 FC: fencing
PC: predator control
WP: wild prey (increase or protect)
30 GA: use guard animals (mostly dogs)
Number of mentions

EA: education/awareness campaigns


25 WB: water buffaloes Bubalus bubalis/‘criollos’ livestock
CM: compensation schemes
20 EC: ecotourism
RL: relocate problem individuals
DT: deterrents
15

10

0
LM=36 FC=22 PC=22 WP=10 GA=10 EA=9 WB=5 CM=3 EC=3 RL=2 DT=1
Fig. 4. Numbers of mentions of techniques to mitigate puma–livestock conflicts, as cited in the literature sourced. In some cases, more than one
method was mentioned in a single publication. Water buffaloes and ‘criollos’ cattle (WB) are considered to be guard animals, but they are used
particularly in areas of the Pantanal and Llanos (Paraguay, Venezuela, and Brazil). They were therefore separated from other guard animals (GA).

Mammal Review (2020) © 2020 The Mammal Society and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.  11
Puma-livestock conflicts: a continental review M. M. Guerisoli et al.

in PAs and their buffer areas were observed elsewhere, large carnivores were more likely to kill livestock in shrub-
including in Mexico (Anaya-Zamora et al. 2017), Brazil land than elsewhere (Jackson et al. 1996). Still, proximity
(Schultz et al. 2014), India (Karanth et al. 2012), and to semi-closed habitat in areas with livestock grazing could
Bhutan (Wang & Macdonald 2006), and can be attributed lead to increased puma predation of domestic species.
to the large spatial requirements of large carnivores, which We found that areas with conflict had lower habitat
can mean that they must look for food outside the borders steepness than areas without conflict. This is probably
of PAs (Woodroffe & Ginsberg 1998). driven by the greater occurrence of large-scale livestock
breeding in less steep terrain, as this terrain favours hu-
man control, accessibility, and management. We found
Individual analyses of conflict predictors
that conflict areas, throughout the continent, were regions
Our exploratory analyses showed that several variables where pumas were the only large predators, or co-existed
differ between conflict areas and areas without conflicts, with, at most, one other large carnivore species (Table 2).
such as anthropogenic pressure, habitat, and geographic This occurs in almost all of Latin America, where pumas
location. The consistency between the two buffer areas either are the unique top predators or co-exist with jag-
we used suggests that the spatial scale did not affect our uars. The abundance and availability of large native prey
results and that they may relate to landscape-scale is usually lower in these regions than in other areas
variations. (Laudré & Hernández 2010). Although misidentification
Contrary to our prediction, conflict areas were farther of puma faecal samples used in dietary studies may bias
from roads than areas where conflict was absent. Perhaps findings towards small prey (Elbroch & Wittmer 2013),
this is related to the fact that we did not include second- the available evidence suggests that in most of Patagonia
ary roads or rough tracks, which are associated with in- and the southern Andes – a vast area where the puma
creased human penetration (Hoogesteijn & Hoogesteijn is the only apex carnivore – this feline preys mainly on
2010) and which are used more than expected by pumas exotic species, probably because large native prey are
in Mexico (Ávila-Nájera et al. 2018). Large-scale maps that nearly extinct or are outcompeted by domestic species
include these types of more relevant roads are not easily (e.g. guanacos Lama guanicoe; Novaro et al. 2000, Walker
available. In Mexico, the distance to roads was positively & Novaro 2010, Buenavista & Palomares 2018, M.G.
associated with greater vulnerability of cattle to predation unpublished data). In other areas of Latin America (e.g.
by jaguars; however, this effect was weaker that the effects Brazil and Mexico), where jaguars and pumas live sym-
of other variables, including vegetation cover and proximity patrically, both felids are responsible for predation of
to riparian environments (Rosas-Rosas et al. 2010). livestock (Conforti & de Azevedo 2003, de Azevedo 2008,
In general, a greater density of livestock means a greater Rosas-Rosas et al. 2008, Amador-Alcalá et al. 2013).
availability of these alternative prey. Thus, it is not sur- Conversely, in Canada and the USA, pumas have access
prising that conflicts occurred in regions where livestock to thriving populations of wild prey (Bowyer et al. 2019),
were more abundant. and, in some areas, form part of comparatively rich
In concordance with other studies (Michalsky et al. carnivore guilds, where they are subordinate to larger
2006, Anaya-Zamora et al. 2017), we found evidence that predators (bears Ursus americanus, Ursus arctos) or gre-
pumas prefer to prey on small livestock, primarily sheep, garious predators (wolves). The scenario we propose to
and, secondarily, on goats and young calves. Nonetheless, explain the association between the co-predator richness
we found that cattle are the livestock species most fre- and the occurrence of conflict is consistent with the
quently involved in conflicts, perhaps because sheep and strong positive correlation between co-predators and
goats are much less abundant than cattle in the Americas latitude, which we found in the analysis aimed at ex-
(Appendix S2). cluding redundant predictive variables for our GLM.
Although conflict areas were also characterised by being
far from shrub habitats, the median distance was 3 km
Combined analysis of conflict predictors
(Table 2). Pumas are associated with semi-closed habitats
(Maehr & Cox 1995, Maehr 1996, Kerkhoff et al. 2000, The final multivariate model to predict puma–livestock
Guerisoli et al. 2019); they are stealth or ambush preda- conflict included only two variables, livestock density and
tors (e.g. Hornocker & Negri 2010) so the success of their distance from the Equator, indicating that areas with con-
hunting strategy is maximised in habitats that offer both flicts between pumas and livestock are likely to have high
cover for stalking and open spaces to pursue and capture densities of livestock and be located in the Southern
prey. On the contrary, proximity to shrub was positively Hemisphere. We believe that it is likely that latitude and
related to predation of livestock by wolves Canis lupus in livestock density are not only mutually associated, but
Mongolia (Davie et al. 2014), and, in the Nepalese Himalaya, also related to the other variables that appear to differ

12 Mammal Review (2020) © 2020 The Mammal Society and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
M. M. Guerisoli et al. Puma-livestock conflicts: a continental review

between conflict areas and areas without conflict, and that be used to address human–carnivore conflicts, including
the variables interact to explain the occurrence of puma– the following: fully engaging key stakeholders; testing and
livestock conflicts throughout the Americas. The importance adapting predation reduction methods and social conflict
of livestock density as a predictor of the distribution and mitigation strategies; and working closely with the affected
occurrence of human-felid conflict is not surprising and local communities (Zarco-González et al. 2018, Ohrens et
is recognised (Miller 2015, Hoogesteijn et al. 2016a, Reyna- al. 2019a). Several recent reviews concurred in concluding
Sáenz et al. 2019). Domestic species tend to compact the that there are wide gaps in the scientific evidence on the
soil, preventing seed germination and affecting the structural effectiveness of techniques to reduce livestock depredation
diversity of the vegetation (Kauffman & Krueger 1984). (Eklund et al. 2017, van Eeden et al. 2018b, Treves et al.
They also reduce the availability of pastures and vegeta- 2019). Concurrently, the list of potential strategies men-
tion cover for wild ungulates, which can lead to competi- tioned in the literature we reviewed is comprehensive, but
tion in foraging (Lee et al. 1998). Thus, high livestock most of the studies suggested mitigation techniques based
density may favour conditions leading to puma–livestock exclusively on researchers’ opinions or on simple observa-
conflicts both directly and indirectly. tions of the practices adopted in the StAs. Three tools
Central and South America are the regions of the con- (control of predator populations, improvement of livestock
tinent with the highest livestock densities (Appendix S2), husbandry and use or improvement of fences) made up
but are also the regions where anthropogenic pressure on over 64% of the mentions of mitigation techniques. Other
wildlife is the strongest and intense habitat conversion techniques that are adopted to mitigate human-carnivore
and overexploitation is still occurring (Rodríguez 2001, conflicts, such as economic compensation, relocation of
Ripple et al. 2016, Taubert et al. 2018). We could not problematic individuals, and the use of deterrents (van
measure the effects of the ecological, cultural, and eco- Eeden et al. 2018a), were rarely cited.
nomic differences between these two regions and North Lethal control of carnivores is widely applied, both le-
America, and, as previously noted, we believe that these gally (Treves & Karanth 2003) and illegally (Liberg et al.
differences largely affect the effectiveness of wildlife con- 2011, Guerisoli et al. 2017). The limited evidence available
servation strategies (Fragoso et al. 2004). Central and South for pumas suggests that hunting-related mortality may
America are important worldwide mammalian hotspots disrupt this felid’s population dynamics (e.g. by altering
of species richness (Ceballos & Ehrlich 2006), and support patterns of dispersal of young individuals or females with
a great variety of medium-sized to large wild ungulates cubs, or by modifying home range size areas) and social
(several cervid species, two camelids and three peccaries). structure (e.g. sex or age structure), and may lead to
However, the populations of these species are frequently increased puma–livestock conflicts (Robinson et al. 2008,
depleted, either directly by sport hunting or poaching, or Keehener et al. 2015, Teichman et al. 2016). Predator
indirectly by habitat alterations (e.g. Robinson & Redford control as a conflict mitigation technique is based on the
1991, Wilkie et al. 2011). In contrast, in Canada and the assumption that a decrease in carnivore abundance would
USA, many wildlife populations are intensively managed lead to a decrease in losses caused by predation. This
as recreational resources (Bowyer et al. 2019). As a con- interpretation represents a simplification of complex preda-
sequence, in North America, pumas still find relatively tor–prey dynamics, and several studies have shown that
abundant populations of the ungulates considered to be increasing efforts to control predator populations do not
their preferred prey (e.g. elk Cervus elaphus, mule deer produce reductions in livestock predation (Graham et al.
Odocoileus hemionus, white-tailed deer Odocoileus virgin- 2005, McManus et al. 2015, Treves et al. 2016). Peebles
ianus, pronghorn Antilocapra americana, and bighorn sheep et al. (2013) concluded that heavy hunting of pumas in
Ovis canadensis; Anderson 1983, Murphy & Ruth 2010). Washington, USA, largely amplified the odds of complaints
Livestock, for pumas, may represent more easily accessible and depredations. Besides increasing conflict, lethal control
prey than native prey of equal size (Linnell et al. 1999, is generally not selective towards the conflictive individual
Palmeira et al. 2008), and when large to medium-sized (Treves & Naughton-Treves 2005). Therefore, evidence
wild species are scarce or less available, predation on al- that the elimination of carnivores helps to reduce livestock
ternative species (e.g. livestock) is likely to occur (Khorozyan predation must be considered equivocal at best (Berger
et al. 2015). 2006, McManus et al. 2015, Lennox et al. 2018), and
ecologically and politically misguided at worst.
Studies assessing the effectiveness of mitigation tech-
Conflict mitigation and management
niques to reduce predation by pumas are still scarce and
implications
have a geographical bias, but they show that the effective-
In 1240, De Bracton wisely stated: “An ounce of preven- ness of interventions to protect livestock from puma pre-
tion is worth a pound of cure”. Several approaches can dation is highly variable (Khorozyan & Waltert 2019).

Mammal Review (2020) © 2020 The Mammal Society and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.  13
Puma-livestock conflicts: a continental review M. M. Guerisoli et al.

Our results support the recent reviews by Eklund et al. livestock producers to consider a diverse array of strate-
(2017) and Moreira-Arce et al. (2018), both of which gies which account for both the ecological and human
showed that livestock management is one of the most dimensions (Hulet et al. 1987, Ohrens et al. 2019a).
promising methods to limit depredation and that improv-
ing husbandry and management techniques is considered
Limitations of our analyses
a suitable tool for successful mitigation of conflicts with
pumas (Breck et al. 2011, Soto-Shoender & Giuliano 2011, We presented an exploratory analysis of the presence
Zarco-González et al. 2018, Reyna-Sáenz et al. 2019). of puma–livestock conflict at the continental scale. A
However, other tools are also probably practical for de- variety of ecosystems, countries, cultures, and socio-
creasing puma depredation (Khorozyan & Waltert 2019). economic variables characterise the puma’s geographic
In the Brazilian Pantanal, the use of electric fences de- range, so we tried to be inclusive in conflict predictor
creased losses caused by jaguars and pumas (Hoogesteijn selection and in the analysis. Despite this, we recognise
et al. 2016b). In northern Chile, light deterrents discour- some methodology limitations. A major weakness in our
aged pumas from preying on alpacas Vicugna pacos and work is that we were unable to include a variable in-
llamas (Lama glama; Ohrens et al. 2019b). In Mexico, dicative of the abundance of wild prey populations. Prey
Zarco-González and Monroy-Vilchis (2014) found that availability is commonly identified as important in de-
visual and auditory repellents were useful to protect goats termining levels of conflict between humans and preda-
and cattle from large felids. A recent literature review tors (Graham et al. 2005). Although some of the literature
suggested that the use of guardian animals could be the reviewed (19% of papers) mentioned that scarcity of
most appropriate mitigation technique, because it reduced wild prey influenced the occurrence of puma predation
losses of livestock (especially sheep and goats), and had of livestock, the importance of this factor is still unclear.
minimal negative effects on carnivore populations (van We strongly recommend that authors of future studies
Eeden et al. 2018a). We observed that this method was exploring the factors affecting the presence and, espe-
one of the least frequently mentioned mitigation techniques cially, the intensity of conflicts between large cats and
for pumas in the Americas, possibly because of the cost livestock, should consider the effect of wild prey popula-
of purchasing and subsequently maintaining the pure-bred tions. In particular in Central and South America, there
guard dogs that are used (Moral et al. 2016). Mixed-breed is little information on wild prey abundance and avail-
guard dogs proved to be a successful, cheaper alternative ability and its effects on jaguar and puma populations.
for protecting goat herds in northern Argentinean Patagonia Poor livestock husbandry or poorly implemented ranch
(González et al. 2012), and may have great potential, also management strategies can affect the intensity of dep-
because they are more adaptable to certain environments redation by pumas (Mazzolli et al. 2002, Polisar et al.
than the dog breeds traditionally used. Nevertheless, im- 2003), so livestock husbandry is an additional predictor
properly managed guard dogs may become semi-feral and that could have improved our understanding of the
may have negative effects on wildlife (Moral et al. 2016, dynamics of puma–livestock conflicts. Regrettably, in-
Allen et al. 2019). formation on these strategies used in the different StAs
The success of mitigation techniques can be condi- was usually poor and difficult to standardise.
tional, since strategies may work only under certain An additional limitation of our approach is that, by
conditions, and ineffective mitigation techniques can using the central geographical coordinates of the StA to
intensify levels of conflict (Inskip & Zimmermann 2009, obtain the values of the predictive variables, we may have
Ohrens et al. 2019b). Economic constraints may limit failed to reflect the detailed characteristics of sites where
the range of applicable interventions in developing coun- predation took place. The inclusion of this geographically
tries (Khorozyan & Waltert 2019). Each ranch presents explicit information – which is typically not reported by
a unique scenario, depending on the livestock species authors – in the supplementary material of studies analys-
and management, neighbouring properties, habitat type, ing carnivore predation would improve the quality of
wild prey availability, ranch size, and its owner’s income future meta-analyses.
and educational level. Thus, successful mitigation tech-
niques have to be tailored to the local scenarios, and
CONCLUSIONS
the livestock owner’s budget, available time, and pre-
disposition must be considered. Given the potential Unlike most other species of Felidae, pumas are charac-
variety of scenarios where puma–livestock conflicts can terised by great ecological plasticity (e.g. Hornocker &
occur, this felid’s ecological flexibility, and the available Negri 2010, Zanin et al. 2015), which has allowed them
information, we conclude that scientists and managers to be successful apex predators and to persist throughout
wishing to address conflict need to work along with most of their range. Paradoxically, this also has made

14 Mammal Review (2020) © 2020 The Mammal Society and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
M. M. Guerisoli et al. Puma-livestock conflicts: a continental review

them more likely to engage in conflicts with humans, and cal_review_of_liter​ature_on_puma.html?id=zJtFA​QAAIA​


to suffer retaliatory killings. AJ&redir_esc=y.
Pumas exert top-down effects on food webs, and their Ávila-Nájera DM, Chávez C, Pérez-Elizalde S, Guzmán-
disappearance may disrupt the natural functioning of Plazola RA, Mendoza GD, Lazcano-Barrero MA (2018)
ecosystems (Terborgh et al. 1999, Ripple et al. 2014). Ecology of Puma concolor (Carnivora: Felidae) in a
However, when planning the conservation of a conflic- Mexican tropical forest: adaptation to environmental
tive species, its effects on local human communities must disturbances. Revista de Biología Tropical 66:
be acknowledged. The information available on the con- 78–90.
sequences of puma depredation on regional economies de Azevedo FCC (2008) Food habits and livestock
is still poor. However, under certain circumstances, puma depredation of sympatric jaguars and pumas in the
attacks may have dramatic effects on the livelihoods of Iguacu National Park area, south Brazil. Biotropica 40:
local people (e.g. Michalsky et al. 2006, Palmeira & 494–500.
Barrella 2007), particularly in developing countries and de Azevedo FCC, Murray DL (2007) Evaluation of potential
on small ranches (Guerisoli et al. 2017, Lucherini et al. factors predisposing livestock to predation by jaguars.
2018). Although the number of publications on puma– Journal of Wildlife Management 71: 2379–2386.
livestock conflict is increasing, we found that information Bauer JW, Logan KA, Sweanor LL, Boyce WM (2005)
Scavenging behavior in puma. Southwestern Naturalist 50:
on the applicability and effectiveness of potential tech-
466–471.
niques for conflict mitigation is still extremely poor in
Berger KM (2006) Carnivore-livestock conflicts: effects of
quality and quantity. It is time to take a further step
subsidized predator control and economic correlates on
in puma–livestock conflict research, and increase research
the sheep industry. Conservation Biology 20: 751–761.
efforts aimed at identifying tools capable of reducing
Borg BL, Arthur SM, Bromen NA, Cassidy KA, McIntyre R,
the negative impacts of conflicts for both humans and
Smith DW et al. (2016) Implications of harvest on the
pumas. The development and testing of locally effective
boundaries of protected areas for large carnivore viewing
mitigation techniques is the next frontier in human–
opportunities. PLoS One 11 e0153808.
wildlife conflicts.
Borón V, Tzanopoulos J, Gallo J, Barragan J, Jaimes-
Rodriguez L, Schaller G, Payán E (2016) Jaguar densities
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS across human-dominated landscapes in Colombia: the
contribution of unprotected areas to long term
We acknowledge the effort made by the anonymous re- conservation. PLoS One 11: e0153973.
viewers. The comments and suggestions made by them Bowyer RT, Boyce MS, Goheen JR, Rachlow JL (2019)
improved this manuscript. Additionally, we want to ac- Conservation of the world’s mammals: status, protected
knowledge the follow-up and revisions made by the Editor- areas, community efforts, and hunting. Journal of
in-Chief, Dr Danilo Russo, and the Managing Editor, Dr Mammalogy 100: 923–941.
Nancy Jennings. de Bracton H (1240) De Legibus et Consuetudinibus Angliae.
6 https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139343725
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SUPPORTING INFORMATION
Negri S (eds) Cougar: Ecology and Conservation, 91–103. Additional supporting information may be found in the
University of Chicago, Chicago, USA. online version of this article at the publisher’s web-site.
Wang SW, Macdonald DW (2006) Livestock predation by
carnivores in Jigme Singye Wangchuck National Park, Appendix S1. (a) List of the literature reviewed, including
Bhutan. Biological Conservation 129: 558–565. the country and specific area where each study was con-
Wilkie DS, Bennett EL, Peres CA, Cunningham AA (2011) ducted and the main methods adopted. (b) List of the
The empty forest revisited. Annals of the New York information sources used for the extraction of the conflict
Academy of Sciences 1223: 120–128. predictors described in Table 1.
Woodroffe R, Ginsberg JR (1998) Edge effects and the Appendix S2. Livestock densities (mean ± standard devia-
extinction of populations inside protected areas. Science tion; head/km2) within the puma’s geographic range, per
280: 2126–2128. region.
Yáñez JL, Cárdenas JC, Gezelle P, Jaksić FM (1986) Food Appendix S3. Box-plots for each potential predictor of
habits of the southernmost mountain lions (Felis concolor) puma-livestock conflicts included in our analysis, for
in South America: natural versus livestocked ranges. buffer areas around study areas, of two different sizes:
Journal of Mammalogy 67: 604–606. BA5 (with a radius of 5 km) and BA10 (with a radius
Zanin M, Palomares F, Brito D (2015) What we (don’t) of 10 km).
know about the effects of habitat loss and fragmentation Appendix S4. Kendall correlation matrix showing all the
on felids. Oryx 49: 96–106. predictor variables of puma-livestock conflict considered
Zar JH (1999) Biostatistical Analysis. Prentice Hall, New in the modelling analyses with two buffer sizes: BA5 (with
Jersey, USA. a radius of 5 km) and BA10 (with a radius of 10 km).

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