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SUBMITTED BY:
Hrishi Raj Thakur
Roll No- 3012
B.A. (H) GEOGRAPHY 4th Semester
G.E. Economics Sec-G
Q1. Comment on the Fiscal Situation of India for the last 5 years.
Analyse the fiscal deficit and debt to GDP ratio and comment on
the reasons for fiscal slippage as per the FRBM Act.
Answer: Fiscal Deficit refers to the difference between the total
income of the government (total taxes and non-debt capital receipts)
and its total expenditure. This difference is calculated both in
absolute terms and also as a percentage of the Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) of the country.
The following table shows India’s Fiscal Deficit in the last 5 years:
Table1 : Central Government’s Fiscal Parameters in the last 5 years(in Rs Lakh Crore: figures
in parenthesis are as a % of GDP)
The year 2020-21 has been a difficult year from the fiscal
perspective. The fiscal policy response of the Government has been a
combination of demand and supply side policies under the ambit of
‘Atma Nirbhar Bharat’ to cushion against the pandemic shock, and
subsequently fuel the economic recovery. Going forward, in order to
sustain the recovery in aggregate demand, it is expected that the
Government may have to continue with an expansionary fiscal
stance. The expenditure support along with the various key reforms
introduced during the year are likely to impart the required
momentum to medium-term growth. The calibrated approach
adopted by India allows space for maintaining a fiscal impulse the
coming year. The growth recovery would facilitate buoyant revenue
collections in the medium term, and thereby enable a sustainable
fiscal path
For the 2021-22 fiscal, the deficit has been pegged at 6.8% of GDP,
which will be further lowered to 4.5% by 2025-26.
As per the FRBM Act, the government can allow fiscal slippage or
deviate from the targets in case of-a national calamity, national
security issue or other exceptional circumstances notified by it
The FRBM review committee suggested that grounds in which the
government can deviate from the targets should be clearly specified,
and the government should not be allowed to notify other
circumstances.
Further, the government may be allowed to deviate from the
specified targets upon the advice of the Fiscal council in the following
circumstances:
a) Considerations of national security, war, national calamities
and collapse of agriculture affecting output and incomes
b) Structural reforms in the economy resulting in fiscal
implications
c) Decline in real output growth at least 3% below the average of
the previous four quarters.
These deviations cannot be more than 0.5% of GDP in a year.
Q2. What are the measures taken to empower local bodies
(municipalities and panchayats)? Comment on the
recommendations given by the 14th and 15th Finance Commission.
What are the diversion in the recommendations of 15th Financial
Commission as compared to the 14th Financial Commission?
Answer: GST (Goods and Services Tax), which came into effect from
1st July 2017, is an indirect tax levied on the supply of goods and
services in the country. GST has subsumed several indirect taxes such
as excise duty, VAT, services tax etc.
However, one of the biggest exclusions under the GST taxation in
India is POL products. Currently, the centre levies excise duty while
the states levy VAT at different rates on POL products, leading to
different rates of petroleum products in different parts of the
country.
The reasons why it is difficult to bring POL products under GST are
described below:
Currently taxes on POL products are levied by both the
Centre and the states. While the Centre levies excise duty,
states levy Value Added Tax (VAT). By being able to levy
VAT on these products, the states have control over their
revenues. If POL products are brought under GST, both
the taxes would be merged and there would be a uniform
price for these products across the country. It would
mean that the states would lose their control over their
revenues since it is the Centre who is in charge of fixing
the rate of GST.
Another issue is that the rate of VAT on POL products
varies widely amongst the states. While Maharasthra
charges up to 40% on petrol while Andaman and Nicobar
charges just 6% ad valorem. Levying a standard rate of
GST on petrol would mean that the prices would sharply
rise in Andaman and Nicobar while on the other hand,
they would fall in Maharasthra if the GST rate is lower
than the current rate. This leads to 2 issues- a) common
man would have to pay more for POL products in those
states where the VAT rate was initially lower than the GST
rate b) The states which were charging a higher VAT rate
prior to GST would lose a huge amount of revenue.
One of the laws in the GST is the Central Governments
assurance of bearing the revenue loss incurred by states
due to implementation of GST. Revenue earned from POL
products constistutes a huge fraction of the total revenue
earned by the states. By bringing them under GST, states
would lose a huge chunk of revenue which needs to be
compensated by the Centre. However, in the current
fiscal deficit situation of the country paying such a
compensation to the states is not practical as it would
worsen the economic woes of the country.
The Central and State Governments earn a lot of revenue
from POL products. In 2019-20, government had earned
around Rs 4.24 trillion by taxing petroleum products. If
these products are brought under GST, the GST Council
has to make sure that the governments continue to earn
the kind of revenue through POL products that they have
been in the past. Under GST, the most used tax slabs are
12%, 18% and 28%. However, at these rates the
government won’t even earn a fraction of the taxes that
they are earning now. In order to replicate the revenue
earned prior to GST implementation, the GST rate has to
be set above 100%. No Government will be willing to
come up with an indirect tax that is higher than 100% as it
will be political suicide.