Professional Documents
Culture Documents
GS Paper-1
Section-II
(Current Events)
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List of Topics :
1) 15th Finance Commission and its recommendations
2) RCEP and India's refusal to join it
3) India- Us bilateral relations (Recent trends)
4) WHO and its role during COVID-19
5) US-China trade war and its Impact
6) Citizenship Amendment Act, NRC, NPR
7) United Nations-75th anniversary on October 24, 2020
8) QUAD
9) India China territorial disputes
10) UN security council, its reform
11) Indo-Nepal Territorial dispute
12) Atmanirbhar Bharat: It's need and Impact and
Criticism
13) G-7 and India
14) Vocal for Local
15) Brexit and its impact
16) Civil Services Reform: Mission Karmayogi
17) Afghanistan Peace process
18) SAARC Revival
19) India and Indo-Pacific
20) NAM and its relevance
21) South China Sea dispute
22) BRICS
23) SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organization)
24) India's Vaccine Diplomacy
25) Military Coup in Myanmar
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Four Members.
The salary of the members is as per the provisions laid down by the
Constitution.
The net tax proceeds distribution to be divided between the Centre and
the states, and the allocation of the same between states.
The Commission decides the basis for sharing the divisible taxes by the
centre and the states and the principles that govern the grants-in-aid
to the states every five years.
The FC has sufficient powers to exercise its functions within its activity
domain.
As per the Code of Civil Procedure 1908, the FC has all the powers of a
Civil Court. It can call witnesses, ask for the production of a public
document or record from any office or court.
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1. Vertical Devolution
The commission has recommended maintaining the vertical devolution at
41%.
The idea is to maintain the same level of devolution as recommended
by 14th FC (i.e., 42%), the adjustment of about 1% has been made due
to the changed status of the erstwhile State of Jammu and Kashmir
into the new Union Territories of Ladakh and Jammu and Kashmir.
Gross tax revenue for 5-year period is expected to be 135.2 lakh crore.
Out of that, Divisible pool (after deducting cesses and surcharges & cost
of collection) is estimated to be 103 lakh crore.
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2. Horizontal Devolution
Population: Only 2011 Census numbers are used as per the ToR.
Population criterion is assigned a weight of only 15 per cent as some of
the other criteria will also be scaled by it.
Forest and ecology: This is calculated as the share of the dense forest of
each state in the total dense forest of all the states.
Tax and fiscal efforts: This criterion has been used to reward states with
higher tax collection efficiency. It is measured as the ratio of the average
per capita own tax revenue and the average per capita state GDP during
the three years between 2016-17 and 2018-19.
Revenue deficit grants emanate from the requirement to meet the fiscal
needs of the States on their revenue accounts that remain to be met, even
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after considering their own tax and non-tax resources and tax devolution
to them.
The number of states qualifying for the revenue deficit grants decreases
from 17 in FY22, the first year of the award period to 6 in FY26, the last
year.
The first is the social sector, where it has focused on health and education.
Second is the rural economy, where it has focused on agriculture and the
maintenance of rural roads.
Provided range for fiscal deficit and debt path of both the Union and States.
XVFC has recognised that the FRBM Act needs a major restructuring and
recommended that the time-table for defining and achieving debt
sustainability may be examined by a High-powered Inter-governmental
Group.
The total size of the grant to local governments should be Rs. 4.3 lakh
crore for the period 2021-26.
A sum of Rs. 2.3 lakh crore is earmarked for rural local bodies, Rs.1.2 lakh
crore for urban local bodies and Rs. 70,051 crore for health grants through
local governments.
Urban local bodies have been categorised into two groups, based on
population, and different norms have been used for flow of grants to each,
based on their specific needs and aspirations.
Basic grants are proposed only for cities/towns having a population of less
than a million. For Million-Plus cities, 100 per cent of the grants are
performance-linked through the Million-Plus Cities Challenge Fund (MCF)
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7. Health
The total grants-in-aid support to the health sector over the award period
works out to Rs. 1 lakh crore, which is 10.3 per cent of the total grants-
in-aid recommended by XVFC. The grants for the health sector will be
unconditional.
XVFC has recommend health grants aggregating to Rs. 70,051 crore for
urban health and wellness centres (HWCs), building-less sub centre,
PHCs, CHCs, block level public health units, support for diagnostic
infrastructure for the primary healthcare activities and conversion of rural
sub centres and PHCs to HWCs. These grants will be released to the local
governments.
Mitigation Funds should be set up at both the national and State levels, in
line with the provisions of the Disaster Management Act.
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The Mitigation Fund should be used for those local level and community-
based interventions which reduce risks and promote environment-friendly
settlements and livelihood practices.
XVFC has recommended the total corpus of Rs.1.6 lakh crore for States
for disaster management for the duration of 2021-26, of which the Union’s
share is Rs. 1.2 lakh crore and States’ share is Rs. 37,552 crore.
It does not hold the Union government accountable for its own fiscal
prudence and dilutes the joint responsibility that the Union and States
have.
Conclusion
Further, several policy issues like streamlining GST, Direct Tax Code,
improving expenditure outcomes, etc. will need special focus from the
government to achieve the noble objectives set before the Finance
Commission.
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About RCEP
ASEAN members, China, Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand.
• It now forms the world’s largest trade bloc, covering over 2.2 billion people
and accounting for 30 per cent of the world’s economy.
• The RCEP was first proposed at the 19th ASEAN meet in 2011 with an aim
to create a consolidated market for the ASEAN countries and their trade
partners.
• While India was a part of the RCEP’s negotiations, it dropped out in
November 2019, citing significant outstanding issues that remain unresolved.
Although India has been given the option of joining it later.
• Lack of Service component: Most developed RCEP countries where India can
export services, have been unwilling to negotiate wide-ranging disciplines in
services that can create new market access for trade in services in this region.
• Impact on local industries: A large number of sectors including dairy,
agriculture, steel, plastics, copper, aluminium, machine tools, paper,
automobiles, chemicals and others had expressed serious apprehensions on
RCEP citing dominance of cheap foreign goods would dampen its businesses.
• The impact of earlier FTAs on India’s trade balance has been ambiguous:
Several trends in the existing FTAs that does not favour signing another FTA,
include-
o Usually, signing FTAs has required India to significantly cut import
duties, since most partner countries already have low import duties.
This has only led to trade diversion (diversion of trade from non FTA
countries to FTA countries) and has rarely increased India’s exports.
o A NITI Aayog report had stated that India’s exports to its FTAs
partners have not outperformed exports to the rest of the world and
have generally led to greater imports than exports, giving rise to high
trade deficits with FTA partners like South Korea, Japan and ASEAN.
• Other reasons include:
o Lack of credible assurances on market access and non-tariff barriers.
o Differences over tariff structure with China on goods.
o India already has bilateral FTAs with ASEAN, Korea and Japan and
negotiations are underway with Australia and New Zealand.
o The e-commerce chapter has some clauses that affect data
localization norms in India.
Way Forward
• Discussing benefits and costs of signing RCEP: Further discussions
regarding whether or not to sign RCEP in the future must take into account
facts about India’s trade balance and how its industries, exports and imports
are placed vis-a-vis the trading partners.
• Making India’s export sector globally competitive: Reducing the cost of doing
business through infrastructure investment and improving the business
environment holds the key for improving India’s export prospects.
• Focusing on negotiating bilateral FTAs with countries where trade
complementarities and margin of preference is high for example- European
Union, USA.
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India USA have seen ascendance of relationship in the 21st century, which
was crystalised by 2008 India Nuclear Civil Nuclear Agreement. Various
factors, including LPG reforms, rise of China, increasing influence of Indian
community in USA are the factors behind this. Also, the shared values of
democracy, rule of law, human rights, religious freedom bind the countries
together. Key areas of cooperation and recent developments in the relations
are:
• Economy: US is India’s largest trading partner and inbound FDI from the
US is in excess of $50 billion. While Indian and U.S. negotiators failed to forge
a trade deal, they would work on a legal framework for a future deal which
can become Phase 1 of a comprehensive bilateral trade agreement.
• Energy cooperation: US India launched Strategic Energy Partnership, in
2018, to enhance energy security, bolster strategic alignment etc.
o Nuclear Power Corporation of India Limited (NPCIL) and
Westinghouse Electric Company are looking to finalize the techno-
commercial offer for the construction of six nuclear reactors.
o Also, India has started importing crude and LNG from the US in recent
years, with total imports estimated at $6.7 billion — having grown from
zero.
• Collaboration in science, technology and innovation: It is one of the strong
pillars of cooperation between two. E.g. During COVID-19, Indo-US Virtual
Networks for COVID-19 were established to provide a platform to enable
Indian and American scientists from academia, to carry out joint research
activities.
o Both are set to launch joint mission of NASA and ISRO, the world’s
first dual-frequency Synthetic Aperture Radar satellite in 2022.
• Global partnership:
o This has been most defining feature of partnership between two. Both
are part of Quadrilateral security dialogue, and collaborate on forums
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Way forward
• Despite the differences in some areas, the upward trajectory in India USA
relations indicates a sense of greater nuance to the need for
institutionalisation of bilateral ties — towards not only graduating the
bilateral dynamic away from over-dependence on chemistry between the top
political leadership, but also design frameworks in a manner that maximise
convergences between the two countries.
• The changing geopolitics, and increased Chinese aggression necessitates
closer cooperation between India USA. Thus, the relationship is two-sided.
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Just as India benefited from US inputs during Doklam and recent India China
standoff, the US has benefited from Indian defence spending.
• Differences remain, as between any two countries. But attempts have been
made over the past year to reach accommodations. The consequences of
heightened US tensions with Iran have been managed, with India given time
and space to diversify its energy supplies while receiving a waiver from US
sanctions for the port project in Chabahar. These show respect for each
other’s interests.
• While US need to be more sensitive towards India’s reservations against its
soft policy towards Pakistan, India needs to prepare itself for a larger security
role in Afghanistan in a big way. Pakistan’s leverage in Washington is likely
to decrease as the US scales back its presence in Afghanistan and the Gulf.
Also, India needs US considering the Chinese challenge – on borders, in South
Asian region and the IOR.
• Boost U.S. arms sales to India: Critics express that agreements are intended
to boost U.S. arms sales to India to the benefit of the U.S. economy and
American workers.
• India’s policy of Strategic Autonomy: critics express that the agreements
imperil India’s long-held foreign policy of strategic autonomy by paving the
way for U.S. bases or ports in Indian territories, or unduly binding India to
U.S. systems and procedures.
• Sharing of critical data: Implementation of the COMCASA would involve
data-sharing that could reveal the location of Indian military assets to
Pakistan or other third parties.
• More favourable to US: The agreements, particularly the LEMOA, primarily
benefit the United States since Indian ships are less likely to refuel and
resupply at U.S. ports.
Conclusion
Since the Civil Nuclear Agreement of 2005, the India-U.S. defence cooperation
has been advancing at a rapid pace. The U.S. has relaxed restrictions on
technology trade in India’s favour considerably, and India is designated a
‘Major Defence Partner’. Conclusion of foundational agreements would further
deepen defence cooperation and definitely placed India in a strategically
advantageous position. However, India’s policy maker must ensure that these
agreements would not affect India’s strategic autonomy.
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Way Forward
• The criticism being faced by the WHO has done great damage to its global
reputation and standing.
o While the politicisation of the WHO remains a serious concern, it also
presents an opportunity to rethink the underpinnings of the broader
global governance architecture.
• The WHO reforms announced few months back should be implemented on
a war footing.
o Its donor dependency and weakened capacity should be addressed
effectively, to meet its triple billion targets in future.
• India can also contribute towards providing stability and trust to the
working of the organisation.
o Its coordinating authority and capacity are weak and it merely works
as a technical organisation.
o It relies on bureaucracy and regional offices for control.
o It lacks the ability to direct an international response to a life-
threatening epidemic.
• Limited funding- WHO’s annual operating budget, about $2bn in 2019, is
smaller than that of many university hospitals, and diversified among an
array of public health and research projects.
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The US and China trade is heavily skewed in favour of the China. In 2018,
the US had a trade deficit of $419.2 billion with China. In August, 2017, US
President Trump asked US Trade Representative to begin an investigation for
possible tariff hikes on Chinese goods.
Made in China 2025 also drew the ire of US because of its focus on making
China the dominant player in emerging fields of technology and
manufacturing, as well as its support for domestic firms with subsidies.
Lower world GDP: In a report earlier this year, the IMF noted that the US-
China trade tension was one factor that contributed to a “significantly
weakened global expansion” late last year, as it cut its global growth forecast
for 2019. According to a Bloomberg Economics report, uncertainty over trade
could lower world gross domestic product by 0.6 per cent in 2021 compared
to a no-trade-war scenario. If US and China continue to raise tariff and non-
tariff barriers, the global economic growth rate will fall to a seven-year low of
2.8% and worse still, the world economy could enter a recession in near
future.
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Coupling with BREXIT: Ongoing trade tensions between the US and China,
and the uncertainty due to Brexit have impacted European countries exports
badly especially on Germany which is the world’s third biggest trader after the
US and China.
Gain for textile industries in South Asia: Textile imports of US have shifted
from China towards other countries in South Asia with Vietnam and
Bangladesh witnessing larger increase in exports to USA. Alternatively, cotton
imports from USA to China have declined for the first half of 2019 and imports
from other countries including Brazil, Australia and India have increased.
In comparison with US-China trade, India’s total trade with the US was just
$ 142 billion in 2018. The size of India-US trade is less than one fifth of US-
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Positive:
Increased FDI: There could be increased investment and capital flow between
India and the US and India and China as China and the US seek to
disentangle themselves. Chinese companies have in recent times made a
beeline to invest in India especially in the area of tele communications.
Benefit to Steel sector: The US is the world’s biggest steel importing country
and India’s has been a bright spot in the global steel industry for long —
growing steadily year on year without a break, and the potential for future
growth is also very high.
Negative:
Indian stock markets: Amid concerns over the global trade war, key indices
in the Indian share market dropped due to the cautious approach of the
investors.
India-US duties: As the United States of America imposed duties on steel and
aluminium, India now has to pay approximately $241 million worth of tax to
the US. As far as the manufacturing industry is concerned, the additional
duty imposed could have a detrimental impact, as the cost of production will
go up due to the rise in the price of raw materials.
Background
• Article 11 of Indian constitution empowers Parliament to make any provision
with respect to the acquisition and termination of citizenship and all other
matters relating to citizenship.
• Citizenship (Amendment) Act, 2003 provided that ‘illegal migrants’ will not
be eligible to apply for citizenship by either registration or naturalisation.
• Section 2(1)(b) of Citizenship Act, 1955 defines illegal migrant as a foreigner
who:
o enters the country without valid travel documents, like a passport
and visa or
o enters with valid documents, but stays beyond the permitted time
period.
• However, considering the plight of minorities in neighbouring countries,
Citizenship Amendment Bill was introduced in Parliament in 2016 but the bill
got lapsed.
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for other states, it was 1951. CAA extends the cut-off date for NRC from 25th
March 1971 to 31st Dec 2014. CAA extends the cut-off date for NRC from
25th March 1971 to 31st Dec 2014.
• Cancellation of OCI registration: giving the central government the power to
prescribe the list of laws whose violation result in cancellation of OCI
registration, may amount to an excessive delegation of powers by the
legislature.
• Implication on external relations:
o The amendment implies that religious persecution of the Hindu
minority in Bangladesh as one of the reasons for the amendment and
also implies that Muslim migrants from Bangladesh will be “thrown
out”. This invites trouble from Bangladesh with bearing on bilateral
issues.
o India’s strong commitment to civic nationalism and religious
pluralism, have been important pillars on which India’s strategic
partnerships with the US and the West have been built, which may be
imperiled.
Conclusion
• Indian democracy is based on the concept of welfare and secular state and
a progressive constitution where Article 21 provides the Right of a dignified
life. So, it becomes a moral obligation of the state to allay the fears of minority
communities, if any. Hence, the classification done in CAA on the basis of
country of origin and religious minorities can be made more inclusive.
• Moreover, India should enact a refugee law wherein the right to live a life
without fear or confinement can be protected. If the fear is that people may
seek permanent asylum, the UNHCR can work with them officially for their
voluntary repatriation, and without rendering long-term refugees ineligible for
applying for citizenship.
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o Only Assam will not be included, given the recently completed NRC.
• There is also a proposal to issue Resident Identity Cards to all usual
residents in the NPR of 18 years of age.
Benefit of NPR
• Database of residents: It will help to create a comprehensive identity
database of its residents with relevant demographic details and also
streamline data of residents across various platforms.
• Better implementation: It will help the government formulate its policies
better and also aid national security.
o Ministry of Home Affairs has argued that the NPR would be more
suited for distributing subsidies than the UID, as the NPR has data
linking each individual to a household.
• Remove any errors: For e.g. It is common to find different date of birth of a
person on different government documents. NPR will help eliminate that.
• Avoid duplication: With NPR data, residents will not have to furnish various
proofs of age, address and other details in official work. It would also eliminate
duplication in voter lists, government insists.
• Issues similar to NRC: NPR will be the base for a nationwide National
Register of Citizens and will be similar to the list of citizens of Assam. During
the NRC exercise, there were several instances where some members of a
family featured in the draft list while the others did not.
• Duplication of projects: It is unclear why the government would feel the need
to subject India’s citizenry to another identification drive when over 90 per
cent of them are covered by Aadhaar, which was an elaborate, time-
consuming exercise.
o With these multiple projects like Aadhar, NRC, NPR, census etc it has
created confusion regarding the idea of citizenship in the country.
• Uncounted people: The census does not cover the entire population, which
leaves unanswered the questions of the status of those citizens who are not
visited by a census officer.
o It also leaves ambiguity over migrant labour, who may well be citizens
but would not qualify as “usual residents”.
Conclusion
There needs to clarity over the privacy concerns surrounding the amount of
data being collected in NPR and it also needs to learn lesson from such similar
exercise in Assam i.e. NRC. Then only it will be able to serve as the mother
database to verify citizenship if a nationwide NRC is carried out later.
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Way Forward
• Set a common Cut-off date to maximum two generations - which will ease
up the process for citizens to show documentary proofs.
o The problem in Assam was the cutoff year of 1971, which made it near
impossible for many to get documents that went so far back in the past.
o The NRC should attempt to prevent further arrivals of illegal migrants.
Past arrivals cannot easily be wished away without causing needless
human misery and also disrupting micro-economies in the states where
the illegals reside and work.
• Bring a fair process- There were allegations that some sections had
submitted false documents during Assam’s NRC exercise. A nationwide NRC
is expected to learn from this.
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Background of UN
Achievements of UN
• Threats to Peace and Security: UN could not prevent cold war, invasion of
Iraq, genocide of Rwanda. Also, UN has to failed to achieve peace in war torn
countries of Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan etc. Failure to finalize Comprehensive
Convention on International Terrorism shows inability of UN to come out of
power struggles of Nations.
• Failure of peacekeeping forces: During the Bosnian War, Peacekeeping
forces stationed in declared ‘safe area’ by the UN, failed to stop the massacre
of more than 8000 people by Bosnian Serb forces. Also, there have been
allegations of sexual exploitation and abuse and other misconduct by
peacekeepers.
• Neglect of International law: Despite NPT, UN could not prevent nuclear
proliferation programmes of countries like Israel, Iran, North Korea. Also,
UNSC permanent members like USA, China, Russia continue to disregard
international law.
• Failure to reform with changing Global order: UNSC, bodies such as IMF
and World Bank are dominated by West reflecting the division of power
internationally at the end of World War II. This undermines their credibility.
• Refugee crises: Despite treaties like 1951 Refugee Convention, and work of
the UN High Commission for Refugees, there is somewhere between 30 and
40 million refugees, living for decades outside their homelands. This is in
addition to more than 40 million people displaced within their own countries.
• Emerging challenges: In the wake of challenges like Climate change,
pandemics like COVID-19, threats by non-state actors like ISIS,
environmental refugees, UN of 1945 is not able to adequately respond. E.g.,
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Way forward
Despite having many short-comings, UN has played a crucial role making this
human society more civil, more peaceful & secure in comparison to time of its
origin. To remain relevant in changing prioritie s and emerging threats, UN
needs to be reformed. Some reform suggestions are:
• Accountability and Transparency: UN General secretary has proposed a new
management paradigm for the Secretariat and a United Nations that
empowers managers and staff, simplifies processes, increases transparency
and improves on the delivery of UN’s mandates.
• United Nations peace operations must be more people-centred; the speed,
capability and performance of uniformed personnel shall be improved, and
allegations of abuse shall be addressed by appropriate accountability
mechanisms.
• Urgent action on UNSC Reforms: Areas identified under UNSC reforms
include, Categories of membership, the question of the veto, regional
representation, size of an enlarged Council and its working methods and the
Security Council-General Assembly relationship.
• General Assembly Reforms: It is the UN's most democratic body, since it
includes all member states. Suggestions include, ending reliance on
consensus, which often results in weak resolutions; more attention to
implementation of its resolutions, so that they do not remain dead-letters of
noncompliance etc.
• Reforms in other UN organs like, Economic and Social Council: Reforms to
create a more effective Council for coordination, policy review, policy dialogue
and recommendations on issues of economic and social development.
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8. QUAD
About Quad
• The Quad was formed in 2007 after four countries— US, India, Japan and
Australia — came together.
• However, it did not take off initially for a number of reasons, and was revived
in 2017 after almost a decade due to reasons such as growing convergence
among countries, increasing significance of Indo- Pacific region, rising threat
perceptions vis-à-vis China among others.
• It has since then emerged as a platform for diplomatic consultation and
coordination of participant countries who meet regularly at the working- and
ministerial levels to discuss mutual interests such as ensuring free, open and
inclusive Indo-Pacific and rules-based international order.
• The objective of the Quad remains advancing the security and the economic
interests of all countries having legitimate and vital interests.
Challenges
• Unclear agenda: The Quad lacks a coherent purpose, strategic objective and
an institutional framework. The countries have not even issued a joint
statement after meetings of the group, rather offering their own individual
readouts.
• China’s influence: China has strong economic ties with Quad members,
especially Australia, which can be used to coerce or influence nations in its
favour. This can turn out to be problematic for India.
o E.g. in response to Australia’s call for an independent international
inquiry over the origins of COVID- 19, China banned Australian beef
imports and imposed fresh tariffs on barley.
• Different capabilities and burden sharing: The four members of the Quad do
not have the same levels of financial resources, strategic awareness and
military capabilities in the Indian Ocean. This creates an imbalanced
partnership where burden falls unequally on partners.
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Conclusion
QUAD members should collaborate and build a positive agenda that is built
around collective action in humanitarian assistance and disaster relief,
monitoring shipping for search and rescue or anti-piracy operations,
infrastructure assistance, connectivity initiatives etc. This will help address
inhibitions of China as well as be a step forward in building an institutional
framework.
Also cooperating with other regional partners, including ASEAN, East
African littoral nations, France, the UK, Pacific Island nations etc. and forums
such as the BIMSTEC, Indian Ocean Commission and the Indian Ocean Rim
Association can further strengthen the global position of Quad as a group.
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• Chinese soldiers crossed the LAC around the Galwan River valley during
May 2020. There have been reports of Chinese soldiers having moved into
Indian territory at multiple locations in eastern Ladakh across the LAC
leading to high levels of tension between India and China. (see the map).
• In the events that followed at least 20 Indian soldiers were killed in a clash
with Chinese forces. It was the first deadly clash in the border area in at least
45 years.
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• The border between India and China is not clearly demarcated throughout
and there is no mutually agreed Line of Actual Control (LAC).
• The LAC is the demarcation that separates Indian-controlled territory from
Chinese-controlled territory. India considers the LAC to be 3,488 km long,
while the Chinese consider it to be only around 2,000 km.
• The LAC is divided into three sectors, viz. Western, Middle and Eastern.
o The boundary dispute in the Western Sector (Ladakh) pertains to the
Johnson Line proposed by the British in the 1860s that extended up to
the Kunlun Mountains and put Aksai Chin in the then princely state of
Jammu and Kashmir.
✓ India used the Johnson Line and claimed Aksai Chin as its
own. China, however, do not recognise it and instead accepts
McDonald Line which puts Aksai Chin under its control.
o In the Middle Sector (Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand), the
dispute is a minor one. Here LAC is the least controversial except for
the precise alignment to be followed in the Barahoti plains. India and
China have exchanged maps on which they broadly agree.
o The disputed boundary in the Eastern Sector (Arunachal Pradesh and
Sikkim) is over the McMahon Line (in Arunachal Pradesh) decided in
1914 in a meeting of Representatives of China, India, and Tibetin
Shimla.
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Way forward
Conclusion
• The Wuhan and Mamallapuram summits acknowledge that India and China
are not 'adversaries' but two large economic powers open to a healthy
competition in a multipolar world. The big picture is that China could no more
afford to take India for granted and that 'checks and balances' were now
recognised as a legitimate instrument for preventing 'military' conflicts in the
post- Cold War era.
• Yet, the crisis unfolding along the LAC appears on one level to be a
continuation of the trends witnessed in foregoing years. But this time, there
is one important difference: unlike the discrete and geographically localized
confrontations of the past, the latest encounters are occurring at multiple
locations along the LAC which suggests a high degree of Chinese
premeditation and approval for its military’s activities from the very top.
• Also, even if the current tensions were to be resolved in the near term, India’s
security perceptions about China are forcing India to undertake some force
restructuring to maintain constant vigilance along the LAC, especially in the
western sector. Thus, India must be proactive to resist any Chinese
transgressions and at the same time utilise its diplomatic skills to tone down
the tensions.
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• The government has banned more than 100 Chinese apps from operating in
India including popular apps like Tiktok, PUBG etc. Given India has
approximately over 574 million Internet users, the ban is a big blow leading
to phenomenal loss of user base and data capital of the app. This could lead
to a potential loss of advertising revenue impacts app-makers.
• Government introduced changes in FDI rules which mandate "prior
approval" from the Centre for foreign investments from countries "that share
border with India". This move was widely considered a hedge against Chinese
takeover of domestic firms that are struggling because of the COVID-19
economic downturn.
• India has invoked stringent quality control norms to curb poor quality
Chinese imports.
• Union Minister for Road Transport and Highways has announced that
Chinese companies would not be allowed to take part in road projects.
• Nature of the dispute and the lack of ideological fundamentalism – India and
China do not see each other through an ideological lens. This is unlike how
United States and China see each other.
• Willingness for diplomatic engagement at the military and political levels –
Summit diplomacy is likely to return if the crisis escalates further as was the
case in 2015 Ladakh and 2017 Doklam crisis. Both sides have reiterated the
intention to de-escalate the current stand-off based on the already signed
agreements.
• Element of ambiguity surrounding the details of the stand-off - The ability
of both governments to manage national media, and the inscrutability of the
facts related to the dispute, aided efforts to manage domestic audience.
• Material costs of limited war for both parties far outweigh potential gains
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o For China, conflict on the border with India would diminish its ability
to meet security challenges in the South China Sea, thus making it
vulnerable to the United States, which Beijing considers its primary
security competitor. Additionally, reputational damages suffered due to
COVID-19 and pre existing fears surrounding China’s rise will all
temper Beijing’s pre-emptive use of military force.
WHAT IS UNSC?
The Security Council, the United Nations’ principal crisis management body,
is empowered to impose binding obligations on the 193 UN member states to
maintain peace. Few major Roles:
• Ensuring international peace and security;
• Recommending that the General Assembly accept new members to the
United Nations;
• Approving any changes to its charter.
So, no changes to the UN charter or no new member can be admitted into
UN without the approval of UNSC (as these resolutions require agreement of
all the P5 members).
• The reason behind Veto being limited to just five members has roots in WWII.
The United States and Soviet Union were the outright victors of the war, and,
along with the United Kingdom, they shaped the post war political order.
In the current circumstances, it has become crucial for the UNSC to reform
itself and uphold its legitimacy and representatives in the world. Reform of
the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) encompasses five key issues:
• Membership - For many years, some member-states have been advocating
expansion of the Security Council, arguing that adding new members will
remedy the democratic and representative deficit from which the Council
suffers. Disagreement on whether new members should be permanent or have
veto power has become a major obstacle to Security Council reform.
• Veto - The five permanent members of the Security Council (China, France,
Russia, United Kingdom, and United States) enjoy the privilege of veto power.
This power has been intensely controversial since the drafting of the UN
Charter in 1945. 75 years later, the debate on the existence and use of the
veto continues, reinvigorated by many cases of veto-threat as well as actual
veto use.
• Regional representation- The ongoing debate about Security Council reform
has mainly focused on the expansion of membership of the Council. The
rationale for membership expansion is to include emerging powers on the
Council. New single state members could exacerbate regional competition
rather than collaboration. Alternative model for Council reform that would
give permanent seats to regional organizations or blocs rather than individual
countries.
• Transparency and its working methods – The Security Council has taken
several steps to increase its efficiency and transparency in recent years. These
so-called "cluster 2" reforms do not require an amendment to the UN Charter,
and have therefore not stirred the same amount of controversy as the debate
on expansion of the Council has. The Security Council now holds more public
meetings and consults more frequently with external actors, including NGOs.
• Security Council-General Assembly relationship - Improving the quality of
the interactions between these two organs would provide the Council with
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additional information and insights to inform its work. In turn, when the
member states in the General Assembly feel that they have been consulted
and that their views are heard on matters of international peace and security
that affect them, the transparency, accountability and legitimacy of the
Council are enhanced at a time when the Council is perceived to be struggling
to discharge its responsibilities on a number of issues.
India (or any other country for that matter) would want a permanent
membership to the UNSC for two reasons:
• First, the veto power, which India could use to defend its interests, say
against Pakistan (just like Russia did last year over the civil war in Ukraine).
• Second, the sheer prestige associated with permanent membership of a
multilateral forum. India’s elevation will also be an acknowledgment of its rise
as a global power, ready to play a key role in the council’s objectives of
international peace and security.
Nepal unveiled a new political map that claimed strategically important land
Kalapani, Limpiyadhura and Lipulekh of Uttarakhand as part of its sovereign
territory.
• The map is in retaliation of Nepal’s objection to construction of road by India
from Dharchula to Lipulekh in Uttarakhand.
o This road connects close to the Line of Actual Control and opens a new
route for Kailash Mansarovar yatra via Lipulekh pass.
o This will help pilgrims to avoid dangerous high-altitude routes through
Sikkim and Nepal.
• India termed recent action by Nepal as a `unilateral act’ which is not based
on historical facts and evidence and also stated that these areas have always
been part of the Indian Territory.
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• Also, after the reorganisation of Jammu and Kashmir, India had published
a new map in November 2019, which showed the region of Kalapani as part
of the Indian territory.
• The new map—and the consequent objection from Nepal—brought forth the
unresolved border disputes between the two countries.
• The disagreements between India and Nepal over the border dispute is over
the regions which includes Kalapani, Lipulekh, Limpiyadhura (all three in
Uttarakhand) and Susta (Bihar).
• Kalapani area is the largest territorial dispute between Nepal and India
consisting of at least 37,000 hectares of land in the High Himalayas.
o It is located in the easternmost corner of Uttarakhand’s Pithoragarh
district.
o It is a tri-junction between India, China and Nepal which is of strategic
significance in South Asian diplomacy.
• Susta in Bihar is on the banks of River Gandak. The changing course of
River Gandak often created issue between two countries.
• Nepal considers the 1816 Treaty of Sugauli (signed between Gurkha rulers
of Kathmandu and the EastIndia Company) as the only authentic document
on boundary delineation.
o Under the provisions of the Sugauli Treaty, Nepal lost Sikkim, Kumaon,
Garhwal and Western Terai (Flat) area. River Mechi became the eastern
border with India while the river Kali (called Mahakali in Nepal) was
demarcated as the north-western border.
✓ The Treaty of Sagauli also defined Gandak as the
international boundary between India and Nepal.
o Nepal considers the source of Kali river near Limpiyadhura, which is
higher in altitude than the rest of the river’s flow. Thus, all the three
areas Limpiyadhura, Lipulekh and Kalapani are considered to the east
of the river Kali.
• India on the other hand says the border begins at Kalapani which India says
is where the river begins.
o Kali originates in springs well below the Lipulekh pass, and the Sugauli
treaty does not demarcate the area north of these streams.
o Administrative and revenue records going back to the nineteenth
century show that Kalapani was on the Indian side.
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o India has controlled this territory since 1950s and built other
infrastructure here before, besides conducting its administration and
deploying military forces up to the border pass with China.
o China in 2015 statement also recognized India’s sovereignty over the
area by agreeing to expand trade through the Lipulekh pass.
Conclusion
The Kalapani dispute must be resolved expeditiously and earnestly, to the
mutual satisfaction of both sides. A Joint Boundary Demarcation Committee
could be appointed by both the countries to scientifically study the Maps and
come to a conclusion diplomatically.
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Nepal and China growing Proximity: (Important for 66th BPSC Mains)
Way Forward
• Nepal cannot dispense with its reliance on India. India is and will remain
vital for the country in many ways. However, India’s strategy to keep Nepal’s
engagement with China to a minimum is no longer a viable option.
• India must introduce new economic, developmental and infrastructure
initiatives with Nepal that will not only bring tangible benefits to Nepali
citizens but also address the vulnerabilities that will emerge in Nepal as the
country engages with China.
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It is based on the premise of 'माता भूमममिः पुत्रो अहम् पृममम्यिः' - the culture that considers
the earth to be the mother. It has been clearly specified that this idea of self-
reliance is not about a return to the era of import substitution or isolationism.
. The package has tried to address all sectors of the economy in different parts
viz.:
o Part 1: Businesses including MSMEs.
o Part 2: Poor including migrants and Farmers.
o Part 3: Agriculture.
o Part 4: New Horizons of Growth.
o Part 5: Government Reforms and Enablers.
The reforms and stimulus measures under Rs 20 lakh crore package were
subsequently elaborated by the Finance Minister in five tranches:
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Total 20,97,053
The package has also highlighted the importance of preferring local products.
In the light of this, citizens are urged to be vocal about their local products
and help these local products become global.
Apart from the above, under Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan decisions are also
made to reform labour, agriculture, coal sector etc.
Technology-driven education
The call self-reliance can be compared with the Swadeshi movement and
we can find that it is a relatable response to the evolving political and
economic currents in a globalized world.
If Swadeshi was the rejection of the colonial exploitation of India and
criticism of the Western model of Capitalism based economic
growth, Atmanirbhar Bharat is an attempt to find India’s legitimate
place in a rapidly changing world.
Atmanirbhar Bharat like the Swadeshi movement is a program that is
against the unrestricted import of Western thinking and economic
models but is not averse to technology. It stands for modernization, but
without unbridled Westernisation.
The clarion call ‘Vocal for local’ needs to seen as a response to the
anticipated changes geopolitical order in the post-COVID world.
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The COVID crisis has shown the failings of multilateral and regional
institutions and also the ineffectiveness of trade barriers and standalone
economic models.
Indian entrepreneurship must be freed from the shackles by adopting
suitable governance models and reforming laws.
The ‘new Swadeshi’ must transform local industries to connect the ever-
changing global trade structure and lead to ‘glocalization’ that serves
local and global markets.
Some early signs of this development were seen during the COVID crisis
where India’s position as the ‘pharmacy of the developing world’ was
cemented. The importance of self-reliance was also seen in the self-
sufficiency for food especially cereals, the lack of which would have
exasperated the current crisis.
Inflated figures
Several opposition leaders pointed out that as per the calculations
by many economists, the actual government expenditure in the
Atmanirbhar package is just 1%.
The actions of RBI were included as part of the government’s fiscal
package whereas government expenditure and RBI’s actions cannot
be clubbed together.
Need to spend more
The Indian economy likely to contract and the Gross Value Added
across sectors is likely to fall. According to an assessment by Prof
N R Bhanumurthy of the National Institute of Public Finance and
Policy (NIPFP), India’s GVA will contract by 13% this year under the
Base case scenario (The Base case scenario refers to a scenario
where governments bring down their expenditure in line with their
falling revenues to maintain their fiscal deficit target).
Several economists suggest that the government needs to spend
much more to prevent an economic contraction. Higher public
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spending will come at the cost of higher levels of fiscal deficits and
higher inflation, but a growth contraction will cause even worse
outcomes in the form of widespread economic ruin.
Credit easing will not work immediately
Direct expenditure by a government such as direct benefit transfer
or by construction will mean that money reaches the people.
But credit easing by the RBI is not direct government expenditure
and banks will be hesitant to lend the money available with them.
Nothing to stimulate demand – many economists have opined that the
government stimulus tries to resolve only supply-side issues. There is
nothing to generate demand. This could only be done by putting money
in the hands of people.
Modest MSME package – according to opposition leaders, the MSME
package was modest and the measures were skewed in favour of the
larger ones. Moreover, the unorganized sector was not catered to.
Insufficient support for the state governments – the state governments
which are at the forefront of fighting the pandemic have not been
supported adequately via fund transfers.
A remodelling of Make in India Campaign – The self-reliant India
campaign is criticized by many as a re-modelling of the Make in India
Campaign – which didn’t produce expected results – with some addon-
on.
The philosophy of self-reliance: India, like most countries, has been
following the principles of globalisation since the LPG reforms in 1991.
Even though the globalised world shrank into isolated countries in the
COVID19 period, it is yet to be seen if self-reliance can be adopted as a
viable economic policy by a country like India, post-COVID.
particularly transformative.
Associated Challenges
Lack of Backward and Forward Linkages: Unless the rest of the domestic
economy is revived, the MSME sector may face a shortage of demand,
and its production may soon sputter to a close.
Enhancing Demand: The economic package for the country emerging out
of the lockdown requires a stimulus enhancing demand across the
economy.
o The rest may have to come from privatisation, taxation, loans and
more international aid.
Holistic Reforms: Any stimulus package will fail to reflect the trickle-down
effect, until and unless it is backed by reforms in various sectors.
industries. In this light, the mission aims to promote Indian industries while
making them competitive through reforms and government interventions.
2. Supply Chain Fragility: Countries all over the world are now looking at
boosting domestic capabilities to be able to absorb future supply chain
shocks.
Way Forward
The economic crisis triggered by Covid-19 pandemic is much like the 1991
economic crisis, which was a harbinger of a paradigm shift via liberalisation,
privatisation and globalisation. The post-Covid-19 era may usher in
unprecedented opportunities provided the implementation deficit is
adequately addressed.
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About G-7:
It is an intergovernmental organisation that was formed in 1975.
The bloc meets annually to discuss issues of common interest like
global economic governance, international security and energy
policy.
Members:
o The G7 was known as the ‘G8’ for several years after the original
seven were joined by Russia in 1997.
Summit Participation:
1. Policies:
The organisation has also been criticised for not reflecting the
current state of global politics or economics.
2. Not Representative:
1. Previous Participation:
India was also invited for the 2020 summit hosted by the
USA which could not take place due to the pandemic.
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Previously India had attended the G-8 summit (it became G-7
from G-8 with the expulsion of Russia in 2014) five times
between 2005 and 2009.
Last year the USA President has proposed the expansion of the G7 to be
called ‘G10 or G11’.
Expansion of G7:
Re-inclusion of Russia:
The G7, formed in 1975-76, comprises the US, Canada, the UK, France,
Germany, Japan, and Italy.
Not all of these countries are among the most advanced now.
India is both a military and economic giant but isn’t part of the G7.
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So, its expansion, just like that of the United Nations Security Council,
is called for. However, there is more than that to Trump’s moves.
China has emerged as the new nemesis for the US and many other
countries, particularly after the coronavirus outbreak in Wuhan.
Having India and others in the G7 is Trump’s way of countering the
rising influence of China on the world stage.
On the decision to invite other countries including India, according to
the US president "The G7 as a grouping is not representing properly
what is going on in the world. And it is a very outdated group of
countries."
The proposed G-11 grouping would recognise India’s place amongst the
world’s richest nations, and acknowledge its global voice.
A seat at the G-7 would go a long way towards solidifying India's
commitment to fashioning itself as a key manufacturing destination in
the coming years
It would be in India's interests to adopt a foreign policy stance premised
on multilateralism over isolation, to counter-balance the military
power-divide between itself and China.
The rise of India, China, and Brazil over the past few decades has reduced the
G7’s relevance. Thus, inclusion of emerging economies like India, South
Korea,etc. may extend the support to establish equal levels for each country
at global level. The proposed expansion may also help G7 to be a more
representative institution than current G7 and subsequently to establish an
equal platform at global level.
• Eurozone: There is a risk that the euro may depreciate. In the longer run,
however, the eurozone would have more power to drive economic and financial
policy in the EU.
• Protectionism: Without the UK, the EU budget would have to do without the
UK’s annual contribution which could lead to more fiscal protectionism.
• Security issues: Brexit would reduce the EU's ability to tackle cross-border
organised crime and transnational terrorism, unless new coordination and
cooperation mechanisms can be established with the UK.
• EU’s Reputation: Brexit would seriously threaten the EU’s global standing
and soft power status and its ability to play a greater role in contemporary
world order.
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• Uncertainty: Its global implications are harder to predict and may differ for
different regions. It could also lead to a setback for free trade and
globalisation.
• Flight to safety: Investors may start selling riskier assets such as stocks and
seeking safety in government bonds.
Impact on India:
Key opportunities
• Free Trade Agreement (FTA): India may start talks on free trade deals with
Britain, EU after Brexit.
• Demand for Indian Labour: India’s high proportion of skilled working -age
population and high growth rate will be of particular interest for the UK.
• Easy market access: India is the major Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
source for the UK because many Indian firms have used it as a gateway to
Europe.
With the UK moving out of EU, it might offer more incentives such
as tax breaks, easy regulations and opening up markets to Indian
firms to keep them attracted.
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Key challenges
• Political Risk: It can cause regional uncertainty and the changing dynamics
can potentially reverberate to reach Asia and thus India.
• Dual Negotiation: India’s FTA negotiation with EU, which saw an impasse
on the issue of bilateral investments, might now need a renegotiation of FTA
with the union. Additionally, a separate trade agreement with the UK might
also need to be worked on.
Way forward
• India should fast track its negotiations on FTA with both EU and UK.
• India should look towards other countries for better access to EU market
such as Germany, France, and Italy etc.
• Indian policy toward the region should be shaped keeping in mind the new
De hyphenated dynamics of the region.
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• Need for Specialist Knowledge for Senior Level Appointments: The task of
policy making is becoming increasingly complex and needs specialist
knowledge of the subject. Under the existing system, the most senior level
appointments in the Central secretariat as well as top field level posts are
made from amongst the Indian Administrative Service (IAS) officers who are
generalists.
Salient Features
• Institutional framework:
Intended Benefits
• Preparing the Indian Civil Servant for the future: through technology driven
learning and Standardization of training priorities and pedagogy across
institutes, making him more innovative, professional, progressive and
technology-enabled.
• Bridging the gap between generalization and specialization: which exists due
to lack of mid-level training at all levels.
Conclusion
Under the plan, the USA proposed a regional conference under the United
Nations auspices with foreign ministers of the USA, India, Russia, China,
Pakistan and Iran to discuss a “unified approach” on Afghanistan.
• The Taliban emerged in the early 1990s following the withdrawal of Soviet
troops from Afghanistan, before the demise of the Soviet Union.
• Following terrorist attacks in the United States (US) in 2001, the U.S.,
together with its NATO allies led a military campaign against Al Qaeda and
the Taliban government in Afghanistan that harbored and supported it.
• The US engagement has continued for nearly 20 years, but without a clear
victory over the Taliban.
Delay in Withdrawal of Troops: This peace plan has kept open the
possibility that the USA troops, currently deployed in Afghanistan,
might stay on for a longer time.
o Under the earlier USA- Taliban Deal, the USA had promised
to withdraw all troops by May, 2021.
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4. Challenges:
Way Forward
In order to ensure the same, the Afghan peace process should be Afghan-
led, Afghan-owned and Afghan-controlled.
Also, there is a need for the global community to fight against the global
concern of terrorism. In this context, it high time to adopt
the Comprehensive Convention on International Terrorism (proposed by
India at UN in 1996).
Though the new initiative by the USA is a good step, the road ahead would
not be easy. Achieving lasting peace in Afghanistan will require patience
and compromise among all parties.
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There have been various calls, including by Sri Lanka’s former Prime Minister,
for revival of SAARC for better regional integration and development of the
region.
• Established with the signing of the SAARC Charter in Dhaka in 1985. Its
secretariat is in Kathmandu, Nepal.
• Objectives: To promote the welfare of the people of South Asia and to improve
their quality of life, and to accelerate economic growth, territorial integrity,
• The last SAARC summit was held in 2014 and subsequent summits could
not be held after 2016 Summit scheduled in Pakistan got
• South Asian countries are closely tied in their socio-political state as they
o If India loses its clout in this region, then it will be a critical setback
to its aspirations for a global role.
• Neighbourhood first policy of which SAARC could become the central pillar,
and for India to play global role, its regional is the pillar for If we are waiting
for the Asian century, South Asia shouldn’t remain fragmented.
To face such challenges, the South Asian countries must cooperate. The
European and ASEAN experience is testimony to the contribution of regional
cooperation in the economic growth of the countries.
Way Forward
• Sri Lanka’s former Prime Minister proposed ‘Economic Integration Road Map
(EIRM)’: a “sub-region”, consisting of the five southern States of India and Sri
Lanka, to tap the total population of 300 million people and a combined GDP
of over $500 billion.
• South Asia Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA) that came into force in 2006 is
often highlighted as a prominent outcome of SAARC, but given the presence
of sensitive lists, it is yet to be implemented in spirit.
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• SAARC does not have any arrangement for resolving disputes or mediating
conflicts.
• Asymmetry between India and other member countries: They perceive India
as “Big Brother” and have been reluctant to implement various agreements
under SAARC.
• It is an integrated theatre that combines the Indian Ocean and the Pacific
Ocean, and the land masses that surround them.
Factors that are driving the global shift towards the Indo-pacific
• Flourishing Trade and Economy: The Indo-Pacific Region shares 44% of the
world surface area; includes 65% of the world population; accounts for 62%
of the world GDP; and contributes to 46% of the world’s merchandise trade.
• China factor: In the previous few decades, China’s aggressive foreign policy,
rapid economic expansion, military modernization and power projection have
raised several red flags among regional and extra-regional countries. Some
concerns in this regard are:
• Peace and security in the Indian Ocean: Nearly 50% of India’s trade is
centered in the Indo-Pacific Region and the Indian Ocean carries 90% of
India’s trade and its energy sources. India wants to assure freedom of
navigation, secure choke points, resolve conflicts peacefully and address
nontraditional security threats in the Indian Ocean Region (IOR).
• Countering China: Ensuring that China does not gain a significant strategic
foothold in the region.
o Security Provider: India has been the primary security provider for and
strategic partner to most of its smaller neighbors like Maldives,
Mauritius, Seychelles, and Sri Lanka.
o First Responder: India’s navy is among the first to reach nations
requiring humanitarian assistance or medical aid in times of crisis and
disasters. E.g. Operation Vanilla at Madagascar.
o Vision ‘SAGAR’ (Security and Growth for All in the Region): A holistic
policy that aims to pursue and promote India’s geo-political, strategic
and economic interests on the seas, particularly in the Indian Ocean.
o Project Mausam: Aims to understand how the knowledge and
manipulation of the monsoon winds has shaped interactions across the
Indian Ocean and led to the spread of shared knowledge systems,
traditions, technologies and ideas along maritime routes.
• Limited Naval Capacity and Lack of military bases: With a meager allocation
of 15 percent of India’s military budget.
• Slow pace of developments: E.g. since the release of the AAGC, there h as
been very little movement on this initiative. Challenges to trade due to tariff
and non-tariff measures, poor infrastructure etc.
brought about by the COVID-19 crisis in the Indo-Pacific region, are a step in
the right direction.
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ABOUT NAM
• Mutual non-aggression.
• Peaceful co-existence.
• It is a widely held belief that the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) was highly
relevant for India interests (that advocated decolonisation, end to apartheid,
global nuclear disarmament, ushering in of new international economic and
information orders) during the bipolar era of the Cold War.
• While most of the concerns of NAM have been addressed, some old issues
still persist such as hunger, poverty and disease- which need to be addressed
through enhanced south-south collaboration.
• The most important role for NAM today lies in framing a concrete economic
agenda for a just and fair international economic order especially in an age
for rising protectionism tendencies.
WAY FORWARD
For a few years now, non-alignment has not been projected by our
policymakers as a tenet of India’s foreign policy. Successive formulations
being coined - Strategic autonomy; Multi-alignment; issue-based
partnerships must be explored. Movement that represents two thirds of the
world’s population must be reformed and refined to advance our collective
aspirations within the framework of geostrategic realities of our times.
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• Fisheries: It accounts for 10% of the world’s fisheries, making it a key source
of food for hundreds of millions of people.
• Balance of Power: The SCS borders three U.S. treaty allies: Japan, South
Korea, and the Philippines. In addition, SCS borders Southeast Asian nations
that are current, emerging, or potential U.S. partner countries, such as
Singapore, Vietnam, and Indonesia. China growing presence in SCS has
visibly challenged the international system and US hegemony in the region.
• Militarisation of South China Sea: Both China and US have escalated their
military presence in SCS. These developments have provoked apprehensions
among both littorals as well as countries external to the region, as all of them
have an interest in ensuring that commercial and military access across the
Pacific remains unimpeded.
Global Response
o Except for China, the other claimants in the South China Sea (Brunei,
Malaysia, the Philippines and Vietnam) are members of the ASEAN
• The United States has stepped up its military activity and naval presence in
the region in recent years, including freedom of navigation operations
(FONOPs).
• India has favoured inclusivity and plurality. Institutions and orders need to
be “consultative and non prescriptive, respectful of the region’s preference for
consensus-based approaches.
Way forward
• The real challenge is in judging China’s legitimate interests, how far they
must be accommodated, and where the line must be drawn. This would prove
an arduous task as Beijing will likely reject assessments of its interests.
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22. BRICS
About BRICS
The 2020 BRICS Summit was held virtually under the chairmanship of
Russia, which adopted the motto for the year as ‘BRICS Partnership for Global
Stability, Shared Security and Innovative Growth’.
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• Other highlights:
• Safe space to modulate rivalry: The grouping provides India and China the
opportunity to decouple their strategic contest from the other dimensions of
the relationship.
o During the Doklam standoff of 2017 and the recent Ladakh standoff,
both China and India remained engaged through BRICS throughout the
entirety of the crisis.
• Boosting India’s demand for institutional reforms: BRICS’ repeated calls for
reform of multilateral institutions, boosts India’s own assertions in this
direction, acting as a multiplier to the country’s own demands for reform.
• Trade dependency: Thirty-four per cent of India's total imports are from the
other four BRICS nations.
o From South Africa, along with other African countries, China has
attracted criticism for the ill treatment that has been meted out to
African residents there.
• Approach towards institutional reforms: BRICS may have raised the issue
of UNSC reform but this is more declaratory in nature than a serious attempt
to overhaul the UNSC. BRICS is interested in selective reform of the system,
as its members have developed vested interests in the existing system. That
is why the grouping seeks to reform global financial governance but is divided
over UNSC reform.
• Dependency on other global institutions: BRICS does not have the ‘strategic
vision’ to deal with ‘global matters’ on its own. For this, it relies on other
international organisations, like throwing its support behind the G20 when
the latter came together to deal with the 2008 financial crisis.
• Changing world order: The ongoing churn in the world order, further
complicated by the pandemic sweeping through the world, has raised
concerns about future policy directions of BRICS member states and its
eventual impact on the organisation as a whole. If the US China rivalry
intensifies, the already complex dynamics between India and China, India’s
balancing act with the US, the growing Russia-China linkages, Russia-US
tensions — raise the prospects of an ‘internal split.’
• Lack of capital: BRICS do not have the funds to outcompete the Bretton
Wood Institutions, the World Bank and IMF. More investment, more capital
is needed in the NDB.
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• Low Intra-country trade: Despite the opportunities and the potential, intra-
BRICS trade and investment flows are very low. Imports and exports
amongBRICS nations are low. FDI flows to and from the BRICS are mainly to
other countries and not to each other. China dominates whatever little flows
happen within the BRICS nations.
Way ahead
• The future of BRICS will depend on how much the leaders have agreed to
stand collectively against trade protectionism, increase investments and
share a global political agenda.
Conclusion
The ongoing churn in the global order is especially relevant for BRICS and its
future as a multilateral organisation. Building a collective strategy and
identifying priority processes to implement it can ensure that BRICS
cooperation deepens and becomes self-reinforcing.
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• Russian and Mandarin are presently used as official and working languages
in the SCO.
• Working structure
• Global influence
o The forum also provides India greater visibility in the affairs of the
Eurasian region.
o India can also scuttle influence of Pakistan in Central Asia.
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• Economic: CAR is rich in iron-ore, coal, oil, gas, gold, lead, zinc,
molybdenum, uranium, gold, gas and energy gas etc. India’s economic
diplomacy in SCO is focused less on Russia, China and Pakistan and more
on CARs.
• Connectivity: India’s pending energy proje cts like the TAPI (Turkmenistan
Afghanistan-Pakistan-India) pipeline, IPI (Iran-Pakistan-India) pipeline, and
CASA (Central Asia-South Asia)-1000 electricity transmission projects all of
which are blocked due to Pakistan may get a much needed push through the
SCO.
• Trust deficit: Growing closeness of Russia and China adds to the difficulties
that India faces due to China- Pakistan axis in the SCO. Other member
countries are also well disposed towards Pakistan. This puts India at the risk
of being isolated in the organization.
• Revitalise connectivity projects: The opening of Chabahar port and entry into
Ashgabat agreement should be utilized for a stronger presence in Eurasia.
o This will pave the way for enlarging economic clout in the central Asia
which in turn makes India indispensible in the region.
In the current context, when the world is amid a health crisis in the form of
COVID-19, vaccine diplomacy has assumed an even larger role due to
following reasons:
where myopic view of national needs is solely catered to with disregard for
collective global needs. For instance, rich countries account for just 16
percent of the world’s population, but they have cornered 60 percent of the
vaccines bought globally.
• Strengthening the idea of collective global response: Since the start of the
pandemic, it has been made clear that only a collective response from all
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o India has also offered to help friendly nations in enhancing their cold
chain and storage capacities for the delivery of Vaccines.
What are the challenges that India faces in executing the idea of vaccine
diplomacy?
• Balancing Vaccine Diplomacy with domestic needs: India will need more
than a billion doses to protect its own population. To ensure that supply is
not constrained in India and simultaneously fulfilling international
commitments on the ‘vaccine pacts’ will be a manufacturing as well as a
logistical challenge.
Way forward
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India’s potential and the current context provides it with a twin opportunity
to serve humanity and simultaneously strengthen its geopolitical position,
efforts should be made to capitalize on this opportunity as far as possible. The
immediate gains which may generated, like opening of communication
channels, creation of goodwill etc. should be capitalized with more concrete
engagements through geopolitical partnerships, economic agreements and
resolution of bilateral issues.
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Global Reaction:
India’s Reaction:
Way Forward
India should continue to engage with the present regime in Myanmar working
towards mutual development of people of both the countries while it should
support sharing experiences in constitutionalism and federalism to assist
Myanmar in resolving the prevailing stalemate.