Professional Documents
Culture Documents
interpretation of corporate
securities
Quick review of options
2
Motivation
3
A. Call option
Shareholders
Gain for shareholders
D V
Value of the firm
7
Market value of equity
P A0 =
A1 +=130
PV(Future CF)
A0=100 = PV(CF1)
1-P A1-=70
A0 = (P*A1+ + (1-P)*A1-)/(1+r)
=>110= P*130+70-P*70 = P*60+70
→ P = 2/3
P E1+=A1-D = 40
E0=?
1-P E1-=0
E0 = [P*E1+ + (1-P)*E1- ] / (1+r)
→ E0 = P*40/1,1=24.4
8
Now consider debt
90
Debt value
70 90 130 CF1
Assets Value
9
Debt Value = Risk free debt – Put Value
90
Risk free debt
70 90 130 CF1
- 90
10
Debt Value = Risk free debt – Put Value
90
70 90 130 CF1
- 90
11
Interpretation in terms of put option
12
Summing up
Shareholders Debt holders
13
Put-Call Parity and value of the firm
16
Valuing company’s equity as an option
- Example
▪ Company M has 1000$ of assets and
zero-coupon debt of 750m to be paid
back in a year.
▪ The value of M’s assets in a year will be
1600 with a probability of 0,6 and 625
with the probability of 0.4.
▪ Annual risk-free rate = 4%. Compute
equity value of the company M as an
option on its assets using:
▪ - one-period binomial model
▪ - Black and Scholes model
17
Binomial model
pFu + (1 − p ) Fd where p = [ 1+ r - d ]
F= u–d
1+ r
Where p is a risk-neutral probability
Value F follows Bernoulli process with a
probability p to reach the value of Fu by the end
of the period:
Fu = 850 Fd = 0
Option value F= (850x0.425)/1.04 =347.3
19
Black and Scholes model
22
Recall
23
OPTIONS THEORY AND VALUATION OF
EQUITY
Example:
•Take a company financed by equity and debt
•Assume the value of debt is 100, redeemable in one
year
•If the firm value is 150 at the time of calculation,
the equity value will be (150-100) 50, as difference
between firm value and the value of debt
•Assuming a risk-free rate of 5%, and applying
options theory the discounted value of the debt +
interest payment (6%) at the risk-free rate is
(106/1.05)=100.95
• Value of debt = Value of debt at the risk-free rate – Value of a put option
24
24
OPTIONS THEORY AND VALUATION OF
EQUITY
Value of the put option = 100.95 – 100 = 0.95
Then the value of equity split into
Value of equity = 50
– Intrinsic value (150-106) = 44
= Time value =6
•If we now assume that cost of debt is 15%. The
amount to be repaid in one year is 115
The discounted value of debt is (115/1.05) = 109.52
The value of the put is 9.52
The value of equity is still 50, but it breaks down into
intrinsic value (150- 115) 35 and time value (50-35)
15
25
25
OPTIONS THEORY AND VALUATION OF
EQUITY
•In the second example the value accounts for an
higher portion of the equity value
•The time value of an option increases with the
volatility of the underlying asset
26
26
Taking too much risk
▪ Holding Inc. holds 100 stocks of Girlie Inc. selling $2,230 each. The
enterprise value of Holdings Inc. is equal to the number of Girlie Inc.
shares multiplied by their closing price = $223 000
▪ Liabilities of Holding Inc. consist of 100 stocks and 300 zero-coupon
bonds with face value $1,000 to be repaid in 3 years from now.
▪ Call options on Girlie Inc. stock with a 3-year maturity have the
following characteristics:
27
Source: Vernimmen
The balance sheet of Holding Inc.
29
What is the value of the bonds of Holding Inc.?
$223,000 – $14,000 = $209,000 (a $9,500 decrease)
30
Renegotiating debt maturity
▪ As before, Holding Inc. has debt with face value of $300,000 to be repaid
in 3 years and 100 shares.
31
Option theory and bankruptcy law
So far we assumed that debtholders were
able to claim firm’s assets in case of
bankruptcy
In reality, certain bankruptcy regulations
limit this possibility. Bankruptcy laws
vary from country to country.
33
34
British and German law is more protective of debtholders compared
to French or American law. Source : Davydenko et Franks, JOF2008
- Mortgage collateral is not often used in France, more individual
guarantees (shareholders’ responsibility is no more limited!)
- In the UK 1st class debtholders have the power of veto on
administrative decisions and can control the firm.
- In Germany: intermediate situation (debtholders have certian
power in the restructuring process) 35
36
To conclude