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Renewable Energy in
Southern Region
Annual Report: 2022-23

September 2023

Southern Regional Load Despatch Centre


Grid Controller of India Limited
(A Government of India Enterprise)
Acknowledgement

REMC, SRLDC would like to thank SRPC Secretariat, various forums of SRPC, SR
constituents including SLDCs, REMCs, RE developers and SPPDs for encouraging
and supporting SRLDC in various technological experiments / advancements as well
as bringing various regulatory reforms in the process of RE Integration.
REMC, SRLDC would like to thank NLDC & Grid-India Management for the valuable
support and guidance during various stages of renewable energy integration in
Southern Region as well as continuous encouragement and motivation for the
initiatives on the technological experiments / advancements.
REMC, SRLDC would like to thank all concerned and all departments of SRLDC for
their valuable support and guidance in preparing this report.
The support is highly appreciated and acknowledged.

REMC Team, SRLDC


Contents
Copyright Information ........................................................................................................................ 11
Acronyms ............................................................................................................................................. 12
Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................... 16
1. Introduction.................................................................................................................................. 22
1.1 Background........................................................................................................... 22
1.2 Salient Features of Southern Regional Grid .......................................................... 23
2. Renewable Energy in Southern Regional Grid ...................................................................... 24
2.1 Growth of Renewable Energy in Southern Regional Grid ...................................... 24
2.2 Installed Capacity as on 31.03.2023 ..................................................................... 24
2.3 RE Capacity additions during the year 2022-23 .................................................... 25
2.4 RE Capacity additions and expected transmission system in near future. ............. 25
3. Renewable (Solar + Wind) Profile ........................................................................................... 26
3.1 Renewable (Solar + Wind) Generation .................................................................. 26
3.2 RE Penetration ..................................................................................................... 27
3.3 Renewable Generation in MUs ............................................................................. 33
3.4 Wind Generation: .................................................................................................. 37
3.5 Solar Generation: .................................................................................................. 40
3.6 Net Load (Highest RE MU Penetration - 10th July 2022) ...................................... 43
3.7 Ramp Variation (Highest RE MU Penetration - 10th July 2022) ............................ 44
4. Performance of RE stations ...................................................................................................... 46
4.1 Capacity Utilisation Factor of States and Southern Region for FY 2022-23 ........... 46
4.2 Capacity Utilisation Factor of ISTS connected RE stations ................................... 46
5. Forecasting, Scheduling and Deviation at Interstate ............................................................ 49
5.1 Forecasting ........................................................................................................... 49
5.1.1 Regulatory Provisions ...................................................................................................... 49
5.1.2 History of Renewables Forecasting at SRLDC ............................................................ 50
5.1.3 Performance of Forecast Providers ............................................................................... 50
5.2 Scheduling ............................................................................................................ 56
5.2.1 Regulatory Provision ........................................................................................................ 56
5.2.2 Contracts as on 31.03.2022............................................................................................ 57
5.2.3 Analysis of Revisions ....................................................................................................... 58
5.2.4 Losses. ............................................................................................................................... 61
5.2.5 Power supply regulation on RE generators.................................................................. 62
5.2.5.1 Late Payment Surcharge (LPS) Rules....................................................................... 62
5.2.6 Curtailment ........................................................................................................................ 64

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5.3 Deviation Settlement Mechanism .......................................................................... 65
5.3.1 Regulatory Provision ........................................................................................................ 65
5.3.2 Summary of schedule, Actual and Deviation. .............................................................. 68
5.3.4 Night Drawl ........................................................................................................................ 69
6. Forecasting, Scheduling and Deviation at Intra State .......................................................... 70
6.1 Model Regulations for Intra State .......................................................................... 70
6.2 Intra State – Implemented Regulation ................................................................... 71
6.2.1 Status of RE DSM Implementation and Applicability Criteria in states .................... 72
6.2.2 Aggregation Level for the purpose of deviation settlement in states........................ 73
6.2.3 Number of Revisions Allowed in states......................................................................... 74
6.2.4 Deviation Limits in states. ............................................................................................... 75
7. Weather impact on RE .............................................................................................................. 76
7.1 Experience of Cyclone on wind generation in SR. ................................................. 76
7.2 Weather pattern of a typical wind Plant for 2021-23 .............................................. 80
8. Voltage & Reactive Power Management. ............................................................................... 83
8.1 Voltage Profile at ISTS connected RE stations. .................................................... 83
8.2 Remedial measures taken in southern region: ...................................................... 88
9 Protection Aspects of Renewable Generation ....................................................................... 90
9.1 Tripping in Southern Region which affected Renewable Generation ..................... 90
9.2 Requirement of N-1 Reliability for ICTs at RE Pooling Grid stations: ..................... 91
9.3 LVRT and HVRT Protection .................................................................................. 91
9.3.1 Regulatory Provisions w.r.t LVRT and HVRT .......................................................... 91
9.3.2 Current status of LVRT/HVRT Implementation in SR .............................................. 92
10 Other Aspects & Issues ............................................................................................................. 94
10.1 Working Group Report on CEA Technical Standards ............................................ 94
10.2 Special Meetings Conducted with RE Developers .............................................. 100
10.3 Green day Ahead Market (GDAM) ...................................................................... 101
10.4 Renewable Energy Certificate (REC) Mechanism ............................................... 104
11 Renewable Energy Management Centre ............................................................................. 105
12 REMC Team ............................................................................................................................. 106
13 Initiatives taken by REMC Team during 2022-23................................................................ 108
13.1 Capacity Building of stake Holders...................................................................... 108
13.1.1 Wind Energy Conclave ....................................................................................... 108
13.1.2 HRD Training on 27th and 28th March 2023 ....................................................... 108
13.2 Analysis of Voltage Control mode & its impact .................................................... 109
13.3 Visit of Delegates from West African Region to SRLDC ...................................... 112

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14 Future outlook for 2023-24...................................................................................................... 113
15 References ................................................................................................................................ 114
Annexures ......................................................................................................................................... 116

Annexure-1: Details of Existing Plants……………………………………………………………….……..118


Annexure-2: Details of Upcoming Plants & Transmission System………………………………………..158
Annexure-3: Plot of generation profile for days of interest…………………………………………………168
Annexure-4: Heat map of Southern Region, States Solar & wind Penetration for 2022 23………….......175
Annexure-5: Forecast error analysis………………………………………………………………………..181
Annexure-6: Scheduling contracts of Renewable Entities of SR as on 31.03.23……………………........284
Annexure-7: List of the tripping related to Renewable Energy……………………………………...……..288
Annexure-8: List of special Meetings held with respect to RE ………………………...….………………292
Annexure-9: Analysis of Demand v/s RE Deviation of States ……………………………………..……...294
Annexure-10: List of Registered RE Generators pertaining to Southern Region ………………………...297

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List of Tables

Table 1 State-wise installed capacity of Wind and Grid Connected Solar as on 31/03/2023 25
Table 2 State-wise Installed capacity addition of Wind and Solar .............................................. 25
Table 3: Highest Instantaneous Renewable Generation and Energy during FY 2022-23 ...... 26
Table 4: Highest Instantaneous Renewable Generation and Energy as on 31.03.2023 ........ 27
Table 5 Maximum Renewable Penetration Instantaneous and Energy during FY 2022-23 .. 28
Table 6 Maximum Renewable Penetration Instantaneous and Energy as on 31.03.2023 ..... 28
Table 7: Average Daily RE Energy in MUs in 2022-23 ................................................................ 34
Table 8: Highest instantaneous wind generation and Energy during FY 2022-23................... 37
Table 9: Highest instantaneous wind generation and Energy as on 31.03.2023 ..................... 37
Table 10: Highest instantaneous Solar generation and Energy during FY 2022-23 ............... 40
Table 11: Highest instantaneous Solar generation and Energy as on 31.03.2023.................. 40
Table 12 State Wise Renewable Energy CUF .............................................................................. 46
Table 13 Annual performance of ISTS RE (Wind +Solar) ........................................................... 47
Table 14 The Annual performance of ISTS Wind plants .............................................................. 47
Table 15 Annual performance of ISTS Solar plants ..................................................................... 48
Table 16 The Performance of forecast/scheduling of ISTS RE Stations................................... 54
Table 17 Performance of forecast of states and SR based on IFT and FCA .......................... 55
Table 19 Installed Monitored, Forecast & Scheduling of SRLDC & State REMC. ................. 105
Table 20 Details of Upcoming RE generation at ISTS level in Southern Region ................... 158

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List of Figures

Figure 1 Source-wise Generating Capacity of SR as on 31/03/2023 ........................................ 23


Figure 2 Geographical Map of SR as on 31/03/2023 ................................................................... 23
Figure 3 Growth of Renewables in SR............................................................................................ 24
Figure 4: Source-wise generation on maximum instantaneous RE day on 22.05.2022 ......... 29
Figure 5: Source-wise generation on maximum RE Energy Penetration Day on 10.07.202230
Figure 6: Heat map of Southern Region RE Instantaneous Penetration for 2022-23 ............. 31
Figure 7: Heat maps of States’ RE Instantaneous Penetration for the period Apr 2022- Mar
2023...................................................................................................................................................... 32
Figure 8: Month wise renewable generation for 2022-23............................................................. 33
Figure 9: Day wise SR renewable generation 2022-23 (MU)...................................................... 34
Figure 10: Heat map of Southern Region RE generation during FY 2022-23 .......................... 35
Figure 11: Heat map of States RE generation for period 2022-23 ............................................. 36
Figure 12: Heat map of Southern Region Wind generation from April 2022- March 2023 ..... 38
Figure 13: Heat map of States Wind generation for period April 2022- March 2023............... 39
Figure 14: Heat map of Southern Region Solar for period April 2022- March 2023 ................ 41
Figure 15: Heat map of States solar generation for period April 2022- March 2023 ............... 42
Figure 16: Net load vs Total Load for a highest RE day .............................................................. 43
Figure 17: Net load vs Total Load for a highest Demand Day .................................................... 43
Figure 18: Ramp of Demand, RE, Netload, Wind, Solar .............................................................. 45
Figure 19 Estimated scheduled weekly loss in MUs..................................................................... 62
Figure 20 Over Injection Comparison of various developers ...................................................... 68
Figure 21 Under Injection Comparison of various developers .................................................... 68
Figure 22 Normalized Average Auxiliary Energy Consumption per 50 MW Block Solar Plant
per Day ................................................................................................................................................ 69
Figure 23 Installed Capacity limit for various states for the applicability of DSM Regulation . 72
Figure 24 Aggregation Level for the purpose of deviation settlement in various states.......... 73
Figure 25 Number of revisions allowed for various states ........................................................... 74
Figure 26 Percentage of Error limit for the exemption of DSM penalty ..................................... 75
Figure 27 Observed and Forecast Track of Cyclone Asani ......................................................... 77
Figure 28 SR wind variation during Cyclone Asani ....................................................................... 78
Figure 29 AP wind variation during Cyclone Asani ....................................................................... 78
Figure 30 Observed track of cyclone Mandous ............................................................................. 79
Figure 31 SR wind variation during Cyclone Mandous ................................................................ 80
Figure 32 Tamil Nadu wind variation during Cyclone Mandous ................................................. 80
Figure 33 Wind Speed Duration Curve of a typical wind plant for 2022-23 .............................. 81
Figure 34 Wind Speed Heat Map of a typical wind plant for 2022-23........................................ 81
Figure 35 GTI Duration Curve of a typical solar plant for 2022-23 ............................................. 82
Figure 36 GTI Heat Map of a typical solar plant for 2022-23 ...................................................... 82
Figure 37 Voltage Profile of 2050 MW Ultra Mega Solar Park .................................................... 83
Figure 38 Voltage Duration curve of 2050 MW Ultra Mega Solar Park ..................................... 85
Figure 39 Voltage duration curve for 400kV Pavagada Station .................................................. 85
Figure 40 Voltage duration curve for 400kV NP Kunta Station ................................................... 86
Figure 41 Voltage duration curve for 400kV Tuticorin Station..................................................... 86
Figure 42: LVRT Curve ..................................................................................................................... 92

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Figure 43 HVRT Curve ...................................................................................................................... 92
Figure 44 Categorisation of RE generators wrt LVRT/HVRT as per CEA Regulations .......... 93
Figure 45 Special Meetings held with RE Developers and SR states details year wise ....... 101
Figure 46 GDAM Buy Quantum of SR states .............................................................................. 102
Figure 47 GDAM Sell Quantum of SR states .............................................................................. 103
Figure 48 SR ISTS Sell Quantum of RE Generators.................................................................. 103
Figure 49 Ostro Kannada wind plant operating in Voltage Control Mode ............................... 110
Figure 50 SprngAgnitra Solar plant operating in Voltage Control Mode ................................. 111

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Disclaimer

Precautions have been taken by Southern Regional Load Despatch Centre, Grid Controller of India
Limited (GRID-INDIA) to ensure the accuracy of data / information and the data / information in this
report is believed to be accurate, reliable and complete. However, before relying on the information
material from this report, users are advised to ensure its accuracy, currency, completeness and
relevance for their purposes, and, in this respect, SRLDC/ GRID-INDIA shall not be responsible for any
errors or omissions. All information is provided without warranty of any kind.

SRLDC/GRID-INDIA disclaims all express, implied, and statutory warranties of any kind to user and/or
any third party, including warranties as to accuracy, timeliness, completeness, merchantability, or
fitness for any particular purpose. SRLDC/GRID-INDIA have no liability in tort, contract, or otherwise to
user and/or third party. Further, GRID-INDIA shall, under no circumstances, be liable to user, and/or
any third party, for any lost profits or lost opportunity, indirect, special, consequential, incidental, or
punitive damages whatsoever, even if SRLDC/GRID-INDIA has been advised of the possibility of such
damages.

By reading this report, the users/reader confirms about their awareness and agreement to this
disclaimer and associated terms referred elsewhere.

Copyright Information
This report has been compiled by SRLDC/GRID-INDIA and is a result of contribution in some or other
form by many experts, engineers, power system professionals. Hence, this report is being published for
the benefit of power system fraternity. Information in this report can be used without obtaining the
permission of Grid Controller of India Limited. However, the material used from this report should duly
acknowledge by way of citing the name of report and name of Grid Controller of India Limited.

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Acronyms

ABT Availability Based Tariff


ACE Area Control Error
AGC Automatic Generation Control
ANP Anantapuramu
AP Andhra Pradesh
APTRANSCO Transmission Corporation of Andhra Pradesh
AVC Available Capacity
CEA Central Electricity Authority
CERC Central Electricity Regulatory Commission
CTU Central Transmission Utility
CTUIL Central Transmission Utility of India Ltd
CUF Capacity Utilisation Factor
D/C LINE Double Circuit Line
DAC Data Acquisition
DCD Data Collection Device
DEF Directional Earth Fault
DFIG Doubly Fed Induction Generators
DLP Defect liability period
DRPC Dynamic Reactive Power Compensation
DSM Deviation Settlement Mechanism
ECMWF European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.
EHV Extra High Voltage
EMTP Electromagnetic Transients Program
EV Electric Vehicle
FCA Forecast Combine Aggregator
FEP Front End Processor
FSP Floating Solar Plant
FSPs Forecast Service providers
FTC First Time Charging
FTP File Transfer Protocol
GIS SS Gas insulated substation
GPS Global Positioning System
GRID-INDIA Grid Controller of India Limited
GTI Global Tilted Irradiation
HIS Historical Information System
HTTP Hypertext Transfer Protocol

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HV High Voltage
HVDC High Voltage Direct Current
HVRT High Voltage Ride Through
ICCP Inter-Control Centre Communication Protocol
ICT Inter Connecting Transformer
IEC International Electro technical Commission
IEEE Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
IEGC Indian Electricity Grid Code
IFT Internal Forecasting Tool
IP Internet Protocol
ISGS Inter State Generating Station
ISR Information Storage and Retrieval
ISTS Inter State Transmission System
KAR Karnataka
KER Kerala
KPTCL Karnataka Power Transmission Corporation Limited
KW Kilo Watt
LAN Local Area Network
LILO Line In Line Out
LTA Long-term Access
LVRT Low Voltage Ride Through
MAPE Mean Absolute Percentage Error
MPPT Maximum Power Point Tracking
MU Million Unit
MW Mega Watt
MWH Mega Watt Hour
NCEF National Clean Energy Fund
NGCP National Green Corridor Program
NIWE National Institute of Wind Energy
NLDC National Load Despatch Centre
NMS Network Management Servers
NR Northern Region
NRMSE Normalized Root Mean Square Error
NTP Network Time Protocol
O&M Operations and Maintenance
OSI Open Systems International
PCC Point of Common Coupling
PG POWERGRID

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POI Point of Interconnection
POSOCO Power System Operation Corporation Limited
PPA Power Purchase Agreement
PPC Power Plant Controller
PRDC Power Research Development Consultants Pvt Ltd
PS Pooling Station
PSDF Power System Development Fund
PV Photovoltaic Cells
PVG Pavagada
QCA Qualified Coordinating Agency
RE Renewable Energy
RLDC Regional Load Despatch Centre
RMS Root Mean Square
RPC Regional Power Committee
RPO Renewable Purchase Obligation
RTU Remote Terminal Unit
SAREH South Asia Regional Energy Hub
SAT Site Acceptance Test
SAVT System Availability Test
SCADA Supervisory control and data acquisition
SEM Special Energy Meter
SERC State Electricity Regulation Commission
SLDC State Load Despatch Centre
SOE Sequence of Events
SPDs Solar Power Developers
SPPDs Solar Power Park Developers
SPV Special Purpose Vehicle
SR Southern Region
SRAP SRLDC Application server
SRFE SRLDC’s Front-End Server
SRFEP SRLDC’s Front-End Processor
SRICCP SRLDC’s Inter-Control Centre Communication Protocol
SRPC Southern Regional Power Committee
STATCOM Static Synchronous Compensator
STU State Transmission Utility
SVC Static VAR Compensator
TCP Transmission Control Protocol
TFS Time & Frequency subsystem

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TN Tamil Nadu
TNERC Tamil Nadu Electricity Regulatory Commission
TS Telangana
TSERC Telangana State Electricity Regulatory Commission
UI Unscheduled Interchange
UMPP Ultra-Mega Power Projects
USAID United States Agency for International Development
VAR Volt-Ampere Reactive
VOIP Voice over Internet Protocol
VPS Video Projection System
WAN Wide Area Network
WPD Wind Power Developer
WR Western Region
WTGs Wind Turbine Generator

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Executive Summary

The Indian government's target of reaching 500 GW of renewable energy capacity by


2030 signifies an even more ambitious commitment to accelerating the adoption of
renewable energy sources. However, managing such a substantial increase in
renewable energy generation presents significant challenges for grid management
due to the intermittent and variable nature of renewable energy sources. To address
this challenge, Renewable Energy Management Centers are increasingly relying on
Artificial Intelligence-based forecasting and scheduling tools, which offer enhanced
visualization and situational awareness to grid operators.

Renewable Energy Management Center (REMC) in SRLDC is operational since


February 2020 and performing the effective real time Renewable Energy Operation,
Scheduling and Forecasting. This report presents a comprehensive analysis of the
various parameters pertaining to renewables in Southern Region for the year 2022-
23.
SRLDC had shared the experience of RE integration by publishing the first report titled
“Renewable Energy in Southern Region: Journey so Far” in the month of December
2021. In continuation to the same, an annual report is envisaged to be published
annually covering the previous year experience of handling renewables in Southern
Regional Grid. Accordingly, a report has been prepared to cover the comprehensive
analysis of the various parameters pertaining to renewables in Southern Region for
the year 2022-23.
The gist of the important aspects is highlighted below

1. Salient Features of Southern Regional Grid:


a) Third largest geographical area amongst the five regions, covering approx.
19.31% of the area & approx. 20.2% of India’s population and around 30 %
(1,23,001 MW out of 4,16,059 MW) of the Installed Capacity.
b) Higher Hydro Thermal ratio (20% - 80%) facilitating operational flexibility.
c) Effective generating capacity as on 31st March 2023 is 1,23,001 MW with
Regional peak demand met of 64,337MW and consumption of 1,301 MUs.

2. Renewable Energy in Southern Regional Grid:


a) Highest amongst all Regions with a total RE capacity of 50,283 MW as on 31st
March 2023.
b) An increase of 7.19% in renewable energy installed capacity is observed in
Southern region during 2022-23 as compared to previous year amidst the
challenges of the pandemic conditions.
c) Renewable capacity (Wind + Solar) in Southern region is around 42121 MW
(as on 31st March 2023), which forms around 34 % of all India Renewable
capacity (Total of all types of Renewables is 125159.81 MW) of India.

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d) Wind and Solar capacity forms 84% of total renewable energy in Southern
Region. Accordingly, the focus is kept on Solar and Wind Energy.
e) 2,503 MW RE (Wind + Solar) was added during the financial year 2022-23 with
2098 MW of Solar and 403 MW of wind
f) Renewables (wind + Solar) in SR increased by 6.31% during 2022-23 with
10.28% increase in Solar and 2.09% increase in wind as compared to previous
year.
g) MNRE/SECI has identified 86 GW potential REZs (34 GW Wind & 52 GW
Solar) in Southern Region and around 51.5 GW of Transmission schemes will
be built to evacuate the RE power as per the as per the “Transmission System
for Integration of over 500 GW RE Capacity by 2030” by CEA
3. Renewable Generation Profile:
a) Maximum Instantaneous RE (Wind + Solar) generation of 24,796 MW was
witnessed on 26th June 2022 at 12:30 Hrs which is 15.68% more compared to
21,434 MW on 11th June 2021 at 12:05 Hrs during previous financial year.
b) Daily Maximum RE of 356 MUs was witnessed on 14th July 2022, which is
7.22% more as compared to 332 MUs on 03rd August 2021 during the previous
financial year
c) The daily average RE energy is 175.65 MU/day for the year 2022-23 which is
1.53% more as compared 173 MU /day during previous year
d) Highest Instantaneous maximum RE penetration of Southern Region is 62.3%,
observed at 13:46 hrs on 22nd May 2022.
e) Highest RE Penetration in terms of MU is 41% observed on 10th July 2022
f) Total energy generated from RE (Wind + Solar) during 2022-23 was around
69.02 billion Units which is 9.17% higher as compared to 63.22 billion Units
during the previous financial year.
g) The Maximum RE energy (Wind+Solar) 7.94 BU was observed in the month of
July 2022 with major contribution from wind being 5.43 billion Units.

4. Performance of RE stations: The performance of a RE power plant is often


denominated by a metric called the Capacity Utilisation Factor (CUF). It is the ratio
of the actual output from a solar/wind plant over the year to the maximum possible
output from it for a year under ideal conditions. Capacity Utilisation factor is usually
expressed in percentage. The CUF for the period 2022-23 is shown below.
a) Total Combined RE CUF of SR regions stands at 19.36%.
b) Annual SR wind CUF is 18.96% and SR Solar CUF is 19.71%.
c) In ISTS connected plants, the maximum Annual wind CUF of 32.33% (based
on schedule) observed for GIREL connected to Tuticorin Pooling station and
the maximum Annual Solar CUF (based on schedule) of 26.66% observed for
PVG_AdaniKANine connected to Pavagada Pooling station.
d) CUF of ISTS connected solar plants is ranging from 17.01% to 26.66% and that
of wind it is ranging from 24.25% to 34%.

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5. RE Forecasting, Scheduling and Deviation at Interstate:
The Forecasting, Scheduling and Deviation at Interstate is carried out in line with
IEGC 2010. SRLDC is carrying out forecasting with the help of forecasting tools
provided in REMC. SRLDC REMC have one Internal Forecasting Tool (IFT), two
external Forecast Service Providers (FSP) and One Forecast Combination &
Aggregator (FCA). Further developers are forecasting on their own and submitting
the scheduling. The forecast error analysis is carried out based on SEM data and
the various forecast in this report.

Region/Area % of time within 15%


ISTS RE Combined 97.94%
ISTS Wind 87.01%
ISTS Solar 92.47%

The impact of DSM charges on RE generators is also analysed. RE Generator’s


over Injection of energy into the Grid is reduced as there are no charges for Over
Injected energy beyond the limits specified in the DSM Regulations 2022.
However, the Under Injection of energy increased after the implementation of DSM
Regulations 2022.

6. Forecasting, Scheduling and Deviation at Intra State: Forum of Regulators has


released model regulations on Forecasting, Scheduling and Deviation at Intra
State. Further SERC has notified Forecasting, Scheduling and Deviation regulation
based on the model regulation with fine-tuning based on local scenario. The
similarities and differences w.r.t implementation at ISTS level along with status of
implementation are summarised in this report.

7. Weather impact on RE:


The weather impact on RE section covers about the two major cyclones hit the
Southern region during the last Financial Year viz ASANI and MANDOUS.
Individual affected state Wind Generation and SR wind Generation compared in
this report. The irradiation GTI vs time for a typical solar plant and Wind speed vs
time for a typical wind plant in SR is plotted.

8. Voltage & Reactive Power Management:


In southern Region, several mitigation measures have been worked out based on
experience and reactive capability mock tests. All ISTS RE generators of southern
region are advised to keep the Inverters/WTGs/Plant in voltage control mode w.e.f
01.02.2021 in line with the decision taken in SRPC Meeting. High voltages are
being experienced during night hours (No solar generation) at RE and nearby

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substations. These high voltages are despite utilising the available static reactive
power support such as bus reactor and line reactors. Further EHV lines are being
opened to control high voltages, which compromises reliability /security.

Night Mode Operation (Trial) Of PV Inverters (Pavagada Ultra Mega Solar Park)
was carried out from 01.08.2021 to 30.09.2021. A detailed report covering various
aspects of Inverter capabilities, Auxiliary consumption, Commercial Analysis of the
exercise along with comparison of cost analysis with other reactive sources was
published and sent to CEA, CTU & CERC. The report is referred to while proposing
the provisions w.r.t Reactive Power Compensation under Annexure-4 of draft Grid
Code 2022. This section covers the provisions given in the draft grid code in detail.

9. Protection Aspects of Renewable Generation: Protection systems play a crucial


role in ensuring the reliability and security of grid operations, particularly as
renewable energy sources gain more prominence. In the Southern Region, there
were approximately 20 significant instances of tripping that impacted renewable
energy generation from April 2022 to March 2023. Most of these interruptions
occurred due to faults in the connected system, leading to the loss of evacuation
lines. This section also discusses the specific requirements for safeguarding wind
and solar generation, such as implementing protection measures for Low Voltage
Ride Through (LVRT) and High Voltage Ride Through (HVRT). It also provides an
update on the status of implementing these protections in the Southern Region.
Furthermore, the section offers insights into noteworthy instances of tripping events
associated with renewable energy sources in the Southern Region in recent years.

10. Other Aspects


a) Working Group Report on CEA Technical Standards: The Central Electricity
Authority (Technical Standards for Connectivity to the Grid) Regulations of 2007
were notified in February 2007 and subsequently amended in October 2013 and
February 2019. However, many users observed certain ambiguities in the
interpretation of these regulations. In response to this the Working Group (WG)
was formed with members from CEA, CTU, POSOCO & SECI and report is
published in July 2022. The Report is constituted of three parts as detailed
below:
✓ Part-I: Explanation for assessment of compliance to CEA Regulations on
Technical Standards for Connectivity to the Grid, by RE Generators
✓ Part-II: Procedure & Timelines for submission of CON-4 data &
documents for demonstration of compliance to CEA Technical Standards
for Connectivity to the Grid, by RE generators
✓ Part-III: List of Test/Study Reports required to be submitted by the RE
Generators in compliance to CEA Regulations on Technical Standards
for Connectivity to the Grid
b) Special Meetings Conducted with RE Developers: SRLDC in association
with SRPC had led from the front to address the specific issues with respect

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to renewable energy by conducting various special meetings with RE
developers.
c) The Green Day Ahead Market (GDAM) is a transformative initiative in India's
energy sector, designed to promote renewable energy generation and
streamline its sale to distribution companies (Discoms) and industries. At the
heart of GDAM is the principle of open access, where any interested party can
establish renewable energy capacity and make it available for sale. The
transmission loss is governed by the ISTS sharing regulations. The details of
SR states Buy and Sell Quantum and SR ISTS RE Generators Sell quantum
are covered.
d) Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs): The Central Electricity Regulatory
Commission (CERC) introduced Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs) in
India through the REC Regulations of 2010. These regulations allowed for the
trading of RECs on CERC-approved Power Exchange platforms to address
renewable purchase obligations. In 2022, CERC released revised REC
Regulations, designating the National Load Despatch Centre as the Central
Agency for their implementation. The process includes accreditation,
registration, issuance, and redemption of RECs, involving renewable energy
generators, captive generators, distribution licensees, and open access
consumers. As of March 31, 2023, 332 renewable energy generators in the
Southern Region are accredited, with a total capacity of 1596.6 MW, including
100.8 MW from the Ostro Kannada Wind plant accredited in March 2023 in
ISTS, and 109.62 MW in the state sector during FY 2022-23.

11. Renewable Energy Management Centre (REMC): The details of RE integration


covering the status of SCADA, Forecasting and Scheduling to SRLDC REMC and
SR states, as on 31st Mar 2023 are summarised in this chapter.

12. REMC Team: The influence of incorporating renewable energy generation differs
significantly from that of traditional power generation. The operational difficulties,
such as variability, intermittency, inertia, and control of frequency and voltage, also
present distinctive challenges compared to conventional generation. As a result, a
distinct and specialized skill set is necessary for overseeing renewable energy
generation. On June 1, 2020, the REMC (Renewable Energy Management Center)
Operation team was established at SRLDC. Since its inception, the SRLDC REMC
team has been responsible for managing the operational aspects of renewable
energy sources in the Southern Region, as well as continuously monitoring them
in real time and closely coordinating with the SRLDC control room team.

13. Initiatives taken by REMC Team during 2022-23:


a. Capacity Building to stake Holders: SRLDC, GRID-INDIA conducted three
days Conclave on Wind Energy from 22nd June to 24th June 2022 via online
mode and Two days HRD training program on “Scheduling and Forecasting

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 21 of 308


Application of REMC” during 27th and 28th March 2023 as commitment of
GRID-INDIA towards providing a platform for continuous upgrading and
capacity building of its stakeholders through knowledge sharing.
b. Analysis of Voltage Control mode & its impact: The Central Electricity
Authority (CEA) has mandated that all renewable energy (RE) generators must
be capable of providing dynamic reactive power support within a ±0.95 power
factor range during normal operation. In response to this, SRLDC has advised
all ISTS RE plants and inverter-based resources to operate in voltage control
mode. As on 31.03.2023, Tuticorin_JSWRETwo,Tuticorin_NTPCETPRM AND
Hiryur_Ostro Kannda have shifted their reference to Point of Interconnection.
Remaining RE plants are taking the reference from their 220kV or 33kV or 66kV
side at developer pooling station and they are in the process of shifting the
reference.
c. Visit of Delegates from West African Region to SRLDC: Grid-India in
association with International Solar Association (ISA) & West African Power
Pool (WAPP) conducted a knowledge sharing & Study Tour to India on the topic
“Planning and Implementation of Solar Energy Generation Facilities”. The
delegates are from the West African Region. Delegates from West African
Region in three batches visited SRLDC during February and March 2023 as
part of their knowledge sharing and study tour to India. The study tour consisted
of three days of classroom sessions viz Two days in Delhi and one day in
Bangalore. Further guided visits to solar plants at Pavagada solar park,
Southern Regional Load Despatch Centre, Regional Renewable Energy
Management Centre, Karnataka State Load Despatch Centre, and State
Renewable Energy Management Centre at Bangalore were organized.

In conclusion, this report aims to support further learning and knowledge dissemination
in the field of renewables. It also serves as an analysis of experiences for system
operators to effectively manage the grid in the future.

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 22 of 308


1. Introduction

1.1 Background
“There can be no sustainable development without sustainable energy development.” - Margot
Wallstrom

Sustainable Development is the buzzword that has driven nations worldwide to work
together towards achieving its sustainability goals. India, because of its size and
dynamism, has a key role to play in the world’s transition to a clean energy future. The
government has also chalked out various policy, market and regulatory measures to
incentivise renewable generation and ease their integration into the existing grid. India
also displays diverse potential for renewables across its states. As such some of the
Indian states already derive larger share of energy from renewable resources as
compared to certain countries. With the Government’s clear vision towards a clean
energy future, India is poised to demonstrate to the world its commitment towards
reaching net-zero carbon emission and providing cost-effective clean sources for its
energy requirements. The Government of India’s target of 500 GW of Non-Fossil Fuel
Energy Sources installed capacity by the year 2030 with the major contribution from
wind and solar is being realised with a plan of adding 50GW of renewables to the grid
annually. India’s total renewable installed capacity as on 31st March 2023 is 125.16
GW and is on increasing trend over the years.

The Renewable Energy Management Centres (REMC) are established for effective
monitoring and management of large-scale integration of renewables in the electricity
grid. 11 No’s Renewable Energy Management centre (REMC) are set up in SR, NR
and WR to manage Renewable Energy with provision for monitoring, forecasting and
scheduling. The REMCs are co-located with the State Load Dispatch Centres (SLDCs)
in Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat
and Rajasthan; and in Regional Load Dispatch Centres (RLDCs) at Bengaluru,
Mumbai and New Delhi; and at the National Load Dispatch Centre (NLDC). In
Telangana the REMC is in commissioning stage as on 31.03.2023

Renewable Energy Management Center (REMC) in SRLDC is operational since


February 2020 and performing the effective real time Renewable Energy Operation,
Scheduling and Forecasting.

SRLDC had shared the experience of RE integration by publishing the first report titled
“Renewable Energy in Southern Region: Journey so Far” in the month of December
2021. In continuation to the same, an annual report is envisaged to be published
annually covering the previous year experience of handling renewables in Southern
Regional Grid. Accordingly, a report has been prepared to cover the comprehensive
analysis of the various parameters pertaining to renewables in Southern Region for
the year 2022-23.

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 23 of 308


1.2 Salient Features of Southern Regional Grid

Southern Region is the third largest geographical area amongst the five regions,
covering approx. 19.31% of the area & approx. 20.2% of India’s population and around
30 % (1,23,001 MW out of 4,16,059 MW) of the Installed Capacity.

Southern Region has one of the Best Hydro Thermal mix (20% - 80%) facilitating
highest operational flexibility.

Figure 1 Source-wise Generating Capacity of SR as on 31/03/2023


Source: CEA Website https://cea.nic.in/installed-capacity-report/?lang=en

The effective generating capacity of Southern Region as on 31st March 2023 is


123001 MW with Regional peak demand met of 64337 MW and consumption of 1301
MU.

The locations of Wind and Solar plants are shown on geographical map below.

Figure 2 Geographical Map of SR as on 31/03/2023

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 24 of 308


2. Renewable Energy in Southern Regional Grid

2.1 Growth of Renewable Energy in Southern Regional Grid


Renewable generating capacity in Southern Region is the highest amongst all Regions
with a total capacity of 50,283 MW as on 31st March 2023. There has been significant
year on year increase in renewable energy. The growth of renewable energy can be
seen in the below figure. An increase of 7.19 % in renewable energy installed capacity
is observed in Southern region during 2022-23 as compared to previous year amidst
the challenges of the pandemic conditions.

Figure 3 Growth of Renewables in SR


Source: CEA https://cea.nic.in/installed-capacity-report/?lang=en
Source: SRPC http://www.srpc.kar.nic.in/html/xml-search/reports.html#gsc.tab=0
Source: SRLDC https://www.srldc.in/Monthly-Reports

Renewable capacity of all types in Southern region is around 50,283 MW (as on 31st
March 2023), which forms around 40.17 % of all India Renewable capacity (Total of
all types of RE, 125160 MW) of India.

2.2 Installed Capacity as on 31.03.2023


Wind and Solar capacity forms 84% of total renewable energy in Southern Region.
Accordingly, the emphasis is on Solar and Wind Energy. The list of existing Solar and
Wind Projects as on 31.03.2023 is attached as Annexure-I. The summary of Solar and
Wind installed Capacity as on 31.03.2023 is shown below.
IC AP TS KAR KL TN ISTS SR
(MW)
Wind 4084 128 5089 70 8739 1516 19626
Solar 2877 3762 5488 278 6135 3955 22495
Total 6961 3890 10577 348 14874 5471 42121

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 25 of 308


Table 1 State-wise installed capacity of Wind and Grid Connected Solar as on 31/03/2023
*Source: Data as provided by States to SRLDC on annual basis.

2.3 RE Capacity additions during the year 2022-23

Totally 2,503 MW RE (Wind + Solar) was added during the financial year 2022-23 with
2098 MW of Solar and 403 MW of wind. RE (Wind + Solar) of Southern Region
increased by 6.31% with 10.28 % increase in Solar and 2.09 % in wind as compared
to previous year.
Capacity Additions during 2022-23
Solar Wind Total
States/Region Solar % Wind % Total %
(MW) (MW) (MW)
Andhra Pradesh 127 0 127 4.61 0.0 1.86
Telangana 0 0 0 0 0 0
Karnataka 338 119 457 6.56 2.39 4.51
Kerala 92 0.75 92.75 49.46 0.0 35.93
Tamil Nadu 1192 124 1316 24.08 1.4 9.69
ISTS 350 160 510 9.7 11.8 10.28
Southern
2099 403.75 2502.75 10.28 2.09 6.31
Region

Table 2 State-wise Installed capacity addition of Wind and Solar


*Source: Data as provided by States to SRLDC on annual basis

2.4 RE Capacity additions and expected transmission system in near


future.

MNRE/SECI has identified 86 GW potential REZs (34 GW Wind & 52 GW Solar) in


Southern Region and around 51.5 GW of Transmission schemes will be built to
evacuate the RE power as per the as per the “Transmission System for Integration of
over 500 GW RE Capacity by 2030” by CEA. The link for the report is given below
https://cea.nic.in/wpcontent/uploads/notification/2022/12/CEA_Tx_Plan_for_500GW
_Non_fossil_capacity_by_2030.pdf

The details of generation addition along with their related transmission system are
attached as Annexure-2.

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 26 of 308


3. Renewable (Solar + Wind) Profile

3.1 Renewable (Solar + Wind) Generation

Southern Region has witnessed a maximum Instantaneous RE generation of 24,796


MW on 26th June 2022 at 12:30 Hrs which is 15.68% more compared to 21,434 MW
on 11th June 2021 at 12:05 Hrs during previous financial year 2021-22. In terms of
MU, highest recorded during FY 2022-23 is 356 MUs on 14th July 2022 which is 7.22%
more as compared to 332 MUs on 03rd August 2021 during the previous financial
year 2021-22. The daily average RE energy is 175.65 MU/day for the year 2022-23
which is 1.53% more as compared 173 MU/day during previous financial year 2021-
22.

State / Maximum Average Maximum daily RE Energy during


Region Instantaneous RE daily RE FY 2022-23
during FY 2022-23 Energy in
2022-23
MW Date & MUs MUs CUF for the Date
Time day in %
Andhra 5069 15-07-2022 40.44 97.35 58.81 14-07-2022
Pradesh 11:33
Karnataka 6247.565 24-06-2022 58.09 104.99 42.85 11-08-2022
12:06
Kerala 241.02 13-10-2022 2.11 3.58 51.12 01-06-2022
12:04
Tamil Nadu 8436 26-06-2022 58.57 140.03 42.46 09-07-2022
11:40
Telangana 3215 13-02-2023 25.33 38.03 40.73 13-02-2023
12:08
ISTS 4433 11-08-2022 31.38 49.92 41.51 22-05-2022
11:37
Southern 24796 26-06-2022 175.65 356.02 37.04 14-07-2022
Region 12:30

Table 3: Highest Instantaneous Renewable Generation and Energy during FY 2022-23

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 27 of 308


State / Maximum Instantaneous Maximum daily RE Energy till
Region RE till 31.03.2023 31.03.2023
MW Date & Time MUs CUF for the Date
day in %
Andhra 5653 17-06-2021 97.35 58.81 14-07-2022
Pradesh 13:26
Karnataka 6734 25-07-2021 104.99 42.85 11-08-2022
14:24
Kerala 241.02 13-10-2022 3.58 51.12 01-06-2022
12:04
Tamil Nadu 8436 26-06-2022 140.03 42.46 09-07-2022
11:40
Telangana 3744 28-02-2022 38.03 40.73 13-02-2023
12:51
ISTS 4433 11-08-2022 49.92 41.51 22-05-2022
11:37
Southern 24796 26-06-2022 356.02 37.04 14-07-2022
Region 12:30

Table 4: Highest Instantaneous Renewable Generation and Energy as on 31.03.2023

3.2 RE Penetration

Penetration refers to the percentage of electricity generated by a particular resource.


It essentially refers to the percentage relative to the total amount of electricity
generated or consumed.

States has to face the challenge of flexing / backing down its conventional resources
for accommodating renewable energy of state as well as interstate RE schedule drawn
by the state. Hence the penetration is calculated as below:

State RE Penetration = (state RE generation + interstate RE schedule)


State Demand
Similarly, for southern region

Region RE Penetration = (Region RE generation + interregional RE schedule)


Regional Demand

Below is a brief analysis of the penetration of renewable energy in Southern Region


during the FY 2022-23.

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 28 of 308


State / Annual
Region Maximum MW Penetration Maximum Daily MU Penetration
during FY 2022-23 Penetration during 2022-23 during
2022-23
% CUF Date & % Date CUF %
for Time for the
the day in
day in %
%
Andhra 85.5 56.2 12-07-2022 58.6 12-07-2022 56.2 20.5
Pradesh 12:32
Karnataka 123.3 38.83 09-08-2022 65.4 10-08-2022 42.20 27.52
12:51
Kerala 12.0 44.07 24-07-2022 5.2 24-07-2022 44.07 2.78
12:39
Tamil Nadu 76.7 38.34 11-09-2022 50.1 07-08-2022 40.17 18.4
13:34
Telangana 50.5 28.08 22-05-2022 17.6 23-10-2022 30.73 12.17
13:39
Southern 62.3 35.15 22-05-2022 41 10-07-2022 33.72 17.23
Region 13:46
Table 5 Maximum Renewable Penetration Instantaneous and Energy during FY 2022-23

State / Region Maximum MW Penetration till Maximum Daily MU Penetration till


31.03.2023 31.03.2023
% CUF Date & Time % Date CUF for
for the the day in
day in %
%
Andhra Pradesh 85.5 56.2 12-07-2022 58.6 12-07-2022 56.2
12:32
Karnataka 132 33.56 25-07-2021 72.5 04-08-2020 36.7
14:24
Kerala 12.0 44.07 24-07-2022 5.2 24-07-2022 44.07
12:39
Tamil Nadu 76.7 38.34 11-09-2022 50.1 07-08-2022 40.17
13:34
Telangana 50.5 28.08 22-05-2022 17.6 23-10-2022 30.73
13:39
Southern 62.3 35.15 22-05-2022 41 10-07-2022 33.72
Region 13:46
Table 6 Maximum Renewable Penetration Instantaneous and Energy as on 31.03.2023

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 29 of 308


The generation profile on the instantaneous maximum penetration of Southern Region
viz 62.9% at 13:46 hrs on 22nd May 2022 is plotted below.

Southern Region Generation Distribution on Highest Instantaneous RE Penetration Instant


Gas/Diesel +
Thermal Hydro Wind Solar IR Flow Demand
Others
MW 16474 1403 1881 9983 13331 -6487
36584
Percentage 45.03% 3.83% 5.14% 27.29% 36.44% -17.73%

Figure 4: Source-wise generation on maximum instantaneous RE day on 22.05.2022

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 30 of 308


The generation profile on the maximum energy penetration day of Southern Region
viz 41% on 10th July 2022 is plotted below:

Southern Region Generation Distribution on Highest RE (Wind + Solar) Energy Penetration Day
Gas/Diesel +
Thermal Hydro Wind Solar IR Flow Demand
Others
MU 373.3 81.7 67.5 270.8 53.4 -38.4
808.2
Percentage 46.18 10.12 8.35 33.50 6.61 -4.75

Figure 5: Source-wise generation on maximum RE Energy Penetration Day on 10.07.2022

The Southern Region generation profile has been plotted for days of interest during
FY 2022-23 and attached as Annexure-3.

The Heat map of Southern Region RE Instantaneous Penetration for the period
April 2022- March 2023 is plotted below. The plot gives a clear visualization of the
variations of renewable generation in SR over the months. More than 50% RE
penetration can be observed during the months of June-July-August. Towards the later
part of the year, RE penetration shows a decreasing trend.

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 31 of 308


Figure 6: Heat map of Southern Region RE Instantaneous Penetration for 2022-23

Heat maps of State RE Penetration for the period April 2022- March 2023 is plotted
below. Among the Southern Region States, as can be observed from the heat plots,
instantaneous RE penetration for Karnataka remained considerably high achieving a
instantaneous maximum of 123% penetration on 9th August 2022 at 12:51 Hrs with
main contribution from Wind generation. In case of Telangana, as evident from the RE
penetration heat plot, there is minimal wind generation in the state of Telangana and
main contribution is from solar generation. For the states of Andhra Pradesh and
Tamil Nadu, the maximum instantaneous RE penetration was around 85.6% and
76.7% respectively during FY 2022-23.

Likewise, Heat maps of Solar & wind Penetration with respect to the Southern Region
states are plotted separately for the period April 2022- March 2023 and attached at
Annexure 4.

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 32 of 308


Figure 7: Heat maps of States RE Instantaneous Penetration for the period Apr 2022- Mar 2023

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 33 of 308


3.3 Renewable Generation in MUs
• Total energy generated from RE (Wind + Solar) during 2022-23 was around 69.02
Billion Units which is 9.17% higher as compared to 63.22 Billion Units during the
previous financial year 2021-22. The Maximum RE energy (Wind+Solar) 7.94 BU
was observed in the month of July 2022 with major contribution from wind being
5.43 Billion Units.

Southern Region Renewables Month wise Generation in (MU)


9000

7940
8000 7617 7476
7159
7000 6582
SR RE GENERATION (MU)

6000 5516
5277
4893
5000 4332
4199 4374
3651
4000

3000

2000

1000

0
Apr-22 May-22 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23
Solar 3182 3086 3074 2513 2798 2907 2890 2798 2918 3642 3602 3811
Wind 1017 4073 4542 5427 4678 3675 1483 853 1414 1635 1291 1705
Total RE 4199 7159 7617 7940 7476 6582 4374 3651 4332 5277 4893 5516

Figure 8: Month wise renewable generation for 2022-23

• Total energy generated from Wind during 2022-23 was around 31.79 Billion Units
which is 6.58% more as compared to 29.83 Billion Units during the previous
financial year 2021-22. Starting from the later part of May and then during June,
July, August and September, high wind generation was observed and the
generation came down after third week of October 2022. Maximum Wind energy
of 5.43 Billion Units was observed in the month of July 2022.

• Total Solar energy generated during 2022-23 is 37.22 Billion Units which is
11.48% more as compared to 33.39 Billion Units during last financial year 2021-
22. During April, May, June, January, February and March, high solar generation

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 34 of 308


was observed. Maximum Solar energy generation 3.81 Billion Units was observed
in the month of March 2023.

• The average daily RE, Wind and Solar generation in MUs for southern states for
2022-23 is detailed below.
State / Region Average Daily RE Energy in MUs in 2022-23
RE Wind Solar
Andhra Pradesh 32.5 19.86 12.65
Karnataka 47.11 22.3 24.81
Kerala 1.43 0.35 1.08
Tamil Nadu 56.93 34.24 22.69
Telangana 18.74 0.79 17.95
ISTS 31.375 9.529 21.845
Southern Region 178.27 87.08 91.2

Table 7: Average Daily RE Energy in MUs in 2022-23

• The daily RE generation in MU comprising wind and solar during 2022-23 is plotted
below. As can be observed from the plot below, RE generation remained high
starting May 2022 till September 2022 and was minimum in the months of October-
November.

Figure 9: Day wise SR renewable generation 2022-23 (MU)

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 35 of 308


• Maximum RE (Wind+Solar) generation in MU recorded in Southern Region during
FY 2022-23 is 376.38 MU on 14th July 2022 and the minimum recorded is 67.38
MU on 9th October 2022.
• Heat map of Southern Region RE generation for the period April 2022- March 2023
is plotted below. From the heat map plot it is evident that the maximum RE
generation was in the month of July 2022. Renewable generation was minimum
during the months of October-November-December and was on increasing trend
thereafter.

Figure 10: Heat map of Southern Region RE generation during FY 2022-23

• State wise Heat map of RE generation for the period 2022-23 is plotted below.

From the state wise heat maps, it can be observed that for the states of Andhra
Pradesh, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu, maximum generation from renewable sources
is during the months of June-July-August and on decreasing trend during October-
November-December which is aligned to the regional trend. For Telangana state, the
maximum renewable generation is observed during January-February-March, since
its renewable generation portfolio mainly comprises of Solar.

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 36 of 308


Figure 11: Heat map of States RE generation for period 2022-23

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 37 of 308


3.4 Wind Generation:
On 12th July 2022, Southern Region Wind generation touched maximum of 296.77
MU. On this day total Renewable (Solar + Wind) penetration in SR energy
consumption was 40.92 % which comprises 296.77 MU of wind and 76.49 MU of solar
generation in 858.04 MU of SR consumption. Wind generation details during FY 2022-
23 are summarised below.

State / Region Maximum Instantaneous Average Maximum daily Wind


Wind during FY 2022-23 daily Energy during FY
Wind 2022-23
Energy in
2022-23
MW Date & Time MUs MUs Date
Andhra Pradesh 3395 15-07-2022 10:20 19.86 79.31 14-07-2022
Karnataka 3521 05-07-2022 14:00 22.3 74.94 12-07-2022
Kerala 26 25-06-2022 07:15 0.35 1.16 01-06-2022
Tamil Nadu 5713 03.07.2022 19:43 34.24 120.25 09-07-2022
Telangana 128.1 09.08.2022 19:53 0.79 2.97 09-08-2022
ISTS 1262 28-06-2022 19:15 9.53 29.16 12-07-2022
Southern Region 13208 12-07-2022 15:21 87.08 296.77 12-07-2022

Table 8: Highest instantaneous wind generation and Energy during FY 2022-23

State / Region Maximum Instantaneous Wind till Maximum daily Wind


31.03.2023 Energy till 31.03.2023
MW Date & Time MUs Date
Andhra Pradesh 3395 15-07-2022 10:20 79.31 14-07-2022
Karnataka 3686 21-07-2021 19:15 79.85 22-07-2021
Kerala 26 25-06-2022 07:15 1.16 01-06-2022
Tamil Nadu 5713 03.07.2022 19:43 120.25 09-07-2022
Telangana 128.1 09.08.2022 19:53 2.97 09-08-2022
ISTS 1262 28-06-2022 19:15 29.16 12-07-2022
Southern Region 13208 12-07-2022 15:21 296.77 12-07-2022

Table 9: Highest instantaneous wind generation and Energy as on 31.03.2023

Heat map of Southern Region Wind Generation for period April 2022- March 2023
is plotted below. The Heat map clearly depicts maximum wind generation during the
months of June - July - August 2022. Thereafter from October 2022 till March 2023,
Southern Region wind generation mostly remained below 4000 MW as can be
observed from the heat map.

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 38 of 308


Figure 12: Heat map of Southern Region Wind generation from April 2022- March 2023

• Heat map of states’ wind generation during FY 2022-23 is plotted below. As can
be observed from the heat map plots of the states’ wind generation, for all the
southern region states, the wind season typically starts towards the end of May
and continues till September. For Telangana the wind installations are less as
compared to the other states, thus minimal generation can be observed from the
heat map.

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 39 of 308


Figure 13: Heat map of States Wind generation for period April 2022- March 2023

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 40 of 308


3.5 Solar Generation:

On 26th Feb 2023, SR Solar generation touched maximum of 123.36 MU. On this day
total renewable (Solar + Wind) penetration in SR energy consumption was 17.4 %
which comprises 83.05 MU of wind and 123.36 MU of solar generation in 1172 MU of
SR consumption.
State / Region Maximum Instantaneous Solar Average Maximum daily Solar
during FY 2022-23 daily Energy during 2022-
Solar 23
Energy in
2022-23
MW Date & Time MUs MUs Date
Andhra Pradesh 2317 17-01-2023 13:23 12.65 16.99 21-03-2023
Karnataka 4451 28-02-2023 12:15 24.81 36.35 28-02-2023
Kerala 233 22-03-2023 12:20 1.08 1.71 23-03-2023
Tamil Nadu 4887 26-02-2023 12:33 22.69 36 25-02-2023
Telangana 3186 13-02-2023 12:09 17.95 24.7 23-05-2022
ISTS 3916 23-02-2023 12:40 21.84 30.19 21-03-2023
Southern Region 18500 13-02-2023 12:42 91.2 123.36 26-02-2023

Table 10: Highest instantaneous Solar generation and Energy during FY 2022-23

State / Region Maximum Instantaneous Solar till Maximum daily Solar


31.03.2023 Energy till 31.03.2023
MW Date & Time MUs Date
Andhra Pradesh 2790 20-06-2021 11:00 17.2 28-02-2022
Karnataka 4451 28-02-2023 12:15 36.35 28-02-2023
Kerala 233 22-03-2023 12:20 1.71 23-03-2023
Tamil Nadu 4887 26-02-2023 12:33 36 25-02-2023
Telangana 3744 28-02-2022 12:51 24.7 23-05-2022
ISTS 3916 23-02-2023 12:40 30.19 21-03-2023
Southern Region 18500 13-02-2023 12:42 123.36 26-02-2023

Table 11: Highest instantaneous Solar generation and Energy as on 31.03.2023

Heat map of Southern Region Solar generation for the period April 2022- March
2023 is plotted below. From the heat map plot it can be observed that the maximum
solar generation in Southern Region is during the months of January to March. Solar
generation remains minimum during the months of July-August-September as is
evident from the heat map.

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 41 of 308


Figure 14: Heat map of Southern Region Solar for period April 2022- March 2023

• Heat map of states solar generation for FY 2022-23 is plotted below.


From the heat map plots of the states’ solar generation, it is evident that the solar
generation remains high during the months of January, February and March. For
Tamil Nadu state, solar generation was low from April till November and gradually
picked up after December.

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 42 of 308


Figure 15: Heat map of States solar generation for period April 2022- March 2023

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 43 of 308


3.6 Net Load (Highest RE MU Penetration - 10th July 2022)

The net load is the load available for the nonrenewable generation fleet after deducting
variable wind and solar from the total load. The difference between total load and net
load for highest RE MU penetration day 10th July 2022 is shown below.

Figure 16: Net load vs Total Load for a highest RE day

The difference between total load and net load for highest demand day 15th March
2023 is shown below.

Figure 17: Net load vs Total Load for a highest Demand Day

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 44 of 308


3.7 Ramp Variation (Highest RE MU Penetration - 10th July 2022)

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Figure 18: Ramp of Demand, RE, Netload, Wind, Solar

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4. Performance of RE stations

The performance of a RE power plant is often denominated by a metric called the


Capacity Utilisation Factor (CUF). It is the ratio of the actual output from a solar/wind
plant over the year to the maximum possible output from it for a year under ideal
conditions. Capacity Utilisation factor is usually expressed in percentage.

4.1 Capacity Utilisation Factor of States and Southern Region for FY


2022-23

Wind Solar RE
State/ISTS/Region
Annual CUF% Annual CUF% Annual CUF%
Andhra Pradesh 19.79 19.48 19.66
Karnataka 19.92 19.11 19.50
Kerala 21.16 18.41 19.00
Tamil Nadu 16.447 17.027 16.67
Telangana 24.88 20.44 20.59
ISTS 27.86 24.02 25.07
Southern Region 18.96 19.71 19.36

Table 12 State Wise Renewable Energy CUF

* Annual CUF has been computed for States/Region by using the month wise energy submitted by the
states and month wise installed capacity available with SRLDC.

4.2 Capacity Utilisation Factor of ISTS connected RE stations

The Power Purchase agreements as well as CERC regulation mentions the minimum
generation in terms of energy or capacity utilisation factor below which penalty clauses
come in. Similarly, it also mentions the maximum generation / capacity utilisation factor
up to which buyer is obligated to take. Any generation beyond the maximum
generation / capacity utilisation factor is at the option of the buyer. The annual
performance of ISTS RE plants is summarised below

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TOTAL ISTS
DEVELOPER IC as on ENERGY (MU) Corresponding CUF%
31.03.23 From PPA Schedule From PPA Schedule
MAX MIN MAX MIN

Wind 1515.8 6679.32 4824.04 3685.155 47.98 35.11 32.14


NP Kunta 1400 3196.61 2548.70 2901.65 30.41 20.78 23.66
Pavagada 2050 5016.02 3349.80 4474.95 27.93 18.65 24.92
Tuticorin Solar 380 885.85 651.31 408.63 26.61 19.57 22.68
ISTS RE 5345.8 14799.51 10721.66 11470.39 33.05 23.92 28.92

Table 13 Annual performance of ISTS RE (Wind +Solar)

WIND
ENERGY (MU) Corresponding CUF%
IC as on
DEVELOPER As per PPA As per PPA
31.03.23 Schedule Schedule
MAX MIN MAX MIN
PGLR_SREPL 300 1103.76 827.82 755.06 42 31.5 28.73
HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA 268.8 1246.5 831 547.81 47.43 31.62 34.18

Tuticorin_BETAMWIND 220 1176.7 882.52 564.17 53.69 40.27 29.27


Tuticorin_GIREL 250 856.39 642.25 708.03 39.1 29.33 32.33
Tuticorin_Mytrah 250 592.35 444.26 531.05 27.05 20.29 24.25
Tuticorin_Orange 200 725.33 544 545.89 41.4 31.05 31.16
Tuticorin_JSWRETwo 27 978.29 652.19 33.15 37.22 24.82 45.82
Tuticorin Pooling Station 947 4329.06 3165.22 2382.29 44.68 33.51 31.51
ISTS Wind 1515.8 6679.32 4824.04 3685.155 47.98 35.11 32.14

Table 14 The Annual performance of ISTS Wind plants

*Hiriyur_OstroKannada has come in stages in 2021-22 and 2022-23 and Tuticorin JSWRETwo has come in stages
in 2022-23 and yet to be fully commissioned as on 31.03.2023. Hence, the AVC for the specific period has been
used for computation of CUF instead of IC for the whole year.

* Maximum and minimum energy noted from the PPA wherever available and corresponding CUF worked out.
Maximum and minimum CUF noted from the PPA wherever available and corresponding energy worked out.
Similar plants CUF/energy limits have been taken wherever both were not available

*For Tuticorin_JSWRETwo data is provided for full Installed capacity, however the full quantum is yet to be
commissioned. Hence Schedule (MU) mentioned above is the figure of Total scheduled power with the available
capacity up to 31.03.2023.

*For ISTS wind, ISTS solar, ISTS RE CUF w.r.t schedule is computed w.r.t AVC in the view of above-mentioned
reasons.

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SOLAR
ENERGY (MU) Corresponding CUF%
IC as on
DEVELOPER As per PPA As per PPA
31.03.23 Schedule Schedule
MAX MIN MAX MIN
NPKUNTA PS
ANP_AthenaBhiwadi 50 116.60 90.10 110.78 26.62 20.57 25.29
ANP_AthenaHisar 50 116.60 90.10 110.58 26.62 20.57 25.25
ANP_AthenaKarnal 50 116.60 90.10 110.48 26.62 20.57 25.22
ANP_AYANA 250 614.95 505.45 561.67 28.08 23.08 25.65
ANP_AZURE 50 97.81 75.58 91.10 22.33 17.26 20.80
ANP_IGS1 50 127.20 98.29 104.27 29.04 22.44 23.81
ANP_IGS2 50 127.20 98.29 107.91 29.04 22.44 24.64
ANP_NTPC 250 397.05 287.55 390.96 18.13 13.13 17.85
ANP_AdaniAPSeven 250 614.95 505.45 575.83 28.29 23.26 26.29
Anp_SprngAgnitra 250 646.05 536.55 539.14 29.50 24.50 24.62
ANP_TATARENEWABLE 100 221.63 171.26 198.93 25.31 19.55 22.71
NP KUNTA Pooling Station 1400 3196.61 2548.70 2901.65 26.06 20.78 23.66
PAVAGADA PS
PVG_Amplus_Tumkur 50 120.45 98.55 108.00 27.50 22.50 24.66
PVG_Amplus_Pavagada 50 120.45 98.55 107.53 27.50 22.50 24.55
PVG_ADYAH 300 730.03 414.46 675.71 27.76 15.76 25.71
PVG_AVAADASOLAR 150 355.13 197.45 326.46 27.03 15.03 24.84
PVG_AvaadaSolarise 150 365.76 207.66 332.37 27.84 15.80 25.29
PVG_AzurePowerEarth 100 245.44 140.26 227.39 28.02 16.01 25.96
PVG_FORTUM 100 226.00 182.20 193.35 25.80 20.80 22.07
PVG_FortumSolar 250 657.72 394.63 532.53 30.00 18.00 24.32
PVG_KREDL 50 105.41 52.70 102.82 24.00 12.00 23.48
PVG_PARAMPUJYA 150 354.35 288.65 310.86 26.97 21.97 23.66
PVG_RENEW_TN2 50 109.50 87.60 108.54 25.00 20.00 24.78
PVG_AdaniKANine 200 473.00 385.44 467.16 27.00 22.00 26.66
PVG_TATARENEWABLE 400 1034.51 705.29 873.74 29.52 20.13 24.94
PVG_YARROW 50 118.26 96.36 108.48 27.00 22.00 24.77
PAVAGADA Pooling
2050 5016.02 3349.80 4474.95 27.93 18.65 24.92
Station
TUTICORIN PS
Tuticorin_GRTJIPL 150 347.13 268.24 249.02 26.42 20.41 20.68
Tuticorin_NTPCETPRM 230 538.72 383.07 159.61 26.72 19 26.71
Tuticorin Pooling Station 380 885.85 651.31 408.63 26.61 19.57 22.68

Table 15 Annual performance of ISTS Solar plants


For Tuticorin_GRTJIPL has come in stages in 2021-22 and 2022-23 and & Tuticorin_NTPCETPRM has
come in stages in 2022-23. Hence, the AVC for the specific period has been used for computation of
CUF instead of IC for the whole year.

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5. Forecasting, Scheduling and Deviation at Interstate

5.1 Forecasting

5.1.1 Regulatory Provisions


Indian Electricity Grid Code 2010 mandates Forecasting to be carried out by wind and
solar generators which are regional entities as well as the concerned RLDC. The
important aspects of forecasting by RLDC and renewable generators are summarized
as below.

a) Regional Load Despatch Centre (RLDC)

• Objective of RE forecasting is to ensure secure grid operation


• Prepares schedule for such generating stations.
• Forecasting is used in applications such as Maintaining Load Generation
balance, Spinning reserves, Optimization of reserves, Transmission outage
planning etc.
• Regional Load Despatch Centre may engage forecasting agency(ies)

b) Wind and solar generators which are regional entities

• Generator specific forecasting for its commercial aspects.


• The schedule is expected to be based on availability of the generator, weather
forecasting, solar insolation/ irradiance, season and normal solar generation
curve
• Option of accepting the concerned Regional Load Despatch Centre’s forecast
for preparing its schedule
• Commercial impact if any borne by generator
• Forecasting is used in for Planning maintenance, Participating in electricity
markets, Avoiding/Reducing Penalties for Deviations from schedule

The wind and solar generators which are regional entities shall forecast and schedule
renewable energy generation at the following time intervals:

• Day ahead forecast: Wind and solar energy generation forecast with an interval
of 15 minutes for the next 24 hours for the aggregate generation capacity of 50
MW and above.
• The schedule by wind and solar generators which are regional entities
(excluding collective transactions) can revise their schedule by giving advance
notice to the concerned RLDC. Such revisions would become effective from 4th
time block, the first being the time-block in which notice was given. Regulation
allows one revision for each time slot of one and half hours starting from 00:00
hours of a particular day subject to maximum of 16 revisions during the day.

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5.1.2 History of Renewables Forecasting at SRLDC
The history of forecasting of renewables at SRLDC can be divided into five phases as
shown below:

First Phase upto 2015-2016

• In House Wind forecasting done based on historical data


Second Phase 2017-2018

• In-house Model Developed Collecting wind farm locations and weather data
• The model was tested on Karnataka wind with installed capacity of 3634 MW at that
time.
• State divided into 9 areas by grouping pooling station to nearest area for forecasting
purpose.
• Combination of wind speed and gust is considered for forecasting purpose
• Maximum wind generated during the hour is considered
• 2nd order Regression model is used

Third Phase 2018 to 2020

• Pilot Projects with MoU With Forecasters for 6 Months


• RE Connect for Wind and Solar
• DNVGL – ISGS Solar
• Manikaran for ISGS Solar
• NIWE for Regional Wind

Fourth Phase February2020 onwards

• Renewable Energy Management Centre

Fifth Phase April 2021 onwards

• In House Wind forecasting done based on Artificial Intelligence in addtion to tool


provided in REMC
5.1.3 Performance of Forecast Providers

Deviation Charges for excess generation / shortfall shall be payable/ receivable


to/from the wind or solar generators from/to the Regional Deviation Settlement
Mechanism Pool. It may be seen that deviation up to 15% is at the fixed rate viz no
impact on the RE generator. The forecast error analysis for Southern Region RE is
shown below. The forecast error analysis is carried out based on SEM data.
SRLDC REMC have 1 Internal Forecasting Tool (IFT), 3 external Forecast Service
Providers (FSP) and One Forecast Combination & Aggregator (FCA). However, it may
be noted that out of the 3 external Forecast Service Providers (FSP), services of one

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FSP has been terminated since March 2022 based on least performance during the
two-year evaluation period (1st February 2020 to 31st January 2022). Further
developers are also forecasting on their own and submitting their schedules
accordingly. In order to understand the performance of the forecast service providers
during the FY 2022-23, forecast error analysis is carried out based on SEM data.

Figure 19: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for SR ISTS Connected RE

Table 16: Forecast Error Data for SR ISTS Connected RE

Table 17: Forecast Error Statistics for SR ISTS Connected RE

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Figure 20: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Table 18: Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for
Error for ISTS RE ISTS RE

Table 15: Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for SR ISTS Connected RE

Figure 21: NRMSE Plot for ISTS RE Figure 22: MAPE Plot for ISTS RE

Table 19: Annual performance of ISTS Solar plants

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The forecast error analysis of RE, Wind and solar for Regional, States, Pooling station
and ISTS connected RE is at Annexure -5. The performance of forecast/scheduling of
ISTS RE Stations carried out by developer and RLDC is analyzed and tabulated
below.

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Developer FCA(SRLDC)
Developer
<-15% Within Band >15% <-15% Within Band >15%
NP Kunta Pooling Station
ANP_AthenaBhiwadi 9.02 82.30 8.68 8.63 73.05 18.32
ANP_AthenaHisar 9.17 82.88 7.95 8.67 74.93 16.40
ANP_AthenaKarnal 9.01 83.16 7.83 8.35 75.42 16.23
ANP_Azure 6.58 87.98 5.44 7.98 80.74 11.28
ANP_IGS1 6.92 85.99 7.09 8.91 78.47 12.62
ANP_IGS2 6.48 85.79 7.73 8.96 77.37 13.67
ANP_NTPC 5.03 92.10 2.87 5.98 90.67 3.35
ANP_Adani AP Seven 7.74 85.90 6.36 11.48 75.57 12.95
ANP_TATARenewable 8.60 85.00 6.40 8.52 82.28 9.20
ANP_Ayana Solar 6.97 86.09 6.94 11.51 81.21 7.28
ANP_SprngAgnitra 8.42 83.81 7.77 10.32 80.89 8.79

NP Kunta Pooling Station 7.78 89.31 2.91 6.89 87.34 5.77


Pavagada Pooling Station
PVG_Amplus_Tumkur 8.79 84.82 6.39 9.23 81.69 9.08
PVG_Amplus_Pavagada 8.52 84.45 7.03 9.61 80.63 9.76
PVG_ADYAH 6.63 87.02 6.35 8.42 80.97 10.61
PVG_AVAADA_Solar 9.20 83.61 7.19 9.20 82.47 8.33
PVG_AvvadaSolarise 8.47 85.75 5.78 8.75 84.29 6.96
PVG_AzurePowerEarth 7.55 83.50 8.95 9.25 80.59 10.16
PVG_FORTUM 6.75 87.33 5.92 8.46 84.21 7.33
PVG_FortumSolar 5.84 88.82 5.34 7.95 84.79 7.26
PVG_KREDL 13.13 79.01 7.86 8.94 86.26 4.80
PVG_PARAMPUJYA 7.99 86.47 5.54 11.50 81.75 6.75
PVG_ReNew_TN2 12.84 80.36 6.80 10.91 69.55 19.54
PVG_AdaniKANine 9.58 84.79 5.63 9.30 81.14 9.56
PVG_TATARenewable 7.54 86.41 6.05 8.20 82.28 9.52
PVG_Yarrow 8.87 84.90 6.23 10.07 81.11 8.82

Pavagada Pooling Station 5.03 91.62 3.35 4.96 79.20 15.84


Tuticorin Solar Pooling Station
Tuticorin_GRTJIPL 9.19 86.71 4.10 20.98 67.75 11.27
Tuticorin_NTPCETPRM 19.33 77.13 3.54 14.05 78.88 7.07

TuticorinSolar PS 9.80 86.37 3.83 21.22 63.08 15.70


Tuticorin Wind Pooling Station
Tuticorin_BetamWind 8.27 84.35 7.38 14.59 75.18 10.23
Tuticorin_GIREL 18.33 75.75 5.92 13.35 72.14 14.51
Tuticorin_Mytrah 5.48 89.36 5.16 9.78 81.33 8.89
Tuticorin_Orange 9.04 81.17 9.79 14.31 70.55 15.14
Tuticorin_JSW RE TWO 35.69 49.01 15.30 13.05 61.74 25.21

Tuticorin Wind PS 4.86 90.38 4.76 11.43 77.67 10.90


Tuticorin Pooling Station 3.06 93.81 3.13 9.55 81.37 9.08
Pugalur Wind
PGLR_SREPL 7.92 86.56 5.52 10.93 81.11 7.96
Pugalur Pooling Station 7.92 86.56 5.52 10.93 81.11 7.96
Hiriyur Wind
Hiriyur_OstroKannada 10.60 82.73 6.67 17.00 63.71 19.29
Hiriyur Pooling Station 10.60 82.73 6.67 17.00 63.71 19.29

ISTS Connected RE
Solar 2.32 96.55 1.13 3.86 92.47 3.67
Wind 2.04 95.91 2.05 6.65 87.01 6.34
ISTS Connected RE 0.59 99.19 0.22 1.16 97.94 0.90
Table 16 The Performance of forecast/scheduling of ISTS RE Stations

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The performance of forecast of states and Southern Region based on IFT and FCA is
analysed and shown below

Regional/State
IFT FCA
Developer
<-15% Within Band >15% <-15% Within Band >15%
Karnataka Solar 10.92 88.91 0.17 0.72 99.11 0.17
Karnataka Wind 3.84 96.05 0.11 0.58 99.19 0.23
Karnataka RE 1.87 98.06 0.07 0.05 99.95 0.00
Tamil Nadu Solar 2.88 89.86 7.26 2.04 96.90 1.06
Tamil Nadu Wind 5.77 92.94 1.29 0.85 97.83 1.32
Tamil Nadu RE 2.01 97.84 0.15 0.33 99.52 0.15
ISTS Connected Solar 5.43 85.49 9.08 3.86 92.47 3.67
ISTS Connected Wind 7.97 83.52 8.51 6.65 87.01 6.34
ISTS Connected RE 1.75 95.90 2.35 1.16 97.94 0.90

Table 17 Performance of forecast of states and SR based on IFT and FCA

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5.2 Scheduling

The scheduling is done as per Chapter 6 of IEGC and Procedure for implementation
of the Framework on Forecasting, Scheduling and Imbalance Handling for Renewable
Energy (RE) Generating Stations including Power Parks based on Wind and Solar at
Inter-State level. Solar and Wind Generations are not Subjected to ‘merit order
despatch’ and treated as a must-run station with the following exception of Grid
security or Safety of any equipment or personnel is endangered. State Load Despatch
Centre / Regional Load Despatch Centre to make all efforts to evacuate the available
solar and wind power

5.2.1 Regulatory Provision

a) Revisions are allowed only for long term and medium term open access
transactions as explained in above section. No revision for short term open access
transactions

b) Revision under Transmission curtailment is explained below

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c) Revision under Grid Disturbance scenario is explained below.

5.2.2 Contracts as on 31.03.2023

The list of scheduling contracts of Renewable entities of southern Region is listed as


Annexure -6

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5.2.3 Analysis of Revisions

The REMC scheduling programme is functional since 01.07.2020. The revision by


solar developers is analysed for the period 01.04.2022 to 31.03.2023 covering the
Financial Year.

a) Solar (Annual April 2022- Mar 2023).

It was observed that most of the developers have used revisions from R4 to R11.
Ayana, Azure, IGS1, IGS2 connected at NPKunta PS, Tata renewable at Pavagada
and GRTJITPL connected at Tuticorin observed to have significantly used R1, R2 and
R6 to R10 revisions.
Developer R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16
ANP_AthenaBhiwadi 0 0 0 20 14 12 11 12 10 12 8 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_AthenaHisar 0 0 0 21 14 12 11 11 10 12 8 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_AthenaKarnal 0 0 0 21 14 12 11 11 10 12 8 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_AYANA 7 6 3 7 10 13 11 10 11 12 8 2 0 0 0 0
ANP_AZURE 10 11 4 2 10 14 11 10 11 10 6 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_IGS1 8 10 3 2 10 14 12 12 12 11 7 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_IGS2 8 10 3 2 10 13 11 11 12 11 8 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_NTPC 0 0 0 2 12 14 17 16 16 14 9 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_SBENERGY 0 0 0 1 13 18 15 11 14 17 12 0 0 0 0 0
Anp_SprngAgnitra 3 2 0 11 16 15 12 13 13 12 4 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_TATARENEWABLE 6 1 0 0 4 14 16 19 17 14 8 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_ACME_REWARI 0 0 0 18 16 12 12 11 10 13 7 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_ADYAH 0 0 0 16 15 13 12 10 10 12 8 3 1 0 0 0
PVG_AMPLUS_TUMKUR 0 0 0 18 16 12 12 11 11 13 7 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_AVAADASOLAR 0 0 0 1 8 18 20 18 14 15 6 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_AvaadaSolarise 0 0 0 4 10 12 19 17 17 16 6 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_AzurePowerEarth 0 0 0 17 16 14 13 11 10 12 7 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_FORTUM 0 0 0 19 15 11 12 11 12 12 8 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_FortumSolar 3 2 0 11 17 14 12 12 13 12 4 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_KREDL 0 0 0 1 8 19 22 18 14 14 4 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_PARAMPUJYA 0 0 0 13 20 13 12 11 10 12 9 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_RENEW_TN2 0 0 0 18 14 13 13 10 11 12 9 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_SBGENERGY 0 0 0 8 16 13 12 11 13 14 12 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_TATARENEWABLE 6 1 0 0 3 16 14 18 17 15 10 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_YARROW 0 0 0 20 15 11 12 11 10 12 9 1 0 0 0 0
Tuticorin_GRTJIPL 8 10 3 2 8 12 11 12 13 11 9 0 0 0 0 0
Tuticorin_NTPCETPRM 0 0 0 0 9 16 20 16 16 14 9 1 0 0 0 0

Aggregated Percentage 2 2 1 11 13 13 13 12 12 12 8 0 0 0 0 0

b) Solar (April 2022- July 2022).


Developer R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16
ANP_AthenaBhiwadi 0 0 0 22 16 12 11 12 11 10 5 1 0 0 0 0
ANP_AthenaHisar 0 0 0 22 16 13 11 11 11 10 6 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_AthenaKarnal 0 0 0 22 16 12 11 11 11 10 6 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_AYANA 9 6 4 3 11 16 12 8 11 11 8 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_AZURE 11 8 7 4 13 15 13 9 10 8 4 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_IGS1 9 6 5 4 10 14 13 12 10 12 7 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_IGS2 10 7 5 4 10 15 12 9 11 11 6 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_NTPC 0 0 0 0 11 13 18 15 19 15 8 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_SBENERGY 0 0 0 2 18 13 13 10 15 16 14 0 0 0 0 0
Anp_SprngAgnitra 0 0 0 15 17 16 12 13 13 11 3 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_TATARENEWABLE 1 0 0 0 6 16 16 18 17 15 10 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_ACME_REWARI 0 0 0 22 16 12 11 11 10 13 5 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_ADYAH 0 0 0 22 18 14 11 11 9 11 4 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_AMPLUS_TUMKUR 0 0 0 22 17 12 11 11 10 13 5 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_AVAADASOLAR 0 0 0 0 8 19 19 18 13 16 6 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_AvaadaSolarise 0 0 0 0 4 10 20 22 20 17 6 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_AzurePowerEarth 0 0 0 20 19 14 11 12 9 11 5 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_FORTUM 0 0 0 24 17 9 10 11 14 11 4 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_FortumSolar 0 0 0 19 17 13 10 12 10 12 5 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_KREDL 0 0 0 0 10 18 22 17 15 15 2 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_PARAMPUJYA 0 0 0 22 19 12 10 11 11 10 5 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_RENEW_TN2 0 0 0 19 16 14 12 9 8 14 6 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_SBGENERGY 0 0 0 1 15 15 12 10 15 17 15 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_TATARENEWABLE 1 0 0 0 4 17 13 19 18 15 11 1 0 0 0 0
PVG_YARROW 0 0 0 23 16 12 11 12 10 10 6 0 0 0 0 0
Tuticorin_GRTJIPL 11 9 7 4 8 11 12 11 11 11 7 0 0 0 0 0

Aggregated Percentage 2 1 1 13 14 14 12 12 12 12 6 0 0 0 0 0

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c) Solar (August 2022- November 2022).

Developer R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16


ANP_AthenaBhiwadi 0 0 0 16 15 13 13 13 10 12 9 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_AthenaHisar 0 0 0 17 14 12 12 13 10 12 9 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_AthenaKarnal 0 0 0 17 14 12 12 13 10 12 9 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_AYANA 8 7 2 2 10 14 13 12 13 13 6 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_AZURE 9 9 3 2 10 16 12 12 12 10 6 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_IGS1 8 8 2 2 10 15 12 13 13 11 6 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_IGS2 7 8 2 2 10 14 12 13 12 12 7 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_NTPC 0 0 0 0 7 15 19 18 15 16 9 1 0 0 0 0
ANP_SBENERGY 0 0 0 0 11 17 17 12 14 16 12 0 0 0 0 0
Anp_SprngAgnitra 1 0 0 11 14 14 13 13 14 13 5 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_TATARENEWABLE 5 1 0 0 3 14 17 20 18 15 7 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_ACME_REWARI 0 0 0 13 14 12 14 13 11 15 8 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_ADYAH 0 0 0 12 15 12 14 12 12 13 9 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_AMPLUS_TUMKUR 0 0 0 14 15 12 13 12 11 15 8 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_AVAADASOLAR 0 0 0 1 7 17 23 19 15 15 4 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_AvaadaSolarise 0 0 0 4 9 13 20 18 16 16 5 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_AzurePowerEarth 0 0 0 14 15 13 14 12 12 13 8 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_FORTUM 0 0 0 13 15 13 13 11 12 13 9 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_FortumSolar 1 1 0 10 15 15 14 13 14 13 5 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_KREDL 0 0 0 2 4 19 22 19 14 14 5 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_PARAMPUJYA 0 0 0 8 18 12 14 12 12 14 10 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_RENEW_TN2 0 0 0 14 13 13 14 12 13 12 10 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_SBGENERGY 0 0 0 9 13 13 14 12 12 14 11 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_TATARENEWABLE 5 2 0 0 2 15 15 20 17 14 9 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_YARROW 0 0 0 15 14 11 13 12 11 14 9 0 0 0 0 0
Tuticorin_GRTJIPL 10 8 3 2 7 14 11 11 14 12 9 0 0 0 0 0

Aggregated Percentage 2 2 1 9 12 14 14 13 12 13 8 0 0 0 0 0

d) Solar (December 2022- March 2023).

Developer R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16


ANP_AthenaBhiwadi 0 0 0 25 12 11 9 11 9 13 10 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_AthenaHisar 0 0 0 26 13 11 10 10 8 12 9 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_AthenaKarnal 0 0 0 26 13 11 9 10 8 13 10 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_AYANA 3 4 1 19 11 8 8 8 8 9 12 8 1 0 0 0
ANP_AZURE 9 19 3 1 9 11 10 9 11 10 8 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_IGS1 8 16 2 0 10 13 11 10 12 10 8 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_IGS2 8 17 3 0 9 9 10 11 11 11 11 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_NTPC 0 0 0 5 16 14 14 14 14 12 10 1 0 0 0 0
ANP_SBENERGY 0 0 0 0 10 25 15 9 13 17 11 0 0 0 0 0
Anp_SprngAgnitra 8 5 1 5 17 14 10 11 13 11 3 0 0 0 0 0
ANP_TATARENEWABLE 14 2 0 0 2 13 15 20 17 11 7 0 0 0 0 1
PVG_ACME_REWARI 0 0 0 23 17 11 10 9 10 12 8 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_ADYAH 0 0 0 14 13 13 11 8 9 11 11 9 2 0 0 0
PVG_AMPLUS_TUMKUR 0 0 0 23 16 11 11 9 10 12 8 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_AVAADASOLAR 0 1 0 2 12 17 14 16 16 11 11 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_AvaadaSolarise 0 0 0 8 15 12 15 10 18 15 6 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_AzurePowerEarth 0 0 0 18 14 14 14 11 10 11 9 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_FORTUM 0 0 0 21 13 11 12 11 10 12 10 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_FortumSolar 9 6 1 3 19 14 10 9 14 11 3 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_KREDL 0 0 0 0 18 20 18 15 13 13 5 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_PARAMPUJYA 0 0 0 8 26 14 10 8 8 12 12 1 0 0 0 0
PVG_RENEW_TN2 0 0 0 22 14 13 12 7 11 10 11 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_SBGENERGY 0 0 0 18 21 13 11 8 9 11 9 0 0 0 0 0
PVG_TATARENEWABLE 17 2 1 0 0 14 14 13 13 17 9 0 0 0 0 1
PVG_YARROW 0 0 0 23 15 11 13 7 8 9 12 2 0 0 0 0
Tuticorin_GRTJIPL 6 12 2 1 8 11 11 14 14 11 9 0 0 0 0 0
Tuticorin_NTPCETPRM 0 0 0 0 9 16 20 16 16 14 9 1 0 0 0 0

Aggregated Percentage 3 4 1 12 13 13 11 10 11 12 9 1 0 0 0 0

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e) Wind (Annual April 2022- Mar 2023).

It is observed that all developers have used all revisions equally around 6.5% of the
time.
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16
HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA 6.3 6.3 5.9 6.1 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3
PGLR_SREPL 6.3 6.1 5.7 5.9 6.4 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.3
Tuticorin_BETAMWIND 6.6 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.7 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.7 0.5
Tuticorin_GIREL 6.2 5.6 5.5 5.3 6.0 8.5 5.5 6.6 7.6 8.0 7.4 7.6 6.5 6.6 5.8 1.3
Tuticorin_Mytrah 6.2 5.4 4.8 5.1 5.9 8.1 5.7 6.0 7.6 8.0 7.6 8.0 7.1 7.2 6.2 1.2
Tuticorin_Orange 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.3

Aggregated Percentage 6.3 6.1 5.9 6.0 6.3 6.8 6.1 6.3 6.7 6.8 6.6 6.7 6.5 6.5 6.3 4.1

f) Wind (April 2022- July 2022).


It is observed that all developers have used all revisions equally around 6% of the
time.
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16
HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA 6.4 6.3 5.9 6.1 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.2 6.4 6.4
PGLR_SREPL 6.4 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.4
Tuticorin_BETAMWIND 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.8 0.0
Tuticorin_GIREL 6.3 5.4 5.0 4.9 5.7 7.8 5.0 6.6 8.5 8.0 7.8 7.8 6.3 6.8 6.4 1.6
Tuticorin_Mytrah 5.9 5.6 4.6 5.5 6.1 7.3 5.6 6.4 8.3 7.6 8.2 8.0 6.9 6.7 6.4 1.2
Tuticorin_Orange 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3

Aggregated Percentage 6.4 6.1 5.9 6.1 6.2 6.6 6.1 6.3 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.4 6.4 6.4 4.0

g) Wind (August 2022- November 2022).


It is observed that all developers have used all revisions equally around 6% of the
time.
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16
HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA 6.2 6.3 5.7 6.0 6.3 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.1 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.3
PGLR_SREPL 6.2 6.1 5.8 6.1 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.3
Tuticorin_BETAMWIND 6.6 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.9 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.9 6.7 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.9 0.2
Tuticorin_GIREL 6.4 7.1 6.3 5.9 5.9 9.0 4.8 5.6 6.7 9.0 6.6 7.8 6.3 6.5 5.4 1.1
Tuticorin_Mytrah 6.6 6.1 6.4 5.7 5.4 9.0 4.7 4.5 6.6 8.3 6.6 8.3 6.6 7.7 6.3 1.5
Tuticorin_Orange 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3

Aggregated Percentage 6.3 6.3 6.1 6.1 6.3 6.9 6.0 6.1 6.4 6.9 6.4 6.7 6.4 6.6 6.3 4.1

h) Wind (December 2022- March 2023).


It is observed that SREPL, Betamwind, Orange, OstroKannada have used all revisions
equally around 6% of the time whereas GIREL and Mytrah have used significantly R10
and R11 to R15 revisions
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16
HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA 6.3 6.3 6.0 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.1 6.2 6.1 6.3 6.4 6.1 6.3 6.4 6.3 6.2
PGLR_SREPL 6.4 5.9 5.4 5.3 6.6 6.0 6.0 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.4 6.7 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.2
Tuticorin_BETAMWIND 6.7 6.4 6.6 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.6 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.4 6.4 6.7 6.5 1.1
Tuticorin_GIREL 5.9 4.7 5.2 5.3 6.5 8.7 6.7 7.5 7.6 7.1 7.7 7.2 6.8 6.4 5.5 1.2
Tuticorin_Mytrah 6.2 4.6 3.7 4.3 6.1 8.1 6.8 6.9 7.9 8.1 7.9 7.7 7.9 7.2 5.9 0.9
Tuticorin_Orange 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.3

Aggregated Percentage 6.3 5.8 5.7 5.8 6.4 6.8 6.4 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.6 6.7 6.6 6.2 4.1

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5.2.4 Losses.

Transmission Loss are excluded for RE projects as per the IEGC and CERC (Sharing
of Inter State Transmission Charges and Losses) Regulations, 2020 and amendments
thereof for the following RE.

a) Solar power for the useful life of the projects commissioned during the period
from 1.7.2011 to 30.6.2017.
b) Solar or wind power for a period of 25 years from date of commercial operation,
• Awarded through Competitive bidding; and
• Declared commercial operation during 1.7.2017 to 12.2.2018 for solar based
resources or from 30.9.2016 to 12.2.2018 for wind-based resources; and
• PPA executed for sale of power to Distribution Companies for compliance of
RPO
c) Solar or wind power for a period of 25 years from date of commercial operation
• Awarded through competitive bidding process in accordance with guidelines
issued by the Central Government; and
• Declared under commercial operation during the period from 13.2.2018 to
30.06.2023; and
• PPA executed for sale to all entities including Distribution Companies for
compliance of RPO.
d) Generation based on solar, wind, solar-wind hybrid, Hydro PSP and BESS
Projects whose bidding was completed on or before 15.1.2021 and which are
declared under commercial operation within the date specified in their
respective PPAs.

All the RE generators at ISTS of Southern Region are falling under the above criteria
and hence losses are waived. However, analysis of the waived scheduled losses is
carried out and shown below.

The total estimated scheduled yearly loss waived was approximately 410 MUs

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Figure 19 Estimated scheduled weekly loss in MUs

5.2.5 Power supply regulation on RE generators

5.2.5.1 Late Payment Surcharge (LPS) Rules

Ministry of Power (MoP) vide Gazette Notification dated 3rd June’ 2022, notified “The
Electricity (Late Payment Surcharge and Related Matters) Rules, 2022” (LPS Rules).
These rules provide a mechanism for settlement of outstanding dues of Generating
Companies, Inter-State Transmission Licensees and Electricity Trading Licensees.
The said rule made effective from 06th August 2022. Non-payment of current dues by
DISCOMs, one month after due date of payment or two and half months after
presentation of power bill, whichever is later, shall attract regulation of power as laid
down in the LPS rules, 2022.

As per Clause 7 of LPS Rule 2022, for non-payment of dues, by distribution licensee
or other user of transmission system, even after two and half months from presentation
of bill by generating company or transmission licensee or trading licensee, or in case
of default in payment of instalments fixed under rule 5, power supply to defaulting
entity shall be regulated as follows: -

(1) Short-term access, for sale and purchase of electricity including in PXs shall be
regulated entirely Provided that same shall be also applicable on already approved
short-term access Provided further that NLDC may, under exceptional circumstances
for grid security, temporarily review regulation of short-term access under this rule,
and record reasons for doing so, in writing.

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(2) If, even one month after regulation of short-term access or if the dues have
remained unpaid for three and a half months, apart from regulation of short-term
access in its entirety, long and medium- term access shall be regulated by 10 %.

(3) Reduction or withdrawal of long-term access and medium-term open access shall
be in such manner that quantum of reduction in drawl schedule increases
progressively by 10 % for each month of default.

(4) On payment of outstanding dues, regulation of access under this rule shall end and
it shall be restored at earliest, but not later than two days.

As per the rules, already approved Bilateral STOA (both buy and sell) has also to be
curtailed apart from the restriction from further Access of Power. The detail of
Regulation of Access done to defaulting entities i.e DISCOMs/Buyer/Generators
during 2022-23 due to outstanding dues as per LPS Rule is shown as below:

Regulation of LTA/MTOA/STOA Regulated


Dura Type of Quantum Remarks
Sl. tion- Access (MW/MWh
No Utility From To Days )
TANGEDCO STOA 14589.12
1 (Tamil Nadu) 19-08-2022 20-08-2022 2 MWh
Karnataka STOA
2 DISCOMs 19-08-2022 19-08-2022 1 -
TSTRANSCO STOA
3 (Telangana) 19-08-2022 19-08-2022 1 7200 MWh
Restriction for
LTA/ Purchase
HESCOM ISGS 131.75 Under
4 (Karnataka) 10-10-2022 29-10-2022 20 Share MW STOA/PXs
AP Solar/ LTA/
Sprng Agnitra ISGS
5 Solar# 12-12-2022 28-12-2022 17 Share 25 MW
LTA/
HESCOM ISGS 122.94
6 (Karnataka) 18-03-2023 12-04-2023 26 Share MW
LTA/
CESCOM ISGS
7 (Karnataka) 18-03-2023 19-03-2023 2 Share 63.86 MW

Table 19: Regulation of Access in Southern Region as per LPS Rule 2022
During the aforementioned regulation on Karnataka Discoms, certain schedules of
the Pavagada Solar plants were restricted. However, none of the generators has
sold the power in the Bilateral or collective markets.
#25 MW Quantum was regulated for 17 days for the ANP_SprngAgnitra on account
of non-payment of Transmission charges.

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5.2.6 Curtailment
There was nil RE curtailment at Interstate Level in 2022-23.

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5.3 Deviation Settlement Mechanism

5.3.1 Regulatory Provision

The deviation settlement mechanism for renewable generation is introduced in 2015


for ISTS-connected RE by CERC. The journey of DSM regulation & related provisions
w.r.t RE is summarized below.
I. DSM Regulation 2015: DSM framework for renewables was introduced In
November 2015, with approximately 40 MW of ISTS-connected renewables at that
time. The goal was to promote renewable integration by delinking deviation
charges from frequency and providing immunity within a tolerance band. This
tolerance band of +/-15% was in effect from 2015 until 4th December 2022. By
December 2022, the capacity of ISTS-connected renewables had increased to
about 22 GW.

II. DSM Regulations 2022: DSM Regulation 2022 was implemented w.e.f 5th
December 2022. The tolerance band was reduced to +/-10%. However, the special
exemption of deviation charges was delinked from frequency for renewable
generation was retained in the new regulations of 2022.

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III. Review of DSM Regulation 2022 by the Ministry of Power

1. In the meeting held on December 01, 2022, under the chairmanship of the
Hon'ble Minister of Power & NRE, discussions were held regarding the CERC
DSM Regulations, 2022. It was decided that a committee would be formed to
address various issues concerning Renewable (Solar/Wind) generators and
states with high renewable energy penetration in the new DSM Regulations,
2022.
2. The Committee was constituted with the Chairman of CEA (Central Electricity
Authority) as the Chairperson and the Chief Engineer (Regulatory Affairs) of CEA
as the Member-Convener. Additionally, the Committee includes representatives
from key entities, namely MNRE (Ministry of New and Renewable Energy), SECI
(Solar Energy Corporation of India), Grid India, and the Energy Department of
the Government of Karnataka. The Committee's primary objective is to study and
address the specific concerns related to renewable generators and RE-rich
states under the new DSM Regulations.
3. The committee recommended the following with respect to the RE Generators
with Differential Treatment for Wind and Solar Generators in Case of Deviations
i. Due to significant differences in forecasting accuracy between solar and wind
technologies in India, it is necessary to have distinct treatment for deviations
with symmetrical provisions for over-injection and under-injection by Solar
and Wind generators in the DSM Regulations.
ii. To ensure both grid security and promote generation from Solar and Wind
sources, it is suggested that for solar generation, the tolerance band for
immunity from deviation charges should be within ±10%. For wind generation,
the tolerance band for immunity from deviation charges should be within
±15%.
iii. For solar generation, a graded deviation charge system within the ±10% to
±15% band is proposed. In case of over-injection beyond 15%, there should
be no charges payable to the solar generator from the pool. However, in case
of under-injection beyond 15%, deviation charges should be payable up to
150% of the contract rate.
iv. For wind generation, a graded deviation charge system within the ±15% to
±20% band is recommended. If over-injection goes beyond 20%, there should
be no charges payable to the wind generator from the pool. But in case of
under-injection beyond 20%, deviation charges should be payable up to
150% of the contract rate.
v. Additionally, instead of the normal rate, the deviation charges must be linked
to the contract rate. In cases where there is no specific contract rate available,
the deviation charges should be calculated at the weighted average ACP
(Average Clearing Price) of the Day Ahead Market segments of all Power
Exchanges, for the respective time block.

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IV. Review of DSM Regulation 2022 by the CERC

CERC had reviewed the provision of DSM Regulation 2022 vide 16SM2022 dt
2612.2022 & 1SM2023 dt 06.02.2023. The revised provisions are summarised below
and made effective from 00.00 hours of 08.02.2023.

WS seller being a generating station based on solar or hybrid of wind –solar


resources

WS seller being a generating station based on wind resources

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5.3.2 Summary of schedule, Actual and Deviation.

As seen above, the DSM regulation changed w.e.f 5th December 2022. Accordingly,
to analyze the impact, the comparison of Schedule, Actual, and Deviation for the
period of 2022-23 (5th December 2022 to 31st March 2023) Vs 2021-22 (5th December
2021 to 31st March 2022) on various developers is shown below.

Figure 20 Over Injection Comparison of various developers

Figure 21 Under Injection Comparison of various developers

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From the plot, it can be observed that the RE Generator’s over Injection of energy into
the Grid is reduced as there are no charges for Over Injected energy beyond the limits
specified in the DSM Regulations 2022. However, the Under Injection of energy
increased after the DSM Regulations 2022.

5.3.4 Night Drawl


The auxiliary consumption shown in the above graph is normalized per 50 MW block
as the different developers having different capacities as there is variation in the
network in terms of Inverter Make, Line lengths, cable lengths and Transformer
parameters the consumption is different for different plants. The Energy consumption
per day for each plant is varying between 0.57 MWH to 1.96 MWH and the average
energy consumption of all plants stands at 1.38 MWH.

Figure 22 Normalized Average Auxiliary Energy Consumption per 50 MW Block


Solar Plant per Day

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6. Forecasting, Scheduling and Deviation at Intra State

Forum of Regulators has released model regulations on Forecasting, Scheduling and


Deviation at Intra State. Further SERC has notified Forecasting, Scheduling and
Deviation regulation based on the model regulation with fine tuning based on local
scenario. A gist of the model regulation as well as state regulations is summarized
below

6.1 Model Regulations for Intra State

➢ The following are the Similarities w.r.t implementation at ISTS

• Scheduling philosophy viz No of revisions, Time slot of 1.5 hours etc remains
the same
• All generator covered irrespective of size
• Definition of Absolute Error and Available Capacity(AVC)
• Deviation rate delinked from frequency
• Submitting of Technical Specification and Real time Power and Weather data
• Forecast by State Load Despatch Centre and generator/Qualified
Coordinating Agency(additional)
• Data telemetry, formats of forecast submission as per detailed Procedure to
be prepared by State Load Despatch Centre and approved by the State
Commission.

➢ The following are the differences w.r.t implementation at ISTS

• Wind or solar generators connected to the State grid and selling power
▪ Within the State - Paid by the buyer as per actual generation.
▪ Outside the State - Paid by the buyer as per scheduled generation.
• Allowed absolute percentage is differentiated by old and New generator
based on the notification date - Old generator – 15%, New Generator–10%
• Deviations are based on fixed rate but fixed price in the form of a penalty
• Introduction of new agency of Qualified Coordinating agency for coordinating
on behalf of Wind/Solar Generators connected to a pooling station.
• Week ahead forecasting mandated apart from day ahead forecast

➢ DSM Framework as per Model Regulations

a) Connected to the state grid and selling within the state


Deviation Charges for excess generation / shortfall shall be payable to the
State DSM Pool

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b) Connected to the state grid and selling outside the state
• Deviation limits, fixed rate is similar to CERC mechanism at central level
• Method to handle RPO due to excess / shortfall wrt schedule for the power
outside after netting is similar to Central Electricity Regulatory Commission
mechanism at central level
• Renewable Energy certificate purchased by State Load Despatch Centre in
case of shortfall

➢ All RE generators shall be treated together as a virtual pool within the State Pool.
➢ Deviations for and within virtual pool could be settled first.
➢ In case of deficit in the overall pool at the end of the year, SLDC may approach
National Funds such as PSDF or NCEF to cover such deficit.

6.2 Intra State – Implemented Regulation

As deliberated above, SERCs has notified Forecasting, Scheduling and Deviation


regulation based on the model regulation with fine tuning based on local scenario. The
status of implementation as well as comparison of different aspects such as
Aggregation Level for the purpose of deviation settlement, Number of Revisions
Allowed, Deviation limits are compiled and shown in the below sections.
Applicability of Intra state Forecasting & Scheduling Regulations

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6.2.1 Status of RE DSM Implementation and Applicability Criteria in states
1. Implementation
• DSM for RE plants are Implemented in 23 states ( Some states embedded
in Grid Code / Deviation Settlement Mechanism Regulations)
• Kerala grid code is in draft stage.
• 5 states and 8 Union Territory are yet to initiate the process

2. Applicability
• All RE plants irrespective of size are covered in Andhra Pradesh, Assam
and Tamil Nadu
• RE Plants of IC > 1 MW are covered in Haryana, Gujarat, Meghalaya,
Sikkim
• Most of the States have implemented >=5 MW
• Karnataka and Madya Pradesh has implemented IC >= 10 MW for wind and
>=5MW for solar
• Orissa and Arunachal Pradesh has implemented for IC >= 10 MW -
• Connected at ≥11 KV level- Uttarakhand (RE exempted from DSM)

Figure 23 Installed Capacity limit for various states for the applicability of DSM
Regulation

* Source: SERC Website

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6.2.2 Aggregation Level for the purpose of deviation settlement in states

• State level aggregation viz virtual pool through Qualified Coordinating Agency
is allowed in Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, Assam, Tripura,
Mizoram and Manipur
• All other states whose DSM regulation is notified has implemented Pooling
station wise aggregation.

Figure 24 Aggregation Level for the purpose of deviation settlement in various states

* Source: SERC Website

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6.2.3 Number of Revisions Allowed in states

• Most of the states has implemented 16 Revisions.


• Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Gujarat, Assam has implemented 16 revisions
for Wind and 9 revisions for Solar
• Uttar Pradesh has implemented 16 revisions for Wind and 8 revisions for
Solar
• Orissa : 8 for both wind and solar
• States with 8/9 revisions for Solar has implemented 05:30 to 19:00 hrs
timings.

Figure 25 Number of revisions allowed for various states

* Source: SERC Website

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6.2.4 Deviation Limits in states.

• States (Notified) except specifically mentioned below have implemented ±


15%
• Tamilnadu, Haryana, Assam, Tripura, Mizoram & Manipur has implemented
±10%
• Gujarat has allowed ± 7% for Solar and ± 12% for wind.
• RE generation is paid based on actuals in all states except Bihar and
Chhattisgarh which is based on schedules
• Uttarakhand and Arunachal Pradesh has implemented forecasting and
Scheduling and deviation mechanism is yet to be introduced.

Figure 26 Percentage of Error limit for the exemption of DSM penalty

* Source: SERC Website

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7. Weather impact on RE

7.1 Experience of Cyclone on wind generation in SR.

There were two major cyclones viz ASANI and MANDOUS that hit the Southern region
during the last Financial Year 2022-2023. The details are deliberated in the below
sections.

a. Cyclone ASANI (07-05-2022 to 12-05-2022)

A low-pressure area formed over South Andaman Sea and adjoining Southeast
Bay of Bengal in the morning (0830 hrs IST) of 6th May, 2022. It lay as a well-
marked low-pressure area over Southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining south
Andaman Sea in the early morning (0530 hours IST) of 7th May. It moved north-
westwards and intensified into a deep depression over southeast Bay of Bengal in
the same evening (1730 hrs IST) of 7th May. Continuing to move north-westwards,
it intensified into the cyclonic storm “ASANI” in the early morning (0530 hrs IST) of
8th May and into a severe cyclonic storm in the same evening (1730 hrs IST) over
southeast Bay of Bengal. Continuing to move north-westwards, it reached peak
intensity of 55 knots (100-110 kmph gusting to 120 kmph) on 9th early morning
(0530 hrs IST).

It maintained its peak intensity till 10th noon (1130 hrs IST), thus for 30 hrs. From
10th evening, it started gradually moving north-north-westwards and weakened
into a cyclonic storm over west central Bay of Bengal about 60 km south-southeast
of Machilipatnam in the early hours (0230 hrs IST) of 11th May. Thereafter, it
started moving nearly northwards with a very slow speed and weakened into a
deep depression over west central Bay of Bengal close to Andhra Pradesh coast
in the evening (1730 hrs IST) of 11th May. It crossed Andhra Pradesh coast near
latitude 16.3°N and longitude 81.3°E between Machilipatnam and Narsapur during
1730-1930 hours IST of 11th May, 2022 as a deep depression with maximum
sustained wind speed of 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph. It then moved slowly
west-south-westwards and weakened into a depression in the early morning (0530
hrs IST) and further into a well-marked low-pressure area in the morning (0830hrs
IST) of 12th May over coastal Andhra Pradesh. The observed track of the system
is presented in Fig. 1. The Variation of Andhra Pradesh’s wind Generation and
Southern Region Wind region is highlighted in the figures 28 and 29.

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Figure 27 Observed and Forecast Track of Cyclone Asani

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Figure 28 SR wind variation during Cyclone Asani

Figure 29 AP wind variation during Cyclone Asani

b. Cyclone MANDOUS (07-12-2022 to 12-12-2022)


Cyclonic storm “Mandous” pronounced as “Man-Dous” over Southwest Bay of
Bengal off north Tamilnadu and Puducherry coasts moved nearly northwestwards,
with a speed of 12 kmph and crossed north Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and adjoining
south Andhra Pradesh coasts near latitude 12.6°N and longitude 80.15°E, close to
Mamallapuram (Mahabalipuram) during midnight 9th December and early hours of
10th December as a Cyclonic Storm with the maximum sustained wind speed of
65-75 kmph gusting to 85 kmph. Thereafter, It moved west-northwestwards initially

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with the speed of 15kmph, weakened into a Deep Depression over north Tamil
Nadu in the early morning (0530 hours IST) of 10th December. It then moved west-
southwestwards and lay centred at 0830 hrs IST over north Tamil Nadu near
latitude 12.8°N and longitude 79.5°E, about 40 km west-southhwest of Vellore and
140 km east-northeast of Krishnagiri (Tamil Nadu). The Variation of Tamil Nadu’s
wind Generation and Southern Region Wind region is highlighted in the figures 31
and 32.

Figure 30 Observed track of cyclone Mandous

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Figure 31 SR wind variation during Cyclone Mandous

Figure 32 Tamil Nadu wind variation during Cyclone Mandous

7.2 Weather pattern of a typical wind Plant for 2021-23

The wind speed duration curve of a typical wind plant at Pugalur for the year 2022-
23 is plotted below. Wind Speed was above the cut in speed for ~60% of the time of
the year.

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Figure 33 Wind Speed Duration Curve of a typical wind plant for 2022-23

The Heat map of wind speed of a typical wind plant at Tuticorin for the year 2022-23
is plotted below clearly showing the wind season from June to Mid-October

Figure 34 Wind Speed Heat Map of a typical wind plant for 2022-23

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7.3 Weather pattern of a typical solar Plant for 2022-23
The GHI duration curve of a typical solar plant at Pavagada for the year 2022-23 is
plotted below. The timings considered is between 5:45 to 18:45 Hrs for the graph

Figure 35 GTI Duration Curve of a typical solar plant for 2022-23

The Heat map of GHI of a typical Solar plant at Pavagada for the year 2022-23 is
plotted below clearly showing the Solar generation hours during daytime and peaking
in March and reduction during monsoon due to cloud covers.

Figure 36 GTI Heat Map of a typical solar plant for 2022-23

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8. Voltage & Reactive Power Management.

8.1 Voltage Profile at ISTS connected RE stations.


India's ambitious renewable energy addition targets have led to the rapid
commissioning of ultra-mega solar and wind power parks, making them a critical
priority. The integration of renewable energy generation into the Inter-State
Transmission System (ISTS) is progressing swiftly. As a result, voltage fluctuations
are becoming a recurring issue at the renewable energy pooling stations, both during
daytime and night-time hours, on a daily basis.

A typical day voltage profile of Pavagada Ultra Mega Solar Park is shown in figure-37.
It may be seen that High voltages are being experienced during night hours (No solar
generation) at RE and nearby substations. These high voltages are despite utilising
the available static reactive power support such as bus reactor and line reactors.
Further EHV lines are being opened to control high voltages, which compromises
reliability /security, high duty cycles on CBs causing failures etc.

Figure 37 Voltage Profile of 2050 MW Ultra Mega Solar Park

The situation gets worsened during monsoon and low load hours. The voltage duration
curve of Pavagada Ultra Mega Solar Park during monsoon period is shown in figure-
38. Further, Night Mode Operation (Trial) Of PV Inverters (Pavagada Ultra Mega Solar
Park) was carried out from 01.08.2021 to 30.09.2021. A detailed report covering

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various aspects of Inverter capabilities, Auxiliary consumption, Commercial Analysis
of the exercise along with comparison of cost analysis with other reactive sources was
published and sent to CEA, CTU & CERC. The report is referred to while proposing
the provisions w.r.t reactive power under Annexure-4 of draft Grid Code 2022

The relevant provisions wrt the Reactive Power Compensationis proposed in draft
Indian Electricity Grid Code (IEGC) 2022. The same is reproduced below

Reactive Power Compensation


(1) Reactive power compensation should ideally be provided locally, by generating
reactive power as close to the reactive power consumption as possible. The regional
entities are therefore, expected to provide local VAr compensation or generation such
that they do not draw VARs from the EHV grid, particularly under low-voltage
condition. To discourage VAr drawals by regional entities, VAr exchanges with ISTS
shall be priced as follows:
(a) The regional entity pays for VAr drawal when voltage is below 97%
(b) The regional entity gets paid for VAr return when voltage is below 97%.
(c) The regional entity gets paid for VAr drawal when voltage is above103%.
(d) The regional entity pays for VAr return when voltage is above 103%.
Where all voltage measurements are at the interface point with ISTS.

(2) The charge for VArh shall be at the rate of 5 paise/kVArh w.e.f. the date of effect
of these regulations. This rate shall be escalated at 0.5paise/kVArh per year thereafter,
unless otherwise revised.

(3) All the Inverter Based Resources (IBRs) covering wind, solar and energy storage
shall ensure that they have the necessary capability, as per CEA Connectivity
Standards, all the time including non-operating hours and night hours for solar. The
active power consumed by these devices for purpose of providing reactive power
support, when operating under synchronous condenser/night-mode, shall not be
charged under deviations and shall be treated as transmission losses in the ISTS.

(4) For IBRs of capacity 50 MW and below not coming directly to the point of
interconnection but through the pooling at the Power Park Developer end, the Power
Park Developer shall act as aggregator for the Reactive Energy Charges for payments
to and from the Pool Account at RLDC level. The de-pooling of Reactive Energy
charges amongst the individual wind and solar shall be done by the Power Park
Developer.

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Figure 38 Voltage Duration curve of 2050 MW Ultra Mega Solar Park

The voltage duration curve for Pavagada Solar , NP Kunta Solar, Tuticorn wind,
Pugalur Wind and Hiriyur wind station for the entire year 2022-23 is shown below.

Figure 39 Voltage duration curve for 400kV Pavagada Station

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Figure 40 Voltage duration curve for 400kV NP Kunta Station

Figure 41 Voltage duration curve for 400kV Tuticorin Station

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Figure 47 Voltage duration curve for 400kV Pugalur Station

Figure 48 Voltage duration curve for 400kV Hiriyur Station

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During 2022-23, voltages at RE connected ISTS stations, voltages have remained
above 390kV as evident from the illustrations above. It is observed that voltages have
remained above 390kV for 100% of the time during 2022-23.

However high voltages are persistent. The system generally goes through period of
high voltage due to Low demand and Lightly Loaded lines. Additionally, the following
reasons related to RE Plants are also causing High voltage.
• Evacuation lines for RE are built considering the potential generation, that
leads to surplus capacity especially when the RE projects are in nascent
stage. HV are arising due to lightly loaded of lines during lean generation
period from renewable generators and this issue gets further aggravated
during monsoon period when loads are also low and nearby stations are
also experiencing high voltages.
• The underlying network (220kV & below) is connected with wind / solar
generators without any loads.
• Solar generation is available only during daytime and Wind generation is
available only during certain months of the year.
• Solar Panels/WTGs output are connected to pooling stations through
underground cables.
• As per PPA, charges need to be paid for drawing VAR at Intrastate
• Solar Panels/WTGs output are connected to pooling stations through
underground cables.
• High penetration of wind during night hours
• No commercial mechanism at ISTS level for generators wrt VAR
• Wind plants / Solar Plants mostly operating at UPF

8.2 Remedial measures taken in southern region:

The solution to the reactive power management at RE station is deliberated under the
following categories:
a. Reactive power/Voltage/PF mode of control during generation hours: As far
as PV inverters are concerned, they generally have three modes of operation (Fast
control through Power plant controller (PPC)):
i. Voltage control mode in which voltage of the reference point is monitored by
inverters/PPC and reactive power drawl/ injection is varied accordingly w.r.t. a
voltage set point.
ii. Reactive Power or Q-control mode in which inverter supplies/absorbs a fixed
amount of reactive power from the grid.
iii. Power Factor control mode is one in which inverter operates at a defined
power factor.

CEA has mandated that RE generators shall be capable of providing reactive power
support during normal operation within ±0.95 power factor. Also, reactive power

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support is priority over active power in transient fault and over-voltage conditions
depicting Low/High voltage ride through (LVRT/HVRT) capability of RE. Thus, a way
out from this situation is to operate all the PV plants and other inverter-based
resources in voltage control mode (taking local voltage or Point of Interconnection
(POI) voltage as reference voltage) during RE generation thereby regulating reactive
power injection/drawl as per grid condition. In voltage control mode, solar plant is
dynamically supporting the grid by injecting/absorbing reactive power based on either
local voltage or POI voltage.

Indian Electricity Grid code (IEGC) mandates ISGS and other generating stations to
generate/absorb reactive power as per instructions of regional load despatch centre
(RLDC), within capability limits of the respective generating units, that is, without
sacrificing on the active generation required at that time.
Accordingly, to overcome the voltage variations, All ISTS RE generators of southern
region are advised to keep the Inverters/WTGs/Plant in voltage control mode w.e.f
01.02.2021 in line with the decision taken in SRPC Meeting held on 12.06.2020.
Further voltage control mode is ensured for all new ISTS connected RE as part of
FTC compliance.

The RE generators are operating on voltage control mode but the reactive support is
seen to be limited to value corresponding to 0.95 lag to 0.95 lead power factor.
However, the reactive capability of invertor-based plants is more than the above limits
as shown in. It is observed that the reactive support at rated active power output is
least and at other operating points, the reactive power capability exceeds the value at
rated active power output. Hence it is recommended to mandate the RE generator to
operate in voltage control mode as per the capability curve which would help in
maintaining the voltage profile.

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9 Protection Aspects of Renewable Generation

Government of India has set a target of 500 MW of Non-Fossil fuel generation capacity
by 2030.With the increasing penetration of renewables into the grid, protection
systems of renewable generation also need to be well established for secure and
reliable grid operation. It is pertinent to mention that the highest instantaneous
maximum RE penetration during FY 2022-23 for Southern Region stands at 62.9%.
Since Wind turbines, Solar PV and Battery Energy Storage depend on power
electronics (inverters) to generate grid compatible electricity, they are referred to as
inverter-based resources (IBRs). As the conventional synchronous generators are
being replaced by IBRs, it is important to understand the requirements of maintaining
system protection in the evolving grid with the increasing deployment of renewables.

9.1 Tripping in Southern Region which affected Renewable Generation

Around 20 major trippings affecting Renewable Generation in Southern Region were


observed during the period from April 2022 to March 2023. Tripping details are listed
at Annexure - 7.

Some of the important observations are listed below

a) Out of the 20 major incidences, most of the time renewable generation was
affected due to loss of evacuating lines resulting from fault in the connected
system.
b) Tripping due to over-voltage
The 400kV & 220kV bus voltages at PV inverter & Wind pooling grid station are
experiencing high voltages during night hours. Out of the 20 listed RE related
trippings, 2 trippings are due to operation of overvoltage protection.

c) Unsuccessful operation of LVRT:


On 31st August 2022, at 12:06:30 hrs, 400 kV Pavagada-TUMKUR-1 tripped (Ph-
Ph Fault) at the same time solar generation of Pavagada Solar Park reduced from
1700 MW to 992 MW indicating loss of solar generation of 710 MW. The Solar
Generation has recovered from 992 MW to 1365 MW in 4 Minutes. Multiple
meetings conducted with RE developers along with Inverter OEMs for the
correction of the settings. Also, requirement given for the placement of Phasor
Measurement Unit (PMU) at PoI of RE Generating stations.

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9.2 Requirement of N-1 Reliability for ICTs at RE Pooling Grid stations:

As seen above, there have been instances wherein, loss of solar / wind generation
has occurred due to tripping of the only connected line in the absence of N-1
contingency. Events at Ostro Kannada, Pugalur and Betam, all led to complete outage
of the station since the only connected line tripped on overvoltage or on fault.
Considerable generation loss can be observed in some of the events.

As per the prevailing Transmission Planning Criteria 2023 of CEA 4.4.5,

“The ‘N-1’ criteria may not be applied to the immediate connectivity system of
renewable generations with the ISTS/Intra-STS grid i.e., the line connecting the
generation project switchyard to the grid and the step-up transformers at the grid
station.

Provided that, ‘N-1’ criteria shall be applicable in case of renewable generation


projects with storage, which are firm in nature and fully dispatchable.

Provided that, ‘N-1’ reliability criteria may be considered for ICTs at the ISTS /STU
pooling stations for renewable energy-based generation of more than 1000 MW after
considering the capacity factor of renewable generating stations.”

9.3 LVRT and HVRT Protection

The renewable energy conversion systems shall have the capability to withstand
asymmetrical voltage changes during short circuit faults and continue to remain in
service. Low-Voltage Ride-through Capability (LVRT) is the ability of renewable
generators to remain in service during a voltage dip caused by a fault. High Voltage
ride is the capability of renewable generation to remain connected during voltage
swells which may be caused during the recovery period following a fault or after load
through off.

Accordingly, in addition to the standard protection systems and coordination,


renewable energy generation viz. wind generating stations, generating stations using
inverters, wind - solar photo voltaic hybrid systems and energy storage systems should
have the following provisions as defined in the Central Electricity Authority Technical
Standards for connectivity to the Grid (Amendment) Regulations 2013 and 2019:

9.3.1 Regulatory Provisions w.r.t LVRT and HVRT

Part II Subsection B of CEA (Technical Standards for Connectivity to the Grid)


(Amendment) Regulations, 2019 mandates the following with respect to LVRT/HVRT
of renewable generation:

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The generating station connected to the grid, shall remain connected to the grid when
voltage at the interconnection point on any or all phases dips up to the level depicted
by the thick lines in the following curve, namely: —
VT : Actual Voltage; Vn: Nominal Voltage—

Figure 42: LVRT Curve


Provided that during the voltage dip, the supply of reactive power has first priority,
while the supply of active power has second priority and the active power preferably
be maintained during voltage drops, provided, a reduction in active power within the
plant’s design specifications is acceptable and active power be restored to at least
90% of the pre-fault level within 1 sec of restoration of voltage.

The generating station connected to the grid, shall remain connected to the grid when
voltage at the interconnection point, on any or all phases (symmetrical or asymmetrical
overvoltage conditions) rises above the specified values given below for specified time

Figure 43 HVRT Curve


Further the CEA principal regulations on Technical Standards for Connectivity to the
Grid and amendments thereof can be accessed from the link given below:
https://cea.nic.in/regulations-category/connectivity-to-the-grid/?lang=en

9.3.2 Current status of LVRT/HVRT Implementation in SR


The RE plants at Pavagada PS and NP Kunta PS were under the control area
jurisdiction of Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh initially. Accordingly, the point of
connectivity was at lower voltage level viz 33kV/66kV. The initial configuration is
shown below for reference only. However, all the ISTS connected RE plants point of

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common coupling is changed to 220kV pooling substation on taking over from
respective SLDC to SRLDC.
After 6th August 2019 2013 Amendment

Plant Plant

Tuticorn_BetamWind PVG_Amplus_Tumkur

ANP_AYANA PVG_Amplus_Pavagada

Anp_SprngAgnitra PVG_AVAADASolar

ANP_SBEnergy PVG_AvvadaSolarise

PVG_SBGEnergy PVG_FORTUM

PVG_KREDL PVG_FortumSolar

PGLR_SREPL PVG_PARAMPUJYA

Ostro_Hiriyur PVG_ReNew_TN2

Tuticorn_GRTJIPL PVG_TATARenewable

NTPCSIMHFSP PVG_Yarrow

NTPCRGDMFSP Tuticorn_GIREL

Tuticorn_JSW RE Two Tuticorn_Mytrah

Tuticorn_NTPCETPRM Tuticorn_Orange

ANP_Azure

ANP_IGS1

ANP_IGS2

ANP_NTPC

ANP_TataRenewable

ANP_AthenaBhiwadi

ANP_AthenaHisar

ANP_AthenaKamal

PVG_ADYAH

PVG_AzurePowerEarth

Figure 44 Categorisation of RE generators wrt LVRT/HVRT as per CEA Regulations

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10 Other Aspects & Issues

10.1 Working Group Report on CEA Technical Standards

The Central Electricity Authority (Technical Standards for Connectivity to the Grid)
Regulations of 2007 were notified in February 2007 and subsequently amended in
October 2013 and February 2019. However, many users observed certain
ambiguities in the interpretation of these regulations. In response to this, a working
group was formed to address and clarify these ambiguities.

Central Electricity
Authority
(Technical Clarification of
Standards for Amendment 2013 Amendment 2019
Standards 2022
Connectivity to (October 2013) (February 2019)
the Grid) (July 2022)
Regulations, 2007
(March 2007)

The Working Group (WG) was formed with members from CEA, CTU, POSOCO &
SECI had been constituted in a meeting held on 23/09/2021 under the Chairmanship
of Member (GO&D), CEA to discuss issues related to compliance of Central Electricity
Authority (Technical Standards for Connectivity to the Grid), Regulations, 2007, and
the amendments thereof. The Working Group (WG) had convened several meetings
including meetings with RE Developers, Study agencies & OEMs to understand the
issues and difficulties faced by them in respect of compliance of CEA Technical
Standards for Connectivity to Grid and obtain their feedback and report is released.
The clarification given in the working group is on the existing regulation.
The Report is constituted of three parts as detailed below:
1. Part-I: Explanation for assessment of compliance to CEA Regulations on
Technical Standards for Connectivity to the Grid, by RE Generators
2. Part-II: Procedure & Timelines for submission of CON-4 data & documents for
demonstration of compliance to CEA Technical Standards for Connectivity to
the Grid, by RE generators
3. Part-III: List of Test/Study Reports required to be submitted by the RE
Generators in compliance to CEA Regulations on Technical Standards for
Connectivity to the Grid
Part-I: Explanation for assessment of compliance to CEA Regulations on
Technical Standards for Connectivity to the Grid, by RE Generators
The following important aspects have been clarified in the report.
a. Point of Interconnection (POI):

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The Point of Interconnection (POI) is defined as the point of interconnection of
RE generating station with the Grid (ISTS/Intra-state). POI would be the
reference point for assessment of compliance to CEA Regulations on Technical
Standards of Connectivity to the Grid (viz. data/studies/all performance
capabilities, etc) and the generator pooling station & dedicated transmission
line & system of the RE shall be considered as a part of the RE Generator

Accordingly, the 220kV end of Pavagada, NP Kunta, Tuticorin, and Hiriyur would act
as POI for the existing generators. The POI for floating solar plants of NTPC RE
stations viz Ramagundam FSP and Simhadri FSP would be 400kV

b. Reactive Power Capability:


The report specifies that the RE generator should be able to demonstrate dynamic
reactive power capability to operate at least up to ‘V-curve’ boundaries (0.95lag/lead
as shown in the shaded region) at the corresponding generation level at the POI.

Accordingly, it was clarified in the meeting that the reactive capability of the generator
is at POI (Point of Interconnection) and not on inverter or WTG level
c. Extreme Temperature Consideration.

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The report specifies the process to be followed by the RE generators for assessing
the maximum and minimum possible ambient temperature to be considered for design
of their machines (WTG/Inverter). The exact details may be referred to in the report.
The sample example shown in the report is summarised below

Go to: https://cdsp.imdpune.gov.in/home_lab_2.php#extremes
✓ Highest temperature is 49.2⁰C
✓ After addition of a margin of 1℃ and rounding off to the next higher integer -
51⁰C.
✓ 51 ⁰C to be considered for design purpose of the RE Generator in this case.
✓ A similar approach may be followed for evaluation of the design temperature at
the lower extremum.
✓ Temperature extremum recorded by the IMD measuring station nearest to the
location of the Generating Station.
✓ In case of non-availability of IMD data, RE Generator may consider the
temperature data from any weather service provider of repute or, any weather
station of RE project in vicinity.
✓ Source of temperature data and location of the weather station, is to be
indicated by RE generator in submission to CTU & POSOCO.
✓ For the higher extremum, a margin of 1℃ shall be added to the temperature as
obtained vide the above procedure and the same shall be rounded off (to the
nearest higher integer) and considered for design temperature of the RE
Generator at the higher extremum end.
✓ Similarly, for the lower extremum, a margin of 1℃ shall be subtracted to the
temperature as obtained vide the above procedure and the same shall be
rounded off (to the nearest lower integer) and considered for the design
temperature of the RE Generator at the lower extremum end.
✓ RE generator shall furnish the entire evaluation process & data in a stepwise
manner as indicated above under Affidavit for consideration of compliance.

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d. Over voltage observed in Wind Power Plants
Applicable compliances by RE Generators are to be demonstrated at the POI
reference point and accordingly the RE generators shall be capable of
delivering/absorbing reactive power upto 0.95lag & 0.95lead at the POI in a way which
is conducive to maintain the ISTS voltage as close as possible to the nominal value.
Any over-voltage arising within the RE plant for complying with the above requirement,
shall be taken care of by the RE Generator since the design and planning is under the
purview of the RE Generator. The performance at POI shall not be compromised on
account of any issues internal to the plant.
e. Control Mode
The report specifies that the Control mode i.e. Automatic Voltage control/ Power
Factor control/ Reactive Power Control shall be utilized as per requirements of the
System Operator during Real Time System Operation. That is, the RE plant should
have complete flexibility to operate in any of these modes.
Accordingly, All RE developers are advised to implement PPC and be capable of all
three modes viz Voltage control/ Power Factor control/ Reactive Power Control.
Further in line with the existing directions of SRLDC/SRPC, all RE generators are to
ensure that voltage control mode shall be implemented if not done earlier.

f. Treatment of RE generators physically connected to the Grid but have not


submitted test reports/documents towards compliance to CEA Regulations on
Technical Standards for Connectivity to the Grid:
✓ RE generators presently connected to the Grid and in operation, are mandated
to comply with the CEA Regulations on Technical Standards for Connectivity to
the Grid, as specified in the respective Regulations. Accordingly, all such RE
generators who have been permitted connectivity to the Grid shall be required
to demonstrate compliance with the applicable CEA Regulations on Technical
Standards for Connectivity to the Grid, depending on the date of commissioning
of the RE Generators
✓ All supporting documents such as Test Reports/Simulation studies shall be
submitted and necessary rectification measures taken by the RE Generators
as may be necessary towards demonstration and obligation of meeting such
compliances.
✓ All RE generators currently operational irrespective of their ownership and
control area and who have not submitted the Test/Study Reports shall be
required to update their data as per a database format to be finalized jointly by
CTU & POSOCO.
✓ After scrutiny of the documents, in case of observed non-compliance, the RE
Generators shall be informed (RLDC to inform regional entity generators and
SLDCs shall inform intra-state generators) of the observations of CTU/RLDCs
and STUs/SLDCs regarding non-compliances and a maximum period of one

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year shall be given to them for taking necessary measures and installation of
additional equipment as may be necessary for making their plant compliant.
✓ A suitable advisory shall also be placed on the website of RLDC/SLDC
mentioning the above. RE Generators who fail to make their plant compliant
with the applicable CEA Regulations on Technical Standards for Connectivity
to the Grid, within a period of one year from the date of intimation by
RLDC/SLDC, shall be liable for appropriate action by CTU / respective STUs.

Part-II: Procedure & Timelines for submission of CON-4 data & documents for
demonstration of compliance to CEA Technical Standards for Connectivity to
the Grid, by RE Generators.
Part II covers the Flow chart for the procedure and timelines for CON-4 data &
documents processing.

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✓ The RE generator to submit the complete CON-4/technical connection data at
least 12 months/1 year prior to the physical interconnection.
✓ CTU & POSOCO examine the submitted data, POSOCO shall forward their
comments to CTU and CTU shall convey the observations with respect to non-
compliance within one month of the receipt of complete CON-4 data.
✓ The RE generator shall ensure compliance with CEA Regulations on Technical
Standards for Connectivity to the Grid, before physical interconnection with
Grid.
✓ Based on the submitted data/RE plant model and the studies carried out, the
RE generator shall take advance action for implementation of the required
corrective measures towards compliance before physical interconnection with
the Grid, failing which physical interconnection may not be permitted.
✓ In Case of any changes, RE developer to submit the models at least three
months before physical inter-connection
✓ Final Validated model shall be submitted within 3 months of the RE plant
commissioning or commissioning of additional equipment/parameter tuning.

Part-III: List of Test/Study Reports required to be submitted by RE Generators


In compliance to CEA Regulations on Technical Standards for Connectivity to the Grid
The part III section covers the Test/Simulation Study Reports to be submitted by RE
developer as part of CON-4 documents as per the sequence indicated below. Other
details such as model submission, test report (factory/lab/field) submission,
benchmarking and validation report submission is provided at the end of the working
group report
Power Quality test
1. Harmonic Current Injection at POI
2. DC Current Injection at POI
3. Flicker injection at POI

Reactive Capability test


4. Reactive power capability test (0.95 lag - unity - 0.95 leading) at rated output
Voltage ride through test
5. Study analysis to demonstrate ride through capability for balance and
unbalanced faults (LVRT & HVRT)
Frequency response & operational capability test within specified frequency
/voltage band
6. Rated output for voltage (0.95pu -1.0 pu – 1.05 pu) and Freq. (49.5 Hz – 50.5
Hz)
7. Frequency Response test

Active power control set point

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8. Analysis to show capability to control active power injection in accordance with
a set point
Ramping capability test
9. Study analysis for rate of change of power output
Power Quality Study is to be carried out on detailed EMT / Power Quality Assessment
Model. Reactive Power Capability assessment shall be carried out on detailed RMS
and Equivalent EMT model. Other tests are to be carried out in both equivalent RMS
and EMT Model. Model compatibility guidelines are also provided in report.
Report emphasized the seriousness w.r.t conducting power quality (harmonic content,
DC injection, flicker etc.) tests and assessment report to be submitted to CEA/RPC,
CTU and GRID-INDIA on an annual basis post commissioning of the plant. Failure to
carry out the annual power quality assessment shall make the plant liable for
disconnection from the grid.
Action Taken:
1. The Working Group report was circulated to the developers in groups based on
pooling stations and was also posted on the SRLDC (State Load Dispatch
Center) website on August 19, 2022. The same was uploaded in CTU website
as well.

https://www.ctuil.in/docs/marquee/1/2022/8/Final_Report_of_the_Working_Group__July_
2022__Final.pdf

https://srldc.in/var/ftp/RemcReports/Final_Report_of_the_Working_Group__July_2022.pdf

2. On September 27, 2022, a familiarization meeting regarding the Report of the


Working Group on CEA Technical Standards took place through WebEX.
Officials from SRLDC, SRPC, Powergrid, KSPDCL, APSPCL, and RE
Developers participated in the meeting. In continuation, the follow-up second
meeting was held on 06.01.2023 through VC (WebEX) for reviewing the
progress and compliance wrt the CEA standards.
10.2 Special Meetings Conducted with RE Developers

SRLDC in association with SRPC had led from the front to address the specific issues
with respect to renewable energy by conducting special meetings with RE developers.
The number of meetings held is shown in the below figure. The details are shown as
Annexure-9. The minutes of the meetings is available at
http://www.srpc.kar.nic.in/html/xml-search/meetings.html#gsc.tab=0 . The increase in
number of meetings in 2019 and 2020-21 were with Pavagada developers w.r.t issues
related to compliance arising from change in control area Jurisdiction.

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Figure 45 Special Meetings held with RE Developers and SR states details year wise

10.3 Green day Ahead Market (GDAM)


The Green Day Ahead Market (GDAM) is a transformative initiative in India's energy
sector, designed to promote renewable energy generation and streamline its sale to
distribution companies (Discoms) and industries. At the heart of GDAM is the principle
of open access, where any interested party can establish renewable energy capacity
and make it available for sale. The transmission loss is governed by the ISTS sharing
regulations.

One notable aspect of GDAM is the expeditious open access grant, which ensures
that access to the grid is provided within 15 days. This rapid process facilitates a
quicker transition to renewable energy sources and promotes efficiency in the energy
market. Moreover, GDAM is geared towards fostering sustainability by encouraging
large industries to shift to green energy sources, ultimately reducing their reliance on
fossil fuels. In line with the government's broader energy policy goals, GDAM aims to
diminish India's dependency on imported fossil fuels. The announcement of the Green
Hydrogen Mission further underscores the commitment to green energy initiatives,
demonstrating India's dedication to sustainable and environmentally friendly energy
solutions.

GDAM is aligned with changing dynamics in the power market, where buyers are
shifting away from long-term contracts toward short-term agreements and participation
in the power market. GDAM facilitates this transition by offering competitive price
signals and creating opportunities for market participants to trade in green energy.
GDAM's market-based competitive pricing is a key advantage, as it provides

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 102 of 308
renewable energy generators with an additional option for selling their power. It also
accelerates progress towards the government's ambitious target of achieving 500 GW
of green energy capacity by 2030. Furthermore, GDAM allows distribution utilities to
sell surplus renewable power and enables obligated entities to meet their Renewable
Purchase Obligation (RPO) by directly purchasing green power from power
exchanges. This broadens the scope of green energy adoption in the market.
GDAM is expected to initiate a fundamental shift from Power Purchase Agreement
(PPA) based contracts to market-based models, fostering market development and
supporting India's sustainability goals. It not only reduces curtailment of green power
but also taps into untapped renewable energy potential. Additionally, it ensures instant
payments to renewable energy generators on the day of delivery, promoting financial
stability and incentivizing further green energy production. The National Load
Despatch Centre (NLDC) serves as the Nodal Agency for GDAM.

GDAM operates in tandem with the conventional day-ahead market, allowing


participants to submit bids for both conventional and renewable energy through
separate bidding windows. The clearance process prioritizes renewable energy bids,
aligning with the must-run status of renewables, and then proceeds to the conventional
segment, ensuring separate price discovery mechanisms for both energy sources.

Figure 46 GDAM Buy Quantum of SR states

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 103 of 308
Figure 47 GDAM Sell Quantum of SR states

Figure 48 SR ISTS Sell Quantum of RE Generators

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 104 of 308
10.4 Renewable Energy Certificate (REC) Mechanism

Hon’ble Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) introduced the modalities


of Renewable Energy Certificates in the Indian Electricity Sector by notifying the
‘Terms and Conditions for recognition and issuance of Renewable Energy Certificate
for Renewable Energy Generation’ Regulations, 2010 in January 2010, also termed
as REC Regulations, 2010. The regulations provided the enabling regulatory
provisions for development and implementation of REC mechanism for trading of
RECs at the CERC approved Power Exchange(s) platform. Thereafter, CERC issued
the Terms and Conditions for Renewable Energy Certificates for Renewable Energy
Generation) Regulations, 2022 vide notification dated 9th May 2022 also referred as
REC Regulations 2022. The National Load Despatch Centre is designated as the
Central Agency for the implementation of REC regulations. Subsequently, the Central
Agency formulated procedures for accreditation, registration, issuance and
redemption of RECs. Renewable Energy Certificate (REC) mechanism essentially
seeks to address the mismatch between availability of RE sources and the
requirement of the Obligated Entities to meet their renewable purchase obligation
across States.

The step-by-step process for implementation of REC Mechanism as specified in REC


Regulations is as below:
1. Accreditation of the eligible entities
2. Registration of the eligible entities
3. Issuance of Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs).
4. Exchange and redemption of REC(s).
Following entities are eligible for the issuance of Certificates:
(a) Renewable energy generating stations,
(b) Captive generating stations based on renewable energy sources,
(c) Distribution licensees, and
(d) Open access consumers
The detailed procedure for implementation of REC Mechanism can be accessed from
the following link: https://www.recregistryindia.nic.in/pdf/REC_Procedures.pdf

Total of 332 RE generators in Southern Region have been accredited and registered
in the REC Mechanism as on 31st March 2023. Total accredited and registered
capacity pertaining to Southern Region is 1596.6 MW. Out of the total capacity, 100.8
MW of Ostro Kannada Wind plant (ISTS connected) has been accredited on
09.03.2023 and registered on 17.04.2023. While in the state sector a total of 109.62
MW has been accredited / registered during FY 2022-23. Detailed list of RE
generators pertaining to Southern Region is given in Annexure-10

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 105 of 308
11 Renewable Energy Management Centre
Renewable Energy Management centre of Southern Regional Load Dispatch centre
was commissioned and taken over by SRLDC on 1st Feb 2020. NP Kunta (220/33KV),
Pavagada (220/66/33KV), Tuticorin (230/33KV), Pugalur (230/33KV) and Hiriyur
(220/33KV) are currently monitored ISTS Pooling stations at REMC. The detailed
aspects of REMC are covered in Chapter 12 (Renewable Energy Management
Centre) of Renewable Energy in Southern Region: Journey so far.
https://www.srldc.in/var/ftp/RemcReports/RenewableEnergyInSouthernRegion%20-
%20JourneySoFar01122021.pdf

The details of RE integration covering the status of SCADA, Forecasting and


Scheduling to SRLDC REMC and SR states, as on 31sst Mar 2023 is summarised
below.

Type Details SRLDC Andhra Karnataka Tamil Telangana Total-


REMC Pradesh REMC Nadu REMC SR
REMC* REMC
Solar Install 3955 2877 5488 6135 3557 22012
(MW) Capacity
Monitored 3955 1726 5488 6135 3557 20861
Capacity
Forecast 3955 1726 5244 4395 3557 18877
Capacity
Scheduling 3955 2590 5488 - 3534 15567
Capacity
Wind Install 1516 4084 5089 8739 128 19556
(MW) Capacity
Monitored 1516 3895 5089 8739 128 19367
Capacity
Forecast 1516 3895 5054 8271 128 18864
Capacity
Scheduling 1516 3934 5089 - 128 10667
Capacity
Combined Install 5471 6832 10577 14875 3685 41440
(MW) Capacity
Monitored 5471 5621 10577 14875 3685 40229
Capacity
Forecast 5471 5621 10298 12666 3685 37741
Capacity
Scheduling 5471 6524 10577 - 3662 26234
Capacity

Table 18 Installed Monitored, Forecast & Scheduling of SRLDC & State REMC.
* REMC is restored partially Andhra Pradesh. The values in REMC (Monitored) is as on the last day
when the REMC was in operation.
# Telangana REMC is in the commissioning stage as on 31.03.2023

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 106 of 308
12 REMC Team

Renewable energy is the future of India’s generation profile. The establishment of


dedicated Renewable Energy Management centre is a global best practice to
facilitate large scale integration of renewables into the grid. Similarly the Detailed
Project Report prepared by Ernest & Young LLP,India for Giz has envisaged
establishment of Renewable Energy Management Centre (REMC) equipped with
advanced forecasting tools, smart despatching solutions, and real time monitoring as
a primary requirement for grid integration of large scale RE Close coordination
with SLDCs/ RLDCs. Accordingly, REMCs at Southern Regional Load Despatch
Centre is set up with the location co-located with main control center.

The Impact of integration of RE generation is markedly different from that of


conventional generation. The Operational Challenges viz Variability / Intermittency /
Inertia / Frequency & Voltage control challenges is also different as compared to
conventional generation. Accordingly different skill set is required for managing the RE
generation. The history of making REMC operation is shown in the below chart.

• Main SCADA used for moniroting of RE


• Dealt by Main control room officials
Upto • Offline actvities like forecasting, FTC etc was spread across various
Febrauary departments
2020

• REMC SCADA used for monitoring of RE


• Dealt by Main control room officials
• No Exclusive officials identified for Real time Operation and
01.03.2020 Scheduling of RE plants
to • Offline activities like forecasting, FTC etc was spread across various
30.05.2020 departments.

• REMC Operation team formed.


• One resource person per shift among main control room officials was
01.06.2020 identified for Real time Operation and Scheduling of RE plants
till • One Exclusive official posted for offline activities
31.01.2021

• Exclusive Human Resource allocated and seperate REMC control


room made live
From • Three Exclusive official posted for offline activities
01.02.2021

The REMC (Operation) team is shown below

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 107 of 308
REMC Team

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 108 of 308
13 Initiatives taken by REMC Team during 2022-23

13.1 Capacity Building of stake Holders


13.1.1 Wind Energy Conclave

SRLDC, GRID-INDIA conducted three days Conclave on Wind Energy from 22nd June
to 24th June 2022 via online mode as commitment of GRID-INDIA towards providing
a platform for continuous upgrading and capacity building of its stakeholders through
knowledge sharing. Experts from various organizations shared their views / expertise
on topics covering policies, design, commercial, forecasting, Integrated Renewable
Energy Storage, efficient integration and management of variable RE in the grid and
challenges in the context of Wind Power Systems. There were over 100 participants
from SLDCs, RLDCs and wind developers

13.1.2 HRD Training on 27th and 28th March 2023


Two days HRD training program on “Scheduling and Forecasting Application of
REMC” was conducted by System Operation-1 department during 27th and 28th
March 2023. The training was conducted in the physical mode at SRLDC. Officials
from SLDCs and RLDCs participated in the training program

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 109 of 308
13.2 Analysis of Voltage Control mode & its impact

There are three modes of operation in the Inverter/WTG viz Reactive Power /
Voltage / PF mode of control
• Voltage control mode: The inverters/PPC monitors the voltage deviation from
the reference voltage set point. The reactive power draw/injection varied
dynamically such that voltage is maintained close to the voltage reference.
• Reactive Power or Q-control mode in which inverter supplies/absorbs a fixed
amount or reactive power to the grid.
• Power Factor (PF) control mode is one in which the inverter operates at a
defined power factor

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 110 of 308
CEA has mandated that RE generators shall be capable of providing dynamic reactive
power support during normal operation within ±0.95 power factor. Accordingly,
SRLDC has advised all the ISTS RE plants and other inverter-based resources to
operate in voltage control mode. As on 31.03.2023,
Tuticorin_JSWRETwo,Tuticorin_NTPCETPRM AND Hiryur_Ostro Kannda have
shifted their reference to Point of Interconnection. Remaining RE plants are taking the
reference from their 220kV or 33kV or 66kV side at developer pooling station and they
are in the process of shifting the reference. The reactive power vs voltage performance
of sample Solar & Wind stations is shown below.

Figure 49 Ostro Kannada wind plant operating in Voltage Control Mode

From the above figure, it can be observed that when the Grid voltage is less than the
nominal the plant is injecting the reactive power into the grid and when the grid voltage

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 111 of 308
is greater than the nominal, the plant is absorbing the reactive power. The red color
dotted line shown in the figure is 0.95 lead/lag pf line.

Figure 50 SprngAgnitra Solar plant operating in Voltage Control Mode


From the above figure, it can be observed that when the Grid voltage is less than the
nominal, the plant is injecting the reactive power into the grid and when the grid voltage
is greater than the nominal, the plant is absorbing the reactive power. The red color
dotted line shown in the figure is 0.95 lead/lag pf line

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 112 of 308
13.3 Visit of Delegates from West African Region to SRLDC

Grid-India in association with International Solar Association (ISA) & West African
Power Pool (WAPP) conducted a knowledge sharing & Study Tour to India on the
topic “Planning and Implementation of Solar Energy Generation Facilities”. The
delegates are from the West African Region. Delegates from West African Region in
three batches visited SRLDC during February and March 2023 as part of their
knowledge sharing and study tour to India. The study tour consisted of three days of
classroom sessions viz Two days in Delhi and one day in Bangalore. Further guided
visits to solar plants at Pavagada solar park, Southern Regional Load Despatch
Centre, Regional Renewable Energy Management Centre, Karnataka State Load
Despatch Centre, and State Renewable Energy Management Centre at Bangalore
were organized.

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 113 of 308
14 Future outlook for 2023-24
• Analysis of Voltage Control mode & Its impact.
• Analysis of the reports - Harmonics, Direct Current (DC) Injection and Flicker.
• Initiatives of REMC team during 2023-24
• Experience on RE plants under flexible scheme
• Experience on Merchant RE
• Forecasting and Scheduling experience of Solar-Wind Hybrid Plant
• Impact analysis of BESS & Pumped storage-based plants
• Details & Experience of in-house forecasting based on Artificial Intelligence
• Capacity Building of RE stake holders.
• Cloud cover forecast and Incidents.
• Weather forecast tool.
• Analysis of Daily correlation wind and solar, Load forecast error vs RE error,
Solar profile month wise state wise
• Variability and Reserve Estimation
• Frequency Control

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 114 of 308
15 References

1. Installed Capacity: CEA https://cea.nic.in/installed-capacity-report/?lang=en


2. Installed Capacity: SRPC http://www.srpc.kar.nic.in/html/xml-
search/reports.html#gsc.tab=0
3. Installed Capacity: SRLDC https://www.srldc.in/Monthly-Reports
4. Installed Capacity: SRLDC https://srldc.in/Document-Repository
5. Generation: CEA : https://cea.nic.in/renewable-generation-report/?lang=en
6. Special Meetings : SRPC http://www.srpc.kar.nic.in/html/xml-
search/meetings.html#gsc.tab=0
7. Pavagada Night Mode Operation Report
https://www.srldc.in/var/ftp/RemcReports/SRLDC%20Report%20on%20Night%20Mode
%20Operation%20(Trial)%20of%20PV%20Inverters%20%20at%20Pavagada%20Ultra
%20Mega%20Solar%20Park.pdf
8. Working Group Report
https://srldc.in/var/ftp/RemcReports/Final_Report_of_the_Working_Group__July_2022.p
df
9. CEA Transmission System for Integration of over 500 GWRE Capacity by 2030
https://cea.nic.in/wpcontent/uploads/notification/2022/12/CEA_Tx_Plan_for_500GW_No
n_fossil_capacity_by_2030.pdf
10. Draft Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (Indian Electricity Grid Code)
Regulations, 2022
https://cercind.gov.in/2022/draft_reg/Draft-IEGC-07062022.pdf
11. Explanatory Memorandum of Draft Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (Indian
Electricity Grid Code) Regulations, 2022
https://cercind.gov.in/2022/draft_reg/EM-GRid-code_091022.pdf
SERCs Regulations/Related Procedure
12. Andhra Pradesh: https://aperc.gov.in/admin/upload/regulationNo4of2017.pdf
13. Arunachal Pradesh: http://www.apserc.nic.in/pdf/310.%20EOG.121218.pdf
14. Assam: http://www.aerc.nic.in/No._488_AERC_674-2018-28_Dated_06-09-18.pdf
15. Bihar: https://berc.co.in/rules-requlations/regulations/individual-regulation/2282-berc-
intra-state-availability-based-tariff-and-deviation-settlement-mechanism-regulation-2020
16. Chhattisgarh: https://cserc.gov.in/upload/upload_regulation/09-06-
2020_15916911641.pdf
17. Chhattisgarh: https://www.sldccg.com/externaldata//2014/201410/Internal-procedure-for-
operating-State-Grid.pdf
18. Gujarat: https://gercin.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/GERC-Forcasting.pdf
19. Haryana: https://herc.gov.in/WriteReadDataPdf/R20190429a.pdf
20. Jharkhand: http://jserc.org/pdf/regulations/24_2_2017.pdf
21. Karnataka:
https://karunadu.karnataka.gov.in/kerc/Regulations/Regulations/KERC_Forecasting_Sch
eduling_Regulation_2015.pdf
22. Madhya Pradesh: http://www.mperc.in/21102019%2004-F-SDS%20Regulation.pdf
23. Maharashtra: https://www.merc.gov.in/faces/merc/common/outputClient.xhtml
24. Meghalaya: http://www.mserc.gov.in/regulations/MSERC_FnS_Solar_2018.pdf

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 115 of 308
25. JERC (Mizoram and Manipur):
https://jerc.mizoram.gov.in/uploads/attachments/16e09dc1762dd61acd8fb23f95d5b1e3/f
orecastingschedule-deviation-settlement-regulations-2016.pdf
26. Punjab: http://pserc.gov.in/pages/notification-no-135.pdf
27. Odisha:
http://orierc.org/(S(zslzn3ymfzax2npvod1awku1))/CuteSoft_Client/writereaddata/upload/
Odisha_Grid_Code-2015.pdf
28. Rajasthan: https://rerc.rajasthan.gov.in/rerc-user-files/regulations
29. Sikkim
http://www.sserc.in/sites/default/files/SSERC%20Forecasting%20Regulations.docx
30. Tamil Nadu: http://www.tnerc.gov.in/Regulation/files/Reg-120220211048Eng.pdf
31. Telangana:https://tserc.gov.in/file_upload/uploads/Regulations/Final/tserc/2018/3of2018.
pdf
32. Tripura:
https://terc.tripura.gov.in/sites/default/files/Forecasting%2CScheduling%20etc.%20Reg-
2016.pdf
33. Uttarakhand: http://www.uerc.gov.in/Rules%20and%20%20regulation/UERCRegulations
34. Uttar Pradesh: https://www.uperc.org/App_File/ABT(Solar&Wind)2018Regulation-
pdf1228201875919PM.pdf

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 116 of 308
Annexures
Annexure-1: Details of Existing Plants……………………………………………………………….……..118
Annexure-2: Details of Upcoming Plants & Transmission System………………………………………..158
Annexure-3: Plot of generation profile for days of interest…………………………………………………168
Annexure-4: Heat map of Southern Region, States Solar & wind Penetration for 2022 23………….......175
Annexure-5: Forecast error analysis………………………………………………………………………..181
Annexure-6: Scheduling contracts of Renewable Entities of SR as on 31.03.23……………………........284
Annexure-7: List of the tripping related to Renewable Energy……………………………………...……..288
Annexure-8: List of special Meetings held with respect to RE ………………………...….……………….292
Annexure-9: Analysis of Demand v/s RE Deviation of States ……………………………………..……...294
Annexure-10: List of Registered RE Generators pertaining to Southern Region ………………………...297

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 117 of 308
Annexure-1
Details of Existing
Plants
(As on 31.03.2023)

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 118 of 308
ISTS RE generation at ISTS level in Southern Region

Renewable Generation Details at ISTS Level

Installed Capacity
Name of Station
as on 31-03-2023

MW

ISTS Wind

Tuticorin_Mytrah 250

Tuticorin_BetamWind 220

Tuticorin_Orange 200

Tuticorin_GIREL 249.9

Tuticorin_JSWRETWO 27

Tuticorin Pooling Station 946.9

Pugalur_SREPL 300

HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA 268.8

ISTS Solar

ANP_AthenaBhiwadi 50

ANP_AthenaHisar 50

ANP_AthenaKarnal 50

ANP_Azure 50

ANP_IGS1 50

ANP_IGS2 50

ANP_NTPC 250

ANP_SBEnergy 250

ANP_TataRenewable 100

ANP_AYANA 250

ANP_SprngAgnitra 250

NPKunta Pooling Station 1400

PVG_AMPLUS_TUMKUR 50

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 119 of 308
PVG_AMPLUS_PAVAGADA 50

PVG_AVAADASolar 150

PVG_AvvadaSolarise 150

PVG_AzurePowerEarth 100

PVG_FORTUM 100

PVG_FortumSolar 250

PVG_KREDL 50

PVG_PARAMPUJYA 150

PVG_ReNew_TN2 50

PVG_SBGEnergy 200

PVG_TATARenewable 400

PVG_Yarrow 50

PVG_ADYAH 300

Pavagada Pooling Station 2050

Tuticorin_GRTJIPL 150

Tuticorin_ETPRM 230

Tuticorin Pooling Station 380

NTPC_RGDM_Floating Solar 100

NTPC_SIMHADRI_Floating Solar 25

SR_ISTS_Wind (Total) 1515.7

SR_ISTS_Solar (Total 3955

SR_ISTS_RE (Total) 5470.7

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 120 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Solar Power Plant details as on 31.03.2023

Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the developer Pooling station Name
Capacity (MW)

Cherivi 33/11KV Sri Power Generation


1 Solar No PSS 2.00
SS (India) Limited
Puliuivendala Welspun solar Energy Pvt
2 Solar No PSS 5.00
132KV SS Ltd
Rayadurg Sai Sudhir Energy Limited
3 Solar No PSS 5.00
132/33KV SS (5MW)
Kadiri 33KV SS- Sri Power Generation
4 Solar No PSS 1.00
Kotagallu (India) Private Limited,
Amrit Jal Ventures private
5 Solar Kadiri 33 KV SS No PSS 1.00
limited
Perrcherla Kishore EleCTRO & Infra
6 Solar No PSS 1.00
33/11KV SS Tech LImited
Laddagiri 33/11 Gajanan Financia;
7 Solar No PSS 1.00
KV SS Services Pvt ltd
Industrial Park
Sub-station,
8 Solar Gooty 33/11 KV APIIC No PSS 1.00
SS

Kadiri 132/33 KV Rithwik Projects Private


9 Solar No PSS 5.00
SS Limited (5 MW)

Srikantapuram
10 Solar B.G Channappa No PSS 4.00
33/ 11 KV SS

Nallacheruvu
11 Solar Value Labs LLP No PSS 5.00
33/11 KV SS
kalyandurg Sai Sudhir Energy Limited
12 Solar No PSS 10.00
220KV KV SS (20 MW)
Lepakshi 33/11 SEI Shriram(Emmvee
13 Solar No PSS 10.00
KV SS Energy Pvt Ltd)
Seethapuram
14 Solar KCP Limited No PSS 1.15
132KV SS
Kadiri 132/33 KV Rithwik Projects Private
15 Solar No PSS 3.00
SS Limited (5 MW)
kalyandurg Sai Sudhir Energy Limited
16 Solar No PSS 10.00
220KV KV SS (20 MW)
Cherivi 33/11KV Sri Ciry Power Private
17 Solar No PSS 3.00
SS Limited

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 121 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Solar Power Plant details as on 31.03.2023

Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the developer Pooling station Name
Capacity (MW)

Cheruvu
kommupalem- Southern Rocks and
18 Solar No PSS 1.00
Minerals (P) LImited
33/11KV SS

Ravali Spinners
19 Solar switch station Ravali Spinners Pvt. Ltd No PSS 1.00
132 KV Paravali.

Prayatna Developers Pvt


20 Solar No PSS 1.00
Ltd
Ampolu 33/11
21 Solar Trimax Sands Pvt. Ltd, No PSS 1.00
KV SS

Manesamudram SEI Shriram(Emmvee


22 Solar No PSS 4.00
33/ 11 KV SS Energy Pvt.Ltd.),

Manesamudram
23 Solar Solarays Eco Energy Inc. No PSS 2.00
33/ 11 KV SS

Manesamudram
24 Solar Meda Sreedhar No PSS 2.00
33/ 11 KV SS

Manesamudram
25 Solar Prakasha Motors, No PSS 1.00
33/ 11 KV SS

Manesamudram
26 Solar Prakash Agencies, No PSS 1.00
33/ 11 KV SS

TADA 33/11KV Nippo Batteries Co., Ltd ,


27 Solar No PSS 1.00
SS TADA, Nellore .Dt.
Kovvur 132/33
28 Solar The Andhra sugars Ltd No PSS 2.50
KV SS
B V Palem 33/
29 Solar Indira Power Pvt Ltd ,Tada No PSS 0.70
11 KV SS

Morasapudi 33/ Sri Laxmi Venkateswara


30 Solar No PSS 1.00
11 KV SS Green Energy Pvt Ltd

Mothabaka Bharathi Solar Power,


31 Solar No PSS 1.00
33/11KVSS Guntur(District),

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 122 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Solar Power Plant details as on 31.03.2023

Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the developer Pooling station Name
Capacity (MW)

Ubicherla -33
32 Solar Abhedya Power Pvt,Ltd , No PSS 2.00
/11 KV SS
Ananthapur- MEIL Green Power.
33 Solar Gooty 132 KV Ltd,pamidi, No PSS 50.00
Line LILO Ananthapur.Dt
Brahmanapalli - Savitha Renewable
34 Solar No PSS 1.00
33 /11 KV SS Energy Pvt.ltd,Guntur

Rangampeta Arkha Solar Pvt. Ltd


35 Solar No PSS 1.00
33/11KV SS (Natems Power Pvt Ltd)

Atmakur -
132/33 KV SS( Amaravathi Textiles,
36 Solar No PSS 5.00
Guntur
nellorepalem)
Nagarimadugu -
37 Solar Varshini Exim Pvt Ltd No PSS 2.40
33/11 KV SS
SEI Sriram(Emmvee
Sreekantapuram Energy Pvt.Ltd.)
38 Solar No PSS 5.40
33/11 KV SS

Palamanda Vuddanda Solar power


39 Solar No PSS 3.00
33/11 KV SS Pvt.Ltd
Jagadarthy Sri Sai Achuyth Energy Pvt
40 Solar No PSS 5.00
33/11KV SS Ltd

Maddemadugu Power Pvt


Ubicherla 33/11
Ltd(Rajaratna Energy
41 Solar KV SS No PSS 5.00
Holdings Pvt Ltd)

Vontithadi Sri Vijaya Visakha Milk


42 Solar No PSS 1.65
33/11 KV SS Producers Company Ltd

Atmakur -
132/33 KV SS Amaravathi Textiles,
43 Solar No PSS 5.00
Guntur
(nellorepalem)
Chintalapudi
44 Solar Pragathi Group No PSS 2.00
132/ 33 KV SS

Jammalabanda GRT Jewellers (India) Pvt


45 Solar No PSS 6.00
132/33KV SS Ltd,

Chejerla 33/11 Palnadu Solar Power Pvt


46 Solar No PSS 2.75
KV SS Ltd

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 123 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Solar Power Plant details as on 31.03.2023

Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the developer Pooling station Name
Capacity (MW)

Bright Solar Renewable


Jammalabanda Energy Pvt.Ltd
47 Solar No PSS 10.00
132/33KV SS

Adoni 132/33 Renew Solar Energy


48 Solar No PSS 39.00
KV SS (Karnataka)

Cumbum
Renew Solar Energy
132/33 KV
49 Solar (Karnataka) No PSS 21.00
SS(Giddaluru SS)

Balapanur Welspun Renewables


50 Solar No PSS 30.00
132/33 KV SS Energy Pvt Ltd
Tadimarri 33/11 Ushodaya Enterprises Pvt
51 Solar No PSS 5.00
KV SS Ltd
Tadipatri 220/33
52 Solar Azure Power India Pvt Ltd No PSS 50.00
KV SS
Nandyal –
Banaganapalli Welspun Renewables
53 Solar No PSS 70.00
Energy Pvt Ltd
132 KV LILO
Rayachoty New Era Enviro Venture
54 Solar No PSS 10.00
132/33 KV SS Pvt. Ltd

Gajarayanivalas a
55 Solar Eaamaa Estates Pvt Ltd No PSS 3.00
33/11KV SS

New & Renewable Energy


Gollavanitippa,
Development Corpn of AP
56 Solar Bhimavaram No PSS 0.39
Ltd (NREDCAP)

Hindupur
Arohi Solar
57 Solar 220/132/33KV No PSS 50.00
Pvt.Ltd.(ACME)
SS
First Solar Power India Pvt
Hindupur – Ltd
Dharmavaram
58 Solar Hindupur Solar Park Pvt No PSS 40.00
132 KV LILO
Ltd.,
Dayanidhi Solar Power
Shanthipuram Pvt.Ltd
59 Solar No PSS 40.00
132/33 KV SS
ACME clean tech

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 124 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Solar Power Plant details as on 31.03.2023

Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the developer Pooling station Name
Capacity (MW)

Niranjana Solar Energy


60 Solar Pathikonda Pvt.Ltd No PSS 20.00
132/33 KV SS
ACME Clean Tech
Vishwathma Solar Energy
Yemmiganur Pvt.Ltd.
61 Solar No PSS 10.00
132/33KV SS
ACME Clean Tech
Chejerla 33/11 Palnadu Solar Power Pvt
62 Solar No PSS 2.25
KV SS Ltd
B N kandrika
63 Solar SSR Agro Energy No PSS 1.00
33/11 KV SS
Vishwathma Solar Energy
Yemmiganur Pvt.Ltd.
64 Solar No PSS 20.00
132/33KV SS
ACME Clean Tech

Hindupur Solar Park Pvt


Punganur
Ltd
65 Solar 132/33 KV SS No PSS 20.00
First Solar Power India Ltd

Rayachoty ACME Jaisalmer Solar


66 Solar No PSS 20.00
132/33 KV SS Power Pvt Ltd
Gurramkonda
67 Solar Waaneep Solar Pvt Ltd No PSS 25.00
132/33 KV SS
Jagadarthy
68 Solar Sumeru Energy Pvt ltd No PSS 1.00
33/11KV SS

Hindupur Solar Park Pvt


Punganur
Ltd
69 Solar 132/33 KV SS No PSS 20.00
First Solar Power India Ltd

New & Renewable Energy


Gollavanitippa,
Development Corpn of AP
70 Solar Bhimavaram No PSS 0.61
Ltd (NREDCAP)

Garividi 132/33 VBC Renewable Energy


71 Solar No PSS 3.00
KV ss. Pvt Ltd
Nagarimadugu -
72 Solar Varshini Exim Pvt Ltd No PSS 0.60
33/11 KV SS
Nawal Warfh
73 Solar Visakhapatnam Port Trust No PSS 6.25
132 KV (VSP)
Sree Jaya Jyothi Cements
74 Solar Banaganapalli ss No PSS 1.00
Pvt Ltd

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 125 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Solar Power Plant details as on 31.03.2023

Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the developer Pooling station Name
Capacity (MW)

Sree Jaya Jyothi Cements


75 Solar Banaganapalli ss No PSS 10.00
Pvt Ltd
Pamulapadu Sprouts Solar Energy Pvt
76 Solar No PSS 2.00
33/11 SS Ltd
Tadimarri 33/11 Ushodaya Enterprises Pvt
77 Solar No PSS 5.00
KV SS Ltd
Jagadarthy
78 Solar Sumeru Energy Pvt Ltd No PSS 4.00
33/11KV SS

Peravalli 33/11 kv Narasimha Swamy Solar


79 Solar No PSS 5.00
SS Generations Pvt Ltd

Muddanur 33 Yaswanth Solar Energy


80 Solar No PSS 1.00
KV SS (Pvt) Ltd
Gollagudem
81 Solar APGENCO No PSS 5.99
33/11KV
Thanakallu 132 Repal Renewables
82 Solar No PSS 4.90
KV SS Pvt.Limited
Thamballapalle-
Mudividu 33/11 Tirumala Tirupati
83 Solar No PSS 3.00
Devasthanam
KV ss
Sri Varaha
Simhachalam
84 Solar Laxminarasimha swamy No PSS 1.00
33/11 KV SS
devasthanam
Ragigunta 33 KV
85 Solar Sri chakra Cements Pvt ltd No PSS 2.00
SS
Peddapadu 33
86 Solar Kanti Brothers Oils Pvt Ltd No PSS 3.00
kv SS

87 Solar Tada IFMR Sreecity Kalahasthi No PSS 0.50

Jillelamanda 33
88 Solar SVR Corporation Pvt Ltd No PSS 2.00
Kv SS
B N kandrika
89 Solar SSR Agro Energy No PSS 1.00
33/11 KV SS
Thimmapuram
90 Solar Natems Power Pvt Ltd No PSS 9.90
132 KV SS

91 Solar Ghani SS 400 KV SGB Clean tech Ghani PSS 1 250.00

SGB Clean tech, Azure,


92 Solar Ghani SS 400 KV Ghani PSS 2 250.00
pratyana developers

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 126 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Solar Power Plant details as on 31.03.2023

Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the developer Pooling station Name
Capacity (MW)

93 Solar Ghani SS 400 KV Greenko Ghani-PSS-1 Ghani PSS 3 250.00

94 Solar Ghani SS 400 KV Greenko Ghani-PSS-2 Ghani PSS 4 250.00

95 Solar Gharbam 33KV Neatem No PSS 10.00

96 Solar Mallampudi SS GSL Educational Society No PSS 1.50

Yeleswaram SS(
Cyber village solutions Pvt
Appanapalem)
97 Solar Ltd No PSS 3.65
33/11 KV

Thanakallu 132
98 Solar Repal Renewables Pvt Ltd No PSS 5.10
KV SS
komatikuntla SS
99 Solar Repal Renewables Pvt Ltd No PSS 10.00
132 KV

Manesamudram
100 Solar B G Chennappa No PSS 2.00
33/ 11 KV SS

Nutanakaluva Vyshaka Solar Energy


101 Solar No PSS 2.00
33/11 KV SS Systems
Thamballapalle-
Tirumala Tirupati
102 Solar Mudividu 33/11 No PSS 7.00
devasthanam
KV ss

103 Solar Garbham 33 KV Repal Renewables Pvt Ltd No PSS 6.00

Pydi
104 Solar bhimavaram Aurobindo Pharma Ltd No PSS 30.00
132 KV SS
SRDD ENERGY (OPC)
105 Solar Manganellore SS nPvt No PSS 1.00
Ltd

106 Solar Adurpally 132 Kv SEI Green Flash Pvt Ltd No PSS 30.00

Kadiri 132/33 KV
107 Solar SEI Arushi Pvt Ltd No PSS 30.00
SS
Dharmavaram
108 Solar Rain Coke Ltd No PSS 22.00
SS
Amplus Andhra Powe Pvt
109 Solar Edupugallu SS No PSS 2.00
Ltd

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 127 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Solar Power Plant details as on 31.03.2023

Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the developer Pooling station Name
Capacity (MW)

110 Solar Perindesam SS Sri Chakra Cents Pvt Ltd No PSS 3.00

Thanakallu 132 Arkha Solar Power Pvt


111 Solar No PSS 10.00
KV SS Ltd,
Chowtkur SS
112 Solar SB Solar Services Pvt Ltd No PSS 2.00
33/11KV

113 Solar Gandlaparthy SS Odysseus Logos LLP No PSS 2.00

Nagari 132 KV
114 Solar Waneep Solar Pvt Ltd No PSS 4.00
SS
Marripadu
115 Solar Sylandro Power Pvt Ltd No PSS 2.40
33/11 KV SS
Puttampalli
116 Solar IOCL No PSS 3.00
33/11 KV
Nagari 132 KV
117 Solar Waneep Solar Pvt Ltd No PSS 21.00
SS

Subramanya Solar Power


118 Solar Perindesam SS No PSS 2.00
Projects LLP

Pineapple
Greater Visakhapatnam
119 Solar colony 33/11 KV No PSS 2.00
Smart City Corp
SS

33/11KV Greater Visakhapatnam


120 Solar No PSS 1.00
Pothanapalli SS Smart City Corp

33/11KV Greater Visakhapatnam


121 Solar No PSS 1.50
Pothanapalli SS Smart City Corp

BPGR Electrical
Engilibanda Contractors
122 Solar No PSS 3.00
33/11 KV
and engineers Pvt Ltd
Tallaricheruvu
123 Solar /Jammalamadug u APGENCO Talaricheruvu PS-2 250.00
400KV
Tallaricheruvu
124 Solar /Jammalamadug u APGENCO Talaricheruvu PS-1 150.00
400KV
Komatipalli SS
125 Solar Sprint Exports Pvt Ltd No PSS 2.00
33/11

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 128 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Solar Power Plant details as on 31.03.2023

Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the developer Pooling station Name
Capacity (MW)

Powermech Infra Ltd


2nd Floor, Lohia
Tower,Nirmala convent
Pedda Road,Patamata,
Alavalapadu Vijayawada-520010,
126 Solar No PSS 1.70
33/11KV SS

Alufluoride Ltd,
Mulagada, Mindi,
Polepalli SS Visakhapatnam 530012,
127 Solar 33/11 KV No PSS 1.60
8912548567,
contact@alufluoride.com

Polepalli SS
128 Solar M/s Alufluoride Ltd No PSS 1.40
33/11 KV
Jammalamadug
u 400KV( Engie Solar-Solairepro
129 Solar Mylavaram400K Urja Private Limited Mylavaram PSS 250.00
V)
Sree Godavari
Somalapuram SS Kraft Papers Pvt
130 Solar No PSS 3.00
33/11KV
Ltd
Komatikuntla M/s Natems Solar Power
131 Solar No PSS 10.00
132/33kV SS Pvt Limited
33/11KV BV M/s Chitturi Projects pvt
132 Solar No PSS 1.00
Palem SS Ltd

132/33 KV M/s Aditya Birla


133 Solar No PSS 8.75
Sambepalli SS Renewables SPV1 Limited

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 129 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Solar Power Plant details as on 31.03.2023

Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the developer Pooling station Name
Capacity (MW)

33/11kV M/s Tirupati Smart City


134 Solar No PSS 4.00
Bonupalli SS Corporation Ltd
33/11kV M/s Sree Lalitha
135 Solar Thurpurompido dla Parameswari spinning Mills, No PSS 8.00
SS Pvt Ltd
132/33kV
M/s Vasantha Industries ltd
136 Solar Chilakaluripeta No PSS 8.00
SS
33/11kV
137 Solar M/s ONGC, Tatipaka No PSS 5.00
Nagaram SS

132/33kV Ravali
M/s Ravali Spinners Pvt
Switching Station
138 Solar Limited No PSS 1.98

M/s Arunodaya Tech


33/11kV Solar Power Projects Pvt
139 Solar No PSS 5.00
Gudiselapalli SS
Ltd
220kV
Bilakalaguduru
140 Solar M/s JSW Energy Ltd No PSS 5.00
Switching
Station
132/33kV
M/s Bharathi Cement
141 Solar Nallalingayapalli No PSS 8.00
Corporation Pvt, Ltd,
SS

33/11kV Radio M/s Kanti Brothers Oil Pvt


142 Solar No PSS 1.00
Station SS Ltd

33/11kV Radio M/s Kanti Brothers Oil Pvt


143 Solar No PSS 2.00
Station SS Ltd

33/11kV INS Garrison Engineer Navy


144 Solar No PSS 2.00
Kalinga SS INS Kaalinga
33/11 KV
M/s. Creamline Dairy
145 Solar Santanutalapad No PSS 1.00
Products Ltd
u
132/33 Kv My Home Industries Pvt.
146 Solar No PSS 4.00
Koruprolu SS Ltd
132/33 KV
147 Solar Aditya Birla Renewable No PSS 11.25
Sambapalli SS

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 130 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Solar Power Plant details as on 31.03.2023

Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the developer Pooling station Name
Capacity (MW)

220 KV Gooty Ultra Tech Cemnet


148 Solar No PSS 9.38
SWS Limited

132 KV Silica Ceramica (Pvt)


149 Solar No PSS 1.20
Pedatadapalli SS Limited

132/33 KV
150 Solar Hero Motor Corp No PSS 2.08
Cherivi SS

220/132/33kV Anantrhapura Energy


151 Solar No PSS 8.40
Chakrayapeta Projects Ltd (40MW)

132/33kV
152 Solar Noonegundlapal li Amara Raja Batteries Ltd, No PSS 50.00

Precot Limited, at
132/33kV Kodigenahalli (V) Parigi
153 Solar Hindupur SS (M) in Ananthapur Dt. No PSS 3.20
(ATP-029)
Coastal corporation
33/11kVMS Palli Limited, at Dalswaram
154 Solar SS (V), Kanchili (M), No PSS 3.20
Srikakulam dt.

Greater Visakhapatnam
33/11kV Narava Municipal Corporation
155 Solar SS (GVMC) at No PSS 2.42
Meghadrigedda Reservoir

132/33 KV
156 Solar Jammalamadug Dalmia cement No PSS 16.08
u SS
Sri Durga Malleswara Swami
33/11 KV Nunna Temple varla
157 Solar No PSS 1.00
SS
Devasthanam
33/11 KV Tetali PVR Spinning & Weaving
158 Solar No PSS 1.80
SS Limited

220/132/33 kV FP Solar shakti private


159 Solar Chakrayapeta SS limited SOLAR No PSS 13.20

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 131 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Solar Power Plant details as on 31.03.2023

Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the developer Pooling station Name
Capacity (MW)

132/33 KV M/s. Sagar Grandhi


160 Solar No PSS 1.80
Chendodu SS Exports Pvt Ltd,
132/33 kV Allur M/s. BMR Industries Pvt
161 Solar No PSS 1.80
SS Ltd,
33/11 kV M/s. Greenko AP01 IREP
162 Solar No PSS 2.00
Kalvabugga SS Pvt Ltd,
132/33KV SS
Ms Vasantha Industries
163 Solar Chilakaluri pet No PSS 6.40
Ltd
SS
Total 2853.72

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 132 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Wind power plant details as on 31.03.2023
Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the Pooling Station Name Capacity
developer
(MW)

1 Wind A Kondapuram Vibrant Green No PSS 5.10


33/11 KV

2 Wind Aluru 132 KV Renew No pss 40.00


Ankampalli SS Deddukunta-
3 Wind Gamesa 100.00
132 KV Tagguparthy-II
Ankireddypalli
4 Wind WindWorld Ankireddypally PSS 84.00
SS 132 KV
Ankireddypalli
5 Wind ZR Ren Ankireddypally PSS 16.00
SS 132 KV
Atmakur SS
6 Wind Greenko No PSS 10.00
33/11 KV
Balapanur 132 Atria -I Directly connected to
7 Wind 25.5
KV Atria -II grid SS

8 Wind Bogasamudram( No PSS-Directly 10.00


Bugga) 33/11 KV connected to Grid SS

Borampally
9 Wind Greenko East Kodipalli-saipuram 20.00
220KV
Borampally
10 Wind Renew Bhadrapuram 100.80
220KV
Borampally
11 Wind Ecoren Maddelacheruvu 197.40
220KV
Borampally
12 Wind Greenko East Kodipalli-saipuram 52.50
220KV
Borampally
13 Wind Greenko East Kodipalli-saipuram 52.00
220KV
Borampally
14 Wind Hero Guruvepalli 120.00
220KV
Borampally
15 Wind Greenko East Kodipalli-saipuram 20.00
220KV
Borampally Borampally PS-THETA
16 Wind Renew 50.40
220KV WIND FARMS
Inox_Maruti
17 Wind CKM Palli 33 KV No PSS 10.00
Shakti

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 133 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Wind power plant details as on 31.03.2023
Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the Pooling Station Name Capacity
developer
(MW)

Dharmavaram
18 Wind Inox No PSS 18.00
132KV SS
Dhone SS 132
19 Wind Ecoren No PSS 24.00
KV
Guntakal SS 132
20 Wind Suzlon Pottipadu 39.90
KV
Jammalamadug
21 Wind Suzlon Gandikota PSS 81.90
u 132 KV
Kalyanadurgam
22 Wind Blyth No PSS 25.60
SS 220 KV
Kalyanadurgam
23 Wind Renew No PSS 24.00
SS 220 KV
Kalyanadurgam
24 Wind Poly Yatakallu 24.00
SS 220 KV
Kalyanadurgam
25 Wind JED Yatakallu 24.00
SS 220 KV
Kalyanadurgam
26 Wind Gamesa Tagguparthy-I 100.00
SS 220 KV
Komatikuntla SS
27 Wind Wescare No PSS 11.00
132 KV
Komatikuntla SS
28 Wind RCI No PSS 9.00
132 KV
Komatikuntla SS
29 Wind RCI No PSS 2.75
132 KV
Komatikuntla SS
30 Wind RCI No PSS 1.50
132 KV
Komatikuntla SS
31 Wind KPR No PSS 0.45
132 KV
Komatikuntla SS
32 Wind No PSS 0.45
132 KV
Komatikuntla SS
33 Wind No PSS 0.225
132 KV
Komatikuntla SS
34 Wind No PSS 0.225
132 KV
Komatikuntla SS
35 Wind No PSS 4.00
132 KV

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 134 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Wind power plant details as on 31.03.2023
Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the Pooling Station Name Capacity
developer
(MW)

Komatikuntla SS
36 Wind No PSS 1.00
132 KV
Komatikuntla SS
37 Wind Vasavi No PSS 1.00
132 KV
Komatikuntla SS
38 Wind vibrant green No PSS 0.75
132 KV
Komatikuntla SS
39 Wind vibrant green No PSS 0.25
132 KV
Komatikuntla SS
40 Wind vibrant green No PSS 0.50
132 KV
Komatikuntla SS
41 Wind vibrant green No PSS 0.75
132 KV
Komatikuntla SS
42 Wind vibrant green No PSS 0.75
132 KV
Komatikuntla SS
43 Wind vibrant green No PSS 3.75
132 KV
Kondapuram
220 KV (to be
44 Wind connected in Hetero Tirumalayapalli 94.5
Tirumalayapalli
220KV)

Nansuralla SS
45 Wind Renew Molagavalli 50.00
220 KV
Nansuralla SS Mytrah-I,
46 Wind Jutturu 79.90
220 KV Mytrah_II
Kuderu SS 33/11
47 Wind Greenko No PSS 10.00
KV
Nansuralla SS Mytrah-I,
48 Wind Jutturu 69.00
220 KV Mytrah_II
Nansuralla SS
49 Wind Gamesa Molagavalli 2.00
220 KV
Nansuralla SS
50 Wind Gamesa Molagavalli 2.00
220 KV
krishnagiri SS
51 Wind Regen Karidikonda PS 99.00
220 KV

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 135 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Wind power plant details as on 31.03.2023
Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the Pooling Station Name Capacity
developer
(MW)

Nansuralla SS
52 Wind Gamesa Molagavalli 62.00
220 KV
PathiKonda SS
53 Wind Renew No PSS 39.10
132 KV
Porumamilla
54 Wind Ecoren Kandimallayapalli 20.40
220KV
Porumamilla
55 Wind Ecoren Kandimallayapalli 8.00
220KV
Porumamilla
56 Wind Ecoren Kandimallayapalli 6.00
220KV
Porumamilla
57 Wind Ecoren Kandimallayapalli 28.90
220KV
Porumamilla
58 Wind Ecoren Kandimallayapalli 55.20
220KV
Porumamilla
59 Wind Ecoren Kandimallayapalli 10.00
220KV
Porumamilla payalakuntla
60 Wind Inox 40.00
220KV _PTC_Inox
Puttaparthi 132
61 Wind Ecoren No PSS 25.30
KV

62 Wind Racherla 132 KV Mytrah Burgula 37.40

63 Wind Racherla 132 KV Mytrah Burgula 2.3

Racherla 33/11 Mytrah


64 Wind No PSS 1.6
KV Mytrah II
Racherla 33/11 Mytrah
65 Wind No PSS 6.90
KV Mytrah II
Ragulapadu ss
66 Wind Suzlon Vajrakarur PSS ckt-1 109.20
220 KV

67 Wind Ramagiri 220KV ASL No PSS 2.025

68 Wind Ramagiri 220KV RTC No PSS 10.00

69 Wind Ramagiri 220KV RTC No PSS 3

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 136 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Wind power plant details as on 31.03.2023
Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the Pooling Station Name Capacity
developer
(MW)

70 Wind Ramagiri 220KV ASL No PSS 0.9

71 Wind Ramagiri 220KV ASL No PSS 0.675

72 Wind Ramagiri 220KV ASL No PSS 0.45

73 Wind Ramagiri 220KV Suzlon Suzlon 2.1

74 Wind Ramagiri 220KV IDL No PSS 1

75 Wind Ramagiri 220KV IL&FS No PSS 6.50

76 Wind Ramagiri 220KV Greenco Muttalla 51.20

77 Wind Ramagiri 220KV Greenco Muttalla 108.00

78 Wind Ramagiri 220KV Suzlon Suzlon 8.4

79 Wind Ramagiri 220KV IL&FS No PSS 2.00

80 Wind Ramagiri 220KV ASL No PSS 1.8

81 Wind Ramagiri 220KV Suzlon Suzlon 2.1

82 Wind Ramagiri 220KV No PSS 1.00

83 Wind Ramagiri 220KV IDL No PSS 1

84 Wind Ramagiri 220KV IL&FS No PSS 2

85 Wind Ramagiri 220KV IDL No PSS 0.945

86 Wind Ramagiri 220KV IL&FS No PSS 0.945

87 Wind Ramagiri 220KV Suzlon Suzlon 6.30

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 137 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Wind power plant details as on 31.03.2023
Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the Pooling Station Name Capacity
developer
(MW)

88 Wind Ramagiri 220KV RTC No PSS 2.5

89 Wind Ramagiri 220KV RTC No PSS 0.5

90 Wind Ramagiri 220KV ASL No pss 2.5

91 Wind Ramagiri 220KV ASL No PSS 0.5

92 Wind Ramagiri 220KV RTC No PSS 1.50

93 Wind Rekulakunta Vibrant green No PSS 4.20


Rotarypuram
94 Wind Vibrant Green NO PSS 8.00
33/11 KV
Shapuram SS
95 Wind Wind World Shapuram PSS 123.2
220 KV
Singanamala
96 Wind Vibrant green No PSS 0.80
33/11 KV
Singanamala
97 Wind No PSS 0.80
33/11 KV
Siddaramapura
98 Wind NREDCAP No PSS 5.95
m 33 KV SS
Southmopuru
99 Wind NREDCAP No PSS 2.5
33/11KV
Tadipatri SS 220
100 Wind Beta wind Kadavakallu 50.40
KV
Thalamanchipat
nam-
101 Wind Chakrayapet Greenko Animala 84.00
LILIo

Tirumala 33/11
102 Wind No PSS 7.50
KV
Uravakonda SS
103 Wind Suzlon No PSS 25.20
132 KV
Uravakonda SS
104 Wind Suzlon Beluguppa 239.40
400 KV

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 138 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Andhra Pradesh State
Wind power plant details as on 31.03.2023
Installed
S.No Type STU SS Name Name of the Pooling Station Name Capacity
developer
(MW)

Uravakonda SS
105 Wind Gamesa Nimbagallu 100.00
400 KV
Uravakonda SS
106 Wind Gamesa Nimbagallu 100.00
400 KV
Uravakonda SS
107 Wind Gamesa Nimbagallu 100.00
400 KV
Uravakonda SS
108 Wind Suzlon Amidyala 226.80
400 KV
Uravakonda SS
109 Wind Axis Ipperu_Kuderu 210.00
400 KV
Uravakonda SS Greenko & Axis
110 Wind Ipperu_MPR DAM 100.00
400 KV (Kuderu PS
Vajrakarur
111 Wind Suzlon vajrakarur PSS ckt-2 159.60
220KV
Venkatapuram
112 Wind Vibrant Green No PSS 4.25
33/11 KV
Yellanur SS 132
113 Wind Renew Ellutla 119.70
KV

Total 4064.29

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 139 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Karnataka State
List Of Solar Pooling Stations in Karnataka

S.No PoS Name Voltage Installed


Feeding Station
Class Capacity (MW)
(kV)
1 Burnish_Dyavarahalli 11 5 Dyavarahalli
2 Pragathi_Hiremallanahole 11 5 Hiremallanahole

3 Renew Saur_Bidadi 11 5 Bidadi220


4 Satyadeeptha_Chitaguppa 11 5 Chitaguppa
5 Aftl_Irgampalli 11 5 Irgampalli
6 Kiocl_Kathrikehal 11 5 Katrikehal
7 Madhav Solar_Bevoor 33 10 Bevoor
8 Sharda Constru_Santapur 33 10 Santapur
9 Essel_Tadavalaga 33 10 Tadavalaga 33Kv

10 Bidar Solar_Bemakhed 33 10 Bemakhed_33Kv


(Manekhalli 110Kv)
11 P Somachandra_Chikkasugur 33 12 Chikkasugur
12 Kavit Industries_Bevoor 33 5 Bevoor
13 Kn Sindagi_Devarhipparg 33 5 Devarhippargi
14 Chirastahayee_Kanakagiri 33 17 Kanakagiri
15 Kpcl_Shiggaon 33 10 Shiggaon
16 Parampujya_Shorapur 33 10 Shorapur
17 Es Solar_Manalli 33 10 Manali 33Kv
18 Mytrah Advaith_Sindagi 33 15 Sindagi
19 Matrix Green_Valkamdinni 33 6.5 Valkamdini
20 J K Petro Energy_Betagera 33 10 Betagera
21 Mytrah Akshay_Hidikal 33 15 Hidikal
22 Adani Green_Byadgi 33 20 Byadgi
23 Chirasthayee_Mahalli 33 10 Manali 33Kv
24 Shorapur Solar_Kembhavi 33 10 Kembhavi
25 Matrix Green_Wadegera 33 8.5 Wadegera
26 Marvel Solren_Janawada 33 10 Janawada
27 Eastman_Yelburga 33 10 Yelburga
28 Bosch_Yaragatti 33 12 Yaragatti
29 Dosti Reality_Saunshi 33 10 Saunshi 33Kv
30 Pace Power_Ilkal 33 10 Ilkal
31 Acmekittur_Mk Hubli 33 15 M K Hubli
32 Acme _Guledgudda 33 15 Guledagudda
33 Eklaide_Chincholi 33 20 Chincholi
34 Jrk_Kittur 33 5 Kittur
35 Jrk_Jagadal 33 15 Jagadal 33Kv
36 Jrk_Todalbagi 33 15 Todalbagi
37 Azure Power_Rangenahalli 66 10 Rangenahalli
38 Bpcl_Rangenahalli 66 10 Rangenahalli
39 Hero Future_Rampura 66 10 Rampura

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 140 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Karnataka State
List Of Solar Pooling Stations in Karnataka

S.No PoS Name Voltage Installed


Feeding Station
Class Capacity (MW)
(kV)
40 Tata Solar_Kalmaranahalli 66 10 Kalmaranahalli
41 Kpcl Sfc_Shiva 66 5 Sfc(Shiva)
42 Kpcl Sfc_Shiva1 66 10 Sfc(Shiva)
43 Walwahan_Nagasamudra 66 17 Nagasamudra
44 Emami Power_Venkatapura 66 10 Venkatapura
45 Walwahan_Rampura 66 16 Rampura
46 Bpcl_Kalmaranahalli 66 20 Kalmaranahalli
47 Walwahan_Ranganathapura 66 34 Ranganathapura
48 Rns Infra_Nagalmadike 66 9 Nagalmadike
49 Azure Power_P D Kote 66 10 P D Kote
50 Clean Max_I D Halli 66 30 I D Halli
51 Walwahan_Thallak 66 50 Thallak 220
52 Srinivas Shetty_Rampura 66 7 Rampura
53 Rejiya Saleem_Moragere 66 11 Moragere
54 Renew Saur_Ittagi 66 50 Ittagi
55 Asianfabtech_Bevinahally 66 33 Bevinahally
56 Celestial_Dyavarahalli 66 10 Dyavarahalli
57 C S Sunderraju_Nagalmadike 66 20 Nagalmadike
58 Jindal Mayakonda 66 20 Mayakonda
Tap In Madhugiri-
59 Sun Edison_Madhugiri-Nag 66 90 Nagalmadike Line)
60 Sei Diamond_Thallak 220 66 30 Thallak 220
61 Sei Venus_Thallak 220 66 30 Thallak 220
62 Laxjeet_Haradanahalli 66 5 Haradanahalli
63 Muniraju_Nagalmadike 66 9 Nagalmadike
64 Clean Solar_Dasudi 66 20 Dasudi
65 Adani Green_Ravandur 66 20 Ravandur
66 Adani Green_Thalakadu 66 20 Thalakadu
67 Atria Solar_Kabballi 66 30 Kabballi
68 Chirasta_Somayajanahalli 66 20 Somayajanahalli
69 Adani Green_Masti 66 20 Masti
70 Clean Solar_Midigeshi 66 20 Midigeshi
71 Es Sun_Chelur 66 20 Chelur
72 Adani_Bandishettihalli 66 20 Bandishettihalli
73 Es Energy_Chowdankuppe 66 10 Chawdanakuppe
74 Grt Jewellers_Doddalahalli 66 20 Doddalahalli
75 Renew Wind_Kattige 66 20 Kattige
76 Swelect_Jiddigere 66 10 Jiddigere
77 Adani Green_Santebachalli 66 20 Santebachalli
78 Asianfabtech_Tubagere 66 30 Tubagere

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 141 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Karnataka State
List Of Solar Pooling Stations in Karnataka

S.No PoS Name Voltage Installed


Feeding Station
Class Capacity (MW)
(kV)
79 Renew Wind_Sampige 66 20 Sampige
80 Adani_Chikkaganganawadi 66 20 Chikkaganganawadi
81 Clean Solar_Mugur 66 20 Mugur
82 Clean Max_Ittagi 66 48 Ittagi
83 Gamesha_Hannur 66 30 Hannur
84 Asianfab_Gouribidanur 66 20 Gowribidanur
85 Atria Solar_Kogali 66 30 Kogali
86 Golden Hatcheries_Bukkapatna 66 30 Bukkapatna
87 Clean Solar_Kabballi 66 20 Kabballi
88 Aditya Birla_Avani 66 20 Avani

89 Asianfabtech(Vaderhalli) 66 15 Vaderahalli(Thirumalap
ura)
90 Solitaire_P D Kote 66 30 P D Kote
91 Clean Solar_Bandalli 66 20 Bandalli
92 Clean Solar_P D Kote 66 30 P D Kote
93 Aavanthi_Mathod 66 20 Mathod
94 Adani Green_Ankasandra 66 20 Ankasandra
95 Clean Solar_Nitrahalli 66 20 Nitrahalli
96 Avaada_Hangal 66 30 Hangal
97 Avaada_Kanahosahalli 66 30 Hosahalli
98 Globaltech_Chikkabanagere 66 20 Chikkabanagere
99 Adani_Mellehalli 66 20 Mellehalli
100 Solarsys_Banavekal 66 30 Banavekal
101 Greenenergy_Vidhurashwat 66 30 Vidhurashwatha
102 Adani Green_Byrapatna 66 20 Sankalgere
103 Rishab Buildwell_Bennihalli 66 14 Bennihalli
(Bharamagiri)
104 Alpha_Bharmagiri 66 20
105 Infosys_Jghalli 66 38.09 Javagondanahalli
106 Nvr_Ramagiri 66 20 Ramagiri
107 Nanj_Karya 66 20 Karya
108 Acme Sidlagatta_Pallicherlu 66 20 Pallicherlu
109 Aftl_Somenahalli 66 20 Somenahalli
110 Aftl_Kyasamballi 66 40 Kyasamballi
111 Radiance_Nayakanahatti 66 20 Nayakanahatti
112 Acme Sandur_Chornoor 66 20 Chornoor
113 Sunvik_Ankasandra 66 5 Ankasandra

114 Drdo_Kolar 66 10 Kolar-Thordevanahalli


115 Aftl_Hanur 66 20 Hanur
116 Acme_Kudligi 66 20 Kudligi 220

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 142 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Karnataka State
List Of Solar Pooling Stations in Karnataka

S.No PoS Name Voltage Installed


Feeding Station
Capacity (MW)
117 Voora Energy_Dhadesugur 110 10 Dhadesugur
118 Renew Wind Ladha 110 20 Ladha
119 Renew Windk4_Nirna 110 20 Nirna
120 Renew Agni_Tekalkote 110 20 Tekalkote
121 Tarun_Kadaganchi 110 20 Kadaganchi
122 Aditya Birla_Bellatti 110 20 Bellatti
123 Aditya Birla_Katakol 110 20 Katakol
124 Renew Saur_Maski 110 50 Maski
125 Renew Wind_Chincholi 110 20 Chincholi
126 Bhumi Prakash_Gabbur 110 20 Gabbur
127 Clean Solar_ P D Halli 110 20 P D Halli
128 Clean Solar_Kanakagiri 110 20 Kanakagiri
129 Ananthapur Solar_Konnur 110 20 Konnur
130 Adani Green_Mandeval 110 20 Mandeval
131 Tungabhadra_Mantur 110 20 Mantur
132 Renew Wind_Saidapur 110 20 Saidapur
133 Clean Solar_Kurdicross 110 50 Kurdicross
134 Wardha Solar_Rajeshwar 110 50 Rajeshwar
135 Wardha Solar_Sanatapur 110 50 Santapur
136 Acme Kaithal_Chitaguppa 110 40 Chitaguppa
137 Talettutayi_Yelburga 110 30 Yelburga
138 Acme Vijayapura_Halburga 110 40 Halburga
139 Renew Wind_Wadegera 110 20 Wadegera
140 Acme Babadham_Byagwat 110 40 Byagwat
141 Spv Kodangal_Mukarthihal 110 20 Mukartihal
142 Parampujya_Yelburga 110 50 Yelburga
143 Clean Solar_Wadegera 110 20 Wadegera
144 Adani Green_Honnavalli 110 20 Honnavalli
145 Mytrah Advaith_Hungund 110 15 Hungund
146 Clean Manvi Solar_Kavital 110 28.88 Kavital
147 Clean Solar_Nalwar 110 20 Nalwar
148 Wardha Solar_Nalwar 110 40 Nalwar
149 K N Bijapura_Takkalaki 110 20 Takkalaki
150 Wardha Solar_Shahpur220 110 50 Shahpur220
151 K N Indi Vijayapura_Atharga 110 20 Atharga
152 K N Muddebihal 110 20 Mudebihal
153 Acme Koppal_Farhatabad 110 40 Farthabad
154 Clean Solar_Santapur 110 40 Santapur
155 Clean Solar_Turvihal 110 40 Turvihal
156 Renew Wind_Santapur 110 20 Santapur
157 Aditya Birla_Chadchan 110 23.8 Chadchan

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 143 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Karnataka State
List Of Solar Pooling Stations in Karnataka

S.No PoS Name Voltage Installed


Feeding Station
Class Capacity (MW)
(kV)
158 Clean Max_P D Halli 110 48 P D Halli
159 Abhimaani_Tekalkote 110 24 Tekalkote

160 Belagaum Solar_ Mamadapura 110 45 Mamadapura(Bagwd)


161 Inr Energy_Kushtagi 110 45 Kushtagi
162 Renew_Nirna 110 20 Nirna
163 Belgaum Renewable_Alabala 110 40 Alabala
164 Solarsys_Ilkal 110 60 Ilkal
165 Wardha Solar_Takkalaki 110 50 Takkalaki
166 Suryoday_Ghataprabha 110 40 Ghataprabha 220
167 Shri Keshav_Betagera 110 30 Betagera
168 Shahi Exports_Kolhar 110 40 Kolhar
169 Mayfair_Hirehal 110 20 Hirehal
170 Clean Solar_Maragutti 110 40 Maragutti
171 Doddanavar_Nanadi 110 20 Nanadi
172 Ecoren_Navali 110 20 Navale
173 Aavanthi_Shiggaon 110 20 Shiggaon
174 Vivaswat_Bableshwar 110 20 Bableshwara
175 Akhilaghya_Dambal 110 20 Dambal
176 Abha_Kalaghatagi 110 20 Kalaghatagi
177 Nokor_Navalgund 110 20 Navalgund
178 Nokor_Udikeri 110 20 Udikeri
179 Izra_Yadwad 110 20 Yadwad
180 Renew_Shiraguppi 110 20 Shiraguppi
181 Aftl_Belagumba 110 10 Belagumba
182 Talettutayi_Kerehalli 110 20 Kerehalli
183 Acme Hukkeri_Sankeshwar 110 15 Sankeshwara
184 Aftl_Basavanakatte 110 20 Basavanakatti
185 Hinduja_Mallat 110 26 Mallat
186 Aftl_Savanur 110 20 Savanur
187 Fpel Talikoti 110 50 Talikote
188 Avaada_Kembhavi 110 37.28 Kembhavi
189 Greeninfra_Venkatagiri_Solar 110 18 Venkatagiri
190 Radiance_Bennur_Solar 110 50 Bennur
191 Ampsolar_Mallat 110 50 Mallat
192 Sagitur Ventures 220 142 Thallak 220
193 Azure_Hiriyur 220 220 130 Hiriyur 220
194 Wardha Solar_Madhuvanahally 220 100 Madhuvanahally
195 Embassy_Ittagi 220 100 Ittagi
196 Amplus Gadag Harthi 220 135 Gadag-Harthi
197 Enrgon Soleq_Vajramatti 220 100 Vajramatti 220

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 144 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Karnataka State
List Of Solar Pooling Stations in Karnataka

S.No PoS Name Voltage Installed


Feeding Station
Class Capacity (MW)
(kV)
198 Cleanmax_Sedam 220 100 Sedam
199 Rbrk_B Bagewadi Solar 220 13 Basavana Bagewadi
200 Cmes Jupiter_Hmhole_Solar 220 70 Jagalur 400
201 Lesser Mw Solar (<5Mw) 314.6
TOTAL 5487.65

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 145 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Karnataka State
List Of Wind Pooling Stations in Karnataka
Voltage
S.No Pos Name Class Installed Capacity Feeding Station
(MW)
(kV)
Enercon_Konnur(Greeninfra
1 33 20 Konnur
Ramdrg_Konnur)
Mysore
2 33 16 Lakshmeshwar
Mercentail_Lakshmeshwar

3 Rrb Energy_Gajendragad 33 33.6 Gajendragad

4 Suzlon_Khanbargi Layout 33 10 Khanbaragi Layout


5 Suzlon_Soudatti 110 33 10.5 Soudatti 110

6 Tejaswi Developers_Gadag 33 24.15 Gadag 110


110
7 Bhuruka Gases _B Bagewadi 33 18.4 B Bagewadi
8 Gamesha _Hatti 66 60 Hatti
9 Greeninfra_Bharamsagara 66 36.38 Bharamasagara-Ipp
10 Enercon_Pandarahalli 66 47.4 Pandarahalli
11 Enercon_Hiriyur 73.6 66 73.6 Hiriyur 220
12 Enercon_Mathod 66 56.6 Mathod
13 Hutti Gold_Chitradurga2 66 11.4 Chitradurga 220
14 Sarjan Realities_Palagate 66 12.6 Palagate
15 Nandan Hosur Grp_Ramagiri 66 40.73 Ramagiri
16 Neg Micon_Chitradurga66 66 62.3 Chitradurga 66

17 Nuzuveedu Seeds_Chikkajajur 66 50.4 Chikkajajur

18 Nuzuveedu Seeds_Jagaluru 66 27.65 Jagalur


19 Pioneer_Imangala 66 13.6 Imangala
20 Suzlon_Harapanahalli 66 25 Harapanahalli
21 Suzlon_Hiriyur220 66 36 Hiriyur 220
22 Suzlon&Kredl Itagi 66 62.95 Itagi
23 Suzlon_Hirehadagali 66 39 Hirehadagali
24 Suzlon_Kundoor 66 12 Kundoor
25 Suzlon_Bennehalli 66 25 Benehalli
26 Suzlon_H D Pura 66 13.5 H D Pura
27 Suzlon_Jogimatti 66 32.5 Chitradurga 220
28 Suzlon_Uddurkoppalu 66 61.25 Uddur Koppalu S/S
29 Suzlon_Kottur 66 22.25 Kottur
30 Greeninfra _Telgi 66 23.1 Telgi
31 Vestas Rrb _Basavapatna 66 24.6 Basavapatna
Acciona
32 66 16.5 Hiremallanahole
Anabur_Hiremallanahole
Acciona
33 66 13.2 Hiremallanahole
Asgundi_Hiremallanahole
33 Rohan Solar_Kundoor 66 10 Kundoor
34 Atrial Wind _Turuvanur 66 23 Turuvanur
35 Karad_Chitradurga_Wind 66 12 Chitradurga

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 146 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Karnataka State
List Of Wind Pooling Stations in Karnataka
Voltage
S.No Pos Name Class Installed Capacity Feeding Station
(MW)
(kV)
Chitradurga
36 66 18.9 Hosahalli
Renewable_Hosahalli
37 Bijapur_Re_Ujjini 66 23.3 Ujjini
38 Fouref _Balenahalli 66 38 Balenahalli
39 Bhoruka_Itnal 110 100.3 Itnal
40 Bpcl_Shiratti 110 69.75 Shiratti
41 Enercon_Dambal 110 20.6 Dambal
42 Enercon_Bellati 110 38.8 Bellati
43 Enercon_Soudatti 110 110 72 Soudatti 110
44 Gamesha_Kavital 110 50 Kavital
45 Tuppadahalli_Shivani 110 56.1 Shivani
46 Rsr_Bhoj 110 19.55 Bhoj
Rsr Power- Kabbur(Nagarmunuval
47 110 24.8
Kabbur(Nagarmanouli)
48 Suzlon_Dambal 110 85 Dambal
Lilo B/W Haveri-
49 Suzlon Lilo B/W Haveri-Guttala 110 80.75 Guttal(Guttal Switching
Station)
50 Suzlon_Kurgod 110 44.1 Kurgod
51 Suzlon_Sindhanoor220 110 24 Sindhanoor 220
52 Suzlon-Sidenur_Byadgi 110 31.5 Byadgi
53 Doddalur_Chikkodi 110 47 Chikkodi 110
54 Gamesha _Ron 110 60 Ron
55 Energon _Bijapur 220 110 46 Bijapur 220
56 Matrix _Mukartihal 110 24 Mukartihal

57 Shiva Ventures_Hanumasagara 110 18 Hanumasagara

58 G M Navara_Salahalli 110 60 Salahalli


59 Ostrosattigeri_Kuligod 110 60 Kuligod

60 Orange 110 60 Gurumitkal


Mamadkhed_Gurumitkal
61 Jodhpur_Madiyal 110 60 Madiyal
62 Latur Renewable _Lingasugur 110 60 Lingasugur
63 Sanchor Renewable _Katakol 110 40 Katakol
64 Pugalur _Sindhanoor 220 110 60 Sindhanoor 220
65 Gamesa _Vadavatti 110 50 Vadavatti
66 Pratijna _Navale 110 19.8 Navale
67 Mmcl_Soundatti 110 62 Soudatti 220
68 Enercon_Hiriyur 68.8 220 68.8 Hiriyur 220
69 Fortune Five_B Bagewadi 220 165.2 B Bagewadi
70 Mytrah Savalsung_Indi 220 95.2 Indi 220
71 Haraknalu Wind_Itagi 220 39.6 Itagi
Lilo Bidnal-Gadag-
72 Harti (Enercon)_Lilo Bidnal 220 238.4
Lingapur

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 147 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Karnataka State
List Of Wind Pooling Stations in Karnataka
Voltage
S.No Pos Name Installed Capacity Feeding Station
Class
(MW)
(kV)
Lilo B/W Narendra &
73 Kanabargi_Lilo B/W Narendra 220 50.4
Belgaum
74 Suzlon_Honnali 220 73 Honnali 220
75 Suzlon Wind_Gopalpura 220 67.5 Gopalpura
76 Vish _Bidnal 220 208.8 Bidnal
77 Vish Wind_Guttur 400 220 56 Guttur 400
78 Vaishali _Bijapur 220 220 224 Bijapur 220
79 Green Infra _Neelgunda 220 80 Neelgunda 220
80 G M Navarra _B Bagewadi 220 200 Bb Wadi-Bijapur
81 Sarjan Realities_Guttur 220 33.6 Guttur 400
82 Ravi Ujra _Athani 220 78 Athani220
83 Rbrk_B Bagewadi 220 104 B Bagewadi

84 Ostro Chikkamageri _Kushtagi 220 100 Kushtagi

85 Suzlon Gujarat _Kushtagi 220 285.6 Kushtagi


86 Atria _B Bagewadi 220 118.8 B Bagewadi
87 Cmesjupiter_Hmhole_Wind 220 81 Jagalur 400
88 LESSER MW WIND (<10MW) 119.74
TOTAL 5089.05

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 148 of 308
List Of Solar & Wind Plants in Kerala State as on 31.03.2023
List of Wind Power Plants as on 31.03.2023
Scada
S.N Category Name State IC in Remarks
Visibility
o MW
/IPP
Kanjikode
1 Wind State 2.025
Wind Farm
(9x0.225)
Ramakkalme
du Wind 3 x 0.25 addition
2 Wind Farm IPP 15.000 during
(19x0.75+3x March 2023
0.2
5)
Agali Wind
3 Wind Farm IPP 18.600
(31x0.6)
Ahalia Wind
4 Wind IPP 8.400
Farm
(4x2.1)
Inox Wind
5 Wind Energy IPP 16.000 Yes COD - 16.08.2017
Limited
(8x2)
Kosamattom
6 Wind Finance (P) IPP 1.000 Yes COD - 22.12.2018
Ltd
(4x0.25)
Malayala
Integrated to
7 Wind Manorama CPP 10.000 Yes
SCADA on
Co.
29.04.2019
Limited
Total wind 71.025

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 149 of 308
Kerala State List of Solar Power Plants as on 31.03.2023
Scada
S.N Category Name State/IPP IC in MW Remarks
Visibility
o
Commissioned on
1 Solar Kanjikode State 1.000 No
20.08.2015
Commissioned on
2 Solar Kollengode State 1.000 No
08.08.2016
Commissioned on
3 Solar Edayar State 1.250 Yes
05.02.2016
Newly commissioned
4 Solar Hindalco CPP 3.000 Yes 2 MW plant
integrated on
10.09.2020

29.03 MW
commissioned on
11.12.2017. 9.4 MW
5 Solar CIAL CPP 38.440 Yes is not regularized and
the connectivity
agreement is
not yet executed.
Commissioned during
6 Solar Barapole State 4.000 No
November 2016

Anert, Commissioned
7 Solar IPP 2.000 No
Kuzhalmanda on
m 09.12.2016
M/s. RPCK
Solar park at Commissioned
8 Solar IPP 50.000 Yes
Ambalathara on
14.09.2017
9 Solar state 1.250 Yes Commissioned on
Muvattupuzha
01.01.2018

10 Solar state 2.000 Yes Commissioned on


Pothencode
02.01.2018

2.670 Integrated to
11 Solar CPP 5.389 Yes grid on 20.06.2019 &
KMRL
2.7192Integrated to
grid
on 10.12.2019
12 Solar THDCIL IPP 50.000 Yes 50MW integrated too
Paivalike the
grid on 23.01.2021
Bharath 1.1MW integrated to
13 Solar Hospital CPP 1.100 Yes the grid on 23.04.2021

14 Solar Agali (clubbed State 1.000 No Integrated to the grid


project) on
22.01.2022

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 150 of 308
List of Solar Power Plants as on 31.03.2023
Scada
S.N Category Name State/IPP IC in MW Remarks
Visibility
o
Kanjikode
Integrated to the grid
15 Solar Clubb State 3.000 No
on 19.02.2022
ed
projec
t)
NTPC
Integrated to the grid
16 Solar (RGCCPP) IPP 92.000 Yes on 31.03.2022
Floating solar
plant
Integrated to the grid
17 Solar Saint gobain CPP 2.500 Yes on
12.08.2022
18 Solar Precot CPP 3.800 Yes
Meridian
19 Solar MES CPP 2.000 No
20 Solar ITI, CPP 1.000 No
Palakkad
CIAL,
21 Solar IPP 10.000 Yes
Ettukudukka
Brahmapuram
22 Solar - State 2.750 No COD-03.02.2023
2.75MW
Total solar >
1 278.479
MW
Total Solar
<1MW
(Including
grid
connected 461.454
roof top
solar-Net
metered
consumers)
up to Mar-
2023
TOTAL
INSTALLED
CAPACITY 810.958
(SOLAR+WIN
D)

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 151 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Tamil Nādu State
List of Solar Pooling Stations as on 31.03.2023

S.No Solar Substation Capacity (MW)

1 A.Kokulam 1
2 A.Thulukkapatty 33/11KV 17.3

3 Alambady 33/11KV SS 3
4 Alundur 15
5 Amaravathipudur 110/22KV 8
6 Ammachathram 110/22-11 KVSS 9.72
7 Amuthapuram 11.5
8 Anaibogi 33/11KV SS at 11 KV level 1
9 Andichettipalayam 32
10 Andipalayam 33/11KV 6
11 Annapanai 33/11KV SS 2
12 Annur 110/22 KV SS - 22 KV 3.26
13 Appanaickenpatti 44
14 Arasanur 110/22KV SS at 22KV level 10
15 Arattavadi 3
16 Aravakurichi 15
17 Arulpuram 110/11 KV SS at 11 KV level 0.3
18 Avadi 16
19 Aviyoor 110/33KV 20
20 Batlakundu 114
21 Chatrapatti 33/11KV SS 12.8
22 Chennaleri 15
23 Chennampatty 110/22KV SS 1.5
24 Cheyur 33/11KV 15
25 CHINNAKAMPATTI 20
26 Chinnakattalai(11KV/110V) 35.25
27 Chinthamanipatti 110/33 KV SS 29.75
28 Dasavanaickenpatti 33/11 KV 10
29 Devakottai 22/110 KV 55
30 E.Karungalpatty 33/11 KV 15
31 Elachipalayam 33/11KV 1
32 ELAIYANKUDI 110/11 kV SS 1

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 152 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Tamil Nādu State
List of Solar Pooling Stations as on 31.03.2023

S.No Solar Substation Capacity (MW)

33 Elanagar 110/22 KV 17
34 Elavanthi 110/33-11 KV SS 2.5
35 Eluvanampatti 110/22KV 95.2
36 Erichanatham 110KV SS 40
37 Eriode 110/33-11 KV, 17
38 Erumapatti 5
39 ERVADI 110/33-11 KV SS 26
40 G.N.Patti 33/11 KV SS 12
41 Gandhi Nagar 33/11 KV 2
42 Gandhigramam 110/22KV 2
43 Gangaikondan 110/33-11KV 5
44 Getti Cheviyur 7

45 Hosur SIPCOT II 110KV SS/Bathlapalli(110/22KV) at 0.75


22 KV level
46 Idayamellur SS 110/22 KV 12

47 Ingur SIPCOT-II 110/33KV SS – 11 KV (Not 1


connected to grid)
48 Irumbarai 110/33-11KV 8
49 Iyermalai 97
50 Kadaiyur 110/11 KV S at 11 KV level 1
51 Kadambur 33/11KV 10
52 Kalaiyarkoil 110/22 KV 11.5
53 Kalingapatti 110/33-11 KV SS 12.48
54 Kaliyampoondi 1
55 Kalligudi 3
56 Kallimandhayam 110/22KV 12
57 Kamuthi 110/33 KV SS (KOTTAMEDU) 3.3
58 Kamuthi 400 KV SS 1012
59 Kanadukathan 110/22 KV SS 1.55
60 Kanarpatti SS 400/230-110 KV 587.5

61 Kanchikadaladi 110/33-11 KV SS at 110 KV level 30

62 Kangarakottai 33/11KV 15

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 153 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Tamil Nādu State
List of Solar Pooling Stations as on 31.03.2023

S.No Solar Substation Capacity (MW)

96 Manapparai 22.8
97 Manmangalam 110/11 KV SS - 11 KV line 2.492
98 Maravamangalam 110/22KV 10
99 Melakallur 110/33-11KV SS 21
100 Melakothampatti 33 KV 15
101 Memathur 15
102 Minukampatti 110/22 KV SS at 22 KV level 28.859
103 Moolakaraipatti 33/11 KV SS - 33 KV level 8.36
104 Mulanoor 110/33-22 KV 20
105 Musiri 110 KV SS at 110 KV 59
106 Muthuramalingapuram 110 KV SS 102.4
107 N.Mettupalayam 110/11KV SS 5
108 N.Subbaihpuram 110/11KV 18
109 Nadupatti 12
110 Nagalapuram 6

111 Nakkalamuthampatti 33/11 KV SS at 11 KV level 1

112 Nallamanaickenpatti 230/110KV SS 50


113 Nallamanarkottai 110/33-11 KV 20
114 Nambiyur 20
115 Narikudi 8

116 Narimanam Gas Turbine Power Station at 11 KV 4


level
117 Nazareth 33/ 11KV SS 17
118 nelvoy 33/11KV at 11kv level 2.4
119 Nenmeni 33/11KV SS 16
120 Neyveli 230/110KV SS 130
121 Nilakottai 110/22 KV 52.5

122 Nithaji Apparel Park 110/11 KV SS at 11 KV level 3

123 NLC 33/11 KV SS at 33 KV level 10


124 Noyyal 5
125 Olapalayam 110/ 11KV SS 32

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 154 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Tamil Nādu State
List of Solar Pooling Stations as on 31.03.2023

S.No Solar Substation Capacity (MW)

157 Ranganathapuram 110/22-11 KV SS - 11 KV level 11

158 Rasathavalasu 110/33-11 KV 44


159 Rastha 33/11KV 9
160 Reddiyarchathram 9.5
161 Reddiyarpatti 33/ 11 KV Sub-Station 7
162 S.R.Pudur 230/110-11 KV SS 1
163 Salaipudur 110/22KV 30
164 Sanganankulam 11/33/110 KV 18.5
165 Sathankulam 31
166 Satur 33/11 KV SS at 11 KV level 3

167 Savagapuram 230/110KV SS at 110KV 100


(Savasapuram)
168 Sellivalasu 1
169 Sempatti 110/22 KV SS 2
170 Sengurichi 110/33-22 KV 19
171 Shenbagapudur 110/11 KV SS 5
172 Siruganur 110/22 KV SS 1
173 Sirupakkam 13
174 Sithargalnatham 33
175 Sivagangai 110/22KV SS 5
176 Sivanmalai 33/11KV 19

177 Soorankudi 3
33/11 KV SS at 11KV level
178 Srimoolaikari 110/33-11KV 30
179 Sukkiravarpatti 2.5
180 Suriyampalayam 110/22 KV SS at 22 KV level 5
181 T. kallupatti 110/33-11KV ss at 33kvlevel 10
182 T.Ramanathapuram 33 / 11 KV SS 15.75
183 T.Renganathapuram 13
184 TAMILPADI110/11KVSS 9
185 Thadikombu 110/22 KV SS at 22 KV 30
186 Thalaiyuthu 5

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 155 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Tamil Nādu State
List of Solar Pooling Stations as on 31.03.2023

S.No Solar Substation Capacity (MW)

187 Thamaraipadi 110/33-22-11 35


188 Thanganagar 33/11KV SS – 33 KV level 9
189 Thathaiyangarpet 110/33-11 KV 95
190 Thenampatti 400/230-110KV SS 500
191 Thingalur 2
192 Thiruchulli 230/110KV SS at 110 KV level 300
193 THIRUVENGADAM SS 3
194 Thogaimalai 33/11KV 13
195 Thondamanallur 110/33-11 KV SS 2
196 THUMMAKUNDU 33/11 KV SS 9
197 Thungavi 110/22 KV SS - 22 KV line 1

198 Timiri SS - 33KV dedicated feeder 110/33-11 KV 10

199 Tiruvalam Sipcot 110KV SS – 11 KV level 5


200 Tiruvathavur 33/11KV SS 4
201 Tuticorin Auto 22
202 Tuticorin Sipcot 110/22 KV SS, 22 KV level 1
203 Ukkadam 4
204 Unjanai 6
205 Uppidimangalam 10
206 Uthiyur 110/11 KV 21.2
207 Vadavalli 33/11 KV 8.4
208 Vadugapatti 110/22 KV 10
209 Vadugapatti 110/33 KV 10(1) 23
210 Vagaikulam 110/33-22KV 18
211 Vagarai 110/22 KV 17
212 Valayapatti 110/22 KV SS 48.3
213 Vallinokkam 110/11KV SS at 110KV level 10
214 Vallipatti 33/11KV 15
215 Vedasandur 110/22 KV SS at 22 KV level 32.6
216 Vediyangadu Pudur 33/11 KV 9
217 Veeravanallur 110/11 KV SS - 11 KV line 1
218 Vembakottai 13.5

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 156 of 308
List of Solar & Wind Plants as on 31.03.2023 in Tamil Nādu State
List of Solar Pooling Stations as on 31.03.2023

S.No Solar SubStation Capacity (MW)

219 Vembur 33/11KV 17


220 Vengaimandalam 110 KV SS 66
221 Vidathilampatti 10
222 Vijayapuri 33/11KV 19
223 Vilathikulam 110/33 KV SS 20
224 Villipalayam 110/22 KV 19
225 Vinnavanur 110/33-11KV SS 1
226 Viruveedu 33/11 KV SS 15
227 Vittalnaickenpatti 8

As on 31-03-2023:
Total solar Pooling substation: 227 Nos.
Solar Installed capacity: 6135.311 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 157 of 308
Annexure-2: Details of Upcoming
Plants & Transmission System

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 158 of 308
Upcoming RE generation at ISTS level in Southern Region

• MNRE/SECI has identified 86 GW potential REZs (34 GW Wind & 52 GW


Solar) in Southern Region.
• Details of the identified RE potential zones along with likely storage to be
installed and the requirement of evacuation system is given below:

State/District Pooling Identified Potential Maximum BESS (GW) Evacuation


Station (GW) Dispatch (to be set up System (GW)
(GW) by RE
Wind Solar generators)

Andhra Pradesh
Anantapur Anantapur, 10 10 15 5 10
Anantapur-II

Kurnool Kurnool-IV, 8 15 18 6 12
Kurnool-V

Kadapa Kadapa-II 0 8 8 3 5
Sub Total (Andhra Pradesh) 18 33 41 14 27
Karnataka
Koppal Koppal-II 2 2 3 1 2
Gadag Gadag-II 2 2 3 1 2
Devanagere/ Devanagere/ 2 2 3 1 2
Chitragurga Chitragurga

Bijapur Bijapur 2 0 2 2
Bellary Bellary 0 1.5 1.5 1.5
Tumkur Tumkur-II 0 1.5 1.5 1.5
Sub Total (Karnataka) 8 9 14 3 11
Telangana
Rangareddy Rangareddy 1 2.5 3 1 2
Medak Medak 1 2.5 3 1 2
Nizamabad Nizamabad-II 1 2.5 3 1 2
Karimnagar Karimnagar 0 2.5 2.5 0 2.5
Sub Total (Telangana) 3 10 11.5 3 8.5
Tamil Nadu
Avaraikulam, Avaraikulam, 5 0 5 0 5
Tirunelveli(Off-shore) Tirinelveli

Total (Southern Region) 34 52 71.5 20 51.5

Table 19 Details of Upcoming RE generation at ISTS level in Southern Region

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 159 of 308
Upcoming Transmission line for RE generation at ISTS level in Southern
Region

a. Transmission Scheme for Evacuation of power from RE sources in Karur/


Tiruppur Wind Energy Zone (Tamil Nadu) (2.5 GW):

• Establishment of 5x500 MVA, 400/230 kV Karur Pooling Station (at a


location in between Karur Wind zone and Tiruppur wind zone)
• LILO of both circuits of Pugalur – Pugalur (HVDC) 400 kV D/c line (with
Quad Moose ACSR Conductor) at Karur PS
• (9 Nos. of 230 kV line bays for interconnection of wind projects
• 2x125 MVAr, 400 kV Bus reactors at Karur PS’

b. Transmission Scheme for Evacuation of power from RE sources in Koppal


Wind Energy Zone (Karnataka) (2.5 GW):
• Establishment of 5x500 MVA, 400/220 kV pooling station near Munirabad
/suitable location in Koppal distt.
• Pooling station (near Munirabad /suitable location in Koppal distt.) -
Narendra (New) 400 kV D/c Line (with Quad Moose ACSR conductor)
• 9 Nos of 220kV line bays for interconnection of wind projects
• 2x125 MVAr, 400kV bus reactor at Pooling station (near Munirabad
/suitable location in Koppal distt.)

c. Transmission System for integration of Kurnool REZ-I (7.5 GW Solar, 4 GW


Wind, 3 GW BESS)
• Establishment of 765/400/220kV, 5x1500 MVA, 7x500 MVA Kurnool-IV
Pooling Station near Kurnool, Andhra Pradesh (3 GW injection at 220 kV
level and 3 GW injection at 400 kV level)
• Kurnool-IV – Kurnool-III PS 765 kV D/c line (~100 km)
• Kurnool-IV – Bidar PS 765 kV D/c line with 240 MVAr SLR at both ends
(~280 km)
• 2x330 MVAr (765kV) & 2x125MVAr (400kV) bus reactors at Kurnool-IV PS

d. Transmission System for integration of Kurnool REZ-II (7.5 GW Solar, 4 GW


Wind, 3 GW BESS)

• Establishment of 765/400/220 kV, 5x1500 MVA, 7x500 MVA Kurnool-V


Pooling Station near Kurnool, Andhra Pradesh (3 GW injection at 220 kV
level and 3 GW injection at 400 kV level)
• Kurnool-V – Chilakaluripeta 765 kV D/c line with 330 MVAr SLR at
Kurnool-V PS end (~210 km)

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 160 of 308
• Kurnool-V – Kurnool-IV 765 kV D/c line (~100 km)
• Chilakaluripeta – Podili 400 kV (quad) D/c line (~100 km)
• Augmentation by 2x1500 MVA, 765/400kV ICTs at Chilakaluripeta
765/400kV substation
• Augmentation by 2x1500 MVA, 765/400kV ICTs at Maheshwaram
765/400kV substation
• 2x330 MVAr (765kV) & 2x125 MVAr (400kV) bus reactors at Kurnool-V PS

e. Transmission System for integration of Anantapur REZ (8 GW Solar, 8 GW


Wind, 4 GW BESS)
• Establishment of 765/400/220kV, 6x1500 MVA, 9x500 MVA Anantapur-II
Pooling Station near Kurnool, Andhra Pradesh (4 GW injection at 220 kV
level and 4 GW injection at 400 kV level)
• Anantapur-II – Cuddapah 765 kV D/c line with 240 MVAr SLR at
Anantapur-II PS (~250 km)
• Anantapur-II – Kurnool-V PS 765 kV D/c line (~100 km)
• 2x330 MVAr (765kV) & 2x125MVAr (400kV) bus reactors at Anantapur-II
PS

f. Transmission System for integration of Anantapur REZ (2 GW Solar, 2 GW


Wind, 1 GW BESS)
• Augmentation by 3x500 MVA, 400/220 kV ICTs at Anantapur (Additional 1
GW injection at 220 kV level and 1 GW injection at 400 kV level)

g. Transmission System for integration of Kadapa REZ (8 GW Solar, 3 GW


BESS)
• Establishment of 765/400/220kV, 4x1500 MVA, 6x500 MVA Pooling
Station near Kadapa (Kadapa-II PS), Andhra Pradesh (2.5 GW injection at
220 kV level and 2.5 GW injection at 400 kV level)
• LILO of both circuits of Anantapur-II – Cuddapah 765 kV D/c line at
Kadapa-II PS (~10 km)
• Kadapa-II PS – Thiruvalam 765 kV D/c line with 240 MVAr SLR at both
ends (~250 km)
• 2x330 MVAr (765kV) & 2x125 MVAr (400 kV) bus reactors at Kadapa-II
PS

h. Transmission Scheme for Evacuation of power from RE sources in Gadag


Solar Energy Zone (2.5 GW)
• Establishment of 5x500 MVA, 400/220 kV Gadag Pooling Station
• Gadag PS - Koppal PS 400 kV (high capacity equivalent to quad moose)
D/C Line

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 161 of 308
• Gadag PS - Narendra (new) PS 400 kV (high capacity equivalent to quad
moose) D/C Line
• 220 kV line bays for interconnection of solar projects (8 nos)
• 1x125MVAr (400 kV) bus reactor at Gadag PS
• Upgradation of Narendra New to its rated voltage of 765kV level alongwith
2x1500 MVA, 765/400kV ICTs and 1x330 MVAr, 765kV Bus Reactor
• Upgradation of Kolhapur (PG) to its rated voltage of 765kV level alongwith
2x1500 MVA, 765/400kV ICTs and 1x330 MVAr, 765kV Bus Reactor
• Upgradation/ charging of Narendra new - Kolhapur (PG) 765 kV D/c line
(initially charged at 400 kV) to its rated voltage of 765 kV along with 1x330
MVAr switchable Line Reactor on Kolhapur (PG) end of each circuit

i. Transmission Scheme for Evacuation of power from RE sources in Bidar


Solar Energy Zone (2.5 GW)
• Establishment of 3x1500 MVA, 765/400kV and 5x500 MVA, 400/220 kV
pooling station at suitable border location near Bidar.
• Bidar PS – Maheshwaram (PG) 765 kV D/C line along with 1x240 MVAr
switchable Line Reactor on Bidar PS end of each circuit
• 220 kV line bays for interconnection of solar projects (8 nos)
• 1x240 MVAr (765kV) & 1x125 MVAr (400 kV) bus reactor at Bidar PS

j. Transmission System for integration of Bellary REZ (1.5 GW Solar)

• Establishment of 4x500 MVA, 400/220kV Pooling Station near Bellary


(Bellary PS), Karnataka
• Bellary PS – Koppal-II PS 400kV (Quad ACSR moose) D/c line (~100 km)
• 2x125MVAr 420 kV bus reactors at Bellary PS

k. Transmission System for integration of Karimnagar REZ (2.0 GW Solar)


• Establishment of 3x500 MVA, 400/220kV Pooling Station near Karimnagar
(Karimnagar PS) in Telangana
• Karimnagar PS – Nizamabad-II PS 400kV (Quad ACSR moose) D/c line
(~100 km)
• 2x125MVAr 420 kV bus reactors at Karimnagar PS
l. Transmission System onwards Onshore Pooling Station (1.0 GW Wind)
• Establishment of 3x500 MVA, 400/230 kV Onshore Pooling Station near
Avaraikulam, Tirunelveli District in Tamil Nadu.
• Avaraikulam Onshore PS – Tuticorin PS 400 kV D/c quad line (approx.
100 km)
• + 300 MVAr STATCOM along with 2x125 MVAr MSR

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 162 of 308
m. Transmission System for integration of Offshore Wind Farms with Onshore
PS
• Off Shore substation 1 (OSS-1) – Avaraikulam Onshore PS 230kV S/c
Submarine cable
• Off Shore substation 1 (OSS-2) – Avaraikulam Onshore PS 230kV S/c
Submarine cable
• Suitable Reactive compensation at Offshore PS

*Source: CTU website, Transmission System for Integration of over 500 GW RE


Capacity by 2030 by CEA

Details of Upcoming RE Projects & Upcoming Transmission evacuation for


RE Projects in Andhra Pradesh
List of Upcoming Solar Projects
S. Name of the Project Balan Name of Captive Status
No developer location ce the /3rd
Capa connected party/P
city Grid PA
(MW) Substation
1 Ananthapur Chakrayape 40 Chakrayapet Captive Not
Energy Projects t(V), MW 220 KV SS OA commissi
PVt Limited Chakrayape at 33 KV oned
t (M), Level
Kadapa
(District)
2 Andhra Pradesh Talaricheruv 100 Tallaricheru PPA Out of
Solar Power u(V). MW vu 400/200 500 MW
Corporation Pvt Tadiparhi KV SS at 400 MW
Limited (M), 220 KV commissi
Ananthapur Level oned
(District) balance
100 MW
not
commissi
oned
3 APSPCL Mylavaram 750 Mylavaram PPA Out of
(Kadapa Ultra MW 400/200 KV 1000 MW
Mega Solar SS at 250 MW
Park) 220KV level commissi
oned
balance
750 MW
not

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 163 of 308
commissi
oned

4 M/s Axis Energy Burugula 400 Tallaricheru PPA Not


Ventures (V),Nandyal MW vu 400/200 commissi
Private Limited (District) KV SS at oned
(AEVPL) 220 KV
Level
Note 1,2,3 and 4 ----- Works not taken up. Total 1290 MW

Name of
Balanc
Name the Captive/
e
S.N of the Project connected 3rd
Capaci Status
o develop location Grid party/PP
ty
er Substatio A
(MW)
n.
Out of 140
M/s MW 122.4
LILO line
Enercon MW
from Gooty
India Nallkonda (V), commission
17.6 -Hindupur
1 Limited Penukonda (M)
MW Dc Line at
PPA ed balance
(M/s Ananthapur 17.6 MW
220 KV
Wind not
level.
World) commission
ed
Out of 87
132 KV MW 81.9
Jammamad MW
Suzlon
Gandikota, ugu commission
2 Energy
Kadapa (District)
5.1 MW
Substation
PPA/OA
ed balance
Ltd
at 132 KV 5.1 MW not
level. commission
ed
220 Kv Out of 60
Jammamad MW 54 MW
Animala
ugu - commission
Wind Animala (V)
3 Power Kadapa (district)
6 MW Chakrayape PPA ed balance
t Dc Line at 6 MW not
Pvt Ltd
220 KV commission
level ed
Kondapura
Kanhur
m 220/132 Not
Wind Thondur Village, 19.2
4 KV SS (at PPA commission
Power (Kadapa District) MW
220 KV ed.
Pvt Ltd
level)

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 164 of 308
Ramagiri
220/33 KV
Rayala
Balavenkatapura Ss.
Wind Not
m(V) , Pampanoor
5 Power
Ananthapuram
6.4MW
Thanda
PPA commission
Co Pvt ed.
(District) 220/132 Kv
Ltd
SS (at 220
KV level)
Out of 180
Borampalli
MW 100.8
220 KV SS
MW
/220 Kv
Helios Badra Puram, commission
79.2 Pampanoor
6 Infratech Ananthapuram PPA ed balance
MW Thanda
Pvt Ltd (District) 79.2 MW
220/132 KV
not
SS (at 220
commission
KV level)
ed
Out of
191.7 MW
Porumamill 128.5 MW
Ecoren
a 220 commission
Energy Kandimallayapall 63.2
7 India Pvt i, Kadapa District MW
Substation PPA ed balance
(at 220 KV 61.4 MW
Ltd.
level) not
commission
ed
Out of 150
Nanusuralla MW 116
Gamesa 220/11 KV MW
Renewa Molagavalli(V), SS/Aspri commission
8 34 MW PPA
ble Pvt Kurnool District. 400 KV SS ed balance
Ltd. (at 220 KV 34 MW not
level) commission
ed
Out of 153
Krishnakiri MW 100
Regen 220 KV SS/ MW
O&M Aspiri 400 commission
9 Services
Karidikonda 53 MW
KV SS (at
PPA
ed balance
Ltd. 220 KV 53 MW not
level) commission
ed

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 165 of 308
List of Upcoming Wind Projects

Name of the
Balance
Name of the Project connected Captive/3rd
S.No Capacity Status
developer location Grid party/PPA
(MW)
Substation.

Out of 119.7
MW 104.5
Borampalli,
M/s Saipuram Borampalli MW
Rudrampalli,
10 Wind Energies 15.2 MW 200 KV SS (at PPA commissioned
Ananthapuram
Pvt Ltd 220 KV level) balance 15.2
(District)
MW not
commissioned
Out of 80 MW
Guttaseema Borampalli, 220 KV 40 MW
Wind Energy Rudrampalli, Pampanoor commissioned
11 40 MW PPA
Company Pvt Ananthapuram Thanda SS (at balance 40
Ltd (District) 220 KV level) MW not
commissioned
M/s Axis
Energy 400
Meddikera (V),
Ventures Meddikera Works not
12 Ananthapuram 640 MW PPA
Private SWS at 400 started
(District)
Limited KV level
(AEVPL)
Note: 1 to 12 --- works not commenced. Total 978.9 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 166 of 308
Upcoming Solar and Wind Capacity Addition in Telangana for FY
2023-24 & FY 2024-25
Balance
Probable
Capaci Capacity to Inter
S.N Generator/Develo Voltag date of
ty be Connection
o per e level commissioni
(MW) commission Point
ng
ed (MW)
M/S Singareni
Collieries
Company Limited 132/33 KV
1 10 10 33 KV 09/2024
(SCCL) Chennur SS
Raw water
reservoir at STPP
M/S Singareni
Collieries
Company Limited 132/33 KV
2 (SCCL) 11 11 33 KV Kistampet, 09/2024
Shivalingapur (V), Chennur SS
Chennur (M),
Mancherial Dist.
220/132/33
M/S Singareni
KV
Collieries
Sitaramapatn
Company Limited 132
3 22.5 22.5 am SS OR 09/2024
(SCCL) KV
132/33 KV
Garimellapadu,
Chandrugond
Kothagudem.
a
M/S Singareni
Collieries
Company Limited 132 132/33 KV
4 22 22 09/2024
(SCCL) KV Manthani SS
RGOC-I Dump,
Ramagundam
33/11 KV
TSGENCO - MHS
5 4.6 4.6 33 KV Turukala, 09/2023
Peddapally
Maddikunta
M/S Singareni
Collieries
132/33 SCCL,
Company Limited 132
6 10.5 10.5 Kothagudem 09/2024
at Bhadradri kV
SS
Kothagudem
(Solar)
80.6

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 167 of 308
Annexure-3
Plot of generation profile for days of
interest

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 168 of 308
Andhra Pradesh Generation Distribution on Highest Instantaneous RE Penetration Instant
Gas/Diesel + Drawl Excluding
Thermal Hydro Wind Solar NP Kunta Solar Demand
Others NP Kunta Solar
MW 2804 28 208 3172 1312 1005 -2113
6416
Percentage 43.70 0.44 3.24 49.44 20.44 15.67 -32.94

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 169 of 308
Karnataka Generation Distribution on Highest Instantaneous RE Penetration Instant
Gas/Diesel + Drawl Excluding
Thermal Hydro Wind Solar Pavagada Solar Demand
Others Pavagada Solar
MW 11 1563 1 2958 2055 1190 -2702
5075
Percentage 0.21 30.79 0.02 58.29 40.48 23.45 -53.24

Kerala Generation Distribution on Highest Instantaneous RE Penetration Instant


Gas/Diesel + Drawl Excluding
Thermal Hydro Wind Solar RE Import Demand
Others RE Import
MW 0 905 5 16 210 67 1218
2420
Percentage 0.00 37.41 0.20 0.65 8.66 2.76 50.32

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 170 of 308
Tamil Nadu Generation Distribution on Highest Instantaneous RE Penetration Instant
Gas/Diesel + Drawl Excluding
Thermal Hydro Wind Solar RE Import Demand
Others RE Import
MW 298 851 497 5586 2320 285 838
10676
Percentage 2.79 7.97 4.65 52.32 21.73 2.67 7.85

Telangana Generation Distribution on Highest Instantaneous RE Penetration Instant


Gas/Diesel + Drawl Excluding
Thermal Hydro Wind Solar RE Import Demand
Others RE Import
MW 3518 0 39 92 2734 435 -361
6458
Percentage 54.49 0.00 0.61 1.43 42.33 6.73 -5.58

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 171 of 308
Southern Region Generation Distribution on Highest RE (Wind + Solar) Energy Penetration Day
Gas/Diesel +
Thermal Hydro Wind Solar IR Flow Demand
Others
MU 373.3 81.7 67.5 270.8 53.4 -38.4
808.2
Percentage 46.18 10.12 8.35 33.50 6.61 -4.75

Andhra Pradesh Generation Distribution on Highest RE (Wind + Solar) Penetration Day


Gas/Diesel + Drawl Excluding
Thermal Hydro Wind Solar NP Kunta Solar Demand
Others NP Kunta Solar
MU 71.4 3.8 5.1 74.0 8.9 6.6 -12.5
157.2
Percentage 45.41 2.42 3.22 47.06 5.66 4.21 -7.97

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 172 of 308
Karnataka Generation Distribution on Highest RE (Wind + Solar) Penetration Day
Gas/Diesel + Drawl Excluding
Thermal Hydro Wind Solar Pavagada Solar Demand
Others Pavagada Solar
MU 0.1 48.6 2.8 73.5 20.1 9.8 -16.9
137.9
Percentage 0.08 35.22 2.00 53.27 14.61 7.07 -12.25

Kerala Generation Distribution on Highest RE (Wind + Solar) Penetration Day


Gas/Diesel + Drawl Excluding
Thermal Hydro Wind Solar RE Import Demand
Others RE Import
MU 0.0 31.3 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.6 27.8
62.3
Percentage 0.00 50.25 0.18 0.44 1.96 2.55 44.62

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 173 of 308
Tamil Nadu Generation Distribution on Highest RE (Wind + Solar) Penetration Day
Gas/Diesel + Drawl Excluding
Thermal Hydro Wind Solar RE Import Demand
Others RE Import
MU 21.4 22.5 11.7 109.6 21.8 1.9 78.6
267.5
Percentage 7.99 8.43 4.36 40.96 8.16 0.72 29.39

Telangana Generation Distribution on Highest RE (Wind + Solar) Penetration Day


Gas Diesel + Drawl Excluding
Thermal Hydro Wind Solar RE Import Demand
Others RE Import
MW 98.8 45.3 0.0 1.3 20.8 6.6 -5.6
167.3
Percentage 59.08 27.10 0.01 0.76 12.44 3.95 -3.36

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 174 of 308
Annexure-4
Heat map of Southern Region and
States RE, Solar & Wind Penetration
for 2022-23

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Annexure-5
Forecast error analysis

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Forecast error analysis
For the Purpose of RE Generation Forecasting, SRLDC REMC have 1 Internal
Forecasting Tool (IFT), 3 Forecast Service Providers (FSP) and One Forecast
Combination & Aggregator (FCA). Further developers are forecasting on their own and
submit their schedules accordingly.

FCA takes input from all the three FSPs and one IFT and gives a weighted output as
a Final Forecast at Point of Schedule Level, ISTS Level, State Level and Regional
Level. Weights assigned to each of the FSP and IFT depends upon the accuracy with
which FSPs and IFT have performed in a Specific period of time.

For the analysis purpose, Error and Loss Functions are being computed. They are
defined as below:

a. Absolute Error: In our analysis, it is calculated for a 15 Min time Block Period. It
is defined as:
𝐀𝐜𝐭𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐄𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐠𝐲 − 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐄𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐠𝐲
𝑬𝒓𝒓𝒐𝒓 =
𝐀𝐯𝐂
Where,
AvC = Available Capacity for a Time Block Period (in MWh)

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 182 of 308
b. Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE): It is an Error function calculated over
a period of Day or any other larger period of time. Formulae for Calculating MAPE
over the Period is defined as:
| ∑𝒏𝟏 𝐄𝐫𝐫𝐨𝐫) |
𝑴𝑨𝑷𝑬 = ∗ 𝟏𝟎𝟎
𝐧
Where,
n = No of Time Blocks over a Period of time.

c. Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE): It is a Loss function calculated


over a period of Day or any other larger period of time. Formulae for Calculating
NRMSE over the Period is defined as:
𝒏 𝟐
√∑𝟏(𝐀𝐜𝐭𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐄𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐠𝐲 − 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐄𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐠𝐲)
𝟐

𝒏
𝑵𝑹𝑴𝑺𝑬 = 𝒏
∑𝟏 𝑨𝒗𝑪
𝒏
Where,
AvC = Available Capacity for a Time Block Period (in MWh)
n = No of Time Blocks over a Period of time.

The forecast error analysis is carried out based on SEM data and the various forecast
in this report.

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 183 of 308
Forecast Analysis - Karnataka RE
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for Karnataka RE

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 71.90 52.34 45.99 64.17
32.5 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 -2.5 42.46 13.11 21.77 24.72
30.0 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 -5.0 24.34 2.68 7.54 7.72
27.5 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.00 -7.5 12.64 0.77 2.13 2.41
25.0 0.01 0.04 0.11 0.00 -10.0 6.64 0.31 0.53 0.61
22.5 0.03 0.08 0.16 0.00 -12.5 3.64 0.17 0.21 0.15
20.0 0.05 0.13 0.23 0.00 -15.0 1.87 0.07 0.07 0.05
17.5 0.06 0.15 0.39 0.00 -17.5 0.70 0.05 0.03 0.02
15.0 0.07 0.20 0.58 0.00 -20.0 0.29 0.02 0.01 0.01
12.5 0.09 0.27 1.01 0.02 -22.5 0.09 0.01 0.00 0.01
10.0 0.13 0.37 2.12 0.11 -25.0 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
7.5 0.25 0.83 5.49 0.33 -27.5 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
5.0 0.92 3.50 13.34 1.60 -30.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2.5 5.57 14.28 28.64 8.52 -32.5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
0.0 27.97 47.45 53.92 35.62 -35.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for Karnataka RE

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -2.69 0.02 0.60 -0.98
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for Karnataka RE

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 184 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 99.87 99.79 99.91 99.79
2.5 48.00 27.37 50.39 33.22
80
5.0 25.25 6.17 20.87 9.31
70
7.5 12.88 1.60 7.62 2.73
60
% of Blocks

10.0 6.76 0.68 2.65 0.72


50 12.5 3.73 0.43 1.22 0.18
40 15.0 1.95 0.28 0.65 0.06
17.5 0.77 0.20 0.42 0.02
30
20.0 0.34 0.14 0.24 0.01
20
22.5 0.13 0.09 0.17 0.01
10 25.0 0.05 0.04 0.11 0.00
0 27.5 0.01 0.02 0.07 0.00
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00
% Forecast Error
32.5 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00
FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for Karnataka RE Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for Karnataka RE

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.60 1.97 3.24 2.23
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for Karnataka RE

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for Karnataka RE Figure 4: MAPE Plot for Karnataka RE

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 63.01 18.08 67.95 30.96
More than 5% 79.45 41.92 85.75 47.40 More than 5% 20.55 1.10 8.77 1.64
More than 7.5% 32.88 1.92 18.08 8.49 More than 7.5% 7.95 0.55 1.92 0.00
More than 10% 12.60 1.10 4.11 0.00 More than 10% 1.10 0.27 0.55 0.00
More than 12.5% 4.93 0.82 1.37 0.00 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
More than 15% 0.27 0.27 0.82 0.00 More than 15% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Daily Average 4.54 2.52 4.00 2.77 Daily Average 3.60 1.97 3.24 2.23
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for Karnataka RE Table 6: MAPE Statistics for Karnataka RE

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 185 of 308
Forecast Analysis - Karnataka Solar
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for Karnataka Solar

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.0 65.35 37.00 44.77 57.10
32.5 0.00 0.06 0.01 0.00 -2.5 53.64 15.75 27.18 30.92
30.0 0.01 0.07 0.01 0.01 -5.0 42.77 6.74 13.67 15.53
27.5 0.01 0.10 0.02 0.01 -7.5 32.58 2.59 6.60 7.43
25.0 0.01 0.12 0.03 0.01 -10.0 23.42 0.96 3.14 3.38
22.5 0.02 0.14 0.19 0.02 -12.5 16.19 0.46 1.36 1.51
20.0 0.04 0.14 0.50 0.04 -15.0 10.92 0.26 0.58 0.72
17.5 0.07 0.17 1.36 0.09 -17.5 7.16 0.14 0.31 0.33
15.0 0.17 0.26 3.50 0.17 -20.0 4.21 0.07 0.18 0.17
12.5 0.36 0.54 7.06 0.27 -22.5 2.36 0.02 0.10 0.09
10.0 0.79 2.11 12.16 0.65 -25.0 1.29 0.02 0.03 0.05
7.5 1.95 5.27 19.34 2.31 -27.5 0.72 0.01 0.01 0.02
5.0 4.87 13.37 28.12 7.49 -30.0 0.37 0.01 0.01 0.02
2.5 14.48 31.74 39.10 18.07 -32.5 0.21 0.00 0.01 0.01
0.0 34.52 62.80 55.07 42.57 -35.0 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.01
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for Karnataka Solar

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -2.35 0.50 0.81 -0.51
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for Karnataka Solar

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 186 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 99.85 99.78 99.83 99.66
80 2.5 68.06 47.44 66.24 48.94
5.0 47.59 20.09 41.74 22.99
70
7.5 34.50 7.84 25.92 9.72
60
% of Blocks

10.0 24.17 3.06 15.28 4.01


50 12.5 16.52 1.00 8.42 1.76
40 15.0 11.07 0.51 4.09 0.89
30
17.5 7.22 0.31 1.67 0.42
20.0 4.25 0.22 0.68 0.21
20
22.5 2.37 0.16 0.29 0.11
10 25.0 1.30 0.14 0.07 0.06
0 27.5 0.72 0.11 0.03 0.03
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 0.38 0.08 0.02 0.02
% Forecast Error
32.5 0.21 0.06 0.01 0.01
FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.11 0.04 0.00 0.01
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for Karnataka Solar Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for Karnataka Solar

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.31 1.58 2.72 1.75
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for Karnataka Solar

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for Karnataka Solar Figure 4: MAPE Plot for Karnataka Solar

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 67.40 6.58 57.81 14.25
More than 5% 90.41 60.82 89.32 60.82 More than 5% 14.79 0.82 6.85 0.82
More than 7.5% 57.81 4.11 41.10 8.77 More than 7.5% 2.74 0.82 0.82 0.00
More than 10% 25.21 1.10 9.32 1.37 More than 10% 0.55 0.55 0.82 0.00
More than 12.5% 8.22 0.82 1.37 0.27 More than 12.5% 0.27 0.55 0.82 0.00
More than 15% 3.01 0.82 0.82 0.00 More than 15% 0.00 0.27 0.55 0.00

Daily Average 5.91 3.05 4.95 3.09 Daily Average 3.42 1.74 2.93 1.80
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for Karnataka Solar Table 6: MAPE Statistics for Karnataka Solar

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 187 of 308
Forecast Analysis - Karnataka Wind
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for Karnataka Wind

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.0 71.52 61.48 53.00 67.00
32.5 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 -2.5 46.23 31.14 34.10 38.24
30.0 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00 -5.0 29.62 12.29 19.85 18.16
27.5 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.00 -7.5 19.17 4.55 10.81 8.16
25.0 0.00 0.02 0.31 0.00 -10.0 12.25 1.81 5.65 3.57
22.5 0.01 0.04 0.59 0.03 -12.5 7.17 0.80 2.72 1.53
20.0 0.02 0.07 0.96 0.06 -15.0 3.84 0.39 1.25 0.58
17.5 0.04 0.14 1.63 0.12 -17.5 2.01 0.24 0.57 0.19
15.0 0.11 0.35 2.92 0.23 -20.0 0.95 0.17 0.23 0.06
12.5 0.26 0.86 5.00 0.53 -22.5 0.36 0.13 0.09 0.02
10.0 0.66 2.09 8.14 1.27 -25.0 0.10 0.09 0.04 0.01
7.5 1.76 4.46 12.95 3.03 -27.5 0.04 0.07 0.03 0.01
5.0 4.32 9.34 20.31 6.80 -30.0 0.01 0.05 0.02 0.01
2.5 11.06 19.50 31.65 15.45 -32.5 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00
0.0 28.23 38.28 46.85 32.79 -35.0 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for Karnataka Wind

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -3.13 -0.66 0.17 -1.51
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for Karnataka Wind

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 188 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 99.75 99.76 99.85 99.79
2.5 57.29 50.64 65.74 53.70
80
5.0 33.94 21.63 40.15 24.96
70
7.5 20.93 9.01 23.76 11.19
60
% of Blocks

10.0 12.91 3.90 13.78 4.84


50 12.5 7.43 1.66 7.72 2.06
40 15.0 3.95 0.74 4.17 0.80
17.5 2.05 0.38 2.19 0.31
30
20.0 0.97 0.25 1.18 0.12
20
22.5 0.37 0.17 0.68 0.05
10 25.0 0.10 0.11 0.35 0.02
0 27.5 0.04 0.07 0.21 0.01
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 0.01 0.05 0.09 0.01
% Forecast Error
32.5 0.00 0.04 0.05 0.00
FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.00
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for Karnataka Wind Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for Karnataka Wind

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 4.64 3.36 5.19 3.61
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for Karnataka Wind

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for Karnataka Wind Figure 4: MAPE Plot for Karnataka Wind

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 72.05 72.05 89.32 71.51
More than 5% 84.66 84.93 94.79 83.84 More than 5% 32.33 11.78 43.56 18.08
More than 7.5% 43.84 28.22 60.55 29.59 More than 7.5% 16.71 0.82 16.44 3.84
More than 10% 21.92 3.84 29.32 9.32 More than 10% 7.95 0.55 5.48 0.55
More than 12.5% 11.78 0.82 12.05 1.37 More than 12.5% 3.56 0.27 1.10 0.00
More than 15% 6.03 0.55 3.84 0.27 More than 15% 1.10 0.00 0.27 0.00

Daily Average 5.48 4.19 6.27 4.36 Daily Average 4.64 3.36 5.19 3.61
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for Karnataka Wind Table 6: MAPE Statistics for Karnataka Wind

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 189 of 308
Forecast Analysis - Tamil Nadu RE
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for Tamil Nadu RE

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 68.98 40.74 64.18 58.78 61.31
32.5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.5 39.59 11.08 20.32 24.59 20.57
30.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -5.0 20.92 3.93 6.08 12.79 6.53
27.5 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 -7.5 11.62 1.89 2.37 7.33 2.60
25.0 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 -10.0 6.46 1.21 1.17 4.01 1.31
22.5 0.00 0.39 0.04 0.01 0.00 -12.5 3.55 0.82 0.70 2.22 0.73
20.0 0.00 1.06 0.06 0.03 0.00 -15.0 2.01 0.42 0.34 1.13 0.33
17.5 0.03 2.61 0.09 0.26 0.03 -17.5 1.20 0.22 0.15 0.63 0.19
15.0 0.15 5.42 0.12 0.78 0.15 -20.0 0.68 0.11 0.07 0.30 0.10
12.5 0.57 9.39 0.19 2.17 0.59 -22.5 0.40 0.05 0.04 0.18 0.05
10.0 1.99 14.50 0.49 4.57 2.09 -25.0 0.21 0.01 0.04 0.12 0.03
7.5 5.04 19.72 1.65 8.63 5.28 -27.5 0.13 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.02
5.0 10.14 25.93 5.53 14.68 10.54 -30.0 0.05 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.00
2.5 18.38 36.36 15.33 23.59 19.57 -32.5 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00
0.0 30.94 59.12 35.71 41.09 38.56 -35.0 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for Tamil Nadu RE

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -1.72 2.65 -0.53 -0.16 -0.10
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for Tamil Nadu RE

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 190 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified Percentage
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error
Error FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
100
0.0 99.93 99.86 99.89 99.88 99.88
90
2.5 57.97 47.44 35.64 48.18 40.14
80 5.0 31.06 29.86 11.60 27.46 17.07
70 7.5 16.66 21.62 4.02 15.96 7.87
60 10.0 8.44 15.71 1.66 8.59 3.41
% of Blocks

50 12.5 4.12 10.21 0.89 4.39 1.32


15.0 2.15 5.84 0.46 1.92 0.48
40
17.5 1.23 2.82 0.25 0.88 0.22
30
20.0 0.69 1.16 0.13 0.33 0.11
20 22.5 0.40 0.44 0.08 0.19 0.05
10 25.0 0.21 0.21 0.04 0.12 0.03
0 27.5 0.13 0.06 0.03 0.07 0.02
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 0.05 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.00
% Forecast Error
32.5 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00
FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for Tamil Nadu RE Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for Tamil Nadu RE

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 4.23 4.46 2.47 3.81 2.85
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for Tamil Nadu RE

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for Tamil Nadu RE Figure 4: MAPE Plot for Tamil Nadu RE

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 71.23 49.59 37.26 54.25 44.93
More than 5% 81.37 64.38 56.16 65.75 56.16 More than 5% 26.85 33.70 4.38 27.40 12.33
More than 7.5% 38.90 38.08 9.32 35.34 19.73 More than 7.5% 9.32 21.92 0.82 13.42 2.47
More than 10% 15.34 27.12 3.29 18.08 7.40 More than 10% 4.11 12.60 0.00 3.56 0.27
More than 12.5% 5.48 17.26 0.82 6.85 1.10 More than 12.5% 2.47 5.75 0.00 0.55 0.27
More than 15% 2.74 8.22 0.00 1.64 0.27 More than 15% 1.37 1.37 0.00 0.27 0.00

Daily Average 4.91 5.28 3.08 4.51 3.44 Daily Average 4.23 4.46 2.47 3.81 2.85
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for Tamil Nadu RE Table 6: MAPE Statistics for Tamil Nadu RE

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 191 of 308
Forecast Analysis - Tamil Nadu Solar
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for Tamil Nadu Solar

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.09 0.20 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.0 36.78 39.66 43.55 46.70 45.33
32.5 0.11 0.27 0.10 0.09 0.09 -2.5 22.59 24.53 25.74 30.65 25.23
30.0 0.13 0.42 0.10 0.09 0.10 -5.0 14.48 15.30 15.04 18.40 14.24
27.5 0.23 0.63 0.16 0.12 0.12 -7.5 9.84 9.64 8.70 11.13 8.32
25.0 0.53 1.02 0.26 0.19 0.15 -10.0 6.46 6.12 5.18 6.86 4.98
22.5 1.35 1.50 0.40 0.39 0.24 -12.5 4.36 4.06 3.20 4.53 3.09
20.0 2.60 2.21 0.56 0.99 0.37 -15.0 2.88 2.82 1.91 3.01 2.04
17.5 4.61 3.28 0.97 2.19 0.60 -17.5 1.76 2.06 1.22 2.11 1.49
15.0 7.26 4.69 1.77 4.27 1.06 -20.0 1.23 1.50 0.77 1.58 1.09
12.5 10.95 7.06 4.28 7.37 2.04 -22.5 0.85 1.16 0.49 1.17 0.83
10.0 15.71 10.99 7.98 12.16 4.48 -25.0 0.58 0.92 0.35 0.90 0.66
7.5 21.78 18.08 13.65 18.83 9.44 -27.5 0.41 0.72 0.25 0.72 0.53
5.0 31.33 28.40 22.44 27.84 18.93 -30.0 0.32 0.53 0.18 0.54 0.39
2.5 44.29 41.92 35.39 38.37 32.52 -32.5 0.24 0.40 0.14 0.42 0.28
0.0 63.09 60.15 56.21 53.20 54.47 -35.0 0.19 0.31 0.11 0.32 0.21
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for Tamil Nadu Solar

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 1.13 0.75 0.39 0.43 0.14
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for Tamil Nadu Solar

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 192 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified Percentage
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error
Error FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
100
0.0 99.86 99.79 99.74 99.88 99.79
90
2.5 66.87 66.41 61.11 68.99 57.71
80 5.0 45.80 43.65 37.48 46.22 33.17
70 7.5 31.61 27.70 22.36 29.94 17.76
60 10.0 22.17 17.10 13.16 19.02 9.45
% of Blocks

50 12.5 15.31 11.12 7.47 11.90 5.13


15.0 10.13 7.51 3.68 7.28 3.10
40
17.5 6.37 5.34 2.20 4.30 2.09
30
20.0 3.84 3.71 1.34 2.57 1.46
20 22.5 2.20 2.65 0.90 1.56 1.06
10 25.0 1.11 1.94 0.61 1.09 0.81
0 27.5 0.63 1.35 0.42 0.84 0.65
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 0.45 0.95 0.28 0.64 0.49
% Forecast Error
32.5 0.36 0.67 0.24 0.51 0.37
FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.28 0.51 0.19 0.39 0.28
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for Tamil Nadu Solar Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for Tamil Nadu Solar

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.27 2.94 2.51 3.12 2.34
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for Tamil Nadu Solar

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for Tamil Nadu Solar Figure 4: MAPE Plot for Tamil Nadu Solar

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 62.74 53.70 44.38 60.27 31.23
More than 5% 93.97 87.95 89.32 94.52 83.56 More than 5% 13.97 9.04 3.01 11.23 3.29
More than 7.5% 50.96 40.82 32.33 48.22 21.37 More than 7.5% 2.19 3.01 0.55 1.37 1.37
More than 10% 20.82 15.62 5.48 15.89 6.03 More than 10% 0.55 1.10 0.55 0.82 0.55
More than 12.5% 7.67 7.12 2.19 4.66 2.19 More than 12.5% 0.27 0.55 0.27 0.55 0.55
More than 15% 1.92 3.29 0.55 1.92 1.64 More than 15% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Daily Average 5.70 5.20 4.51 5.36 4.10 Daily Average 3.32 3.03 2.56 3.18 2.38
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for Tamil Nadu Solar Table 6: MAPE Statistics for Tamil Nadu Solar

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 193 of 308
Forecast Analysis - Tamil Nadu Wind
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for Tamil Nadu Wind

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 77.27 43.81 70.50 63.21 65.39
32.5 0.00 0.11 0.04 0.01 0.00 -2.5 51.74 12.41 30.83 30.21 26.83
30.0 0.00 0.31 0.05 0.02 0.00 -5.0 33.41 4.58 11.46 16.72 11.60
27.5 0.01 0.74 0.07 0.06 0.01 -7.5 20.91 2.25 4.71 11.17 4.91
25.0 0.01 1.80 0.09 0.17 0.01 -10.0 13.24 1.38 2.31 7.71 2.37
22.5 0.05 3.50 0.11 0.44 0.05 -12.5 8.72 0.94 1.36 5.14 1.30
20.0 0.19 5.81 0.14 0.95 0.20 -15.0 5.77 0.73 0.86 3.40 0.85
17.5 0.50 9.04 0.20 1.86 0.51 -17.5 3.84 0.61 0.62 2.26 0.61
15.0 1.29 12.65 0.37 3.25 1.32 -20.0 2.54 0.49 0.45 1.59 0.46
12.5 2.63 16.38 0.74 5.40 2.80 -22.5 1.72 0.35 0.28 1.03 0.33
10.0 4.71 19.86 1.85 8.96 5.31 -25.0 1.23 0.29 0.19 0.71 0.26
7.5 7.61 23.62 4.14 12.81 9.12 -27.5 0.86 0.22 0.13 0.43 0.18
5.0 11.28 28.36 8.56 17.31 14.27 -30.0 0.55 0.17 0.07 0.31 0.11
2.5 15.25 36.90 15.64 23.44 20.70 -32.5 0.37 0.14 0.04 0.25 0.08
0.0 22.66 56.02 29.40 36.68 34.49 -35.0 0.25 0.11 0.04 0.20 0.07
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for Tamil Nadu Wind

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -3.21 3.55 -1.04 -0.49 -0.26
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for Tamil Nadu Wind

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 194 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified Percentage
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error
Error FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
100
0.0 99.93 99.83 99.90 99.88 99.89
90
2.5 66.98 49.31 46.47 53.64 47.53
80 5.0 44.69 32.95 20.01 34.04 25.86
70 7.5 28.52 25.87 8.86 23.98 14.03
60 10.0 17.95 21.23 4.17 16.67 7.68
% of Blocks

50 12.5 11.35 17.32 2.11 10.54 4.10


15.0 7.05 13.38 1.23 6.65 2.17
40
17.5 4.34 9.64 0.82 4.13 1.12
30
20.0 2.73 6.30 0.59 2.53 0.66
20 22.5 1.77 3.85 0.39 1.47 0.39
10 25.0 1.25 2.09 0.27 0.89 0.27
0 27.5 0.87 0.96 0.20 0.50 0.19
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 0.55 0.48 0.12 0.33 0.11
% Forecast Error
32.5 0.37 0.25 0.08 0.27 0.08
FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.25 0.15 0.04 0.20 0.07
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for Tamil Nadu Wind Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for Tamil Nadu Wind

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 5.89 5.70 3.28 5.05 3.74
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for Tamil Nadu Wind

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for Tamil Nadu Wind Figure 4: MAPE Plot for Tamil Nadu Wind

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 FSP 1 FSP 2 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 78.63 53.15 59.45 61.10 56.44
More than 5% 83.56 59.73 69.32 66.30 61.92 More than 5% 49.32 37.26 15.07 38.36 26.03
More than 7.5% 62.19 41.37 25.48 45.21 36.71 More than 7.5% 26.03 29.32 3.56 24.11 9.59
More than 10% 35.34 33.97 7.67 30.41 15.07 More than 10% 11.23 23.29 1.37 13.97 2.74
More than 12.5% 16.71 28.49 3.56 19.45 7.12 More than 12.5% 6.85 14.79 0.55 7.40 1.10
More than 15% 8.49 21.37 1.37 9.59 1.37 More than 15% 3.29 10.14 0.00 2.74 0.55

Daily Average 6.74 6.60 4.01 5.84 4.41 Daily Average 5.89 5.70 3.28 5.05 3.74
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for Tamil Nadu Wind Table 6: MAPE Statistics for Tamil Nadu Wind

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 195 of 308
Forecast Analysis - ISTS Connected RE
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for ISTS Connected RE

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.0 60.31 47.59 58.64 49.33 52.67
32.5 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.05 0.00 -2.5 22.04 22.82 25.90 26.95 23.60
30.0 0.00 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.01 -5.0 8.31 11.34 12.52 16.28 11.13
27.5 0.00 0.07 0.11 0.16 0.01 -7.5 4.20 6.41 6.80 10.09 5.75
25.0 0.01 0.20 0.16 0.33 0.03 -10.0 2.20 3.95 4.06 5.90 3.21
22.5 0.01 0.42 0.24 0.68 0.09 -12.5 1.14 2.59 2.33 3.41 1.97
20.0 0.03 0.74 0.36 1.19 0.18 -15.0 0.59 1.75 1.37 1.93 1.16
17.5 0.09 1.34 0.54 2.05 0.48 -17.5 0.24 1.12 0.76 1.19 0.65
15.0 0.22 2.35 0.90 3.34 0.90 -20.0 0.11 0.69 0.42 0.83 0.41
12.5 0.60 4.07 1.50 5.66 1.70 -22.5 0.05 0.41 0.19 0.58 0.21
10.0 1.43 6.84 2.55 9.05 3.19 -25.0 0.02 0.23 0.10 0.43 0.09
7.5 3.42 11.30 4.62 14.13 5.85 -27.5 0.02 0.12 0.06 0.27 0.04
5.0 7.26 18.46 8.68 21.70 12.24 -30.0 0.01 0.05 0.03 0.15 0.01
2.5 16.48 31.48 18.32 33.08 24.96 -32.5 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.09 0.00
0.0 39.69 52.41 41.36 50.67 47.33 -35.0 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.00
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for ISTS Connected RE

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -0.50 0.72 -0.63 0.62 -0.03
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for ISTS Connected RE

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 196 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80
2.5 38.53 54.29 44.22 60.03 48.57
5.0 15.57 29.79 21.21 37.99 23.37
70
7.5 7.62 17.71 11.42 24.21 11.60
60
% of Blocks

10.0 3.63 10.79 6.61 14.95 6.40


50 12.5 1.73 6.66 3.83 9.07 3.67
40 15.0 0.80 4.09 2.27 5.27 2.06
30
17.5 0.33 2.45 1.30 3.24 1.12
20.0 0.13 1.42 0.78 2.02 0.59
20
22.5 0.07 0.82 0.44 1.26 0.30
10 25.0 0.03 0.43 0.26 0.76 0.13
0 27.5 0.02 0.19 0.16 0.43 0.05
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 0.01 0.08 0.09 0.23 0.01
% Forecast Error
32.5 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.14 0.00
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.05 0.00
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for ISTS Connected RE Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ISTS Connected RE

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 2.84 4.37 3.43 5.15 3.58
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ISTS Connected RE

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for ISTS Connected RE Figure 4: MAPE Plot for ISTS Connected RE

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 79.73 99.45 95.62 99.73 96.99 More than 2.5% 59.45 94.25 76.99 96.71 81.37
More than 5% 18.63 69.04 40.55 78.36 40.82 More than 5% 1.92 26.30 9.32 44.38 13.15
More than 7.5% 1.37 18.08 7.67 33.15 8.77 More than 7.5% 0.00 3.84 0.55 11.51 0.82
More than 10% 0.00 4.93 1.64 9.86 1.10 More than 10% 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.19 0.00
More than 12.5% 0.00 0.27 0.27 2.19 0.00 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.00
More than 15% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.00 More than 15% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.00

Daily Average 3.84 6.03 4.84 6.86 4.83 Daily Average 2.84 4.37 3.43 5.15 3.58
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for ISTS Connected RE Table 6: MAPE Statistics for ISTS Connected RE

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 197 of 308
Forecast Analysis - ISTS Connected Solar
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for ISTS Connected Solar

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.00 0.15 0.25 0.39 0.03 0.0 55.07 40.05 53.73 46.75 49.25
32.5 0.01 0.36 0.38 0.67 0.08 -2.5 24.53 25.47 36.19 35.76 28.72
30.0 0.01 0.64 0.49 1.04 0.15 -5.0 15.24 17.88 24.69 25.74 18.39
27.5 0.03 0.97 0.62 1.59 0.23 -7.5 9.29 13.35 17.49 18.05 12.46
25.0 0.05 1.59 0.81 2.39 0.48 -10.0 5.70 9.91 12.11 11.91 8.64
22.5 0.11 2.58 1.15 3.27 0.81 -12.5 3.59 7.40 8.17 7.83 5.87
20.0 0.28 4.07 1.59 4.67 1.39 -15.0 2.32 5.43 5.54 5.16 3.86
17.5 0.56 6.25 2.19 7.28 2.18 -17.5 1.35 4.01 3.61 3.51 2.73
15.0 1.13 9.08 3.30 10.83 3.67 -20.0 0.79 2.96 2.48 2.67 1.88
12.5 2.34 13.30 5.01 15.84 5.81 -22.5 0.41 2.07 1.64 2.00 1.25
10.0 5.15 19.75 7.82 22.42 9.61 -25.0 0.23 1.49 1.05 1.54 0.86
7.5 9.73 27.14 12.86 30.05 16.66 -27.5 0.14 1.00 0.67 1.14 0.52
5.0 18.03 35.39 20.48 37.24 27.14 -30.0 0.06 0.61 0.37 0.83 0.29
2.5 29.48 46.17 31.38 44.72 37.60 -32.5 0.04 0.38 0.23 0.58 0.18
0.0 44.93 59.95 46.27 53.25 50.75 -35.0 0.03 0.26 0.14 0.42 0.08
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for ISTS Connected Solar

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.04 1.11 -0.38 0.89 0.29
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for ISTS Connected Solar

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 198 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 54.01 71.64 67.57 80.48 66.31
5.0 33.27 53.27 45.17 62.98 45.53
70
7.5 19.02 40.49 30.35 48.10 29.12
60
% of Blocks

10.0 10.85 29.66 19.93 34.33 18.25


50 12.5 5.93 20.70 13.18 23.67 11.68
40 15.0 3.45 14.51 8.84 16.00 7.53
30 17.5 1.91 10.27 5.81 10.79 4.91
20.0 1.07 7.03 4.07 7.34 3.26
20
22.5 0.52 4.66 2.79 5.26 2.05
10 25.0 0.28 3.08 1.86 3.93 1.34
0 27.5 0.16 1.97 1.29 2.73 0.75
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 0.07 1.25 0.86 1.88 0.44
% Forecast Error
32.5 0.05 0.73 0.62 1.26 0.26
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.03 0.41 0.39 0.82 0.11
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for ISTS Connected Solar Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ISTS Connected Solar

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 2.55 3.96 3.25 4.51 3.15
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ISTS Connected Solar

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for ISTS Connected Solar Figure 4: MAPE Plot for ISTS Connected Solar

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 83.29 99.45 98.63 99.18 97.81 More than 2.5% 56.16 89.32 70.41 92.88 70.96
More than 5% 36.71 78.63 56.99 84.11 51.23 More than 5% 2.74 22.47 11.23 30.41 8.22
More than 7.5% 5.21 43.01 19.73 42.47 16.71 More than 7.5% 0.00 1.64 1.92 7.12 1.10
More than 10% 0.55 10.14 6.85 16.99 4.11 More than 10% 0.00 0.55 0.27 1.37 0.00
More than 12.5% 0.00 2.47 2.47 6.85 1.37 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
More than 15% 0.00 1.10 0.82 2.74 0.27 More than 15% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Daily Average 4.45 7.13 5.84 7.66 5.56 Daily Average 2.64 4.08 3.36 4.62 3.26
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for ISTS Connected Solar Table 6: MAPE Statistics for ISTS Connected Solar

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 199 of 308
Forecast Analysis - ISTS Connected Wind
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for ISTS Connected Wind

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.03 0.42 0.11 1.53 0.09 0.0 65.42 53.48 58.73 52.86 56.76
32.5 0.06 0.70 0.17 2.04 0.15 -2.5 52.16 40.45 43.89 41.66 42.93
30.0 0.09 1.05 0.29 2.64 0.25 -5.0 34.58 29.44 29.22 30.15 29.26
27.5 0.13 1.48 0.45 3.38 0.45 -7.5 18.27 21.25 18.92 22.81 19.94
25.0 0.24 2.07 0.71 4.59 0.80 -10.0 8.91 15.67 12.15 17.59 13.60
22.5 0.39 2.94 1.12 6.31 1.44 -12.5 4.26 11.17 7.86 13.99 9.61
20.0 0.72 4.29 1.68 8.17 2.42 -15.0 2.04 7.97 5.09 11.32 6.65
17.5 1.20 6.16 2.59 10.44 4.02 -17.5 0.99 5.63 3.14 9.23 4.49
15.0 2.05 8.51 4.04 13.17 6.34 -20.0 0.48 3.98 1.99 7.49 2.99
12.5 3.61 11.78 6.35 16.72 9.44 -22.5 0.29 2.79 1.12 6.06 1.94
10.0 6.05 15.92 9.59 20.70 13.31 -25.0 0.16 1.91 0.65 4.93 1.12
7.5 10.25 21.29 14.51 25.83 18.44 -27.5 0.11 1.25 0.33 3.93 0.65
5.0 16.82 28.19 21.20 31.83 24.82 -30.0 0.07 0.79 0.19 3.15 0.35
2.5 24.79 36.10 30.22 38.89 32.60 -32.5 0.05 0.47 0.12 2.55 0.15
0.0 34.58 46.52 41.27 47.14 43.24 -35.0 0.04 0.26 0.07 2.03 0.08
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for ISTS Connected Wind

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -1.78 -0.13 -1.01 0.13 -0.64
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for ISTS Connected Wind

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 200 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 76.95 76.55 74.12 80.55 75.54
5.0 51.40 57.63 50.41 61.99 54.08
70
7.5 28.52 42.54 33.43 48.64 38.38
60
% of Blocks

10.0 14.96 31.59 21.75 38.30 26.91


50 12.5 7.87 22.95 14.20 30.70 19.06
40 15.0 4.09 16.48 9.14 24.49 12.99
30 17.5 2.19 11.79 5.73 19.67 8.50
20.0 1.20 8.26 3.67 15.66 5.41
20
22.5 0.68 5.73 2.24 12.36 3.38
10 25.0 0.40 3.98 1.36 9.52 1.92
0 27.5 0.24 2.72 0.77 7.31 1.10
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 0.16 1.84 0.48 5.79 0.60
% Forecast Error
32.5 0.11 1.16 0.29 4.58 0.30
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.07 0.68 0.18 3.56 0.17
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for ISTS Connected Wind Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ISTS Connected Wind

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 5.92 8.32 6.65 10.48 7.42
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ISTS Connected Wind

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for ISTS Connected Wind Figure 4: MAPE Plot for ISTS Connected Wind

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 100.00 100.00 100.00 99.73 100.00 More than 2.5% 100.00 98.90 99.73 98.90 98.90
More than 5% 86.58 90.96 88.49 91.23 87.95 More than 5% 69.04 80.00 73.97 83.56 70.96
More than 7.5% 39.18 69.04 59.18 73.42 56.71 More than 7.5% 15.62 44.66 33.97 56.71 38.90
More than 10% 8.22 41.10 27.40 51.51 36.16 More than 10% 1.92 23.84 9.86 40.27 21.64
More than 12.5% 1.64 21.92 7.95 39.45 18.90 More than 12.5% 0.00 14.25 1.10 28.77 9.86
More than 15% 0.00 13.42 1.37 29.86 9.32 More than 15% 0.00 10.14 0.27 19.45 4.11

Daily Average 7.15 10.13 8.37 12.55 9.02 Daily Average 5.92 8.32 6.65 10.48 7.42
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for ISTS Connected Wind Table 6: MAPE Statistics for ISTS Connected Wind

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 201 of 308
Forecast Analysis - PAVAGADA PS
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for PAVAGADA PS 2050MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.05 1.41 1.19 1.68 0.70 0.0 51.28 30.81 39.56 40.91 37.90
32.5 0.12 1.95 1.51 2.48 0.87 -2.5 26.03 19.67 26.87 32.87 22.78
30.0 0.19 2.82 1.87 3.50 1.17 -5.0 18.13 15.03 18.70 24.18 15.50
27.5 0.29 4.05 2.29 4.58 1.85 -7.5 13.29 11.88 13.80 17.67 11.61
25.0 0.48 6.06 2.92 6.18 2.80 -10.0 9.74 9.40 10.40 12.53 8.48
22.5 0.75 8.70 3.84 8.41 4.02 -12.5 7.16 7.52 8.07 8.94 6.40
20.0 1.24 12.78 5.47 11.84 6.01 -15.0 5.03 5.99 6.03 6.58 4.96
17.5 2.03 18.74 8.29 16.89 9.42 -17.5 3.65 4.61 4.70 4.79 3.75
15.0 3.35 25.41 12.45 22.43 15.84 -20.0 2.60 3.57 3.54 3.51 2.74
12.5 5.58 31.79 18.56 28.78 24.42 -22.5 1.83 2.64 2.59 2.71 2.05
10.0 9.03 37.61 25.55 35.96 31.82 -25.0 1.35 2.11 1.87 1.99 1.42
7.5 14.29 43.29 33.36 41.64 38.32 -27.5 0.97 1.60 1.35 1.53 1.00
5.0 23.23 49.83 40.65 47.05 45.07 -30.0 0.62 1.17 1.02 1.18 0.64
2.5 34.64 58.65 49.70 52.83 52.10 -32.5 0.43 0.83 0.71 0.92 0.47
0.0 48.72 69.19 60.44 59.09 62.10 -35.0 0.23 0.58 0.52 0.75 0.31
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for PAVAGADA PS 2050MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.10 3.01 1.53 2.19 2.16
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for PAVAGADA PS 2050MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 202 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 60.67 78.32 76.57 85.70 74.88
5.0 41.36 64.87 59.35 71.23 60.57
70
7.5 27.58 55.17 47.16 59.31 49.93
60
% of Blocks

10.0 18.76 47.01 35.96 48.49 40.30


50 12.5 12.74 39.31 26.62 37.71 30.82
40 15.0 8.38 31.40 18.48 29.00 20.80
30 17.5 5.68 23.35 12.99 21.68 13.16
20.0 3.84 16.35 9.02 15.35 8.75
20
22.5 2.59 11.34 6.43 11.12 6.07
10 25.0 1.82 8.18 4.79 8.18 4.21
0 27.5 1.26 5.65 3.65 6.10 2.85
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 0.81 3.99 2.90 4.68 1.82
% Forecast Error
32.5 0.55 2.77 2.22 3.39 1.33
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.28 1.99 1.71 2.43 1.00

Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for PAVAGADA PS 2050MW Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PAVAGADA PS 2050MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.29 5.57 4.55 5.73 4.76
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PAVAGADA PS 2050MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for PAVAGADA PS 2050MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for PAVAGADA PS 2050MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 88.77 99.73 99.73 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 70.14 98.90 97.26 98.63 98.90
More than 5% 61.64 98.36 95.34 97.81 96.44 More than 5% 13.15 62.47 29.86 69.59 38.63
More than 7.5% 26.58 80.00 50.96 80.00 63.56 More than 7.5% 0.82 13.42 5.48 16.44 3.84
More than 10% 7.12 45.21 20.27 42.47 19.73 More than 10% 0.00 1.37 1.92 4.38 0.82
More than 12.5% 1.10 17.53 7.40 16.99 5.21 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.27 1.37 1.10 0.00
More than 15% 0.27 5.21 4.38 8.77 1.64 More than 15% 0.00 0.27 0.82 0.82 0.00

Daily Average 5.88 9.96 8.54 10.21 8.41 Daily Average 3.39 5.69 4.84 6.07 4.87
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for PAVAGADA PS 2050MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for PAVAGADA PS 2050MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 203 of 308
Forecast Analysis - NPKUNTA PS
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for NPKUNTA PS 1400 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.04 0.42 0.30 1.12 0.12 0.0 53.66 39.55 53.61 50.99 48.15
32.5 0.08 0.67 0.44 1.55 0.18 -2.5 25.53 27.17 38.39 41.46 30.92
30.0 0.14 0.94 0.65 2.20 0.27 -5.0 16.73 20.16 27.74 30.90 21.49
27.5 0.23 1.37 0.88 3.07 0.53 -7.5 11.96 15.35 20.66 22.94 15.34
25.0 0.38 2.10 1.14 4.18 0.96 -10.0 8.49 12.16 15.54 16.76 11.67
22.5 0.61 3.36 1.61 5.67 1.58 -12.5 5.95 9.66 11.62 12.07 8.81
20.0 0.97 5.13 2.51 7.31 2.43 -15.0 4.28 7.78 9.01 8.89 6.89
17.5 1.70 7.91 3.87 9.26 3.79 -17.5 3.00 6.35 6.86 6.76 5.33
15.0 2.91 11.39 5.72 12.03 5.77 -20.0 2.11 5.05 5.25 5.18 4.12
12.5 5.05 16.45 8.07 15.43 9.14 -22.5 1.53 4.13 4.04 4.06 3.08
10.0 8.82 23.03 11.32 20.54 13.97 -25.0 1.12 3.15 3.10 2.96 2.31
7.5 14.18 30.69 16.40 26.99 20.47 -27.5 0.81 2.44 2.47 2.41 1.71
5.0 23.19 39.87 23.25 34.41 30.58 -30.0 0.53 1.87 1.84 1.74 1.33
2.5 33.99 49.60 33.66 41.13 40.89 -32.5 0.38 1.46 1.41 1.27 0.96
0.0 46.34 60.45 46.39 49.01 51.85 -35.0 0.27 1.10 1.10 0.93 0.68
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for NPKUNTA PS 1400 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.14 1.07 -0.57 0.32 0.22
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for NPKUNTA PS 1400 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 204 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 59.52 76.77 72.06 82.59 71.82
5.0 39.92 60.02 50.99 65.31 52.08
70
7.5 26.14 46.04 37.06 49.93 35.80
60
% of Blocks

10.0 17.30 35.20 26.85 37.30 25.64


50 12.5 10.99 26.11 19.69 27.50 17.96
40 15.0 7.19 19.17 14.73 20.92 12.66
30 17.5 4.70 14.26 10.73 16.02 9.12
20.0 3.08 10.17 7.76 12.49 6.54
20
22.5 2.14 7.48 5.64 9.73 4.66
10 25.0 1.49 5.25 4.24 7.14 3.27
0 27.5 1.04 3.80 3.35 5.48 2.24
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 0.67 2.81 2.50 3.94 1.60
% Forecast Error
32.5 0.45 2.13 1.86 2.82 1.14
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.31 1.52 1.40 2.06 0.80

Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for NPKUNTA PS 1400 MW Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for NPKUNTA PS 1400 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.20 4.57 3.90 4.93 3.82
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for NPKUNTA PS 1400 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for NPKUNTA PS 1400 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for NPKUNTA PS 1400 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 86.85 99.73 97.53 98.90 96.71 More than 2.5% 72.33 95.89 83.84 89.59 80.27
More than 5% 58.08 89.59 74.52 83.56 69.04 More than 5% 10.96 35.89 23.01 44.38 21.64
More than 7.5% 22.47 55.07 38.36 50.96 35.34 More than 7.5% 0.00 4.66 4.38 16.71 3.84
More than 10% 4.93 23.84 17.26 31.51 13.42 More than 10% 0.00 1.10 0.82 4.66 0.27
More than 12.5% 0.82 8.22 7.95 17.81 5.75 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.27 0.55 1.37 0.00
More than 15% 0.00 3.01 3.56 9.04 2.47 More than 15% 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.82 0.00

Daily Average 5.65 8.24 7.41 8.83 6.76 Daily Average 3.31 4.69 4.18 5.29 3.94
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for NPKUNTA PS 1400 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for NPKUNTA PS 1400 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 205 of 308
Forecast Analysis - TUTICORIN PS
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for TUTICORIN PS 1327 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.12 0.92 0.27 2.01 0.29 0.0 63.56 55.02 59.27 55.96 57.62
32.5 0.17 1.31 0.41 2.65 0.41 -2.5 50.58 43.06 45.39 46.01 45.50
30.0 0.27 1.81 0.64 3.50 0.70 -5.0 32.88 32.45 31.56 35.37 32.70
27.5 0.41 2.49 1.00 4.58 1.14 -7.5 17.21 24.64 21.96 27.56 23.65
25.0 0.62 3.42 1.41 5.91 1.81 -10.0 9.22 18.72 15.38 21.91 17.22
22.5 0.92 4.72 2.02 7.31 2.91 -12.5 5.22 14.34 10.82 18.02 12.87
20.0 1.39 6.28 2.92 9.21 4.37 -15.0 3.06 10.91 7.66 14.94 9.55
17.5 2.09 8.34 4.30 11.49 6.34 -17.5 1.75 8.35 5.55 12.57 7.17
15.0 3.13 11.18 6.20 14.16 9.08 -20.0 1.06 6.32 3.97 10.73 5.39
12.5 4.85 14.83 8.68 17.24 12.27 -22.5 0.65 4.89 2.79 9.17 3.85
10.0 7.39 19.03 12.15 21.07 16.23 -25.0 0.40 3.70 1.95 7.85 2.69
7.5 11.78 24.15 16.70 25.57 21.13 -27.5 0.26 2.83 1.38 6.61 1.85
5.0 18.43 30.05 23.05 30.91 26.79 -30.0 0.17 2.11 0.99 5.57 1.19
2.5 26.65 37.10 31.20 37.10 33.84 -32.5 0.12 1.53 0.66 4.68 0.80
0.0 36.44 44.98 40.73 44.04 42.38 -35.0 0.08 1.06 0.46 3.92 0.46
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for TUTICORIN PS 1327 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -1.45 -0.37 -1.23 -1.17 -0.88
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for TUTICORIN PS 1327 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 206 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 77.23 80.16 76.59 83.11 79.34
5.0 51.32 62.50 54.61 66.29 59.48
70
7.5 29.00 48.79 38.66 53.13 44.77
60
% of Blocks

10.0 16.62 37.75 27.53 42.98 33.46


50 12.5 10.07 29.17 19.51 35.26 25.14
40 15.0 6.18 22.09 13.86 29.09 18.62
30 17.5 3.84 16.69 9.84 24.06 13.51
20.0 2.45 12.60 6.89 19.94 9.75
20
22.5 1.57 9.61 4.81 16.48 6.76
10 25.0 1.02 7.11 3.36 13.76 4.50
0 27.5 0.67 5.32 2.38 11.19 2.99
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 0.45 3.92 1.64 9.08 1.89
% Forecast Error
32.5 0.29 2.84 1.07 7.33 1.20
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.20 1.98 0.73 5.93 0.75

Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for TUTICORIN PS 1327 MW Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN PS 1327 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 6.24 9.82 7.78 12.12 8.80
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN PS 1327 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for TUTICORIN PS 1327 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for TUTICORIN PS 1327 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 99.73 100.00 99.73 99.45 99.73
More than 5% 84.93 95.34 92.60 93.70 90.41 More than 5% 68.49 87.95 81.92 87.67 82.19
More than 7.5% 46.85 78.08 72.33 81.37 72.88 More than 7.5% 24.66 61.92 50.41 69.04 54.79
More than 10% 18.63 56.16 44.11 65.48 50.96 More than 10% 4.66 36.99 21.10 50.41 32.33
More than 12.5% 5.48 36.71 24.11 50.14 32.05 More than 12.5% 0.82 21.37 5.75 34.79 16.44
More than 15% 1.37 23.01 9.04 36.16 18.08 More than 15% 0.00 12.88 1.10 27.12 8.49

Daily Average 7.68 11.94 9.93 14.56 10.73 Daily Average 6.24 9.82 7.78 12.12 8.80
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for TUTICORIN PS 1327 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for TUTICORIN PS 1327 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 207 of 308
Forecast Analysis - TUTICORIN WIND PS
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for TUTICORIN WIND 947 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.25 1.74 0.61 3.55 0.61 0.0 63.23 56.42 61.33 58.11 59.51
32.5 0.39 2.32 0.88 4.37 0.95 -2.5 53.26 44.42 47.67 48.47 47.90
30.0 0.54 3.08 1.15 5.43 1.45 -5.0 38.94 34.58 34.74 38.29 35.33
27.5 0.78 4.10 1.54 6.64 2.13 -7.5 23.39 27.02 25.27 30.03 26.40
25.0 1.17 5.35 2.14 8.01 3.15 -10.0 13.30 21.43 18.35 24.21 19.66
22.5 1.59 6.70 2.90 9.66 4.45 -12.5 7.77 17.01 13.24 19.89 14.99
20.0 2.24 8.41 3.92 11.54 6.10 -15.0 4.86 13.43 9.73 16.63 11.43
17.5 3.26 10.78 5.25 13.84 8.30 -17.5 3.03 10.32 7.04 14.26 8.68
15.0 4.76 13.62 7.13 16.33 10.90 -20.0 1.81 8.17 5.22 12.29 6.51
12.5 6.83 16.89 9.84 19.27 14.01 -22.5 1.12 6.32 3.86 10.64 4.99
10.0 10.06 20.97 13.12 22.70 17.92 -25.0 0.72 4.88 2.81 9.28 3.74
7.5 14.92 25.56 17.53 26.51 22.11 -27.5 0.48 3.75 2.04 8.05 2.78
5.0 21.45 30.61 23.42 31.14 27.22 -30.0 0.32 2.93 1.46 7.02 2.00
2.5 28.59 36.40 30.41 36.17 33.46 -32.5 0.22 2.29 1.00 6.01 1.40
0.0 36.77 43.58 38.67 41.89 40.49 -35.0 0.16 1.77 0.70 5.16 0.89
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for TUTICORIN WIND 947 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -1.64 -0.47 -1.62 -1.39 -1.10
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for TUTICORIN WIND 947 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 208 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 81.86 80.82 78.08 84.64 81.37
5.0 60.39 65.19 58.16 69.43 62.55
70
7.5 38.31 52.58 42.81 56.54 48.51
60
% of Blocks

10.0 23.36 42.40 31.47 46.91 37.58


50 12.5 14.59 33.90 23.09 39.16 29.00
40 15.0 9.62 27.04 16.86 32.95 22.33
30 17.5 6.28 21.09 12.29 28.10 16.98
20.0 4.05 16.58 9.14 23.83 12.61
20
22.5 2.70 13.02 6.76 20.31 9.43
10 25.0 1.89 10.23 4.95 17.28 6.88
0 27.5 1.26 7.85 3.59 14.69 4.91
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 0.86 6.02 2.61 12.45 3.45
% Forecast Error
32.5 0.60 4.60 1.88 10.39 2.36
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.41 3.51 1.32 8.71 1.51

Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for TUTICORIN WIND 947 MW Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN WIND 947 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 7.39 11.07 8.62 13.71 9.78
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN WIND 947 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for TUTICORIN WIND 947 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for TUTICORIN WIND 947 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 100.00 99.73 99.73 100.00 100.00
More than 5% 96.44 95.34 96.71 97.53 96.71 More than 5% 87.40 88.77 87.12 91.23 87.12
More than 7.5% 63.84 84.93 77.81 84.66 78.90 More than 7.5% 44.66 69.59 60.00 75.34 60.27
More than 10% 32.05 68.77 57.53 72.33 57.26 More than 10% 11.51 48.49 29.04 54.79 37.81
More than 12.5% 12.33 48.77 33.97 55.07 38.90 More than 12.5% 3.29 31.51 13.15 41.37 25.75
More than 15% 4.11 32.05 17.26 42.19 26.30 More than 15% 0.82 19.18 3.01 34.79 14.52

Daily Average 9.06 13.52 11.06 16.51 11.95 Daily Average 7.39 11.07 8.62 13.71 9.78
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for TUTICORIN WIND 947 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for TUTICORIN WIND 947 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 209 of 308
Forecast Analysis - TUTICORIN SOLAR
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for TUTICORIN SOLAR 380 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.37 6.01 6.83 8.40 6.04 0.0 52.24 61.94 57.83 52.38 59.22
32.5 0.47 6.75 7.90 9.59 6.81 -2.5 34.39 48.34 46.26 39.47 44.95
30.0 0.63 7.40 8.96 10.92 7.57 -5.0 26.18 42.27 39.44 34.05 37.91
27.5 0.82 8.37 10.31 12.38 8.45 -7.5 20.31 36.90 34.22 30.13 32.67
25.0 1.05 9.34 11.73 14.18 9.59 -10.0 15.80 32.43 29.54 27.21 28.24
22.5 1.41 10.42 13.30 16.04 10.74 -12.5 12.49 28.23 25.46 24.68 24.47
20.0 1.92 11.71 15.11 18.20 11.96 -15.0 9.80 24.23 22.10 22.48 21.22
17.5 2.57 13.30 16.81 20.47 13.51 -17.5 7.69 20.50 19.04 20.64 18.37
15.0 3.83 15.30 18.79 22.94 15.70 -20.0 6.02 17.27 16.33 18.98 15.91
12.5 6.05 17.54 21.05 25.80 18.25 -22.5 4.57 14.66 14.04 17.33 13.54
10.0 9.70 20.07 23.81 28.81 20.99 -25.0 3.57 12.47 11.94 15.95 11.49
7.5 15.72 22.86 26.95 32.09 24.13 -27.5 2.85 10.64 10.04 14.65 9.35
5.0 24.11 26.33 30.32 35.81 27.84 -30.0 2.11 9.22 8.43 13.47 7.69
2.5 34.43 30.84 35.24 40.67 33.02 -32.5 1.55 7.94 7.14 12.24 6.39
0.0 47.76 38.06 42.17 47.62 40.78 -35.0 1.20 6.85 6.05 10.82 5.52
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for TUTICORIN SOLAR 380 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -0.63 -1.77 -0.89 -0.59 -1.15
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for TUTICORIN SOLAR 380 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 210 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 68.82 79.18 81.50 80.15 77.98
5.0 50.29 68.59 69.76 69.86 65.76
70
7.5 36.03 59.77 61.17 62.22 56.81
60
% of Blocks

10.0 25.50 52.50 53.34 56.02 49.23


50 12.5 18.54 45.77 46.51 50.48 42.71
40 15.0 13.62 39.52 40.90 45.41 36.92
30 17.5 10.26 33.80 35.84 41.11 31.89
20.0 7.94 28.98 31.44 37.18 27.86
20
22.5 5.98 25.08 27.34 33.36 24.29
10 25.0 4.62 21.80 23.67 30.14 21.07
0 27.5 3.67 19.01 20.35 27.03 17.80
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.74 16.61 17.39 24.39 15.26
% Forecast Error
32.5 2.02 14.69 15.04 21.84 13.21
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.57 12.86 12.87 19.22 11.56

Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for TUTICORIN SOLAR 380 MW Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN SOLAR 380 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.92 8.49 8.74 9.98 8.04
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN SOLAR 380 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for TUTICORIN SOLAR 380 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for TUTICORIN SOLAR 380 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 99.18 99.73 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 81.64 96.71 98.90 99.18 98.63
More than 5% 74.79 95.07 96.99 96.71 94.25 More than 5% 21.64 78.90 76.44 84.93 69.32
More than 7.5% 41.92 86.58 85.75 90.14 81.37 More than 7.5% 4.66 43.29 49.59 61.10 39.73
More than 10% 18.36 68.22 69.59 80.27 60.27 More than 10% 0.82 25.21 27.95 41.64 23.56
More than 12.5% 7.95 49.32 53.70 66.58 43.29 More than 12.5% 0.00 16.71 19.18 28.49 16.44
More than 15% 4.11 33.42 36.44 53.15 30.68 More than 15% 0.00 11.23 11.23 16.16 10.41

Daily Average 7.40 14.86 15.12 17.52 14.07 Daily Average 4.01 8.58 8.83 10.07 8.13
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for TUTICORIN SOLAR 380 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for TUTICORIN SOLAR 380 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 211 of 308
Forecast Analysis - PVG_ADANI_KA_NINE
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for PVG_ADANI_KA_NINE 200 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.57 1.51 2.63 1.67 0.85 0.0 51.42 38.03 47.94 48.90 46.68
32.5 0.71 1.94 3.13 2.31 1.12 -2.5 35.97 29.00 38.54 41.33 33.11
30.0 0.95 2.48 3.76 2.99 1.58 -5.0 26.11 23.01 29.31 33.26 23.83
27.5 1.28 3.53 4.54 4.04 2.23 -7.5 19.66 18.63 22.44 26.26 18.08
25.0 1.75 4.86 5.45 5.36 3.04 -10.0 15.13 15.50 17.68 20.91 14.35
22.5 2.35 6.80 6.44 6.55 4.09 -12.5 11.87 13.14 14.07 16.58 11.57
20.0 3.03 9.04 7.70 8.33 5.56 -15.0 9.58 11.08 11.33 13.03 9.30
17.5 3.95 12.17 8.92 10.59 7.11 -17.5 7.72 9.19 9.02 10.17 7.45
15.0 5.63 16.16 10.67 13.97 9.56 -20.0 6.01 7.61 7.38 7.98 5.86
12.5 8.01 21.59 13.22 19.52 13.21 -22.5 4.77 6.19 5.94 6.15 4.61
10.0 12.24 28.31 16.78 24.95 18.23 -25.0 3.78 4.98 4.76 4.89 3.53
7.5 16.56 36.08 21.75 30.79 25.21 -27.5 3.06 4.13 3.78 3.95 2.77
5.0 23.36 44.04 28.73 38.56 33.42 -30.0 2.44 3.20 2.98 3.17 2.07
2.5 34.47 52.55 39.22 44.63 43.27 -32.5 1.90 2.60 2.34 2.45 1.56
0.0 48.58 61.97 52.06 51.10 53.32 -35.0 1.41 1.98 1.80 2.03 1.21
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for PVG_ADANI_KA_NINE 200 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -0.47 1.26 0.13 0.26 0.41
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for PVG_ADANI_KA_NINE 200 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 212 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 70.43 81.54 77.76 85.96 76.38
5.0 49.46 67.04 58.03 71.82 57.25
70
7.5 36.22 54.71 44.19 57.05 43.30
60
% of Blocks

10.0 27.37 43.81 34.46 45.85 32.59


50 12.5 19.89 34.73 27.30 36.10 24.78
40 15.0 15.21 27.24 22.01 27.00 18.86
30 17.5 11.67 21.35 17.94 20.76 14.55
20.0 9.04 16.65 15.08 16.31 11.42
20
22.5 7.12 12.98 12.38 12.70 8.70
10 25.0 5.52 9.84 10.21 10.25 6.57
0 27.5 4.34 7.65 8.33 7.99 5.00
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 3.40 5.68 6.74 6.16 3.64
% Forecast Error
32.5 2.60 4.54 5.47 4.76 2.68
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.97 3.49 4.43 3.70 2.06
Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_ADANI_KA_NINE 200
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for PVG_ADANI_KA_NINE 200 MW MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 4.05 5.55 5.11 5.80 4.67
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_ADANI_KA_NINE 200 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for PVG_ADANI_KA_NINE 200 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for PVG_ADANI_KA_NINE 200 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 93.70 100.00 99.45 99.73 99.73 More than 2.5% 75.34 99.45 81.64 97.53 87.40
More than 5% 71.23 97.26 76.16 93.42 77.26 More than 5% 30.68 61.37 50.14 62.47 43.84
More than 7.5% 47.67 78.63 61.10 70.68 57.53 More than 7.5% 6.30 13.15 19.73 22.19 10.14
More than 10% 24.38 44.93 42.47 46.85 30.14 More than 10% 0.00 2.47 5.21 7.12 0.82
More than 12.5% 9.86 19.45 25.48 25.75 15.62 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.27 1.64 1.37 0.00
More than 15% 3.56 9.32 15.34 11.78 4.11 More than 15% 0.00 0.00 0.55 1.10 0.00

Daily Average 7.52 10.13 9.76 10.41 8.37 Daily Average 4.17 5.70 5.43 6.15 4.79
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for PVG_ADANI_KA_NINE 200 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for PVG_ADANI_KA_NINE 200 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 213 of 308
Forecast Analysis - PVG_ADYAH
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for PVG_ADYAH 300 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.25 2.00 1.62 3.00 0.98 0.0 45.82 38.39 46.34 46.23 44.96
32.5 0.36 2.72 1.99 3.84 1.29 -2.5 27.52 29.14 35.82 38.07 30.48
30.0 0.57 3.51 2.25 4.80 1.77 -5.0 20.30 23.20 28.38 29.35 22.35
27.5 0.90 4.64 2.70 6.22 2.26 -7.5 15.17 18.38 22.70 22.47 17.19
25.0 1.27 6.13 3.30 7.50 3.09 -10.0 11.38 14.93 18.15 17.29 13.18
22.5 1.96 7.75 4.08 9.16 4.25 -12.5 8.82 12.09 14.30 13.07 10.54
20.0 2.87 10.00 5.32 11.16 5.70 -15.0 6.63 9.97 11.35 10.05 8.42
17.5 4.27 12.96 7.21 14.28 7.85 -17.5 5.00 8.13 9.00 7.75 6.67
15.0 6.35 17.50 9.81 18.51 10.61 -20.0 3.78 6.57 7.16 6.07 5.24
12.5 10.04 23.18 13.20 23.23 14.93 -22.5 2.88 5.27 5.93 4.84 4.14
10.0 15.27 30.49 17.76 28.46 20.99 -25.0 2.05 4.09 4.67 3.80 3.19
7.5 22.50 37.60 23.59 34.15 28.19 -27.5 1.46 3.21 3.68 2.94 2.46
5.0 30.14 44.41 30.62 41.26 36.60 -30.0 1.11 2.58 2.72 2.31 1.78
2.5 41.29 52.85 40.44 47.03 44.94 -32.5 0.81 2.00 2.10 1.84 1.36
0.0 54.18 61.61 53.66 53.77 55.04 -35.0 0.60 1.57 1.68 1.43 0.98
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for PVG_ADYAH 300 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.49 1.59 0.05 1.23 0.79
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for PVG_ADYAH 300 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 214 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 68.81 81.99 76.25 85.10 75.43
5.0 50.44 67.61 59.00 70.61 58.94
70
7.5 37.67 55.98 46.29 56.61 45.38
60
% of Blocks

10.0 26.64 45.42 35.91 45.74 34.17


50 12.5 18.86 35.27 27.49 36.30 25.47
40 15.0 12.98 27.47 21.17 28.56 19.03
30 17.5 9.26 21.10 16.20 22.03 14.53
20.0 6.65 16.57 12.49 17.23 10.94
20
22.5 4.84 13.02 10.01 14.00 8.39
10 25.0 3.32 10.22 7.96 11.30 6.28
0 27.5 2.36 7.85 6.38 9.16 4.72
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 1.69 6.09 4.97 7.11 3.55
% Forecast Error
32.5 1.17 4.72 4.09 5.68 2.65
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.85 3.56 3.30 4.43 1.96

Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for PVG_ADYAH 300 MW Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_ADYAH 300 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.98 5.62 4.86 5.91 4.69
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_ADYAH 300 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for PVG_ADYAH 300 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for PVG_ADYAH 300 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 95.89 100.00 99.73 100.00 99.73 More than 2.5% 79.18 99.45 92.33 98.90 96.16
More than 5% 74.79 98.63 87.12 95.62 88.49 More than 5% 28.49 65.75 44.66 63.84 40.82
More than 7.5% 44.38 76.16 58.63 73.97 54.52 More than 7.5% 1.37 13.42 10.96 23.56 7.40
More than 10% 16.16 50.68 33.70 46.58 28.49 More than 10% 0.00 2.19 3.56 10.14 0.82
More than 12.5% 4.11 18.90 17.26 26.85 11.78 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.55 1.92 1.64 0.27
More than 15% 1.10 8.77 7.40 15.07 4.11 More than 15% 0.00 0.27 1.37 0.82 0.00

Daily Average 7.14 10.20 9.31 10.70 8.45 Daily Average 4.10 5.77 5.18 6.27 4.81
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for PVG_ADYAH 300 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for PVG_ADYAH 300 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 215 of 308
Forecast Analysis - PVG_AMPLUS_PAVAGADA
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for PVG_AMPLUS_PAVAGADA 50 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.34 1.84 1.57 1.84 0.93 0.0 42.12 37.08 48.85 50.32 46.02
32.5 0.51 2.31 1.87 2.50 1.23 -2.5 30.09 27.25 36.73 41.95 31.48
30.0 0.79 2.99 2.31 3.14 1.69 -5.0 22.69 21.34 28.67 33.20 23.56
27.5 1.15 3.97 2.86 4.15 2.31 -7.5 17.37 17.49 23.10 26.50 18.28
25.0 1.68 5.38 3.49 5.41 2.97 -10.0 13.87 14.57 18.50 21.29 14.57
22.5 2.42 7.56 4.55 6.78 3.98 -12.5 10.93 12.43 15.03 16.62 11.92
20.0 3.54 10.49 5.86 8.45 5.47 -15.0 8.52 10.38 12.35 13.19 9.61
17.5 4.91 14.09 7.67 10.49 7.22 -17.5 6.87 8.58 10.13 10.36 7.93
15.0 7.03 19.55 9.63 13.63 9.76 -20.0 5.46 6.95 8.28 8.06 6.41
12.5 10.73 25.73 12.81 17.84 12.93 -22.5 4.10 5.77 6.77 6.34 5.11
10.0 15.91 32.65 16.90 22.93 18.52 -25.0 3.28 4.65 5.43 5.02 4.12
7.5 21.99 39.84 22.39 28.54 25.87 -27.5 2.57 3.78 4.34 4.08 3.17
5.0 32.26 46.32 29.27 34.75 34.42 -30.0 2.00 2.99 3.52 3.21 2.37
2.5 44.21 54.02 39.52 42.76 43.31 -32.5 1.49 2.44 2.77 2.54 1.88
0.0 57.88 62.92 51.15 49.68 53.98 -35.0 1.07 1.88 2.22 2.05 1.38
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for PVG_AMPLUS_PAVAGADA 50 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.30 1.73 -0.19 0.04 0.40
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for PVG_AMPLUS_PAVAGADA 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 216 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 74.30 81.28 76.26 84.71 74.79
5.0 54.95 67.66 57.94 67.95 57.98
70
7.5 39.35 57.33 45.49 55.04 44.15
60
% of Blocks

10.0 29.78 47.22 35.40 44.23 33.09


50 12.5 21.67 38.16 27.83 34.46 24.86
40 15.0 15.55 29.93 21.98 26.82 19.36
30 17.5 11.77 22.67 17.80 20.85 15.14
20.0 9.00 17.44 14.14 16.51 11.88
20
22.5 6.52 13.33 11.32 13.12 9.10
10 25.0 4.96 10.03 8.92 10.44 7.09
0 27.5 3.72 7.75 7.20 8.23 5.48
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.79 5.98 5.82 6.36 4.06
% Forecast Error
32.5 2.00 4.74 4.64 5.05 3.12
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.41 3.72 3.79 3.88 2.31
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for PVG_AMPLUS_PAVAGADA 50 Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_AMPLUS_PAVAGADA
MW 50 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 4.13 5.74 4.97 5.75 4.73
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_AMPLUS_PAVAGADA 50 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for PVG_AMPLUS_PAVAGADA 50 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for PVG_AMPLUS_PAVAGADA 50 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 92.60 100.00 99.73 100.00 99.45 More than 2.5% 77.81 98.36 85.48 96.99 90.14
More than 5% 73.70 95.89 80.55 92.33 79.45 More than 5% 35.62 69.59 48.77 61.92 44.66
More than 7.5% 50.68 81.10 62.19 70.41 56.99 More than 7.5% 4.11 14.79 13.42 23.01 9.59
More than 10% 21.64 49.59 41.64 46.30 31.78 More than 10% 0.27 4.11 3.56 8.22 1.64
More than 12.5% 7.67 20.00 20.55 23.84 14.25 More than 12.5% 0.00 1.37 1.92 2.47 0.27
More than 15% 1.92 8.77 7.95 14.25 4.38 More than 15% 0.00 0.55 1.10 1.37 0.00

Daily Average 7.44 10.34 9.51 10.36 8.47 Daily Average 4.26 5.89 5.28 6.11 4.85
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for PVG_AMPLUS_PAVAGADA 50 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for PVG_AMPLUS_PAVAGADA 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 217 of 308
Forecast Analysis - PVG_AMPLUS_TUMKUR
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for PVG_AMPLUS_TUMKUR 50 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.27 1.40 1.70 1.70 0.90 0.0 43.96 37.25 49.84 50.65 46.87
32.5 0.41 1.79 2.00 2.19 1.14 -2.5 30.70 27.65 36.84 41.96 31.83
30.0 0.65 2.40 2.34 2.96 1.47 -5.0 23.10 21.71 28.35 32.79 23.25
27.5 1.07 3.39 2.73 3.90 2.06 -7.5 17.71 17.72 22.31 26.20 17.92
25.0 1.56 4.83 3.36 5.19 2.83 -10.0 13.76 14.59 17.66 20.54 14.25
22.5 2.16 6.98 4.04 6.58 3.85 -12.5 10.98 12.13 13.99 15.98 11.41
20.0 2.98 9.60 5.17 8.34 5.14 -15.0 8.79 10.13 11.42 12.40 9.23
17.5 4.32 13.03 6.47 10.51 6.67 -17.5 6.96 8.37 9.31 9.59 7.52
15.0 6.39 18.14 8.19 13.57 9.08 -20.0 5.46 6.78 7.62 7.56 5.97
12.5 9.38 24.23 10.76 17.39 12.30 -22.5 4.21 5.47 6.08 5.93 4.67
10.0 14.30 31.58 14.28 22.31 17.32 -25.0 3.30 4.46 4.72 4.80 3.68
7.5 20.23 39.13 19.79 27.94 24.78 -27.5 2.57 3.63 3.70 3.74 2.83
5.0 29.94 46.05 27.85 34.35 33.61 -30.0 2.04 2.95 3.02 2.90 2.25
2.5 42.00 53.62 38.62 42.31 42.49 -32.5 1.50 2.39 2.27 2.23 1.66
0.0 56.04 62.75 50.16 49.35 53.13 -35.0 1.12 1.84 1.83 1.70 1.25
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for PVG_AMPLUS_TUMKUR 50 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.09 1.58 -0.19 0.11 0.37
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for PVG_AMPLUS_TUMKUR 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 218 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 72.70 81.27 75.46 84.27 74.32
5.0 53.03 67.76 56.20 67.14 56.87
70
7.5 37.94 56.85 42.10 54.14 42.70
60
% of Blocks

10.0 28.06 46.17 31.94 42.85 31.57


50 12.5 20.36 36.36 24.75 33.38 23.71
40 15.0 15.18 28.27 19.61 25.97 18.30
30 17.5 11.28 21.40 15.78 20.10 14.18
20.0 8.44 16.38 12.79 15.90 11.11
20
22.5 6.37 12.45 10.12 12.51 8.52
10 25.0 4.85 9.29 8.07 9.99 6.50
0 27.5 3.65 7.02 6.44 7.65 4.89
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.69 5.36 5.36 5.86 3.71
% Forecast Error
32.5 1.91 4.18 4.27 4.43 2.80
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.39 3.24 3.54 3.41 2.15
Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_AMPLUS_TUMKUR 50
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for PVG_AMPLUS_TUMKUR 50 MW MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 4.00 5.57 4.73 5.56 4.58
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_AMPLUS_TUMKUR 50 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for PVG_AMPLUS_TUMKUR 50 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for PVG_AMPLUS_TUMKUR 50 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 90.68 100.00 99.73 100.00 99.45 More than 2.5% 76.16 98.36 86.03 95.62 89.04
More than 5% 72.33 95.89 75.89 92.33 75.62 More than 5% 31.78 64.38 43.56 58.63 40.82
More than 7.5% 45.75 79.18 57.81 68.22 54.25 More than 7.5% 4.11 12.05 12.05 20.82 7.95
More than 10% 20.55 44.38 35.07 43.84 29.32 More than 10% 0.00 3.29 3.56 7.12 1.64
More than 12.5% 7.12 17.53 17.26 22.74 11.23 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.55 2.19 1.64 0.55
More than 15% 2.47 7.95 8.49 10.96 4.93 More than 15% 0.00 0.27 1.64 0.82 0.00

Daily Average 7.26 10.00 9.10 10.10 8.22 Daily Average 4.12 5.72 5.04 5.92 4.70
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for PVG_AMPLUS_TUMKUR 50 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for PVG_AMPLUS_TUMKUR 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 219 of 308
Forecast Analysis - PVG_AVVADA_SOLAR
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for PVG_AVVADA_SOLAR 150 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.56 1.38 1.46 1.86 0.71 0.0 50.01 40.10 54.18 48.81 49.49
32.5 0.78 1.70 1.81 2.44 0.93 -2.5 36.43 28.81 40.94 41.13 33.71
30.0 1.08 2.14 2.14 3.34 1.36 -5.0 27.57 22.11 30.74 32.76 24.04
27.5 1.52 2.87 2.61 4.52 1.87 -7.5 20.38 18.01 23.63 25.69 18.51
25.0 2.12 4.01 3.14 5.48 2.53 -10.0 15.32 15.09 18.70 19.95 14.50
22.5 2.92 5.53 3.69 6.74 3.40 -12.5 11.75 12.65 14.83 15.14 11.46
20.0 3.93 7.63 4.61 8.61 4.45 -15.0 9.20 10.43 11.93 11.81 9.20
17.5 5.30 10.59 5.80 11.27 6.12 -17.5 7.01 8.63 9.56 8.94 7.19
15.0 7.19 14.67 7.35 14.62 8.33 -20.0 5.38 6.95 7.80 6.94 5.65
12.5 10.02 20.12 9.54 19.06 11.55 -22.5 4.20 5.66 6.41 5.45 4.60
10.0 13.94 26.34 13.13 24.47 15.87 -25.0 3.30 4.63 5.14 4.20 3.44
7.5 19.16 32.43 17.71 30.56 22.55 -27.5 2.50 3.74 3.96 3.25 2.69
5.0 26.89 39.74 24.42 37.80 31.30 -30.0 1.84 2.87 3.11 2.50 2.13
2.5 37.71 49.09 33.57 44.58 40.28 -32.5 1.39 2.25 2.35 1.97 1.57
0.0 49.99 59.90 45.82 51.19 50.51 -35.0 0.97 1.73 1.93 1.57 1.20
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for PVG_AVVADA_SOLAR 150 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -0.20 1.05 -0.66 0.43 0.14
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for PVG_AVVADA_SOLAR 150 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 220 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 74.13 77.90 74.51 85.72 73.99
5.0 54.46 61.85 55.16 70.57 55.35
70
7.5 39.54 50.45 41.34 56.25 41.06
60
% of Blocks

10.0 29.25 41.43 31.83 44.42 30.36


50 12.5 21.77 32.77 24.37 34.20 23.00
40 15.0 16.39 25.10 19.28 26.44 17.53
30 17.5 12.31 19.22 15.36 20.21 13.31
20.0 9.31 14.58 12.41 15.55 10.11
20
22.5 7.11 11.20 10.11 12.19 8.00
10 25.0 5.43 8.64 8.29 9.68 5.97
0 27.5 4.02 6.61 6.57 7.77 4.56
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.91 5.00 5.25 5.84 3.49
% Forecast Error
32.5 2.18 3.95 4.16 4.41 2.50
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.53 3.11 3.39 3.43 1.91
Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_AVVADA_SOLAR 150
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for PVG_AVVADA_SOLAR 150 MW MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 4.12 5.17 4.66 5.66 4.44
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_AVVADA_SOLAR 150 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for PVG_AVVADA_SOLAR 150 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for PVG_AVVADA_SOLAR 150 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 95.62 99.45 99.73 100.00 99.18 More than 2.5% 77.53 94.79 81.37 98.36 87.95
More than 5% 72.05 91.78 75.89 94.25 74.25 More than 5% 33.97 54.52 42.19 62.74 38.63
More than 7.5% 48.77 71.23 55.07 70.41 53.97 More than 7.5% 4.11 11.78 11.23 20.55 6.30
More than 10% 26.30 36.99 36.16 46.85 27.12 More than 10% 0.27 2.19 2.74 5.21 1.10
More than 12.5% 6.30 17.53 19.73 24.11 11.51 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.00 1.92 1.10 0.00
More than 15% 2.19 8.22 7.67 10.14 3.29 More than 15% 0.00 0.00 1.10 0.82 0.00

Daily Average 7.54 9.56 9.01 10.23 8.05 Daily Average 4.23 5.29 4.94 5.98 4.54
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for PVG_AVVADA_SOLAR 150 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for PVG_AVVADA_SOLAR 150 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 221 of 308
Forecast Analysis - PVG_AVVADA_SOLARISE
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for PVG_AVVADA_SOLARISE 150 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.33 1.32 1.03 1.46 0.41 0.0 54.95 39.98 54.72 51.33 50.69
32.5 0.50 1.64 1.25 1.90 0.64 -2.5 38.19 29.00 43.72 42.89 35.19
30.0 0.74 2.09 1.60 2.61 0.94 -5.0 27.06 22.30 33.91 33.37 24.82
27.5 1.06 2.72 1.96 3.37 1.38 -7.5 19.15 18.06 25.85 26.06 18.51
25.0 1.51 3.69 2.39 4.46 1.88 -10.0 14.20 14.88 19.71 20.05 14.28
22.5 2.17 5.13 3.04 5.88 2.61 -12.5 10.87 12.30 15.20 15.13 11.18
20.0 3.00 7.16 3.91 7.42 3.49 -15.0 8.47 10.08 12.03 11.72 8.75
17.5 4.22 10.20 5.17 9.24 4.91 -17.5 6.59 8.26 9.40 8.95 6.86
15.0 5.78 14.23 6.86 12.16 6.96 -20.0 4.97 6.50 7.66 7.05 5.26
12.5 8.32 19.94 9.45 16.58 10.14 -22.5 3.71 5.31 6.09 5.43 4.09
10.0 11.40 26.33 13.35 22.12 15.08 -25.0 2.74 4.08 4.63 4.18 3.20
7.5 17.29 32.64 18.46 29.09 22.32 -27.5 1.98 3.28 3.71 3.13 2.45
5.0 24.04 39.63 25.23 35.84 30.21 -30.0 1.47 2.55 2.88 2.45 1.73
2.5 32.23 48.76 34.99 41.77 38.54 -32.5 1.12 2.02 2.10 1.94 1.25
0.0 45.05 60.02 45.28 48.67 49.31 -35.0 0.88 1.55 1.59 1.45 0.89
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for PVG_AVVADA_SOLARISE 150 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -0.45 1.07 -0.80 0.09 0.00
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for PVG_AVVADA_SOLARISE 150 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 222 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 70.42 77.76 78.71 84.67 73.74
5.0 51.10 61.94 59.14 69.21 55.03
70
7.5 36.43 50.71 44.31 55.15 40.83
60
% of Blocks

10.0 25.60 41.20 33.06 42.18 29.36


50 12.5 19.19 32.23 24.65 31.71 21.32
40 15.0 14.25 24.31 18.89 23.88 15.70
30 17.5 10.81 18.46 14.57 18.19 11.77
20.0 7.98 13.66 11.57 14.47 8.75
20
22.5 5.88 10.44 9.13 11.31 6.69
10 25.0 4.25 7.78 7.02 8.64 5.08
0 27.5 3.04 6.00 5.66 6.50 3.83
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.21 4.64 4.48 5.06 2.67
% Forecast Error
32.5 1.62 3.66 3.35 3.84 1.89
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.21 2.87 2.62 2.91 1.30
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for PVG_AVVADA_SOLARISE 150 Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_AVVADA_SOLARISE
MW 150 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.89 5.06 4.66 5.41 4.25
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_AVVADA_SOLARISE 150 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for PVG_AVVADA_SOLARISE 150 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for PVG_AVVADA_SOLARISE 150 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 96.44 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 76.99 94.25 90.41 97.81 88.49
More than 5% 70.14 90.41 84.66 93.42 72.88 More than 5% 30.14 50.68 40.27 55.07 31.51
More than 7.5% 43.01 71.23 51.51 65.48 44.66 More than 7.5% 2.47 9.04 8.22 16.44 4.93
More than 10% 19.73 34.25 31.23 39.73 22.47 More than 10% 0.00 2.74 2.74 5.21 0.00
More than 12.5% 6.03 13.15 15.07 18.08 8.22 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.00 1.10 1.64 0.00
More than 15% 1.64 7.12 5.48 10.14 3.29 More than 15% 0.00 0.00 0.55 1.10 0.00

Daily Average 7.14 9.29 8.79 9.75 7.62 Daily Average 4.01 5.20 4.95 5.76 4.36
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for PVG_AVVADA_SOLARISE 150 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for PVG_AVVADA_SOLARISE 150 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 223 of 308
Forecast Analysis - PVG_AZURE_POWER_EARTH
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for PVG_AZURE_POWER_EARTH 100 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.55 1.84 1.81 2.22 1.07 0.0 39.65 37.93 48.87 47.48 47.12
32.5 0.79 2.37 2.17 2.86 1.39 -2.5 27.81 29.02 39.07 40.35 33.19
30.0 1.20 3.07 2.54 3.82 1.89 -5.0 20.58 23.43 30.16 31.85 23.92
27.5 1.60 4.24 3.09 4.93 2.56 -7.5 15.60 18.73 24.14 25.13 18.54
25.0 2.28 5.72 3.66 6.18 3.36 -10.0 12.34 15.29 19.31 19.93 14.72
22.5 3.18 7.69 4.51 7.75 4.42 -12.5 9.63 12.88 15.26 15.34 11.54
20.0 4.47 10.07 5.67 9.83 5.53 -15.0 7.55 10.73 12.42 11.88 9.25
17.5 6.17 13.55 7.11 13.20 7.50 -17.5 5.77 8.97 9.81 9.44 7.51
15.0 8.95 18.33 9.08 17.48 10.16 -20.0 4.40 7.35 7.94 7.29 6.01
12.5 13.44 24.38 11.46 22.52 14.18 -22.5 3.40 6.03 6.43 5.75 4.91
10.0 19.44 31.40 15.48 27.66 19.88 -25.0 2.62 5.06 5.28 4.60 3.92
7.5 27.96 38.43 21.14 34.80 26.65 -27.5 2.09 4.07 4.27 3.67 3.12
5.0 36.09 45.06 27.55 41.13 35.25 -30.0 1.72 3.27 3.52 2.85 2.36
2.5 48.08 52.62 40.05 46.65 43.55 -32.5 1.31 2.54 2.74 2.23 1.78
0.0 60.35 62.07 51.13 52.52 52.88 -35.0 0.93 2.01 2.17 1.78 1.40
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for PVG_AZURE_POWER_EARTH 100 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.85 1.50 -0.27 0.77 0.48
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for PVG_AZURE_POWER_EARTH 100 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 224 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 75.90 81.65 79.12 87.00 76.74
5.0 56.68 68.49 57.71 72.97 59.17
70
7.5 43.56 57.16 45.28 59.93 45.19
60
% of Blocks

10.0 31.78 46.70 34.79 47.59 34.61


50 12.5 23.07 37.27 26.72 37.86 25.72
40 15.0 16.50 29.06 21.50 29.36 19.41
30 17.5 11.94 22.52 16.93 22.64 15.01
20.0 8.87 17.42 13.62 17.12 11.53
20
22.5 6.58 13.71 10.94 13.50 9.32
10 25.0 4.90 10.78 8.94 10.78 7.29
0 27.5 3.69 8.31 7.37 8.60 5.68
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.92 6.35 6.06 6.66 4.25
% Forecast Error
32.5 2.09 4.91 4.90 5.09 3.17
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.48 3.85 3.98 4.00 2.47
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for PVG_AZURE_POWER_EARTH Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for
100 MW PVG_AZURE_POWER_EARTH 100 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 4.29 5.77 5.01 6.04 4.84
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_AZURE_POWER_EARTH 100 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for PVG_AZURE_POWER_EARTH 100 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for PVG_AZURE_POWER_EARTH 100 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 94.52 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 81.10 99.73 85.21 99.73 93.42
More than 5% 78.08 98.90 79.73 97.53 83.29 More than 5% 37.26 66.30 47.95 67.40 47.67
More than 7.5% 52.88 79.73 61.10 77.26 59.18 More than 7.5% 2.74 13.70 12.88 25.48 10.14
More than 10% 22.74 52.33 40.55 53.97 32.88 More than 10% 0.27 3.29 3.84 7.12 1.37
More than 12.5% 6.30 22.19 21.64 29.04 15.34 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.55 1.92 1.64 0.27
More than 15% 1.64 10.41 9.32 13.15 5.21 More than 15% 0.00 0.00 1.37 0.82 0.00

Daily Average 7.75 10.50 9.64 10.87 8.73 Daily Average 4.39 5.89 5.31 6.37 4.94
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for PVG_AZURE_POWER_EARTH 100 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for PVG_AZURE_POWER_EARTH 100 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 225 of 308
Forecast Analysis - PVG_FORTUM_FINSURYA
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for PVG_FORTUM_FINSURYA 100 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.23 0.99 0.95 1.38 0.32 0.0 44.84 41.71 54.91 54.26 52.21
32.5 0.38 1.34 1.18 1.92 0.50 -2.5 30.24 29.63 42.09 45.12 35.15
30.0 0.62 1.77 1.54 2.63 0.80 -5.0 21.90 22.62 31.39 34.87 24.28
27.5 0.97 2.52 1.97 3.52 1.26 -7.5 15.86 18.09 24.48 26.58 18.00
25.0 1.38 3.43 2.59 4.38 1.76 -10.0 11.74 14.82 18.85 19.64 13.82
22.5 1.99 4.91 3.20 5.53 2.66 -12.5 8.99 12.35 14.47 14.47 10.83
20.0 2.75 7.08 4.22 7.13 3.87 -15.0 6.75 10.01 11.28 10.88 8.46
17.5 3.96 10.01 5.58 9.08 5.47 -17.5 5.10 8.20 8.81 8.29 6.70
15.0 5.92 13.96 7.14 11.27 7.33 -20.0 3.89 6.60 6.94 6.28 5.04
12.5 8.72 19.71 9.40 14.41 10.08 -22.5 2.94 5.22 5.40 4.77 3.85
10.0 13.10 25.63 13.36 18.72 14.14 -25.0 2.25 4.08 4.15 3.68 2.87
7.5 19.43 31.98 18.59 23.74 20.14 -27.5 1.69 3.22 3.25 2.87 2.21
5.0 28.36 38.95 25.17 30.25 28.24 -30.0 1.19 2.53 2.51 2.24 1.65
2.5 40.69 47.49 34.01 37.63 36.98 -32.5 0.89 1.91 1.83 1.71 1.16
0.0 55.16 58.29 45.09 45.74 47.79 -35.0 0.63 1.49 1.30 1.27 0.88
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for PVG_FORTUM_FINSURYA 100 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.24 0.94 -0.66 -0.20 -0.06
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for PVG_FORTUM_FINSURYA 100 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 226 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 70.93 77.12 76.10 82.74 72.13
5.0 50.27 61.57 56.57 65.12 52.52
70
7.5 35.29 50.07 43.08 50.32 38.15
60
% of Blocks

10.0 24.84 40.45 32.21 38.36 27.96


50 12.5 17.70 32.06 23.87 28.88 20.91
40 15.0 12.67 23.97 18.41 22.16 15.80
30 17.5 9.06 18.20 14.40 17.37 12.17
20.0 6.63 13.68 11.16 13.42 8.92
20
22.5 4.92 10.14 8.60 10.30 6.51
10 25.0 3.63 7.51 6.74 8.06 4.63
0 27.5 2.66 5.74 5.22 6.39 3.47
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 1.82 4.30 4.05 4.86 2.45
% Forecast Error
32.5 1.27 3.25 3.01 3.63 1.66
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.86 2.48 2.24 2.65 1.20
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for PVG_FORTUM_FINSURYA 100 Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_FORTUM_FINSURYA
MW 100 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.69 4.96 4.49 5.11 4.12
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_FORTUM_FINSURYA 100 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for PVG_FORTUM_FINSURYA 100 MW Figure 4: % Forecast Error Data for PVG_FORTUM_FINSURYA 100 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 93.97 99.73 100.00 100.00 98.90 More than 2.5% 78.90 93.97 90.41 90.14 82.47
More than 5% 69.59 90.68 80.55 82.74 73.42 More than 5% 23.29 48.22 39.73 52.60 33.15
More than 7.5% 38.36 68.49 55.07 63.56 46.85 More than 7.5% 2.19 9.86 7.12 15.89 5.21
More than 10% 14.52 31.23 30.41 36.44 21.10 More than 10% 0.00 3.01 2.74 4.38 0.27
More than 12.5% 3.29 12.60 11.23 17.53 6.58 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.00 0.82 1.10 0.00
More than 15% 1.64 6.03 5.48 9.32 1.92 More than 15% 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.82 0.00

Daily Average 6.76 9.09 8.57 9.25 7.46 Daily Average 3.85 5.14 4.81 5.46 4.28
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for PVG_FORTUM_FINSURYA 100 MW Table 6: NRMSE Statistics for PVG_FORTUM_FINSURYA 100 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 227 of 308
Forecast Analysis - PVG_FORTUM_SOLAR
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for PVG_FORTUM_SOLAR 250 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.15 1.31 1.31 1.44 0.58 0.0 41.58 37.50 52.62 49.20 47.58
32.5 0.27 1.64 1.55 1.84 0.72 -2.5 25.06 27.46 38.87 41.06 31.92
30.0 0.40 2.09 1.84 2.55 1.00 -5.0 18.56 21.25 29.26 31.95 22.98
27.5 0.55 2.72 2.24 3.46 1.49 -7.5 14.14 17.08 22.92 24.91 17.18
25.0 0.87 3.98 2.69 4.51 2.00 -10.0 10.71 13.84 17.62 18.97 13.38
22.5 1.35 5.62 3.31 5.82 2.72 -12.5 7.87 11.67 13.84 14.42 10.23
20.0 2.03 7.85 4.15 7.39 3.71 -15.0 5.84 9.43 11.04 11.03 7.95
17.5 3.29 11.06 5.37 9.72 5.32 -17.5 4.31 7.52 8.70 8.46 6.27
15.0 5.34 15.38 6.71 13.43 7.26 -20.0 3.19 6.11 6.80 6.48 4.81
12.5 9.62 21.36 9.00 18.00 10.52 -22.5 2.36 4.80 5.31 4.95 3.86
10.0 15.23 28.67 12.56 23.11 15.54 -25.0 1.72 3.78 4.14 3.96 2.97
7.5 24.57 35.72 17.82 28.95 22.66 -27.5 1.30 2.95 3.14 2.87 2.12
5.0 33.79 42.84 25.29 35.39 31.62 -30.0 0.92 2.29 2.45 2.12 1.59
2.5 46.39 51.67 35.48 43.60 40.90 -32.5 0.62 1.77 1.85 1.62 1.16
0.0 58.42 62.50 47.38 50.80 52.42 -35.0 0.44 1.33 1.40 1.25 0.83
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for PVG_FORTUM_SOLAR 250 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.75 1.42 -0.45 0.31 0.28
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for PVG_FORTUM_SOLAR 250 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 228 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 71.45 79.13 74.36 84.66 72.82
5.0 52.35 64.09 54.55 67.34 54.60
70
7.5 38.71 52.79 40.74 53.86 39.84
60
% of Blocks

10.0 25.94 42.51 30.18 42.08 28.92


50 12.5 17.49 33.03 22.84 32.42 20.75
40 15.0 11.18 24.81 17.75 24.46 15.21
30 17.5 7.60 18.58 14.07 18.19 11.59
20.0 5.23 13.96 10.95 13.87 8.53
20
22.5 3.71 10.43 8.63 10.77 6.58
10 25.0 2.59 7.76 6.83 8.47 4.97
0 27.5 1.85 5.67 5.38 6.32 3.61
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 1.32 4.38 4.29 4.67 2.59
% Forecast Error
32.5 0.89 3.41 3.40 3.46 1.88
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.59 2.65 2.71 2.69 1.41
Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_FORTUM_SOLAR 250
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for PVG_FORTUM_SOLAR 250 MW MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.84 5.16 4.43 5.35 4.20
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_FORTUM_SOLAR 250 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for PVG_FORTUM_SOLAR 250 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for PVG_FORTUM_SOLAR 250 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 94.79 100.00 99.73 100.00 99.45 More than 2.5% 84.66 98.63 83.01 96.71 86.85
More than 5% 72.88 96.16 74.79 93.15 72.60 More than 5% 20.00 53.42 38.08 54.79 31.51
More than 7.5% 34.25 72.05 50.41 67.12 46.03 More than 7.5% 1.37 8.77 8.49 16.44 4.66
More than 10% 10.68 33.42 30.14 39.73 21.37 More than 10% 0.00 1.64 2.74 5.21 0.82
More than 12.5% 1.92 13.42 13.97 16.99 7.40 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.55 1.64 1.10 0.27
More than 15% 0.55 6.58 6.03 9.32 2.47 More than 15% 0.00 0.00 1.10 0.82 0.00

Daily Average 6.77 9.41 8.51 9.67 7.55 Daily Average 3.94 5.28 4.72 5.66 4.29
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for PVG_FORTUM_SOLAR 250 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for PVG_FORTUM_SOLAR 250 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 229 of 308
Forecast Analysis - PVG_KREDL
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for PVG_KREDL 50 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.56 0.79 0.87 1.04 0.13 0.0 47.40 46.82 61.86 54.94 56.74
32.5 0.71 1.00 1.05 1.48 0.28 -2.5 36.23 34.47 48.07 46.96 38.53
30.0 0.97 1.22 1.34 2.08 0.44 -5.0 28.55 26.61 36.38 36.62 27.65
27.5 1.29 1.59 1.64 2.87 0.66 -7.5 23.51 20.73 27.98 28.23 20.67
25.0 1.94 2.00 2.09 3.62 0.97 -10.0 19.42 16.95 21.76 21.36 15.30
22.5 2.90 2.56 2.58 4.90 1.46 -12.5 15.75 13.80 16.89 16.06 11.57
20.0 3.85 3.32 3.06 6.34 2.25 -15.0 13.13 11.42 13.10 11.90 8.94
17.5 5.44 4.53 3.85 8.04 3.36 -17.5 10.56 9.29 9.98 8.97 6.84
15.0 7.86 6.71 5.00 10.52 4.80 -20.0 8.58 7.48 7.75 6.71 5.22
12.5 11.13 10.45 6.90 14.37 7.07 -22.5 6.83 5.91 5.85 5.13 3.93
10.0 16.68 15.91 9.74 19.35 10.23 -25.0 5.20 4.63 4.40 3.66 2.87
7.5 24.73 22.72 14.23 25.54 16.31 -27.5 4.01 3.58 3.32 2.71 2.23
5.0 33.43 30.64 20.10 31.92 24.28 -30.0 3.18 2.89 2.53 2.02 1.54
2.5 42.44 40.26 27.53 38.05 32.67 -32.5 2.48 2.25 1.85 1.52 1.14
0.0 52.60 53.18 38.14 45.06 43.26 -35.0 1.98 1.71 1.33 1.20 0.78
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for PVG_KREDL 50 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -0.34 -0.20 -1.42 -0.37 -0.64
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for PVG_KREDL 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 230 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 78.67 74.73 75.60 85.00 71.20
5.0 61.97 57.25 56.47 68.54 51.94
70
7.5 48.24 43.45 42.22 53.77 36.98
60
% of Blocks

10.0 36.11 32.85 31.50 40.72 25.53


50 12.5 26.88 24.25 23.79 30.43 18.63
40 15.0 20.99 18.13 18.10 22.42 13.74
30 17.5 16.00 13.82 13.83 17.01 10.20
20.0 12.43 10.81 10.81 13.05 7.47
20
22.5 9.73 8.47 8.44 10.03 5.39
10 25.0 7.14 6.63 6.50 7.28 3.84
0 27.5 5.30 5.17 4.95 5.58 2.88
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 4.14 4.11 3.87 4.09 1.98
% Forecast Error
32.5 3.19 3.25 2.90 3.00 1.41
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 2.53 2.50 2.20 2.24 0.91

Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for PVG_KREDL 50 MW Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_KREDL 50 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 4.84 4.38 4.41 5.20 3.89
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_KREDL 50 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for PVG_KREDL 50 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for PVG_KREDL 50 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 99.73 99.18 100.00 100.00 99.73 More than 2.5% 94.25 85.21 87.95 92.05 76.71
More than 5% 89.86 84.93 86.03 91.51 76.44 More than 5% 38.90 33.42 38.08 55.62 26.58
More than 7.5% 66.85 63.01 64.38 75.07 53.70 More than 7.5% 10.96 8.49 7.95 14.79 3.84
More than 10% 46.85 43.84 45.21 50.96 34.79 More than 10% 3.29 1.64 1.64 4.11 0.00
More than 12.5% 29.86 29.32 28.22 31.78 20.82 More than 12.5% 2.47 0.00 0.82 1.10 0.00
More than 15% 18.36 20.55 19.45 23.01 12.60 More than 15% 1.37 0.00 0.55 0.82 0.00

Daily Average 11.30 10.48 10.95 11.88 9.01 Daily Average 4.97 4.49 4.67 5.49 3.97
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for PVG_KREDL 50 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for PVG_KREDL 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 231 of 308
Forecast Analysis - PVG_PARAMPUJYA
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for PVG_PARAMPUJYA 150 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.19 1.32 0.90 1.78 0.45 0.0 44.36 42.95 58.66 52.37 52.06
32.5 0.27 1.67 1.07 2.25 0.67 -2.5 30.81 32.93 45.25 44.05 37.12
30.0 0.50 2.24 1.31 2.93 0.96 -5.0 23.06 26.22 34.23 35.05 27.94
27.5 0.77 3.05 1.71 3.76 1.34 -7.5 17.58 21.76 27.24 28.00 21.81
25.0 1.03 4.08 2.18 4.91 1.80 -10.0 13.43 18.48 21.89 22.48 17.47
22.5 1.57 5.30 2.75 6.23 2.53 -12.5 10.35 15.69 17.45 17.46 14.25
20.0 2.39 6.88 3.59 7.82 3.48 -15.0 7.99 13.21 14.26 14.02 11.50
17.5 3.68 9.10 4.64 9.89 4.81 -17.5 6.13 11.19 11.82 11.16 9.38
15.0 5.54 12.40 6.25 13.33 6.75 -20.0 4.65 9.30 9.51 8.94 7.75
12.5 9.06 18.16 8.41 17.41 9.58 -22.5 3.74 7.82 7.93 6.91 6.30
10.0 13.69 24.29 11.56 22.17 13.31 -25.0 2.87 6.60 6.31 5.40 4.90
7.5 19.59 30.72 15.91 27.41 19.74 -27.5 2.18 5.39 5.12 4.22 3.88
5.0 28.18 37.87 21.64 32.99 27.67 -30.0 1.63 4.37 4.13 3.21 3.04
2.5 40.94 46.86 30.12 40.33 37.39 -32.5 1.17 3.56 3.14 2.52 2.35
0.0 55.64 57.05 41.34 47.63 47.94 -35.0 0.92 2.82 2.47 2.02 1.79
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for PVG_PARAMPUJYA 150 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.07 0.33 -1.37 -0.20 -0.57
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for PVG_PARAMPUJYA 150 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 232 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 71.75 79.79 75.37 84.39 74.51
5.0 51.23 64.10 55.87 68.04 55.61
70
7.5 37.16 52.48 43.16 55.41 41.55
60
% of Blocks

10.0 27.12 42.77 33.45 44.65 30.78


50 12.5 19.41 33.85 25.85 34.87 23.83
40 15.0 13.52 25.62 20.51 27.35 18.26
30 17.5 9.81 20.30 16.47 21.05 14.19
20.0 7.05 16.18 13.10 16.76 11.24
20
22.5 5.31 13.13 10.68 13.14 8.83
10 25.0 3.90 10.68 8.49 10.31 6.70
0 27.5 2.95 8.44 6.83 7.98 5.22
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.13 6.61 5.43 6.15 4.00
% Forecast Error
32.5 1.44 5.22 4.21 4.77 3.02
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.10 4.13 3.37 3.80 2.24
Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_PARAMPUJYA 150
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for PVG_PARAMPUJYA 150 MW MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.85 5.48 4.76 5.72 4.57
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_PARAMPUJYA 150 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for PVG_PARAMPUJYA 150 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for PVG_PARAMPUJYA 150 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 90.96 100.00 99.73 100.00 99.45 More than 2.5% 77.81 94.52 84.38 94.52 86.03
More than 5% 72.60 91.23 78.08 90.41 76.44 More than 5% 24.38 55.62 43.29 58.63 37.81
More than 7.5% 43.29 69.86 56.16 69.59 50.41 More than 7.5% 1.92 15.34 13.15 22.47 9.86
More than 10% 17.81 42.19 35.07 44.11 27.95 More than 10% 0.00 4.93 3.56 7.95 2.47
More than 12.5% 3.56 20.27 16.99 25.21 14.52 More than 12.5% 0.00 1.10 1.64 3.29 0.55
More than 15% 1.10 11.23 9.86 13.97 5.21 More than 15% 0.00 0.82 0.82 1.37 0.00

Daily Average 6.96 9.92 9.07 10.26 8.17 Daily Average 3.94 5.59 5.03 6.04 4.66
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for PVG_PARAMPUJYA 150 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for PVG_PARAMPUJYA 150 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 233 of 308
Forecast Analysis - PVG_RENEWTN2
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for PVG_RENEWTN2 50 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.40 4.24 2.27 3.25 1.84 0.0 53.74 34.70 50.82 48.41 46.80
32.5 0.62 6.05 3.10 4.25 2.53 -2.5 40.44 26.16 41.42 40.56 33.91
30.0 0.83 8.19 3.98 5.40 3.76 -5.0 31.39 21.41 32.28 32.30 26.11
27.5 1.24 10.88 5.14 6.76 5.24 -7.5 25.10 18.26 26.15 25.92 20.21
25.0 1.80 13.95 6.59 8.68 7.07 -10.0 19.94 15.86 21.00 21.13 16.37
22.5 2.40 17.18 8.41 10.69 9.41 -12.5 15.92 13.41 16.63 17.17 13.48
20.0 3.40 20.82 10.90 13.40 12.23 -15.0 12.84 11.29 13.27 13.73 10.91
17.5 4.88 24.55 13.87 16.81 15.67 -17.5 10.29 9.56 10.61 10.86 8.74
15.0 6.80 28.42 16.94 20.53 19.54 -20.0 7.98 7.68 8.57 8.59 6.96
12.5 9.51 32.40 20.71 24.36 23.71 -22.5 6.30 6.09 6.94 6.72 5.32
10.0 13.13 37.08 24.78 29.07 28.13 -25.0 4.89 4.72 5.52 5.23 4.11
7.5 18.75 42.22 29.59 34.39 32.95 -27.5 3.81 3.62 4.40 4.10 3.05
5.0 26.05 49.30 34.81 39.93 38.32 -30.0 2.87 2.80 3.53 3.15 2.28
2.5 34.28 57.50 41.35 45.79 45.13 -32.5 2.12 2.13 2.73 2.39 1.69
0.0 46.26 65.30 49.18 51.59 53.20 -35.0 1.54 1.62 2.06 1.80 1.19
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for PVG_RENEWTN2 50 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -0.86 2.82 0.35 0.92 1.25
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for PVG_RENEWTN2 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 234 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 74.73 83.66 82.76 86.35 79.04
5.0 57.45 70.72 67.09 72.23 64.43
70
7.5 43.85 60.48 55.74 60.31 53.16
60
% of Blocks

10.0 33.07 52.93 45.78 50.21 44.50


50 12.5 25.43 45.80 37.34 41.53 37.19
40 15.0 19.64 39.71 30.21 34.26 30.45
30 17.5 15.17 34.11 24.48 27.67 24.41
20.0 11.38 28.50 19.47 21.99 19.19
20
22.5 8.70 23.27 15.34 17.41 14.73
10 25.0 6.69 18.67 12.12 13.91 11.18
0 27.5 5.05 14.49 9.54 10.86 8.29
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 3.70 11.00 7.51 8.55 6.04
% Forecast Error
32.5 2.74 8.18 5.83 6.64 4.22
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.95 5.87 4.33 5.05 3.03

Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for PVG_RENEWTN2 50 MW Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_RENEWTN2 50 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 4.60 6.87 5.98 6.48 5.87
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_RENEWTN2 50 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for PVG_RENEWTN2 50 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for PVG_RENEWTN2 50 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 93.70 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 80.82 100.00 99.45 99.45 99.45
More than 5% 75.34 99.73 98.36 99.18 98.63 More than 5% 49.59 89.59 69.86 76.16 66.58
More than 7.5% 61.64 95.34 83.56 87.40 84.38 More than 7.5% 6.85 33.42 23.29 29.32 20.00
More than 10% 32.05 80.00 52.88 58.36 51.51 More than 10% 0.27 5.75 5.75 10.68 3.29
More than 12.5% 12.33 45.48 28.77 30.68 23.84 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.55 1.10 3.84 0.00
More than 15% 2.74 18.08 12.88 16.44 9.04 More than 15% 0.00 0.27 0.82 1.64 0.00

Daily Average 8.30 12.45 11.11 11.66 10.52 Daily Average 4.71 7.01 6.28 6.81 5.99
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for PVG_RENEWTN2 50 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for PVG_RENEWTN2 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 235 of 308
Forecast Analysis - PVG_TATA_RENEWABLE
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for PVG_TATA_RENEWABLE 400 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.22 1.27 0.96 1.18 0.46 0.0 48.82 38.18 49.07 48.74 45.44
32.5 0.36 1.58 1.23 1.62 0.59 -2.5 35.73 27.47 36.48 41.10 31.34
30.0 0.55 2.06 1.49 2.31 0.80 -5.0 26.03 21.62 27.94 32.35 22.61
27.5 0.88 2.84 1.92 3.18 1.24 -7.5 19.17 17.50 21.76 24.60 17.24
25.0 1.30 3.92 2.62 4.25 1.78 -10.0 14.27 14.47 17.32 18.50 13.23
22.5 1.97 5.40 3.72 5.65 2.63 -12.5 10.47 12.01 13.55 13.57 10.45
20.0 2.95 7.73 5.36 7.79 3.72 -15.0 7.54 9.82 10.52 10.41 8.20
17.5 4.27 10.97 7.69 10.83 5.86 -17.5 5.62 8.06 8.40 7.98 6.41
15.0 6.05 15.54 10.48 15.28 9.52 -20.0 4.21 6.35 6.61 6.13 5.01
12.5 8.72 21.49 14.10 20.62 15.29 -22.5 3.16 5.02 5.19 4.84 3.86
10.0 12.83 27.77 18.46 26.22 22.12 -25.0 2.29 3.96 4.10 3.59 2.89
7.5 19.43 34.48 23.83 31.94 29.21 -27.5 1.68 3.10 3.10 2.74 2.18
5.0 28.41 41.88 30.46 37.56 36.47 -30.0 1.16 2.39 2.47 2.08 1.55
2.5 39.24 50.80 39.72 44.22 44.21 -32.5 0.81 1.86 1.85 1.63 1.12
0.0 51.18 61.82 50.93 51.26 54.56 -35.0 0.55 1.47 1.36 1.28 0.75
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for PVG_TATA_RENEWABLE 400 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -0.07 1.30 0.04 0.52 0.66
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for PVG_TATA_RENEWABLE 400 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 236 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 74.98 78.26 76.20 85.32 75.56
5.0 54.44 63.50 58.40 69.92 59.08
70
7.5 38.59 51.98 45.59 56.54 46.45
60
% of Blocks

10.0 27.10 42.24 35.78 44.72 35.34


50 12.5 19.19 33.50 27.65 34.18 25.74
40 15.0 13.59 25.36 20.99 25.69 17.72
30 17.5 9.89 19.03 16.09 18.80 12.27
20.0 7.16 14.08 11.98 13.92 8.73
20
22.5 5.13 10.42 8.91 10.49 6.49
10 25.0 3.60 7.87 6.73 7.84 4.68
0 27.5 2.55 5.94 5.02 5.92 3.42
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 1.72 4.44 3.96 4.39 2.36
% Forecast Error
32.5 1.17 3.44 3.08 3.25 1.71
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.78 2.73 2.32 2.45 1.21
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for PVG_TATA_RENEWABLE 400 Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_TATA_RENEWABLE
MW 400 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.84 5.16 4.68 5.46 4.52
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_TATA_RENEWABLE 400 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for PVG_TATA_RENEWABLE 400 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for PVG_TATA_RENEWABLE 400 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 94.52 100.00 100.00 99.45 100.00 More than 2.5% 75.07 95.62 95.89 95.89 96.44
More than 5% 67.67 90.68 92.05 92.88 87.67 More than 5% 28.49 55.62 39.73 62.19 32.60
More than 7.5% 42.19 71.51 60.00 72.05 53.15 More than 7.5% 2.74 9.59 6.58 16.99 4.66
More than 10% 15.34 38.36 29.59 37.26 20.55 More than 10% 0.55 1.92 2.47 4.93 0.55
More than 12.5% 3.84 13.70 11.23 18.08 7.67 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.27 0.82 1.37 0.00
More than 15% 1.64 7.40 5.75 7.95 2.47 More than 15% 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.82 0.00

Daily Average 6.83 9.36 8.98 9.76 8.04 Daily Average 4.00 5.30 4.98 5.80 4.63
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for PVG_TATA_RENEWABLE 400 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for PVG_TATA_RENEWABLE 400 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 237 of 308
Forecast Analysis - PVG_YARROW
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for PVG_YARROW 50 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.33 1.37 1.14 1.60 0.60 0.0 44.68 39.06 50.99 52.24 48.70
32.5 0.42 1.78 1.37 2.25 0.85 -2.5 31.77 29.62 39.28 44.35 33.68
30.0 0.61 2.44 1.73 2.97 1.18 -5.0 24.11 23.37 30.37 35.42 25.30
27.5 0.95 3.32 2.24 3.92 1.78 -7.5 18.31 19.07 24.33 28.45 20.10
25.0 1.37 4.54 2.77 5.20 2.30 -10.0 14.36 15.90 19.59 22.70 15.94
22.5 1.96 6.10 3.55 6.66 3.26 -12.5 11.34 13.37 15.85 17.45 12.62
20.0 2.92 8.57 4.58 8.42 4.52 -15.0 8.87 11.10 12.88 13.53 10.07
17.5 4.30 11.94 6.06 10.91 6.25 -17.5 7.17 9.27 10.51 10.73 8.19
15.0 6.23 16.86 8.01 14.28 8.82 -20.0 5.71 7.77 8.35 8.37 6.38
12.5 9.30 23.02 11.07 18.72 12.26 -22.5 4.44 6.12 6.64 6.62 4.97
10.0 13.77 29.44 15.01 23.26 17.69 -25.0 3.56 4.95 5.24 5.14 3.89
7.5 19.48 35.82 20.58 28.79 24.77 -27.5 2.75 4.03 4.14 4.04 3.04
5.0 29.12 42.56 27.58 35.19 33.43 -30.0 2.10 3.14 3.24 3.08 2.33
2.5 41.53 51.18 37.39 41.15 41.34 -32.5 1.61 2.50 2.46 2.41 1.76
0.0 55.32 60.94 49.01 47.76 51.30 -35.0 1.23 1.94 1.88 1.89 1.32
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for PVG_YARROW 50 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -0.02 1.19 -0.54 -0.07 0.11
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for PVG_YARROW 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 238 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 73.30 80.79 76.68 85.50 75.02
5.0 53.24 65.93 57.95 70.60 58.73
70
7.5 37.79 54.90 44.91 57.24 44.87
60
% of Blocks

10.0 28.13 45.34 34.60 45.96 33.63


50 12.5 20.64 36.38 26.92 36.17 24.88
40 15.0 15.10 27.96 20.89 27.81 18.88
30 17.5 11.47 21.22 16.57 21.63 14.44
20.0 8.63 16.34 12.94 16.79 10.90
20
22.5 6.40 12.21 10.19 13.28 8.23
10 25.0 4.93 9.48 8.01 10.34 6.19
0 27.5 3.70 7.34 6.38 7.96 4.82
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.72 5.58 4.97 6.06 3.51
% Forecast Error
32.5 2.03 4.29 3.84 4.66 2.61
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.56 3.31 3.02 3.50 1.92

Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for PVG_YARROW 50 MW Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_YARROW 50 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 4.06 5.51 4.78 5.81 4.65
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PVG_YARROW 50 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for PVG_YARROW 50 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for PVG_YARROW 50 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 93.15 99.45 100.00 100.00 99.73 More than 2.5% 78.36 95.07 91.23 96.99 89.86
More than 5% 72.60 93.15 81.64 93.97 81.64 More than 5% 32.88 64.38 44.93 66.03 42.47
More than 7.5% 48.22 77.26 59.73 72.60 57.26 More than 7.5% 3.29 13.42 9.86 22.19 8.22
More than 10% 22.47 45.48 35.07 48.77 29.04 More than 10% 0.55 3.29 3.29 6.85 1.92
More than 12.5% 6.85 18.90 17.81 24.38 12.33 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.55 1.37 1.64 0.00
More than 15% 2.19 7.95 6.03 11.78 4.11 More than 15% 0.00 0.00 0.82 0.82 0.00

Daily Average 7.40 9.97 9.17 10.44 8.36 Daily Average 4.22 5.68 5.12 6.19 4.80
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for PVG_YARROW 50 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for PVG_YARROW 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 239 of 308
Forecast Analysis - ANP_ADANI_AP_SEVEN
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for ANP_ADANI_AP_SEVEN 250 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.57 3.06 3.25 4.22 2.58 0.0 45.64 38.54 48.45 46.58 46.98
32.5 0.80 3.49 3.76 5.19 3.02 -2.5 28.06 29.72 38.34 39.73 33.31
30.0 1.17 4.08 4.34 6.24 3.65 -5.0 20.56 24.67 30.58 32.86 25.54
27.5 1.54 4.97 5.25 7.36 4.40 -7.5 15.68 20.54 24.63 27.53 20.16
25.0 2.15 6.34 6.21 8.86 5.35 -10.0 12.18 16.92 19.95 22.25 16.56
22.5 2.79 8.25 7.19 10.79 6.51 -12.5 9.65 14.26 16.53 17.98 13.85
20.0 3.67 10.66 8.69 13.00 8.14 -15.0 7.74 12.04 13.70 14.59 11.48
17.5 4.88 13.80 10.47 15.34 10.18 -17.5 6.18 10.37 11.50 11.77 9.54
15.0 6.36 18.01 12.80 18.62 12.95 -20.0 4.96 9.01 9.79 9.63 8.15
12.5 10.15 23.37 15.82 22.65 16.67 -22.5 3.93 7.75 8.37 7.92 6.84
10.0 14.03 29.06 18.94 27.18 21.20 -25.0 3.06 6.64 7.13 6.40 5.83
7.5 18.63 36.02 23.06 34.40 27.25 -27.5 2.36 5.82 6.25 5.44 4.96
5.0 27.73 43.87 28.90 41.00 35.09 -30.0 1.77 4.99 5.33 4.64 4.15
2.5 40.12 52.59 39.06 46.99 43.21 -32.5 1.39 4.26 4.53 3.88 3.50
0.0 54.35 61.45 51.55 53.41 53.00 -35.0 1.02 3.60 3.83 3.23 2.92
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for ANP_ADANI_AP_SEVEN 250 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.24 1.27 -0.13 0.73 0.48
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for ANP_ADANI_AP_SEVEN 250 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 240 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 99.99 99.99 100.00 99.99 99.98
80 2.5 68.19 82.31 77.40 86.71 76.52
5.0 48.29 68.54 59.47 73.86 60.63
70
7.5 34.32 56.55 47.69 61.93 47.41
60
% of Blocks

10.0 26.20 45.98 38.89 49.42 37.77


50 12.5 19.80 37.64 32.35 40.63 30.52
40 15.0 14.10 30.05 26.51 33.21 24.43
30 17.5 11.06 24.17 21.97 27.11 19.72
20.0 8.63 19.67 18.49 22.63 16.29
20
22.5 6.72 16.00 15.56 18.71 13.35
10 25.0 5.21 12.98 13.34 15.26 11.18
0 27.5 3.90 10.79 11.49 12.80 9.36
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.94 9.07 9.67 10.89 7.80
% Forecast Error
32.5 2.19 7.75 8.29 9.07 6.52
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.59 6.66 7.08 7.45 5.50
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for ANP_ADANI_AP_SEVEN 250 Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_ADANI_AP_SEVEN
MW 250 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.88 6.34 5.90 6.85 5.69
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_ADANI_AP_SEVEN 250 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for ANP_ADANI_AP_SEVEN 250 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for ANP_ADANI_AP_SEVEN 250 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 87.67 100.00 99.73 100.00 99.73 More than 2.5% 73.15 99.73 90.14 98.90 91.78
More than 5% 69.86 98.08 88.49 94.79 84.11 More than 5% 29.59 57.26 53.70 68.22 49.04
More than 7.5% 43.56 80.00 68.77 75.07 62.19 More than 7.5% 4.93 21.10 22.19 35.62 18.63
More than 10% 22.47 44.93 44.38 54.25 40.00 More than 10% 0.27 10.68 11.51 16.44 9.86
More than 12.5% 10.14 27.40 27.67 37.53 23.01 More than 12.5% 0.00 7.40 7.95 9.59 6.58
More than 15% 2.19 16.16 17.53 26.03 13.97 More than 15% 0.00 4.38 4.93 4.11 3.29

Daily Average 7.21 11.44 11.19 12.10 10.14 Daily Average 3.99 6.48 6.20 7.18 5.80
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for ANP_ADANI_AP_SEVEN 250 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for ANP_ADANI_AP_SEVEN 250 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 241 of 308
Forecast Analysis - ANP_ATHENA_BHIWADI
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for ANP_ATHENA_BHIWADI 50 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.40 4.29 5.27 3.65 3.24 0.0 44.33 35.08 44.38 45.86 42.23
32.5 0.61 5.23 5.99 4.61 3.93 -2.5 31.47 25.49 34.15 38.78 28.09
30.0 0.85 6.62 6.82 5.53 4.78 -5.0 24.10 19.75 26.14 30.35 20.65
27.5 1.33 8.25 7.90 6.83 5.90 -7.5 18.67 15.69 20.66 23.75 15.96
25.0 1.87 10.28 9.00 8.38 7.28 -10.0 14.78 13.09 16.52 18.62 12.74
22.5 2.72 12.63 10.34 10.33 9.19 -12.5 11.66 10.87 13.47 14.67 10.41
20.0 4.01 16.06 12.02 13.15 11.84 -15.0 9.02 9.12 11.27 11.70 8.63
17.5 5.91 20.73 14.01 16.68 14.79 -17.5 7.07 7.63 9.33 9.17 7.13
15.0 8.68 26.79 16.55 20.78 18.32 -20.0 5.68 6.51 7.77 7.30 5.88
12.5 13.23 32.79 19.87 25.52 23.48 -22.5 4.47 5.51 6.31 5.75 4.68
10.0 19.62 38.63 24.44 31.37 30.02 -25.0 3.57 4.50 5.15 4.67 3.66
7.5 27.47 44.07 30.05 37.75 36.40 -27.5 2.88 3.58 4.23 3.68 2.76
5.0 35.68 49.73 36.79 43.01 42.69 -30.0 2.36 2.83 3.35 2.91 2.12
2.5 45.24 56.67 46.17 48.26 49.07 -32.5 1.91 2.26 2.69 2.41 1.66
0.0 55.67 64.92 55.62 54.14 57.77 -35.0 1.48 1.82 2.19 2.02 1.29
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for ANP_ATHENA_BHIWADI 50 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.41 2.86 1.46 1.36 1.97
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for ANP_ATHENA_BHIWADI 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 242 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 76.71 82.16 80.32 87.04 77.15
5.0 59.78 69.48 62.93 73.36 63.35
70
7.5 46.15 59.77 50.71 61.50 52.36
60
% of Blocks

10.0 34.40 51.72 40.96 50.00 42.76


50 12.5 24.89 43.66 33.34 40.20 33.89
40 15.0 17.70 35.90 27.82 32.48 26.94
30 17.5 12.98 28.37 23.34 25.85 21.92
20.0 9.70 22.57 19.79 20.45 17.72
20
22.5 7.18 18.13 16.66 16.08 13.87
10 25.0 5.44 14.78 14.15 13.05 10.94
0 27.5 4.21 11.83 12.13 10.51 8.67
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 3.22 9.45 10.17 8.43 6.90
% Forecast Error
32.5 2.52 7.49 8.68 7.03 5.59
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.88 6.10 7.46 5.67 4.54
Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_ATHENA_BHIWADI 50
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for ANP_ATHENA_BHIWADI 50 MW MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 4.59 6.56 6.26 6.43 5.83
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_ATHENA_BHIWADI 50 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for ANP_ATHENA_BHIWADI 50 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for ANP_ATHENA_BHIWADI 50 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 96.16 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 88.22 99.73 96.16 100.00 99.18
More than 5% 82.74 96.99 91.23 98.08 94.79 More than 5% 42.47 76.16 61.37 71.23 58.90
More than 7.5% 57.53 89.86 73.42 82.19 72.05 More than 7.5% 6.30 29.32 26.30 29.04 21.10
More than 10% 27.95 61.92 53.70 55.34 47.40 More than 10% 0.27 9.32 11.51 12.60 7.40
More than 12.5% 10.14 35.07 34.79 32.33 26.58 More than 12.5% 0.00 3.29 6.85 3.01 2.19
More than 15% 2.19 19.73 23.84 19.45 13.70 More than 15% 0.00 0.27 4.11 1.64 1.10

Daily Average 8.23 11.86 12.01 11.61 10.50 Daily Average 4.73 6.72 6.58 6.83 5.97
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for ANP_ATHENA_BHIWADI 50 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for ANP_ATHENA_BHIWADI 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 243 of 308
Forecast Analysis - ANP_ATHENA_HISAR
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for ANP_ATHENA_HISAR 50 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.40 3.40 4.17 4.33 2.56 0.0 45.80 36.35 46.79 48.92 45.59
32.5 0.60 4.38 4.89 5.39 3.24 -2.5 32.33 26.64 36.46 42.10 31.99
30.0 0.84 5.68 5.76 6.47 4.16 -5.0 24.65 21.05 27.45 34.57 22.92
27.5 1.16 7.29 6.71 7.75 5.19 -7.5 18.96 16.86 21.25 28.49 17.54
25.0 1.74 9.26 7.83 9.47 6.51 -10.0 14.87 13.77 16.66 22.83 13.55
22.5 2.56 11.67 9.12 11.36 7.99 -12.5 11.67 11.27 13.30 18.45 10.72
20.0 3.72 14.90 10.67 13.84 10.12 -15.0 9.17 9.44 10.57 14.88 8.67
17.5 5.36 18.80 12.67 16.90 13.06 -17.5 7.21 7.85 8.77 12.00 7.06
15.0 7.95 24.13 15.17 20.69 16.40 -20.0 5.76 6.49 7.16 9.95 5.76
12.5 11.88 30.18 18.40 25.07 20.89 -22.5 4.45 5.42 5.87 8.23 4.62
10.0 17.24 36.50 22.55 29.49 27.31 -25.0 3.60 4.49 4.75 6.47 3.71
7.5 25.47 42.36 28.06 35.69 33.91 -27.5 2.88 3.63 3.77 5.30 2.84
5.0 33.48 47.88 34.25 40.69 39.92 -30.0 2.35 2.99 3.08 4.29 2.24
2.5 43.66 54.69 43.81 45.68 45.91 -32.5 1.91 2.45 2.46 3.59 1.76
0.0 54.20 63.65 53.21 51.08 54.41 -35.0 1.50 2.01 2.00 2.97 1.35
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for ANP_ATHENA_HISAR 50 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.20 2.41 0.99 0.72 1.44
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for ANP_ATHENA_HISAR 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 244 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 75.99 81.33 80.27 87.78 77.90
5.0 58.13 68.93 61.70 75.26 62.84
70
7.5 44.44 59.23 49.31 64.18 51.45
60
% of Blocks

10.0 32.10 50.27 39.21 52.32 40.86


50 12.5 23.54 41.45 31.69 43.52 31.61
40 15.0 17.12 33.57 25.74 35.57 25.07
30 17.5 12.57 26.66 21.44 28.90 20.12
20.0 9.48 21.39 17.83 23.79 15.88
20
22.5 7.02 17.09 14.99 19.59 12.61
10 25.0 5.34 13.75 12.58 15.94 10.21
0 27.5 4.03 10.92 10.48 13.05 8.04
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 3.19 8.68 8.84 10.76 6.40
% Forecast Error
32.5 2.50 6.82 7.35 8.97 5.00
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.91 5.41 6.18 7.30 3.91
Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_ATHENA_HISAR 50
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for ANP_ATHENA_HISAR 50 MW MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 4.47 6.28 5.79 7.01 5.56
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_ATHENA_HISAR 50 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for ANP_ATHENA_HISAR 50 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for ANP_ATHENA_HISAR 50 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 97.26 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 86.85 99.18 97.53 99.18 99.45
More than 5% 80.55 97.53 90.14 97.26 94.25 More than 5% 39.73 73.42 56.16 77.53 55.34
More than 7.5% 53.97 84.66 69.86 84.11 68.22 More than 7.5% 5.21 26.58 26.30 39.18 19.18
More than 10% 27.67 59.45 49.59 65.21 43.84 More than 10% 0.55 7.40 9.04 16.16 5.21
More than 12.5% 10.41 33.15 32.88 43.29 26.30 More than 12.5% 0.00 1.37 3.01 6.30 0.00
More than 15% 3.01 18.08 21.37 23.84 12.88 More than 15% 0.00 0.27 1.37 1.92 0.00

Daily Average 8.10 11.43 11.13 12.59 10.02 Daily Average 4.62 6.45 6.11 7.40 5.70
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for ANP_ATHENA_HISAR 50 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for ANP_ATHENA_HISAR 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 245 of 308
Forecast Analysis - ANP_ATHENA_KARNAL
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for ANP_ATHENA_KARNAL 50 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.44 3.88 4.21 3.92 2.61 0.0 45.23 34.36 48.37 46.27 43.68
32.5 0.66 4.85 4.93 4.88 3.22 -2.5 31.81 25.21 38.29 39.09 29.30
30.0 0.88 6.21 5.59 5.90 3.91 -5.0 24.31 19.82 29.34 30.42 21.26
27.5 1.23 7.66 6.41 7.14 4.95 -7.5 19.06 15.62 22.57 23.68 16.09
25.0 1.79 9.59 7.39 8.89 6.26 -10.0 14.61 12.86 17.69 18.39 12.69
22.5 2.61 11.82 8.68 10.96 8.04 -12.5 11.44 10.78 14.32 14.53 10.34
20.0 3.67 15.11 10.12 13.22 10.14 -15.0 9.01 9.08 11.55 11.63 8.35
17.5 5.21 19.63 12.09 16.74 12.80 -17.5 7.31 7.62 9.46 9.37 6.95
15.0 7.83 25.37 14.59 20.34 16.23 -20.0 5.80 6.24 7.89 7.24 5.66
12.5 11.85 31.53 17.38 24.83 20.69 -22.5 4.61 5.20 6.48 5.75 4.46
10.0 17.33 37.69 21.37 29.80 26.82 -25.0 3.69 4.37 5.48 4.55 3.51
7.5 25.69 43.28 26.46 36.46 34.51 -27.5 2.99 3.51 4.55 3.63 2.85
5.0 33.68 49.43 32.64 42.56 40.99 -30.0 2.41 2.78 3.54 2.92 2.21
2.5 43.96 56.70 42.21 47.69 47.60 -32.5 1.94 2.25 2.85 2.38 1.76
0.0 54.77 65.64 51.63 53.73 56.32 -35.0 1.51 1.76 2.32 1.97 1.33
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for ANP_ATHENA_KARNAL 50 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.22 2.71 0.66 1.32 1.58
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for ANP_ATHENA_KARNAL 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 246 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 99.99 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 75.78 81.91 80.50 86.78 76.89
5.0 57.99 69.24 61.99 72.98 62.25
70
7.5 44.75 58.90 49.03 60.14 50.60
60
% of Blocks

10.0 31.94 50.55 39.06 48.19 39.52


50 12.5 23.29 42.32 31.70 39.36 31.03
40 15.0 16.84 34.46 26.13 31.97 24.58
30 17.5 12.52 27.26 21.55 26.10 19.75
20.0 9.48 21.35 18.01 20.46 15.80
20
22.5 7.22 17.01 15.15 16.70 12.50
10 25.0 5.49 13.97 12.87 13.44 9.78
0 27.5 4.22 11.17 10.96 10.77 7.80
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 3.29 8.99 9.12 8.82 6.12
% Forecast Error
32.5 2.60 7.10 7.79 7.26 4.98
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.95 5.64 6.53 5.89 3.95
Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_ATHENA_KARNAL 50
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for ANP_ATHENA_KARNAL 50 MW MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 4.48 6.35 5.82 6.39 5.47
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_ATHENA_KARNAL 50 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for ANP_ATHENA_KARNAL 50 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for ANP_ATHENA_KARNAL 50 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 96.44 99.73 99.73 100.00 99.73 More than 2.5% 87.95 99.18 95.62 99.45 97.81
More than 5% 81.10 96.44 88.49 96.16 91.23 More than 5% 40.55 74.52 56.16 70.41 55.34
More than 7.5% 54.25 86.03 69.59 80.82 67.40 More than 7.5% 5.21 27.40 27.12 30.68 19.45
More than 10% 29.86 59.18 49.32 55.62 43.01 More than 10% 0.82 8.22 8.77 11.23 4.66
More than 12.5% 10.68 33.70 35.62 35.07 24.93 More than 12.5% 0.27 3.29 3.29 3.01 0.27
More than 15% 2.74 15.62 22.19 21.37 11.51 More than 15% 0.00 0.27 1.10 1.10 0.00

Daily Average 8.13 11.52 11.19 11.63 9.89 Daily Average 4.62 6.52 6.14 6.79 5.61
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for ANP_ATHENA_KARNAL 50 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for ANP_ATHENA_KARNAL 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 247 of 308
Forecast Analysis - ANP_AYANA
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for ANP_AYANA 250 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.70 0.91 0.61 1.55 0.29 0.0 46.41 40.18 52.41 54.82 51.05
32.5 0.86 1.23 0.86 2.01 0.47 -2.5 26.39 30.49 41.18 48.86 37.52
30.0 1.13 1.75 1.15 2.57 0.68 -5.0 19.16 24.10 33.17 40.43 28.52
27.5 1.49 2.51 1.50 3.55 1.09 -7.5 14.47 19.42 26.64 33.69 22.39
25.0 2.16 3.74 2.13 4.94 1.60 -10.0 11.34 15.88 21.40 27.30 17.57
22.5 2.85 5.57 2.84 6.58 2.38 -12.5 8.85 13.22 17.17 22.15 14.17
20.0 3.94 7.79 3.92 8.47 3.52 -15.0 6.97 11.06 13.86 18.11 11.51
17.5 5.15 10.82 5.40 10.87 5.17 -17.5 5.65 9.35 11.42 14.73 9.51
15.0 6.94 14.94 7.37 13.56 7.28 -20.0 4.41 7.83 9.44 11.91 7.74
12.5 10.16 20.48 9.93 16.84 10.59 -22.5 3.54 6.51 7.57 9.57 6.23
10.0 15.86 27.04 13.52 21.01 15.82 -25.0 2.78 5.30 6.13 7.67 4.92
7.5 24.03 34.83 18.73 26.74 23.70 -27.5 2.16 4.48 4.91 6.03 3.95
5.0 31.14 42.63 26.64 34.59 33.13 -30.0 1.68 3.61 3.98 4.70 3.10
2.5 42.02 51.19 36.11 40.09 40.43 -32.5 1.28 2.97 3.19 3.61 2.48
0.0 53.59 59.82 47.59 45.18 48.94 -35.0 1.03 2.37 2.62 2.83 2.02
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for ANP_AYANA 250 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.61 0.92 -1.02 -0.84 -0.40
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for ANP_AYANA 250 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 248 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 99.99
80 2.5 68.41 81.68 77.29 88.95 77.95
5.0 50.31 66.73 59.81 75.02 61.65
70
7.5 38.50 54.26 45.37 60.42 46.09
60
% of Blocks

10.0 27.20 42.92 34.92 48.31 33.39


50 12.5 19.01 33.69 27.10 38.99 24.76
40 15.0 13.91 26.00 21.23 31.66 18.79
30 17.5 10.80 20.17 16.82 25.61 14.68
20.0 8.36 15.62 13.36 20.38 11.26
20
22.5 6.39 12.07 10.41 16.15 8.61
10 25.0 4.93 9.04 8.26 12.61 6.53
0 27.5 3.65 6.99 6.40 9.58 5.03
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.81 5.37 5.12 7.28 3.77
% Forecast Error
32.5 2.13 4.20 4.05 5.61 2.95
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.72 3.29 3.23 4.38 2.31

Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for ANP_AYANA 250 MW Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_AYANA 250 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 4.27 5.46 4.86 6.30 4.79
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_AYANA 250 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for ANP_AYANA 250 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for ANP_AYANA 250 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 95.62 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 86.85 98.90 90.96 99.18 93.97
More than 5% 75.07 96.71 82.74 96.16 82.19 More than 5% 33.97 57.26 46.30 64.93 42.74
More than 7.5% 49.59 75.62 61.10 76.16 53.70 More than 7.5% 4.11 13.70 12.33 32.05 10.68
More than 10% 26.85 40.82 36.16 50.41 31.51 More than 10% 0.00 2.19 3.56 11.78 2.47
More than 12.5% 10.41 18.08 18.63 30.96 13.42 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.82 0.82 4.11 0.27
More than 15% 1.64 10.96 9.32 18.90 6.58 More than 15% 0.00 0.27 0.55 1.37 0.00

Daily Average 7.79 9.95 9.31 11.14 8.53 Daily Average 4.39 5.61 5.18 6.68 4.91
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for ANP_AYANA 250 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for ANP_AYANA 250 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 249 of 308
Forecast Analysis - ANP_AZURE
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for ANP_AZURE 50 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.23 1.46 3.29 2.75 1.31 0.0 47.75 39.62 55.31 48.95 48.41
32.5 0.40 1.89 3.86 3.60 1.78 -2.5 27.52 27.69 42.42 38.44 31.18
30.0 0.64 2.54 4.43 4.55 2.42 -5.0 19.53 21.31 32.91 28.42 22.07
27.5 1.02 3.63 5.18 5.59 3.09 -7.5 14.58 17.23 26.08 21.15 16.30
25.0 1.40 5.22 6.02 6.82 3.84 -10.0 11.04 14.41 20.72 15.61 12.82
22.5 1.93 7.31 7.00 8.29 4.91 -12.5 8.31 12.17 16.40 11.83 10.04
20.0 2.73 9.50 8.10 10.17 6.44 -15.0 6.58 10.24 13.09 9.08 7.98
17.5 3.86 11.88 9.63 12.40 8.62 -17.5 5.21 8.54 10.05 6.98 6.26
15.0 5.44 15.25 11.59 15.19 11.28 -20.0 4.23 6.97 7.70 5.38 4.95
12.5 8.25 20.17 13.92 19.14 14.67 -22.5 3.32 5.73 6.13 4.06 3.81
10.0 12.51 26.36 16.85 23.97 18.74 -25.0 2.56 4.63 4.74 3.17 2.85
7.5 18.18 33.33 20.63 29.56 24.53 -27.5 1.94 3.74 3.69 2.53 1.98
5.0 25.58 41.00 25.55 35.48 31.77 -30.0 1.49 2.96 2.82 1.94 1.50
2.5 36.98 49.26 33.03 42.19 40.25 -32.5 1.09 2.32 2.09 1.45 1.00
0.0 52.25 60.38 44.69 51.05 51.59 -35.0 0.80 1.83 1.59 1.17 0.75
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for ANP_AZURE 50 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.16 1.19 -0.15 0.89 0.69
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for ANP_AZURE 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 250 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 64.50 76.95 75.45 80.63 71.43
5.0 45.11 62.31 58.45 63.89 53.84
70
7.5 32.77 50.56 46.71 50.71 40.82
60
% of Blocks

10.0 23.55 40.78 37.57 39.58 31.56


50 12.5 16.56 32.34 30.32 30.97 24.71
40 15.0 12.01 25.49 24.68 24.27 19.26
30 17.5 9.07 20.43 19.67 19.38 14.88
20.0 6.96 16.48 15.80 15.55 11.39
20
22.5 5.25 13.04 13.13 12.34 8.71
10 25.0 3.96 9.85 10.76 9.99 6.70
0 27.5 2.96 7.37 8.87 8.12 5.07
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.13 5.51 7.25 6.49 3.92
% Forecast Error
32.5 1.48 4.21 5.96 5.05 2.78
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.04 3.29 4.88 3.92 2.07

Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for ANP_AZURE 50 MW Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_AZURE 50 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.53 5.19 5.33 5.29 4.49
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_AZURE 50 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for ANP_AZURE 50 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for ANP_AZURE 50 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 86.58 96.99 96.16 100.00 95.89 More than 2.5% 69.59 90.68 89.59 93.15 82.19
More than 5% 67.12 87.67 86.58 88.22 78.36 More than 5% 21.10 53.42 50.68 50.96 36.44
More than 7.5% 37.81 72.60 67.12 63.56 52.88 More than 7.5% 0.82 11.51 16.44 18.08 10.14
More than 10% 16.44 42.47 43.29 40.27 29.32 More than 10% 0.00 1.64 7.67 6.03 1.37
More than 12.5% 4.11 20.82 24.66 21.92 11.78 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.27 2.47 1.92 0.00
More than 15% 0.55 8.22 15.34 12.05 6.03 More than 15% 0.00 0.00 1.37 1.10 0.00

Daily Average 6.60 9.57 10.28 9.80 8.17 Daily Average 3.57 5.25 5.53 5.56 4.53
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for ANP_AZURE 50 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for ANP_AZURE 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 251 of 308
Forecast Analysis - ANP_IGS1
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for ANP_IGS1 50 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.68 2.28 4.24 2.60 2.14 0.0 51.24 39.64 52.29 49.93 47.95
32.5 0.87 2.75 4.78 3.25 2.57 -2.5 29.47 29.42 39.91 42.11 32.82
30.0 1.20 3.44 5.47 4.33 3.13 -5.0 20.53 23.12 30.43 32.78 23.27
27.5 1.65 4.45 6.25 5.38 3.89 -7.5 15.64 18.19 24.14 25.56 17.49
25.0 2.14 5.75 7.05 6.84 4.88 -10.0 11.87 14.79 19.01 19.74 13.85
22.5 2.89 7.50 8.01 8.62 6.17 -12.5 9.12 12.44 15.14 14.90 11.03
20.0 3.88 9.95 9.26 10.63 7.85 -15.0 6.92 10.48 11.96 11.55 8.91
17.5 5.22 12.82 10.59 13.02 9.97 -17.5 5.53 8.66 9.78 9.14 7.24
15.0 7.09 16.96 12.30 16.00 12.62 -20.0 4.53 7.06 8.03 7.15 5.84
12.5 9.89 22.67 14.78 20.02 15.80 -22.5 3.64 5.88 6.76 5.52 4.63
10.0 13.75 29.03 17.78 24.60 20.54 -25.0 2.89 4.88 5.66 4.46 3.65
7.5 18.77 35.38 22.71 29.81 26.78 -27.5 2.29 3.90 4.63 3.59 2.88
5.0 25.64 42.50 28.65 36.56 34.08 -30.0 1.83 3.17 3.61 2.83 2.27
2.5 34.97 50.51 36.89 43.05 41.88 -32.5 1.41 2.49 2.83 2.21 1.68
0.0 48.76 60.36 47.71 50.07 52.05 -35.0 1.11 1.99 2.22 1.79 1.38
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for ANP_IGS1 50 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.14 1.36 0.33 0.52 0.79
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for ANP_IGS1 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 252 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 64.44 79.93 76.80 85.16 74.71
5.0 46.17 65.63 59.08 69.34 57.35
70
7.5 34.40 53.56 46.85 55.38 44.28
60
% of Blocks

10.0 25.62 43.83 36.78 44.34 34.39


50 12.5 19.01 35.11 29.91 34.92 26.83
40 15.0 14.01 27.44 24.26 27.55 21.53
30 17.5 10.76 21.48 20.37 22.16 17.21
20.0 8.42 17.01 17.29 17.78 13.69
20
22.5 6.53 13.38 14.77 14.14 10.80
10 25.0 5.04 10.63 12.70 11.30 8.53
0 27.5 3.94 8.35 10.87 8.97 6.77
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 3.03 6.60 9.07 7.16 5.40
% Forecast Error
32.5 2.27 5.24 7.60 5.46 4.25
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.78 4.27 6.46 4.39 3.52

Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for ANP_IGS1 50 MW Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_IGS1 50 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.95 5.55 5.69 5.82 4.99
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_IGS1 50 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for ANP_IGS1 50 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for ANP_IGS1 50 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 88.49 99.45 99.73 100.00 99.18 More than 2.5% 74.79 95.62 92.05 94.52 88.49
More than 5% 71.78 93.42 85.75 90.14 82.19 More than 5% 32.60 59.45 51.51 63.56 46.58
More than 7.5% 48.22 72.88 67.12 72.60 60.00 More than 7.5% 3.01 18.08 24.38 23.01 13.97
More than 10% 24.93 45.75 47.40 50.68 38.63 More than 10% 0.00 3.29 9.32 8.49 3.29
More than 12.5% 9.32 24.93 30.68 27.12 19.45 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.55 5.75 2.47 0.00
More than 15% 1.37 11.78 19.45 13.70 10.96 More than 15% 0.00 0.00 2.74 1.10 0.00

Daily Average 7.42 10.19 11.14 10.61 9.15 Daily Average 4.04 5.68 5.97 6.16 5.09
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for ANP_IGS1 50 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for ANP_IGS1 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 253 of 308
Forecast Analysis - ANP_IGS2
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for ANP_IGS2 50 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.70 2.99 3.97 3.43 2.29 0.0 48.40 37.59 49.09 47.47 44.72
32.5 0.93 3.58 4.62 4.20 2.79 -2.5 27.53 27.90 37.93 40.42 30.77
30.0 1.32 4.36 5.21 5.24 3.44 -5.0 19.09 21.73 29.95 32.33 22.58
27.5 1.70 5.41 5.88 6.39 4.34 -7.5 14.50 17.35 24.14 25.76 17.60
25.0 2.21 6.96 6.67 8.02 5.38 -10.0 11.01 14.36 19.49 20.15 13.88
22.5 3.05 8.83 7.73 9.95 6.63 -12.5 8.48 12.11 15.66 15.53 10.97
20.0 4.23 11.28 9.03 12.27 8.25 -15.0 6.48 10.03 12.69 11.92 8.96
17.5 5.71 14.56 10.52 15.24 10.48 -17.5 5.19 8.44 10.36 9.30 7.19
15.0 7.73 18.94 12.54 18.92 13.67 -20.0 4.16 6.92 8.36 7.14 5.88
12.5 10.77 24.62 15.18 23.32 17.68 -22.5 3.40 5.77 6.84 5.77 4.78
10.0 14.95 31.46 19.08 28.53 23.09 -25.0 2.65 4.78 5.65 4.70 3.76
7.5 20.46 38.37 24.01 34.21 30.29 -27.5 2.17 3.91 4.49 3.59 2.95
5.0 27.86 45.04 30.50 40.50 38.07 -30.0 1.63 3.16 3.66 2.89 2.31
2.5 37.53 53.08 39.56 46.36 45.50 -32.5 1.28 2.57 2.90 2.35 1.77
0.0 51.60 62.41 50.90 52.53 55.28 -35.0 1.01 2.06 2.33 1.83 1.31
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for ANP_IGS2 50 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.44 1.81 0.34 0.98 1.11
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for ANP_IGS2 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 254 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 99.99 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 65.06 80.98 77.49 86.77 76.27
5.0 46.95 66.77 60.45 72.83 60.65
70
7.5 34.96 55.72 48.15 59.97 47.89
60
% of Blocks

10.0 25.96 45.81 38.58 48.68 36.97


50 12.5 19.25 36.73 30.85 38.86 28.65
40 15.0 14.21 28.97 25.23 30.84 22.63
30 17.5 10.90 23.00 20.89 24.54 17.67
20.0 8.39 18.21 17.39 19.41 14.12
20
22.5 6.45 14.60 14.57 15.72 11.40
10 25.0 4.86 11.74 12.31 12.72 9.14
0 27.5 3.87 9.32 10.37 9.98 7.28
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.95 7.52 8.87 8.13 5.75
% Forecast Error
32.5 2.21 6.15 7.52 6.55 4.56
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.71 5.04 6.30 5.27 3.60

Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for ANP_IGS2 50 MW Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_IGS2 50 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.99 5.83 5.65 6.28 5.19
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_IGS2 50 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for ANP_IGS2 50 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for ANP_IGS2 50 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 89.59 99.45 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 75.62 96.99 91.78 98.08 93.70
More than 5% 71.23 93.70 87.40 96.71 85.75 More than 5% 35.62 62.47 55.34 66.30 46.85
More than 7.5% 49.86 74.52 69.86 73.42 60.27 More than 7.5% 4.66 22.19 23.29 29.32 16.71
More than 10% 24.93 50.68 47.95 50.41 38.08 More than 10% 0.00 5.48 8.77 12.60 4.66
More than 12.5% 9.86 27.12 29.04 31.51 22.19 More than 12.5% 0.00 2.19 4.66 4.38 0.82
More than 15% 2.19 15.34 20.27 18.90 10.41 More than 15% 0.00 0.55 2.47 1.37 0.00

Daily Average 7.39 10.62 10.98 11.30 9.37 Daily Average 4.10 5.98 5.95 6.66 5.31
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for ANP_IGS2 50 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for ANP_IGS2 50 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 255 of 308
Forecast Analysis - ANP_NTPC
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for ANP_NTPC 250 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.04 0.23 0.21 0.47 0.02 0.0 58.28 41.45 62.39 57.63 55.39
32.5 0.06 0.33 0.27 0.81 0.06 -2.5 42.35 27.11 43.47 43.61 33.09
30.0 0.10 0.49 0.40 1.29 0.08 -5.0 29.32 20.07 29.45 32.52 21.47
27.5 0.18 0.67 0.54 1.92 0.18 -7.5 19.72 15.55 20.81 24.11 15.33
25.0 0.31 0.91 0.81 2.77 0.36 -10.0 12.67 12.46 15.23 17.96 11.05
22.5 0.55 1.37 1.19 3.91 0.67 -12.5 8.05 9.78 11.29 13.39 8.17
20.0 0.92 2.23 1.66 5.45 1.26 -15.0 5.03 7.65 8.22 9.95 5.98
17.5 1.64 3.77 2.33 7.33 2.07 -17.5 3.52 5.88 6.09 7.38 4.34
15.0 2.87 6.66 3.38 9.46 3.35 -20.0 2.40 4.53 4.57 5.31 3.15
12.5 5.40 10.45 4.97 12.64 5.34 -22.5 1.54 3.53 3.40 3.40 2.24
10.0 9.29 16.97 7.43 16.05 8.64 -25.0 1.06 2.55 2.47 2.17 1.53
7.5 15.32 26.24 10.79 20.36 13.22 -27.5 0.74 1.79 1.82 1.42 0.90
5.0 22.16 35.71 16.33 25.96 20.12 -30.0 0.46 1.22 1.19 0.96 0.60
2.5 31.03 45.94 24.27 33.24 30.45 -32.5 0.35 0.86 0.74 0.73 0.32
0.0 41.70 58.55 37.61 42.37 44.60 -35.0 0.21 0.59 0.45 0.48 0.18
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for ANP_NTPC 250 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -0.63 0.58 -1.09 -0.37 -0.36
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for ANP_NTPC 250 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 256 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 99.98 100.00 100.00 100.00 99.99
80 2.5 73.39 73.06 67.74 76.86 63.54
5.0 51.48 55.78 45.78 58.47 41.59
70
7.5 35.04 41.79 31.60 44.47 28.55
60
% of Blocks

10.0 21.96 29.43 22.67 34.01 19.69


50 12.5 13.45 20.22 16.27 26.04 13.51
40 15.0 7.90 14.31 11.60 19.41 9.33
30 17.5 5.16 9.66 8.42 14.71 6.41
20.0 3.31 6.77 6.23 10.76 4.41
20
22.5 2.09 4.89 4.58 7.31 2.92
10 25.0 1.37 3.47 3.28 4.94 1.89
0 27.5 0.92 2.45 2.36 3.34 1.08
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 0.56 1.71 1.59 2.25 0.68
% Forecast Error
32.5 0.41 1.19 1.01 1.54 0.37
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.26 0.82 0.66 0.95 0.20

Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for ANP_NTPC 250 MW Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_NTPC 250 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.50 3.86 3.41 4.40 3.12
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_NTPC 250 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for ANP_NTPC 250 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for ANP_NTPC 250 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 95.62 97.53 95.34 99.73 87.40 More than 2.5% 79.18 88.22 71.78 86.85 64.93
More than 5% 63.84 75.62 63.56 79.45 54.79 More than 5% 17.26 21.64 16.71 36.71 12.33
More than 7.5% 26.03 36.99 31.51 51.78 25.75 More than 7.5% 0.00 3.56 2.19 7.12 0.27
More than 10% 3.01 14.25 12.33 24.38 6.58 More than 10% 0.00 0.27 0.55 1.92 0.00
More than 12.5% 0.27 4.66 4.66 9.86 1.10 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.82 0.00
More than 15% 0.00 1.10 1.10 2.47 0.00 More than 15% 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.82 0.00

Daily Average 5.98 6.98 6.55 8.06 5.64 Daily Average 3.65 4.03 3.69 4.73 3.27
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for ANP_NTPC 250 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for ANP_NTPC 250 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 257 of 308
Forecast Analysis - ANP_SPRNG_AGNITRA
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for ANP_SPRNG_AGNITRA 250 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.24 1.51 1.60 2.48 0.99 0.0 44.11 45.54 60.24 47.30 52.41
32.5 0.41 1.92 1.90 3.22 1.30 -2.5 28.09 34.45 49.35 36.56 35.83
30.0 0.64 2.33 2.29 4.18 1.70 -5.0 21.69 27.20 38.08 26.98 26.31
27.5 0.97 2.88 2.69 5.36 2.17 -7.5 17.09 21.53 30.15 20.49 20.11
25.0 1.43 3.76 3.19 6.85 2.79 -10.0 13.66 17.41 23.68 15.99 15.82
22.5 2.21 5.02 3.85 8.46 3.66 -12.5 10.74 14.47 18.89 12.77 12.62
20.0 3.36 6.63 4.79 10.43 4.87 -15.0 8.42 11.91 15.47 10.19 10.32
17.5 5.02 9.11 5.97 13.06 6.65 -17.5 6.71 10.08 12.68 8.22 8.54
15.0 7.77 12.07 7.46 16.31 8.79 -20.0 5.12 8.47 10.33 6.57 6.99
12.5 12.29 16.07 9.70 20.30 11.56 -22.5 3.85 6.97 8.35 5.31 5.72
10.0 18.53 21.18 12.65 25.06 15.25 -25.0 3.00 5.88 6.91 4.24 4.54
7.5 25.99 27.16 16.08 30.86 21.34 -27.5 2.28 4.87 5.64 3.53 3.55
5.0 35.05 34.35 21.38 37.61 28.75 -30.0 1.79 3.95 4.60 2.90 2.74
2.5 45.26 43.65 29.47 44.81 37.22 -32.5 1.36 3.17 3.80 2.39 2.21
0.0 55.88 54.46 39.76 52.69 47.58 -35.0 0.98 2.53 3.12 1.94 1.75
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for ANP_SPRNG_AGNITRA 250 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 0.53 0.19 -1.51 0.92 -0.19
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for ANP_SPRNG_AGNITRA 250 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 258 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 99.98 99.99 100.00 99.99 99.99
80 2.5 73.35 78.09 78.82 81.37 73.05
5.0 56.73 61.54 59.46 64.59 55.06
70
7.5 43.07 48.68 46.23 51.35 41.45
60
% of Blocks

10.0 32.19 38.60 36.33 41.04 31.07


50 12.5 23.03 30.54 28.59 33.08 24.18
40 15.0 16.18 23.98 22.93 26.50 19.11
30 17.5 11.73 19.19 18.64 21.28 15.19
20.0 8.48 15.10 15.12 17.01 11.87
20
22.5 6.06 12.00 12.20 13.76 9.37
10 25.0 4.42 9.65 10.10 11.09 7.33
0 27.5 3.25 7.75 8.33 8.89 5.71
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.43 6.28 6.90 7.08 4.44
% Forecast Error
32.5 1.77 5.09 5.69 5.60 3.50
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.22 4.04 4.73 4.42 2.74
Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_SPRNG_AGNITRA 250
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for ANP_SPRNG_AGNITRA 250 MW MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 4.42 5.21 5.27 5.58 4.67
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_SPRNG_AGNITRA 250 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for ANP_SPRNG_AGNITRA 250 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for ANP_SPRNG_AGNITRA 250 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 97.81 98.90 99.73 99.73 96.71 More than 2.5% 86.03 93.42 90.41 93.15 87.40
More than 5% 81.64 88.22 85.21 86.03 78.90 More than 5% 39.45 50.68 51.51 56.16 40.55
More than 7.5% 53.15 67.67 64.66 64.38 56.16 More than 7.5% 4.11 14.25 15.89 23.29 9.86
More than 10% 23.84 39.45 45.21 43.84 31.23 More than 10% 0.27 3.29 6.30 6.85 3.29
More than 12.5% 7.40 21.10 22.74 27.67 15.07 More than 12.5% 0.00 1.64 2.47 3.29 1.37
More than 15% 0.55 10.14 10.68 15.62 5.75 More than 15% 0.00 0.55 1.92 1.37 0.00

Daily Average 7.81 9.63 9.96 10.25 8.45 Daily Average 4.54 5.36 5.57 5.96 4.79
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for ANP_SPRNG_AGNITRA 250 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for ANP_SPRNG_AGNITRA 250 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 259 of 308
Forecast Analysis - ANP_TATA_RENEWABLE
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for ANP_TATA_RENEWABLE 100 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.38 0.75 2.25 2.76 0.73 0.0 54.49 41.30 57.32 52.99 50.24
32.5 0.50 1.05 2.78 3.45 1.04 -2.5 39.78 29.59 44.31 44.37 33.51
30.0 0.68 1.52 3.24 4.31 1.50 -5.0 30.42 22.40 32.64 33.70 23.39
27.5 1.10 2.12 3.75 5.43 2.03 -7.5 22.59 17.66 25.52 25.65 17.58
25.0 1.61 2.95 4.35 6.73 2.81 -10.0 16.51 14.32 19.87 19.47 13.57
22.5 2.14 4.40 5.15 8.18 3.86 -12.5 11.96 11.79 15.55 14.50 10.67
20.0 3.04 6.45 6.28 9.94 5.14 -15.0 8.60 9.66 12.54 10.72 8.52
17.5 4.44 9.66 7.52 12.24 6.99 -17.5 6.53 8.00 10.13 8.07 6.66
15.0 6.40 13.61 9.17 14.83 9.20 -20.0 5.08 6.56 8.21 6.13 5.28
12.5 8.97 18.91 11.15 18.28 12.49 -22.5 3.87 5.41 6.61 4.65 3.86
10.0 12.91 25.40 13.71 22.79 16.75 -25.0 3.02 4.28 5.34 3.52 2.97
7.5 18.32 32.44 17.44 28.36 22.81 -27.5 2.25 3.45 4.17 2.76 2.31
5.0 25.72 40.08 22.78 34.51 30.31 -30.0 1.69 2.74 3.27 2.19 1.78
2.5 34.93 48.52 30.35 40.29 38.53 -32.5 1.31 2.20 2.51 1.76 1.36
0.0 45.51 58.70 42.68 47.01 49.76 -35.0 0.97 1.62 1.97 1.42 1.02
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for ANP_TATA_RENEWABLE 100 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -0.51 0.92 -0.67 0.41 0.26
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for ANP_TATA_RENEWABLE 100 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 260 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 74.71 78.11 74.66 84.67 72.04
5.0 56.14 62.48 55.42 68.22 53.70
70
7.5 40.91 50.10 42.96 54.01 40.39
60
% of Blocks

10.0 29.42 39.71 33.58 42.26 30.31


50 12.5 20.93 30.70 26.70 32.78 23.17
40 15.0 15.00 23.27 21.71 25.55 17.73
30 17.5 10.97 17.66 17.66 20.30 13.65
20.0 8.12 13.00 14.49 16.07 10.42
20
22.5 6.01 9.81 11.76 12.82 7.72
10 25.0 4.64 7.23 9.70 10.25 5.78
0 27.5 3.34 5.57 7.93 8.19 4.34
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.37 4.26 6.51 6.49 3.28
% Forecast Error
32.5 1.82 3.25 5.29 5.21 2.41
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.35 2.37 4.22 4.18 1.76
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for ANP_TATA_RENEWABLE 100 Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_TATA_RENEWABLE
MW 100 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 4.14 4.94 4.97 5.62 4.37
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for ANP_TATA_RENEWABLE 100 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for ANP_TATA_RENEWABLE 100 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for ANP_TATA_RENEWABLE 100 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 95.07 98.63 98.63 99.73 95.89 More than 2.5% 79.73 93.70 86.03 92.88 81.37
More than 5% 72.88 91.23 80.55 87.40 76.44 More than 5% 30.41 45.48 46.03 55.07 37.26
More than 7.5% 48.22 64.38 61.92 65.21 51.51 More than 7.5% 5.48 7.95 16.99 22.74 9.32
More than 10% 21.92 35.07 43.29 43.01 25.21 More than 10% 0.27 1.10 3.84 8.49 0.55
More than 12.5% 9.04 14.79 24.38 23.84 12.05 More than 12.5% 0.00 0.27 0.82 3.84 0.00
More than 15% 1.64 5.75 14.25 15.62 4.11 More than 15% 0.00 0.27 0.55 0.82 0.00

Daily Average 7.38 9.02 9.71 10.10 7.92 Daily Average 4.23 5.04 5.20 5.91 4.45
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for ANP_TATA_RENEWABLE 100 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for ANP_TATA_RENEWABLE 100 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 261 of 308
Forecast Analysis - TUTICORIN_BETAM_WIND
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for TUTICORIN_BETAM_WIND 220 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.94 1.62 1.13 4.22 0.91 0.0 61.49 60.25 64.52 59.93 62.40
32.5 1.17 2.19 1.44 5.17 1.29 -2.5 49.24 47.32 52.91 52.70 52.65
30.0 1.47 2.98 1.82 6.20 1.81 -5.0 35.79 37.37 40.96 43.14 40.46
27.5 1.93 3.85 2.29 7.58 2.49 -7.5 25.24 29.67 31.50 34.72 30.96
25.0 2.51 4.86 2.79 8.99 3.41 -10.0 17.72 23.26 24.07 28.27 23.75
22.5 3.20 6.23 3.55 10.69 4.49 -12.5 12.38 18.47 18.38 23.45 18.34
20.0 4.09 7.76 4.58 12.39 6.01 -15.0 8.27 14.86 14.03 19.73 14.59
17.5 5.59 9.47 6.10 14.36 7.99 -17.5 5.60 12.01 10.84 16.89 11.55
15.0 7.38 11.72 7.98 16.77 10.23 -20.0 4.10 9.71 8.28 14.66 9.06
12.5 9.87 14.28 10.37 19.41 12.95 -22.5 2.97 7.89 6.41 12.75 7.21
10.0 13.37 17.24 13.43 22.50 16.27 -25.0 2.16 6.29 4.99 11.22 5.66
7.5 18.25 21.25 17.19 26.06 20.29 -27.5 1.58 5.09 3.90 9.85 4.51
5.0 23.63 26.05 22.06 30.18 25.03 -30.0 1.14 4.02 3.10 8.69 3.55
2.5 30.59 31.74 27.88 34.50 30.87 -32.5 0.83 3.26 2.44 7.73 2.69
0.0 38.51 39.75 35.48 40.07 37.60 -35.0 0.61 2.53 1.96 6.68 2.08
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for TUTICORIN_BETAM_WIND 220 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -1.35 -1.86 -2.97 -2.55 -2.44
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for TUTICORIN_BETAM_WIND 220 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 262 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 79.84 79.06 80.79 87.21 83.52
5.0 59.42 63.42 63.03 73.33 65.49
70
7.5 43.49 50.92 48.69 60.78 51.24
60
% of Blocks

10.0 31.10 40.50 37.50 50.77 40.03


50 12.5 22.24 32.74 28.75 42.86 31.29
40 15.0 15.65 26.58 22.01 36.50 24.82
30 17.5 11.19 21.48 16.94 31.26 19.54
20.0 8.19 17.47 12.86 27.06 15.07
20
22.5 6.17 14.12 9.96 23.44 11.70
10 25.0 4.67 11.15 7.78 20.20 9.06
0 27.5 3.51 8.94 6.19 17.42 6.99
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.61 7.00 4.92 14.88 5.36
% Forecast Error
32.5 2.00 5.44 3.88 12.90 3.98
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.55 4.16 3.09 10.90 2.99
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for TUTICORIN_BETAM_WIND 220 Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN_BETAM_WIND
MW 220 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 8.60 10.96 10.05 14.95 10.67
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN_BETAM_WIND 220 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for TUTICORIN_BETAM_WIND 220 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for TUTICORIN_BETAM_WIND 220 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 100.00 99.18 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 99.73 98.63 99.73 99.73 99.73
More than 5% 97.53 97.26 99.45 99.45 98.36 More than 5% 89.86 90.14 95.07 94.52 92.88
More than 7.5% 78.08 82.19 88.77 91.23 84.93 More than 7.5% 57.26 68.22 67.95 79.18 66.58
More than 10% 54.25 69.04 67.67 75.89 65.21 More than 10% 30.68 50.14 45.75 60.27 45.75
More than 12.5% 35.89 54.79 49.59 61.37 47.95 More than 12.5% 11.23 33.42 24.66 46.30 31.23
More than 15% 15.07 42.19 31.51 50.41 33.15 More than 15% 3.84 21.37 11.78 37.81 17.81

Daily Average 11.07 14.05 13.24 18.15 13.21 Daily Average 8.60 10.99 10.22 15.04 10.67
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for TUTICORIN_BETAM_WIND 220 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for TUTICORIN_BETAM_WIND 220 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 263 of 308
Forecast Analysis - TUTICORIN_GIREL
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for TUTICORIN_GIREL 250MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.60 4.71 1.25 5.95 1.72 0.0 62.38 54.97 58.27 55.02 57.60
32.5 0.85 5.47 1.61 7.13 2.34 -2.5 53.31 44.11 44.53 47.42 47.11
30.0 1.13 6.43 2.18 8.45 3.11 -5.0 41.08 36.68 33.48 39.42 36.75
27.5 1.53 7.55 2.82 9.93 4.24 -7.5 28.32 30.52 25.76 32.46 28.35
25.0 2.03 8.87 3.67 11.68 5.64 -10.0 18.32 25.78 19.59 26.60 21.96
22.5 2.59 10.60 4.67 13.56 7.36 -12.5 11.55 21.88 15.13 22.19 17.06
20.0 3.44 12.66 5.95 15.76 9.55 -15.0 7.33 18.33 11.60 18.50 13.35
17.5 4.47 15.20 7.55 18.11 11.89 -17.5 5.13 15.22 8.87 15.93 10.53
15.0 5.92 18.03 9.76 20.90 14.51 -20.0 3.55 12.77 6.85 13.57 8.17
12.5 8.06 21.15 12.55 24.10 17.52 -22.5 2.47 10.64 5.25 11.89 6.48
10.0 11.90 24.57 16.27 27.45 21.20 -25.0 1.74 8.87 4.04 10.41 4.98
7.5 18.34 28.40 21.17 31.31 25.59 -27.5 1.24 7.38 3.05 9.14 3.84
5.0 23.98 32.89 26.88 35.54 30.43 -30.0 0.89 6.20 2.33 7.98 2.90
2.5 30.13 38.38 33.67 39.84 35.93 -32.5 0.64 5.13 1.79 6.90 2.15
0.0 37.62 45.03 41.73 44.98 42.40 -35.0 0.51 4.33 1.31 5.97 1.62
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for TUTICORIN_GIREL 250MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -1.82 -0.25 -1.03 -0.27 -0.53
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for TUTICORIN_GIREL 250MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 264 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 83.44 82.49 78.20 87.26 83.04
5.0 65.06 69.56 60.37 74.97 67.18
70
7.5 46.66 58.92 46.94 63.76 53.95
60
% of Blocks

10.0 30.22 50.34 35.86 54.05 43.16


50 12.5 19.61 43.03 27.68 46.29 34.58
40 15.0 13.25 36.36 21.36 39.41 27.86
30 17.5 9.60 30.41 16.42 34.05 22.41
20.0 6.99 25.44 12.80 29.33 17.72
20
22.5 5.06 21.24 9.91 25.45 13.83
10 25.0 3.77 17.74 7.71 22.09 10.63
0 27.5 2.78 14.93 5.86 19.08 8.09
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.02 12.63 4.50 16.43 6.01
% Forecast Error
32.5 1.49 10.60 3.40 14.03 4.49
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.11 9.04 2.56 11.93 3.33

Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for TUTICORIN_GIREL 250MW Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN_GIREL 250MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 8.53 14.53 9.67 15.45 11.33
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN_GIREL 250MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for TUTICORIN_GIREL 250MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for TUTICORIN_GIREL 250MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 100.00 99.45 99.73 99.73 100.00
More than 5% 99.73 98.08 96.99 98.90 97.81 More than 5% 95.07 93.97 89.86 95.62 93.42
More than 7.5% 81.10 92.05 84.11 91.78 86.30 More than 7.5% 58.90 82.74 68.49 80.82 72.60
More than 10% 51.23 83.01 69.04 78.90 71.23 More than 10% 25.75 66.03 42.19 67.67 51.51
More than 12.5% 26.58 70.14 48.49 69.32 54.25 More than 12.5% 8.22 49.86 23.01 53.15 33.70
More than 15% 12.33 55.07 29.59 56.44 37.26 More than 15% 2.47 34.52 9.04 42.19 21.10

Daily Average 10.65 17.99 12.75 18.85 13.89 Daily Average 8.54 14.55 9.85 15.63 11.33
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for TUTICORIN_GIREL 250MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for TUTICORIN_GIREL 250MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 265 of 308
Forecast Analysis - TUTICORIN_GRTJIPL
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for TUTICORIN_GRTJIPL 150 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.41 3.18 3.58 4.58 2.24 0.0 50.45 60.33 59.27 52.13 59.37
32.5 0.54 3.62 4.45 5.56 2.64 -2.5 31.81 50.47 49.62 40.11 44.54
30.0 0.72 4.27 5.36 6.71 3.22 -5.0 24.04 44.38 41.55 34.74 37.21
27.5 0.92 5.08 6.62 8.08 3.98 -7.5 18.48 38.77 35.50 31.03 32.22
25.0 1.19 5.95 7.89 9.77 4.93 -10.0 14.71 33.85 30.55 28.00 27.92
22.5 1.59 7.08 9.43 11.68 5.98 -12.5 11.69 29.44 26.34 25.34 24.14
20.0 2.13 8.52 11.22 13.92 7.26 -15.0 9.19 25.11 22.76 22.81 20.98
17.5 2.82 10.29 12.90 16.31 8.89 -17.5 7.18 21.12 19.42 20.72 18.02
15.0 4.10 12.69 14.84 18.74 11.27 -20.0 5.72 17.60 16.55 18.88 15.43
12.5 6.40 15.53 17.17 21.76 13.98 -22.5 4.43 14.73 14.08 17.10 12.94
10.0 10.17 18.99 20.07 25.39 17.15 -25.0 3.51 12.40 11.75 15.62 10.79
7.5 16.03 22.92 23.27 30.01 21.04 -27.5 2.80 10.33 9.87 14.29 8.71
5.0 24.03 26.81 27.06 34.94 25.35 -30.0 2.17 8.79 8.13 13.05 6.99
2.5 34.85 32.03 32.72 40.67 31.39 -32.5 1.68 7.41 6.79 11.69 5.61
0.0 49.55 39.67 40.73 47.87 40.63 -35.0 1.30 6.25 5.64 10.30 4.60
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for TUTICORIN_GRTJIPL 150 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -0.46 -2.06 -1.50 -1.14 -1.69
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for TUTICORIN_GRTJIPL 150 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 266 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 66.66 82.50 82.34 80.78 75.93
5.0 48.07 71.19 68.61 69.68 62.56
70
7.5 34.51 61.70 58.76 61.03 53.27
60
% of Blocks

10.0 24.88 52.84 50.61 53.39 45.07


50 12.5 18.09 44.97 43.51 47.09 38.12
40 15.0 13.30 37.81 37.60 41.55 32.25
30 17.5 10.00 31.41 32.32 37.03 26.91
20.0 7.85 26.12 27.76 32.80 22.68
20
22.5 6.02 21.81 23.51 28.78 18.92
10 25.0 4.70 18.36 19.65 25.39 15.72
0 27.5 3.72 15.42 16.49 22.36 12.69
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.89 13.06 13.50 19.76 10.20
% Forecast Error
32.5 2.21 11.04 11.24 17.25 8.25
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.70 9.43 9.23 14.88 6.84
Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN_GRTJIPL 150
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for TUTICORIN_GRTJIPL 150 MW MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 3.82 7.28 7.26 8.44 6.54
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN_GRTJIPL 150 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for TUTICORIN_GRTJIPL 150 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for TUTICORIN_GRTJIPL 150 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 97.26 99.73 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 78.63 98.90 96.99 99.73 98.36
More than 5% 73.70 98.08 93.97 98.36 95.34 More than 5% 22.47 74.79 71.51 79.45 62.74
More than 7.5% 43.56 85.48 83.01 88.22 76.99 More than 7.5% 3.56 37.81 42.74 53.42 29.86
More than 10% 19.18 65.21 65.48 73.70 53.42 More than 10% 0.27 17.81 18.90 32.33 14.25
More than 12.5% 6.58 45.48 47.40 58.36 34.79 More than 12.5% 0.00 7.95 10.96 18.63 7.12
More than 15% 3.01 27.12 28.22 45.21 20.82 More than 15% 0.00 3.56 4.93 9.86 3.84

Daily Average 7.31 13.06 13.03 15.34 11.70 Daily Average 3.91 7.40 7.47 8.70 6.63
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for TUTICORIN_GRTJIPL 150 MW Table 6: MAPEE Statistics for TUTICORIN_GRTJIPL 150 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 267 of 308
Forecast Analysis - TUTICORIN_JSW_RE_TWO
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for TUTICORIN_JSW_RE_TWO 27 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5
35.0 4.45 6.46 6.83 6.36 0.0 68.77 43.21 46.77 45.21
32.5 5.32 7.95 8.28 7.73 -2.5 65.00 34.26 37.81 36.13
30.0 6.36 10.03 9.90 9.58 -5.0 60.73 27.70 31.45 29.16
27.5 7.43 12.27 11.50 11.48 -7.5 55.61 22.94 26.38 24.11
25.0 8.70 14.50 13.70 13.97 -10.0 49.96 18.39 21.89 19.79
22.5 10.01 17.14 16.15 16.30 -12.5 44.03 14.69 18.19 16.10
20.0 11.51 20.20 18.82 19.05 -15.0 35.69 11.68 15.14 13.05
17.5 13.37 23.34 21.64 21.93 -17.5 30.07 9.37 12.41 10.67
15.0 15.30 26.70 24.53 25.21 -20.0 26.08 7.35 10.47 8.59
12.5 17.20 30.55 28.10 29.00 -22.5 22.50 5.93 8.56 6.92
10.0 19.36 35.03 32.31 33.33 -25.0 19.30 4.79 6.91 5.39
7.5 21.94 39.76 36.60 38.15 -27.5 16.53 3.65 5.59 4.30
5.0 24.70 44.89 41.67 43.08 -30.0 14.00 2.82 4.42 3.27
2.5 27.87 50.69 47.11 48.82 -32.5 11.60 2.12 3.49 2.41
0.0 31.23 56.79 53.23 54.79 -35.0 9.89 1.61 2.62 1.82
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for TUTICORIN_JSW_RE_TWO 27 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5
Average -2.48 1.49 1.00 1.26
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for TUTICORIN_JSW_RE_TWO 27 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 268 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Specified Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 92.87 84.94 84.92 84.96
5.0 85.43 72.59 73.12 72.24
70
7.5 77.56 62.70 62.98 62.26
60
% of Blocks

10.0 69.32 53.42 54.20 53.12


50 12.5 61.22 45.23 46.29 45.10
40 15.0 50.99 38.38 39.67 38.26
30 17.5 43.43 32.71 34.05 32.59
20.0 37.58 27.54 29.28 27.64
20
22.5 32.51 23.07 24.71 23.22
10 25.0 28.00 19.29 20.61 19.37
0 27.5 23.96 15.93 17.09 15.78
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 20.37 12.85 14.32 12.85
% Forecast Error
32.5 16.92 10.07 11.77 10.14
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5
35.0 14.34 8.07 9.45 8.18
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for TUTICORIN_JSW_RE_TWO 27 Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN_JSW_RE_TWO
MW 27 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5
Average 6.08 4.41 4.52 4.43
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN_JSW_RE_TWO 27 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for TUTICORIN_JSW_RE_TWO 27 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for TUTICORIN_JSW_RE_TWO 27 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 31.78 31.78 31.78 31.78
More than 5% 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 5% 31.78 31.23 31.23 31.51
More than 7.5% 100.00 96.55 98.28 97.41 More than 7.5% 31.78 29.04 30.14 29.86
More than 10% 99.14 94.83 94.83 93.97 More than 10% 30.96 25.48 26.85 25.48
More than 12.5% 96.55 86.21 92.24 87.93 More than 12.5% 27.40 22.19 23.84 22.19
More than 15% 81.90 75.86 82.76 76.72 More than 15% 22.19 14.52 15.62 14.25

Daily Average 22.89 19.26 20.61 19.35 Daily Average 6.08 4.74 5.08 4.75
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for TUTICORIN_JSW_RE_TWO 27 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for TUTICORIN_JSW_RE_TWO 27 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 269 of 308
Forecast Analysis - TUTICORIN_MYTRAH
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for TUTICORIN_MYTRAH 250 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.37 0.83 0.73 3.14 0.65 0.0 63.37 58.78 63.79 58.72 61.45
32.5 0.48 1.15 0.90 3.87 0.88 -2.5 52.32 39.98 46.57 46.87 45.36
30.0 0.67 1.66 1.17 4.74 1.21 -5.0 40.05 29.38 32.45 36.87 32.04
27.5 0.97 2.33 1.59 5.71 1.82 -7.5 25.61 21.72 23.30 29.91 23.42
25.0 1.32 3.23 2.12 6.99 2.56 -10.0 15.26 16.70 17.08 24.23 17.80
22.5 1.90 4.40 2.92 8.47 3.60 -12.5 9.61 12.89 12.34 20.37 13.34
20.0 2.68 5.88 3.82 10.34 5.03 -15.0 5.48 9.73 9.21 17.29 9.78
17.5 3.63 7.78 5.16 12.38 6.71 -17.5 3.54 7.60 6.81 14.78 7.44
15.0 5.16 9.99 6.96 15.02 8.89 -20.0 2.37 5.83 5.16 12.69 5.71
12.5 7.45 12.71 9.36 17.92 11.67 -22.5 1.59 4.51 3.88 11.10 4.29
10.0 11.42 16.05 12.54 21.34 15.04 -25.0 1.13 3.35 2.94 9.72 3.13
7.5 16.36 20.54 16.67 25.34 19.24 -27.5 0.81 2.50 2.14 8.40 2.13
5.0 22.09 26.01 21.74 29.65 24.35 -30.0 0.57 1.86 1.53 7.37 1.46
2.5 28.73 32.59 28.13 34.81 30.76 -32.5 0.40 1.39 1.04 6.49 0.93
0.0 36.63 41.22 36.21 41.28 38.55 -35.0 0.29 1.04 0.73 5.42 0.63
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for TUTICORIN_MYTRAH 250 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -1.59 -0.55 -1.61 -1.75 -1.16
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for TUTICORIN_MYTRAH 250 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 270 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 81.05 72.58 74.69 81.68 76.12
5.0 62.14 55.39 54.20 66.52 56.38
70
7.5 41.97 42.26 39.97 55.25 42.66
60
% of Blocks

10.0 26.68 32.75 29.62 45.58 32.83


50 12.5 17.06 25.60 21.70 38.29 25.01
40 15.0 10.64 19.72 16.18 32.31 18.67
30 17.5 7.17 15.37 11.96 27.17 14.16
20.0 5.06 11.70 8.99 23.02 10.75
20
22.5 3.49 8.91 6.80 19.56 7.89
10 25.0 2.44 6.58 5.05 16.71 5.69
0 27.5 1.78 4.83 3.73 14.10 3.95
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 1.24 3.52 2.70 12.11 2.67
% Forecast Error
32.5 0.88 2.55 1.95 10.36 1.81
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.67 1.87 1.46 8.56 1.28
Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN_MYTRAH 250
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for TUTICORIN_MYTRAH 250 MW MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 7.26 8.83 8.23 12.84 8.78
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN_MYTRAH 250 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for TUTICORIN_MYTRAH 250 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for TUTICORIN_MYTRAH 250 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 98.90 99.45 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 96.16 98.08 100.00 99.18 100.00
More than 5% 93.97 90.68 92.33 95.07 90.14 More than 5% 82.74 80.55 83.01 87.95 81.64
More than 7.5% 73.15 76.44 76.99 83.01 73.42 More than 7.5% 46.30 57.26 52.88 66.85 53.97
More than 10% 36.99 61.64 55.62 69.86 52.05 More than 10% 14.79 34.25 27.12 51.23 32.60
More than 12.5% 15.89 41.37 33.97 51.78 36.44 More than 12.5% 4.11 18.90 12.88 37.81 19.45
More than 15% 5.48 23.01 18.36 42.19 20.27 More than 15% 1.10 9.04 3.56 31.23 10.41

Daily Average 9.38 11.66 11.01 15.83 11.11 Daily Average 7.40 8.84 8.38 12.96 8.78
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for TUTICORIN_MYTRAH 250 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for TUTICORIN_MYTRAH 250 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 271 of 308
Forecast Analysis - TUTICORIN_NTPC_ETTAYAPUAM
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for TUTICORIN_NTPC_ETTAYAPUAM 230 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5
35.0 0.42 2.74 0.68 0.54 0.0 62.25 44.99 66.08 55.18
32.5 0.47 3.16 0.86 0.76 -2.5 51.03 33.60 54.79 40.81
30.0 0.49 3.71 1.11 1.19 -5.0 41.73 26.77 42.65 31.21
27.5 0.66 4.27 1.34 1.83 -7.5 34.41 22.09 34.86 24.98
25.0 1.00 5.10 1.66 2.35 -10.0 28.80 18.61 27.69 20.81
22.5 1.38 6.23 2.10 3.04 -12.5 23.59 15.78 22.23 17.32
20.0 1.82 7.78 2.63 3.86 -15.0 19.33 13.02 18.47 14.05
17.5 2.56 9.74 3.49 5.26 -17.5 16.07 11.01 15.22 11.47
15.0 3.54 12.77 5.09 7.07 -20.0 13.13 9.26 12.55 9.42
12.5 5.67 17.37 7.19 10.11 -22.5 11.05 7.55 10.25 7.91
10.0 9.66 22.69 9.70 14.12 -25.0 9.30 6.42 8.71 6.48
7.5 15.63 28.67 12.90 19.21 -27.5 8.17 5.09 7.23 5.49
5.0 22.23 35.50 16.80 25.44 -30.0 6.77 4.19 5.83 4.74
2.5 29.45 44.55 23.91 33.75 -32.5 5.53 3.57 5.01 3.99
0.0 37.75 55.01 33.92 44.82 -35.0 4.85 2.99 4.23 3.21
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for TUTICORIN_NTPC_ETTAYAPUAM 230 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5
Average -0.78 0.13 -0.83 -0.34
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for TUTICORIN_NTPC_ETTAYAPUAM 230 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 272 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Specified Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 80.48 78.14 78.70 74.56
5.0 63.96 62.27 59.45 56.65
70
7.5 50.05 50.76 47.76 44.19
60
% of Blocks

10.0 38.47 41.30 37.39 34.94


50 12.5 29.26 33.15 29.42 27.43
40 15.0 22.87 25.80 23.56 21.12
30 17.5 18.63 20.75 18.71 16.72
20.0 14.95 17.04 15.18 13.28
20
22.5 12.43 13.78 12.35 10.95
10 25.0 10.31 11.53 10.37 8.83
0 27.5 8.83 9.36 8.57 7.32
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 7.26 7.90 6.94 5.93
% Forecast Error
32.5 6.01 6.74 5.87 4.76
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5
35.0 5.27 5.73 4.91 3.75
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for
TUTICORIN_NTPC_ETTAYAPUAM 230 MW TUTICORIN_NTPC_ETTAYAPUAM 230 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5
Average 1.69 1.70 1.65 1.51
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN_NTPC_ETTAYAPUAM 230 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for TUTICORIN_NTPC_ETTAYAPUAM 230 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for TUTICORIN_NTPC_ETTAYAPUAM 230 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 28.49 28.77 29.86 28.49
More than 5% 88.29 90.99 93.69 88.29 More than 5% 13.15 16.99 12.60 10.96
More than 7.5% 60.36 71.17 63.06 63.06 More than 7.5% 4.66 4.93 3.84 2.47
More than 10% 33.33 45.95 33.33 29.73 More than 10% 2.47 1.10 1.92 0.82
More than 12.5% 19.82 27.03 19.82 13.51 More than 12.5% 1.37 0.82 1.64 0.82
More than 15% 11.71 12.61 10.81 6.31 More than 15% 1.10 0.82 1.37 0.82

Daily Average 10.93 11.34 12.42 10.57 Daily Average 1.72 1.73 1.82 1.54
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for TUTICORIN_NTPC_ETTAYAPUAM 230 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for TUTICORIN_NTPC_ETTAYAPUAM 230 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 273 of 308
Forecast Analysis - TUTICORIN_ORANGE
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for TUTICORIN_ORANGE 200 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.17 8.10 1.10 4.48 2.42 0.0 61.69 53.55 60.18 57.28 58.51
32.5 1.49 9.10 1.47 5.52 3.17 -2.5 53.99 44.11 49.19 49.29 49.65
30.0 1.94 10.32 1.98 6.71 4.04 -5.0 45.93 36.92 36.88 40.87 38.61
27.5 2.55 11.57 2.62 8.12 5.29 -7.5 36.56 31.63 27.45 33.33 29.81
25.0 3.38 13.28 3.41 9.79 6.72 -10.0 19.44 27.38 20.65 27.00 23.22
22.5 4.48 15.11 4.39 11.69 8.44 -12.5 14.12 23.58 15.09 22.30 18.29
20.0 5.94 17.15 5.62 13.71 10.38 -15.0 9.04 20.20 11.14 18.81 14.31
17.5 7.68 19.42 7.31 15.91 12.55 -17.5 6.61 17.47 8.35 15.92 11.15
15.0 9.79 22.09 9.53 18.56 15.14 -20.0 4.87 15.19 6.23 13.65 8.79
12.5 12.57 24.93 12.23 21.59 17.93 -22.5 3.62 13.39 4.58 11.96 6.85
10.0 15.92 28.16 15.89 24.98 21.21 -25.0 2.70 11.56 3.31 10.35 5.32
7.5 19.91 31.75 20.53 28.70 25.22 -27.5 1.93 10.03 2.43 8.97 4.16
5.0 24.94 36.00 25.91 32.94 30.09 -30.0 1.37 8.69 1.78 7.75 3.11
2.5 31.36 40.76 32.23 37.48 35.42 -32.5 0.97 7.54 1.35 6.72 2.35
0.0 38.31 46.45 39.82 42.72 41.49 -35.0 0.72 6.53 0.96 5.81 1.79
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for TUTICORIN_ORANGE 200 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -1.77 0.59 -1.37 -1.26 -0.68
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for TUTICORIN_ORANGE 200 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 274 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 85.36 84.87 81.42 86.77 85.06
5.0 70.87 72.92 62.79 73.81 68.70
70
7.5 56.48 63.37 47.99 62.03 55.03
60
% of Blocks

10.0 35.35 55.55 36.54 51.98 44.43


50 12.5 26.69 48.51 27.32 43.89 36.22
40 15.0 18.83 42.28 20.67 37.37 29.45
30 17.5 14.29 36.88 15.66 31.82 23.71
20.0 10.81 32.34 11.85 27.36 19.17
20
22.5 8.10 28.51 8.97 23.65 15.30
10 25.0 6.09 24.84 6.71 20.14 12.04
0 27.5 4.48 21.59 5.05 17.09 9.45
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 3.32 19.01 3.76 14.46 7.15
% Forecast Error
32.5 2.46 16.64 2.81 12.25 5.52
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.89 14.62 2.06 10.29 4.20
Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN_ORANGE 200
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for TUTICORIN_ORANGE 200 MW MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 9.99 17.40 9.60 14.66 11.82
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for TUTICORIN_ORANGE 200 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for TUTICORIN_ORANGE 200 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for TUTICORIN_ORANGE 200 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
More than 5% 99.73 98.90 98.36 99.18 98.63 More than 5% 97.81 94.25 93.42 94.25 93.15
More than 7.5% 89.86 91.78 86.03 89.32 85.48 More than 7.5% 75.89 81.64 70.14 80.00 71.51
More than 10% 65.48 82.74 67.67 76.99 67.67 More than 10% 45.75 69.04 43.84 66.30 49.86
More than 12.5% 46.58 73.15 48.77 66.85 53.15 More than 12.5% 18.63 57.26 20.82 47.40 34.79
More than 15% 23.84 64.38 27.67 53.15 37.53 More than 15% 7.67 44.11 6.58 39.18 25.75

Daily Average 12.39 21.16 12.63 18.01 14.38 Daily Average 9.99 17.44 9.80 14.87 11.82
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for TUTICORIN_ORANGE 200 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for TUTICORIN_ORANGE 200 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 275 of 308
Forecast Analysis - NTPC_RGDM_FSP
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for NTPC_RGDM_FSP 100 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 3.09 1.55 1.28 5.17 0.85 0.0 52.34 51.09 59.44 41.52 52.54
32.5 3.45 1.86 1.66 6.25 1.22 -2.5 34.17 38.23 46.63 30.05 34.55
30.0 4.14 2.33 2.18 7.70 1.59 -5.0 25.31 28.10 36.27 22.56 25.17
27.5 4.79 2.83 2.91 9.58 2.18 -7.5 19.66 20.25 28.36 17.90 18.73
25.0 5.74 3.46 3.69 11.46 2.87 -10.0 16.27 15.52 21.40 14.94 14.48
22.5 6.77 4.15 4.66 13.52 3.84 -12.5 13.71 12.53 16.10 12.62 11.64
20.0 7.87 5.25 6.02 15.69 4.87 -15.0 11.72 10.61 12.40 10.83 9.31
17.5 9.39 6.67 7.60 18.74 6.25 -17.5 10.23 8.98 9.75 9.45 7.32
15.0 10.93 8.40 10.06 22.25 8.28 -20.0 8.88 7.77 7.75 8.02 5.90
12.5 12.86 10.76 13.15 26.30 10.69 -22.5 7.87 6.82 6.52 6.97 4.89
10.0 15.70 14.42 16.70 30.67 13.93 -25.0 6.88 5.86 5.42 6.20 4.09
7.5 19.20 19.56 20.04 36.32 18.50 -27.5 5.89 5.13 4.48 5.40 3.34
5.0 23.95 26.62 24.81 43.05 25.47 -30.0 5.02 4.51 3.85 4.82 2.93
2.5 31.08 35.78 31.42 50.49 34.33 -32.5 4.29 3.99 3.30 4.22 2.56
0.0 47.64 48.90 40.56 58.48 47.46 -35.0 3.74 3.53 2.95 3.69 2.32
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for NTPC_RGDM_FSP 100 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -0.35 -0.80 -1.41 1.85 -0.49
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for NTPC_RGDM_FSP 100 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 276 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 99.98 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 65.24 74.01 78.04 80.53 68.89
5.0 49.25 54.73 61.08 65.61 50.64
70
7.5 38.86 39.81 48.40 54.22 37.23
60
% of Blocks

10.0 31.97 29.94 38.11 45.61 28.41


50 12.5 26.57 23.29 29.26 38.92 22.32
40 15.0 22.65 19.01 22.46 33.08 17.59
30 17.5 19.62 15.65 17.35 28.18 13.57
20.0 16.74 13.03 13.77 23.71 10.78
20
22.5 14.64 10.97 11.19 20.49 8.73
10 25.0 12.62 9.32 9.11 17.66 6.96
0 27.5 10.68 7.96 7.39 14.98 5.52
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 9.15 6.85 6.03 12.52 4.52
% Forecast Error
32.5 7.75 5.85 4.96 10.47 3.79
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 6.83 5.07 4.23 8.86 3.18

Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for NTPC_RGDM_FSP 100 MW Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for NTPC_RGDM_FSP 100 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 5.24 4.98 5.59 6.57 4.56
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for NTPC_RGDM_FSP 100 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for NTPC_RGDM_FSP 100 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for NTPC_RGDM_FSP 100 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 80.49 96.43 100.00 99.18 92.03 More than 2.5% 66.30 70.96 91.51 90.14 67.12
More than 5% 62.91 61.26 84.07 84.62 63.74 More than 5% 43.29 38.36 40.82 65.48 33.70
More than 7.5% 51.65 44.23 54.40 72.53 44.23 More than 7.5% 25.48 15.89 16.16 43.56 11.51
More than 10% 39.56 34.62 33.79 59.62 26.92 More than 10% 14.52 5.48 5.48 17.26 3.56
More than 12.5% 28.57 20.33 20.33 48.08 14.84 More than 12.5% 6.30 3.84 3.29 5.75 2.47
More than 15% 20.60 11.81 9.62 35.71 6.59 More than 15% 3.84 2.74 2.74 2.74 2.19

Daily Average 9.63 9.01 10.14 12.35 8.09 Daily Average 5.36 5.15 5.85 6.94 4.67
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for NTPC_RGDM_FSP 100 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for NTPC_RGDM_FSP 100 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 277 of 308
Forecast Analysis - NTPC_SIMHADRI_FSP
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for NTPC_SIMHADRI_FSP 25 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 4.20 34.24 29.58 29.14 29.69 0.0 54.34 16.33 22.37 27.87 24.20
32.5 4.70 36.52 31.86 31.37 31.97 -2.5 43.70 11.06 15.53 20.51 16.03
30.0 5.26 38.84 34.15 33.67 34.18 -5.0 35.72 9.47 13.56 16.71 13.87
27.5 5.92 41.15 36.65 36.23 36.71 -7.5 29.03 8.23 11.96 14.26 12.32
25.0 6.85 43.59 39.17 38.65 38.94 -10.0 23.98 7.24 10.74 12.49 10.87
22.5 7.87 46.01 41.54 41.10 41.43 -12.5 20.72 6.32 9.81 11.36 9.75
20.0 9.01 48.70 44.09 43.72 43.79 -15.0 18.18 5.63 8.99 10.36 8.80
17.5 10.49 51.39 46.41 46.22 46.14 -17.5 16.17 5.15 8.31 9.44 8.01
15.0 12.48 55.00 49.21 48.81 48.71 -20.0 14.62 4.57 7.68 8.71 7.55
12.5 14.73 58.86 52.29 51.72 51.82 -22.5 13.04 4.24 7.14 7.90 7.15
10.0 17.65 63.24 55.85 54.94 55.22 -25.0 11.77 3.84 6.62 7.11 6.76
7.5 21.80 67.27 59.97 58.24 59.16 -27.5 10.54 3.40 6.18 6.45 6.45
5.0 27.22 71.92 64.83 62.23 63.48 -30.0 9.62 3.00 5.78 5.84 5.98
2.5 35.08 77.72 70.97 66.57 68.93 -32.5 8.61 2.55 5.41 5.36 5.44
0.0 45.63 83.66 77.63 72.12 75.80 -35.0 7.74 2.17 5.08 4.99 4.72
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for NTPC_SIMHADRI_FSP 25 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -1.33 11.27 8.65 7.78 9.35
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for NTPC_SIMHADRI_FSP 25 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 278 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 99.97 99.99 99.99 99.99 99.99
80 2.5 78.78 88.78 86.50 87.08 84.96
5.0 62.94 81.38 78.39 78.94 77.35
70
7.5 50.83 75.51 71.93 72.50 71.48
60
% of Blocks

10.0 41.63 70.48 66.59 67.43 66.09


50 12.5 35.45 65.17 62.10 63.08 61.56
40 15.0 30.66 60.62 58.20 59.18 57.51
30 17.5 26.66 56.54 54.72 55.65 54.15
20.0 23.63 53.27 51.77 52.42 51.34
20
22.5 20.91 50.25 48.68 48.99 48.58
10 25.0 18.62 47.43 45.78 45.76 45.70
0 27.5 16.46 44.55 42.83 42.68 43.16
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 14.88 41.84 39.93 39.51 40.16
% Forecast Error
32.5 13.30 39.08 37.27 36.73 37.41
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 11.94 36.41 34.66 34.13 34.42
Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for NTPC_SIMHADRI_FSP 25
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for NTPC_SIMHADRI_FSP 25 MW MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 7.08 13.49 13.47 13.64 13.24
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for NTPC_SIMHADRI_FSP 25 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for NTPC_SIMHADRI_FSP 25 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for NTPC_SIMHADRI_FSP 25 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 96.16 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 More than 2.5% 85.21 99.73 99.18 100.00 99.45
More than 5% 81.10 100.00 99.45 99.73 99.45 More than 5% 55.89 95.89 96.16 93.97 95.62
More than 7.5% 63.56 97.81 97.53 97.26 97.81 More than 7.5% 35.34 84.93 90.41 83.84 86.85
More than 10% 52.05 95.62 95.34 92.88 94.25 More than 10% 21.37 72.33 81.92 68.49 73.15
More than 12.5% 41.37 88.22 92.60 86.03 92.33 More than 12.5% 15.34 61.64 66.85 56.71 58.36
More than 15% 31.78 80.82 89.59 77.81 84.93 More than 15% 7.40 42.74 33.70 37.53 36.16

Daily Average 12.93 23.76 24.45 24.06 23.08 Daily Average 7.22 13.80 13.70 13.94 13.32
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for NTPC_SIMHADRI_FSP 25 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for NTPC_SIMHADRI_FSP 25 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 279 of 308
Forecast Analysis - PGLR_SREPL
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for PGLR_SREPL 300 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.70 0.78 1.41 3.20 0.97 0.0 63.28 67.56 59.22 58.56 62.57
32.5 0.89 1.07 1.70 3.99 1.27 -2.5 49.47 47.25 40.07 46.58 44.76
30.0 1.11 1.37 2.15 5.04 1.66 -5.0 35.59 35.61 28.83 36.18 30.91
27.5 1.41 1.76 2.72 6.14 2.21 -7.5 25.78 27.81 21.75 29.86 22.96
25.0 1.87 2.28 3.35 7.45 2.87 -10.0 17.93 22.36 16.82 24.16 17.89
22.5 2.47 2.93 4.29 8.89 3.74 -12.5 12.21 18.19 12.80 19.06 14.01
20.0 3.21 3.76 5.52 10.47 4.85 -15.0 7.92 14.87 9.74 15.49 10.93
17.5 4.05 4.65 6.90 12.32 6.20 -17.5 5.06 12.31 7.50 12.61 8.65
15.0 5.52 5.80 8.70 14.66 7.96 -20.0 3.36 10.21 5.84 10.31 6.71
12.5 7.82 7.35 11.13 17.28 10.19 -22.5 2.34 8.39 4.52 8.30 5.15
10.0 11.79 9.52 14.50 20.51 13.10 -25.0 1.62 6.84 3.57 6.55 3.93
7.5 17.19 12.39 19.54 24.52 17.02 -27.5 1.17 5.46 2.84 5.29 3.00
5.0 23.40 16.19 26.52 29.25 21.90 -30.0 0.84 4.38 2.20 4.23 2.20
2.5 29.76 22.12 33.52 34.75 28.78 -32.5 0.64 3.42 1.69 3.39 1.59
0.0 36.72 32.44 40.78 41.44 37.43 -35.0 0.46 2.61 1.29 2.69 1.19
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for PGLR_SREPL 300 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -1.58 -3.72 -0.66 -0.70 -1.61
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for PGLR_SREPL 300 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 280 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 79.23 69.37 73.59 81.34 73.53
5.0 58.99 51.80 55.35 65.42 52.82
70
7.5 42.97 40.20 41.28 54.38 39.98
60
% of Blocks

10.0 29.71 31.88 31.32 44.67 30.99


50 12.5 20.04 25.54 23.93 36.33 24.20
40 15.0 13.44 20.68 18.44 30.15 18.89
30 17.5 9.11 16.96 14.40 24.92 14.85
20.0 6.58 13.97 11.36 20.79 11.56
20
22.5 4.81 11.32 8.81 17.18 8.88
10 25.0 3.49 9.12 6.92 14.00 6.80
0 27.5 2.58 7.23 5.56 11.44 5.21
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 1.95 5.75 4.36 9.27 3.86
% Forecast Error
32.5 1.53 4.49 3.39 7.38 2.86
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.16 3.39 2.70 5.89 2.16

Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for PGLR_SREPL 300 MW Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PGLR_SREPL 300 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 7.92 9.10 8.82 11.85 8.74
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for PGLR_SREPL 300 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for PGLR_SREPL 300 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for PGLR_SREPL 300 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 100.00 100.00 99.73 100.00 99.73 More than 2.5% 99.45 97.53 98.90 99.73 98.63
More than 5% 96.16 91.23 94.79 99.18 92.05 More than 5% 83.29 78.08 83.29 90.68 80.82
More than 7.5% 73.42 78.63 79.45 87.95 75.07 More than 7.5% 50.68 49.04 57.81 67.67 49.04
More than 10% 44.93 56.16 61.10 72.60 53.70 More than 10% 24.93 32.60 33.70 50.41 30.68
More than 12.5% 24.38 41.37 40.82 55.62 34.79 More than 12.5% 9.04 21.37 19.45 37.26 19.45
More than 15% 11.51 28.49 24.93 41.92 23.84 More than 15% 2.19 13.70 10.14 27.40 12.33

Daily Average 10.31 12.42 12.21 15.28 11.56 Daily Average 7.96 9.12 9.00 11.99 8.74
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for PGLR_SREPL 300 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for PGLR_SREPL 300 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 281 of 308
Forecast Analysis - HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA
Duration Curve of Forecast Error
35

25

15
% Forecast Error

-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

-15

-25

-35
% of Blocks
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5

Figure 1: Duration Curve of Forecast Error for HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA 268.8 MW

% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Specified Percentage


Positive Side Negative Side
Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 0.74 5.90 5.94 6.52 5.07 0.0 62.80 53.42 50.99 51.97 53.33
32.5 0.95 6.82 6.88 7.62 6.02 -2.5 55.81 45.66 43.76 46.02 46.07
30.0 1.19 7.98 7.96 9.05 7.15 -5.0 47.42 38.95 36.73 38.98 38.27
27.5 1.55 9.27 9.25 10.64 8.42 -7.5 37.23 33.37 31.00 32.61 31.71
25.0 2.02 10.83 10.85 12.54 9.96 -10.0 26.84 28.24 26.36 27.01 26.11
22.5 2.71 12.62 12.45 14.52 11.84 -12.5 17.84 24.02 22.01 22.42 21.08
20.0 3.63 14.58 14.75 16.92 14.11 -15.0 10.60 20.34 18.39 18.64 17.00
17.5 4.91 16.77 17.53 19.85 16.56 -17.5 6.39 16.79 15.31 15.47 13.67
15.0 6.67 19.32 20.38 22.94 19.29 -20.0 4.17 13.93 12.78 13.01 10.98
12.5 9.65 22.17 23.72 26.46 22.84 -22.5 2.80 11.31 10.67 10.86 8.79
10.0 13.49 25.36 27.38 30.38 26.58 -25.0 1.87 9.17 8.88 9.07 7.07
7.5 18.86 29.18 31.90 34.32 30.93 -27.5 1.29 7.49 7.46 7.54 5.68
5.0 24.77 33.65 37.16 38.57 35.58 -30.0 0.93 5.96 6.21 6.23 4.49
2.5 30.85 39.69 43.20 43.03 40.51 -32.5 0.66 4.70 5.24 5.35 3.67
0.0 37.19 46.58 49.01 48.02 46.67 -35.0 0.51 3.79 4.32 4.55 3.06
Table 1: % Forecast Error Data for HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA 268.8 MW

% Forecast Error Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average -2.60 -0.11 0.38 0.75 0.41
Table 2: % Forecast Error Statistics for HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA 268.8 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 282 of 308
% Blocks where Forecast Error is more than Absolute Specified
Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error Percentage
100 Error Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
90 0.0 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
80 2.5 86.65 85.35 86.96 89.05 86.58
5.0 72.19 72.60 73.89 77.55 73.86
70
7.5 56.09 62.55 62.89 66.93 62.64
60
% of Blocks

10.0 40.32 53.60 53.74 57.39 52.70


50 12.5 27.50 46.19 45.73 48.88 43.92
40 15.0 17.27 39.66 38.78 41.58 36.29
30 17.5 11.30 33.55 32.84 35.33 30.23
20.0 7.80 28.51 27.53 29.94 25.09
20
22.5 5.52 23.93 23.12 25.38 20.63
10 25.0 3.89 20.00 19.72 21.61 17.03
0 27.5 2.84 16.76 16.71 18.18 14.11
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30.0 2.11 13.94 14.16 15.28 11.64
% Forecast Error
32.5 1.61 11.53 12.12 12.96 9.69
Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
35.0 1.25 9.69 10.26 11.08 8.13
Figure 2: Duration Curve of Absolute Forecast Error for HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA Table 3: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA
268.8 MW 268.8 MW

% Forecast Error (Absolute) Statistics - Based on Blockwise Data


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
Average 9.69 15.07 15.32 15.95 14.33
Table 4: % Forecast Error (Absolute) Data for HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA 268.8 MW

Figure 3: NRMSE Plot for HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA 268.8 MW Figure 4: MAPE Plot for HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA 268.8 MW

NRMSE Statistics MAPE Statistics


Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5 Developer FSP 1 FSP 3 FSP 4 FSP 5
More than 2.5% 100.00 99.45 100.00 100.00 99.73 More than 2.5% 100.00 98.63 100.00 100.00 98.36
More than 5% 100.00 97.53 98.63 100.00 98.08 More than 5% 99.18 96.16 98.08 98.90 97.81
More than 7.5% 93.42 95.89 96.16 98.36 96.99 More than 7.5% 79.18 89.04 92.05 93.15 90.68
More than 10% 66.30 89.32 91.23 91.51 89.59 More than 10% 41.64 78.36 76.71 79.45 72.60
More than 12.5% 36.71 80.55 78.63 80.82 73.42 More than 12.5% 13.70 60.27 59.18 63.56 51.23
More than 15% 16.16 66.30 66.85 65.21 57.26 More than 15% 4.66 42.19 40.82 43.29 35.89

Daily Average 11.86 18.84 19.25 19.65 17.57 Daily Average 9.69 15.12 15.53 16.21 14.34
Table 5: NRMSE Statistics for HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA 268.8 MW Table 6: MAPE Statistics for HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA 268.8 MW

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 283 of 308
Annexure-6
Scheduling contracts of Renewable
entities of southern Region as on
31.03.2023

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 284 of 308
List of scheduling contracts of Renewable entities of southern Region

First
Sl Transactio
Approval Number Seller Buyer To Date MW
No n Start
Date
1 L_18_ANP_S01 ANP_NTPC APDISCOMS 01/10/2018 10/07/2041 250
2 L_18_ANP_S02 ANP_IGS1 APDISCOMS 01/10/2018 04/08/2043 50
3 L_18_ANP_S03 ANP_AZURE APDISCOMS 01/10/2018 04/08/2043 50
4 L_18_ANP_S04A ANP_TATARENEWABLE APDISCOMS 01/10/2018 04/08/2043 50
5 L_18_ANP_S04B ANP_TATARENEWABLE APDISCOMS 01/10/2018 04/08/2043 50
6 L_18_ANP_S05 ANP_AthenaKarnal APDISCOMS 01/10/2018 04/05/2021 50
7 L_18_ANP_S06 ANP_AthenaBhiwadi APDISCOMS 01/10/2018 04/05/2021 50
8 L_18_ANP_S07 ANP_AthenaHisar APDISCOMS 01/10/2018 04/05/2021 50
9 L_ER_2018_04 Tuticorin_GIREL BSPHCL 10/10/2018 10/10/2040 50
10 L_ER_2018_05 Tuticorin_GIREL JBVNL 10/10/2018 10/10/2040 50
11 L_NR_2018_60 Tuticorin_GIREL UPPCL 10/10/2018 10/10/2040 100
12 L_NR_2018_61 Tuticorin_GIREL BRPL 10/10/2018 10/10/2040 50
13 L_ER_2019_02 Tuticorin_Mytrah BSPHCL 30/01/2019 09/10/2043 50
14 L_ER_2019_03 Tuticorin_Mytrah JBVNL 30/01/2019 09/10/2043 50
15 L_NER_2019_01 Tuticorin_Mytrah Assam_Ben 30/01/2019 09/10/2043 50
16 L_NR_2019_01 Tuticorin_Mytrah UPPCL 30/01/2019 09/10/2043 100
17 L_NR_2019_04 Tuticorin_Orange HARYANA 30/01/2019 30/04/2044 100
18 L_19_ANP_S08 ANP_IGS2 APSPDCL 01/02/2019 03/08/2043 50
19 L_ER_2019_04 Tuticorin_Orange BSPHCL 07/03/2019 30/04/2044 100
20 L_ER_2019_10 Tuticorin_BETAMWIND BSPHCL 26/11/2019 01/03/2045 50.2
21 L_20_ANP_S09 ANP_SBENERGY APDISCOMS 30/12/2019 03/08/2043 250
22 L_NR_2019_23 SBGPAVAGADA UPPCL 17/01/2020 30/12/2044 200
23 L_PVG20_01_S6_B3 PVG_FORTUMFINSURYA KAR_ESCOMS 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
1
24 L_PVG20_02_S6_B3 PVG_FORTUMFINSURYA KAR_ESCOMS 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
0
25 L_PVG20_03_S6_B2 PVG_PARAMPUJYA KAR_ESCOMS 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
9
26 L_PVG20_04_S7_B3 PVG_YARROW KAR_ESCOMS 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
5
27 L_PVG20_05_S7_B3 PVG_TATARENEWABLE KAR_ESCOMS 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
2
28 L_PVG20_06_S7_B3 PVG_TATARENEWABLE KAR_ESCOMS 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
4
29 L_PVG20_07_S7_B3 PVG_ReNew_TN2 KAR_ESCOMS 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
3
30 L_PVG20_08_S7_B3 PVG_PARAMPUJYA KAR_ESCOMS 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
6
31 L_PVG20_09_S6_B2 PVG_TATARENEWABLE KAR_ESCOMS 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
7
32 L_PVG20_10_S6_B2 PVG_PARAMPUJYA KAR_ESCOMS 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
8
33 L_PVG20_11_S8_B3 PVG_Amplus_Tumkur KAR_ESCOMS 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
7

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 285 of 308
First
Sl Transactio
Approval Number Seller Buyer To Date MW
No n Start
Date
34 L_PVG20_12_S8_B3 PVG_Amplus_Pavagada KAR_ESCOMS 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
8
35 L_PVG20_13_S1_B0 PVG_AVAADASOLAR GESCOM 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
4
36 L_PVG20_14_S4_B1 PVG_TATARENEWABLE BESCOM 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
8
37 L_PVG20_15_S4_B1 PVG_TATARENEWABLE BESCOM 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
7
38 L_PVG20_16_S1_B0 PVG_ADYAH_BLOCK_1 BESCOM 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
1
39 L_PVG20_17_S2_B0 PVG_AVAADASOLAR MESCOM 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
7
40 L_PVG20_18_S3_B1 PVG_ADYAH_BLOCK_13 HESCOM 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
3
41 L_PVG20_19_S2_B0 PVG_AVAADASOLAR KAR_CESC 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
8
42 L_PVG20_20_S1_B0 PVG_ADYAH_BLOCK_2 BESCOM 20/01/2020 12/07/2043 50
2
43 L_PVG20_21_S3_B1 PVG_AzurePowerEarth HESCOM 11/05/2020 03/05/2045 50
2
44 L_PVG20_22_S3_B1 PVG_TATARENEWABLE GESCOM 11/05/2020 03/05/2045 50
9
45 L_PVG20_23_S3_B1 PVG_AzurePowerEarth BESCOM 11/05/2020 03/05/2045 50
1
46 L_PVG20_24_S1_B0 PVG_ADYAH_BLOCK_3 BESCOM 11/05/2020 03/05/2045 50
3
47 L_PVG20_25_S2_B0 PVG_ADYAH_BLOCK_6 BESCOM 11/05/2020 03/05/2045 50
6
48 L_PVG20_26_S4_B1 PVG_TATARENEWABLE BESCOM 11/05/2020 03/05/2045 50
5
49 L_PVG20_27_S4_B2 PVG_TATARENEWABLE HESCOM 11/05/2020 03/05/2045 50
1
50 L_PVG20_28_S2_B1 PVG_ADYAH_BLOCK_10 GESCOM 11/05/2020 03/05/2045 50
0
51 L_PVG20_29_S3_B1 PVG_FortumSolar HESCOM 11/05/2020 03/05/2045 50
4
52 L_PVG20_30_S4_B2 PVG_FortumSolar KAR_CESC 11/05/2020 03/05/2045 50
0
53 L_PVG20_31_S2_B0 PVG_FortumSolar BESCOM 11/05/2020 03/05/2045 50
9
54 L_PVG20_32_S1_B0 PVG_FortumSolar BESCOM 11/05/2020 03/05/2045 50
5
55 L_PVG20_33_S8_B4 PVG_FortumSolar MESCOM 11/05/2020 03/05/2045 50
0
56 L_PVG20_34_S5_B2 PVG_AvaadaSolarise BESCOM 11/05/2020 03/05/2045 50
2
57 L_PVG20_35_S8_B3 PVG_AvaadaSolarise BESCOM 11/05/2020 03/05/2045 50
9
58 L_PVG20_36_S8_B4 PVG_AvaadaSolarise BESCOM 11/05/2020 03/05/2045 50
0A
59 L_PVG20_37_KREDL PVG_KREDL BESCOM 11/05/2020 03/05/2045 50
50
60 L_ER_2020_04 Tuticorin_BETAMWIND ODISHA 10-09-2020 10/09/2045 84
61 L_NR_2020_08 Tuticorin_BETAMWIND UPPCL 10-09-2020 10-09-2045 84

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 286 of 308
First
Sl Transactio
Approval Number Seller Buyer To Date MW
No n Start
Date
62 L_20_ANP_S10 ANP_AYANA APDISCOMS 07-11-2020 01-04-2045 250
63 L_20_ANP_S11 Anp_SprngAgnitra APDISCOMS 27-11-2020 07-05-2045 250
64 L_NR_2021_04 PGLR_SREPL UPPCL 28-03-2021 31-03-2046 300
67 L_ER_2021_07 HIRIYUR_OSTROKANNADA BSPHCL 24-09-2021 23-09-2046 199.
5
65 L_ER_2022_02 Tuticorin_GRTJIPL SBPDCL 31-03-2022 31-03-2047 150
66 L_SR_2022_12 Tuticorin_NTPCETPRM TSSPDCL 21-11-2022 20-11-2047 67.7
3
67 L_SR_2022_13 Tuticorin_NTPCETPRM TSNPDCL 21-11-2022 20-11-2047 162.
27

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 287 of 308
Annexure-7
List of tripping related to Renewable
Energy during FY 2022-23

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 288 of 308
List of the tripping related to RE

Renewable
CONTROL Date and Time of
S.NO Generation Brief details of the event
AREA Incident
Loss(MW)
Complete Outage of 220kV/33kV KSPDCL SS_3: As per the reports
submitted, the triggering incident was hand tripping of 220kV Pavagada
1 Karnataka 10-04-2022 12:42 260
KSPDCL SS-3 line due to emergency. Tripping of the only connected line
resulted in complete outage of 220kV/33kV KSPDCL SS_3.
Complete Outage of 220kV/33kV Orange Sironj Wind Station: As
per the reports submitted, the triggering incident was R-N fault in 220kV
TTGS Orange Sironj line . At both ends, line differential protection
2 Tamil Nadu 11-04-2022 15:35 55 operated. At TTGS end, A/R operated and line was holding. At Orange
Sironj end, A/R did not operate and line tripped. Tripping of the only
connected line resulted in complete outage of 220kV Orangesironj Wind
Station.
Complete Outage of 220kV/33kV Orange Sironj Wind Station: As
per the reports submitted, the triggering incident was Y-N fault in 220kV
TTGS Orange Sironj line . At both ends, line differential protection
3 Tamil Nadu 11-04-2022 20:06 6 operated. At TTGS end, A/R operated and line was holding. At Orange
Sironj end, A/R did not operate and line tripped. Tripping of the only
connected line resulted in complete outage of 220kV Orangesironj Wind
Station.
Complete Outage of 400kV BPS SS, 400kV YTPS GS, 400kV/220kV
Jagalur SS, 220kV/66kV Chitradurga SS, 220kV/66kV Kudligi SS
and multiple tripping in 400kV/220kV JSWEL GS and 220kV/66kV
Thalak SS: As per the information received, the triggering incident was
YB fault in 400kV BPS Pavagada line-2 at a distance of 70km from BPS
end at 11:47hrs and RB fault in 400kV BPS Pavagada line-1 at a
distance of 98km from BPS end at 11:51hrs. Subsequently, 400kV BPS
Jagalur line-1&2, 400kV BPS YTPS line-2, and 400kV BPS JSW line-1
4 Karnataka 29-04-2022 11:51 1657 got tripped on operation of OV St-1 protection at BPS end and DT was
sent to the remote ends. Running units#1 and 2 got tripped at YTPS end
due to loss of evacuation. Running units#3 and 5 at JSW end got tripped
and there was opening of 400kV bus coupler at JSW end due to sps
operation. Since 400kV/220kV Jagalur SS, 220kV/66kV Chitradurga SS,
220kV/66kV Kudligi SS, and part of 220kV/66kV Thalak SS loads were
radially fed from 400kV BPS. This resulted in complete loss of outage of
400kV BPS SS, 400kV YTPS GS, 400kV/220kV Jagalur SS,
220kV/66kV Chitradurga SS, 220kV/66kV Kudligi SS. Details are
awaited.

Complete Outage of 220kV/66kV Tallak SS, 220kV/66kV


Hiriyur_KAR SS , and 220kV/66kV Chitradurga SS of KPTCL: As
per the reports submitted, all the connected elements of 220kV
Chitradurga were hand tripped due to observation of arc in SS. This led to
5 Karnataka 07-05-2022 12:35 0
trippping of 220kV Hiriyur_KAR Madhugiri line and 220kV Hiriyur_PG
Hiriyur_KAR line on overloading. Due to tripping of these lines, there was
complete outage of 220kV/66kV Tallak SS, 220kV/66kV Hiriyur_KAR SS
, and 220kV/66kV Chitradurga SS of KPTCL.

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 289 of 308
Renewable
CONTROL Date and Time of
S.NO Generation Brief details of the event
AREA Incident
Loss(MW)
Complete Outage of 220kV/33kV Ostro Kannada Wind Plant : As per
the report submitted, the triggering incident was R-N fault in 220kV Hiriyur
6 Karnataka 08-05-2022 18:23 66 Ostro line and the line tripped at both ends . Due to tripping of the only
connected line , there was complete loss of supply at 220kV/33kV Ostro
Kannada Wind Plant.
Complete Outage of 220kV/33kV KSPDCL SS-1&2: As per the
reports submitted, the triggering incident was R-phase isolator arcing in
220kV Pavagada KSPDCL Line-2 and B-phase isolator arcing in 220kV
7 Karnataka 14-07-2022 09:30 298 Pavagada KSPDCL Line-1 at Pavagada end. Immediately, both lines
were hand tripped on emergency. Since 220kV/33kV KSPDCL SS-1&2
are radially connected to 400kV/220kV Pavagada SS, this resulted in
complete outage of 220kV/33kV KSPDCL SS-1&2.
Complete Outage of 220kV/66kV KSPDCL SS-8: As per the reports
submitted, 220kV Pavagada KSPDCL SS-8 line and 220kV/66kV
8 Karnataka 28-07-2022 13:59 215 150MVA KSPDCL SS-8 Transfomer-2 tripped on EF protection. Tripping
of the only connected line resulted in complete outage of 220kV/66kV
KSPDCL SS-8.
Pavagada Solar Generation Loss due to unsuccessful LVRT:
On 31st August 2022, at 12:06:30 hrs, 400 kV Pavagada-TUMKUR-1
tripped (Ph- Ph Fault) due to major fire accident reported in FSC - 1 at
Pavagada end. At the same time, 400 kV Pavagada – Bellary PS-2 also
tripped (reported R-Y fault, 117 kms from Bellary, 2.8kA). R-Y fault has
been captured in PMU and voltage at 400 kV Pavagada dipped to around
9 Karnataka 31-08-2022 12:06 710 MW 0.5 per unit in faulty phases. The fault was cleared in 120 milliseconds
and voltage recovered in 120 milliseconds subsequent to clearing of the
fault. The Pavagada Solar Park with installed capacity 2050 is getting
pooled at Pavagada 400 kV Station. The Solar generation getting pooled
at PAVAGADA reduced from 1700 MW to 992 MW indicating loss of
solar generation of 710 MW. The Solar Generation has recovered from
992 MW to 1365 MW in 4 Minutes.
Multiple Tripping in 400kV/220kV Uravakonda SS of APTRANSCO
and Complete Outage of 220kV/33kV Suzlon2, 220kV/33kV
Suzlon4, 220kV/33kV Axis windfarm, 220kV/33kV GAMS SS : As
per the reports submitted, the triggering incident was R-phase LA failure
in 220kV Uravakonda Suzlon2 Line-2 at Uravakonda end. Line tripped on
Zone-1 protection at Uravakonda end. At the same time, 220kV Bus-1
10 Andhra Pradesh 16-10-2022 17:09 70
and Bus-2 BBP operated at Uravakonda SS and the same needs review.
As 220kV/33kV Suzlon2, 220kV/33kV Suzlon4, 220kV/33kV Axis
windfarm, 220kV/33kV GAMS SS are radially connected to
400kV/220kV Uravakonda SS, tripping of 220kV Bus-1 and Bus-2 at
400kV/220kV Uravakonda SS resulted in complete outage of these
stations.
Complete Outage of 230kV/33kV Sprng Pugalur Wind: As per the
reports submitted, the triggering incident was a Y-N fault in 230kV
Pugalur_PG to Sprng Pugalur line. Tripping of the only connected line
11 Tamil Nadu 09-11-2022 02:06 0
resulted in a complete outage of 230kV Sprng Pugalur Wind station. No
Wind generation loss was observed at 230kV/33kV Spring Pugalur during
this event.
Complete Outage of 220kV/66kV Hiriyur_KA, 220kV/33kV Azure SS,
and 220kV/33kV Enercon SS of KPTCL: 220kV/33kV Azure SS and
220kV/33kV Enercon SS are being radially fed from 220kV/66kV
Hiriyur_KA SS. During antecedent conditions, all 220kV elements were
connected to 220kV Bus-1 at 220kV/66kV Hiriyur_KA SS. As per the
12 Karnataka 15-12-2022 03:35 10
reports submitted, the triggering incident was operaion of dead zone
protection of 220kV Bus-1 at 220kV/66kV Hiriyur_KA SS. Immediately,
all the elements connected to Bus-1 tripped resulting in complete outage
of 220kV/66kV Hiriyur_KA SS. This further resulted in complete outage of
220kV/33kV Azure SS and 220kV/33kV Enercon SS.

Complete Outage of 220kV/66kV Tirumani SS-1, 220kV/66kV


Tirumani SS-2 and 220kV/66kV Rychalu_1 SS of KSPDCL: As per
the reports submitted, the triggering incident was the operation of over
voltage protection of 220kV Pavagada Tirumani Line-1&2, 220kV
13 Karnataka 16-03-2023 18:01 0 Pavagada Rychalu line at Tirumani and Rychalu ends respectively. Since
220kV/66kV Tirumani SS-1, 220kV/66kV Tirumani SS-2 and
220kV/66kV Rychalu_1 SS are radially connected to Pavagada, tripping
of these lines resulted in a complete outage of 220kV/66kV Tirumani SS-
1, 220kV/66kV Tirumani SS-2 and 220kV/66kV Rychalu_1 SS.

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 290 of 308
Renewable
CONTROL Date and Time of
S.NO Generation Brief details of the event
AREA Incident
Loss(MW)
Complete Outage of 220kV/66kV Tirumani SS-1 of KSPDCL: As per
the reports submitted, the triggering incident was B-N fault in 220kV
14 Karnataka 18-03-2023 17:18 0 Tirumani Pavagada line and the line tripped at both ends. Tripping of this
only connected line resulted in a complete outage of 220kV/66kV
Tirumani SS-1.
Complete outage of 110kV of 400/110kV of Kanarpathy SS of
TNEB: In the antecedent condition all the elements of 110kV were
connected to 110kV Bus-1 of Kanarpathy. As per the reports submitted
15 Tamil Nadu 28-08-2022 13:05 Wind: 50 MW the triggering incident is the LBB operation of 110kV Bus-1 due to 110kV
Solar: 280MW Kanarpathy-Pudur feeder leading to the Bus-1 outage and subsequent
(Total 330 tripping of all lines connected to 110kV bus. This resulted in to the
MW) complete outage of 110kV Bus at Kanarpathy
Tripping of 220kV Bus-1 of 220kV/33kV NP kunta PSS-1 of
APSPCL: As per the reports submitted, the triggering incident was Y-
phase CT failure in 220kV NP Kunta NP Kunta PSS-1 line-2 at NP Kunta
16 Andhra Pradesh 13-11-2022 23:56 0
PSS-1 end. Immediately, 220kV Bus-1 BBP operated and all the
elements connected to the 220kV Bus-1 got tripped at 220kV/33kV NP
Kunta PSS-1 .
Complete Outage of 220kV/66kV Hiriyur_KA, 220kV/33kV Azure SS,
and 220kV/33kV Enercon SS of KPTCL: 220kV/33kV Azure SS and
220kV/33kV Enercon SS are being radially fed from 220kV/66kV
Hiriyur_KA SS. During antecedent conditions, all 220kV elements were
connected to 220kV Bus-1 at 220kV/66kV Hiriyur_KA SS. As per the
17 Karnataka 15-12-2022 03:35 0
reports submitted, the triggering incident was operaion of dead zone
protection of 220kV Bus-1 at 220kV/66kV Hiriyur_KA SS. Immediately,
all the elements connected to Bus-1 tripped resulting in complete outage
of 220kV/66kV Hiriyur_KA SS. This further resulted in complete outage of
220kV/33kV Azure SS and 220kV/33kV Enercon SS.
Complete Outage of 220kV Suzlon_Honnahalli_Wind of Suzlon_KA
and Multiple Trippings at 220kV/66kV Honnali SS, 220kV/110kV KB
Cross SS and 220kV/110kV MRS Shimoga SS of KPTCL: During
antecedent conditions, 220kV/66kV Honnali SS, 220kV/110kV KB Cross
SS and 220kV/110kV MRS Shimoga SS were operating with split bus
condition at 220kV level. 220kV Suzlon_Honnahalli_wind is radially
connected to 220kV/66kV Honnali SS. 220kV Bus-2 of 220kV/66kV
18 Karnataka 03-03-2023 12:50 29 Honnali SS and 220kV/110kV KB Cross SS are radially connected to
220kV/110kV MRS Shimoga SS. As per the reports submitted, the
triggering incident was LBB maloperation in 220kV MRS Shimoga
Anthrasanahalli line at MRS Shimoga end causing tripping of all the
elements connected to Bus-1 to trip. This resulted in a complete outage of
220kV Suzlon_Honnahalli_wind and multiple trippings at 220kV/66kV
Honnali SS, 220kV/110kV KB Cross SS and 220kV/110kV MRS
Shimoga SS.
Complete Outage of 220kV/66kV Tirumani SS-1, 220kV/66kV
Tirumani SS-2 and 220kV/66kV Rychalu_1 SS of KSPDCL: As per
the reports submitted, the triggering incident was the operation of over
voltage protection of 220kV Pavagada Tirumani Line-1&2, 220kV
19 Karnataka 16-03-2023 18:01 0 Pavagada Rychalu line at Tirumani and Rychalu ends respectively. Since
220kV/66kV Tirumani SS-1, 220kV/66kV Tirumani SS-2 and
220kV/66kV Rychalu_1 SS are radially connected to Pavagada, tripping
of these lines resulted in a complete outage of 220kV/66kV Tirumani SS-
1, 220kV/66kV Tirumani SS-2 and 220kV/66kV Rychalu_1 SS.
Complete Outage of 220kV/66kV Tirumani SS-1 of KSPDCL: As per
the reports submitted, the triggering incident was B-N fault in 220kV
20 Karnataka 18-03-2023 17:18 0 Tirumani Pavagada line and the line tripped at both ends. Tripping of this
only connected line resulted in a complete outage of 220kV/66kV
Tirumani SS-1.

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 291 of 308
Annexure-8
List of special Meetings held with
respect to RE during FY 2022-23

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 292 of 308
S.No Date Meeting Topic Participants Mode/Venue
SRPC Special meeting with SLDCs on
1 29-04-2022 SR states Online
Operational issues 29.04.2022(through VC)

RE generators
SRPC Special Meeting with RE generators connected to
SRPC Conference
2 25-07-2022 connected to Tuticorin PS /Hiryur SS/Pugalur SS Tuticorin PS
Hall
at SRPC Conference Hall on Operational Issues /Hiryur
SS/Pugalur SS

SRPC Special Meeting with RE generators RE generators


SRPC Conference
3 26-07-2022 connected to NPKunta at SRPC Conference Hall connected to
Hall
Operational Issues NPKunta

SRPC Special Meeting with RE generators RE generators


SRPC Conference
4 26-07-2022 connected to Pavagada at SRPC Conference connected to
Hall
Hall Operational Issues Pavagada

Meeting with RE Developers on Working


5 27-09-2022 Group Report on CEA Technical Standards RE Developers Online
Familiarization

Status Review (Follow up) Meeting with RE


6 06-01-2023 Developers on Working Group Report on CEA RE Developers Online
Technical Standards Familiarization

Meeting with SR States on Working Group


7 28-02-2023 Report on CEA Technical Standards SR states Online
Familiarization

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 293 of 308
Annexure-9
Analysis of Demand v/s RE Deviation
of States

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 294 of 308
Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 295 of 308
Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 296 of 308
Annexure 10: List of RE generators
Registered in REC Mechanism as on
31st March 2023

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 297 of 308
Total Capacity (MW) = 1596.6 | Number of Projects = 332
SN State Energy Source RE Generator Capacity (MW) Date of Date of
Registration Accreditation
Wind (Commissioned on
Ostro Kannada
or after 01.04.2022)
1 Karnataka Power Private 100.8 17-04-2023 09-03-2023
Limited

2 Tamil Nadu Solar PV JAYAM VIJAYAM 5 06-01-2023 24-11-2022


3 Wind (Commissioned ENTERPRISE 13-06-2012 29-05-2012
before 01.04.2022) Ratedi Wind Power *21-04-2017 #30-03-2017
Tamil Nadu 12
Private Limited **03-01-2023 ##13-04-2022

4 Small Hydro
MANIHAMSA
(Commissioned before
Andhra Pradesh POWER PROJECTS 2.96 23-12-2022 17-08-2022
08.03.2019)
LTD.

5 Telangana Solar PV JAYA BHARAT 1 28-11-2022 26-09-2022


ENERGY PRIVATE
6 Tamil Nadu Solar PV LIMITED
M/s.Sheela Clinic 1 25-11-2022 18-11-2022
7 Andhra Pradesh Bio Fuel/Bio-fuel M/S RICHMOND 6 21-11-2022 17-08-2022
cogeneration POWER PVT LTD
8 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Vetri Construction 5 07-11-2022 20-09-2022
9 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Machinery
POWER LINK 2 07-11-2022 06-10-2022
10 Tamil Nadu Solar PV SYSTEM
P ST PRIVATE 10 02-11-2022 15-10-2022
11 Tamil Nadu Solar PV ENGINEERING
OM TEXTILES 5 03-10-2022 09-09-2022
12 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Toplight Labels 5 03-10-2022 09-09-2022
13 Tamil Nadu Solar PV SWELECT ENERGY 1 03-10-2022 17-09-2022
14 Wind (Commissioned SYSTEMS LIMITED
before 01.04.2022)
Tamil Nadu SKL EXPORTS 2 09-09-2022 05-08-2022

15 Telangana Solar PV HALO ENERGIE 5 18-08-2022 29-06-2022


16 Tamil Nadu Solar PV PRIVATE LIMITED
RAMESH IRON 1 19-07-2022 04-07-2022
AND STEEL
17 Tamil Nadu Solar PV COMPANY INDIA
Muthur Murugan 1 15-07-2022 27-06-2022
18 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Mills
AADHI Limited
SOLAR 2 15-07-2022 27-06-2022
19 Tamil Nadu Solar PV ENERGY P LTD
Prathyusha Power 10 15-07-2022 04-07-2022
20 Wind (Commissioned Gen Private Limited
before 01.04.2022) Zold UDP Power
Tamil Nadu 0.6 01-07-2022 16-06-2022
Private Limited

21 Andhra Pradesh Solar PV Solarays Eco 2 05-04-2017 27-01-2017


Energy Inc. *21-06-2022 #07-02-2022
22 Tamil Nadu Solar PV KGISL 2.5 16-06-2022 10-05-2022
23 Andhra Pradesh Solar PV Infrastructures
NSS SOLAR POWER 1 17-05-2017 27-01-2017
*27-05-2022 #22-02-2022
24 Telangana Solar PV SRI 2.208 24-05-2022 08-02-2022
SURYANARAYANA
25 Tamil Nadu Solar PV SWAMY SOLAR
Dev International 1 24-05-2022 13-05-2022
26 Tamil Nadu Solar PV ENERJAY GREEN 16 12-05-2022 12-04-2022
27 Wind (Commissioned PRIVATE LIMITED 23-03-2012 23-01-2012
Sri Shanmugavel
before 01.04.2022) *30-03-2017 #30-01-2017
Tamil Nadu Mills Private 0.85
**10-05-2022 ##13-04-2022
Limited

28 Wind (Commissioned 19-08-2011 25-07-2011


Armstrong
before 01.04.2022) *23-01-2017 #23-07-2016
Tamil Nadu Spinning Mills 1.5
**10-05-2022 ##30-07-2021
Private Limited

29 Tamil Nadu Solar PV VISNUKUMAR 4 02-05-2022 08-04-2022


TRADERS
30 Andhra Pradesh Solar PV PRIVATE
PRAKASHALIMITED 1 09-03-2017 27-01-2017
MOTORS *19-04-2022 #07-02-2022

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 298 of 308
SN State Energy Source RE Generator Capacity (MW) Date of Date of
Registration Accreditation
31 Tamil Nadu Solar PV ETICA 1 31-03-2022 17-03-2022
32 Tamil Nadu Solar PV DEVELOPERS PVTP
Royal Classic Mills 10 31-03-2022 18-03-2022
33 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Ltd
KKV AGRO 2 22-03-2022 05-01-2022
34 Tamil Nadu Solar PV POWERS LTD
Vee Tree Power 7 10-03-2022 23-02-2022
35 Wind (Commissioned Private Limited 30-08-2011 25-07-2011
GRACE
before 01.04.2022) *07-12-2016 #23-07-2016
Tamil Nadu INFRASTRUCTURE 7.5
**09-03-2022 ##26-07-2021
PVT.LTD.,

36 Wind (Commissioned 30-08-2011 25-07-2011


GRACE
before 01.04.2022) *07-12-2016 #23-07-2016
Tamil Nadu INFRASTRUCTURE 4.5
**09-03-2022 ##26-07-2021
PVT.LTD.,
37 Wind (Commissioned GRACE 28-09-2015 10-09-2015
before 01.04.2022) INFRASTRUCTURE *09-03-2022 #30-09-2020
Tamil Nadu 12
PRIVATE LIMITED

38 Wind (Commissioned GRACE 09-12-2015 13-11-2015


before 01.04.2022) INFRASTRUCTURE *09-03-2022 #11-11-2020
Tamil Nadu 7.5
PRIVATE LIMITED

39 Tamil Nadu Solar PV KALAI SOLAR 1 15-02-2022 23-12-2021


40 Tamil Nadu Solar PV ENERGY
SWELECT GREEN 1 24-06-2016 21-06-2016
ENERGY *14-02-2022 #11-06-2021
41 Tamil Nadu Solar PV SOLUTIONS
SWELECT GREEN 1 24-06-2016 21-06-2016
ENERGY *09-02-2022 #11-06-2021
42 Wind (Commissioned SOLUTIONS 19-03-2012 17-02-2012
before 01.04.2022) The Tata Power *21-02-2017 #30-01-2017
Tamil Nadu 9
Company Ltd **08-02-2022 ##12-01-2022

43 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Millenia 1 02-02-2022 15-05-2021


44 Wind (Commissioned Management Pvt 19-08-2011 25-07-2011
before 01.04.2022) Rangamma Steels *23-01-2017 #24-08-2016
Tamil Nadu 0.6
and Malleables **24-01-2022 ##27-07-2021

45 Wind (Commissioned 22-12-2011 29-11-2011


before 01.04.2022) M/s Morries Energy *30-01-2017 #30-11-2016
Tamil Nadu 2.1
Limited **17-01-2022 ##20-11-2021

46 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Alten Power 7.5 05-01-2022 23-12-2021


47 Wind (Commissioned Private Limited 06-03-2012 17-12-2011
Sri Hariprasath
before 01.04.2022) *03-02-2017 #09-12-2016
Tamil Nadu Textiles Private 0.85
**04-01-2022 ##26-11-2021
Limited

48 Wind (Commissioned 07-07-2011 22-06-2011


TVH ENERGY
before 01.04.2022) *29-06-2016 #21-06-2016
Tamil Nadu RESOURCE 7.5
**27-12-2021 ##11-06-2021
PVT.LTD

49 Wind (Commissioned 22-12-2011 29-11-2011


before 01.04.2022) GUJARAT GEMS *03-01-2017 #30-11-2016
Tamil Nadu 1.25
PVT LTD **13-12-2021 ##20-11-2021

50 Wind (Commissioned 26-08-2011 25-07-2011


before 01.04.2022) *02-12-2016 #23-07-2016
Tamil Nadu Shiny Knitwear 0.85
**09-12-2021 ##22-07-2021

51 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Daily Fresh Fruits 5 06-12-2021 18-11-2021


52 Wind (Commissioned India Pvt Ltd 14-12-2011 03-11-2011
before 01.04.2022) Savita Oil *07-12-2016 #15-10-2016
Tamil Nadu 2.5
Technologies Ltd. **17-11-2021 ##07-10-2021

53 Wind (Commissioned 14-12-2011 03-11-2011


before 01.04.2022) Savita Oil *07-12-2016 #15-10-2016
Tamil Nadu 2.5
Technologies Ltd. **17-11-2021 ##07-10-2021

54 Telangana Solar PV PENNAR 2.5 30-06-2016 28-06-2016


INDUSTRIES *16-11-2021 #20-09-2021
55 Wind (Commissioned LIMITED
Vetal Textiles & 14-12-2011 03-11-2011
before 01.04.2022) Electronics Private *02-12-2016 #25-10-2016
Tamil Nadu 0.85
Limited **16-11-2021 ##26-10-2021

56 Wind (Commissioned 23-12-2015 18-09-2015


before 01.04.2022) R.G.S. Green Power *15-11-2021 #08-09-2020
Tamil Nadu 0.25
Private Limited

57 Wind (Commissioned 23-12-2015 18-09-2015


before 01.04.2022) R.G.S. Green Power *15-11-2021 #08-09-2020
Tamil Nadu 0.75
Private Limited

58 Wind (Commissioned 28-12-2011 06-12-2011


before 01.04.2022) The Tata Power *21-11-2016 #05-11-2016
Tamil Nadu 19.5
Company Ltd **11-11-2021 ##01-11-2021

59 Wind (Commissioned 21-06-2011 16-05-2011


TVH ENERGY
before 01.04.2022) *20-06-2016 #09-05-2016
Tamil Nadu RESOURCE 15
**08-11-2021 ##15-05-2021
PVT.LTD
60 Wind (Commissioned 30-11-2011 02-11-2011
before 01.04.2022)The Tata Power *08-11-2016 #29-09-2016
Renewable Tamil
Energy
Nadu in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 21
Company Ltd **26-10-2021 Page 299 of 308
##23-09-2021
SN State Energy Source RE Generator Capacity (MW) Date of Date of
Registration Accreditation
61 Wind (Commissioned Rai Bahadur Seth 08-11-2016 05-10-2016
before 01.04.2022) Shreeram *25-10-2021 #23-09-2021
Tamil Nadu 4
Narasingdas Private
Limited
62 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Daily Fresh Fruits 5 25-10-2021 30-09-2021
63 Wind (Commissioned India
TechnoPvt Ltd
Electric & 02-01-2012 20-12-2011
before 01.04.2022) Engineering *02-12-2016 #01-11-2016
Tamil Nadu 6.3
Company Limited **22-10-2021 ##07-10-2021

64 Wind (Commissioned Techno Electric & 13-10-2011 30-09-2011


before 01.04.2022) Engineering *02-12-2016 #10-08-2016
Tamil Nadu 4.2
Company Limited **11-10-2021 ##26-07-2021

65 Wind (Commissioned Vaayu Renewable 30-06-2016 10-06-2016


before 01.04.2022) Energy (Godavari) *06-09-2021 #11-06-2021
Tamil Nadu 5.6
Private Limited

66 Kerala Solar PV Hindalco Industries 1 29-06-2016 25-06-2016


Limited *02-08-2021 #16-06-2021
67 Tamil Nadu Solar PV SWELECT GREEN 10 08-07-2016 01-07-2016
ENERGY *02-08-2021 #11-06-2021
68 Wind (Commissioned SOLUTIONS 14-06-2011 16-05-2011
before 01.04.2022) *28-07-2016 #20-05-2016
Tamil Nadu ANU CASHEWS 0.8
**02-08-2021 ##06-07-2021

69 Tamil Nadu Solar PV JAY JOTHI FOODS 1 02-08-2021 16-06-2021


70 Wind (Commissioned PVT LTD 08-06-2016 23-05-2016
before 01.04.2022) *28-07-2021 #10-05-2021
Tamil Nadu GHCL Limited 2.1

71 Wind (Commissioned Techno Electric & 20-09-2011 03-09-2011


before 01.04.2022) Engineering *12-08-2016 #19-07-2016
Tamil Nadu 10.5
Company Limited **23-07-2021 ##05-07-2021

72 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Sulochana Cotton 0.5 14-06-2016 17-05-2016


Spinning Mills Pvt *23-07-2021 #15-05-2021
73 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Ltd
Anugraha Fashion 1.2 08-06-2016 25-05-2016
Mill Private Limited *23-07-2021 #15-05-2021
74 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Vijayanth Cosmic 2.5 28-06-2021 04-06-2021
75 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Powers
ZF RANEPrivate 1 17-03-2016 15-12-2015
AUTOMOTIVE *23-06-2021 #20-11-2020
76 Tamil Nadu Solar PV INDIA PRIVATE
Daily Fresh Fruits 5 21-06-2021 02-06-2021
77 Wind (Commissioned India
TechnoPvt Ltd
Electric & 19-07-2011 06-07-2011
before 01.04.2022) Engineering *28-06-2016 #25-05-2016
Tamil Nadu 25.5
Company Limited **09-06-2021 ##20-05-2021

78 Wind (Commissioned Techno Electric & 19-07-2011 02-07-2011


before 01.04.2022) Engineering *28-06-2016 #25-05-2016
Tamil Nadu 16.8
Company Limited **02-06-2021 ##20-05-2021

79 Wind (Commissioned Techno Electric & 19-07-2011 02-07-2011


before 01.04.2022) Engineering *30-06-2016 #25-05-2016
Tamil Nadu 20.7
Company Limited **02-06-2021 ##20-05-2021

80 Tamil Nadu Solar PV ENERJAY GREEN 10 31-05-2021 07-05-2021


81 Tamil Nadu Solar PV PRIVATE
Top Light LIMITED 7 31-05-2021 18-05-2021
82 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Renewable
Hindustan Energy 0.258 12-05-2016 16-11-2015
Petroleum *26-05-2021 #20-11-2020
83 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Corporation
KGISL 2 19-05-2021 15-04-2021
84 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Infrastructures
Exel Sourcing 3 19-05-2021 23-04-2021
85 Wind (Commissioned Company
Techno Electric & 08-06-2011 16-05-2011
before 01.04.2022) Engineering *17-05-2016 #23-04-2016
Tamil Nadu 15
Company Limited **12-05-2021 ##23-04-2021

86 Wind (Commissioned Techno Electric & 08-06-2011 16-05-2011


before 01.04.2022) Engineering *17-05-2016 #23-04-2016
Tamil Nadu 8.4
Company Limited **12-05-2021 ##23-04-2021

87 Wind (Commissioned Techno Electric & 08-06-2011 16-05-2011


before 01.04.2022) Engineering *17-05-2016 #23-04-2016
Tamil Nadu 4.5
Company Limited **12-05-2021 ##23-04-2021

88 Tamil Nadu Solar PV TVR Ventures Pvt 3 29-04-2021 19-03-2021


89 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Ltd
GPS Solar Energy 1 19-04-2021 25-03-2021
90 Tamil Nadu in Southern Private
Solar PV Region Annual Limited
KovaiReport:
Medical
Renewable Energy 2022-23 4 13-01-2016 18-12-2015
Page 300 of 308
Center and Hospital *05-03-2021 #23-12-2020
Limited
SN State Energy Source RE Generator Capacity (MW) Date of Date of
Registration Accreditation
91 Wind (Commissioned 04-03-2016 24-02-2016
before 01.04.2022) *05-03-2021 #15-02-2021
Tamil Nadu GHCL LIMITED 4.2

92 Tamil Nadu Biomass Gayatri Green 10 21-10-2015 07-10-2015


Power Private *02-03-2021 #30-01-2021
93 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Limited
SECAN INVESCAST 2 23-02-2021 02-01-2021
INDIA PRIVATE
94 Tamil Nadu Solar PV LIMITED
VETRI 2 19-02-2021 02-01-2021
CONSTRUCTION
95 Tamil Nadu Solar PV EQUIPMENT
Swelect Energy 2 18-02-2021 02-02-2021
96 Wind (Commissioned Systems Limited 28-12-2015 15-10-2015
before 01.04.2022) Armstrong Power *02-02-2021 #08-10-2020
Tamil Nadu 1.5
Systems Pvt Ltd

97 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Super Auto Forge 0.9 29-01-2016 28-12-2015


Private Limited *02-02-2021 #30-12-2020
98 Wind (Commissioned
before 01.04.2022) VST Weaves India
Tamil Nadu 0.75 20-01-2021 05-01-2021
Pvt Ltd

99 Wind (Commissioned 14-01-2016 02-11-2015


before 01.04.2022) Krishnapoultry Tex *14-01-2021 #08-10-2020
Tamil Nadu 0.6
Mill (India) Pvt Ltd

100 Tamil Nadu Solar PV VELATAL 4 11-01-2021 22-12-2020


SPINNING MILLS
101 Telangana Solar PV PRIVATE LIMITED
SEI SRIRAM 10 24-12-2020 20-10-2020
102 Wind (Commissioned POWER
SHRI PRIVATE 23-12-2015 02-11-2015
before 01.04.2022) DHANALAKSHMI *24-12-2020 #21-10-2020
Tamil Nadu 12
SPINNTEX
PRIVATE LIMITED
103 Tamil Nadu Solar PV IKKI GREEN 1 21-12-2020 03-11-2020
104 Tamil Nadu Solar PV ENERGY
HYPKRT PRIVATE
POWER 1 13-11-2020 21-10-2020
105 Tamil Nadu Solar PV PRIVATE LIMITED
Cheran Textiles 2.5 04-11-2020 17-09-2020
106 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Wind Farm
Swelect LLP
Energy 10 04-11-2020 17-10-2020
107 Telangana Solar PV Systems Limited
Surana Solar 4.76 15-10-2015 26-09-2015
Systems Pvt *13-10-2020 #23-09-2020
108 Wind (Commissioned Limited 07-10-2015 11-08-2015
before 01.04.2022) Echanda Urja *09-10-2020 #06-08-2020
Tamil Nadu 7.5
Private Limited

109 Wind (Commissioned 07-10-2015 11-08-2015


before 01.04.2022) Echanda Urja *09-10-2020 #06-08-2020
Tamil Nadu 18
Private Limited

110 Wind (Commissioned 07-10-2015 11-08-2015


before 01.04.2022) Echanda Urja *09-10-2020 #06-08-2020
Tamil Nadu 12
Private Limited

111 Wind (Commissioned 07-10-2015 11-08-2015


before 01.04.2022) Echanda Urja *09-10-2020 #06-08-2020
Tamil Nadu 6
Private Limited

112 Wind (Commissioned 07-10-2015 11-08-2015


before 01.04.2022) Echanda Urja *09-10-2020 #06-08-2020
Tamil Nadu 13.5
Private Limited

113 Wind (Commissioned 07-10-2015 11-08-2015


before 01.04.2022) Echanda Urja *09-10-2020 #06-08-2020
Tamil Nadu 4.5
Private Limited

114 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Super Auto Forge 0.9 28-09-2015 17-08-2015
Private Limited *09-10-2020 #29-07-2020
115 Tamil Nadu Solar PV NIRANJINI SOLAR 1 08-10-2020 09-09-2020
116 Tamil Nadu Solar PV PRIVATE
SEI Arjun LIMITED
Power 6.3 01-10-2015 21-08-2015
Pvt. Ltd *08-10-2020 #20-08-2020
117 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Arul Sakthe Wind 1 05-10-2020 29-05-2020
118 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Faarms P Ltd
Top Light 2 05-10-2020 31-07-2020
119 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Renewable Energy
ETICA SOLAR 2 05-10-2020 28-08-2020
ENERGY PRIVATE
120 Wind (Commissioned LIMITED
BASANT WIND 26-08-2015 05-08-2015
before 01.04.2022) FARMS PRIVATE *05-10-2020 #27-07-2020
Tamil Nadu 2
LIMITED
Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 301 of 308
SN State Energy Source RE Generator Capacity (MW) Date of Date of
Registration Accreditation
121 Wind (Commissioned BASANT WIND 26-08-2015 05-08-2015
before 01.04.2022) FARMS PRIVATE *05-10-2020 #27-07-2020
Tamil Nadu 0.8
LIMITED

122 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Sakthi Murugan 1 01-10-2020 29-05-2020


123 Telangana Solar PV Wind Farms
Bhavana P Ltd
Power 2.8 01-10-2020 31-07-2020
124 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Private
SaravanaLimited
Green 2.5 01-10-2020 13-08-2020
125 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Energy LLP
SHEELA CLINIC 1.5 24-09-2020 29-07-2020
126 Tamil Nadu Solar PV IM GEARS PRIVATE 1 13-08-2015 17-07-2015
LIMITED *24-08-2020 #14-07-2020
127 Tamil Nadu Solar PV AMIRTHAA GREEN 3 26-08-2015 20-07-2015
INFRA PRIVATE *10-08-2020 #04-06-2020
128 Tamil Nadu Solar PV LIMITED
ETICA 1 07-09-2015 07-08-2015
DEVELOPERS PVT *04-08-2020 #08-07-2020
129 Tamil Nadu Solar PV LTD
Madurai Renewable 1.5 22-07-2020 18-05-2020
Energy Private
130 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Limited
Sakthi Murugan 2.5 17-06-2020 29-05-2020
Agro Foods Private
131 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Limited
Sakthi Murugan 2.5 17-06-2020 29-05-2020
Roller Flour Mills
132 Telangana Solar PV Private Limited
Visaka Industries 2 13-05-2015 05-03-2015
Limited *22-05-2020 #06-03-2020
133 Wind (Commissioned 20-05-2015 17-04-2015
Siva Electric
before 01.04.2022) *11-05-2020 #04-04-2020
Tamil Nadu Generation Private 0.85
Limited

134 Tamil Nadu Bio Fuel/Bio-fuel Ponni Sugars 9.5 19-03-2015 06-03-2015
cogeneration (Erode) Limited *21-04-2020 #24-02-2020
135 Telangana Solar PV PERITUS 2 20-04-2015 26-03-2015
CORPORATION *20-04-2020 #18-03-2020
136 Tamil Nadu Solar PV PVT LTD Oil Mill
Kumaran 3 23-03-2020 28-02-2020
137 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Top Light 2 23-03-2020 09-03-2020
Renewable Energy
138 Telangana Solar PV Private Limited
VARP POWER 1 08-05-2015 26-03-2015
PRIVATE LIMITED *20-03-2020 #28-02-2020
139 Wind (Commissioned
before 01.04.2022) MBM Engineering
Tamil Nadu 0.8 04-02-2020 31-12-2019
Infotech Limited

140 Wind (Commissioned


PRISTINE
before 01.04.2022)
Tamil Nadu DEVELOPERS P 6 10-01-2020 05-11-2019
LTD

141 Tamil Nadu Solar PV KARUR SREE RAMA 1 07-01-2015 04-12-2014


TRADING (P) LTD *06-12-2019 #01-11-2019
142 Tamil Nadu Biomass TCP Limited 6 17-02-2012 02-01-2012
*03-12-2019 #18-11-2019
143 Wind (Commissioned SRI KUMARSWAMY 26-12-2014 13-11-2014
before 01.04.2022) MINERAL *03-12-2019 #23-10-2019
Tamil Nadu 11.25
EXPORTS PRIVATE
LIMITED
144 Tamil Nadu Solar PV K.SUBRAMANIAN 0.4 31-10-2014 04-07-2014
*15-11-2019 #23-07-2019
145 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Naga Limited 0.6 18-11-2014 23-10-2014
*08-11-2019 #09-10-2019
146 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Top Light 6 08-11-2019 30-10-2019
Renewable Energy
147 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Private Limited
Flow Link Systems 1.26 16-05-2014 17-04-2014
Private Limited *30-10-2019 #22-04-2019
148 Tamil Nadu Solar PV ASIAN FABRICX 1.5 17-12-2014 21-10-2014
PRIVATE LIMITED *24-10-2019 #09-10-2019
149 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Asian Fabricx 3 07-01-2015 12-12-2014
Private Limited *24-10-2019 #09-10-2019
150 Telangana Solar PV MEDAK SOLAR 8.24 17-10-2019 25-06-2019
Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23
PROJECTS Page 302 of 308
PRIVATE LIMITED
SN State Energy Source RE Generator Capacity (MW) Date of Date of
Registration Accreditation
151 Wind (Commissioned
before 01.04.2022) SAKS Power Private
Tamil Nadu 0.75 01-10-2019 13-09-2019
Limited

152 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Ultra Cosmic Solar 1 16-05-2014 02-04-2014


Energy Private *13-09-2019 #05-04-2019
153 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Limited
BHARAT HEAVY 5 05-05-2014 02-04-2014
ELECTRICALS LTD, *11-09-2019 #29-03-2019
154 Tamil Nadu Solar PV RANIPET
Raagam Exports 1 22-07-2014 04-07-2014
*26-08-2019 #04-07-2019
155 Tamil Nadu Solar PV SHRI LAKSHMI 1 24-07-2014 04-07-2014
TEXTILE *26-08-2019 #06-07-2019
156 Tamil Nadu Solar PV PROCESSORS
SATHY SILKS 1 26-08-2019 01-08-2019
157 Tamil Nadu Solar PV PRIVATE LIMITED
GAJAANANDA 1 26-08-2019 01-08-2019
JEWELLERY MART
158 Wind (Commissioned INDIA PRIVATE 12-09-2014 30-07-2014
M/s. Lotus Clean
before 01.04.2022) *09-08-2019 #15-07-2019
Tamil Nadu Power Venture Pvt 18.9
Ltd

159 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Asian Fabricx 3 14-08-2014 10-07-2014


Private Ltd *08-08-2019 #26-06-2019
160 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Gomathy 1 04-07-2014 10-06-2014
International *16-07-2019 #11-06-2019
161 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Fab Colours 1 22-07-2014 16-06-2014
*16-07-2019 #28-05-2019
162 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Sri Sivajothi 1 16-07-2014 16-06-2014
Spinning Mills *16-07-2019 #28-05-2019
163 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Private
IM Gears Limited
private 0.9 18-07-2014 10-06-2014
Limited *10-07-2019 #31-05-2019
164 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Sulochana Cotton 2 25-07-2014 16-06-2014
Spinning Mills Pvt *10-07-2019 #14-06-2019
165 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Ltd
Space Textiles 1 30-06-2014 28-05-2014
Private Limited *03-07-2019 #10-05-2019
166 Tamil Nadu Solar PV The KTM Jewellery 1 25-06-2014 28-05-2014
Limited *03-07-2019 #10-05-2019
167 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Sathy Silks Private 1 25-06-2014 28-05-2014
Limited *03-07-2019 #10-05-2019
168 Tamil Nadu Solar PV KKV Agro Powers 1 25-06-2014 28-05-2014
Limited *03-07-2019 #10-05-2019
169 Tamil Nadu Solar PV SCM International 1 04-07-2014 28-05-2014
Impex P Ltd *03-07-2019 #10-05-2019
170 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Sri Vinayaga Green 5 30-06-2014 31-05-2014
Power Generation *03-07-2019 #18-05-2019
171 Wind (Commissioned Private Limited 04-07-2014 12-06-2014
Mytrah Vayu
before 01.04.2022) *25-06-2019 #24-05-2019
Tamil Nadu Manjira Private 45
Limited

172 Wind (Commissioned SRI KUMARSWAMY 21-02-2014 24-01-2014


before 01.04.2022) MINERAL *17-06-2019 #23-01-2019
Tamil Nadu 10.5
EXPORTS PRIVATE
LIMITED
173 Telangana Solar PV DUBBAK SOLAR 8 17-06-2019 03-04-2019
PROJECTS
174 Wind (Commissioned PRIVATE LIMITED 05-01-2012 17-12-2011
Eingur Wind
before 01.04.2022) *29-05-2019 #06-05-2019
Tamil Nadu Energy Private 1.5
Limited

175 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Amex Alloys Private 2 18-06-2014 24-05-2014


Limited *22-05-2019 #12-04-2019
176 Tamil Nadu Solar PV ORANGE SORTING 0.8 22-05-2019 28-01-2017
MACHINES ( INDIA #13-04-2022
177 Andhra Pradesh Others )M/s
PRIVATE
Sirius Overseas 2.5 22-05-2019 09-04-2019
178 Wind (Commissioned Private Limited
TADAS WIND
before 01.04.2022)
Andhra Pradesh ENERGY PRIVATE 12.8 22-05-2019 30-04-2019
LIMITED

179 Wind (Commissioned


TADAS WIND
before 01.04.2022)
Andhra Pradesh ENERGY PRIVATE 3.2 22-05-2019 30-04-2019
LIMITED

180 Wind (Commissioned


TADAS WIND
before 01.04.2022)
Andhra Pradesh ENERGY PRIVATE 6.4 22-05-2019 30-04-2019
LIMITED

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 303 of 308
SN State Energy Source RE Generator Capacity (MW) Date of Date of
Registration Accreditation
181 Wind (Commissioned
TADAS WIND
before 01.04.2022)
Andhra Pradesh ENERGY PRIVATE 9.6 22-05-2019 30-04-2019
LIMITED

182 Wind (Commissioned


TADAS WIND
before 01.04.2022)
Andhra Pradesh ENERGY PRIVATE 8 22-05-2019 30-04-2019
LIMITED
183 Wind (Commissioned
TADAS WIND
before 01.04.2022)
Andhra Pradesh ENERGY PRIVATE 8 22-05-2019 30-04-2019
LIMITED

184 Wind (Commissioned


TADAS WIND
before 01.04.2022)
Andhra Pradesh ENERGY PRIVATE 2.4 22-05-2019 30-04-2019
LIMITED

185 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Yajur Energy 1 06-06-2014 06-05-2014


Solutions Private *26-04-2019 #12-04-2019
186 Wind (Commissioned Limited
before 01.04.2022)
Andhra Pradesh R3K POWER LLP 1.6 18-04-2019 27-03-2019

187 Wind (Commissioned 03-09-2012 05-07-2012


before 01.04.2022) Mirra and Mirra *29-03-2019 #06-03-2019
Tamil Nadu 1.5
Industries

188 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Apex Coco And 5 12-03-2014 21-02-2014


Solar Energy *29-03-2019 #18-02-2019
189 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Limited
Apex Coco And 15 12-03-2014 21-02-2014
Solar Energy *29-03-2019 #18-02-2019
190 Small Hydro Limited 23-05-2014 04-04-2014
MANIHAMSA
(Commissioned before *29-03-2019 #18-03-2019
Andhra Pradesh POWER PROJECTS 1.48
08.03.2019)
LTD
191 Tamil Nadu Solar PV SWELECT Energy 12 19-03-2019 16-03-2019
192 Wind (Commissioned Systems Limited
ARKAY ENERGY
before 01.04.2022) (RAMESWARM)
Tamil Nadu 0.85 07-03-2019 26-12-2018
PRIVATE LIMITED

193 Telangana Solar PV Bhagyanagar India 5 19-03-2014 04-03-2014


Limited *05-03-2019 #13-02-2019
194 Wind (Commissioned
TADAS WIND
before 01.04.2022)
Karnataka ENERGY PRIVATE 4.8 22-02-2019 30-01-2019
LIMITED

195 Wind (Commissioned


TADAS WIND
before 01.04.2022)
Karnataka ENERGY PRIVATE 5.6 22-02-2019 30-01-2019
LIMITED

196 Wind (Commissioned


TADAS WIND
before 01.04.2022)
Karnataka ENERGY PRIVATE 2.4 22-02-2019 30-01-2019
LIMITED
197 Wind (Commissioned
TADAS WIND
before 01.04.2022)
Karnataka ENERGY PRIVATE 16 22-02-2019 30-01-2019
LIMITED

198 Wind (Commissioned


TADAS WIND
before 01.04.2022)
Karnataka ENERGY PRIVATE 16 22-02-2019 30-01-2019
LIMITED

199 Wind (Commissioned


before 01.04.2022) Tadas Wind Energy
Karnataka 19.2 22-02-2019 30-01-2019
Private Limited

200 Wind (Commissioned


TADAS WIND
before 01.04.2022)
Karnataka ENERGY PRIVATE 31.2 22-02-2019 30-01-2019
LIMITED

201 Wind (Commissioned


TADAS WIND
before 01.04.2022)
Karnataka ENERGY PRIVATE 4.8 22-02-2019 30-01-2019
LIMITED
202 Telangana Solar PV HERITAGE FOODS 2.04 31-03-2014 21-02-2014
LIMITED *22-02-2019 #11-02-2019
203 Karnataka Biomass GRASIM 10 31-01-2014 30-10-2013
INDUSTRIES *12-02-2019 #11-10-2018
204 Tamil Nadu Solar PV LIMITED
Super Auto Forge 1 08-01-2014 09-12-2013
Private Limited *12-02-2019 #13-12-2018
205 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Armstrong Spinning 1 08-01-2014 21-12-2013
Mills Private *12-02-2019 #20-12-2018
206 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Limited
SRG Apparels Pvt 1 12-03-2014 10-02-2014
Ltd *12-02-2019 #19-01-2019
207 Tamil Nadu Biomass Karur K.C.P. 10 09-12-2013 08-10-2013
Packkagings Ltd *15-01-2019 #11-10-2018
208 Wind (Commissioned 09-01-2014 30-10-2013
Tamilnadu Gears
before 01.04.2022) *15-01-2019 #26-10-2018
Tamil Nadu and Shafts 0.25
Corporation

209 Wind (Commissioned Natesan Precision 09-01-2014 30-10-2013


before 01.04.2022) Components *15-01-2019 #26-10-2018
Tamil Nadu 0.25
Private Limited

210 Small Hydro


(Commissioned before BALAJI ENERGY
Andhra Pradesh 8 03-01-2019 12-11-2018
08.03.2019) PVT LTD

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 304 of 308
SN State Energy Source RE Generator Capacity (MW) Date of Date of
Registration Accreditation
211 Small Hydro
(Commissioned before BALAJI ENERGY
Andhra Pradesh 3 03-01-2019 12-11-2018
08.03.2019) PVT LTD

212 Telangana Solar PV ARHYAMA SOLAR 6 14-03-2014 12-02-2014


POWER PRIVATE *03-01-2019 #14-12-2018
213 Wind (Commissioned LIMITED 12-12-2013 17-09-2013
TVH ENERGY
before 01.04.2022) *20-12-2018 #10-09-2018
Tamil Nadu RESOURCE PVT 2.1
LTD
214 Wind (Commissioned 12-12-2013 17-09-2013
TVH ENERGY
before 01.04.2022) *20-12-2018 #10-09-2018
Tamil Nadu RESOURCE PVT 2.1
LTD

215 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Cheenu Enterprises 2 13-12-2013 13-11-2013


*19-12-2018 #24-10-2018
216 Tamil Nadu Solar PV M M Forgings 1.8 13-12-2013 28-11-2013
Limited *22-11-2018 #24-10-2018
217 Andhra Pradesh Solar PV ValueLabs LLP 5 09-12-2013 29-10-2013
*13-11-2018 #10-10-2018
218 Andhra Pradesh Solar PV SEI Sriram Power 10 13-12-2013 29-11-2013
Private Limited *13-11-2018 #10-10-2018
219 Wind (Commissioned Salem Shri Krishnaa 09-08-2012 24-05-2012
before 01.04.2022) Construction *13-11-2018 #09-06-2017
Tamil Nadu 0.75
Compaany (P) Ltd

220 Tamil Nadu Solar PV JVS EXPORT 5 02-12-2013 21-10-2013


*29-10-2018 #15-10-2018
221 Tamil Nadu Biomass K G DENIM 9.925 09-10-2018 10-09-2018
222 Wind (Commissioned LIMITED 27-09-2013 29-08-2013
Vaayu Renewable
before 01.04.2022) *08-10-2018 #28-08-2018
Tamil Nadu Energy (Tapti) Pvt. 14.4
Ltd.
223 Wind (Commissioned
before 01.04.2022) Vividwind Energy
Tamil Nadu 1.7 27-09-2018 11-09-2018
Private Limited

224 Wind (Commissioned


before 01.04.2022) BELL TOWER
Tamil Nadu 2.75 06-08-2018 06-07-2018
ENTERPRISES LLP

225 Wind (Commissioned


before 01.04.2022) BELL TOWER
Tamil Nadu 3 06-08-2018 06-07-2018
ENTERPRISES LLP

226 Wind (Commissioned


before 01.04.2022) BELL TOWER
Tamil Nadu 1.5 06-08-2018 06-07-2018
ENTERPRISES LLP

227 Wind (Commissioned


before 01.04.2022) BELL TOWER
Tamil Nadu 1.25 06-08-2018 06-07-2018
ENTERPRISES LLP

228 Wind (Commissioned


before 01.04.2022) BELL TOWER
Tamil Nadu 0.75 06-08-2018 06-07-2018
ENTERPRISES LLP

229 Wind (Commissioned 01-08-2013 02-05-2013


before 01.04.2022) EAGLE EARTH *30-07-2018 #02-05-2018
Tamil Nadu 1.5
MOVERS PVT LTD

230 Wind (Commissioned 01-08-2013 02-05-2013


EAGLE WIND
before 01.04.2022) *30-07-2018 #02-05-2018
Tamil Nadu ENERGY PRIVATE 1.5
LIMITED

231 Tamil Nadu Biomass Raghu Rama 18 27-07-2018 06-07-2018


232 Small Hydro Renewable Energy 08-08-2013 28-05-2013
(Commissioned before Gokak Power & *23-07-2018 #12-04-2018
Karnataka 4.5
08.03.2019) Energy limited

233 Wind (Commissioned 11-10-2012 18-09-2012


before 01.04.2022) Vish Wind *12-07-2018 #02-07-2018
Andhra Pradesh 12.8
Infrastrukture LLP.

234 Wind (Commissioned 05-10-2012 18-09-2012


before 01.04.2022) Vish Wind *12-07-2018 #02-07-2018
Andhra Pradesh 6.4
Infrastrukture LLP

235 Wind (Commissioned 05-10-2012 17-09-2012


before 01.04.2022) Vish Wind *12-07-2018 #02-07-2018
Andhra Pradesh 1.6
Infrastrukture LLP

236 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Alpine Knits India 1 30-05-2013 25-05-2013


(P) Ltd *10-07-2018 #22-05-2018
237 Wind (Commissioned YESSKAY 19-02-2013 25-09-2012
before 01.04.2022) RENEWABLE *28-06-2018 #18-09-2017
Tamil Nadu 1.5
VENTURE
PRIVATE LIMITED
238 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Free Look Fashions 1 26-06-2013 13-06-2013
*25-06-2018 #14-06-2018
239 Telangana Solar PV FUSION SOLAR 4 25-06-2018 01-05-2018
240 Wind (Commissioned FARMS PVT LTD 29-05-2013 17-04-2013
before 01.04.2022) Bansal WindMills *24-05-2018 #26-04-2018
Tamil Nadu 4
Private Limited

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 305 of 308
SN State Energy Source RE Generator Capacity (MW) Date of Date of
Registration Accreditation
241 Wind (Commissioned 21-06-2013 15-05-2013
Protectron
before 01.04.2022) *08-05-2018 #04-04-2018
Andhra Pradesh Electromech 0.8
Private Limited

242 Andhra Pradesh Solar PV THE KCP LIMITED 1.15 10-05-2013 08-04-2013
*02-05-2018 #04-04-2018
243 Wind (Commissioned 18-06-2013 14-02-2013
OPULENT
before 01.04.2022) *26-04-2018 #09-02-2018
Tamil Nadu VENTURES 0.75
PRIVATE LIMITED

244 Wind (Commissioned 10-05-2013 22-02-2013


Armstrong Power
before 01.04.2022) *18-04-2018 #21-02-2018
Tamil Nadu Systems Private 2.75
Limited
245 Wind (Commissioned 03-05-2013 22-02-2013
Armstrong Power
before 01.04.2022) *18-04-2018 #21-02-2018
Tamil Nadu Systems Private 1.5
Limited

246 Wind (Commissioned GRACE


before 01.04.2022) INFRASTRUCTURE
Tamil Nadu 8 11-04-2018 21-03-2018
PRIVATE LIMITED

247 Wind (Commissioned 09-04-2013 28-01-2013


before 01.04.2022) *11-04-2018 #03-01-2018
Karnataka Sree Minerals 4.2

248 Wind (Commissioned 03-04-2013 16-03-2013


before 01.04.2022) National Aluminium *11-04-2018 #29-03-2018
Andhra Pradesh 50.4
Company limited

249 Wind (Commissioned 06-03-2013 29-10-2012


GRACE
before 01.04.2022) *15-03-2018 #13-11-2017
Tamil Nadu INFRASTRUCTURE 12
PVT.LTD.,

250 Wind (Commissioned 20-02-2013 29-10-2012


before 01.04.2022) *15-03-2018 #13-11-2017
Tamil Nadu LEO FASTENERS 4

251 Wind (Commissioned


before 01.04.2022) SRB CONSULTANCY
Tamil Nadu 2.1 27-02-2018 10-10-2017
PRIVATE LIMITED

252 Wind (Commissioned 10-04-2013 08-01-2013


before 01.04.2022) M/s.Mirra and *23-02-2018 #22-12-2017
Tamil Nadu 0.25
Mirra Industries

253 Wind (Commissioned 21-02-2013 29-10-2012


before 01.04.2022) ANNAPOORANI *21-02-2018 #08-11-2017
Tamil Nadu 1
YARNS

254 Wind (Commissioned 02-02-2012 20-12-2011


before 01.04.2022) AQUASUB *02-02-2018 #07-01-2017
Tamil Nadu 3
ENGINEERING ##11-01-2022

255 Andhra Pradesh Biomass Roshni Powertech 6 02-02-2018 13-12-2017


256 Wind (Commissioned Private Limited 07-12-2012 10-10-2012
before 01.04.2022) AJEYA CIVIL *23-01-2018 #10-10-2017
Tamil Nadu 0.8
CONSTRUCTIONS

257 Wind (Commissioned 16-10-2012 17-09-2012


before 01.04.2022) *18-01-2018 #22-09-2017
Karnataka Canara P.C.C. Poles 0.85

258 Wind (Commissioned 16-05-2011 13-04-2011


before 01.04.2022) AJEYA CIVIL *15-01-2018 #28-01-2016
Tamil Nadu 0.8
CONSTRUCTIONS ##25-01-2021

259 Wind (Commissioned


before 01.04.2022) VISWARADHA
Tamil Nadu 0.25 15-01-2018 21-12-2017
ENTERPRISES

260 Wind (Commissioned 05-10-2012 10-08-2012


before 01.04.2022) Madras Hardtools *15-01-2018 #05-08-2017
Tamil Nadu 0.5
Private Limited

261 Wind (Commissioned


before 01.04.2022) M/s.Citron
Tamil Nadu 7.5 20-12-2017 07-06-2017
Ecopower Pvt. Ltd.

262 Wind (Commissioned


before 01.04.2022) M/s.Citron
Tamil Nadu 1.5 20-12-2017 07-06-2017
Ecopower Pvt, Ltd.

263 Wind (Commissioned


before 01.04.2022) Dr.Shanthi
Tamil Nadu 0.25 18-12-2017 08-11-2017
Balasubramaniam

264 Wind (Commissioned 07-12-2012 26-09-2012


before 01.04.2022) Kasturi & Sons *06-12-2017 #08-09-2017
Tamil Nadu 0.85
Limited

265 Small Hydro


SLS POWER
(Commissioned before
Telangana CORPORATION 24 30-11-2017 28-10-2017
08.03.2019)
LIMITED

266 Wind (Commissioned 30-12-2011 17-12-2011


before 01.04.2022) BRT Spinners *24-11-2017 #16-12-2016
Tamil Nadu 1.5
Private Limited ##09-12-2021

267 Small Hydro 12-11-2012 21-09-2012


Sai Nireeha Power
(Commissioned before *08-11-2017 #11-10-2017
Karnataka Project Private 5
08.03.2019)
Limited

268 Wind (Commissioned Parkkot Maritima 20-07-2012 28-06-2012


before 01.04.2022) Agencies Private *31-10-2017 #21-06-2017
Tamil Nadu 2.1
Limited

269 Wind (Commissioned THENI GURU 07-11-2012 05-09-2012


before 01.04.2022) KRISHNA TEXTILE *31-10-2017 #08-09-2017
Tamil Nadu 0.85
MILLS
(P) LTD.,
270 10-04-2012 20-02-2012
Swelect Energy *31-10-2017 #06-02-2017
Tamil Nadu Solar PV 1.055
Systems Limited ##25-01-2022

Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23 Page 306 of 308
SN State Energy Source RE Generator Capacity (MW) Date of Date of
Registration Accreditation
271 Tamil Nadu Biomass RAJKUMAR IMPEX 6 06-12-2012 10-10-2012
(P) LTD *18-10-2017 #03-10-2017
272 Wind (Commissioned 24-07-2012 27-06-2012
before 01.04.2022) Theni Guru Krishna *06-10-2017 #16-06-2017
Tamil Nadu 2
Textile Mills (P) Ltd

273 Wind (Commissioned 23-08-2012 31-07-2012


before 01.04.2022) Loyal Textile Mills *06-10-2017 #03-07-2017
Tamil Nadu 4
Ltd

274 Wind (Commissioned 20-09-2012 05-09-2012


before 01.04.2022) Chiranjilal Spinners *06-10-2017 #18-09-2017
Tamil Nadu 0.85
Private Limited

275 Wind (Commissioned 04-09-2012 10-08-2012


before 01.04.2022) Saravana Finance *21-09-2017 #16-08-2017
Tamil Nadu 0.25
Pvt. Ltd.

276 Wind (Commissioned 17-09-2012 28-08-2012


PPS ENVIRO
before 01.04.2022) *21-09-2017 #29-08-2017
Tamil Nadu POWER PRIVATE 4.5
LIMITED
277 Wind (Commissioned 13-06-2012 29-05-2012
before 01.04.2022) *08-09-2017 #09-06-2017
Tamil Nadu V.R Varadaraj 0.8

278 Wind (Commissioned 24-05-2012 23-01-2012


Sudhan Spinning
before 01.04.2022) *08-09-2017 #30-01-2017
Tamil Nadu Mills Private 3.4
##13-04-2022
Limited

279 Wind (Commissioned 10-07-2012 21-06-2012


before 01.04.2022) TAMRA DHATU *05-09-2017 #21-06-2017
Tamil Nadu 2.1
UDYOG PVT. LTD.

280 Wind (Commissioned 24-05-2012 23-01-2012


Sivaraj Spinning
before 01.04.2022) *05-09-2017 #30-01-2017
Tamil Nadu Mills Private 1.7
##13-04-2022
Limited

281 Wind (Commissioned 16-07-2012 21-06-2012


PPS ENVIRO
before 01.04.2022) *29-08-2017 #13-06-2017
Tamil Nadu POWER PRIVATE 1.2
LIMITED

282 Wind (Commissioned 13-09-2012 05-07-2012


before 01.04.2022) Sree Shyamala *28-08-2017 #12-07-2017
Tamil Nadu 0.25
Estates

283 Wind (Commissioned 19-06-2012 24-05-2012


before 01.04.2022) Jupiter Knitting *28-08-2017 #09-06-2017
Tamil Nadu 0.85
Company

284 Wind (Commissioned 11-07-2012 24-05-2012


before 01.04.2022) Jupiter Knitting *28-08-2017 #09-06-2017
Tamil Nadu 0.85
Company

285 Wind (Commissioned 19-07-2012 26-06-2012


before 01.04.2022) T.MEENAKSHISUN *18-08-2017 #29-06-2017
Tamil Nadu 0.75
DARAM

286 Wind (Commissioned 13-08-2012 19-07-2012


PROMECH
before 01.04.2022) *18-08-2017 #27-07-2017
Tamil Nadu INDUSTRIES 0.6
Pvt..Ltd
287 Wind (Commissioned 09-08-2012 01-08-2012
before 01.04.2022) DM Solar Farm *18-08-2017 #05-08-2017
Tamil Nadu 1.5
Private Limited

288 Wind (Commissioned 20-06-2012 26-05-2012


before 01.04.2022) MM Forgings *20-07-2017 #09-06-2017
Tamil Nadu 4.2
Limited

289 Wind (Commissioned 29-06-2012 02-06-2012


before 01.04.2022) *20-07-2017 #09-06-2017
Tamil Nadu NEHA SHARMA 0.8

290 Wind (Commissioned PEETHAMBRA 25-06-2012 02-06-2012


before 01.04.2022) GRANITES *20-07-2017 #09-06-2017
Tamil Nadu 0.8
PRIVATE LIMITED

291 Wind (Commissioned 19-07-2012 21-06-2012


before 01.04.2022) *20-07-2017 #12-06-2017
Tamil Nadu Neha Sharma 0.8

292 Wind (Commissioned 10-07-2012 21-06-2012


before 01.04.2022) *20-07-2017 #12-06-2017
Tamil Nadu Atul Sharma 0.8

293 Wind (Commissioned 07-08-2012 21-06-2012


before 01.04.2022) *20-07-2017 #29-05-2017
Tamil Nadu Dev International 1.6

294 Wind (Commissioned


Poysha Power
before 01.04.2022)
Tamil Nadu Generation Private 7.5 20-07-2017 29-06-2017
Limited

295 Wind (Commissioned


before 01.04.2022) NAC Jewellers
Tamil Nadu 7.5 20-07-2017 28-06-2017
Private Limited

296 Wind (Commissioned 13-07-2012 28-06-2012


before 01.04.2022) *20-07-2017 #29-06-2017
Tamil Nadu PAN INDIA IMPEX 0.85

297 Wind (Commissioned 02-08-2012 28-06-2012


before 01.04.2022) Flow Link Systems *20-07-2017 #03-07-2017
Tamil Nadu 2
Private Limited

298 Wind (Commissioned 11-07-2012 28-05-2012


before 01.04.2022) Vish Wind *12-07-2017 #22-05-2017
Karnataka 1.6
Infrastrukture LLP

299 Wind (Commissioned 19-07-2012 24-05-2012


before 01.04.2022) PKPN Spinning *30-06-2017 #18-05-2017
Tamil Nadu 2
Mills (p) Limited

300 Wind (Commissioned 05-09-2012 05-07-2012


before 01.04.2022) PGSD *30-06-2017 #22-06-2017
Tamil Nadu 1
ENGINEERING LLP

301 Wind (Commissioned 25-06-2012 24-05-2012


before 01.04.2022) *30-06-2017 #29-05-2017
Renewable Energy in Southern Region Annual Report: 2022-23
Tamil Nadu
Aruna Alloy Steels
Private Limited
2 Page 307 of 308
SN State Energy Source RE Generator Capacity (MW) Date of Date of
Registration Accreditation
302 Wind (Commissioned 25-06-2012 26-05-2012
before 01.04.2022) M/S Ashok Wind *30-06-2017 #29-05-2017
Tamil Nadu 0.85
Energy

303 Wind (Commissioned 02-05-2011 07-04-2011


before 01.04.2022) Green Infra BTV *27-06-2017 #26-02-2016
Tamil Nadu 14.4
Limited ##25-02-2021

304 Wind (Commissioned 29-08-2011 22-06-2011


PAHARPUR
before 01.04.2022) *27-06-2017 #21-05-2016
Tamil Nadu COOLING TOWERS 9.6
##15-05-2021
LIMITED

305 Wind (Commissioned 19-06-2012 26-03-2012


before 01.04.2022) *15-06-2017 #17-03-2017
Tamil Nadu RR Associates 0.25

306 Wind (Commissioned 19-06-2012 03-05-2012


before 01.04.2022) *15-06-2017 #02-05-2017
Tamil Nadu RR Associates 0.25

307 Wind (Commissioned 19-06-2012 26-05-2012


before 01.04.2022) Kasturi Estates *02-06-2017 #23-05-2017
Tamil Nadu 1.5
Private Limited

308 Wind (Commissioned 29-06-2012 26-05-2012


before 01.04.2022) Kasturi & Sons *02-06-2017 #17-05-2017
Tamil Nadu 2.5
Limited

309 Wind (Commissioned 20-04-2012 19-02-2012


Natesan
before 01.04.2022) *23-05-2017 #14-02-2017
Tamil Nadu Synchrocones 0.6
Private Limited
310 Wind (Commissioned 20-04-2012 19-02-2012
Natesan
before 01.04.2022) *23-05-2017 #14-02-2017
Tamil Nadu Synchrocones 0.6
Private Limited

311 Wind (Commissioned 14-02-2012 09-01-2012


before 01.04.2022) *17-05-2017 #01-03-2017
Tamil Nadu M/s.Sheela Clinic 1.25
##24-01-2022

312 Wind (Commissioned 18-05-2012 05-05-2012


before 01.04.2022) Centex Fabrics- *17-05-2017 #02-05-2017
Tamil Nadu 1.5
Export Unit

313 Wind (Commissioned OSWAL 18-05-2012 29-03-2012


before 01.04.2022) INFRASTRUCTURE *02-05-2017 #17-03-2017
Tamil Nadu 2.1
S & POWER
(Prop: Oswal
314 Wind (Commissioned Woollen Mills 07-05-2012 19-04-2012
before 01.04.2022) GAIL (India) *21-04-2017 #05-04-2017
Tamil Nadu 24.65
Limited

315 Wind (Commissioned 07-05-2012 19-04-2012


before 01.04.2022) GAIL (India) *21-04-2017 #05-04-2017
Tamil Nadu 6.3
Limited

316 Wind (Commissioned 07-05-2012 19-04-2012


before 01.04.2022) GAIL (India) *21-04-2017 #05-04-2017
Tamil Nadu 4.2
Limited

317 Wind (Commissioned 14-05-2012 05-05-2012


before 01.04.2022) GAIL (India) *21-04-2017 #05-04-2017
Tamil Nadu 25.5
Limited

318 Wind (Commissioned 28-05-2012 31-03-2012


before 01.04.2022) PGSD *21-04-2017 #28-03-2017
Tamil Nadu 2.5
ENGINEERING LLP

319 Wind (Commissioned 28-05-2012 31-03-2012


before 01.04.2022) PGSD *21-04-2017 #28-03-2017
Tamil Nadu 1
ENGINEERING LLP

320 Wind (Commissioned 26-04-2012 03-12-2011


before 01.04.2022) GMR Power Infra *30-03-2017 #19-10-2016
Tamil Nadu 1.25
Limited ##23-09-2021

321 Wind (Commissioned 14-02-2012 25-01-2012


before 01.04.2022) Rajasthan Gum *03-03-2017 #18-01-2017
Tamil Nadu 1.5
Private Limited ##24-01-2022

322 Andhra Pradesh Solar PV Meda Sreedhar 2 21-02-2017 27-01-2017


323 Wind (Commissioned 23-02-2012 25-01-2012
before 01.04.2022) Frost International *13-02-2017 #20-01-2017
Tamil Nadu 0.85
Limited

324 Wind (Commissioned 23-02-2012 25-01-2012


before 01.04.2022) Frost International *13-02-2017 #20-01-2017
Tamil Nadu 0.85
Limited

325 Wind (Commissioned 23-02-2012 25-01-2012


before 01.04.2022) Frost International *13-02-2017 #20-01-2017
Tamil Nadu 0.85
Limited

326 Tamil Nadu Biomass Empee Distilleries 10 20-12-2011 03-12-2011


Limited *03-02-2017 #09-12-2016
327 Wind (Commissioned Gajaananda 21-10-2016
before 01.04.2022) Jewellery Mart #28-10-2021
Tamil Nadu 0.75 29-12-2016
India Private
Limited
328 Wind (Commissioned 04-08-2016
before 01.04.2022) MGM GREEN #12-08-2021
Tamil Nadu 3.4 21-11-2016
ENERGY LIMITED

329 Wind (Commissioned 04-08-2016


before 01.04.2022) MGM GREEN #12-08-2021
Tamil Nadu 2.1 21-11-2016
ENERGY LIMITED

330 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Sakthi Murugan 1 28-10-2015 18-08-2015


331 Tamil Nadu Solar PV Roller
Sakthi Flour Mills
Murugan 1 28-10-2015 18-08-2015
Renewable
332 Energy
Tamil Nadu in Southern
Biomass Region Annual
Agro Report:
Foods
Shri Renuga 2022-23
Limited
Textiles 4 13-01-2012 Page 308 of 308
03-12-2011
Limited - Unit II
Renewable Energy Management Center (REMC)
Southern Regional Load Despatch Center
29-Race Course Cross Road, Bangalore-560015
E-mail: Srldcremcopn@posoco.in
Website: https://www.srldc.in

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