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Many projects started as possible solutions for existing problems but eventually got
stuck in time and were outdated by more recent and rapidly evolving technologies.
Injective's major challenge will be achieving the solutions it has initially proposed to
solve while keeping an eye on market moves:
1. What are their competitors doing?
2. How are they evolving?
3. Are there new competitors with updated technologies on the way?
The product solves a problem that is still around — in fact, its competitors with
thousands of millions of market volume still experience it — so the market timing
couldn't be better. Injective has recently launched its mainnet, although it is still
developing some elements and fixing minor bugs that will naturally exist. It is soon
to derive conclusions, so if the launch is successful and accepted by the users and
the community grows at a wholesome pace, the perceived value of Injective will
probably increase over time.
3.3. Community
There are many cases where the community supporting the project/coin is way
more relevant than what the team is accomplishing data-related (i.e., Dogecoin,
Shiba INU).
As of December 2021, Injective had the following data:
• Twitter: 97,500 followers
• Telegram: 15,500 members, 1,500 online
• Discord: 9,400 members, around 950 online
• Reddit: 4,460 members
The company is in constant touch with the community, especially on Discord (where
users can directly contact the devs), Telegram (same, but less technical issues), and
Twitter (with constant updates related to the project).
Some tools to analyze the community growth over time might bring some insights
and are also quick and easy to use:
• Reddit: Injective’s Subreddit Stats: since July 2020, the amount of
Subreddit members has grown almost at a constant rate. The overall analysis
shows that the project constantly attracts newcomers and has not yet been
widely spread.
Injective has a strong, healthy, growing community and does a great job providing
content and delivering what is expected from its members.
Weighted monthly average growth = 3,31% Weighted monthly average growth = 4,82%
Considering a 3,3% to 4,8% user growth on Reddit and Twitter, respectively, in the
long term is likely that both of Injective's social media will have 31,000 and 1.6
million users. Since the DeFi market currently represents only 0.1% of its maximum
potential, its significant growth is almost inevitable, which would mean a much
higher awareness of DEXes.
This 5-year forecast does not represent an unreachable goal since decentralized
exchanges like Uniswap and PancakeSwap already have a considerably high user
base on both platforms.
Also, Injective DEX has been active only for two months, so the community is
expected to grow as long as the project keeps evolving and following the roadmap
designed. The company already has a higher user base on Reddit than 5 of its
competitors and more than 4 on Twitter.
The UX/UI presented by Injective is excellent, better than other DEXes already in the
industry for years, and as long as more trading pairs are added, which is the
project's primary goal, the platform will likely attract more users.
Weekly proposals start on GitHub and go into the Hub to be voted by the
community, which signals a high engagement level by users, especially those
related to the project development.
Some proposals, especially the recently passed IIP-93, directly impact token
economics. This specific one, for example, carried out a significant upgrade to the
canonical Injective Chain, aiming to streamline the INJ burn process and backend
exchange logic, providing the loyal users and underdogs to be rewarded, instead of
the incentive hunters.
This structure shows the power of what a Decentralized Exchange has to offer: the
community is aware of the improvements needed to make the project continue to
grow, the development team is constantly in touch with the users and can rapidly
provide the solutions suggested and approved by users.
“Our mission at Injective has always been to build the most powerful cross-
chain protocol for completely decentralized derivatives trading. As Injective
interconnects new chains, the ecosystem will continue to serve as a DeFi
gateway for trading across the multi-chain universe. Injective’s Ethereum-
native tooling allows users to simply create and trade new cross-chain
markets without the typical roadblocks associated with making transactions
across distinct blockchain networks.”
Eric Chen, CEO at Injective Labs
To promote liquidity provisioning and trading on the protocol after the mainnet
launch, the company announced the launch of a $120 million protocol incentive
program called Astro, which will allocate the funds to traders and market makers
who utilize the protocol based on the volume of their activity.
Thirty days after the mainnet launch, Injective reached $1 billion in trading volume,
and when compared to similar projects, most of them took around one year to
achieve the same value. Of course, this proxy can't be analyzed alone since the
main factor in this case is time. Kraken, for example, had started its operations back
in 2013 when the crypto market itself was small, and DeFi's concept was beginning
to be developed, so it would naturally take time for the $1 billion milestones to be
achieved.
Injective's most recent daily volume is around $90 million, with a mean of $45
million since the mainnet launch.
While the major players in the DEX industry can be resumed to five (Aave, Uniswap,
PancakeSwap, SpookySwap, and Sushiswap), there is still much space for other
Decentralized Exchanges to grow, especially if they solve problems that other
exchanges weren't yet able to do.
Injective's numbers one month after the DEX launch are impressive, and the
constant growth rate indicates that there is much space for the protocol to grow.
According to data from January 12, 2021, Injective is in the top 15 DEXes with the
highest 24h volume, having 0,90% of the current market share ($9.6 trillion).
% Market Share
# Exchange 24h Volume INJ/DEX 24h Market Cap
By Volume INJ/Dex INJ/DEX
volume Market Share Market Cap
With a 0.9% market share of a $9.6 trillion market volume, Injective Protocol's
market cap is already higher than 4 of its 15 main competitors. Even though it is still
nine times lower than PancakeSwap, the market share ratio between both
exchanges is around seven times.
Market Share Market Cap
DEX Ratio Ratio
Aave 47x 9x
PancakeSwap 7x 9x
Considering INJ's weekly burn, it is estimated that at least 3 million tokens will be
burnt per year. With more volume traded in the exchange, more fees will be
charged, and more INJ will be burnt. With the current token supply (~43 million) and
the current staking APY (5%), INJ is a deflationary token, which tends to bring
prices up. The higher the volume gets, the more deflationary the token will be,
opening space for a higher staking APY and attracting more investors to the project.
6. CONCLUSIONS
Injective Labs has created a strong team, a strong value proposition, and has the
potential to keep showing its usefulness to the market. The team consistently
delivers the items on the pipeline on time or earlier than the planned date.
Suppose the mainnet is widely accepted by users around the globe. In that case, it
is possible that the volume transaction on it substantially multiplies, which
theoretically would increase awareness of the project and likely drive prices up.
Although Binance is a centralized exchange, its success case is a model to be
mirrored. Binance is a Chinese exchange responsible for a trillion crypto volume
that expanded to many other countries, including the US and already consolidated
teams in many countries. Since 2017, there have been Binance and other
exchanges such as Bit-Z, OKEx, Livecoin, CoinFalcon, IDEX. None of them had the
exponential growth Binance did, and some don’t even exist anymore. Why would
people use other exchanges when Binance provides a better service? Binance has
its flaws and limitations, and that’s exactly what Injective Protocol intends to solve.
Furthermore, the idea of
being a “One Stop Shop”
where you can find not only
crypto and futures, but
commodities, equities, forex,
and more, makes me inclined
to have all my assets and
trades into one platform
eventually.
Injective was accepted in
Binance Labs incubation
program in 2018, has a
$12.6m funding, a growing
team, several launches on
the roadmap, and
commercial partnerships in
progress.
Even after the token value
skyrocketed around 900% in
approximately one year,
there are way too many
upsides. The risks within the
project are that it does not
keep being developed as the
market does and that people
do not actively use the
platform that has just been
released.
Figure 8 - Injective Protocol Funding & Investors (Dealroom.co)
Investors have strong
confidence in the team. Their
growth strategies align with what they’re developing and what the market
constantly demands. The price spike in 2021 was before the mainnet launch. After
that, the price has plunged from around $10 to $6, so as the crypto market in
general, despite Injective’s first released data being impressive for a decentralized
exchange at its early stage.
Injective has all the ingredients a company needs to stand out: a competent team,
strong tokenomics, a top-notch product, a growing community, and well-structured
governance. Having the platform acceptance by the market, the project tends to
grow along with the sector it is in.
7. INDEX
If you are not familiar with some terms in this article, don’t worry. I’ve been there
before too. I’ve created a quick Index, so you don’t get confused or bored. If there
are other terms you don’t know, please leave them in the comments.
Cosmos-SDK: the world’s most popular blockchain framework. Over $6 billion in
assets are managed by public blockchains built with the Cosmos SDK. An SDK, by
the way, is a software development kit (hardware, OS, programming language). So
basically, Cosmos is a framework for building blockchains.
DAO: Decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) are member-owned
communities without centralized leadership. Decisions are governed by proposals
and voting to ensure everyone in the organization has a voice and all activity is
transparent and fully public.
DEX: a decentralized exchange (DEX) is a cryptocurrency exchange that operates in
a decentralized way, without a central authority. They are run by self-executing
agreements written in code called smart contracts. Some examples are Pancake
Swap, Uniswap and Sushiswap.
Gas fees: payments made by users to compensate for the computing energy
required to process and validate transactions on the Ethereum blockchain. These
fees go directly to miners who provide the necessary computer power to verify
transactions and keep the network running.
Tendermint: the main contributor to Cosmos’ network. They are the software used
in Cosmos, which is the blockchain. More about it in the article
“Cosmos/Tendermint explained for real idiots” by Patrick Wieth