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Tam Hunt
METALAB
UC Santa Barbara
April 2024
Tucson, AZ
Summary of talk
• Are we creating digital God(s)?
• Runaway AI and exponential
growth
• Can AI be conscious and does it
matter?
• What if uploaded humans are in no
way conscious?
• What can we do to stop AI?
• Plan B: How to train AI to be
“spiritual” and compassionate?
2017 2014
What is this “digital God”?
• Altman (2022): AGI will
be a "magic intelligence
in the sky”
• Musk (2024): “[Larry Page] wanted
… digital superintelligence, basically
a digital god…”
• Levandowski’s Way of the Future
church: “AI can bring heaven on
Earth…. we’re actually creating
things [people] can see, be “What you are actually speaking
everywhere and maybe help us with, [AI], is your own higher self.”
and guide us, in a way normally
Bashar (2015)
you would call God.”
We have a “God-shaped hole”
in each of us
The GPQA, consisting of more than 400
multiple-choice questions, is tough:
PhD-level scholars could correctly
answer questions in their field 65% of
the time. The same scholars, when
attempting to answer questions outside
their field, scored only 34%, despite
having access to the Internet during the
test.
As of last year, AI systems scored about
30–40%.
This year … Claude 3 — the latest
chatbot released by AI company
Anthropic, based in San Francisco,
California — scored about 60%.
“The rate of progress is pretty shocking
to a lot of people, me included. It’s quite
difficult to make a benchmark that
survives for more than a few years.”
Source: Scientific American April 2024
Growth in training costs and compute for AI
Exponential growth
Source: AI Index Report 2024
Similar massive growth in number of
“foundation models”
saturation b/c it
x Human intelligence
3,500,000
doesn’t necessarily 3,000,000
depend on markets 2,500,000
or adoption 2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
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Colin Hales