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Their approach was to test for co-integrating relations and then estimate
error correction models. The conclusion was that Turkish real exports are negatively
affected by real exchange rate volatility. Koray and Lastrapes (1989) using a VAR
model including several macroeconomic variables found a very weak effect between
real exchange rate volatility and US imports. Kroner and Lastrapes (1990) used
GARCH model (and its extensions) to investigate the relationship between exchange
rate volatility and trade on the premise that exchange rates show up in clusters of
periods of high and low volatility (i.e. time-varying conditional volatility). They
found a small but significant effect of exchange rate volatility on trade and observed
that this effect varies across countries. Pujula (2013) estimated a Multivariate
GARCH-M model with the mean equation specified as a VAR model of two
variables exports and exchange rates. The author found positive own country
Ghanaian total exports. Similarly, Grier and Smallwood (2013) applied a Multivariate
GARCH-M and specified the mean equation with three variables growth rates of
exports, foreign income, and the real exchange rate. Their findings support negative
effects of real exchange rate volatility on exports from both developed and
developing countries.
It is surprising that the new unit root test developments (e.g., Elliott-
improves upon ADF and PP, are rarely used in assessing the time series properties of
exchange rates, exports, exchange rate volatility variables, and economic activity
proxies. In identifying the time series properties of exports and exchange rates from
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