Andhra Pradesh Assembly Election Favourability Prediction Survey 2024

OUR TRACK RECORD

TOTAL ELECTION PREDICTIONS ACCURATE PREDICTIONS
14 12

OUR SOUTH INDIA ELECTION PREDICTIONS TRACK RECORD

S.NO ELECTION YEAR STATE OUR PREDICTION ACTUAL RESULT ACCURATE
1 2023 Telangana Congress (67-75) 64 YES
2 2023 Karnataka Congress (118-130) 135 YES
3 2021 Tamil Nadu DMK (167-178) 159 YES
4 2019 Andhra Pradesh YSRCP (129-139) 151 YES
5 2018 Telangana TRS (72-78) 88 YES
6 2018 Karnataka Congress (110-125) 80 NO

2024 ANDHRA PRADESH ASSEMBLY ELECTION SURVEY (22nd Feb – 23rd Mar, 2024)
SAMPLE COUNT INFLUENCER CALLS RDD & RBS (Phone) FIELD SURVEY SAMPLING ERROR
50236 3203 45106 1927 ±2%

S.NO DISTRICT CONSTITUENCY EXPECTED TO WIN SLIGHT EDGE UNCLEAR

1 SRIKAKULAM SRIKAKULAM Keen Contest
2 SRIKAKULAM AMADALAVALASA TDP+
3 SRIKAKULAM ETCHERLA YSRCP
4 SRIKAKULAM PATHAPATNAM Keen Contest
5 SRIKAKULAM NARASANNAPETA YSRCP
6 SRIKAKULAM TEKKALI TDP+
7 SRIKAKULAM ICHCHAPURAM TDP+
8 SRIKAKULAM PALASA TDP+
9 SRIKAKULAM RAJAM (SC) Keen Contest
10 SRIKAKULAM PALAKONDA (ST) YSRCP
11 VIZIANAGARAM VIZIANAGARAM TDP+
12 VIZIANAGARAM BOBBILI TDP+
13 VIZIANAGARAM GAJAPATHI NAGARAM YSRCP
14 VIZIANAGARAM CHIPURUPALLE YSRCP
15 VIZIANAGARAM NELLIMARLA YSRCP
16 VIZIANAGARAM KURUPAM (ST) YSRCP
17 VIZIANAGARAM PARVATHIPURAM (SC) YSRCP
18 VIZIANAGARAM SALUR(ST) YSRCP
19 VIZIANAGARAM SRUNGAVARAPUKOTA TDP+
20 VISAKHAPATNAM GAJUWAKA TDP+
21 VISAKHAPATNAM VISAKHAPATNAM SOUTH TDP+
22 VISAKHAPATNAM VISAKHAPATNAM NORTH Keen Contest
23 VISAKHAPATNAM BHIMILI TDP+
24 VISAKHAPATNAM VISAKHAPATNAM EAST TDP+
25 VISAKHAPATNAM VISAKHAPATNAM WEST TDP+
26 VISAKHAPATNAM PENDURTHI TDP+
27 VISAKHAPATNAM PAYAKARAOPET (SC) TDP+
28 VISAKHAPATNAM CHODAVARAM TDP+
29 VISAKHAPATNAM NARSIPATNAM TDP+
30 VISAKHAPATNAM ANAKAPALLI TDP+
31 VISAKHAPATNAM MADUGULA Keen Contest
32 VISAKHAPATNAM YELAMANCHILI TDP+
33 VISAKHAPATNAM ARAKU VALLEY (ST) YSRCP
34 VISAKHAPATNAM PADERU (ST) YSRCP
35 EAST GODAVARI PRATHIPADU TDP+
36 EAST GODAVARI JAGGAMPETA TDP+
37 EAST GODAVARI TUNI YSRCP
38 EAST GODAVARI PITHAPURAM TDP+
39 EAST GODAVARI KAKINADA CITY Keen Contest
40 EAST GODAVARI KAKINADA RURAL TDP+
41 EAST GODAVARI PEDDAPURAM TDP+
42 EAST GODAVARI RAZOLE (SC) TDP+
43 EAST GODAVARI KOTHAPETA TDP+
44 EAST GODAVARI MUMMIDIVARAM TDP+
45 EAST GODAVARI RAMACHANDRAPURAM Keen Contest
46 EAST GODAVARI AMALAPURAM (SC) TDP+
47 EAST GODAVARI P GANNAVARAM Keen Contest
48 EAST GODAVARI MANDAPETA TDP+
49 EAST GODAVARI ANAPARTHY YSRCP
50 EAST GODAVARI RAJANAGARAM Keen Contest
51 EAST GODAVARI RAJAHMUNDRY CITY TDP+
52 EAST GODAVARI RAJAHMUNDRY RURAL TDP+
53 EAST GODAVARI RAMPACHODAVARAM YSRCP
54 WEST GODAVARI KOVVUR (SC) TDP+
55 WEST GODAVARI NARASAPURAM TDP+
56 WEST GODAVARI BHIMAVARAM TDP+
57 WEST GODAVARI ACHANTA TDP+
58 WEST GODAVARI TANUKU TDP+
59 WEST GODAVARI UNDI TDP+
60 WEST GODAVARI TADEPALLIGUDEM TDP+
61 WEST GODAVARI PALAKOLLU TDP+
62 WEST GODAVARI CHINTALAPUDI (SC) Keen Contest
63 WEST GODAVARI DENDULURU TDP+
64 WEST GODAVARI POLAVARAM (ST) YSRCP
65 WEST GODAVARI ELURU TDP+
66 WEST GODAVARI UNGUTURU Keen Contest
67 WEST GODAVARI NIDADAVOLE TDP+
68 WEST GODAVARI GOPALAPURAM (SC) YSRCP
69 KRISHNA PAMARRU (SC) YSRCP
70 KRISHNA AVANIGADDA Keen Contest
71 KRISHNA MACHILIPATNAM TDP+
72 KRISHNA PEDANA TDP+
73 KRISHNA GUDIVADA TDP+
74 KRISHNA GANNAVARAM TDP+
75 KRISHNA PENAMALURU TDP+
76 KRISHNA NANDIGAMA (SC) TDP+
77 KRISHNA TIRUVURU (SC) TDP+
78 KRISHNA VIJAYAWADA EAST TDP+
79 KRISHNA VIJAYAWADA WEST Keen Contest
80 KRISHNA VIJAYAWADA CENTRAL TDP+
81 KRISHNA JAGGAYYAPETA TDP+
82 KRISHNA MYLAVARAM TDP+
83 KRISHNA NUZVID YSRCP
84 KRISHNA KAIKALUR Keen Contest
85 GUNTUR TADIKONDA (SC) TDP+
86 GUNTUR PRATHIPADU (SC) TDP+
87 GUNTUR TENALI TDP+
88 GUNTUR PONNURU TDP+
89 GUNTUR GUNTUR WEST TDP+
90 GUNTUR MANGALAGIRI TDP+
91 GUNTUR GUNTUR EAST Keen Contest
92 GUNTUR PEDDAKURAPADU TDP+
93 GUNTUR VINUKONDA TDP+
94 GUNTUR SATTENAPALLI TDP+
95 GUNTUR GURAZALA TDP+
96 GUNTUR CHILAKALURIPET TDP+
97 GUNTUR NARASARAOPET YSRCP
98 GUNTUR MACHERLA Keen Contest
99 GUNTUR REPALLE TDP+
100 GUNTUR BAPATLA Keen Contest
101 GUNTUR VEMURU (SC) TDP+
102 PRAKASAM ADDANKI TDP+
103 PRAKASAM PARCHUR TDP+
104 PRAKASAM CHIRALA YSRCP
105 PRAKASAM DARSI YSRCP
106 PRAKASAM YERRAGONDAPALEM (SC) Keen Contest
107 PRAKASAM GIDDALUR YSRCP
108 PRAKASAM ONGOLE TDP+
109 PRAKASAM KONDAPI (SC) TDP+
110 PRAKASAM KANIGIRI TDP+
111 PRAKASAM MARKAPURAM TDP+
112 PRAKASAM KANDUKUR TDP+
113 PRAKASAM SANTHANUTHALAPADU (SC) TDP+
114 NELLORE KAVALI YSRCP
115 NELLORE KOVUR TDP+
116 NELLORE NELLORE CITY TDP+
117 NELLORE NELLORE RURAL TDP+
118 NELLORE UDAYAGIRI TDP+
119 NELLORE ATMAKUR TDP+
120 NELLORE SARVEPALLI Keen Contest
121 NELLORE GUDUR (SC) TDP+
122 NELLORE SULLURPETA (SC) YSRCP
123 NELLORE VENKATAGIRI TDP+
124 ANANTAPUR PUTTAPARTHI YSRCP
125 ANANTAPUR HINDUPUR TDP+
126 ANANTAPUR DHARMAVARAM YSRCP
127 ANANTAPUR PENUKONDA TDP+
128 ANANTAPUR MADAKASIRA (SC) YSRCP
129 ANANTAPUR RAPTADU TDP+
130 ANANTAPUR KADIRI TDP+
131 ANANTAPUR SINGANAMALA (SC) TDP+
132 ANANTAPUR TADIPATRI TDP+
133 ANANTAPUR ANANTAPUR URBAN YSRCP
134 ANANTAPUR GUNTAKAL YSRCP
135 ANANTAPUR URAVAKONDA TDP+
136 ANANTAPUR KALYANDURG TDP+
137 ANANTAPUR RAYADURG TDP+
138 KADAPA RAYACHOTI YSRCP
139 KADAPA JAMMALAMADUGU YSRCP
140 KADAPA KADAPA TDP+
141 KADAPA BADVEL (SC) YSRCP
142 KADAPA PULIVENDULA YSRCP
143 KADAPA KAMALAPURAM Keen Contest
144 KADAPA MYDUKUR TDP+
145 KADAPA PRODDATUR YSRCP
146 KADAPA RAJAMPET Keen Contest
147 KADAPA KODUR (SC) YSRCP
148 CHITTOOR TIRUPATI YSRCP
149 CHITTOOR SATYAVEDU (SC) Keen Contest
150 CHITTOOR KUPPAM TDP+
151 CHITTOOR PALAMANER TDP+
152 CHITTOOR CHANDRAGIRI YSRCP
153 CHITTOOR G.D.NELLORE (SC) YSRCP
154 CHITTOOR NAGARI TDP+
155 CHITTOOR PUTHALAPATTU (SC) Keen Contest
156 CHITTOOR CHITTOOR Keen Contest
157 CHITTOOR MADANAPALLE YSRCP
158 CHITTOOR PUNGANUR YSRCP
159 CHITTOOR PILERU TDP+
160 CHITTOOR THAMBALLAPALLE YSRCP
161 CHITTOOR SRIKAKAHASTI Keen Contest
162 KURNOOL KODUMUR (SC) YSRCP
163 KURNOOL ADONI YSRCP
164 KURNOOL KURNOOL TDP+
165 KURNOOL MANTRALAYAM YSRCP
166 KURNOOL YEMMIGANUR TDP+
167 KURNOOL PATTIKONDA TDP+
168 KURNOOL ALUR Keen Contest
169 KURNOOL NANDIKOTKUR (SC) YSRCP
170 KURNOOL BANAGANAPALLE TDP+
171 KURNOOL ALLAGADDA Keen Contest
172 KURNOOL NANDYAL YSRCP
173 KURNOOL PANYAM Keen Contest
174 KURNOOL DHONE Keen Contest
175 KURNOOL SRISAILAM YSRCP
 SUMMARY
S.NO PARTY WIN SLIGHT EDGE KEEN CONTEST EXPECTATION
1 TDP+ 79 20 115 - 120
29
2 YSRCP 29 18 55 - 60

Vote Share

42.26%
50.00% 38.11%
40.00%

30.00%
13.47%
20.00%
6.16%
10.00%

0.00%
TDP+ YSRCP Undecided Others

Seats by Category
79
80
60
29 29
40 20 18
20
0
WIN SLIGHT EDGE KEEN CONTEST

TDP+ YSRCP

KEY OBSERVATIONS

POSITIVES FOR YSRCP

1. Positivity on few Welfare Schemes in rural areas

2. Volunteers, YSRCP In Govt
2. BJP joining TDP+JSP Alliance

NEGATIVES FOR YSRCP

1. Huge Anti Incumbency In Urban areas & Youth due to lack of Development & Employment opportunities
2. Dissent in Govt employees, Small & Medium Businesses, Self Employed, Middle class
3. Liquor, Govt Jobs, Sand, Roads, Capital Issue, Revenge politics, Disputes in YSR family
4. Unrest among farmers on Procurement prices, Drought & Cyclone relief
5. Resentment towards atrocities on Dalits, Backward Castes & Minorities

POSITIVES FOR TDP+

1. Huge Anti Incumbency on Govt, Sympathy due to Mr.Naidu's Arrest
2. TDP+JSP Alliance
3. Pro Development image, Naidu's son Padayatra, Huge support in Urban Areas
NEGATIVES FOR TDP+

1 .BJP joining TDP+JSP Alliance

2. YSRCP in Govt
3. Intra and Inter Party Squabbles for alliance in few constituencies