Professional Documents
Culture Documents
BY INDIA QUOTIENT
March 2024
INDIA QUOTIENT: EARLY STAGE SPECIALISTS
We love new categories that are unique to India “Great insight comes from
We inv ested in Sharechat when ‘Indian Social’ was not ev en a
seeing something as odd
category. and finding out why.”
We did the same thing in fintech with Lendingkart, in brands
with Sugar and in software with Vyapar. -Philip Kotler
We hope this compilation of insights will spark the imagination
of founders who are building for India.
1. Marketplaces 04
3. SAAS 46
4. Microtransactions 67
5. Consumers 88
8. Food 152
MARKETS MATURED TO
BECOME HIGHLY SPECIALIZED Ima Market, Manipur
(>3500 W omen Shopkeepers)
Zav eri Bazaar,
Informal brands, distribution networks and Mumbai (Jeweller’s
market)
financing systems still drive these marketplaces Laad Market, Hyderabad
(Bangles Market)
Siv akasi
(Firecrackers Market)
+ +
847 Cr.
~1.2X
~1.9X
1,389 Cr
~2.7X
429 Cr.
31%
16%
14% 14%
16%
6%
27%
China UK USA Singapore Japan India
9% 11%
7%
11% 10%
7%
• $70b India online TAM with just 6% penetration
India pop Internet users Smartphone users Online shoppers
• 60% of orders are from tier 2/3
• Tier 1 cities growing at just 10% v s 50%+ for T2/3
Metro Tier 1 Tier 2
11 I ndia e-comm
today 52
20
32-65% 14%
GET FIT: IMPROVE PROFITABILITY (WITH ADS AND PVT LABELS)
Source: Deloitte, Bernstein, various filings, IQ data 20 THINGS ABOUT MARKETPLACES IN INDIA 13
RETAIL MARKETPLACES HAD TO HACK STUFF TO SCALE
Flipkart led with many unique-to-India innovations, and we keep churning them out!
CASH ON DELIVERY (2010) EXCLUSIVE “DROPS” (2014) LENSKART @ HOME (2010) SOLVING LAST MILE (2016)
● Will send an
optometrist home
Even today, after UPI, 70% of txns are COD (2019)
MYNTRA TRY AND BUY (2016) PHONE EXCHANGE (2016) ZEPTO: 10-MINUTE DELIVERY (2021)
Source: Inc42, EconomicTimes, Fortune India, various company websites 20 THINGS ABOUT MARKETPLACES IN INDIA 14
MARKETPLACES HAVE BECOME CONGLOMERATES;
AND CONGLOMERATES WANT IN TOO
PARTNERSHIPS FLIPKART AMAZON MYJIO TATA NEU
Commerce/
Marketplace
Entertainment
Loyalty Programs
Financial Services
Logistics
Analytics/Cloud/Social
2.5%
● Unilever is helping 1.3m kirana stores get on ONDC
Apollo Dmart Westside ABFRL
Pharmacies
● Amazon’s Local Shops program is bringing Online as % of total revenue
neighborhood stores to Amazon with a Prime badge!
Source: Traxcn, Businessline, various company filings 20 THINGS ABOUT MARKETPLACES IN INDIA 16
REMEMBER THAT LEAPFROG?
ONLINE MARKETPLACES ARE NOW GOING “OFFLINE”…
“Capex” is the new Performance Marketing and “Omnichannel” is the new “D2C”
Funding in Mn USD
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Sneakers Collectables
INDIA USA
Astrology marketplace
Mental wellness platform 12% users = 70%
80% rev enue from users <35 yo
Repeat user ARPU of Rs 5000+
ARPU of Rs 200 @ Rs 20/ min
Three-sided marketplace of creators, fans and Managed marketplace for local serv ices
brands 45K+ trained professionals, 10 Mn+ customers
Over 600 creators on the platform 77% business from repeat users
3,500 3,346
2,500
2,027
2,000
● Besides pricing and free credit, no Right to Win
1,500
1,188
1,000
770
538 605
500 287
234
52 112
-
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Zepto/ Instamart: Myntra’s platform fee to pay for There is a hidden cost for
little discounting + delivery fee potential reverse pick up convenience too
Convenience
Discount
STANDARD INDUSTRY For eg, travel agents already got 10-20% commission, so
PRACTICE EXISTS Redbus/ Makemytrip could ask for the same
VALUE DISCOVERY STILL For eg, Air Jordans sell at higher on a secondary
LEFT marketplace than on Nike’s website
SUPER UNORGANIZED
Amazon, Flipkart, Jio already have a playbook for this
SELLER BASE
16
~NEFT $0-40/TXN
US India
1.75%/TXN
Source: Venmo, Baml, Citi, Paypal, Wells Fargo customer charges docs 20 THINGS ABOUT FINTECH IN THE LAND OF ‘ZERO’ 28
VIDEO KILLED THE RADIO STAR – UPI KILLING CASH…
CASH & CASHLESS TRANSACTION AS % OF CONSUMPTION
120% 16%
14%
100% 14%
5% 8%
12% 11% 14% 14%
17% 18% 12%
12% 26% 13%
33%
80%
9% 11% 10%
11%
60% 8%
95% 92% 6%
89% 86%
40% 83% 82%
74%
67%
4%
20%
2%
0% 0%
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
Cash velocity declining People holding same amount of cash, but transacting digitally
10.6
9.2
200,000
7.9
6.8
150,000
5.8
4.8
3.8 100,000
2.9
2
1.3 50,000
0.8 0.9
Jul-21
Jul-22
Jul-23
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Dec-23
Dec-21
Dec-22
Aug-22
Aug-21
Aug-23
Apr-22
Apr-21
Apr-23
Sep-23
Sep-21
Sep-22
Jan-22
Jan-23
Nov-22
Nov-21
Nov-23
May-21
May-22
May-23
Jun-23
Jun-21
Jun-22
Oct-21
Feb-23
Feb-22
Oct-22
Oct-23
0
Jan'17 Jan'18 Jan'19 Jan'20 Jan'21 Jan'22 Jan'23 Jan'24
Source: RBI, Paytm Investor reports 20 THINGS ABOUT FINTECH IN THE LAND OF ‘ZERO’ 30
DEBIT CARDS ON THEIR WAY OUT
31 29
15 38 62 76 87
24
69 69
60 19
43
12
27
9
15 6
7
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
Debit cards Credit cards UPI (P2M)
Source: RBI, NPCI, Bernstein 20 THINGS ABOUT FINTECH IN THE LAND OF ‘ZERO’ 31
GOODBYE VISA, HELLO RUPAY
CREDIT CARD 2.0 NEEDS TO BE BUILT DIFFERENTLY. LIKELY ON RUPAY.
Bonus
gamechanger
Credit on UPI!
Source: RBI, NPCI, Bernstein 20 THINGS ABOUT FINTECH IN THE LAND OF ‘ZERO’ 32
ZERO CASH ON DELIVERY?
COVID + UPI HAS CHANGED CASH BEHAVIOUR DRAMATICALLY!
43%
25%
0% 39%
0%
60%
50%
55%
25%
10%
Pre Demonetization (FY17 Est.) Post Covid (FY22/23) Pre Demonetization (FY17 Est.) Post Covid (FY22/23)
CoD UPI Credit/Debit cards BNPL CoD UPI Credit/Debit cards BNPL
2022
● Moving away from gold/ real estate to
Equities Cash
financial assets PF 5 4
6
FDs
15
Physical
assets
64
100
SBI
8%
3m new MF folios
opened in Nov-23 50
NJ Wealth
Groww
11%
48%
80% by new age
firms! PhonePe
0
Oct-16
Oct-17
Oct-18
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-22
Oct-23
Apr-23
Apr-16
Apr-17
Apr-18
Apr-19
Apr-20
Apr-21
Apr-22
Jul-16
Jul-17
Jul-18
Jul-19
Jul-20
Jul-21
Jul-22
Jul-23
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-23
Jan-17
Jan-18
Jan-24
8%
Source: AMFI data, ET, Mint 20 THINGS ABOUT FINTECH IN THE LAND OF ‘ZERO’ 35
NSE F&O TURNOVER (RS. LAKH CRS)
700 00
500 00
400 00
200 00
100 00
5x 4x ARE WE MOVING TO
in 5 years I n 4 years NEGATIVE
BROKERAGE? ☺
Source: NSE, MCA filings 20 THINGS ABOUT FINTECH IN THE LAND OF ‘ZERO’ 36
ZERO PROFIT IN SPECULATION…
BUT THAT DOESN’T STOP US FROM TRYING!
INDIA – A GLOBAL LEADER IN F&O
Compound annual growth rate of
Contract traded in 2023
options contracts traded,
2013 to 2023
BNPL -100
-200
-300
● Between bad performance & regulations, funding -400
ZestMoney Lazypay Axio
has it has all dried up -500
Revenue PAT
Source: MCA filings, HDFC securities 20 THINGS ABOUT FINTECH IN THE LAND OF ‘ZERO’ 39
ZERO BANKING: ZERO BALANCE,
ZERO BRANCHES AND ZERO PAPER
● Free, zero balance accounts means 78% of Indians
have a bank account
Source: MCA filings, IQ internal estimates * Excludes Banks & NBFC IT **IN 20 THINGS ABOUT FINTECH IN THE LAND OF ‘ZERO’ 41
● Persona of the “banker”
No. of business has evolved with time
correspondents (mn)
Source: Livemint, Fino Investor release 20 THINGS ABOUT FINTECH IN THE LAND OF ‘ZERO’ 42
ZERO TOLERANCE BY REGULATORS
FINTECH HAS BEEN THROUGH SOME TOUGH LOVE
Source : Financial Express, ET, Moneycontrol, Inc42 20 THINGS ABOUT FINTECH IN THE LAND OF ‘ZERO’ 43
NOT A ZERO SUM GAME: ISPIRIT
● Unique public private partnership model
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Kosh Traditional MFI
UPI ACH Cash
Built a legacy with On-Prem Services With advent of Cloud Computing, SAAS companies emerge
80%
75%
44%
FOR THE FIRST 20 YEARS, WE HAVE BEEN
PRICE WARRIORS – OFFER SAME
30% 30%
QUALITY AT A CHEAPER PRICE
Source: Deloitte, Bernstein, various filings, IQ data 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA SAAS 48
BUT NOW INDIA SAAS WINS ON IP!
INDIA B2B SAAS FILED 1,400+ PATENTS OVER LAST 5 YEARS, 5X OF THE PREVIOUS FIVE YEARS
2,016
1,650 1,598
1,482 21 FILED, 12 GRANTED 50 filed, 23 granted
801
8
Freshworks ARR timeline:
7 5 years from $1M- $100M
5 years from $100M - $600M
$600M
6 Last valued at $5.6B Last valued at $4B Last valued at $3.5B IPO at $10B
$300M M&A
3
$100M
1 THERE ARE MANY ALSO-RANS
$1M
0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
20k Most of these don’t survive.
SaaS startup funding (in $B) Freshworks (ARR Timeline in $M)
SAAS startups founded in India Only 2% have raised Series C
DID YOU NOTICE THAT WHATSAPP IS THE MOST WIDELY USED ‘BUSINESS SOFTWARE’ IN INDIA ☺
A DIGITALLY NATIVE GENERATION IS IN LINE TO TAKEOVER THE FAMILY … THIS WILL UNLOCK UNLIMITED SOFTWARE AVENUES
BUSINESSES… AT WORK
UI / UX UI/UX not meant for Indian usage UX built for Indian usage
Compliance, multilingual, local payments
MULTILINGUAL
Not Available Available
SUPPORT
Construction Tech
100
80
40
20
0
Zeta Perfios Wingify WebEngage Fleetx
INDIA SAAS UNICORNS & CENTAURS ARE SET TO BRING IN $20B-$25B IN REVENUE BY 2030
4,000
3,500
3,000
PROPENSITY TO PAY IS NOT A PROBLEM
2,500
ANYMORE
2,000
FOR ARPUs OVER Rs. 5K
1,500
SUPPORT >>>> SALES!
1,000
500
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
50
#SAAS Companies (X 1000)
<1 %
40
India SMB SAAS
Penetration <1% 89% • SMBs in India count of 50M*, more than the 33M
30 in USA
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
* Includes individuals like doctors, CAs, etc who are not GST registered but use software
Source: Forbes Statistics 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA SAAS 59
..AND INDIA’S MID-MARKET IS GROWING AT A BREAKNECK SPEED
11,731
9,890
100
Avg salary of software engineers (US$… Number of software developers (M)
90 7.7
80
70
60 5
50 4.4
40
30
20
10 1.2
0.5
- 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.08 0.08
United Israel Australia Germany Canada United France China India
States Kingdom
China India USA Japan Brazil Singapore Australia Mexico Colombia Hungary
VS
MAIN ISSUES
40.0% CO-PILOTS
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Human + Bot for Voice to text search Customer education,
customer support for task-keeping seamless marketing
WE WILL HAVE SEMICONDUCTOR INDEPENDENCE, BUT STILL IMPORT $20B WORTH OF SOFTWARE EVERY YEAR!
$3
$2
DTH Mobile
ARPU per month
● Dream11’s user base of 200m+ which is more than the no. Market size by revenue (Rs bn)
104
of people that shop online 75 6
59
3
2 42
● ARPU is $45 and ~25% conversion of free to paid 26
3…
56
31 39
>Rs 2k
5%
Rs 500-2k
10%
<Rs 500
85%
Source: Business Today, Zomato and Nykaa filings, various sources 20 THINGS ABOUT MICROTRANSACTIONS IN INDIA 73
SETTLEMENT B/W FRIENDS AND FAMILY IS ONLINE – DIWALI, SHAADI, RAKHI
Our prov erbial red env elope is digital now.
Pay to
Merchant
25%
Pay to
Person
75%
● There are 50m merchants in the country that accept UPI payments
● These means you can now travel across the country with just your cell phone
COMMUTE
WEARABLE QR CODE FOR EASY TIPS NO CASH, NO PROBLEM! TIP YOUR VALET/ WAITER/ MUSICIAN ANYWAY
WHALES
DOLPHINS MINNOWS
~10% OF USERS THAT GIVE 70-80% OF REVENUE
400m 80m
vs
Indians use digital payments Indians invest in the stock market
62x 3x
vs
Growth in UPI txn in 5 years Growth in MF participation
Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, AMFI 20 THINGS ABOUT MICROTRANSACTIONS IN INDIA 78
WHY ARE WE AVERSE TO BILLS AT END OF MONTH?
Source: TOI, India News, India Today 20 THINGS ABOUT MICROTRANSACTIONS IN INDIA 79
THIS WHY WE’VE BEEN A PREPAID COUNTRY
95%
90%
73%
6%
US - bank US - credit India - bank India - credit
accounts cards accounts cards
% of population
85
73
62
57
47
37
29
POSTPAID MOBILE USER BASE IS INCREASING… … AND SO IS THE NUMBER OF CREDIT CARDS
● Voice first dating app that monetizes ● Vernacular social network engaging ● Audible in regional languages
through gifting of v irtual goods with text, image & v ideo content
● $5 annual subscription is textbook
● D-0 funnel from install to paid ● Monetizes through digital serv ices & v alue for money
conv ersion is 25% up from 1.5% 18 adv ertising
months ago ● Their renewal rates are higher than
● User retention is off the charts & 30%+ Netflix and Hotstar!
DAU/MAU
● Pep.liv e is a platform for digital goods ● Clarity is 1-1 online mental wellness ● Fanztar is creating a v irtuous economy
like recipes, diet plans, meditation of creators, their fans and brands
class, etc for as low as Rs 20 ● There is nothing free on the app
● Topmate allows you to talk to an
● Pep’s thesis is allowing guilt-free ● ARPU of their repeat users is ov er Rs expert/ mentor, has 60%+ M9 user
content consumption instead of 5,000! retention
mindless social media scrolling
SPIRITUALITY CLASSIFIEDS
● Spirituality marketplace for faith & div inity offering e puja & ● Hyper-local daily for news and classifieds but digital cov ering
darshans 10M+ districts
● 10k Orders & >1.2 Cr GMV within first 6 months ● 54L MAU, 10 sessions per week av eraging 6m per session
● Rated best in its segment with 77% rating full & ~60% organic
bookings
Source: Play Store, Sensor Tower, IQ internal data 20 THINGS ABOUT MICROTRANSACTIONS IN INDIA 86
LOOKING FORWARD:
UPI AUTOPAY + MICROTXNS CAN BE A
GAMECHANGER
● Credit cards are the backbone of the Postpaid world
and UPI autopay is India's answer
Source: Livemint, CNBC TV18, Business Today 20 THINGS ABOUT MICROTRANSACTIONS IN INDIA 87
20 THINGS ABOUT
INDIAN CONSUMERS
THRIFT AND PRACTICALITY WERE A PART OF STATUS SYMBOLS OF
MIDDLE INDIA
UNTIL THE 1980S, A TELEPHONE WAS CONSIDERED A LUXURY. IN THE 80S, 120K PEOPLE BOOKED A MARUTI 800 CC CAR BY PAYING AN
THERE WAS A WAITING LIST OF 20 MILLION. ADVANCE. IT HAD A 3 YEAR WAITING LIST!
Indians who booked Tesla’s Model 3 have been wait listed for 6 years!
Source: Business Standard, Economic Times, Reuters 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIAN CONSUMERS 90
% of cars sold in India with
sunroofs
25%
News reports state that the % of cars sold in India with sunroofs are >25% - graph plotted to show trend
Source: Economic Times 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIAN CONSUMERS 91
LOWER MIDDLE-CLASS ALSO Decathlon India Revenue (INR Cr)
MOVING UPWARDS FROM
UNBRANDED CAGR of 38%
35% 65%
38% 62%
46% 54%
36% 64%
55% 45%
42% 58%
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 H1 2023
Housing units sold in '000
Source: RBI, Knight Frank for top 8 cities in India 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIAN CONSUMERS 94
POST COVID INSTAGRAM
YOLO FUELS A WANDERLUST
NEVER SEEN BEFORE...
Looks like the traffic jam has also gone
to Manali on vacation!
● Branded hotel chains now coming up in spiritual centres like Ayodhya, Pushkar,
Tirupati.
50
Taj Mahal Vatican City Mecca Ayodhya (expected Tirupati Temple, Vaishno Devi Temple,
footfall) Andhra Pradesh Jammu and Kashmir
3x
14%
252
75
FY22 FY23
Premium (>150cc) Overall motorcycle market Low-speed, low cost ('000) High-speed, premium ('000)
Source: Economic Times, New Indian Express 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIAN CONSUMERS 98
THE ULTIMATE VANITY IS A
GLOBAL DEGREE
THE RAJA BETAS COME BACK WITH
WESTERN TASTE AND INFLUENTIAL
POWER
ZERO MAKING
CHARGES TO
1000% MAKING
CHARGES!
Italian luxury brand Bulgari launched India exclusiv e Men's Kada (Bracelet)
Source: Company websites, Economic Times, Fortune 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIAN CONSUMERS 101
Tat a Trent Revenue
9.8
5.1 WELCOME PET PARENTS AND
2021 2029E PLANT PARENTS!
• Indoor plants, online nurseries and 'plantfuencers'
seeing a growing trend
Crunchyroll plans
3.1
FY23 FY28
Source: Moneycontrol, EY, Business Standard 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIAN CONSUMERS 106
Viewership (Mn)
130
NO WONDER LEAGUES IN OTHER
80
64 SPORTS ARE GETTING FORMED
15 DOMESTIC SPORTS LEAGUES
Indian Super League Pro Kabaddi (2023) Ultimate Kho Kho
AND COUNTING..
(2021) (Sep 2022)
Source: CNBC,
Livemint
Economic Times 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIAN CONSUMERS 107
BUT CRICKET IS OUR RELIGION.
ANY DOUBTS ABOUT INDIA'S
CONSUMER MARKET?
Source: Business Standard, Sportico, Sports Pro Media 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIAN CONSUMERS 108
LOOKING FORWARD: MORE GLOBAL PRODUCTS
AND MORE GLOBAL EXPERIENCES
940mn
760m internet CoWI N
users registrations
1.38bn
18 cents/ GB Aadhar
cost of data issued
580k
5bn learning Common 6.3bn docs in
sessions on Serv ice Digilocker 100k+ startups
DI KSHA Centers (G2C
serv ices)
Digital 170bn e-txn 100+ start up
1.2bn
Financial done by the I POs
telecom
Serv ices gov t in 2023 expected by
subscribers
500mn Jan 2027
Dhan
11bn UPI txn accounts w ith Digital
Digital Skills $20b+ in Businesses
per month
deposits
80
70
60
70%
50
40
30
Increase in the number of
indirect taxpayers thanks to GST
Income Tax return filers (mn)
Source: Indian govt statistics, New York Times INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 112
WE’RE MOVING TOWARDS PAPERLESS BUREAUCRACY
Source: X.com, Economic Times, Indian government data INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 113
FOR EXAMPLE, YOUR FACE IS
YOUR BOARDING PASS
● US TSA’s Clear charges $189, while Digiyatra
is free
Source: X.com, Indian government data INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 114
2,000
1,800
1,600
1,400
accounts
Source: X.com, IMF, Indian government data INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 115
FASTAG SAVES TIME, AND FUELS MORE HIGHWAYS
96% 97%
76%
60%
25%
20%
FASTAG MEANS MONEY FOR MORE HIGHWAYS. READY TO OVERTAKE USA SOON
Source: Economic Times, Diligent IAS, Abu Dhabi Travel planner, Livemint, X.com INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 116
INDIA’S BIGGEST MARKETPLACE IS
OWNED BY THE GOVT!
● Government e Marketplace (GeM) is an online
platform for public procurement launched in
2016
Source: Indian govt statistics, Times of India, INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 117
AND PERHAPS THE BIGGEST
EDTECH?
● The Digital Infrastructure of Knowledge Sharing
(DIKSHA) is a free-to-use school platform
Source: Insights on India, Indian govt statistics, IMF, X.com INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 118
WE LOVE ECOMMERCE. WE DON’T LOVE MONOPOLIES
● Open Network for Digital Commerce (ONDC) is
unbundling each part of the marketplace (buyers,
sellers, logistics and tech) to free market
competition
What is ONDC
VS
Source: Forbes India, Financial Express, X.com, Smartprix INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 119
AA (ACCOUNT AGGREGATOR) ECOSYSTEM
Source: Livemint, Ministry of Finance, Finbox, Sahamati, Forbes INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 120
ACCESS TO FINANCIAL MARKETS HAS BECOME FASTER AND CHEAPER
TRADING INVESTING
● We have the fastest settlements in the world ● Indians are doing $2bn in monthly MF investing
● Market participants are very profitable at low brokerage and small ● Still super underpenetrated - 70mn folios in a population of 1.3bn
trade sizes
● AMC cost st ruct ures are able to support median investments of
● SEBI vs SEC: Unlike the US, Indian regulator’s mandate is financial $25/ mo!
inclusion, risk management and protection of retail investors
200
150
100
50
Apr-16
Apr-21
Apr-17
Apr-18
Apr-19
Apr-20
Apr-22
Apr-23
Jul-16
Jul-17
Jul-18
Jul-22
Jul-23
Oct-18
Jul-19
Jul-20
Jul-21
Oct-23
Oct-16
Jan-20
Jan-17
Oct-17
Jan-18
Jan-19
Oct-19
Oct-20
Jan-21
Oct-21
Jan-22
Oct-22
Jan-23
SIP (Rs bn)
Source: Finshots, Choice India, Nerd Wallet, Amfi India, X.com, Livemint INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 121
AYUSHMAN BHARAT DIGITAL MISSION (ABDM) IS BUILDING DIGITAL HEALTHCARE HIGHWAYS
Source: Live Mint, mygov, Eka, COE, Indian government statistics INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 122
BUILDING GREAT TECH
FOR FARMERS
● Unified portal for agri-statistics (UPAg) gives
farmers insights into production, trends,
pricing, drought, crop and risk management
Source: Indian govt data, X.com, Hindu Business Line INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 123
WE CAN GO ON… BUT THERE IS A PORTAL FOR EVERYTHING NOW
E-courts – Digital Courts, Records And Citizen Engagement Portal With To-dos
Rbi’s Own Core Banking System Find Your Unclaimed Bank Deposits
Filings And Tasks For Indians!
Source: Livemint, The Hindu, ET Online, X.com, Indian govt data INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 124
US WAS ISSUING PAPER …WHILE INDIA WAS 100%
INDIA SHIPS CODE CERTIFICATES… DIGITAL
● AI judges?
Source: Wikimedia, India Mart, YourStory, Myadvo.in INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 126
LOOKING FORWARD:
INDIGENOUS APP STORE OUR
RESPONSE TO WALLED
GARDENS?
● 90m downloads and 100 apps being
added each month!
Source: Moneycontrol, Economic Times , X.com INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 127
LOOKING FORWARD: OUR
OWN CHIPS TO POWER ALL
THIS INFRA
● India’s Semiconductor Mission has a
$10bn budget to build the ecosystem
with chips promised as early as 2024
Source: Livemint, Reuters, Inc42, Barrons, Indian govt data INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 128
Filing online doesn’t take away the load of doing the actual filiing
… or the anxiety of trying to log in to govt portals
LOOKING FORWARD:
…FILING ONLINE ≠ EASE
OF DOING BUSINESS
Source: Financial Express, Inc 42, Trading Economics, X.com INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 129
LOOKING FORWARD: DATA,
PRIVACY AND AI PROTECTION
Source: Times of India, X.com, The Hindu INDIA’S DIGITAL PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE 130
20 THINGS ABOUT
INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS
HALF OF INDIAN HOUSEHOLDS HAVE A BIKE
Millions
16
16
14
12
10
6
4
4
0
2022-23
Passenger vehicles 2 wheelers
Source: India in Pixels by Ashris (2021), SIAM 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 132
A BIKE MEANS A LOT OF THINGS…
Source: Financial Express, OLX, Google Images 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 133
ABOVE EVERYTHING, A BIKE MEANS FREEDOM
US = GUNS, DOLLARS AND CARS INDIA = FOOD, CLOTHING, HOUSE + MOBILITY
Source: Johns Hopkins, CFI, Stories Parkplus, IMDB, Businessbar 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 134
OUR INCOME MAY BE LOW, OUR FREEDOM IS NOT
A NEW BIKE COST LESS THAN AN IPHONE 15!
Source: Bikewale, AutoCar India, Best Brokers 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 135
CARS WOULD MEAN DEADLOCK, NOT FREEDOM
CONGESTED STREETS
209 hours
4 Mumbai 65%
(8 days, 17 hours)
193 hours
5 Pune 59%
(8 days, 1 hour)
190 hours
8 Delhi 56%
(7 days, 22 hours)
#PeakBengaluru t raffic - Outer Ring Road, Sep 2023
Source: MacroTrends, Ministry of Road Transport, Wikipedia, Times of India, Hindustan Times, Twitter 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 136
WE CAN'T BUILD ENOUGH PUBLIC
TRANSPORT
Source: Insights on India, NRIOL, Hindustan Times, Metro Rail Guy, Free Press Journal 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 137
WE DON'T PRODUCE OIL. WE MERELY TAX IT...
FOSSIL FUEL CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA, 2022 TAX RATE ON FUEL
Australia 54,286
Italy 64%
France 63%
Germany 31,225
Germany 63%
China 25,344
Britain 62%
United Kingdom 22,509
Spain 53%
South Africa 21,063
Japan 47%
France 19,372
Canada 33%
Source: Our World in Data, Economic Times, Petroleum Planning & Analysis Cell, IOC 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 138
THAT’S WHY WE ARE VERY MILEAGE CONSCIOUS
Source: Maruti, Honda Official Website, Bajaj Official Website, Hero Official Website 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 139
ALTHOUGH THE YOUNG GENERATION IS UPGRADING
ROYAL ENFIELD PRIMARILY IN PREMIUM SEGMENT SAW 30% INCREASE LOAN TICKET SIZES HAVE BEEN INCREASING DUE TO UPGRADES
IN SALES IN 1 YEAR AND RISING BIKE PRICES
SALES GROWTH % (Q12022 OVER Q12021) LOAN TICKET SIZE MARKET SHARE (BY VALUE)
100%
90%
89%
80%
70%
60%
50%
48%
40%
37%
30%
20%
10%
0%
<250 cc 250-500 cc 500cc +
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
<250 cc 250-500 cc 500cc + <35K 35K-50K 50K-75K 75K-1L 1L-1.5L 1.5L+
Source: Bike Advice, Autocar Pro, Auto Car India, Overdrive , CRIF 2022 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 140
K SHAPED RECOVERY
26 4
Millions
Millions
4
24
16 3
2
14
2
12 2
2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23
● Affluent and middle-income Indians bought more 2 wheelers Passenger vehicles
4 wheelers
Source: INVC News, Times of India 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 142
FIRST LOAN FOR MOST INDIANS
IS A BIKE LOAN, AND LOANS LOANS TO ‘NEW TO CREDIT’ BORROWERS
WHEELERS
2 wheelers
65%
60%
Consumer
● 2 wheeler loans are the first entry to the credit market for a durables
35%
lot of Indians 40% Business
34%
Auto
Personal 28%
● 65% loans for 2 wheelers are from first time users Credit loans
cards 21%
20% 18%
● NBFCs have 67% market share of the loan market Microfin
9%
0%
The total doesn’t sum to 100 since people take loans for multiple events
Source: CRIF 2021, Times of India, Forbes 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 143
BIKE TAXIS: OUR ANSWER TO PUBLIC TRANSPORT?
RAPIDO’S NUMBERS @ 60% CLAIMED MARKET SHARE BIKE TAXI IS THE NEW AUTORICKSHAW, NOT EVERYONE IS HAPPY...
1M bikes
750k captains rides/day -
75% on bikes
50% demand
85 cities in Tier II/III
cities
Source: Rapido, Business Today, Livemint, Tribune India, Hindustan Times, Bangalore Mirror, Riders share, CEIC 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 144
NAMMA YATRI IS BUILDING IN PUBLIC WITH THIS LIVE DASHBOARD
Source: Economic Times, Namma Yatri 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 145
BIKE TAXIS DOUBLE UP AS LAST
MILE CARRIERS
● India commercial two-wheeler fleet is expected to cross
28m by 2025
Source: Ken Research FY 2020, Economic Times, LinkedIn 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 146
MILLIONS SET TO RIDE BIKES AS A GIG. AND LEAVE.
20% are students/ bike owners looking for pocket Rule of thumb for part time drivers is to add
money income of Rs 5-6k per month with 3 hours/ day on
the app
Source: India Quotient Rapido podcast 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 147
OPENING UP A BIG MARKET FOR CONSUMPTION AND RESKILLING....
Vehicle cost 80,000 80,000 ● EV’s entry into the market to reduce price
of bike taxi by ~15%
General serv icing cost 5,000 30,000
● Consumers to benefit upto 10%
Part replacements 15,000 10,000
● As demand goes up, efficiency of the
process goes up too (Elastic Demand –
Battery replacement 30,000 - dependent on price)
Source: Financial Express, Plugin India, India Quotient Rapido podcast 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 149
EV TWO WHEELERS: WILL INCUMBENTS MISS THE BUS?
EV Funding ($M)
1,100+ ~$5B
companies founded in India funding receiv ed so far
2,030
1,230
766
574
272
179
*till 30 Sep2023
Source: Tracxn 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 150
EV TWO WHEELERS: INCUMBENTS OR NEW PLAYERS?
Source: Auto ET, Tech Sci Research, EV Energy, Zig Wheels, 20 THINGS ABOUT INDIA’S 2 WHEELERS 151
20 THINGS ABOUT
Source: McDonald’s, Dominos for images 20 THINGS ABOUT HOW INDIA EATS 153
EVEN THEN, TOP PERFORMERS IN FOOD DELIVERY ARE NOT
PIZZA OR BURGER, BUT BIRYANI AND DOSA!
80
02 Chaat
60
03 Sandw ich
40
04 Chicken Starters
20 05 Dosa
0 Value of 100 represents the highest order volume dish in the region
Chicken Chicken Veg Samosa Kachori Cookies
Biryani Burger Sandwich
THE TOP ITEMS ORDERED ON SWIGGY ARE BIRYANI, DOSA, FRIED RICE,
PANEER, NAAN, AND CHAAT
Source: Zomato Trends, Swiggy 20 THINGS ABOUT HOW INDIA EATS 154
INDIANS DON’T GO TO PUBS,
THEY GO FOR AN EVENING
‘BREAKFAST’
● India has a unique meal-time category – the “evening
snack” dominated by samosas, chaat and batter fried
'Bhajias' – definitely not by healthy options!
● Hanging out with work friends is not at a pub post work but
usually over chai samosa in the evening, i.e. 'second
breakfast'
Source: Times of India, Reddit 20 THINGS ABOUT HOW INDIA EATS 155
FOR SNACKING, INDIA PREFERS
FRIED OVER BAKED
Source: Twitter, Business Today 20 THINGS ABOUT HOW INDIA EATS 157
INDIAN MENUS ARE AS COMPLEX AS …. INDIA
HALDIRAM’S MENU vs CHIPOTLE’S ENTIRE MENU IN THE US
● Mom, Dad, Grandparents and Kids eat different cuisines when they go out but they all eat together, since eating out in India is a social activity
● Indian menus have to appeal to a wide range of preferences and that’s why our menus are the size of small books
AS INCOMES RISE, MORE ARE TURNING NON-VEGETARIAN TO ACCESS BETTER WHILE WE HAVE THE MOST VEGETARIANS IN THE WORLD, DESPITE
PROTEIN POPULAR BELIEF, VEGETARIANS IN INDIA ARE A MINORITY
Source: ICICI, Wikipedia, Hindustan Times, Bikaji 20 THINGS ABOUT HOW INDIA EATS 160
On the other end, STARBUCKS
leads the K-SHAPED RECOVERY
● Free wi-fi
● “Cool workspace"
● Instagram-able cups!
● Being in America :)
NOTABLE ONES:
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018 $1.5B $636M $288M
2017
1,200 50
2016
40
2015 800
30
2014 20
400
2013 10
2012 0 0
2016
2017
2021
2022
2012
2013
2014
2015
2018
2019
2020
2023
0 100 200 300 400
ODDS IN FOODTECH ARE NOT GREAT … BUT THE LARGE OUTCOMES COME FROM CRAZY IDEAS
Source: Tracxn, Economic Times 20 THINGS ABOUT HOW INDIA EATS 163
FOODTECH WENT THROUGH A LOT
AND ITS NOT OVER YET…
FOODTECH HAS RAISED ~$8B, MOST OF IT IN THE LAST 5 YEARS… … THIS SPACE HAS A LARGE COHORT OF ALSO-RANS
FUNDING IN $M
SUPER
+ APP + LOGISTICS = ?
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
7M 100%
restauran ~150k, or 5% on Zomato
ts in I ndia 80%
60%
40%
20%
1M 0%
restaurants ~450k, or 45% on Doordash India China Japan Indonesia Thailand Brazil Germany USA Korea
in USA
Cafes/Bars & Full Service Restaurants Limited- Service Re staurants Street Stalls/Kio sks & others
Source: BQ Prime, Goldman Sachs 20 THINGS ABOUT HOW INDIA EATS 165
(‘000) (M)
AVERAGE MONTHLY NUMBERS FOR ZOMATO
800 18
600
400
17
16
VOLUME-GROWTH SLOWS;
200
0
15
14
DIALING DOWN LOSS-MAKING
ORDERS
Q4FY22 Q1FY23 Q2FY23 Q3FY23 Q4FY23 Q1FY24
Plateauing metrics?
ORDER FREQUENCY MONTH
3.4
Most of Urban middle white collar is already ordering online
3.3
3.2
3.1
Incremental growth has to come from upward mobility
3
2.9
2.8
Because our order frequency is comparable to global peers
2.7
2.6
2.5
Is delivery needed beyond big cities?
Deliveroo Meituan Zomato Justeat Takeaway
Source: Zomato, Motilal Oswal 20 THINGS ABOUT HOW INDIA EATS 166
THE AVERAGE WHITE-COLLAR INDIAN DOESN’T MAKE
ENOUGH TO GET HER FOOD DELIVERED ON THE TABLE
… THEREFORE, 90%+ EAT AT HOME INSTEAD OF ORDERING IN
Source: Motilal Oswal, Moneycontrol 20 THINGS ABOUT HOW INDIA EATS 167
120
100
WHAT IS YOUR LUNCH
80
BUDGET?
60
40
31.1 01
Food delivery AOV is 1/6th of DoorDash (the median
30.4 30.2
AOV on food delivery in India is likely lower)
20
5.3 7.6
0
02
Since order frequency is broadly at par with global
Zomato Deliveroo Just Eat Doordash Meituan
peers, India GMV is compressed
GMV FY22 ($ B) AOV ($)
Source: Zomato Annual Report, Motilal Oswal 20 THINGS ABOUT HOW INDIA EATS 168
LOWEST AOV MEETS HIGHEST TAKE TAKE RATES OF GLOBAL FOOD DELIVERY
RATE; RESTAURANTS FIND WAYS... PLATFORMS
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
Take rates for Zomato/ Swiggy are at par with global peers
0%
so there isn’t room for increase
Source: BQ Prime, Goldman Sachs 20 THINGS ABOUT HOW INDIA EATS 169
HOME COOKS ARE AS
EXPENSIVE AS GETTING
DELIVERY.
YET YOU CAN GET A FULL
MEAL FOR ~ $1
Source: YouTube ThePackHub, McDonalds 20 THINGS ABOUT HOW INDIA EATS 171
TIME FOR HARDWARE TO CATCH UP?
INTEGRATION OF AI IN RESTAURANTS… … AND IN THE HOME KITCHEN
Source: Forbes, Google images, Twitter, ottonomy.io, Techcrunch 20 THINGS ABOUT HOW INDIA EATS 172
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