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State of DePIN

2023
State of DePIN: About the Authors

Sami Kassab Salvador Gala

Sami is a crypto research analyst at Sal is the co-founder of Escape Velocity


Messari focusing on DePIN, AI & Bitcoin and (EV3) and co-hosts the Proof of Coverage
co-hosts the Proof of Coverage podcast. podcast. Before EV3, Sal was an investor
Before Messari, Sami was an aerospace at Ribbit Capital and an investment
engineer at Raytheon & Honeywell. banker at Goldman Sachs.

@EV3ventures
@Old_Samster @Danconia_Crypto
DePIN = decentralized physical
infrastructure networks.
Networks that use crypto-incentives to efficiently coordinate the
buildout & operation of critical infrastructure.

DePIN
Wireless Compute AI

Energy Sensors Services

Public Blockchains

Sources: Messari, EV3 research


DePIN can be more efficient, resilient &
performant than centralized infra.
DePIN is the first-order correct way to scale global infrastructure.

Centralized Infrastructure DePIN

CapEx: massive up-front capital requirements ($ Crowdsourced CapEx: users to contribute capital,
assets, and labor towards a common objective,
billions) creates significant barriers to entry.
incentivized by transparent & fair token incentives.

OpEx: inefficient, bureaucratic processes in both Onchain settlement: blockchains reduce admin
overhead by becoming the single-source-of-truth shared
marketing & operations depresses operating margins.
ledgers across all market participants.

Single points of failure: security & reliability


vs Decentralized resiliency: decentralized networks
reduce single-points-of-failure risks——or at least
depend entirely on a handful of opaque infra providers.
make them more transparent wherever they exist.

Stagnant: zero innovation culture; new tech takes Innovation: the pace of experimentation in open,
permissionless, global ecosystems is an order of
decades to rollout & integrate.
magnitude higher than in centralized companies.

Sources: Messari, EV3 research


DePIN Flywheel = infrastructure networks
that get stronger as they get bigger.
DePIN’s flywheel is powerful enough to add +$10T to global GDP over
the next decade and +$100T in the decade after that.

DePIN Timeline DePIN Flywheel

Bitcoin 1st storage 1st compute 1st bandwidth


whitepaper networks networks networks
Higher More
Infra Coverage Token
Utilization Liquidity
2008 2014 2017 2019

Network
Supply UX
Effects
1st AI/services 1st sensor 1st DePIN
networks networks VC fund
650+ live Lower Higher
DePIN projects, Unit Demand Token
$20B+ mkt cap Costs Value
2020 2021 2022 2023

Sources: project websites & press releases; EV3 research


DePIN empowers & incentivizes citizens to
improve public infrastructure around them.
In a world of untrustworthy institutions & incompetent bureaucrats,
DePIN transfers wealth & power back to citizens & communities.

Digital maps Home internet

Energy grid Food delivery

AI Knowledge work

Telcos
Ride-sharing

Datacenters
Advertising
Power plants
Mobility
Carbon credits
Health & fitness

Pets & livestock

Sources: EV3 research


We classify six categories of DePIN,
each disrupting a $1T+ industry.
RWAs (real-world assets) & blockchain infra networks (oracles & RPCs)
are DePIN-adjacent, but outside the scope of this report.
Projects Market Cap ($B) Revenue ($M)

Compute 250+ $10 $8.0

Wireless 100+ $2.0 $0.8

Energy 50+ $0.2 $0.0

AI 200+ $7.0 $0.8

Services 25+ $0.3 $6.0

Sensors 50+ $0.3 $0.5

>650 >$20B >$15M


active projects market cap onchain ARR Source: depin.ninja
The smart money in crypto are making
dozens of DePIN bets…
…with the top 10 projects amassing a combined war chest of ~$1B.

Top Crypto VCs by DePIN Investments Top DePINs by Capital Raised

15 Capital Select
Raised1 Early Investors
Filecoin $250m
12
11 Helium $250m

Render $100m
9
Fetch AI $75m

6 6 Livepeer $50m
5 5 5 Really $35m
4
Hivemapper $25m

Andrena $25m

BrainTrust $25m

Dimo $20m

Sources: press releases, Pitchbook, depin.ninja


1 Cumulative capital raised per Pitchbook, rounded to nearest $5m.
DePIN infrastructure winners are beginning
to emerge, with Solana in the lead.
Solana’s integrated infrastructure & performance-focused developer
community is attracting DePINs at every stage of the lifecycle.

Solana Rollups DePIN-focused L1s

Braintrust will
High throughput & low fees. Fast, custom deployments. High-throughput & low fees. migrate 35k
Value wallets to Base in
Compressed NFTs. ETH security and/or Solana VM. DePIN-specific devtools.
Prop: Q1’24, making it
the first (but
Rust developers. Flexibility & sovereignty. DePIN interoperability. certainly not the
last!) DePIN to
launch on Base.
Deploy customizable Ethereum’s fastest - EVM-based chain - Substrate-based
Render started Solana migration in
rollups in 1 click. L2, powered by SVM. - Raised $10m led by - Raised $6m led by
Mar’23 and finished in Nov’23.
SamsungNext & Jump Fundamental Labs

Thesis: DePIN L1 with Thesis: DePIN L1 with


Helium started Solana migration in deep onchain liquidity enterprise integrations
Thesis: every dapp Thesis: fixed costs
Sep’22 and finished in Nov’23.
must eventually to deploy individual
become a rollup to app-rollups is too Depinscan.io Liquidity Hub
(explorer) (liquidity mining)
Hivemapper launched on Solana in optimize for high; apps will
IIP-23 W3bstream
Nov’22 and mapped 10% of global roads. flexibility & long- deploy on fastest L2 (vote-escrow) (verifiable compute)
term value capture. that settles on ETH.

Projects with bridged liquidity on Announced projects building on Peaq L1


IoTeX DePIN Liquidity Hub

Sources: project websites & press releases, EV3 research


Demand-Side
DePINs rely on onchain verification and/or settlement to provision critical network resources
among consumers, developers, & agents that are willing to pay for them.
DePIN’s North Star = revenues driven by
utility——not speculation.
Onchain revenue means users buy & lock/burn tokens in exchange for a
product/service/commodity.

Volume Price Revenue Onchain Revenue Considerations

- $ trading volume - % trading fee - $ trading fees


1- Are buybacks happening onchain, or “offchain”?
- Many DePINs do offchain buybacks, i.e. insiders claim to purchase tokens
DeFi - $ borrow volume - % net spread - $ net interest on CEXs (offchain) and then transfer them to a burn address (onchain).
- $ insurance coverage - % premium rate - $ gross premiums - However, unless all insider wallet addresses are disclosed, there is no
way for tokenholders to know whether insiders are burning tokens from
pre-mine allocations vs market-buying on exchanges.

L1/L2s
- # onchain txns - $ average gas fee - $ onchain revenue 2- Are buybacks being burned, or “locked”?
- $ MEV - % extracted - $ MEV extracted - Many DePINs do not send buybacks to legitimate burn addresses: at best,
tokens are locked in the protocol treasury to be redeployed after a long
period of time; at worst, tokens are sent a random wallet that may or may
not still be controlled by insiders and/or have timelocks.

Crypto - # oracle calls - $ per oracle call - $ for oracles


Infra - # RPC calls - $ per RPC call - $ for RPCs
3- Are buybacks oriented around a % of revenues, or “profits”?
- DePINs typically guide towards a target % of total network economics that
accrue to tokenholders——the details of which are generally left hazy so
as to avoid regulatory scrutiny (utility vs security tokens).
- However, profit-sharing is very different from revenue-sharing: in the
- # GBs transferred - $ per GB - $ for bandwidth
former, insiders can increase salary or other expenses that reduce so-
DePIN - # GPUs rented - $ per GPU-hour - $ for compute called “profits” and therefore token value, while enriching themselves.
- # kWs expended - $ per kW - $ for energy - Since most DePIN expenses are offchain, “profits” cannot be verified
onchain (yet); it is therefore impossible for tokenholders to ensure that
they are receiving the appropriate % split of profits——only revenues.

Correlation to crypto speculation cycles


high low none

Source: EV3 research


DePIN generates >$15m annualized onchain
revenue across six core business models.
In the last cycle, DePIN revenues proved to be the most-resilient
of onchain revenues.

Sectors Revenue Resiliency1

DePIN onchain revenues fell by 20-60% peak-to-trough in


the last market cycle vs 70-90% for the rest of crypto.
Compute Wireless Wholesale Money
Marketplaces Coverage Data L1s DEXs Markets NFTs Compute Wireless

-19%

Services Energy Vertical


Marketplaces Services Ad Networks
-57%
-71%
-76%
-88% -90% DePIN
Hardware-focused Software-focused Other Crypto

DePIN entrepreneurs create open source hardware & software that Median demand-side revenue decline for category
bootstrap useful onchain products/services. leaders through cycles (1H’23 vs 2H’21)
Source: Token Terminal, depin.ninja
1 Represents median decline in protocol fees from 2H’21 (cycle peak) to 1H’23 (cycle trough) for
L1s (Ethereum/Solana), DEXs (Uniswap/Pancakeswap), Money Markets (Aave/Compound), NFTs (OpenSea/SuperRare), Compute (Filecoin/Livepeer/Akash), Wireless (Helium/Althea).
The biggest DePINs are transforming into
platforms with diversified use cases.
These are no overnight successes: platformization tends to happens
in years 5-10 of scaling a global decentralized network.

FVM HIP-51/70 RNP-4/5/7 Revolution


(Mar’23) (Apr’23) (Oct’23) (Oct’23)

2.4k contracts 2 subDAOs 4 clients 32 subnets

stFIL liquid staking Mobile cellular plans Octane video rendering Corcel chat-bot
Lighthouse perpetual storage 1663 IoT solutions Beam python apps ReplyTensor image-gen
Use Banyan backup storage Senet IoT roaming IONet general-purpose TaoShi price prediction
Filemarket p2p filesharing DIMO Macaron data FedML federated learning BitTranslate translation
Cases Fluence serverless compute Trackpac asset tracking Sybil search
Hivemapper location proofs Model pre-training

Uni-token ecosystem Uni-token ecosystem


Multi-token ecosystem Uni-token ecosystem
($FIL) transitioning to transitioning ($TAO) to
($HNT, $HST, $MOBILE, $IOT) ($RENDER/$RNDR)
multi-token in 2024 multi-token (subnets) in 2024
Source: project websites, press releases & community calls; Messari, EV3 research
Compute Wireless Wholesale Services Vertical Energy
Marketplace Coverage Data Marketplace Ads Services

Compute marketplaces are the oldest &


most successful DePIN business model.
Storage networks need more demand, compute networks need more supply,
and retrieval networks need density to compete with web2.

Storage Compute Retrieval Full-Stack


What is Novel products: enabled by Flexibility: scale compute Latency: a dense, global All of the above:
uniquely onchain primitives, e.g. resources up & down as network of nodes enables accessible via a single
enabled by perpetual, encrypted, or needed, with no overhead faster/cheaper packet network with strong
verifiable storage or contractual lock-in routing at scale economic security
crypto?

Utilization: 5-20% Utilization: 40-70% Utilization: n/a Utilization: Blended


Key Onchain revenue: ~$2m Onchain revenue: ~$2m Onchain revenue: n/a Onchain revenue: ~$4m
stats Market cap: ~$1.5b Market cap: ~$2.0b Market cap: ~$1.5b Market cap: ~$5.0b

Key
players

Low prices Low platform risk Onchain settlement


by utilizing latent capacity to credibly-neutral protocols on future-proof crypto rails

Source: depin.ninja
Compute
Storage
Marketplace

Data storage seems like an obvious use case


for crypto, but has been slow to play out.
So far, the best customers for decentralized storage networks have
been other crypto networks.

Web2 Institutions Web3 Users Web3 Protocols


- Filecoin has made the furthest - Consumer apps leverage onchain - Blockchains are growing in size &
inroads into storing web2 data permanence & permissionlessness complexity of data storage needs

- Storate utilization is growing, - Despite VC funding, early - Expecting more storage


but not yet driving meaningful attempts have failed to go viral partnerships with proliferation
onchain revenue growth of new DA layers (Celestia)
’22 → ’23 % Idea Results Idea Rationale
Supply (EB) 15 → 9 -40% - Raised $5m in Sep’22
Onchain Oracle - Posting oracle data onchain
- Shut down after 1 year citing ‘no
video NFTs Nodes - Chainlink serves >10B datapoints today
sustainable demand for video NFTs’
Demand (EB) 0.5 → 1.8 +275%
- Raised $20m in Jul’23 L1 - Solving state bloat for next-gen L1s
Onchain
- $50-100k monthly mint volume
Utilization (%) 3% → 20% +650% music NFTs
- Volumes down -50% QoQ in Q4’23
Validators - Solana state size is ~200 TB today

Revenue (in FIL) 3m → 3m +2% Onchain - Raised $6.5m in Mar’22 Bridge - Cross-chain txn signatures onchain
music NFTs - Top creator has <500 collectors Relayers - LayerZero sees 150—200k txns per day
Revenue (in $) $34m → $16m -54%
Onchain - Raised $5.5m in Jan’22 ZK - Provers post proof results onchain
Revenue / TB ($) $68 → $10 -85% estate plans - <100 cumulative wills created Provers - zkSync Era sees 1.5-2.0m txns per today

Source: Starboard Ventures, project websites & press releases, Dune analytics; EV3 research
Compute
Storage
Marketplace

The end-game for storage has always been


about compute-over-data.
Phase 3 of Filecoin’s Master Plan began in Q1’23 with the launch of
the Filecoin Virtual Machine (FVM).

1 Storage Supply 2 Storage Demand 3 Making Data Useful


FVM activity has been slow to pick up in the first year, & the
Supply grew >5x in a year Demand grew >10x in a year top contracts to date serve typical crypto use cases. This
should change as Filecoin ecosystem startups launch in ‘24:

FVM Daily Contract Calls FVM Top Contracts


Memecoin
FilaDoge
NFTs
FileMarket &
FileBunnies

DEXs
Themis

Mar’23 to Dec’23

The Arweave ecosystem is also making strides in this direction:

EVM-compatible Decentralized SQL Onchain provenance


Mar’21 to Mar’22 Mar’22 to Mar’23
compute on Arweave on Arweave on Arweave

Source: Starboard Ventures, Filfox, project websites & press releases; EV3 research
Compute
Compute
Marketplace

Unlike most DePINs, GPU Clouds are


constrained by supply rather than demand.
However, the race-to-the-bottom in GPU Clouds could be faster than
any we’ve seen before.

GPU Utilization1 VC-Backed GPU Clouds Hosted LLM Pricing

55% Raised Edge Dec releases new model:


$125m AI research 10th €0.60 per 1m tokens

$100m OctaneRender integration lowers prices to:


Dec
$50m Web3 transcoding integrations 11th $0.60 per 1m tokens

32% $50m Decentralized ML training


Dec lowers prices to:
$1-10m Gaming integrations 13th $0.30 per 1m tokens

$1-10m Decentralized community lowers prices to:


Dec
12% $1-10m Parallel compute 14th $0.27 per 1m tokens

$1-10m AMD & other chip support Dec available on


22nd incumbent clouds
$1-10m Filecoin & Solana ecosystem

Storage CPUs GPUs

GPU clouds see utilization rates that are Dozens of GPU Clouds raised money and/or Cost of prompting Mistral’s new mixtral-
4-5x higher than memory/storage bootstrapped to meaningful scale in 2023 8x7B-small model fell ~60% in four days

Source: Pitchbook, project websites, press releases, social media & network explorers; EV3 research
1 Represents median of: IONet & Akash GPUs; Akash & Flux CPUs; Akash, Flux & Filecoin storage as of Dec’23.
Compute
Compute
Marketplace

CPU Clouds are becoming escape valves for


crypto’s animal spirits.
Speculation on proof-of-work blockchains drives a wealth transfer
from speculators to arbitrageurs & DePIN tokenholders.

Speculation Real-World Usage Efficient Markets


- Zephyr, a proof-of-work backed - ZEPH mining on Akash went viral on - Akash daily protocol revenues
stablecoin project, saw token price Nov 21st, with a twitter tutorial quintupled from $500 to $2,500 over
rise +20x in less than a month attracting 16k+ viewers the course of two weeks
- At the peak, miners could rent CPUs - Users quickly began onboarding - Since Nov 21st, $AKT is up +60% and
on Akash for $25/mo and run Zephyr miners, driving Akash CPU $ZEPH is down -50% in token price
miners earning $30-40/mo in $ZEPH utilization from 20% to 60%

Nov 21 Nov 21

$ZEPH token price ($) Akash CPU utilization rate (%) Akash protocol revenues ($/day)

Source: project websites, social media & network explorers; Coingecko, Cloudmos
Compute
Retrieval
Marketplace

Decentralized CDNs face tough competition:


Cloudflare already has a DePIN-like flywheel.
Cloudflare benefits from DePIN-like flywheel through its free CDN
service which powers 20% of websites globally.

Cloudflare Flywheel Cloudflare Overview

- DePIN-like growth: Raised $1.0b through IPO in 2019;


currently generating $1.3b ARR growing >30% YoY.

More More - DePIN-like efficiency: 18% operating cash flow


R&D margins; leaves the “rule-of-40” in the dust.
Servers Traffic
(from free users) - DePIN-like economics: 75% of gross profits paid out
as stock-based comp to employees in YTD’23.

Network
Revenue UX
Effects

+375%
Lower Better
Demand
Latency Cyber ML
(for enterprises) +97%

5-year returns for the S&P500 index (yellow) vs Cloudflare stock(blue)

Source: Google Finance


Compute
Retrieval
Marketplace

Retrieval is the hardest piece to


decentralize, but early signs are promising.
Early results in 2023 are proving that decentralized CDNs have the
potential to match & eventually beat web2 performance.

DeCDN Challenges Filecoin Saturn Fleek Network

Density: modern users expect - Launched Q1’23 and ending the year - Testnet in Q4’23 saw 5k nodes
<100ms time-to-first-byte (TTFB). with 2.6k nodes globally running Fleek clients globally
Centralized CDNs beat this at - Serving 50m daily requests with - Global median TTFB: 70ms with geo-
scale. <90ms average TTFB (for IPFS routing (300ms basic)
content) and 350+ TB of bandwidth
- Fleek’s handshake, the incremental
Verification: is expensive in - Community-run with funding from software for decentralization, adds
Filecoin Foundation and 15+ only 1-2ms latency
decentralized contexts; how can a
contributing teams
miner prove their ability to
serve content, without actually
serving it?

Indexing: is expensive in
decentralized contexts; how does
a user find the closest node that
hosts their content quickly?

Saturn explorer Median time to first byte (ms)

Source: project websites, blogs & network explorers; EV3 research


Compute Wireless Wholesale Services Vertical
Energy
Marketplace Coverage Data Marketplace Ads

In the global economy, wireless services


are an even bigger market than compute.
Global data transfer has compounded at 30-35% CAGR for the past
25 years and shows no signs of slowing down.

Data Traffic Device Connections Market Size


Global wireless data transfer grows 5G is (finally) at inflection point, Wireless services represent >$1.5T of
at >25% CAGR, driven primarily by growing from 30% to 70% of all global annual revenues across mobile
mobile video traffic. wireless connections by 2027. (~70%), fixed (~25%), and WiFi (~5%).

WiFi,
<$0.1T

Fixed,
$0.4T

$1.5T+
annual global revenue

Mobile,
$1.1T

Global wireless data traffic by type (PB) Global wireless device connections by type (m) Global annual wireless services revenue ($T)

Source: PWC Perspectives from the Global Telecom Outlook 2023–2027


Compute Wireless Wholesale Services Vertical
Energy
Marketplace Coverage Data Marketplace Ads

Each vertical of DeWi has different


fundamental economic drivers.
Mobile is the biggest market by far (by $), but fixed internet &
WiFi are the biggest by usage (by GBs & users).

Mobile Fixed WiFi

Global - $1.1T global annual revenue - $400B global annual revenue - $100B global annual revenue
Market - 7.0B smartphones - 1.5B broadband connections - 500m public hotspots
- Avg $13 per smartphone per month - Avg $23 per building per month - Avg $8 per hotspot per month
Size
- Highest per-GB revenues - Extremely sticky: high retention - Most widely-used connectivity protocol
Pros - Low switching costs due to eSIMs - Partner-driven GTM: property managers - Large ecosystem of supported devices

- Extremely competitive: high CAC & churn - $/GB revenue is ~10x lower vs mobile - Difficult to monetize: users want free
Cons - Users expect coverage everywhere - QoS constrained by spectrum capacity - Weak security at the protocol level
- Highly regulated: need to buy spectrum - Competition from cablecos & telcos - Lower power means <100m limited range

- eSIM: reduces the time it takes to switch - PtMP: point-to-multi-point radios can - WiFi7: provides better throughput,
Key carriers from hours to seconds beam at high-capacity in many directions latency, & energy efficiency
Unlocks - Neutral host: enables interoperability - mmWave: high-frequency spectrum can - MVNO offload: enabling challenger MVNOs
between telcos & equipment deployers provide high-capacity links over miles to use the offload as incumbent telcos

DeWi
Players

Source: EV3 research


Wireless
MNVOs
Coverage

Crypto MVNOs use tokens to radically


improve traditional wireless economics.
MVNOs acquire & manage customer relationships while paying a
traditional telco (MNO) for wholesale network access.

Helium Really Fliggs


- Nova Labs unlimited data mobile - Really Wireless premium mobile plans - Fliggs mobile phone plans with
plans with for $20/mo nationwide for $200/mo, launching early 2024 built-in DID & crypto integrations;
($5/mo in Miami), launched Dec’23 launch date TBD
- Includes privacy/safety features,
- Offloads traffic onto Helium 5G custom deadzone coverage, & VIP - Leverages Moflix whitelabel MVNO
routers whenever possible, paying concierge services and support tech platform and Hedera blockchain
$0.50/GB in to hotspot owners
- Founded by Adam Lyons, co-founder of - Founded by Stefan Riedel, former
- Subscribers earn $MOBILE for mapping TheZebra insurance aggregator marketing director at Orange telecom
/ validating wireless coverage

has partnered with every DeWi MVNO announced to date.


Source: project websites, press releases & blogs; EV3 research
Wireless
MNVOs
Coverage

Helium Mobile’s early momentum shows there


is a path to millions of users.
The question is: can Helium start making money, before running
out of money?… We think the answer is yes.

User Acquisition Data Offload1 Cash Runway2


- Helium Mobile added >20k subscribers - Nova Labs pays $0.50/GB for traffic - Nova Labs raised $200m in Feb’22; we
in December, an annualized pace of offloaded onto Helium hotspots, and a estimate roughly $150m remaining on
>250k/yr much higher amount (likely ~$2/GB) balance sheet going into 2024
for traffic offloaded onto T-Mobile
- Subscribers who opt-in to mapping - Assuming 30-50% offload rates while
split 20% of all $MOBILE issuance - At $20/mo, Nova Labs must offload scaling nationally, Nova Labs will
70-90% of traffic onto Helium to pay $30-40/mo in total data transfer
- At Dec’23 prices, users are earning
achieve breakeven gross margins costs to Helium & T-Mobile (vs
~$6/day in $MOBILE for a $20/mo
phone plan (9x returns) - Currently offloading 55%+ in Miami $20/mo revenue per subscriber)

- With basic assumptions around CAC /


churn / burn, we believe Helium
Mobile is on track to acquire 500k+
subscribers over the next 18-24
Nationwide months on the current funding alone
launch
- More capital, faster organic growth,
or a faster ramp in offload rates
would increase these estimates

Helium Mobile subscriber mapping NFTs Helium Mobile traffic in Miami, by offload Helium Mobile’s illustrative growth path
destination (Dec’23) to 500k+ users

Source: @Rawrmaan Dune queries, Twitter, EV3 research


1 Assumes the average subscriber uses 25 GB/mo, offloaded onto Helium at $0.50/GB and T-Mobile at $2/GB.
2 Assumes $10 fully-loaded CAC, 5% monthly subscriber churn, and $10m annual compensation expenses (70 employees x $140k average salary).
Wireless
WISPs
Coverage

Mobile internet connects person-to-person,


fixed internet connects place-to-place.
The number of ISPs in the US will grow from 3k to >15k over
the next five years, and the global opportunity is even bigger.

How ISPs Work ISP Economics ISP Opportunity


- ISPs buy wholesale internet access - ISPs earn 90% lower $/GB revenues - Andrena has grown ISP revenues by
from fiber providers & datacenters, than telcos, but make up for it with >10x over the past three years with
e.g., $2k/mo for a 10Gbps line lower churn & lower spectrum costs industry-leading NPS
- ISPs deploys rooftop antennas that - But, ISPs need 200+ subscriber scale
beam connectivity between nearby to afford a single fiber connection
homes, apartments, & offices
- ISPs manage traffic, splitting 10Gbps Mobile Fixed
capacity across 100-500 subscribers Type
Person-to- Place-to-
person place

Avg revenue $13 $23

Avg data usage 25 GB 500 GB

$ / GB $0.50 $0.05

Monthly churn 2-3% <1%


Other DeWi
Spectrum Private Public ISPs:

Visualization of fixed wireless access Illustrative monthly economics for telcos vs ISPs Andrena indexed revenue growth (‘19-’23)

Source: project websites & materials, EV3 research


Wireless
WISPs
Coverage

Fixed internet may be the most ambitious


play in all of DeWi.
Andrena’s testnet will enable consumers & SMBs to become micro-ISPs
with owners’ econonomics over last-mile internet infrastructure.

Enable ISPs to share &


2 rent excess wholesale $ANET
internet capacity.
1 Enable homeowners, small
businesses, and property
managers to own their
wireless infrastructure.

Enable new wireless


3 services on the same
infrastructure.

mobile public edge


offload WiFi compute

Source: project materials, EV3 research


Wireless
WiFi
Coverage

With billions of DAUs, WiFi is the most


widely-used connectivity protocol on earth.
In 2023, WiFi Map airdropped $WIFI tokens to 225k of its most active
contributors across 190 countries globally.

Global Community Crypto-Led Growth

WiFi Map is the world’s biggest WiFi Map is one of the biggest $WIFI is a utility token that rewards
wifi mapping community: global user bases in crypto: contributors who help grow & validate
the network, and can be redeemed for
- 2m+ monthly active contributors: - 175m+ app downloads
eSIMs & other connectivity services.
people who add new hotspots or run - 15m+ community-mapped hotspots
speed tests - 2b+ WiFi connections facilitated Since launching $WIFI in Apr’23:
- 5m+ monthly active users: people - 20m+ app downloads
who use the app to find & connect - 500k+ speed tests
to nearby free WiFis - <0.5% of token supply airdropped
- $1m onchain ARR: from upselling
eSIM plans, VPNs, & offline maps

30

12 12
4 5
0.1 1.5

WiFi Map monthly downloads by country (top) WiFi Map weekly speed tests performed (‘23)
& monthly active users/wallets comparison (bottom)

Source: project materials, Glassnode, TokenTerminal, EV3 research


Compute Wireless Wholesale Services Vertical
Energy
Marketplace Coverage Data Marketplace Ads

Data sales can take many different forms,


some more valuable than others.
Data is most valuable when: 1) there are many buyers for it, 2)
those buyers make lots of money off it, & 3) better data is the
limiting factor to them making even more money.

Mapping Positioning Climate

Navigation & ADAS


Agriculture
Local governments Energy & utilities
Surveyors & construction
Logistics & supply chain Insurance & loan underwriters
Data Buyers Navigation & ADAS
Real estate & insurance Governments & nonprofits
AR & VR
Hedge funds & PE Construction & real estate
Drones & robotics
AR & VR

Are there lots of buyers


YES YES YES
for the data?

Do the buyers make a lot


Often Often Sometimes
of money from the data?

Is better data the limiting


Often Sometimes Rarely
factor to making more money?

Source: project websites & materials, EV3 research


Wholesale
Mapping
Data

Mapping is arguably the most powerful real-


world example of global crypto-coordination.
The Hivemapper community made more progress in scaling supply,
demand, and validation in 2023 than most networks make in 3-5 years.

Supply Validation Demand


- Hivemapper sells $300-$650 dashcams - Hivemapper’s AI training community - Customers pay Hivemapper for map
which earn $HONEY rewards for sharing earns $HONEY for classifying map images & data, burning $HONEY in the
footage & metadata with the network features correctly process

- In 2023, the Hivemapper community - Short feedback loops between map - Customers can buy existing maps, or
mapped >10% of global roads while contributors & map customers, enabled set bounties on new areas via bursts
earning <5% of total token supply by token rewards, is the key to
creating highly-useful digital maps - ~$250k worth of $HONEY burned

Total km mapped: 103m


Unique km mapped: 6.8m

Hivemapper global km mapped (‘23) Hivemapper’s map AI trainer UI Hivemapper’s map customer UI

Source: project websites, blogs & social media, @0xMetaLight Flipside queries; EV3 research
Wholesale
Mobile
Data

DePINs are beginning to scratch the surface


of what mobile sensors are capable of.
Mobile phones are incredibly powerful sensing machines… but
mobile-data-as-a-business faces several challenges.

Mobile Sensor DePINs iPhone 14 Sensors Business Challenges


- Microphone - Always-on data collection
Noise
pollution
- Camera comes with user privacy &
- WiFi device power-draw concerns
- Bluetooth
- Ultra-wideband - Opt-in data collection
Navigation
& mapping - NFC typically has poor retention
- Face ID & Touch ID - ‘Data mining’ attracts users
- Accelerometer that skew datasets in
Navigation - Gyroscope unexpected ways
- Magnometer
- Barometer - Airdrop farmers make it hard
- LIDAR scanner to differentiate organic vs
Mobile coverage
- Ambient light sensor inorganic traction
- Temperature - Defensibility vulnerable to
- Hall sensor race-to-the-bottom on token
Pedometer - Speaker sensing rewards
- Infrared camera

Source: project apps, EV3 research


Wholesale
AI
Data

AI x Crypto creates an alternative exit


path for DePIN sensor/data networks.
Networks can monetize valuable datasets via intelligence mining or
compute-over-data markets, rather than competing upstream.

Upstream Expansion Intelligence Mining Data Markets


Networks with large proprietary datasets - Networks with large proprietary datasets - Networks with large proprietary datasets
can train/finetune ML models & use them can compete in onchain mining games such can monetize them via decentralized data
to directly provide upstream services. as Bittensor’s Yuma Consensus. markets.

- Datasets that are both valuable & - These markets allow third parties to run
differentiated earn outsized mining computations over a private dataset (e.g.,
rewards for a period of time, and are AI inferences) in a verifiable manner
Collect climate Collect sidewalk gradually competed away as the network’s without accessing the underlying data.
data from global robot driving data ‘hashpower’ catches up.
network of rooftop from real-world
weather stations. robot racing game.

Train the world’s Train the world’s


best local weather best self-driving
prediction model. sidewalk robot. Robotics Weather Healthcare Automative Consumer
Noise cancellation
training subnet prediction subnet subnet wearables data manufacturing data survey data

Build an insurer with Build a food delivery


best-in-class company with best-in-
Vehicle health Air quality Driver navigation Mobility Aerospace ADAS development
underwriting margins. class delivery margins. prediction subnet prediction subnet subnet data data
manufacturing data

Illustrative upstream expansions Examples of potential DePIN mining subnets on Bittensor Ocean Protocol compute-over-data partnerships

More capital intensive & higher-margin Less capital intensive & lower-margin
Source: project websites, EV3 research
Services
Horizontal
Marketplace

Horizontal services marketplaces use crypto-


incentives to source the world’s top talent.
Whether human- or agent-based, great services marketplaces: 1) attract
& retain the best talent, and 2) match supply & demand effectively.

Humans AI Agents

Key insight: top freelance talent Key insight: top autonomous agents will
prefers longer-term engagements than be used >1 billion times per day;
on Upwork/Fiverr (months vs days). scaling to that point requires combining onchain
reputations with offchain verified compute.
Why crypto: $BTRST gives ownership & control over to
freelancers & clients, creating long-term alignment;
Why crypto: AI developers mint code as NFTs and earn
tokenholders govern platform fees, dispute resolution,
$OLAS donations when agent services are called on by
& other network governance issues.
users, creating an onchain reputation for useful agents.
365k 7k >$200m >$7m protocol
freelancers jobs GSV revenue 250 250k
25 13 ETH
services services
agents donations
registered rendered
Braintrust clients

Average project is $90k


GSV over 7.5 months.

Braintrust cumulative gross service value (blue) Autonolas autonomous service transactions
& gross contract value (yellow) in $ weekly (purple) & cumulative (orange)

Source: project websites & network explorers, Dune analytics, EV3 research
Services
Vertical
Marketplace

Vertical services marketplaces are


disrupting web2’s gig economy vampires.
Uber/Doordash et al were built on extracting economics from local
economies in perpetuity; web3 flips the script by returning ownership
& control back to local operators.
Food Delivery Ridesharing
Key insight: both drivers & riders
Key insight: local restaurants & local are fed up with Uber, but have no
drivers love working together (low-churn), mechanisms for local/grassroots
but hate paying Doordash a 25%+ cut (high-churn). ‘guerilla coordination’.
Why crypto: Nosh’s co-operative model gives local Why crypto: Teleport estimates the minimum density
restaurants ownership over the ridesharing network, needed to bootstrap a new city, then incentivizes
incentivizing them to recruit dependable drivers. drivers & riders to sign up pre-launch.

Launch in Fort $9m seed iOS invite- 700 signups at


$10m GMV $NOSH token launch raise
Collins, CO only launch Solana breakpoint
(2023) (2024) (Oct’22)
(2021) (Oct’23) (Nov’23)

Nosh’s DePIN flywheel & app Teleport rider/driver simulations & app

Source: project websites, press releases & social media; EV3 research
Services
Security
Marketplace

Onchain security services will feel like


the most obvious winners of ’24-’25.
In the last crypto cycle, Certik laid the blueprint for what a
$10B+ onchain security services marketplace could look like.

Centralized Security Decentralized Security TAM Comparison


Certik built the leading crypto Decentralized blockchain security By democratizing access to security
security auditing business from ‘20- networks incentivize developers & audits, agent-based networks can
’22, reaching 60% market share & autonomous agents to provide onchain expand the market by a factor of 5-10x.
>$365B of crypto market cap assessed. security services including:
- token/contract audits
In 2022, growth investors Tiger, Certik in AI audits
Softbank & Insight invested $150m - live monitoring & pen testing ‘20-’22 in ‘24-’26

into Certik at a $2b valuation. - bug bounty hunting Peak-to-trough


$200B → $2T $1T → ???
crypto market cap
- txn-level circuit breakers
% projects getting
$2,000m ? - parametric insurance 10% 50-75%
security audits
% leader
60% 60-75%
Agent-based security networks can be market share

faster, cheaper, & more consistent Projects audited 10k+ 100k+


than human auditors alone.
$240m 240 205 Capital raised $230m fair launch
65 $100m 140
$AEGIS ($15m FDV)
$OTACON ($3m FDV)
$HAPI ($20m FDV) Valuation $2B $10B+
2020 2021 2022 2023

Certik number of employees (in blue) & Comparing centralized auditors vs decentralized
post-money valuation (in green) security networks across crypto market cycles

Source: project websites, press releases & social media; EV3 research
Compute Wireless Wholesale Services Vertical
Energy
Marketplace Coverage Data Marketplace Ads

Vertical ad networks return ownership &


control of data back to users.
Great ads networks combine: 1) viral user acquisition, with 2)
proprietary, contextual data streams, in 3) large end-markets.

Fitness Automotive Pets

- Virality: Sweatcoin had >13m - Virality: Dimo’s connected vehicle - Scale: Petastic has >600k pre-
waitlist signups for a fitness & ecosystem grew onboarded >10x registered pets via shelter &
step tracker app (though >40% of vehicles in 2023 (2.5k to 25k) rescue partnerships
users never claimed the airdrop)
- Valuable context: comprehensive - Valuable context: onchain Pet
- Balanced growth: MAUs grew +30% real-time automotive data decoded Passport tracks breed, birthday,
in ’23, with token price up +20% directly from vehicles (OBD location, vaccination records,
despite significant dilution readers & OEM integrations) food history, & other key pet data
- Weak context: Sweatcoin ads only - Large end-markets: average - Large end-markets: average American
leverage step & location data, American spends $4-6k/yr across pet parent spends >$600/yr across
which makes for weak conversion auto insurance, financing, repair, food, insurance, medical, & toys
- Lack of DeFi integration: <5k gas & registration costs
- Pre-launch: public beta launching
onchain $SWEAT holders represents - Early conversion: only <100 ‘big- in Q1 2024
<0.1% of Sweatcoin app MAUs ticket’ & <1000 ‘small-ticket’
sales to date1

Sweatcoin app MAUs (‘23) Dimo onboarded vehicles (’23) Petastic registered pets (‘23)

Source: project websites, apps & materials; Data.ai, Dune analytics, EV3 research
1 Big-ticket includes repair, financing, & insurance. Small-ticket includes EV charging, carbon offsetting, & emergency assistance.
Compute Wireless Wholesale Services Vertical
Energy
Marketplace Coverage Data Marketplace Ads

Decentralizing the energy supply chain may


prove to be DePINs toughest challenge yet.
Regulatory overhead in the energy sector makes experiments
slow/difficult/expensive… but the toughest challenges attract the
most resilient entrepreneurs.
Financing Virtual Power Plants Certificates & Trading

- Onchain permanent - Homeowners earn - Enables solar & wind - Democratizes virtual - Real-time, 24/7 - Enables anyone to
capital vehicle to cashback rewards for operators to monetize power plant energy usage trade EACs (energy
incentivizes green electrifying homes & their latent battery participation for tracking software attribute certs)
energy production neighborhoods with: capacity homes & SMBs for enterprises
- Solar panels - Jasmine Bridge
- Solar farms mine $GLW - Go-to-market: - Go-to-market: scaling - Stakers run nodes connects with
- HVAC proprietary battery a global VPP with
by contributing 100% that ingest offchain registries
- insulation management system smart plugs that mine
of electricity enterprise data &
revenues to the Glow - smart meters extends battery life $STAR tokens & validate green - $JLT tokens create
treasury. Miners - thermostats >2x by tapping connect other energy energy certificates unified onchain
compete over fixed individual cells devices liquidity for semi-
- EV chargers
$GLW emissions, where - $EWT listed in 2020 fungible certificates
hashpower = carbon and currently $70m
market cap - Currently ~$25k of
credits produced onchain liquidity

- This creates a self- Pilots


reinforcing incentive
to generate carbon
credits in places
where solar could not
otherwise exist

Fuse raised $78m in 2022 to build a full- Powerledger raised $20m in 2017 to build
stack, regulated UK energy company using a p2p energy trading network on Ethereum;
VPPs & crypto rails —— launching in 2024. currently trades at ~$200m market cap. Source: project websites, press releases & blogs
Supply-Side
DePINs use crypto-incentives to coordinate the capital, equipment,
and labor needed to scale global critical infrastructure.
DePINs added 600k+ nodes in 2023 across
wireless, compute, & sensor networks.
In addition to those shown on this page, dozens of emerging DePINs
added 100-500 nodes this year and are scaling rapidly into 2024.

225 Nodes Added in 2023 (‘000s)

150

50 45 40 34 30 25 19
3 2 2 1 1 1
WiFi Wynd Silencio Meson Natix Hivemapper Dimo Helium IONet Metablox Geodnet AirTor AtlasNavi WiCrypt World
Map Mobile Mobile

Wireless Compute Sensors

Source: project websites, community calls & network explorers; EV3 research
DePINs are becoming massively more
efficient at scaling supply.
The newer generation of DePINs are putting a stronger focus on
capital efficiency——sometimes at the expense of decentralization.

DePIN Scaling Goals Locked Tokens as % of Total Supply

$HONEY 96% DePINs with efficient


Admin Buildout Token
overhead costs dilution $WIFI 94% growth have a longer
runway to incentivize
$GEOD 92% supply and/or expand
Minimize into adjacent markets.
$DIMO 91%
Inputs
$IOT 88%
$FIL 75%
$WMT 75%
$TAO 72%

Maximize $ATOR 60%


Outputs $MOBILE 60%
$AKT 42% DePINs with less token ‘firepower’
Equipment Coverage Community must grow via partnerships (e.g.
$RENDER 30% Render clients) and/or issuing new
utilization quality loyalty tokens (e.g. Helium subDAOs).
$HNT 30%

Source: CoinMarketCap, EV3 research


We’ve seen 3 approaches to token issuance:
based on time, supply-KPIs, & demand.
Most DePINs combine the three strategies, using different issuance
schedules for different buckets of tokens at different times.

Time-based Supply KPI-based Demand-based

Based on % of Based on $ fiat


Halvings every
global roads mapped revenues generated
2 years

Strong incentive to Balances token prices No wasted token


deploy on day-1 & supply growth dilution

Speculative excess Less certainty over No outside incentive


followed by crash token issuance curve to deploy on day-1

Enables manufacturer Incentivizes fake or Miners must underwrite


extractable value (MEV) low-quality supply their own revenues

Growth Efficiency

Source: project websites, EV3 research


What’s worked well for hardware DePINs:
Targeted bursts/boosts for mining rewards.
DePINs with higher capital requirements benefit from using offchain
data & decisions to incentivize high-value deployments.

Wireless Positioning Mapping

Who
Service providers & Geodnet Foundation & Hivemapper Inc &
influences
3rd party data oracles customers customers
rewards:
HIP-74: oracles influence $MOBILE SuperHex Staking: enables miners Bursts: enables drivers to earn
incentives via coverage simulations. to earn 4-14x boosted rewards for boosted rewards for mapping an
deploying in Foundation-approved area of high-value to Hivemapper
HIP-84: enables service providers customers.
hexes.
to boost rewards in certain hexes
by burning $MOBILE.

Source: project websites, blogs & governance; EV3 research


What’s worked well for software DePINs:
Points that “might” turn into tokens.
Leading software-based DePINs are scaling to tens or even hundreds
of thousands of active users BEFORE actually launching a token.
Bandwidth Data Mapping

>150k users in >50k users in >40k users in


first year first year first year

Download browser Download mobile app Download mobile app


What users see: extension to and record audio clips and record dashcam
earn points. to earn points. videos to earn points.

Scraping website data via Selling noise pollution Selling traffic &
Monetization: mapping data.
residential IPs. data.

Source: project apps, updates & social media; EV3 research


What’s worked well for DePIN investors:
differentiating market cap vs FDV.
The very best networks will largely trade on circulating market
cap, while lower-quality networks will be upside-capped by FDV.

In Theory In Practice
DePINs should be valued based on circulating - Crypto VCs historically earned token allocations
market cap, assuming future token issuance is based on max token supply (fully-diluted
used to productively drive onchain revenue. valuation). Unlike in web2 VC, these allocations
are not diluted by future fundraises——which is
This excludes DePINs with:
detrimental to founders & later-stage investors.
- Small markets: where increasing supply might
not lead to increased demand on a reasonable
time frame

- Lossy verification: where tokens are rewarded


to miners onboarding fake or fraudulent supply

- Unaligned incentives: where insiders use tokens


to enrich themselves vs grow the network - Many crypto “VCs” will sell tokens as soon as
they can generate a 5-10x return. If these VCs
- Hidden liabilities: where tokens are needed for are on a the cap table, token price will be
“backpay” for regulatory infractions or hacks capped by FDV rather than market cap; otherwise,
FDV is largely irrelevant as a valuation metric.
Looking Ahead: 2024
In 2024, we will see DePINs begin to experiment more deeply with novel
crypto primitives including ZK, memecoins, onchain AI, & onchain gaming.
DePIN x AI

ZK-verifiable GPU clouds are 1-2 years away from enabling an onchain
inferencing economy that centralized providers won’t be able to service.

Centralized AI Decentralized AI ZK Proof Costs1

- Google offers its top AI model for free - Inferencing LLMs is expensive: hosted
(up to 60 queries per minute) in order Ritual $32m providers would prefer to run smaller,
to capture training data in the wild cheaper models if they can get away with
it. This is problematic for smart
- As compute becomes more powerful,
contract developers looking to embed AI
training data becomes the limiting
into onchain logic
factor for more-powerful AI $30m
- Verifying whether a certain model was
- By amassing massive datasets, the
inferenced is possible via ZK, but makes
biggest AI firms & protocols will
transactions 75x more expensive today
build a deep scale & data moats
$25m - Lowering these overhead costs is the key
to unlocking onchain AI:
75x

$6m

1x
$3m
Basic Inference Inference with ZK
Proof

DePINs building verifiable inference ZK-verified inferencing is ~75x more expensive


by total capital raised than regular (trusted) inferencing

Source: project websites & press releases; EV3 research


1 Modulus Labs - The Cost of Intelligence: Proving Machine Learning Inference with Zero-Knowledge (Jan’23)
DePIN x Memecoins

Like it or not, memecoins are becoming genuine catalysts for the


mass adoption of DePIN.

Solana & $BONK Helium & $MOBILE Memecoins vs DePIN

$BONK developers airdropped 30m - HIP-51 created subDAO tokens whose value - The top 8 memecoins are worth more than
tokens to every Solana Saga phone is decoupled from data transfer: miners & twice as much as the top 8 DePINs by
users get $MOBILE, demand-side burns $HNT circulating market cap
(worth >$600 at peak) on 12/14.
- $MOBILE holders can in theory redeem for - DePIN can capture memecoin attention and
Within days: a pro-rata slice of treasury $HNT (green redirect it towards building productive
below); but not in practice since $MOBILE critical infrastructure
- Solana Sagas sell out (>25k units) &
trades at a >100x multiple of redemption
trade for $5k on eBay (vs $600 retail)
- Dozens of dapps are built into the $BONK
value $22B
app store, mainly games & DeFi - $MOBILE can be seen as a DePIN memecoin
- Multiple other Solana protocols announce with wide circulation & strong memetics
airdrops for Saga owners
Service provider & genesis rewards
Hex boosts

SubDAOs
$10B
Mapping ($MOBILE & $IOT)
rewards
$HNT burn
Onboard
for data Treasury fees
$20/mo credits redemption Mining
plan rewards

Users $HNT Miners


Memecoins DePIN
HIP-51 structure chart: fiat flows in black, Top 8 memecoins vs DePINs by market cap
crypto flows in gray, redemptions in green.
Source: project websites, blogs & social media; EV3 research
DePIN x ZK

Web3 vampire-attacks on web2 will be the next gold rush as developers


create user-aligned clones of the most popular web2 apps on top of
newly-performant ZK infra built by projects such as: Sovrn (in stealth)

What is ZK TLS? Web2 Vampire Attacks Use Cases

- ZK TLS uses advanced cryptography - In traditional vampire attacks, protocols


(ZK, MPC, & TLS) to create verifiable identity issue token incentives to attempt to steal Oiber
primitives away their competitors’ sticky power users Ridesharing for top 1% drivers
(criteria: >1k rides & >4.9 stars)
How it works: - Historically, only onchain data can be used
- User downloads a client, i.e. app or browser extension
in vampire attacks. ZK TLS enables, for the
first time ever, verifiable offchain data to
and logs into any web2 account or app (e.g., Uber)
power vampire attacks
Berizon
- The https request is sent by an MPC wallet co-owned by Cell service for users who are
end-users and a decentralized network of’notaries’
- The result: DePINs can now bootstrap tired of overpaying every month
- If the request meets certain criteria (e.g., driver themselves with *reputation*, in addition to (criteria: >10GB/mo average data usage)
rating >4 stars), a ZK proof is generated locally, capital & labor: an entirely new primitive
without data leaving the users’ computer
- The ZK verifiable credential can be minted onchain or - Crypto users know: once the genie is out of Upwoke
sent privately via web2 rails the bottle, vampire attacks permanently Freelancer coops for social
change an industry’s competitive dynamics justice warriors
Upwoke (criteria: >$1k/yr donated to liberal causes)

Yinder
Dating app with no surprises
(women pay fiat subscriptions; men earn token
rewards for verified age/height/income)

Resolution
Self-help app for e/acc’s
(users fund an onchain pool of ”goal money”;
if goal isn’t achieved, funds get donated)

Chainlink DECO research: Market share before & after vampire attacks in Potential web2 vampire attack startups;
provenance & authenticity DEXs (‘20-’21) & NFT marketplaces (’22-’23) logos generated by Midjourney
Source: project websites, blogs & social media; Dune analytics, EV3 research
DePIN x Gaming
As more DePIN activity moves onchain, the design space of real-world
infra x onchain gaming is going to grow faster than anyone expects.

Gaming x AI x Robotics Crypto x WiFi x Gaming Crypto x Mapping x Gaming

- Real-life racing video game: - Global WiFi mapping community - Mobile phone-based dashcam
users remotely-control sidewalk with 2m+ monthly contributors mapping app with >40k users
robots in cities around the world
- Launching onchain speed tests in - Launched gamified missions,
(e.g., Wuhan, Madrid, Singapore)
2024, creating a new geo- enabling users to earn boosted
- Mission: bootstrap the world’s primitive for dApp developers points for reaching certain in-app
largest open source robotics (proof-of-physical-proximity) milestones
dataset for training ML models
- Expanding beyond WiFi to other - Daily active engaged users more
public utility networks such as than doubled since launch
restrooms, water fountains, parks

Missions
launch

Source: project websites, apps & social media; EV3 research


DePIN x Privacy

ATOR will fork the Tor network in 2024, aiming to create a scalable,
performant ecosystem for privacy-centric developers to build on.

Onion Routing TOR Network ATOR Network


Other
- Tor (“The Onion Router”) is a - Tor relays grew ~5x from 2011 to 2015, - $ATOR will fork Tor in 2024 by launching Leading
decentralized private routing protocol then stagnated due to lack of incentives hardware relays and incentivizing node Privacy
launched in 2002. for node operators. With fewer nodes, operators with token rewards.
network performance degraded and became DePINs
- Messages on Tor get 3 concentric layers unusable for ‘everyday’ users. - As more nodes join the network, developers
of encryption: routers can only read the can build performant privacy-centric apps
addresses of the other nodes in the - Everything changed in Feb’23, when ATOR (onion services) on top of ATOR.
chain; not the underlying message. began incentivizing relays with token
rewards & added >2k nodes in ten months. - $ATOR mining could become the killer DePIN
consumer use case: buy a WiFi router,
- In Nov’23, the Tor Foundation banned ATOR secure all your home internet traffic
nodes (~25% of all relays) citing “high- through it, and earn tokens for doing so
risk, for-profit cryptocurrency scheme”
+45%
- Tor is used by almost 5m users globally +40% CAGR +0% CAGR CAGR
wherever privacy is a critical concern.

Relays

Bridges

TOR global users (‘11-’23) Tor active relays & bridges (‘10-’23) Akash protocol revenues ($/day)

Source: project websites, apps & social media; TorMetrics, EV3 research
DePIN x Asia

DePIN is a global movement: Asia’s DePIN ecosystem is exploding, &


we expect multiple top-10 DePINs to come out of Asia in ’24-’25.

Projects Capital Hardware

All-in-one DePIN
provider; partnered
FutureMoney with Helium
Group (Bobcat), Dimo
(Macaron), Geodnet,
Wicrypt, & others.
Hashkey & Arkreen
launched May’23

Full-stack IoT
DePIN accelerator company specializing
launched Dec’23 in edge compute &
smart sensors.

Source: project websites, apps & social media; EV3 research


Appendix: DePIN Resources

Onchain Analytics DePIN Project Screener


DePIN Ninja Messari Screener

Research Newsletter & Events

State of DePIN Proof of Coverage DePIN Snacks DePIN Summit


Appendix: Disclaimers (1/2)

This presentation is not an offer to sell securities of any investment fund or a solicitation of offers
to buy any such securities. An investment in any strategy, including the strategy described herein,
involves a high degree of risk. The information in this presentation was prepared by Escape Velocity
and is believed by Escape Velocity to be reliable and has been obtained from public sources believed to
be reliable. Escape Velocity makes no representation as to the accuracy or completeness of such
information. Opinions, estimates and projections in this presentation constitute the current judgment
of Escape Velocity and are subject to change without notice. Any projections, forecasts and estimates
contained in this presentation are necessarily speculative in nature and are based upon certain
assumptions. It can be expected that some or all of such assumptions will not materialize or will vary
significantly from actual results. Accordingly, any projections are only estimates and actual results
will differ and may vary substantially from the projections or estimates shown. This presentation is
not intended as a recommendation to purchase or sell any commodity or security. Escape Velocity has no
obligation to update, modify or amend this presentation or to otherwise notify a reader thereof in the
event that any matter stated herein, or any opinion, project on, forecast or estimate set forth herein,
changes or subsequently becomes inaccurate. Any projections, forecasts and estimates contained in this
document are necessarily speculative in nature and are based upon certain assumptions. In addition,
matters they describe are subject to known (and unknown) risks, uncertainties and other unpredictable
factors, many of which are beyond Escape Velocity’s control. No representations or warranties are made
as to the accuracy of such forward-looking statements. It can be expected that some or all of such
forward -looking assumptions will not materialize or will vary significantly from actual results.
Accordingly, any projections are only estimates and actual results will differ and may vary
substantially from the projections or estimates shown. The graphs, charts and other visual aids are
provided for informational purposes only. None of these graphs, charts or visual aids can and of
themselves be used to make investment decisions. No representation is made that these will assist any
person in making investment decisions and no graph, chart or other visual aid can capture all factors
and variables required in making such decisions.
Appendix: Disclaimers (2/2)

All content was produced independently by the author(s) and does


not necessarily reflect the opinions of Messari, Inc. Author(s) may
hold cryptocurrencies named in this report. This report is meant
for informational purposes only. It is not meant to serve as
investment advice. You should conduct your own research, and
consult an independent financial, tax, or legal advisor before
making any investment decisions. Nothing contained in this report
is a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to buy,
sell, make, or hold any investment, loan, commodity, or security,
or to undertake any investment or trading strategy with respect to
any investment, loan, commodity, security, or any issuer. This
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does not guarantee the sequence, accuracy, completeness, or
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