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International Journal of Neuropsychopharmacology, 2024, 27, 1–11

https://doi.org/10.1093/ijnp/pyad067
Advance access publication 1 February 2024
Regular Research Article

Regular Research Article

Relapse Rates With Paliperidone Palmitate in Adult


Patients With Schizophrenia: Results for the 6-Month
Formulation From an Open-label Extension Study
Compared to Real-World Data for the 1-Month and
3-Month Formulations
Ibrahim Turkoz, Mehmet Daskiran, Uzma Siddiqui, R. Karl Knight, Karen L Johnston, Christoph U. Correll

Janssen Research & Development, LLC, Titusville, NJ, USA (Drs Turkoz, Daskiran, Siddiqui, and Knight); 2Janssen Scientific Affairs, LLC, Titusville, New Jersey, USA (Dr
Johnston); Zucker Hillside Hospital, Department of Psychiatry, Glen Oaks, New York, USA (Dr Correll); Donald and Barbara Zucker School of Medicine at Hofestra/
Northwell, Department of Psychiatry and Molecular Medicine, Hempstead, New York, USA (Dr Correll); Charité – Universitätsmedizin, Berlin, Department of Child
and Adolescent Psychiatry, Germany (Dr Correll).
Correspondence: Ibrahim Turkoz, PhD, Janssen Research & Development, LLC 1125 Trenton-Harbourton Road Titusville, NJ, 08560, USA (Itukoz@its.jnj.com).

Abstract
Background: The 3 paliperidone palmitate (PP) long-acting injectable antipsychotic formulations, PP 1-month (PP1M), PP 3-month
(PP3M), and PP 6-month (PP6M), have shown to reduce the risk of relapse in schizophrenia. The current phase-4 study constructed
external comparator arms (ECAs) using real-world data for PP3M and PP1M and compared relapse prevention rates with PP6M from
an open-label extension (OLE) study in adult patients with schizophrenia.
Methods: PP6M data were derived from a single-arm, 24-month, OLE study (NCT04072575), which included patients with schizophre-
nia who completed a 12-month randomized, double-blind, noninferiority, phase-3 study (NCT03345342) without relapse. Patients in
the PP3M and PP1M ECAs were identified from the IBM® MarketScan® Multistate Medicaid Database based on similar eligibility criteria
as the PP6M cohort.
Results: A total of 178 patients were included in each cohort following propensity score matching. Most patients were men (>70%;
mean age: 39–41 years). Time to relapse (primary analysis based on Kaplan-Meier estimates) was significantly delayed in the PP6M
cohort (P < .001, log-rank test). The relapse rate was lower in the PP6M cohort (3.9%) vs PP3M (20.2%) and PP1M (29.8%) cohorts. Risk of
relapse decreased significantly (P < .001) by 82% for PP6M vs PP3M (HR = 0.18 [95% CI = 0.08 to 0.40]), 89% for PP6M vs PP1M (HR = 0.11
[0.05 to 0.25]), and 35% for PP3M vs PP1M (HR = 0.65 [0.42 to 0.99]; P = .043). Sensitivity analysis confirmed findings from the primary
analysis. Although the ECAs were matched to mimic the characteristics of the PP6M cohort, heterogeneity between the groups could
exist due to factors including prior study participation, unmeasured confounders, variations in data capture and quality, and com-
pleteness of clinical information.
Conclusions: In a clinical trial setting, PP6M significantly delayed time to relapse and demonstrated lower relapse rates compared
with PP3M and PP1M treatments in real-world settings among adult patients with schizophrenia.
Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04072575; EudraCT number: 2018-004532-30

Keywords: Paliperidone palmitate 6-month, paliperidone palmitate 3-month, paliperidone palmitate 1-month, real-world data,
relapse prevention, schizophrenia

Significance Statement

Paliperidone palmitate (PP), an injectable antipsychotic medicine used to treat schizophrenia, decreases relapse risk (reappearance
of clinically relevant symptoms). Relapse prevention rates of PP 6-month (PP6M), an injection administered once every 6 months,
were compared with PP 3-month (PP3M; administered once every 3 months) and PP 1-month (PP1M; administered once every
month). Data for PP6M were derived from a single-arm phase-3 clinical study in adults with schizophrenia. Data for PP3M and PP1M
were obtained from the IBM® MarketScan® Multistate Medicaid Database, which collects real-life, routine medical and healthcare
service use data for individuals enrolled in the US Medicaid program. The study showed that the longer-acting PP6M (in a clinical

Received for publication: July 28, 2023. Accepted: XXX XX, XXX. Editorial decision: December 12, 2023.
© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of CINP.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which
permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
2 | International Journal of Neuropsychopharmacology, 2024, Vol. 27, No. 2

trial setting) substantially delayed the time to occurrence of relapse, with fewer patients experiencing relapse (3.9%) compared
with the shorter-acting PP3M (20.2%) and PP1M (29.8%) in routine treatment settings among adults with schizophrenia. These find-
ings could aid doctors’ treatment choices for maintaining effective therapy in patients with schizophrenia.

INTRODUCTION efficacy of PP6M versus PP3M and PP1M will provide insights into
the clinical benefits of longer dosing intervals and fewer injec-
Relapses in schizophrenia increase the risk of treatment refrac-
tions in preventing relapses in patients with schizophrenia.
toriness, impose further stigmatization on patients, and have
The present phase 4 study was designed to leverage real-world
detrimental effects on the overall disease trajectory (Emsley
data (RWD) in extending the interpretability of clinical study
et al., 2013). Nonadherence to schizophrenia medications
findings and generate comparative analysis to inform clinical
resulting in treatment discontinuation is recognized as one
­decision-making. Thus, external comparator arms (ECAs) were
of the primary risk factors for relapse (Robinson et al., 1999;
created for PP1M and PP3M by utilizing RWD from the IBM®
Kemmler et al., 2005; Novick et al., 2010). Addressing nonadher-
MarketScan® Multistate Medicaid Database (IBM MDCD) while
ence has proven to be a catalyst in developing safe and effec-
PP6M data were obtained from the phase 3 OLE study. The pri-
tive long-acting injectable (LAI) antipsychotics. Unlike their oral
mary objective was to compare the effectiveness of PP6M, PP3M,
counterparts, LAI antipsychotics allow for less frequent dosing
and PP1M formulations in delaying and preventing relapse among
and facilitate adherence by providing reliable medication deliv-
adult patients with schizophrenia.
ery, predictable pharmacokinetics, and transparent monitoring
(Agid et al., 2010; Brissos et al., 2014; Correll et al., 2016). An
updated systematic review and meta-analysis comparing LAIs
METHODS
with oral antipsychotics reported a significantly lower risk of
hospitalization or relapse with LAI use (29 RCTs: risk ratio [RR] = Study Design and Data Sources
0.88 [95% CI .79 to .99], P = .033; 44 cohort studies: RR = 0.92 [0.88 This retrospective phase 4 study derived data for PP6M from
to 0.98]; 28 pre-post studies: RR 0.44 [0.39 to 0.51], P < .0001) a 24-month, single-arm, phase 3 OLE study (NCT04072575)
(Kishimoto et al., 2021). (Najarian et al., 2023). The administrative claims data from the
Recent real-world studies have also reported reductions in IBM MDCD were used to extract data for the PP1M and PP3M
hospital readmission rates and emergency room visits with LAI cohorts that served as the ECAs. The IBM MDCD contains health-
treatment versus oral antipsychotics, with evidence supporting care claims data including coverage eligibility and service use for
a reduced healthcare burden of schizophrenia (Kim et al., 2020; individuals enrolled in Medicaid or Medicaid-managed programs
Latorre et al., 2020). Furthermore, a systematic review of 19 clini- in the United States. The database contains records pertaining
cal practice guidelines reported consistent agreement in terms of to enrollment (e.g., medical and prescription records of enroll-
LAI treatment, with 13 guidelines recommending LAIs as main- ment, including patient demographics and plan type), inpatient
tenance therapy and 5 advocating LAI use in patients with first-­ and outpatient services, long-term care (i.e., medical and phar-
episode schizophrenia (Correll et al., 2022). The use of LAIs has macy claims), and financial information for more than 10 million
also been associated with improvements in tangible measures Medicaid beneficiaries from 10 states.
such as daily functioning and quality-of-life that are often valued All cohorts included patients who received moderate or high
by patients and encourage treatment adherence (Kaplan et al., doses of PP1M, PP3M, or PP6M injections. Patients were assigned
2013; Brissos et al., 2014; Correll et al., 2016; Blackwood et al., to 1 of the 2 dose categories based on their PP injection dose at
2020). study entry (supplementary Table 1).
Paliperidone palmitate 1-month (PP1M) and 3-month (PP3M) The index date for the PP6M cohort was the start date
LAI formulations have shown meaningful symptomatic control, (September 2019) of the OLE phase, and the end of the 12-month
functional improvements, and reductions in hospitalization and DB phase of the phase 3 study (NCT03345342) was considered the
relapse rates in several clinical studies (Gopal et al., 2010; Hough baseline period. The data collection period for the PP1M and PP3M
et al., 2010; Berwaerts et al., 2015; Savitz et al., 2016; Di Lorenzo cohorts was from January 1, 2017, until the end of available IBM
et al., 2018). Evidence from real-world studies also suggests that MDCD data (last patient out December 2021) (Fig. 1). The date of
PP1M and PP3M are more effective than oral antipsychotics in the first eligible claim for PP1M or PP3M injection was deemed
delaying time to relapse or treatment failure (Alphs et al., 2015; as the index date for the PP1M and PP3M cohorts. The baseline
Emond et al., 2019a; Patel et al., 2020; Segarra et al., 2021). period for these cohorts was considered as the period between
The PP6M LAI formulation was developed to provide an the index PP injection date and up to 12 months before this date.
extended dosing window of 6 months and is currently the first All patients had continuous medical and prescription coverage
and only available twice-yearly treatment for adults living based on their insurance enrollment records during this period.
with schizophrenia (Milz et al., 2023). PP6M is approved for the The study follow-up period for all 3 cohorts was up to 24 months
maintenance treatment of schizophrenia in adult patients who after the respective index dates. The IBM MDCD patients were
have been clinically stabilized on PP1M or PP3M. In a 12-month, required to have at least 1-year pre-index (baseline) and 1-year
double-blind (DB), randomized, noninferiority phase 3 study, 2 post-index continuous medical and drug coverage.
sequential injections of PP6M demonstrated comparable efficacy
to PP3M in preventing schizophrenia relapses without raising any Ethical Practices
new safety concerns (Najarian et al., 2022). Subsequently, the The OLE study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration
long-term efficacy of PP6M with low relapse rates (3.9%) over 2 of Helsinki and applicable local laws and regulations; the study
years was reported in a phase 3, single-arm, open-label extension protocol was approved by an independent ethics committee or
(OLE) study (Najarian et al., 2023). Investigating the comparative institutional review board. The present phase 4 study involved
Relapse Rates With Paliperidone Palmitate in Adult Patients With Schizophrenia | 3

Figure 1. Study design. IBM MDCD, IBM MarketScan Multistate Medicaid Database; mo, month; PP1M, paliperidone palmitate 1-month formulation;
PP3M, paliperidone palmitate 3-month formulation; PP6M, paliperidone palmitate 6-month formulation; RWD, real-world data; Rx, treatment.

retrospective analyses of clinical study data and de-identified medical and prescription Medicaid insurance coverage before and
data from a claims database and is not considered human sub- after their index PP injection. Patients were included in the PP3M
ject research. Therefore, an institutional review board approval or cohort if they received continuous treatment with PP1M or PP3M
waiver was not required, and the study was exempted from the for ≥6 months before the index PP3M date. The last 2 doses of
Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act requirements. PP1M and first dose of PP3M were required to be the same and/or
equivalent to the index PP3M dose. Similarly, patients in the PP1M
Patients cohort were included if they received continuous treatment with
PP1M for ≥6 months before the index PP1M date. Subsequently,
The PP6M cohort included patients who were transitioned from
patients in the PP3M cohort received ≥2 injections, and those in
a randomized, DB, noninferiority phase study of PP6M (Najarian
the PP1M cohort received ≥5 injections after the corresponding
et al., 2022) and met the eligibility criteria for the OLE study
index dates (supplementary Table 2). This criterion was incor-
(Najarian et al., 2023). The DB phase 3 study included patients
porated to mimic the high completion rate observed in the OLE
aged 18 to 70 years with a diagnosis of schizophrenia (per the
study (Najarian et al., 2023).
DSM-5) for ≥6 months before screening and a Positive and
Patients who met any of the following criteria were excluded
Negative Syndrome Scale total score of <70 points (no minimum
from the study: treatment with antipsychotics other than PP LAI
cut-off) at screening. Patients were eligible for the OLE study if
within the 6-month pre-index date except for injectable risperi-
they had completed the 12-month DB phase without relapse,
done; diagnosis of autism, dementia, manic episode, or bipolar
were willing to continue PP6M treatment, were deemed able to
disorder before the index date; the presence of any severe chronic
continue treatment at the same dose level (moderate or higher
conditions, such as diabetes with complications, cancer, heart
dose) as used during the DB phase of the noninferiority study at
conditions, coagulation disorders, or hematologic, pulmonary,
the time of screening for the OLE study, and were able to partici-
thyroid, or renal diseases; body mass index >40 (morbidly obese
pate for the duration of the study.
patients); clozapine use within 2 months of the index date for
Eligible patients in the PP3M and PP1M cohorts from the IBM
PP injection. Patients enrolled with “medical insurance only” or
MDCD were selected using similar inclusion and exclusion criteria
indicating dual eligibility (both Medicare and Medicaid) were not
as the PP6M cohort. The International Classification of Diseases
included in the analysis.
procedure codes were identified and applied to create inclusion
and/or exclusion criteria concepts. Eligible patients were ≥18
years of age (at index PP injection), received medium-/high-dose Propensity Score Matching (PSM)
PP injections during the study period, were relapse-free during PSM was used to enable adjusted comparisons between the
the 12-month baseline period, and had ≥1 year of continuous cohorts and create a homogeneous subset of patients from the
4 | International Journal of Neuropsychopharmacology, 2024, Vol. 27, No. 2

large real-world database, similar to patients from the phase received PP6M during the phase 3 OLE study and matched PP3M
3 PP6M OLE study based on selected covariates. PSM was per- and PP1M patients from IBM MDCD.
formed in the following order: PP3M-PP1M, PP6M-PP3M, and Robustness of the primary analysis was assessed using a
PP6M-PP1M. The propensity score model included covariates sensitivity analysis based on a 1: 2: 2 matching ratio and a PSM
shown to affect both treatment assignment and outcomes as approach, similar to the primary analysis. Model-based sensitiv-
predictors. ity analyses were also conducted to assess to what extent the
For the PP3M-PP1M matching, all eligible PP3M and PP1M primary analytical results become null using multi-bias E-value.
patients from the IBM MDCD database were included in the The multi-bias E-value describes the minimum value that all of
matching process. Propensity scores were calculated using the the sensitivity parameters for outcome misclassification, meas-
following factors: exact matching categories (index drug dose, age urement error, and selection biases would have to take on for a
category, sex) and others (race, presence of baseline depressive calculated HR to be compatible with a truly null HR.
disorder, Charlson Comorbidity Index score categories [0, 1 and
>1], and Elixhauser Comorbidity Index score categories [0, 1, 2, 3
and >3]). The comorbidity scores were calculated using a medical RESULTS
coding algorithm (Quan et al., 2005). Patients were matched using Propensity Score Matching
a 1-to-1 nearest neighbor matching algorithm with a caliper of 0.2
The propensity score distribution was almost identical for the
SDs without replacement, such that the index drug dose, gender,
PP3M-PP1M, PP6M-PP3M, and PP6M-PP1M cohorts following PSM
and age category were an exact match. The success of matching
(Fig. 2). Using a 1: 1: 1 propensity score matching, 178 patients
was assessed using the standardized mean differences (SMD) for
from each of the PP6M, PP3M, and PP1M cohorts who were the
each covariate and SMDs before and after matching were com-
closest in propensity score values to their counterparts were
pared. An SMD up to 0.20 was considered acceptable, and an
selected for the primary analysis. Results indicated that after
SMD <0.10 was deemed a good match (Austin, 2014).
matching, the PP3M and PP1M cohorts derived from the RWD had
All PP6M patients were matched with the PP3M patients who
comparable baseline patient characteristics to the PP6M cohort
were previously matched with eligible PP1M patients from the
and therefore were used as ECAs in the study.
IBM MDCD database. Propensity scores were calculated using the
relevant covariates chosen based on previous clinical findings Patient Disposition
and included PP dose, gender, and age categories. PP1M patients
A total of 178 patients from the DB phase 3 study who completed
were then mapped to PP6M patients based on the previous PP6M-
the 12-month DB phase were enrolled in the phase 3 OLE study
PP3M and PP3M-PP1M propensity scores.
as the PP6M cohort. All 178 patients enrolled in the OLE study
were treated with at least 1 dose of PP6M and included in the
Relapse Analysis primary analysis of the current study; of the 178 patients, 154
(86.5%) completed the study (supplementary Figure 1).
The primary endpoint for the study was the time to first relapse.
A total of 747 patients on PP3M and 1739 patients on PP1M from
A relapse event was defined as the time to first occurrence of at
the IBM MDCD were included in the study, of which 736 patients
least 1 or a combination of the following events during the study:
from each cohort were successfully matched (PP3M-PP1M match-
psychiatric inpatient hospitalization for schizophrenia (involun-
ing). After the subsequent PSM, 178 patients from each of the
tary or voluntary admission to a psychiatric hospital for decom-
PP3M and PP1M cohorts were matched with the PP6M patients,
pensation of the patient’s schizophrenia symptoms); emergency
serving as the ECAs for the primary analysis. In each of the PP3M
room visits for worsening symptoms of schizophrenia not leading
and PP1M cohorts, a total of 128/178 patients (71.9%) completed
to a hospital admission (only PP6M cohort); self-injury or vio-
the study. Patient withdrawal information for the PP3M and PP1M
lent behavior resulting in a suicide attempt or injury to another
cohorts was not available, and patients could not complete the
person or significant property damage; suicidal or homicidal
study due to either interruption in 2-year Medicaid eligibility or
ideation. Emergency room visits that did not lead to a psychiat-
2-year post-index data availability in the claims database.
ric hospitalization were not considered as relapse events in the
PP3M and PP1M real-world cohorts because the visits could be
Demographics
for a variety of acute or surgical or medical reasons other than
Patient demographics before and after propensity matching were
worsening of schizophrenia symptoms per se. For all 3 cohorts,
generally similar across the 3 cohorts (Table 1). The majority of
if a patient relapsed, days to relapse were calculated based on
SMDs post matching were <0.1, indicating well-balanced and
the difference between the event date minus the index date +1.
optimally matched cohorts, with the largest SMD being 0.176,
Patients who did not experience a relapse were censored.
indicating an acceptable match. Patients included in the pri-
mary analysis had similar median ages of 40 (PP6M), 41 (PP3M),
Statistical Analyses and 39 (PP1M) years. The majority of patients were men (>70%),
No formal sample size determination was performed for this and a high proportion of patients received high-PP index doses
study. The primary analysis was based on a 1: 1: 1 greedy PSM (>60%) across all 3 cohorts. The mean duration of total drug expo-
approach. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to describe sure was 682.1, 571.9, and 526.3 days for PP6M, PP3M, and PP1M,
time to first relapse distributions in the 3 matched cohorts, and respectively.
the reasons for relapses were summarized. Comparative anal-
ysis between the cohorts was based on log-rank test statistics. Primary Analysis for Relapse
Hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) from the Cox During the 2-year follow-up period, treatment with PP6M was
proportional hazards models were computed to describe reduc- associated with a significantly lower risk of relapse compared
tion in risk of relapses. The primary analysis was performed using with PP3M and PP1M treatment. Patients in the PP6M cohort
the intent-to-treat analysis set, which included all patients who experienced a significant delay in time to relapse (P < .001), and
Relapse Rates With Paliperidone Palmitate in Adult Patients With Schizophrenia | 5

Figure 2. (A) PP3M and PP1M. (B) PP6M and PP3M propensity score distribution before and after PSM. PP1M, paliperidone palmitate 1-month
formulation; PP3M, paliperidone palmitate 3-month formulation; PP6M, paliperidone palmitate 6-month formulation; PSM, propensity score
matching.

the median time to relapse was not estimable for all 3 cohorts cohort and 356 patients each in the PP3M and PP1M cohorts. A
during the study period (Table 2; Figure 3). Overall, 3.9% (7/178) total of 248/356 patients on PP3M (69.7%) and 247/356 patients
of patients in the PP6M cohort, 20.2% (36/178) in the PP3M cohort, on PP1M (69.4%) completed the study in the sensitivity analysis.
and 29.8% (53/178) in the PP1M cohort experienced a relapse Baseline patient characteristics for the sensitivity analyses before
event. Risk of relapse decreased by 82% for PP6M vs PP3M (HR: and after PSM were well-balanced across the 3 cohorts and com-
0.18 [95% CI: .08 to .40]; P < .001), 89% for PP6M vs PP1M (HR: 0.11 parable with the primary analysis (supplementary Table 3).
[95% CI: .05 to .25]; P < .001), and 35% for PP3M versus PP1M (HR: Results from the sensitivity analysis revealed similar trends
0.65 [95% CI: .42 to .99]; P = .043). Psychiatric hospitalization was of relapse rates and time to relapse as observed in the primary
the most common reason for relapse in all 3 cohorts (PP6M: 2.2%; analysis (Table 2; Figure 4). Treatment with PP6M was associated
PP3M: 14.0%; PP1M: 25.8%) (Table 3). with a significantly lower relative risk of relapse compared with
the PP3M (HR 0.17; P < .001) and PP1M cohorts (HR 0.13; P < .001).
Sensitivity Analysis for Relapse Relative risk between the PP3M and PP1M cohorts did not sig-
PSM for the sensitivity analysis was performed using a 1: 2: 2 nificantly differ (HR 0.76; P = .074). The rates of and reasons for
matching ratio and resulted in a final sample of 178 in the PP6M first relapse were consistent with the primary intent-to-treat
6 | International Journal of Neuropsychopharmacology, 2024, Vol. 27, No. 2

Table 1. Demographic and baseline characteristics of patients in the PP6M, PP3M, and PP1M cohorts before and after PSM (ITT
population)

Parameter Before PSM After PSM

PP6M PP3M PP1M PP6M PP3M PP1M


n = 178 n = 736 n = 736 n = 178 n = 178 n = 178

Sex, n (%)
 Women 52 (29.2) 137 (18.6) 137 (18.6) 52 (29.2) 44 (24.7) 44 (24.7)
 Men 126 (70.8) 599 (81.4) 599 (81.4) 126 (70.8) 134 (75.3) 134 (75.3)
 SMD PP1M vs PP6M vs PP3M 0.250 0.000 0.101 0.000
 SMD PP3M vs PP6M 0.250 0.101
Age category, n (%)
18–25 y 10 (5.6) 93 (12.6) 93 (12.6) 10 (5.6) 9 (5.1) 9 (5.1)
 SMD PP1M vs PP6M vs PP3M −0.246 0.000 0.025 0.000
 SMD PP3M vs PP6M −0.246 0.025
26–50 y 135 (75.8) 527 (71.6) 527 (71.6) 135 (75.8) 138 (77.5) 138 (77.5)
 SMD PP1M vs PP6M vs PP3M 0.096 0.000 −0.040 0.000
 SMD PP3M vs PP6M 0.096 −0.040
≥50 y 33 (18.5) 116 (15.8) 116 (15.8) 33 (15.8) 31 (17.4) 31 (17.4)
 SMD PP1M vs PP6M vs PP3M 0.074 0.000 0.029 0.000
 SMD PP3M vs PP6M 0.074 0.029
Index PP dose, n (%)
 High 113 (63.5) 393 (53.4) 393 (53.4) 113 (63.5) 113 (63.5) 113 (63.5)
 Moderate 65 (36.5) 343 (46.6) 343 (46.6) 65 (36.5) 65 (36.5) 65 (36.5)
 SMD PP1M vs PP6M vs PP3M 0.206 0.000 0.000 0.000
 SMD PP3M vs PP6M 0.206 0.000
Age
 Mean (SD), y 40 (10.8) 37 (11.2) 37 (11.2) 40 (10.8) 41 (10.2) 39 (10.6)
 SMD PP1M vs PP6M vs PP3M 0.301 0.000 0.152 0.176
 SMD PP3M vs PP6M 0.300 −0.019

Abbreviations: ITT, intent-to-treat; PP, paliperidone palmitate; PP1M, paliperidone palmitate 1-month formulation; PP3M, paliperidone palmitate 3-month
formulation; PP6M, paliperidone palmitate 6-month formulation; PSM, propensity score matching; SMD, standardized mean differences.

population, with the most common reason being psychiatric hos- and PP1M. The sensitivity analysis using less restrictive matching
pitalization (PP6M: 2.2%; PP3M: 16.6%; PP1M: 20.8%). criteria included more patients in the ECA cohorts and yielded
The multi-bias E-value was 3.05 for the calculated HR of 0.18 consistent results for PP6M, further substantiating the primary
between PP6M vs PP3M. This E-value implies that all 3 parameters findings.
for each of the 3 assumed sources of bias (outcome misclassifica- Over the years, injectable antipsychotic formulations with
tion, measurement error, and selection bias) would have to take a longer half-lives have been developed to provide extended
value of 3.05 for the observed HR between PP6M vs PP3M of 0.18 medication exposure and potentially delay relapses even after
to be compatible with a true null effect. Similarly, a multi-bias treatment interruptions. Corroborating this hypothesis, a post
E-value was 3.99 for the calculated HR of 0.11 between PP6M vs hoc analysis reported longer relapse-free periods in patients
PP1M. who withdrew PP3M (13 months) compared with PP1M (6
months) or oral paliperidone extended-release formulation (2
months), with a significantly lower risk of relapse for PP3M vs
DISCUSSION PP1M (P < .001; Weiden et al., 2017). Pragmatic evidence from
This phase 4 study compared the effectiveness of PP6M with its real-world studies has also shown the benefits of continuous
shorter-acting counterparts, PP1M and PP3M, in delaying and pre- medication exposure with LAI antipsychotics for improving
venting relapse among adult patients with schizophrenia. The medication adherence and lowering the rates of discontinua-
present study is among the first few to construct ECAs (PP3M tion and relapse in schizophrenia. In a retrospective analysis of
and PP1M cohorts) using RWD, enabling comparison of PP6M health claims data from the IBM MDCD, patients in the PP3M
from an OLE study with PP3M and PP1M (Turkoz et al., 2023). The vs PP1M cohort reported higher rates of adherence in terms of
PSM yielded well-matched cohorts of PP6M, PP3M, and PP1M that proportion of days covered (87% vs 78%; P < .0001) and corre-
were used for comparative analysis. Treatment with PP6M during sponding lower relapse rates (10.5% vs 15.7%; Li et al., 2021).
the phase 3 OLE study significantly delayed time to relapse and Similar analyses conducted with commercially insured patients
was associated with a lower relapse rate (3.9%) compared with who transitioned from PP1M to PP3M have reported compara-
the matched real-world PP3M (20.2%) and PP1M (29.8%) arms. ble trends of improved adherence and treatment persistence
Supporting this finding, PP6M also demonstrated a clear advan- and reduced healthcare resource utilization for schizophrenia
tage in terms of relapse prevention and showed the greatest and other comorbidities (Joshi et al., 2017; DerSarkissian et al.,
magnitude of reduction in risk of relapses compared with PP3M 2018; Emond et al., 2019b; Lin et al., 2021). Taken together, these
Relapse Rates With Paliperidone Palmitate in Adult Patients With Schizophrenia | 7

Table 2. Risk of relapse analysis

PP6M PP3M PP1M


(n = 178) (n = 178) (n = 178)

Primary analysis (ITT population)


Number assessed 178 178 178
Number censored (%) 171 (96.1) 142 (79.8) 125 (70.2)
Number of relapse (%) 7 (3.9) 36 (20.2) 53 (29.8)
Time to relapse (days)a
 25% percentile (95% CI) NE NE NE
 Median (95% CI) NE NE NE
 75% percentile (95% CI) NE NE NE
Relative risk, HR (95 % CI)
 PP6M vs PP3M and PP1M — 0.18 (0.08, 0.40) 0.11 (0.05, 0.25)
 p-value — <0.001 <0.001
 PP3M vs PP1M 0.65 (0.42, 0.99)
 p-value 0.043
PP6M PP3M PP1M
(n = 178) (n = 356) (n = 356)

Sensitivity analysis (sensitivity ITT population)


Number assessed 178 356 356
Number censored (%) 171 (96.1) 281 (78.9) 261 (73.3)
Number of relapse (%) 7 (3.9) 75 (21.1) 95 (26.7)
Relative risk, HR (95 % CI)
PP6M vs PP3M and PP1M — 0.17 (0.08, 0.36) 0.13 (0.06, 0.27)
P value — <0.001 <0.001
PP3M vs PP1M 0.76 (0.56, 1.03)
P value 0.074

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; ITT, intent-to-treat; NE, not estimable; PP1M, paliperidone palmitate 1-month formulation; PP3M,
paliperidone palmitate 3-month formulation; PP6M, paliperidone palmitate 6-month formulation.
a
Based on Kaplan-Meier estimates.

observations are consistent with the current study, confirming Leveraging RWD to construct ECAs allows access to large, clin-
the enduring benefits and efficacy of longer-acting LAIs such ically relevant populations of patients who may be underrepre-
as PP6M in preventing relapses in patients with schizophrenia. sented in clinical trials (Corrigan-Curay et al., 2018). The present
PP6M offers an extended treatment window with twice-yearly study derived data from the Medicaid claims database, one of the
dosing that could enhance adherence and help maintain clin- largest payers for mental health services, and therefore is likely
ical stability for improved long-term prognosis. Furthermore, representative of the diverse population of patients with schizo-
PP6M may be beneficial for patients who are homeless, with- phrenia in the United States. The IBM MDCD collects standardized
out caregiver support, or living in remote areas with limited patient-level data on services and filled prescriptions allowing
proximity to healthcare providers (Sajatovic et al., 2013; Milz access to granular data on the key patient baseline, treatment,
et al., 2023). Regardless of these circumstances, patients may and demographic characteristics. Furthermore, patients in the
still prefer PP6M LAI for the assurance of consistent medication real-world PP3M and PP1M cohorts were treated and followed
delivery and extended protection with fewer yearly injections up over the same time period as the patients in the PP6M OLE
(Pietrini et al., 2019; Milz et al., 2023). study (contemporaneous control), suggesting that the patients
Pairing clinical trial data and high-quality RWD with adjust- may have broadly comparable treatment histories, reflecting the
ments for clinical covariates can broaden the understanding of ongoing standard of care (Carrigan et al., 2022).
treatment effects and allow rigorous evaluation of treatments Findings from this study should be considered in light of
(Yap et al., 2021). This study applied statistical and methodologi- certain limitations inherent to RWD. In contrast to randomized
cal approaches to generate ECAs for a PP6M OLE study using RWD controlled trials, ECAs derived from RWD cannot control for
for assessing clinical outcomes in patients with schizophrenia. unmeasured or unknown confounders; PSM only allows adjust-
External comparator designs are emerging as useful methods to ments for known confounders available in both the trial data
generate supportive evidence and augment data from single-arm and the claims database. Thus, factors such as substance abuse,
clinical studies while eliminating extensive resource require- presence of other psychiatric comorbidities, and need for other
ments and high costs (Loiseau et al., 2022). However, causal psychiatric comedications, which are common predictors of
inferences in external comparator studies with nonrandomized relapse, could not be matched. In some cases, relevant informa-
designs are prone to selection bias and confounding bias due to tion recorded in the trial, such as laboratory values and mental
differences in baseline covariates. Therefore, a PSM approach was health-related scales, may not be collected in the real-world
used to balance the baseline clinical characteristics of patients dataset. Thus, multi-bias E-values were estimated to determine
between the 3 cohorts and mitigate confounding and selection the potential impact of unmeasured and residual confounding
bias (Lu et al., 2022). on the findings. The large E-values suggest that unmeasured
8 | International Journal of Neuropsychopharmacology, 2024, Vol. 27, No. 2

Figure 3. Kaplan-Meier estimate of time to first relapse (ITT population). ITT, intent-to-treat; PP1M, paliperidone palmitate 1-month formulation;
PP3M, paliperidone palmitate 3-month formulation; PP6M, paliperidone palmitate 6-month formulation.

Table 3. Reasons for first relapse (ITT population)

PP6M PP3M PP1M


n = 178 n = 178 n = 178

Patients with relapse, n (%) 7 (3.9) 36 (20.2) 53 (29.8)


Reason for relapsea, n (%)
Psychiatric hospitalization 4 (2.2) 25 (14.0) 46 (25.8)
Emergency room visit 2 (1.1)b NA NA
Suicidal ideation 2 (1.1) 6 (3.4) 13 (7.3)
Suicidal or homicidal ideation 2 (1.1) 0 1 (0.6)
Violent behavior resulting in suicide/injury or property damage 1 (0.6) 9 (5.1) 8 (4.5)
Homicidal ideation 1 (0.6) 2 (1.1) 1 (0.6)
Deliberate self-injury, violent behavior 1 (0.6) 1 (0.6) 1 (0.6)

Abbreviations: ITT, intent-to-treat; NA, not applicable; PP1M, paliperidone palmitate 1-month formulation; PP3M, paliperidone palmitate 3-month formulation;
PP6M, paliperidone palmitate 6-month formulation.
a
Reasons for relapse are not mutually exclusive; patients may have ≥1 reason for a given relapse.
b
Two patients had emergency room visit due to worsening of schizophrenia symptoms and both resulted in hospitalization on the same day.

confounders are less likely to influence the observed results. For patients with schizophrenia who have functional impairments
the IBM MDCD, although large, the selection of patients is lim- are more likely to use healthcare resources and be included in
ited to those insured under Medicaid from 10 states and may the Medicaid pool, potentially leading to underdetection (Leucht
not be fully generalizable to patients who are not insured or are et al., 2007). RWD reflects real-world patterns of care and varies
commercially insured. Additional research comparing PP6M with in data quality and completeness. Inherent to any administra-
PP3M and PP1M using comprehensive data derived from patients tive claims database, the possibility of imprecise coding, incom-
enrolled in the US Medicaid program are warranted. Furthermore, plete clinical information, and delayed data entry could affect the
Relapse Rates With Paliperidone Palmitate in Adult Patients With Schizophrenia | 9

Figure 4. Kaplan-Meier estimate of time to first relapse (sensitivity ITT population). ITT, intent-to-treat; PP1M, paliperidone palmitate 1-month
formulation; PP3M, paliperidone palmitate 3-month formulation; PP6M, paliperidone palmitate 6-month formulation.

validity of the current findings. Notably, claims databases reflect CONCLUSIONS


more of the “payer’s perspective” and less of the “physician” or
In summary, well-matched ECAs of PP3M and PP1M were created
“patient” perspectives, although relapse and hospitalization are
using RWD from an administrative claims database to assess
outcomes that matter to all stakeholders. All clinical study out-
and compare outcomes with the PP6M cohort derived from a
comes could not be fully reproduced in the ECAs due to a lack of
­single-arm, phase 3 OLE study. Treatment with PP6M significantly
similar outcomes in the claims database. Thus, safety endpoints
delayed time-to-relapse and was associated with lower relapse
including adverse events were not assessed because comparable
rates and risk of relapse compared with the real-world derived
data for the PP3M and PP1M cohorts from the IBM MDCD were not
PP3M and PP1M cohorts. These findings further support the use of
available. Although important covariates that mimic the eligibil-
PP6M as an effective maintenance therapy with the longest dos-
ity criteria and help minimize selection bias were considered, not
ing window in the management of schizophrenia.
all inclusion and exclusion criteria from the OLE study could be
applied to patients in the IBM MDCD. Patients in the PP6M cohort
showed a clear response to PP6M during the DB phase 3 study,
Supplementary Materials
which demonstrated relapse prevention with PP6M. The patients
were adherent to PP6M under controlled clinical trial conditions Supplementary data are available at International Journal of
during the OLE study. Thus, they may have had a higher likeli- Neuropsychopharmacology (IJNPPY) online.
hood of showing response than patients from the RWD-derived
cohorts. It is also challenging to ascertain the treatment adher-
ence among patients from the RWD ECAs because pharmacy
Acknowledgments
claims may not necessarily indicate that patients received the The authors thank the study patients and investigators for their
medication and complied with the prescribing label. Additionally, support. The authors also recognize our colleague Dr Dean
the omission of emergency room visits in relapse assessment for Najarian (Janssen Scientific Affairs), who unfortunately passed
the RWD cohorts could have impacted the estimation of relapse away recently, for his invaluable contributions to the study. Priya
rates between PP6M and the RWD cohorts. These factors could Ganpathy, MPharm, MPH CMPP (SIRO Clinpharm UK Limited), pro-
introduce heterogeneity between the cohorts and affect the com- vided medical writing assistance and Ellen Baum, PhD (Janssen
parability of findings from the clinical study and RWD. Global Services, LLC), provided additional editorial support.
10 | International Journal of Neuropsychopharmacology, 2024, Vol. 27, No. 2

Statement of Interest paliperidone palmitate compared to daily oral antipsychotic


therapy in schizophrenia: a randomized, open-label, review
IT, MD, US, and RKK are employees of Janssen Research &
board-blinded 15-month study. J Clin Psychiatry 76:554–561.
Development, LLC (a Johnson & Johnson company) and may hold
Austin PC (2014) The use of propensity score methods with sur-
company stocks or stock options. KLJ is an employee of Janssen
vival or time-to-event outcomes: reporting measures of effect
Scientific Affairs, LLC and stockholder of Johnson & Johnson. CUC
similar to those used in randomized experiments. Stat Med
has been a consultant and/or advisor to or has received hono-
33:1242–1258.
raria from: AbbVie, Acadia, Alkermes, Allergan, Angelini, Aristo,
Berwaerts J, Liu Y, Gopal S, Nuamah I, Xu H, Savitz A, Coppola D,
Biogen, Boehringer-Ingelheim, Cardio Diagnostics, Cerevel, CNX
Schotte A, Remmerie B, Maruta N, Hough DW (2015) Efficacy
Therapeutics, Compass Pathways, Darnitsa, Denovo, Gedeon
and safety of the 3-month formulation of paliperidone palmi-
Richter, Hikma, Holmusk, IntraCellular Therapies, Janssen/J&J,
tate vs placebo for relapse prevention of schizophrenia: a rand-
Karuna, LB Pharma, Lundbeck, MedAvante-ProPhase, MedInCell,
omized clinical trial. JAMA Psychiatry 72:830–839.
Merck, Mindpax, Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma, Mylan, Neurocrine,
Blackwood C, Sanga P, Nuamah I, Keenan A, Singh A, Mathews M,
Neurelis, Newron, Noven, Novo Nordisk, Otsuka, Pharmabrain,
Gopal S (2020) Patients’ preference for long-acting injectable
PPD Biotech, Recordati, Relmada, Reviva, Rovi, Seqirus, SK Life
versus oral antipsychotics in schizophrenia: results from the
Science, Sunovion, Sun Pharma, Supernus, Takeda, Teva, and
patient-reported medication preference questionnaire. Patient
Viatris. He provided expert testimony for Janssen and Otsuka. He
Prefer Adherence 14:1093–1102.
served on a Data Safety Monitoring Board for Compass Pathways,
Brissos S, Veguilla MR, Taylor D, Balanza-Martinez V (2014) The role
Denovo, Lundbeck, Relmada, Reviva, Rovi, Sage, Supernus, Tolmar,
of long-acting injectable antipsychotics in schizophrenia: a crit-
and Teva. He has received grant support from Janssen and Takeda.
ical appraisal. Ther Adv Psychopharmacol 4:198–219.
He received royalties from UpToDate and is also a stock option
Carrigan G, Bradbury BD, Brookhart MA, Capra WB, Chia V, Rothman
holder of Cardio Diagnostics, Mindpax, LB Pharma, PsiloSterics,
KJ, Sarsour K, Taylor MD, Brown JS (2022) External comparator
and Quantic.
groups derived from real-world data used in support of reg-
ulatory decision making: use cases and challenges. Current
Epidemiology Reports 9:326–337.
Funding
Correll CU, Citrome L, Haddad PM, Lauriello J, Olfson M, Calloway
This study was sponsored by Janssen Research & Development, SM, Kane JM (2016) The use of long-acting injectable antip-
LLC. sychotics in schizophrenia: evaluating the evidence. J Clin
Psychiatry 77:1–24.
Correll CU, Martin A, Patel C, Benson C, Goulding R, Kern-Sliwa J, Joshi
Data Sharing Statement K, Schiller E, Kim E (2022) Systematic literature review of schiz-
The data sharing policy of Janssen Pharmaceutical Companies ophrenia clinical practice guidelines on acute and maintenance
of Johnson & Johnson is available at https://www.janssen.com/ management with antipsychotics. Schizophrenia (Heidelb) 8:5.
clinical-trials/transparency. As noted on this site, requests for Corrigan-Curay J, Sacks L, Woodcock J (2018) Real-World evidence
access to the study data can be submitted through Yale Open and real-world data for evaluating drug safety and effective-
Data Access [YODA] Project site at http://yoda.yale.edu. ness. JAMA 320:867–868.
DerSarkissian M, Lefebvre P, Joshi K, Brown B, Lafeuille MH, Bhak RH,
Hellstern M, Bobbili P, Shiner B, El Khoury AC, Young-Xu Y (2018)
Author Contributions Health care resource utilization and costs associated with tran-
sitioning to 3-month paliperidone palmitate among US veter-
Ibrahim Turkoz (Conceptualization [Lead], Formal analysis [Lead],
ans. Clin Ther 40:1496–1508.
Methodology [Lead], Software [Equal], Validation [Equal], Writing—
Di Lorenzo R, Cameli M, Piemonte C, Bolondi M, Landi G, Pollutri
review & editing [Equal]), Mehmet Daskiran (Conceptualization
G, Spattini L, Moretti V, Ferri P (2018) Clinical improvement,
[Equal], Data curation [Equal], Formal analysis [Equal], Methodology
relapse and treatment adherence with paliperidone palmitate
[Equal], Software [Equal], Validation [Equal], Writing—review &
1-month formulation: 1-year treatment in a naturalistic outpa-
editing [Equal]), Uzma Siddiqui (Conceptualization [Equal], Data
tient setting. Nord J Psychiatry 72:214–220.
curation [Equal], Formal analysis [Equal], Methodology [Equal],
Emond B, Joshi K, Khoury ACE, Lafeuille MH, Pilon D, Tandon N,
Writing—review & editing [Equal]), Robert Knight (Conceptualization
Romdhani H, Lefebvre P (2019a) Adherence, healthcare resource
[Equal], Data curation [Equal], Formal analysis [Equal], Methodology
utilization, and costs in Medicaid beneficiaries with schizophre-
[Equal], Writing—review & editing [Equal]), Karen L Johnston
nia transitioning from once-monthly to once-every-3-months
(Conceptualization [Equal], Data curation [Equal], Formal analysis
paliperidone palmitate. PharmacoEcon Open 3:177–188.
[Equal], Methodology [Equal], Writing—review & editing [Equal]),
Emond B, El Khoury AC, Patel C, Pilon D, Morrison L, Zhdanava M,
and Christoph U. Correll (Conceptualization [Equal], Data curation
Lefebvre P, Tandon N, Joshi K (2019b) Real-world outcomes
[Equal], Formal analysis [Equal], Methodology [Equal], Writing—
post-transition to once-every-3-months paliperidone palmitate
review & editing [Equal]).
in patients with schizophrenia within US commercial plans.
Curr Med Res Opin 35:407–416.
Emsley R, Chiliza B, Asmal L, Harvey BH (2013) The nature of relapse
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