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Casa Trading Activities SPOT FWD June 2020
Casa Trading Activities SPOT FWD June 2020
The Activities
Jacques Markowicz 1
HgKg 4%
Swiss 6.00%
Germany 6.00%
Singapore 6%
Japan 6% USA 17%
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Foreign Exchange - Size
The foreign exchange market is enormous. In terms of size and liquidity, the
FX market far exceeds even the largest domestic markets such as the US
stock market or the US futures market.
The size of the market is determined every three years. Central banks and
monetary authorities around the world measure the activity in the foreign
exchange market during the month of April. They submit their findings to
the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), which then produces the
Triennial Central Bank Survey of Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market
Activity.
The most recent analysis conducted in April 2006 found that the average
daily turnover in the FX market was almost $ 2,265 trillion (2004 = $ 1.330)
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Currency Risk
Spot F/X
Forward Swaps
Currency Options
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U 5
S
D
4
T
R 3
I 5,3
L
2 4
L
3,3
I
O 1 1,9
N 1,5
1,2
S
0
1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2016
SWAP
SPOT
OUTRIGHT
OPTIONS
2001 2004 2007 2010 2016 2001 2004 2007 2010 2016 2016 2016
Jacques Markowicz Source : ACI 9
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Diapositive 9
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Syndication Int. Rates Derivatives
F/X Deals
Investor Services Int. Rates Derivatives
FX Swap 46%
Corporate Services Corporate Services
OPT 5%
2%
IRCS
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12
10
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Financial Markets – Trading Room
Equity Sales
Modeling
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Corporate Dealing
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Financial Markets – Trading Room
The number of people in the dealing room can vary widely, but the basic structure
is fairly consistent. The chief dealer supervises all dealing room activities.
Each section is headed by a senior dealer, who supervises the work of the other dealers,
including juniors and trainees.
Chief Trader :
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Source : Intuition
Senior Trader:
•Responsible for all the transactions that take place in their section.
•Executes customer orders.
•Runs positions in F/X & money market products (within the course of a trading day
or over a longer period of time).
Junior Trader:
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Source : Intuition 17
Currency:
Different currencies have different volatilities and therefore the bank may have
to impose differing limits according to the type of currency being traded.
Credit:
Money market transactions involve direct lending and borrowing and causes a credit risk.
These risks have to be evaluated and a limit is set according to the creditworthiness of
the counterparty (Credit Risk Settlement).
Instrument:
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Source : Intuition 18
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Financial Markets – Trading Room (Limits)
Maturity:
Most F/X and money market products cover a maturity of less than a year.
Dealers may still have different limits imposed for different maturity products.
Deal size:
The size of a deal can directly link to the amount of exposure the dealer is taking
on their book.
If a dealer is transacting a customer order, buying from the market and then
directly selling to the customer, the deal size is not very relevant.
If the dealer is buying to hold on position there may well be a limit to the maximum
size they would be allowed to take at any one time.
Position:
Position limits will pay respect to all the other limits in terms of what a dealer is
allowed to hold and for how long.
Position limits can have two dimensions:
Daylight limits: positions the dealer can hold during the trading day when they are
there to monitor the risk.
End of day limits: positions they can hold on their books at the end of a trading period.
Jacques Markowicz Source : Intuition 19
Two of the key areas involved in transactions are anonymity and confidentiality.
Anonymity:
very important for the operation of an efficient, reputable money market. It only
applies when dealing through brokers.
Confidentiality:
vital to preserve this anonymity. Any breach of confidence that could damage the
mutual trust between participants is strongly condemned.
Although a code of ethics is not legally binding, dealers are very strongly urged
to abide by it. Those who do not do so run the risk of getting a bad name in the
market and may thus lose influence and business.
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Financial Markets
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Foreign Exchange
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Financial Markets
International & Central Banks
The Market
Spot & Options Dlrs. Fwd & Deposit Dlrs. Govern. Bonds Dlrs.
Branches
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Other CCys
EUR 19.5%
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F/X The major currency blocs
DKK
Latin American currencies
CAD Sterling
SEK
Middle Eastern
currencies US Dollar Euro CHF
HKD
SGD Yen
NOK
Asian currencies
Eastern European currencies
The table shows the spot value dates for each trading day:
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Foreign Exchange & Treasury
Tom-next : a deposit or foreign exchange swap from tomorrow until the next day (spot)
Spot-next : a deposit or foreign exchange swap from spot until the next day
Spot-a-week : a deposit or foreign exchange swap from spot until a week later
O/N
T/N
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Financial Markets – Spot F/X Trader
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Foreign Exchange
This means that the banks are prepared to quote a spot price for buying and
selling currencies to anyone who asks (as long as they are creditworthy)
€/$ 1,4625
€/$ 1,4627
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Become a Trader
Risk Warning: Contracts for Difference (‘CFDs’) are complex financial products that are traded on margin. Trading CFDs carries a
high level of risk since leverage can work both to your advantage and disadvantage. As a result, CFDs may not be suitable for all
investors because you may lose all your invested capital. You should not risk more than you are prepared to lose. Before deciding
to trade, you need to ensure that you understand the risks involved taking into account your investment objectives and level of
experience. Past performance of CFDs is not a reliable indicator of future results. Most CFDs have no set maturity date. Hence, a
CFD position matures on the date you choose to close an existing open position. Seek independent advice, if necessary. Please
read FxPro’s full ‘Risk Disclosure Statement’.
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Jacques Markowicz Source : Thomson-Reuters
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Financial Markets – News Feb 2020
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Jacques Markowicz Source : Thomson-Reuters
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Foreign Exchange – Spot Confirmation
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Foreign Exchange
1 Euro
Brussels City Co. “A”
Bank
1.4627 USD
1 Euro 1 Euro
Paris City Brussels City
Co. “A”
Bank Bank
1.4625 USD 1.4627 USD
The quoting bank will impose its price on the calling bank.
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€ 1 = $ 1.4625- 27
Base Ccy
Quoted Ccy
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Foreign Exchange - Spot Price
€ 1 = $ 1.4625 - 27
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Sells € Buys €
Customer
Buys $ Sells $
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Foreign Exchange
Brussels
City
Bank
€/$ 1.4625- 27
Paris
City
Bank
€/$ 1.4626- 28
New York
City
Bank
€/$ 1.4624- 26
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Foreign Exchange – Spot & Cross Rates
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Jacques Markowicz Source : Thomson-Reuters
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F
X
B
R
O
K
E
R
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F
X
B
R
O
K
E
R
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F
X
B
R
O
K
E
R
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F
X
B
R
O
K
E
R
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Foreign Exchange for Customers
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FX All - Spot EUR/USD (Feb 2019)
59
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ING Trade (Oct 2019)
Foreign Exchange
Trading
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COVID - 19
63
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EUR/USD Feb 17 – Apr 30, 2020
Source : Investing 64
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F/X Broker
Citi London
ING Trader
Tokyo London
EBS
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Citi: buy at 24
Barclays: sell at 28
Broker
Tokyo: buy at 25
BOA: sell at 27
Broker Fr
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Spot Foreign Exchange
Electronic
Broking
System
(EBS)
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Cable 55-58 !
€/$ 25-27 !
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Key Board 69
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EUR/USD June 29, 2016
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EUR/USD Oct 26, 2017 – ECB Mario Draghi
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Source : Investing 75
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Foreign Exchange (Electronic Broking System)
Sep 3 - 10.25
6 MAR
EUR/USD TRADER DEALS
110.
5 80 - 90 6
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Paris City
Bank
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F/X Forward
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Different day/year conventions
ACT/360
ACT/365
Exact number of calendar days in the period /365
UK Sterling
Hong Kong dollar
Singapore dollar
Malaysian ringgit
Taiwan dollar
Thai baht
South African rand
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Foreign Exchange – Yield Curves (Dec. 04)
5,5
I 5,25
n 5
t 4,75
GBP £
e 4,5
r 4,25
e 4
s 3,75
t 3,5
3,25 US D $
R 3
a 2,75
t 2,5 EUR €
e 2,25
s 2
0 3 6 9 12
Months
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Foreign Exchange – Forward EUR/USD
Bank buys € - Bank sells €
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1 R 2 X N
B
Forward Points Spot Rate x 2
1
1 R X N
1 B
1
Where:
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Foreign Exchange – Forward GBP/USD
Bank buys £ - Bank sells £
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-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5
Base currency higher Base currency lower
than quoted currence than quoted currence
= Discount = Premium
Par
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When the base currency is at a forward premium, the swap points will be quoted
low figure - high figure. When the swap points are quoted in this order,
they should be added to the spot price to derive the full forward price.
If the base currency interest rate is higher than the quoted currency interest rate,
then the base currency will be at a forward discount. This means that the quoted
currency is at a forward premium.
When the base currency is at a forward discount, the swap points will be quoted
high figure - low figure. When the swap points are quoted in this order, they
should be deducted from the spot price to derive the full forward
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Long-Dated Forward
Forward outright :
Forward swap :
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FWD
Swap
Points
&
Outright
Feb 2020
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Jacques Markowicz Source : Thomson Reuters
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Foreign Exchange – Broken dates
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Customer wishes to buy EUR/sell USD forward with an option date from
Apr 10 until Apr 25:
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Foreign Exchange – Forward Swap
10,000,000 14,630,000
14,630,000
10,000,000
3% 3.25%
Forward 1 year
+ € - + $ -
10,300,000 15,105,475
10,000,000 ?
300,000 ?
10,000,000 14,665,510
300,000 439,965
Jacques Markowicz 15,105,475 /10,300,000 = 1.466551 99
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Non-Deliverable Forward (NDF)
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Non-Deliverable Forward (Oct 2018)
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Source : Investing 104
105
Jacques Markowicz Source : Thomson-Reuters
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China A 50 February 3, 2020 – 7%)
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Source : Investing 106
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Source : Investing 107
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NDF USD/INR (Mar 2019 – Jan 2020)
Indian
Indianrupee
rupee(INR)
(USD/INR)
Mexican Peso (MXN)
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Source : Investingg 109
Philippines (USD/PHP)
Mexican Peso (MXN)
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Source : Investing 111
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NDF USD/PHP (Feb 2020)
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NDF USD/MYR (Jan 2020 – Feb 2020)
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Source : Bloomberg 116
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Foreign Exchange - Formula
p * b * 100 O
r$ r€ *
d*O S
p * b * 100 S
r€ r$ *
d* S O
119
1 month
2 months
3 months
6 months
12 months
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Foreign Exchange – End-End convention
There is an end-of-month convention in the forward FX market
which stipulates that, when spot value is
the last business day of the month,
the value dates for the fixed periods also fall on
the last business day of the forward months.
3- You buy 8 million CHF against USD at the spot rate of 1 USD = 1.1500 CHF
How many USD would you have to pay out ? (Input your answer to 2 decimal place)
3-1 You buy USD 9.000.000 against EUR at the spot rate of 1 EUR = 1.4975 USD
What is the EUR equivalent? (Input your answer to 2 decimal place)
4- You buy 5 million GBP against USD at the spot rate of 1 GBP = 2.0450 USD
How many USD have you sold ? (Input your answer to 2 decimal place)
4-1 You sell 10.000.000 USD at the spot rate of 1 GBP = USD 2.0450.
How many GBP have you bought? (Input your answer to 2 decimal place)
4-2 You buy USD 5.000.000 against EUR at the spot rate of 1 EUR = 0.9028 USD
What is the EUR equivalent? (Input your answer to 2 decimal place)
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Foreign Exchange – Exercises
5- Your are the CFO of Cy “A”. You call your bank to sell Dollars and buy Euro.
The spot rate EUR/USD quoted by your bank is 1.4870 – 1.4880.
The bank will take a margin of 0.0100 (1 US cent per EUR).
At what spot rate will you sell the dollars to the bank ?
1.4770
1.4970
1.4780
1.4980
At what best spot rate will you sell the US dollars to the bank and buy GBP ?
At what spot rate will you sell the GBP and buy CHF?
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Foreign Exchange NDF– Exercises
7- 1
USD :
At what « outright » price will you sell USD and buy EUR
for delivery in 3 month ?
At what « outright » price will you buy USD and sell EUR
for delivery in 6 month ?
9 -You are the treasurer of company « C » and you receive the following
market prices from your bank:
At what « outright » price will you buy from your bank USD and sell EUR
for delivery in 3 month ?
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Foreign Exchange – Exercises
9.1 - You are the treasurer of company “D” and you receive the
following market prices from you bank :
9-2 You are the trader of a British Bank and you have bought from a customer
5.000.000 GBP against EUR for value 3 months forward outright.
Which of the following is ways of hedging your risk :
2 - Buy EUR against GBP spot and also buy spot EUR againts GBP and sell EUR
against GBP in a 3 month swap ?
10 - 11 Market prices are the following : 3 month USD : 3.25% (91 days)
3 month EUR : 2.20% (91 days)
6 month USD : 3.75% (182 days)
6 month EUR : 4.25% (182 days)
Calculate the 3 and 6 month premium or discount of the EUR versus the USD
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Foreign Exchange – Exercises
Calculate the 9 month premium or discount of the EUR versus the USD.
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