Professional Documents
Culture Documents
CIB9923
CIB9923
Summary: During the 1990s, the British Government required all providers of social housing to
carry out surveys on their stock to ascertain its condition and maintenance requirements. As a
result, a large body of data has been collected nationally. This study investigates the feasibility of
analysing the data to estimate components’ lives.
A data warehouse was built using data from one of the surveying firms involved in collecting the
data (Building Performance Group). The dataset was processed to reduce ambiguity and
standardise repair descriptions. Window and roof replacement data were extracted and the years
to renew the components were analysed.
The data collected seems to be broadly in line with existing sources of durability information and indicates
that collating data from different sources can be used to get a good estimation of the service lives of
components and assemblies.
1 INTRODUCTION
During the 1990s, the British Government ordered all providers of social housing, such as local authorities and housing
associations, to carry out surveys of their housing stock to assess funding requirements for repairs. These surveys were carried
out directly by the local authority or by consultant surveying firms.
Building Performance Group have been undertaken many stock condition surveys over this time. The collected data represents
the aggregated estimates of repair needs and times as perceived by a number of surveyors.
Compiling the data from these surveys provided a large data set that could be analysed to determine component lives. 6
surveys were chosen to test the hypothesis that condition survey data could be used to estimate component lives. These
represented a number of different dwelling types such as flats, houses and high rise buildings.
2 METHOD
2.3 Databases
The survey data were stored in a number of formats, SQL Server (mdf), dBase (dbf) and MS Access (mdb) filetypes. Open
Database Connectivity (ODBC) was used to link tables in order to process and clean the data and make new tables.
SQL server
databases
dBase databases
In order to determine the years from construction to component renewal, it was necessary to represent the year bands by a
specific year.
An adjusted construction year field was also added. This was to provide an estimate for prior renewal of components, for
example: If the construction year was earlier than 1975 and windows are PVCu then adjusted construction year is 1985 or else
the adjusted construction year is equal to construction year. The adjustments are described in the figure notes where
appropriate.
M ea n 4 1 .96 9 8
S tD ev 1 9 .89 1 3
V ar ia n c e 3 9 5.6 6 2
S kewn ess 1 .4 65 4 7
K ur to sis 1 .7 93 3 3
N 65 9 0
6 16 26 36 46 56 66 76 86 96 10 6 1 1 6 1 26
M in im u m 6.0 0 0
1st Qu a rtile 2 8.0 0 0
M ed ian 3 6.0 0 0
3r d Qu ar tile 5 0.0 0 0
9 5 % C o n fid e n c e In te rv a l fo r M u M axim u m 1 2 8.0 0 0
95 % C on fide n c e In te rval fo r M u
41 .4 89 4 2.4 5 0
36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 9 5% C o n fid en c e In ter va l fo r S igm a
19 .5 57 2 0.2 3 7
9 5 % C on fid e nc e I nter va l fo r M ed ia n
9 5 % C o n fid e n ce In te rv a l fo r M e d ia n
36 .0 00 3 6.0 0 0
Descriptive Statistics
Variable: Years To Renew
Mean 41.8120
StDev 20.1995
Variance 408.021
Skewness 1.39353
Kurtosis 1.50736
N 5559
6 16 26 36 46 56 66 76 86 96 106 116 126
Minimum 6.000
1st Quartile 28.000
Median 36.000
3rd Quartile 53.000
95% Confidence Interval for Mu Maximum 128.000
95% Confidence Interval for Mu
41.281 42.343
34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 95% Confidence Interval for Sigma
19.831 20.582
95% Confidence Interval for Median
95% Confidence Interval for Median
34.000 36.000
Descriptive Statistics
Mean 30.6844
StDev 8.0351
Variance 64.5632
Skewness 1.18170
Kurtosis 2.18589
N 3631
8 13 18 23 28 33 38 43 48 53 58
Minimum 6.0000
1st Quartile 26.0000
Median 29.0000
3rd Quartile 34.0000
95% Confidence Interval for Mu Maximum 59.0000
95% Confidence Interval for Mu
30.4229 30.9458
29 30 31 95% Confidence Interval for Sigma
7.8545 8.2243
95% Confidence Interval for Median
95% Confidence Interval for Median
29.0000 30.0000
Descriptive Statistics
Mean 83.6204
StDev 24.0061
Variance 576.294
Skewness -1.15945
Kurtosis -1.5E-01
N 108
35 50 65 80 95 110
Minimum 31.000
1st Quartile 69.000
Median 97.000
3rd Quartile 97.000
95% Confidence Interval for Mu Maximum 112.000
95% Confidence Interval for Mu
79.041 88.200
78 88 98 95% Confidence Interval for Sigma
21.176 27.717
95% Confidence Interval for Median
95% Confidence Interval for Median
92.000 97.000
Descriptive Statistics
Variable: Years To Renew
Mean 36.3955
StDev 9.5574
Variance 91.3446
Skewness 0.487065
Kurtosis 0.622464
N 354
20 28 36 44 52 60 68
Minimum 19.0000
1st Quartile 29.0000
Median 37.0000
3rd Quartile 42.0000
95% Confidence Interval for Mu Maximum 70.0000
95% Confidence Interval for Mu
35.3964 37.3945
35 36 37 95% Confidence Interval for Sigma
8.9014 10.3186
95% Confidence Interval for Median
95% Confidence Interval for Median
35.0000 37.0000
Descriptive Statistics
Variable: Years To Renew
Mean 37.9235
StDev 6.9836
Variance 48.7702
Skewness 0.105785
Kurtosis 3.40473
N 327
20 30 40 50 60 70
Minimum 18.0000
1st Quartile 35.0000
Median 39.0000
3rd Quartile 40.0000
95% Confidence Interval for Mu Maximum 74.0000
95% Confidence Interval for Mu
37.1638 38.6833
37 38 39 95% Confidence Interval for Sigma
6.4862 7.5642
95% Confidence Interval for Median
95% Confidence Interval for Median
39.0000 39.0000
Descriptive Statistics
Mean 40.6281
StDev 10.2152
Variance 104.351
Skewness 0.649125
Kurtosis 0.548616
N 242
15.0 22.5 30.0 37.5 45.0 52.5 60.0
Minimum 13.0000
1st Quartile 37.0000
Median 38.0000
3rd Quartile 45.0000
95% Confidence Interval for Mu Maximum 63.0000
95% Confidence Interval for Mu
39.3346 41.9216
37 38 39 40 41 42 95% Confidence Interval for Sigma
9.3790 11.2165
95% Confidence Interval for Median
95% Confidence Interval for Median
37.2792 40.0000
4 DISCUSSION
The descriptive statistics graphs show the histogram and normal curve of the distribution of years to renew by quantity. The P-
Value is low and indicates that the data is not normal throughout all types.
The component lives seem to be higher than indicated by Ahluwalia and Shackford (Ahluwalia and Shackford, 1993), who
state the life expectancy of wood or aluminium casements to be 10-20 years and the HAPM Component Life Manual (HAPM
Publications Ltd, 2000)(0-35 years) but seem to be broadly in line with the estimated service life of components (ESLC) as
determined by the factoring method (BS ISO 15686-1:2000, 2000). While not investigated in this preliminary study, there is
scope to investigate the effect of environmental conditions on components from the demographic and environmental
information available for post–codes.
5 RECOMMENDATIONS