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CRITICAL THINKING : understanding

and evaluating dental research. Donald


Maxwell Brunette
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Critical Thinking
Understanding and Evaluating Dental Research
Third Edition

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Critical
Thinking
Understanding and Evaluating Dental Research
Third Edition

Donald Maxwell Brunette, PhD


Professor Emeritus
Department of Oral Biological and Medical Sciences
Faculty of Dentistry
University of British Columbia
Vancouver, Canada

With contributions by
Ben Balevi, DDS, MSc Helen L. Brown, MLIS, MAS, MA
Adjunct Professor Reference Librarian
Faculty of Medicine University of British Columbia Library
University of British Columbia Vancouver, Canada
Private Practice
Vancouver, Canada

Berlin, Barcelona, Chicago, Istanbul, London, Mexico City,


Milan, Moscow, Paris, Prague, São Paulo, Seoul, Tokyo, Warsaw

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Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Names: Brunette, Donald Maxwell, author.


Title: Critical thinking : understanding and evaluating dental research /
   Donald Maxwell Brunette.
Description: Third edition. | Batavia, IL : Quintessence Publishing Co, Inc,
   [2019] | Includes bibliographical references and index.
Identifiers: LCCN 2019017538 (print) | LCCN 2019018451 (ebook) | ISBN
   9780867158014 (ebook) | ISBN 9780867158007 (softcover)
Subjects:  | MESH: Dental Research
Classification: LCC RK80 (ebook) | LCC RK80 (print) | NLM WU 20.5 | DDC
   617.6/027--dc23
LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2019017538

© 2020 Quintessence Publishing Co, Inc


Quintessence Publishing Co Inc
411 N Raddant Road
Batavia, IL 60510
www.quintpub.com

5 4 3 2 1

 ll rights reserved. This book or any part thereof may not be reproduced, stored in a
A
retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical,
photocopying, or otherwise, without prior written permission of the publisher.

Editor: Zachary Kocanda


Design: Sue Zubek
Production: Sarah Minor

Printed in Korea

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Table of contents
Dedication vii
Preface viii

Reasons for Studying Critical Thinking 1

Scientific Method and the Behavior of Scientists 13

The Components of a Scientific Paper 32

Rhetoric 40

Searching the Dental Literature 55


with Helen L. Brown

Logic: The Basics 74

Introduction to Abductive and Inductive Logic: Analogy, Models,


and Authority 84

Causation 97

Quacks, Cranks, and Abuses of Logic 110

Elements of Probability and Statistics, Part 1:


Discrete Variables 128

Elements of Probability and Statistics, Part 2:


Continuous Variables 145

The Importance of Measurement in Dentistry 152

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Errors of Measurement 163

Presentation of Results 173

Diagnostic Tools and Testing 197


with Ben Balevi

Research Strategies and Threats to Validity 232

Observation 245

Correlation and Association 257

Experimentation 274

Experiment Design 288

Statistics As an Inductive Argument and Other Statistical Concepts


301

Judgment 315

Introduction to Clinical Decision Making 333


with Ben Balevi

Exercises in Critical Thinking 356

Appendices 375
Index 397

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Dedication
To the late Doug Waterfield, with whom I collaborated exten-
sively once it became clear through the in vivo studies of Babak
Chehroudi that macrophages played an important role in tissue
response to the topography of implants. Doug was a tireless advo-
cate for students in the Faculty of Dentistry and spared no effort
to help them succeed.

vii

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Preface
The need for a third edition of Critical Thinking was by researchers to demonstrate the impact of their
driven by developments in dental and biomedi- work, is also now considered, and there is updated
cal research conditions and practice, as well as information on impact factors of dental journals
reader comments. The third edition emphasizes and other bibliographic tools.
the practical application of critical thinking in A second new contributor is Ben Balevi, who
the production and evaluation of scientific takes over the chapter on diagnostic tests and
publications. A number of issues are now more measures from my former student Carol Oakley,
prominent. whose contributions continue to influence the
Thanks to the Internet, patients of today have current chapter. Ben has a master’s degree in
much more information (both accurate and evidence-based dentistry and has been recognized
inaccurate) than the patients of yesteryear. The for his contributions in this area by the American
consequence to dentists is that they must explain Dental Association.
and be prepared to justify their clinical decisions There have been considerable changes in other
with evidence. This requires that dentists be aspects of the book as well. A new chapter discusses
capable of unearthing relevant information and the function of each section of the scientific paper
evaluating alternatives by accepted criteria so so that researchers can check that their papers are
that patients can be confident in their dentist’s fulfilling the expectations of readers and referees.
recommendations. In line with the virtual revolu- The coverage on logic has expanded to include
tion entailed in dealing with the ever-expanding more material on informal logic, for example, the
scientific literature, the chapter on searching use of Walton’s critical questions for evaluating
the dental literature now emphasizes scholarly causation. The informal logic used in the refer-
publishing issues at all stages of research in addi- eeing process in which the burden of proof shifts
tion to covering more traditional topics such as from authors to reviewers and back has been
types of resources and searching techniques. The added to complement the argumentation maps
preparation of systematic reviews is discussed in found in the chapter on judgment that features
greater detail, as are the strengths and weaknesses tactical details such as rebuttals, caveats, and
of various services such as Web of Science and supporting evidence. The intent is to give inves-
Google Scholar as well as approaches to identi- tigators a practical approach to anticipating and
fying relevant evidence in grey literature and its dealing with criticisms. The chapter on judgment
use in reviews. The author of the revised chapter now includes materials of both historical (Darwin’s
is Helen Brown, who has taken over from Kathy decision to marry and Benjamin Franklin’s moral
Hornby, for whose contribution I continue to be algebra) and novel decision-making heuristics,
grateful. Helen has master’s degrees in English such as fast frugal heuristics.
literature and library science, along with frontline Clinical decision making has been given its own
experience resolving student problems in litera- chapter and expanded to include detailed, worked-
ture searches. She has made significant changes out calculations and clinical scenarios. In addition
in the emphasis of this chapter. For example, the to decision tree analysis, two elements of central
increasing trend toward open access publications importance to patients are presented with worked-
and open science initiatives is addressed, provid- out calculations: cost-effectiveness analysis and
ing important information for both prospective willingness to pay analysis.
authors and readers with limited access to expen- The chapter on diagnostic tools and testing has
sive subscription-based resources. The strengths been expanded to include new worked-out calcu-
and weaknesses of the h-index, now widely used lations and examples, as well as illustrations

viii

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to clarify this topic, which many find difficult and inform numerous sections. Regular University of Brit-
confusing. ish Columbia (UBC) contributors in this way include
The chapter on experimentation now covers Babak Chehroudi, Tim Gould, Hugh Kim, Chris Over-
randomized field trials, a method employed in caus- all, Mandana Nematollahi, Eli Konorti, and Nick Jaeger
ally dense environments such as business problems, (Electrical and Computer Engineering). Colleagues
often combined with trial-and-error approaches. The outside UBC, Christopher McCulloch (University of
technique is evolving but has been found useful by Toronto), Ken Yaegaki (Nippon Dental University),
organizations such as Google that run thousands of and Doug Hamilton (Western University), have also
randomized field trials. provided advice and encouragement. I also thank my
The statistics chapter has expanded coverage of collaborators at the Swiss Institute of Technology
Bayesian statistics, as this approach is expected to (Zurich), Professors Marcus Textor and Nicolas Spencer,
become more widely used. The chapter on presenting and my former post-doc Dr Marco Wieland, for continu-
results contains new illustrations and more extensive ing my education in surface science. Of course, I would
discussion of the integrity-based principles for display- be an ingrate if I failed to acknowledge the continuing
ing information emphasized by Tufte. The section on support of my wife Liz, sons Max and Regan (and their
the behavior of scientists has been expanded with partners Heather and Malizza), who provided various
discussion on the reproducibility crisis now shaking examples used in the book including the exploits of
some scientists’ faith in the reliability of reported my problem-solving grandson Calixte and developing
results, even including those published in high-impact gymnast granddaughter Genèvieve.
journals. All chapters have also been improved by the I also thank Quintessence for their ongoing support
addition of updates, revisions, or examples. through three editions of this work. This edition has
I acknowledge the support of my colleagues who been facilitated through the efforts of Bill Hartman and
have never hesitated to provide advice in their respec- Bryn Grisham. Zach Kocanda has been exemplary in his
tive domains of expertise. I also thank my former attention to detail, often under trying circumstances,
students, friends, and collaborators, whose insights in editing the manuscript.

ix

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1
Reasons for Studying
Critical Thinking


Critical Thinking
Critical thinking has been defined many ways, from the simple—“Critical
thinking is deciding rationally what to or what not to believe”2—to the
more detailed “Critical thinking is concerned with reason, intellectual
honesty, and open-mindedness, as opposed to emotionalism, intellec-
tual laziness, and closed-mindedness”3—to the nearly comprehensive: It has happened more
than once that I found
Critical thinking involves following evidence where it leads; consid-
ering all possibilities; relying on reason rather than emotion; being it necessary to say of
precise; considering a variety of possible viewpoints and explana- one or another eminent
tions; weighing the effects of motives and biases; being concerned
more with finding the truth than with being right; not rejecting
colleague, ʻHe is a very
unpopular views out of hand; being aware of one’s own prejudices busy man and half of
and biases; and not allowing them to sway one’s judgment.3
what he publishes is
Self-described practitioners of critical thinking range from doctrinaire true but I donʼt know
postmodernists who view the logic of science with its “grand narratives”
which half.ʼ”
as inherently subordinating4 to market-driven dentists contemplat-
ing the purchase of a digital impression scanner. In this book, critical ERWIN CHARGAFF 1
thinking, and in particular the evaluation of scientific information, is
conceived as “organized common sense” following Bronowski’s view
of science in general.5 Of course, common sense can be quite uncom-
mon. A secondary use of the term critical thinking implies that common
sense involves a set of unexamined and erroneous assumptions. For
example, prior to Galileo, everyone “knew” that heavy objects fell faster
than lighter ones. Critical thinking as organized common sense takes
the systematic approach of examining assumptions. The professional
use of critical thinking is particularly complex for dental professionals
because they live in two different worlds. On the one hand, they are
health professionals treating patients who suffer from oral diseases.

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REASONS FOR STUDYING CRITICAL THINKING

On the other hand, dentists typically also inhabit the misinformation. Dentists thus are more likely to be
business world, where decisions may be based on the questioned by patients on proposed treatment plans
principle of maximizing income from their investment. and options. In responding to such questions, it is
Dental practice is based only very loosely on responding clearly advantageous for dentists to be able to present
to disease6; less than one-third of patient visits result a rational basis for their choices. Chapter 23 covers an
in identifying a need for restorative care.7 Twenty evidence-based approach to clinical decision making
percent of work is elective, such as most of orthodon- and appendix 9 provides a template for dental offices
tics, tooth whitening, and veneers, and typically that to use in documenting their decisions based on recent
work comprises the most lucrative aspects of prac- evidence.
tice. Thus, the information that must be evaluated in A systematic approach to analyzing scientific papers
performing these disparate roles covers the spectrum has to be studied, because this activity requires more
from advertisements to financial reports to systematic rigor than the reasoning used in everyday life. Faced
meta-analysis of health research. with an overabundance of information and limited
Dentists are health professionals, people with special- time, most of us adopt what is called a make-sense epis-
ized training in the delivery of scientifically sound temology. The truth test of this epistemology or theory
health services. The undergraduate dental curriculum of knowledge is whether propositions make superficial
is designed to give dental students the basic knowl- sense.9 This approach minimizes the cognitive load and
edge to practice dentistry scientifically, at least to the often works well for day-to-day short-term decision
extent allowed by the current state of knowledge. But making. In 1949, Zipf of Harvard University published
if any guarantee can be made to dental students, it Human Behaviour and the Principle of Least Effort, in which
is that dentistry will change, because the knowledge he stated:
base of biomedical and biomaterial sciences grows
continually. Most dentists today have had to learn tech- The Principle of Least Effort means, for example,
niques and principles that were not yet known when that in solving his immediate problems he will
they were in dental school. In the future, as the pace view these against a background of his probable
of technologic innovation continues to increase and future problems, as estimated by himself. Moreover,
the pattern of dental diseases shifts, the need to keep he will strive to solve his problems in such a way
up-to-date will be even more pressing. Means of staying as to minimize the total work that he must expend
current include interacting with colleagues, reading the in solving both his immediate problems and his
dental literature, and attending continuing education probable future problems.10
courses—activities that require dentists to evaluate
information. Yet, there is abundant historical evidence Zipf used data from diverse sources ranging from
that dentists have not properly evaluated information. word frequencies to sensory sampling to support his
Perhaps the best documented example in dentistry thesis. Although the methods and style of psychologic
of a widely accepted yet erroneous hypothesis is the research have changed, some more recent discover-
focal infection theory. Proposed in 1904 and accepted ies, such as the concept of cognitive miser in studies of
by some clinicians until the Second World War, this persuasion,11 coincide with Zipf’s principle. Kahneman
untested theory resulted in the extraction of millions of in Thinking, Fast and Slow has elevated the principle to
sound teeth.8 But errors are not restricted to the past; a law noting that we “conduct our mental lives by the
controversial topics exist in dentistry today because law of least effort.”12
new products or techniques are continually introduced In science, the objective is not to make easy short-
and their usefulness debated. Ideally, dentists should term decisions but rather to explain the phenomena
become sophisticated consumers of research who can of the physical world. The goal is accuracy, not neces-
distinguish between good and bad research and know sarily speed, and different, more sophisticated, more
when to suspend judgment. This goal is different from rigorous approaches are required. Perkins et al9 have
proposing that dentists become research workers. One characterized the ideal skilled reasoner as a critical
objective of this book is to provide the skills enabling epistemologist who can challenge and elaborate hypo-
a systematic method for the evaluation of scientific thetical models. Where the makes-sense epistemologist
papers and presentations. or naive reasoner asks only that a given explanation or
A marked addition to the challenges of dental prac- model makes intuitive sense, the critical epistemologist
tice in recent years is that patients have increased moves beyond that stage and asks why a model may be
access through the Internet to information as well as inadequate. That is, when evaluating and explaining,

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Critical Thinking

Table 1-1 | Level of evidence guideline recommendations of the United States Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality

Grade of
Level Type of study
recommendation

1 Supportive evidence from well-conducted RCTs that include 100 patients or more A

2 Supportive evidence from well-conducted RCTs that include fewer than 100 patients A

3 Supportive evidence from well-conducted cohort studies A

4 Supportive evidence from well-conducted case-control studies B

5 Supportive evidence from poorly controlled or uncontrolled studies B

6 Conflicting evidence with the weight of evidence supporting the recommendation B

7 Expert opinion C
RCTs, randomized controlled trials.

the critical epistemologist asks both why and why not a of influencing future research (less than 25% of all
postulated model may work. The critical epistemologist papers will be cited 10 times in all eternity,14 and a
arrives at models of reality, using practical tactics and large number are never cited at all), and (4) a good deal
skills and drawing upon a large repertoire of logical and of the research on a clinical problem may be irrelevant
heuristic methods.9 to a particular patient’s complaint
Psychologic studies have indicated that everyday The actual rate of growth of the scientific literature
cognition comprises two sets of mental processes, has been estimated to be 7% per year of the extant
System 1 and System 2, which work in concert, but literature, which in 1976 comprised close to 7.5 million
there is some debate whether they operate in a paral- items.11 This rate of growth means that the biomedical
lel or sequential manner. System 1 operates quickly literature doubles every 10 years. In dentistry, there
and effortlessly, whereas System 2 is deliberate and are about 500 journals available today.15 Many dental
requires attention and effort.12 System 2 is a rule-based articles are found in low-impact journals, but, ignoring
system, and engaging System 2 is the surest route to these, there were still 2,401 articles published in 1980
fallacy-free reasoning.13 System 2 becomes engaged in the 30 core journals.16 More recently, it has been
when it catches an error made by the intuitive System estimated that about 43,000 dental-related articles are
1. The good news is that extensive work by Nisbett and published per year.
colleagues (briefly reviewed by Risen and Gilovich13) However, the problem is not intractable. Relman,17
showed that people can be trained to be better reason- a former editor of the New England Journal of Medicine,
ers and that people with statistical backgrounds were believes that most of the important business of scien-
less likely to commit logical fallacies. Nisbitt and tific communication in medicine is conducted in a
colleagues further demonstrated that even very brief very small sector of top-quality journals. The average
training was effective in substantially reducing logical practitioner needs to read only a few well-chosen peri-
and statistical errors. Thus this book has chapters on odicals.17 The key to dealing with the problem of the
logic and statistics. information explosion is in choosing what to read and
A second objective of the book is to inculcate the learning to evaluate the information.
habits of thought of the critical epistemologist in read- Dentists are exposed to diverse information sources,
ers concerned with dental science and clinical dentistry. and the important issues vary depending on the source.
For example, a dentist may wish to determine whether
potassium nitrate toothpastes reduce dentin hypersen-
The scope of the problem sitivity. One approach would be to look up a systematic
review on this topic in the Cochrane Library,18 which
In brief, the problems facing anyone wishing to keep up many regard as the highest level in the hierarchy of
with developments in dentistry or other health profes- evidence (Table 1-1). The skills required to understand
sions are that (1) there is a huge amount of literature, the review would include a basic knowledge of statis-
(2) it is growing fast, (3) much of it is useless in terms tics and research design. The same dentist, facing

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REASONS FOR STUDYING CRITICAL THINKING

the competitive pressures of his or her local market, A good deal of the literature circulated to dentists does
might also want to determine whether a particular not meet these requirements. But even excluding the
laser-bleaching process should be adopted for the throwaway or controlled-circulation magazines that are
practice. In that instance, there might not be a rele- little more than vehicles for advertisements, the amount
vant Cochrane review, and there may not even be a of information published annually appears formidable.
relevant paper in a refereed journal to support a deci- One approach to dealing with a large number of
sion. Available evidence might consist of advertising papers is to disregard original papers and receive
brochures and anecdotes of colleagues. The dentist information secondhand. Dental and medical journals
may have to employ a different set of skills, ranging present reviews of current research in specific clini-
from evaluating the lie factor in graphics (see chapter cal or scientific fields; some journals, such as Dental
14) to disentangling rhetoric from fact. Advertisements Clinics of North America and the Journal of Evidence Based
and salesmanship are persuasive exercises; the chapter Dentistry, are exclusively devoted to this approach.
on rhetoric (chapter 4) deals with means of persuasion. Although this tactic reduces the volume of literature to
Typically, dentists acquire information on innova- be covered, it does not solve the problem of evaluating
tive procedures through participation in networks in the information contained in the reviews. To perform
which their colleagues supply informal data on the this task effectively, a researcher must be able to assess
effectiveness of the innovations. Nevertheless, dentists the soundness of the reviewer’s conclusions. In decid-
cite reading peer-reviewed dental literature and exper- ing to accept information secondhand, the researcher
imental studies as the gold standard for determining is also deciding whether the author of the review is
the quality of innovations.19 New technology is often a reliable, objective authority. Thus, the problem of
introduced into their practices through trial and error; evaluation has been changed, but not eliminated.
dentists take the pragmatic approach of directly deter- This book focuses on the primary literature, where it
mining what works in their hands in their practice.19 is hoped that new, true, important, and comprehensi-
Doubtless, some of the personal and financial expenses ble information is published. The systematic review, a
typical of the trial-and-error approach could be reduced relatively new review form, attempts to deal with some
with more effective evaluation of information prior to of the more glaring problems of traditional reviews and
selecting a material or technique for testing. is covered briefly in chapter 5. Although useful for some
This book focuses on evaluating refereed scientific purposes, the systematic review has its own shortcom-
papers, but many of the issues of informational quality ings, and the researcher must judge how these affect
and questions that should be asked apply equally to the conclusions. Journals vary in quality; chapter 5 also
other less formal channels of communication. discusses bibliometric approaches of ranking journals.
In the following section, I present a brief review of how
articles get published that may help explain some of
What is a scientific paper? this variation.

The Council of Biology Editors defines a scientific paper


as follows:
The Road to Publication
An acceptable primary scientific publication must
be the first disclosure containing sufficient infor- The author
mation to enable peers (1) to assess observations;
(2) to repeat experiments; and (3) to evaluate The author’s goal is to make a significant contribu-
intellectual processes; moreover, it must be sensi- tion to the scientific literature: a published paper. To
ble to sensory perception, essentially permanent, accomplish that goal, the author will have to produce
available to the scientific community without a submission for publication whose contents are new,
restriction, and available for regular screening true, important, and comprehensible. Moreover, the
by one or more of the major recognized secondary author wants to publish the paper in a journal whose
services.20 readers will likely find the paper of interest and hope-
fully be influenced by it. As journals vary in the rigor
Similar ideas were stated more succinctly by they demand and the length of papers they accept,
DeBakey,21 who noted that the contents of an article the author needs to identify the best journal for his or
should be new, true, important, and comprehensible. her purposes.

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The Road to Publication

Refereed versus nonrefereed journals The literature available to dental health professionals
ranges the spectrum of refereed to nonrefereed, from
The first hurdle faced by an article submitted for publi- low (or no) rejection rates to high rejection rates. The
cation is an editor’s decision on the article’s suitability Journal of Dental Research, for example, used to have a
for the journal. Different journals have different audi- 50% rejection rate (Dawes, personal communication,
ences, and the editors are the arbiters of topic selection 1990), but that has risen so that 25 years later some
for their journal. Editors can reject papers immediately 90% of submissions are rejected.24 Even among high-im-
if they think the material is unsuited to their particular pact journals, however, there is no guarantee that the
journal. referees did a good job. In fact, these considerations
In some journals, acceptance or rejection hinges solely only serve to reinforce the view “caveat lector”—let
on the opinion of the editor. However, this method is the reader beware.
problematic because informed decisions on some papers
can only be made by experts in a particular field. There-
fore, as a general rule, the most highly regarded journals Editors and referees
ask the opinion of such specialists, called referees or
editorial consultants. Referees attempt to ensure that a The editor of the journal and the referees are the “gate-
submitted paper does not demonstrably deviate from keepers” who decide whether a manuscript is accepted.
scientific method and the standards of the journal. In science the basic rule appears to be something akin
Whether a journal is refereed can be determined by to “if it doesn’t get published, it doesn’t exist.” Thus the
consulting Ulrich’s Periodicals Directory (ulrichsweb. rewards in science go to those who publish first, not
com). Editors usually provide referees with an outline of the first scientist to observe a phenomenon. Obviously,
the type of information that they desire from the referee. pleasing these gatekeepers is essential to a scientific
The criteria for acceptance will necessarily include both career.
objective (eg, obvious errors of fact or logic) and subjec- The editor and the referees are the representatives
tive (eg, priority ratings) components. Unfortunately, of the readers of the journal. They protect the read-
the task of refereeing is difficult and typically unpaid. ers from wasting their time on obviously erroneous or
Refereeing is often squeezed in among other academic uninteresting or unsuitable or unoriginal or opaque or
activities, so it should not be surprising that it some- trivial submissions. The papers in the journal must be
times is not done well and that referees often disagree. relevant to the readership.
Studies of the reliability of peer-review ratings are An important part of the editor’s job is to protect
disappointing for readers wanting to keep faith in the authors from unjust criticism that can arise from such
peer-review system. Reliability quotients, which can things as personal animosity between an author and a
range from 0 (no reliability) to 1 (perfect reliability), for referee or an attempt by a referee to block publication
various attributes of papers submitted to a psychology of a competitor’s work. Unfortunately, the scientists
journal22 follow: who are best able to evaluate a submission may be
individuals who can suffer most from its publication,
• Probable interest in the problem: 0.07 as for example occurs when the referee’s own work is
• Importance of present contribution: 0.28 “scooped” (ie, published earlier by a competitor).
• Attention to relevant literature: 0.37 To justify readers’ expenditure of time the paper
• Design and analysis: 0.19 should address a significant problem or concern and
• Style and organization: 0.25 provide a significant amount of information. The
• Succinctness: 0.31 length of journal articles varies; some journals publish
• Recommendation to accept or reject: 0.26 “letters” rather than full-length papers for interesting
but only briefly developed findings. Editors are inter-
Despite such issues, there is evidence that the review ested in publishing papers that are likely to be cited
process frequently raises important issues that, when in the future or, expressed another way, are build-
resolved, improve the manuscript substantially.23 ing blocks for future research or clinical application.
After consulting with referees, the editor decides Tacker25 notes that journals differ in the sophistica-
whether the paper should be (1) published as is—a tion of their readership. A general medical journal (eg,
comparatively rare event; (2) published after suit- JAMA) is written at the comprehension level of a third-
able revision; or (3) rejected. Journals reject papers year medical student, whereas a specialty journal is
in proportions varying from 0% to greater than 90%. written for a first- or second-year resident. A scientific

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REASONS FOR STUDYING CRITICAL THINKING

journal should be understandable to third- or fourth- An indicator of what editors want is provided by the
year PhD candidates or above in the general field. instructions given to referees of journals, often in the
form of a checklist or a score sheet that incorporates
The editor specific questions for reviews completed online. As an
example, I compiled an indicator of some of editors’
The editor decides ultimately whether to accept or concerns by simply looking at the instructions sent to
reject a submission. As a general rule the editor is me by ten journals. The following characteristics were
an unpaid (or lowly paid) volunteer of distinguished emphasized:
standing in the field covered by the journal. The editor
defines the scope of the journal (ie, what subjects • 90% (ie, 9/10) concise
are published in it), and if a manuscript falls outside • 70% clear
the journal’s mandate, it will probably be returned • 70% evaluate by section (eg, introduction, methods)
promptly to the author. Similarly, an editor may reject • 70% adequacy of references
a paper on the grounds that a submission does not • 60% originality
advance the field sufficiently or has a low potential • 60% adequacy of illustrations
for future impact. Such judgments are subjective but • 50% relationship of conclusions to results
nevertheless may need to be made. I call this the “de
gustibus” standard after the Latin adage, De gustibus Overall the instructions emphasize economy of
non est disputandum: “In matters of taste, there can be expression, ignoring the folk wisdom that “Sermons
no disputes.” As the adage indicates, if a decision is on brevity and chastity are about equally effective.”26
made on this basis it will be difficult to persuade the Nevertheless it is useful for prospective authors to
editor to reverse it. obtain a specific checklist for the journal to which they
Editors are often responsible for diverse other tasks are submitting so that they can attempt to meet the
such as recruiting referees and persuading them to journal’s expectations.
submit their reviews in a timely manner. Some jour-
nals have associate editors who oversee submissions in The referees
their area of expertise, and the editor must coordinate
their activities as well as consult with editorial boards The referees are unpaid volunteers; nevertheless they
and deal with the various business matters. Despite do receive some nonmonetary rewards. They get first
the importance of their job, editors are not always access to new information in a field that interests them,
appreciated by their colleagues, who may resent some and their decisions can influence the direction of that
decisions. Chernin playfully suggests, “Editors are also field. On occasion that information may be useful—for
the people who separate the wheat from the chaff and example, a submission could contain a reference of
frequently publish the chaff.”26 which the referee was unaware or a new technique
After the manuscript is accepted by the editor, it that might be beneficial to the referee’s own research,
may be passed on to a managing editor to take the or reading the article might prompt an idea for the
manuscript though the production and publication referee’s future research. Finally, in doing a favor to
process. Day27 states that editors and managing editors the editor in refereeing a manuscript, the referee might
have jobs that are made impossible by the attitudes acquire a store of goodwill that might help when his
of authors who submit to their journals. For example, or her own manuscript is submitted to the journal.
authors might ignore the rules and conventions spec- (Another well-accepted persuasive factor—reciproca-
ified by the journal (eg, the format for the references). tion).28 Nevertheless, refereeing papers is a low-yield
Or authors and referees may have irreconcilable views, task—the referees’ efforts help the editor and those
and the editor may be caught in the middle. Given that whose papers are published, but the referee typically
the editor’s decision could affect the author’s career, gets no tangible benefit save the good feeling that
it is clearly wise not to irritate editors or referees, but comes from doing the right thing. Spending their own
rather to make their job in dealing with the submission time on work for which others will benefit is bound to
as easy as possible. That is, authors want the editor to lead to resentment if those potentially benefitted make
like them, and as has been extensively studied in the the task more difficult than it need be. The applica-
psychology literature,28 liking can be a key factor in ble golden rule then is to do unto the referees as you
persuasion, in this case persuading the editor that the would have them do unto you. Make it easy for the
submission should be published. referees in the hope they will make it easy for you. In

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The Road to Publication

this spirit then authors should attempt to meet the or reject, priority, overall length of the paper. More
expectations of referees, in particular not wasting their detailed points are given in the comments to authors
time. In general, referees expect a scientific writing or the editor or editor’s assistant. The confidential
style characterized by the following qualities: comments to the editor give the referee the possibil-
ity to offer frank criticism that might be construed by
• Objectivity. Data obtained from scientific observation some authors as being insulting. For example, a referee
should be capable of being repeated by any compe- might comment that the paper is poorly written and
tent observer, and the interpretations should be needs revision by a native English speaker, and such a
similarly identical among investigators. Expressed comment might be insulting to an author who was in
another way, in the “Storybook” version of scientific fact a native English speaker.
method, there is no room in science for subjective
personal data collection and interpretation. Some-
times writers attempt to emphasize their objectivity, Referees versus authors
and this desire to appear objective can lead to over-
use of the passive voice. Of course investigators do Typically referees make critical comments on the
have an axe to grind, as they want to be published so papers they are reviewing ranging from the easily
that they can reap the rewards of publication—recog- correctable, such as typographic errors or formatting,
nition and employment being the chief among these. through more difficult problems to correct, such as lack
So a tradition has arisen whereby authors attempt of clarity in organization, deficiencies such as inappro-
to appear to be objective while being strong advo- priate methodology, or erroneous logic, that lead to
cates for their position. Thus, authors make “Verbal unsupported conclusions. Typically the referees will
choices . . . that capitalize on a convenient myth . . . number their comments, and the editor will require
reason has subjugated the passions.”29 In any case, the author to address each of them. So in effect the
readers have come to expect that scientific writers authors and each of the referees enter into a debate
will present at least a veneer of objectivity (practi- presided over by the editor, who might also provide
tioners of qualitative methods might disagree), but some comments, that might be classed according to
readers have other expectations of authors as well. the conventions of informal logic or pragmatics as a
• Logic. Logic not only in organization but in sentence “persuasion dialogue.”33 The participants are obligated
structure and meeting reader expectations.30 to give helpful and honest replies to their opponents’
• Modesty. Related to the scientific norm of humility questions. In theory each participant in the dialogue
(extravagant claims will attract close and probably is supposed to use arguments exclusively composed of
critical attention). premises that are commitments of the other partici-
• Clarity. Scientific writers should follow the common pant. But in argumentation, as in life, commitments
advice to all writers such as avoiding misplaced are notoriously difficult to extract from an opponent,
modifiers, dangling participles, nonparallel construc- and pretty much the best one can hope for is plau-
tions, stacked modifiers, etc. (There are numerous sible commitment to an opinion based on reasoned
books on writing style, such as Strunk and White’s evidence. In conducting the argument the participants
The Elements of Style31 or Zinnser’s On Writing Well.32) are also obligated with a burden of proof, which shifts
• Precision. Use of precise terminology to avoid confu- from one to the other during the dialog. For exam-
sion and the fallacy of equivocation. ple, in submitting the paper the author, as proponent,
• Brevity. To conserve readers’ time. assumes the burden of proof for the conclusions of
• Justified reasoning. Making the reason for statements the paper, and the components of the paper (ie, meth-
clear by referring to data in the paper (eg, “see Figure ods, data, figures, tables, and logic), constitute the
1”) or references to the literature. means of bearing that burden. Similarly the referee,
• Use of signposts (eg, “our first objective…,” “our in making a criticism, assumes the burden of proof of
second objective…”), linkage, etc. justifying the criticism. This may be done by various
means such as citing deficiencies in the evidence in the
Referees typically submit their reports by filling paper, external scientific evidence (such as previously
out forms online often accompanied by explanatory published papers), or expected standards in the field
remarks in an uploaded text file. of study. The editor forwards the referees’ criticisms
Typically the form starts with what might be along with a preliminary decision to the authors who, if
called high-level assessments—questions like accept they want the submission to proceed to publication, are

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REASONS FOR STUDYING CRITICAL THINKING

expected to bear the burden of proof in responding to probable, or beyond any reasonable doubt) and this
the criticisms. This dialogue can be carried over several feature can hold the key to resolution of conflicts.
cycles. Often in my experience, it seems that referees Authors can back off or limit their claims to account
seldom accept or commit to the author’s arguments; for the views of the referees, and the editor can in good
rather they merely concede by terminating discussion. conscience publish the article.
In science, as in life, it is difficult to say “Sorry, I was
wrong.” In some instances agreement between the
referees and the authors is never achieved, but the The readers
issues are clarified to an extent that the editor can
make a decision. The end users of the published paper, the readers, have
The question arises of the logic used by editors in been defined as anyone who reads the text “with an
making their decisions. First it should be noted that intentional search for meaning.”35 Editors and refer-
different types of reasoning employ different stan- ees are knowledgeable about their fields and like the
dards of proof, and this is not unusual in human authors suffer from the problem of familiarity with the
affairs. In law for example the standard of proof in assumptions, conventions, and expectations of inves-
criminal cases is “beyond reasonable doubt” whereas tigators in their field so that they tend to “fill in” what
civil cases are decided on the “balance of probabilities.” an author might leave out. General readers, however,
Scientific arguments can be complex and may entail differ from the editors and referees in that on average
various forms of logic ranging from the certainty of they are less familiar with the research field and may
deductive logic employed in mathematics to inductive lack information required to understand the submis-
logic, which can deal with calculated probabilities, to sion. Expressed another way, they can’t fill in what the
informal logic that balances many factors but does not author leaves out. As the readers vary widely in their
necessarily proceed by strict numeric calculation so expertise, it falls to the author to determine what they
that the conclusions are classed qualitatively in terms are likely to know (ie, what is common knowledge to
of their relative plausibility. everyone in the field), and conversely what the author
Perhaps the reasoning process most employed by needs to point out to them. Anything that is novel or
editors, who have to make a practical decision, would unusual needs to be described in detail; for example,
be the pragmatic model devised by the philosopher investigators may vary from the standard methods in
Stephen Toulmin34 (see also chapter 22 for more on their measurements or calculations, and such changes
argumentation maps), which specifies a system for need to be highlighted and explained.
scientific explanation that includes Claims (such as
conclusions in the paper) justified by Evidence and
Warrants. A Warrant is the means that connects the Editorial independence
Claim to the Evidence; it may be, for example, a scien-
tific principle or a connection established by previous Ideally, the contents of the journal should be indepen-
work. An important aspect of Toulmin’s approach is dent of economic issues, but this is not necessarily the
that it is field dependent so that appropriate standards case. Publication of color illustrations can be prohib-
are employed for differing types of scientific endeavor. itively expensive, and many respected journals are
One can see this aspect in action in the scientific litera- publications of learned societies that operate on lean
ture by observing the content of papers where the rigor budgets. The Journal of Dental Research, for example, is
of the methods, the quantity of data, or the articulation published and subsidized by the International Asso-
of the findings differ among different fields of science ciation for Dental Research. Such a journal would be
or among the journals within one field of science. It expected not to be subject to advertisers’ influence.
is the editor who determines the standards of his/ Other journals have a need to generate income, and, in
her journal, and differences between editors in what some instances, entire issues appear to be sponsored
they consider important findings or flaws can result by a commercial interest. It is not unreasonable to
in a paper rejected by an editor of one journal being wonder whether the advertiser influenced the editorial
accepted by another one. There are other elements in content, for “he who pays the piper calls the tune.” In
the Toulmin model, including the Rebuttal arguments recent years, Internet-based journals have arisen that
that restrict or counter the claim and the Qualifier, are financed by authors through charges per page. As
which indicates the degree of certainty that the propo- hard copy of the articles are not produced or distrib-
nent assigns to the Claim (eg unlikely, possibly, highly uted, costs are minimal, and the potential for profit is

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The Road to Publication

great. There is thus an incentive for such journals to deficient. Returning to the example, because scientists
have a very low (or no) rejection rate, and questionable have been studying tooth development for decades
quality may result. using standard histologic techniques, there is not much
hope that reworking the same approach would provide
anything exciting; new methods would be required to
Three general questions bring new insights.
As a consequence of scientific progress, methods
A scientific paper is not necessarily an unbiased become outdated and standards change. Changing
account of observations; it is more likely an attempt to standards can be seen in biochemistry by examining the
convince the reader of the truth of a position. As noted standards for publication of data using polyacrylamide
by Ziman,36 it is important to realize that much of the gels. Early publications using the technique showed
research literature of science is intended, rhetorically, photographs of gels that did not have good resolution or
to persuade other scientists of the validity of received uniformity and showed poor staining. The photographs
opinions. Thus, a reader can expect an author to of gels were often so uninformative that Archives of
present his or her data in the most favorable light. Oral Biology instructed authors to submit densitomet-
Tables, figures, and even calculations may be done ric tracings of the gels. Currently, gel separations are
so that differences between groups are accentuated done in two dimensions with superb resolution, and the
and the appearance of error is minimized. A reader’s proteins are stained with much greater sensitivity. A
defense as a consumer of this information is an atti- photograph of a gel that would have been acceptable
tude of healthy skepticism. Three general questions a 30 years ago would not be acceptable for publication
skeptical reader should ask are: Is it new? Is it true? today. In judging papers, therefore, a key question is
Is it important?37 whether the techniques and approach are up-to-date
as well as whether the question is original.
Is it new? This principle is so well accepted that investigators
sometimes rush to apply new techniques to appear
A minimum requirement for publication in most up-to-date. Fisher,39 the pioneer statistician and author
instances is that the information is new. However, of a classic work on experimental design, warned, “any
new can be defined in various ways. If a paper using brilliant achievement . . . may give prestige to the
standard histologic techniques reporting the develop- method employed, or to some part of it, even in appli-
ment of teeth in lynx were to be published tomorrow, cations to which it has no special appropriateness.”
it might well be new, because, as far as I am aware, An exception to the requirement of “newness” for a
the development of lynx teeth has not been described publication is the need to report confirmations of previ-
previously. However, it probably would not be new in ous work. One journal for which I refereed placed the
adding anything to our knowledge of tooth develop- category “valuable confirmation of previous work” in
ment in general. Such a paper would merely fill in the third place in their ranking system below exciting orig-
gaps, however small, in our knowledge. I think that inal research and interesting new findings, but above
journal editors are fairly lenient in their judgments on categories related to rejection. This type of research
what constitutes new information. Kuhn38 states that is taking on increasing importance in the light of the
one of the reasons why normal puzzle-solving science “reproducibility crisis” to be discussed later.
seems to progress so rapidly is that its practitioners
concentrate on problems that do not tax their own lack Is it true?
of ingenuity.
The quality that often distinguishes good scientific Sound conclusions are the result of reliable observations
papers from the mediocre is originality. Funding agen- combined with valid logic. Knowledge of measurement,
cies are probably better gatekeepers of science in this types of observational errors, experimental design,
regard, because an essential criterion for funding is and controls give some basis to assessments of the
originality. Originality can appear in any component reliability of observations. Thus, sections of this book
of the research process, including the questions being deal with these topics and the logic used to interpret
asked, the methods employed, the research design, or the observations. But the ultimate test of any scien-
even the interpretation. Because science is a progres- tific observation is reproducibility; indeed, a practical
sive business, approaches that were once original definition of truth for the purposes of pragmatic work-
and sufficient can with time become derivative and ing scientists is that a scientific statement is true if

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REASONS FOR STUDYING CRITICAL THINKING

it allows us to make useful, reliable predictions that and medical literature that there is no shortage of
are confirmed when tested by a competent scientist well-documented threats to truth.
under the specified conditions. There are theoretical or
practical limitations to any approach. Newton’s laws Is it important?
of motion would be perfectly valid when applied to
billiard balls colliding on a pool table but not useful at The importance of a paper cannot be tested in a
very small scales of the world of subatomic particles completely objective manner. Maxwell41 has argued—
where quantum physics would be preferred. Note that in my opinion, persuasively—that real progress in
confirmation does not imply the exact same numeric science is assessed in terms of the amount of valu-
result, but rather one that is within the specified inter- able factual truth that is being discovered and that
val of reported uncertainty. the accumulation of vast amounts of trivia (even if
A clue to the reproducibility of an observation is factually correct) does not amount to progress. The
the consistency of the results within the body of the problem is that value judgments are highly subjective.
paper. Another means for evaluating the reliability of One approach to measuring impact of a paper is the
observations in a paper is to read what other scientists number of citations to the paper, an aspect that will be
have written about the work, and citation analysis is discussed in chapters 5 and 22. Many scientists have
an efficient means of uncovering that information. For accepted this criterion and include the citation record
various reasons, to be discussed later, there is a current of their papers in their curriculum vitae or include
“reproducibility crisis” perceived in which confidence indices derived from their citation record such as the
in the reproducibility of findings, even those published h-index (discussed in chapter 5).
in high-impact journals, is waning. One can speculate about what qualities an ideal
A student might wonder whether it is necessary to evaluator should have. Beveridge 42 has suggested
learn such diverse concepts and examine the litera- the concept of scientific taste, which he described
ture to such a detailed extent, particularly when it as a sense of beauty or esthetic sensibility. Beveridge
seems likely that the vast majority of publications are explained scientific taste by stating that:
produced in good faith and come from institutions
of higher learning. Ioannidis,40 however, has argued The person who possesses the flair for choos-
that most published research findings are false. Ioan- ing profitable lines of investigation is able to see
nidis’ estimate is sensitive to the pretest probability of further where the work is leading than are other
the hypothesis being true, and a low estimate of this people because he has the habit of using his imag-
value will lead to a higher proportion of papers’ conclu- ination to look far ahead, instead of restricting
sions being classed as false. Nevertheless, as will be his thinking to established knowledge and the
discussed later, current research into reproducibility of immediate problem.
findings has provided more direct evidence indicating a
significant proportion of findings are false in that they A person with scientific taste would be a good judge
cannot be reproduced. In Ioannidis’ common sense of the importance of a scientific paper. Traditionally,
view, a research finding is less likely to be true when the skill of judgment is learned in the apprentice-
effect sizes are small, when there are a large number of master relationship formed between graduate student
tested hypotheses that have not been preselected, and and supervisor. Techniques may come and go, but
when there are great flexibilities in designs, definitions, judging what is important and how it can be innova-
outcomes, and data analyses. Other problems impact- tively studied are the core business of scientists, and
ing the truth of the conclusion are financial issues and these skills are learned similarly to a child learning
other interests and prejudices as well as the number his prayers at his mother’s knee: Graduate students
of teams in a field chasing statistical significance. I hone their critical skills in the supervisor’s office or
believe it is unlikely that most research findings are lab meetings. Thus, much importance is attached to
false, because if they were there would be more papers the pedigree of a scientist, and some scientists take
reporting failure to confirm results (though admittedly pride in tracing their scientific pedigrees to leading
publishing such negative results can be difficult) and figures in a field of study.
many fewer papers confirming—albeit often indi- Given the large variation in laboratory and supervi-
rectly—replication. Nevertheless, the considerations sor quality, there will always be significant differences
listed by Ioannidis serve to warn readers of the dental in judgment. This diversity is evident in an extensive

10

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References

study of proposals submitted to the National Science 15. Glenny A, Hooper L. Why are systematic reviews useful? In: Clark-
Foundation. The study found that getting a research son J, Harrison JE, Ismail A (eds). Evidence Based Dentistry for
Effective Practice. London: Martin Dunitz, 2003:59.
grant significantly depends on chance, because there
16. Garfield E. The literature of dental science vs the literature used
is substantial disagreement among eligible reviewers, by dental researchers. In: Garfield E (eds). Essays of an Informa-
and the success of a proposal rests on which reviewers tion Scientist. Philadelphia: ISI, 1982:373.
happen to be accepted.43 Moreover, there is evidence 17. Relman AS. Journals. In: Warren KS (ed). Coping with the Bio-
that complete disagreement between pairs of referees medical Literature. New York: Praeger, 1981:67.
18. Worthington H, Clarkson J. Systematic reviews in dentistry: The
assessing the same paper is common.43 In biomedical
role of the Cochrane oral health group. In: Clarkson J, Harrison
science, the frequency of agreement between refer- JE, Ismail A (eds). Evidence Based Dentistry for Effective Practice.
ees was not much better than that which would be London: Martin Dunitz, 2003:97.
expected by chance.44 Hence, it appears that objective 19. Chambers DW. Habits of the reflective practitioner. Contact Point
and absolute criteria for the evaluation of a paper prior 1999;79:8–10.
to publication are not available. Chapter 22 attempts 20. Day RA. How to Write and Publish a Scientific Paper. Philadelphia:
ISI, 1979:2.
to cultivate the skill of judgment by providing infor-
21. DeBakey L. The Scientific Journal. Editorial Policies and Practic-
mation on recognized sources of errors in judgments es: Guidelines for Editors, Reviewers, and Authors. St Louis: Mos-
as well as citation analysis, a technique that can be by, 1976:1–3.
used to access broadly based scientific assessments of 22. Simonton DK. Creativity in Science: Chance, Logic, Genius, and
published works. Zeitgeist. Cambridge: Cambridge University, 2004:85–86.
23. Goodman SN, Berlin J, Fetcher SW, Fletcher RH. Manuscript
quality before and after peer review and editing at Annals of In-
ternal Medicine. Ann Intern Med 1994;121(1):11.
24. Giannobile WV. Editor’s Report for the Journal of Dental Re-
References search–2015. http://dentalresearchblog.org/jdr/?p=338. Ac-
cessed 18 July 2018.
1. Chargaff E. Triviality in science: A brief meditation on fashions. 25. Tacker MM. Parts of the research report: The title. Int J Prostho-
Perspect Biol Med 1976;19:324. dont 1990;3:396–397.
2. Norris SP. Synthesis of research on critical thinking. Educ Lead- 26. Chernin E. Producing biomedical information: First, do no harm.
ersh 1985;42:40–45. In: Warren KS (ed). Coping with the Biomedical Literature. New
3. Kurland DJ. I Know What It Says—What Does It Mean? Critical York: Praeger, 1981:40–65.
Skills for Critical Reading. Belmont, CA: Wadsworth, 1995:164. 27. Day RA. How to Write and Publish a Scientifc Paper. Philadelphia:
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sity, 2002:37–42. 29. Gross AG. The Rhetoric of Science. Cambridge: Harvard Univer-
5. Bronowski J. The common sense of science. In: Bronowski J (ed). sity, 1990.
The Common Sense of Science. New York: Vintage, 1967:97–118. 30. Gopen G, Swan J. The science of scientific writing. Am Sci
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to a professional context. Int J Technol Transfer Commercialisa- 31. Strunk W, White EB The Elements of Style, ed 4. Boston: Allyn
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7. Chambers DW. Changing dental disease patterns. Contact Point 32. Zinnser W. On Writing Well, ed 2. New York: Harper and Row, 1980.
1985;63:1–17. 33. Walton D. Argument as reasoned dialogue. In: Walton D (ed).
8. Fish W. Framing and testing hypotheses. In: Cohen B, Kramer IRH Informal Logic: A Pragmatic Approach, ed 2. New York: Cambridge
(eds). Scientific Foundations of Dentistry. London: William Heine- University, 2008:1–34.
mann, 1976:669. 34. Toulmin SE,The Uses of Argument, updated ed. Cambridge: Cam-
9. Perkins DN, Allen R, Hafner J. Difficulties in everyday reasoning. bridge University, 2003.
In: Maxwell W (ed). Thinking: The Expanding Frontier. Philadel- 35. Lang TA. How to Write Publish and Present in the Health Scienc-
phia: Franklin Institute, 1983:177. es: A Guide for Clinicians and Laboratory Researchers. Philadel-
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Fast and Slow. Toronto: Anchor Canada, 2013:31–38. by, 1976:1.
13. Risen J, Gilovich T. Informal logical fallacies. In: Sternberg RJ, 38. Kuhn TS. The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, ed 2. Chicago:
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41. Maxwell N. Articulating the aims of science. Nature 1977;265:2. 43. Cole S, Cole JR, Simon GA. Chance and consensus in peer review.
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2
Scientific Method
and the Behavior
of Scientists


B ecause there is no one scientific method, any account of scientific
method is bound to be incomplete or even inaccurate and mislead-
ing. Sir Peter Medawar, a Nobel laureate, has stated that “there is no
such thing as a calculus of discovery or a schedule of rules which
by following we are conducted to a truth.”1 Discoveries are made by
individual scientists, who often have their own original and distinctive
ways of thinking, and they do not necessarily follow any rigid protocol
of scientific method.
The simple view advanced by Bronowski2 is that scientific method
Thou hast made
is organized common sense, and indeed this concept is emphasized
in this book. However, the inclusion of the term organized is not a
him a little less
small addition, for scientific method differs from common sense in
the rigor with which matters are investigated. For example, precise
than angels.”
operational definitions, procedures to quantify, and theories to explain
HEBREWS 2:7
relationships are often employed, and a great effort is made to avoid
inconsistencies. Results should be subject to the systematic scru-
tiny of the investigator or other scientists, and limits on how far the
results can be applied should be sought. Formal methods for describing
scientific method are still the topic of philosophic examination. But
philosophic speculation or practice do not greatly concern typical
research scientists, who are largely occupied in puzzle solving3 and
who often seem too busy to consider how they got from A to B or how
their investigational strategies relate to any philosophic concepts.
There is increasing recognition that a key aspect in the development
and acceptance of scientific facts and theories is the social interaction
among scientists. Descriptions of an ideal exist for both the scientific
method and the behavior of scientists, but the ideal does not always
correspond with reality. Nevertheless, as they are the norms they will
be discussed here.

13

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SCIENTIFIC METHOD AND THE BEHAVIOR OF SCIENTISTS

The Behavior of Scientists of Grinnell’s book, is that solving scientific puzzles is


fun and that indeed, researchers feel their job could
best be described as “how to get paid for having fun.”
The everyday life of a scientist Hold the attractive thought that on a day-to-day basis
a researcher is having fun as we consider some of the
In his chapter on discovery, Fred Grinnell gives a good other issues in scientists’ behavior that are uncommon
account of how a working scientist operates.4 In brief, and sometimes less than pleasant.
Grinnell started out on a project to study citric acid
cycle enzymes under conditions of altered energy
metabolism in rat liver cells. Such studies typically Aspects of the sociology of science
involve inhibitors, and Grinnell found that the addition
of one inhibitor, arsenite, to the incubation medium The pioneer sociologist of science, Merton,5 identified
had a surprising result, namely the cells to be cultured six guiding principles of behavior for scientists:
did not stick to the dish. This unexpected finding held
a possible means to investigating a larger problem 1. Universalism refers to the internationality and
of interest, namely investigating the mechanisms of independence of scientific findings. There are no
cell adhesion. After consulting with senior colleagues, privileged sources of scientific knowledge6; scientific
Grinnell became convinced that cell adhesion was an results should be analyzed objectively and should
important issue and proceeded to look at the problem be verifiable and repeatable. In practice, this norm
in more detail. The chapter on discovery documents means that all statements are backed up by data
Grinnell’s initial studies by including pages from his lab or citations to published work. Internationalism is
book and photomicrographs. Initially the reader might one of the characteristics of modern science that
not be impressed by the quality of the micrographs or emphasizes collaboration; papers frequently have
the messiness of the lab books that do not at all look multiple authors from different institutions and
like the polished pages of a published paper. But as the countries.
project proceeded, the quality of the photomicrographs 2. Organized skepticism describes the interactions
was improved and enabled Grinnell to notice and quan- whereby scientists evaluate findings before accept-
tify changes in cell shape, in particular that treatment ing them. Ideally, scientists would check results
of cell culture surfaces with serum enabled the cells by repeating the observations or experiments, but
not just to attach in the form of rounded cells but to this approach is time consuming and expensive. At
spread out. So now Grinnell had a system in which the very least, scientists try to determine whether
cell adhesion could be altered by a known treatment reported results are consistent with other publica-
and the various possible mediators of the spreading tions. An ironclad rule of science is that when you
effect of serum dissected out and tested. Eventually publish something, you are responsible for it. When
Grinnell contributed to the discovery and elucidation a finding is challenged, the investigator must take
of function of the biologic adhesion protein fibronectin, the criticism seriously and consider it carefully,
and helped to establish the importance of fibronectin regardless of whether the investigator is a senior
in wound repair. In these early experiments though we professor and the challenger the lowliest technician
can see some of the essential issues and processes of or graduate student.7
the working scientist. First, there was a concentration 3. Communalism is the norm that enjoins scientists
of interest on an important problem. Second, there to share the results of their research. “Scientific
were unexpected novel findings that the investigator knowledge is public knowledge, freely available to
realized had potential for further investigation, and all.”6 One factor acting against the free exchange
third, there was a refinement of technique so that the of information in a timely manner is the growing
biologic processes could be measured and dissected. commercialization of scientific research. As both
Fourth, there were decisions that had to be made, such the institution and the principal investigator may
as discontinuing the original line of investigation when benefit financially by obtaining rights to intellectual
a more interesting aspect emerged. Fifth, there were property, the time required to obtain patents results
no rules or grand plan that were slavishly followed in delays in transmitting findings to the scientific
but rather an interactive approach between what was community.
found and what was best done next to solve a prob- 4. Disinterestedness is summed up by the dictum
lem. Inherent in the description, as well as other parts “Science for science’s sake.” At present, this norm

14

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The Behavior of Scientists

appears to be honored more in breach than in field. For example, one could test the effect of a
observance. As noted previously, many scientists drug in a rat macrophage cell line that already had
patent their discoveries and form alliances with been investigated in a mouse macrophage line. On
commercial interests. At one time, I served on a such minor contributions has many a career been
grants committee that dispersed funds for major built.
equipment. It happened that two applications from
the same institution requested similar equipment,
although there was not enough work to justify this Recognition is the “coin of science”
duplication. One panel member wondered why the
two groups did not combine and submit a single In the traditional description, scientists are portrayed
application. As it turned out, the two universi- as altruistic individuals, devoid of personal or selfish
ty-based principal investigators collaborated with considerations and engaged in the objective search
different commercial interests and wanted a barrier for truth. Scientists often adopt—or at least pay lip
between their laboratories. Ideally, scientists should service to—this view. The American Scientist,9 for exam-
not have any psychologic or financial stake in ple, published 75 case histories on “Why I became a
the acceptance or rejection of their theories and scientist.” Aside from two individuals, these scientists
findings. seemed to attach little importance to a good salary, an
5. Humility is derived from the precept that the whole issue that greatly concerns many other professionals.
of the scientific edifice is incomparably greater than Yet, anyone working with academics knows that this
any of its individual parts. This norm is in operation mundane matter is often hotly disputed.
whenever scientists receive awards; they inevitably In an anthropologic investigation into laboratory life,
thank their coworkers in glowing terms. Scientists Latour and Woolgar10 found that scientific activity is
giving invited lectures in symposia are generally geared toward the publication of papers and, moreover,
at pains to point out which graduate students or that personal motivations and interactions are prime
postdoctoral researchers actually did the work and factors in determining what gets done. High on the
include lab pictures in their presentations to share list of motivators is recognition. According to Cronin,11
the glory (small though it may be). recognition is the exchange on which the social system
Despite the norm of humility, clashes of egos still of science hinges. Investigators insist that their work
occur. Several rules of behavior govern the inter- be cited where appropriate and dispute priority claims
action of scientists in the case of a disagreement. vigorously. A prominent example is the dispute between
Discussion should be detached; that is, the issues, Robert Gallo and Luc Montagnier over priority in the
and not the personalities, should be discussed. The discovery of HIV as the cause of AIDS. That conflict
question is not who is right but rather what is right. ended with the protagonists jointly writing a history
The debate should be constructive; for example, if of the discovery. Such disputes would be unlikely to
a referee decides that a paper should be rejected, occur between humble men. Thus, there seems to be
the referee’s comments should indicate how the considerable discrepancy between the ideals of scien-
paper could be improved. Finally, scientists who tific behavior and the way scientists actually behave.
disagree should be courteous; they can disagree
without being disagreeable.
6. Originality is highly prized in science and features High-impact research, collaboration,
prominently in determining who wins awards and and the “shadow of the future”
grants. Yet, originality is difficult to define precisely,
and, as Merton8 noted, there is a “gap between the Simonton12 has reviewed the characteristics of highly
enormous emphasis placed upon original discovery creative scientists doing high-impact research. Great
and the great difficulty a good many scientists expe- scientists tend to possess the ability to ask critical ques-
rience in making one.” The originality of a scientific tions for a variety of topics. They do not work on just
work can reside in the novelty of the hypothesis one project at a time but rather involve themselves
being investigated, the methods used to investi- with a number of independent projects simultane-
gate it, as well as in the results obtained. Perhaps ously while employing a core set of themes, issues,
the most common scientific strategy—the transfer perspectives, or metaphors. These projects may differ
method—involves applying methods and concepts in their feasibility, intrinsic importance of the ques-
from one field to the particular topics of an adjacent tions, interaction with other projects, specific type of

15

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SCIENTIFIC METHOD AND THE BEHAVIOR OF SCIENTISTS

research, progress, and amount of effort demanded of of a tough exam in the future—much safer to check
the investigator. all the boxes rating the forthright professor as excel-
Increasingly, modern research scientists find collab- lent and hope that fellow students exhibit the same
oration worthwhile. Several studies have shown that enlightened self-interest.
the most prolific scientists tend to collaborate the most A case study of the effectiveness of retaliation is
(briefly reviewed in Surowiecki13). Nobel laureates, provided by Sir Cyril Burt, an influential British psychol-
for example, collaborate more frequently than their ogist who was accused of falsifying data on the nature/
run-of-the-mill scientific colleagues. nurture question of intelligence. Burt relished contro-
Collaboration extends the range of topics that a versy and, according to Hearnshaw,15 “never missed a
scientist can investigate efficiently, because it provides chance to give back more than he got.” Burt was not
a source of knowledge and technical competence not scrupulous in representing his opponents’ arguments
found in the investigator’s laboratory. Moreover, in a fairly and resorted to such devices as obfuscation,
collaborative project, work is almost automatically misrepresentation (eg, using fictitious names, he wrote
assigned to the laboratory where it most efficiently and published letters to the editor in the journal that he
can be accomplished. Collaboration does come at the edited himself), and making claims that were hard to
price of adding names to papers, which makes it seem verify.16 As a high-handed editor of a prominent British
that a scientist might lose some recognition by having journal, Burt was someone who you crossed at your
to share it with others. I think, however, that for the peril. For a young scientist developing a career, coop-
important bodies of recognition of much research— erating with Burt was a much more attractive option
namely, promotion, tenure, and grants committees—it than controverting with him.
is the number of papers that counts; the number of
authors on a paper is most often not rigorously taken
into account. That is, publishing four papers with three Objectivity
coauthors would be perceived more positively than
publishing a single paper as a sole author. Collabo- Objectivity remains the cornerstone of scientific
ration seems to be most effective when done locally. method. A scientist should be a disinterested observer
Academic researchers were found in one study to interpreting data without personal bias or prejudice.
spend only a third of their time with people not in Ideally, scientific observations should be objective,
their immediate work group; nevertheless, a quarter meaning that the same observation would be made by
of their time was spent working with people outside any qualified individual examining the same phenom-
their university.13 enon. Conditions of observation should be arranged
The political scientist Robert Axelrod14 postulated so that the observer’s bias does not distort the obser-
that cooperation is the result of repeated interaction vations. The personality of the scientist should be
with the same people. Trust is not really required to irrelevant to the observations. The mantra of practi-
form a collaborative partnership; the key to collab- tioners of the new brand of scientific objectivity that
oration is “the shadow of the future.” People in emerged at the end of the 19th century was “let nature
cooperative relationships should start off being nice, speak for itself.”17
but they have to be willing to punish noncooperative One indication of the attempt for objectivity is the
behavior, with an approach of being “nice, forgiving, pervasive use of the passive voice in scientific writing,
and retaliatory.” I have seen this principle in operation as this seems to impart some distance between the
in grants committees and for manuscripts submitted observer and the observation. (I should note that the
for publication in which there does seem to be an practice is changing in scientific writing; it is fair to
element of “you score my grant (or paper) highly, and I say that current opinion favors the use of the active
will score yours highly.” Thus, old boys/girls networks voice.) In any case, merely writing in the passive voice
are formed. Even professor-student relationships can does not guarantee objectivity. It has been said that
be clouded by the shadow of the future. I know of one 17th-century epistemology aspired to the viewpoints of
professor who distributed his course evaluation forms angels; 19th-century objectivity aspired to the self-dis-
to his class with the trenchant proposition, “you give cipline of saints.17 These lofty goals are hard to obtain
me a nice evaluation, I will give you a nice exam.” It for 21st-century mortals; increasingly, the objectivity
would take a brave student to ignore the dark cloud of scientists has been called into question.

16

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The Behavior of Scientists

Aberrant behavior: Lack of of how some outstanding scientists actually operate.


Thus, it should come as no surprise that some of the
objectivity (Should the history of lesser lights of science can also lack objectivity. This is
science be rated “X”?) particularly true when you consider that the rewards
of science—grants, jobs, tenure, and even fame—go to
This attack on the perceived objectivity of scientists the people who publish.
has taken place on two fronts and involves two types The pressure to publish has been invoked as one of
of scientific soldiers: the generals of scientific history the reasons for the increasing problem of scientific
and the more humble common cannon fodder who fraud. But dubious scientific practices have attracted
fight for jobs, grants, and tenure. critical comment for some time. Charles Babbage,
Consider the following generals: famous for inventing the first mechanical computer,
produced a typology of scientific fraud in 1830.23 Hoax-
• Claudius Ptolemy, generally regarded as the great- ing, forging, trimming, and cooking formed the unholy
est astronomer of antiquity, appears to have altered quadrivium of Babbage’s typology. The sins of forging
his observations to fit his theories. Moreover, his and hoaxing are obvious enough, and Babbage viewed
writings appear to be a “cover up.” One historian of these as less serious problems for science, as forging
science, Robert Newton, has dubbed Ptolemy “the was rare and hoaxes would eventually be discovered.
most successful fraud in the history of science.”18 Trimming consisted of making the reported precision
• There is good reason to think that Galileo was dishon- of data appear better than it was by clipping off bits
est about some of his observations.19 of data from high readings and adding them to low
• Isaac Newton manufactured accuracy by taking readings so that the reported average was not affected.
rough measurements and producing calculations Cooking comprised a range of practices that resulted in
that claimed accuracy to six or seven decimal places. data agreeing with expectations. The term has consid-
Moreover, Newton selected data to fit his hypothesis. erable staying power; it was a common practice in my
Newton’s correspondence with his publisher leaves undergraduate days in physics labs to employ “Cook’s
little doubt about what he was up to; he adjusted constant” to coax highly accurate values for physical
values, one after another, so that laws would appear properties (such as the gravitational constant “G”) from
to fit observational data. Newton termed these actions antiquated and poorly maintained equipment.
“mending the numbers.” “No one,” concluded West- Scientific fraud continues to be problematic today.
fall20 in his article “Newton and the Fudge Factor,” Friedman24 compiled a list of contemporary high-
“can manipulate the fudge factor so effectively as powered research that is thought likely to be scientific
the master mathematician.” fraud. Diverse disciplines including surgery, physics,
• Einstein wrote “. . . it is quite wrong to try founding malaria research, immunology, anthropology, chem-
a theory on observable magnitudes alone. In reality istry, biology, and genetics have been thought to be
the very opposite happens. It is the theory which victimized by fraudsters. Readers might think that oral
decides what we can observe.”19 health researchers, enlightened individuals that they
are, might be exempt, but it too has a celebrated exam-
In all these instances, it appears that great scientists ple of scientific misconduct. In 2006, Jon Sudbø, DDS,
were subjective or at least considered observations to be associate professor at the University of Oslo, published
secondary to theory. Kuhn21 gives numerous examples an article in The Lancet that was based on the study
of revolutionary scientists rising above the morass of of some 900 patients whose records he had entirely
observational data to construct their elegant theories, fabricated. It was evident that something was amiss in
which at the time of their inception were no better than that of the 908 people in the study, some 250 shared the
those of their predecessors. This heresy is not new; over same birth date. Improbable numeric oddities have led
a half century ago Bondi22 suggested that, in astron- to suspicions of scientific misconduct in other cases,
omy, observations had proven a less reliable arbiter of such as Sir Cyril Burt’s study on monozygotic and dizy-
hypotheses than had theoretical considerations. gotic twins, where correlation coefficients were the
As there is little danger that an intellect like Einstein’s same to three decimal places across various articles
will be found in dental research, you may be wonder- even though new data had been added to the sample.
ing what these stories have to do with this book. They The Sudbø case has been described as “the biggest scien-
simply show that the traditional explanation of scien- tific fraud conducted by a single researcher ever,”25 and
tific method does not provide an adequate description subsequent investigations revealed that Sudbø used

17

Brunette-CH02 SRM.indd 17 10/9/19 10:31 AM


Another random document with
no related content on Scribd:
que hará con famosíssimo
renombre
que Hesiodo en sus tiempos
no se nombre.

Al que romanas leyes


declarando,
y delicados versos
componiendo,
irá al sabio Licurgo
aventajando
y al veronés poeta
antecediendo,
ya desde aquí le estoy
pronosticando
gran fama en todo el
mundo, porque entiendo
que cuando de Oliver se
hará memoria
ha de callar antigua y nueva
historia.

Nymphas, vuestra ventura


conosciendo,
haced de interno gozo mil
señales,
que casi ya mi espíritu está
viendo
que aquí están dos varones
principales:
el uno militar, y el otro
haciendo
cobrar salud á míseros
mortales,
Siurana y el Ardévol, que
levantan
al cielo el verso altíssimo
que cantan.

¿Queréis ver un juicio agudo y


cierto
un general saber, un grave
tiento?
¿queréis mirar un ánimo
despierto,
un sossegado y claro
entendimiento?
¿queréis ver un poético
concierto,
que en fieras mueve blando
sentimiento?
Phelippe Catalán mirad,
que tiene
posessión de la fuente de
Hipocrene.

Veréis aquí un ingenio


levantado,
que gran fama ha de dar al
campo nuestro,
de soberano espíritu dotado,
y en toda habilidad experto
y diestro,
el Pellicer, doctísimo
letrado,
y en los poemas único
maestro,
en quien han de tener grado
excessivo
grave saber y entendimiento
vivo.

Mirad aquel, en quien pondrá


su assiento
la rara y general sabiduría;
con este Orpheo muestra
estar contento,
y Apolo influjo altíssimo le
envía;
dale Minerva grave
entendimiento,
Marte nobleza, esfuerzo y
gallardía:
hablo del Romaní, que
ornado viene
de todo lo mejor que el
mundo tiene.

Dos soles nascerán en mis


riberas
mostrando tanta luz como el
del cielo;
habrá en un año muchas
primaveras,
dando atavío hermoso el
fértil suelo,
no se verán mis sotos y
praderas
cubiertos de intractable y
duro hielo,
oyéndose en mi selva ó mi
vereda
los versos de Vadillo y de
Pineda.

Los metros de Artieda y de


Clemente
tales serán en años
juveniles,
que los de quien presume
de excelente,
vendrán á parescer bajos y
viles:
ambos tendrán entre la
sabia gente
ingenios sossegados y
subtiles,
y prometernos han sus
tiernas flores
fructos entre los buenos los
mejores.

La fuente que á Parnasso


hace famoso
será á Juan Pérez tanto
favorable,
que de la Tana al Gange
caudaloso
por siglos mil tendrá nombre
admirable;
ha de enfrenarse el viento
pressuroso,
y detenerse ha el agua
deleznable,
mostrando allí maravilloso
espanto
la vez que escucharán su
grave canto.

Aquel, á quien de drecho le es


debido
por su destreza un nombre
señalado,
de mis sagradas Nymphas
conoscido,
de todos mis pastores
alabado,
hará un metro sublime y
escogido,
entre los más perfectos
estimado:
este será Almudévar, cuyo
vuelo
ha de llegar hasta el
supremo cielo.

En lengua patria hará clara la


historia
de Nápoles el célebre
Espinosa,
después de eternizada la
memoria
de los Centellas, casa
generosa,
con tan excelso estilo, que
la gloria,
que le dará la fama
poderosa,
hará que este poeta sin
segundo
se ha de nombrar allá en el
nuevo mundo.

Recibo un regalado
sentimiento
en la alma de alegría
enternescida,
tan sólo imaginando el gran
contento
que me ha de dar el sabio
Bonavida:
tan gran saber, tan grave
entendimiento
tendrá la gente atónita y
vencida,
y el verso tan sentido y
elegante
se oirá desde Poniente
hasta Levante.

Tendréis un Don Alfonso,


que el renombre
de ilustres Rebolledos
dilatando,
en todo el universo irá su
nombre
sobre Maron famoso
levantando;
mostrará no tener ingenio
de hombre,
antes con verso altíssimo
cantando,
parescerá del cielo haber
robado
la arte subtil y espíritu
elevado.

Por fin deste apacible y dulce


canto,
y extremo fin de general
destreza,
os doy aquel, con quien
extraño espanto
al mundo ha de causar
naturaleza;
nunca podrá alabarse un
valor tanto,
tan rara habilidad, gracia,
nobleza,
bondad, disposición,
sabiduría,
fe, discreción, modestia y
valentía.

Este es Aldana, el único


Monarca,
que junto ordena versos y
soldados,
que en cuanto el ancho mar
ciñe y abarca,
con gran razón los hombres
señalados
en gran duda pondrán, si él
es Petrarca
ó si Petrarcha es él,
maravillados
de ver que donde reina el
fiero Marte,
tenga el facundo Apolo tanta
parte.

Tras éste no hay persona á


quien yo pueda
con mis versos dar honra
esclarescida,
que estando junto á Phebo,
luego queda
la más lumbrosa estrella
escurecida,
y allende desto el corto
tiempo veda
á todos dar la gloria
merescida.
Adiós, adiós, que todo lo
restante
os lo diré la otra vez que
cante.
Este fué el canto del río Turia, al
cual estuvieron muy atentos los
pastores y Nymphas, ansí por su
dulzura y suavidad, como por los
señalados hombres que en él á la
tierra de Valencia se prometían.
Muchas otras cosas os podría
contar, que en aquellos dichosos
campos he visto; pero la
pesadumbre que de mi prolijidad
habéis recibido, no me da lugar á
ello. Quedaron Marcelio y las
pastoras con gran maravilla de lo
que Clenarda les había contado,
pero cuando llegó á la fin de su
razón, vieron que estaban muy
cerca del templo de Diana y
comenzaron á descubrir sus altos
chapiteles, que por encima de los
árboles sobrepujaban. Mas antes
que al gran palacio llegassen,
vieron por aquel llano cogiendo
flores una hermosa Nympha, cuyo
nombre, y lo que de su vista
sucedió, sabréis en el libro que se
sigue.

Fin del libro tercero.


LIBRO CUARTO
DE DIANA ENAMORADA

Grandes son las quejas que los


hombres dan ordinariamente de la
Fortuna; pero no serían tantas ni
tan ásperas si se tuviesse cuenta
con los bienes que muchas veces
nos vienen de sus mudanzas. El
que estando en ruin estado
huelga que la fortuna se mude, no
tiene mucha razón de increparla y
afrentarla con el nombre de
mudable cuando algún contrario
sucesso le acontesce. Mas pues
ella en el bien y en el mal tiene
por tan natural la inconstancia, lo
que toca al hombre prudente es
no vivir confiado en la possessión
de los bienes ni desesperado en
el sufrimiento de los males: antes
vivir con tanta prudencia que se
passen los deleites como cosa
que no ha de durar, y los
tormentos como cosa que puede
ser fenescida. De semejantes
hombres tiene Dios particular
cuidado, como del triste y
congojado Marcelio, librándole de
su necessidad por medio de la
sapientíssima Felicia, la cual,
como con su espíritu adevinasse
que Marcelio, Diana y los otros
venían á su casa, hizo de manera
que aquella hermosa Nympha
saliesse en aquel llano para que
les diesse ciertas nuevas y
sucediessen cosas que con su
extraña sabiduría vió que mucho
convenían. Pues como Marcelio y
los demás llegassen donde la
Nympha estaba, saludáronla con
mucha cortesía, y ella les
respondió con la misma.
Preguntóles para dónde
caminaban, y dijéronle que para
el templo de Diana. Entonces
Arethea, que este era el nombre
de la Nympha, les dijo: Según en
vuestra manera mostráis tener
mucho valor, no podrá dejar
Felicia, cuya Nympha soy, de
holgar con vuestra compañía. Y
pues ya el sol está cercano del
occaso, volveré con vosotros allá,
donde seréis recebidos con la
fiesta possible. Ellos le
agradescieron mucho las
amorosas ofertas, y juntamente
con ella caminaron hacia el
templo. Grande esperanza
recibieron de las palabras desta
Nympha, y aunque Polydoro y
Clenarda habían estado en la
casa de Felicia, no la conoscían
ni se acordaban habella visto.
Esto era por la muchedumbre de
Nymphas que tenía la sabia, las
cuales obedesciendo su mandado
entendían en diversos hechos en
diferentes partes. Por esso le
preguntaron su nombre, y ella dijo
que se llamaba Arethea. Diana
le preguntó qué había de nuevo
en aquellas partes, y ella
respondió: Lo que más nuevo hay
por acá es que habrá dos horas
que llegó á la casa de Felicia una
dama en hábito de pastora, que
vista por un hombre anciano que
allí hay fué conoscida por su hija,
y como había mucho tiempo que
andaba perdida por el mundo, fué
tanto el gozo que recibió, que ha
redundado en cuantos están en
aquella casa. El nombre del viejo,
si bien me acuerdo, es Eugerio,
y el de la hija Alcida. Marcelio
oyendo esto quedó tal como un
discreto puede presumir, y dijo:
¡Oh venturosos trabajos los que
alcanzan fin con tan próspera
ventura! ¡Ay, ay! y queriendo
passar adelante se le añudó el
corazón y se le travó la lengua,
cayendo en el suelo desmayado.
Diana, Ismenia y Clenarda,
sentándose cabe él, le esforzaron
y le dijeron palabras para dalle
ánimo. Y ansí tornando luego en
sí, se levantó. No se holgaron
poco Polydoro y Clenarda con
semejante nueva, viendo que sus
desventuras con la venida de su
hermana Alcida habían de
acabarse; y Diana y Ismenia
también recibieron grande alegría,
assí por la que sus compañeros
tenían, como por la que ellas
esperaban de mano de la que
sabía hacer tales maravillas.
Diana, por saber algo de Syreno,
á la Nympha preguntó assí:
Nympha hermosa, gran confianza
me distes de contento con
decirme el que hay en el palacio
de Felicia por la venida de Alcida,
pero más cumplido le recibiré si
me contáis los pastores más
señalados que en ella están.
Respondió entonces Arethea:
Muchos pastores hallaréis allí de
singular merescimiento; pero los
que agora se me acuerdan son
Sylvano y Selvagia, Arsileo y
Belisa, y un pastor, el más
principal de todos, llamado
Syreno, de cuyas habilidades
hace Felicia mucho caso; mas
tiene un ánimo tan enemigo de
Amor, que á cuantos están allí
tiene maravillados. De la mesma
condición es Alcida, tanto que
después que ella ha llegado, los
dos no se han partido, tratando
del olvido y platicando cosas de
desamor. Y ansí tengo por muy
cierto que Felicia los hizo venir á
su casa para casallos, pues son
entrambos de un mesmo
parescer, y están sus ánimos en
las condiciones tan avenidos, que
aunque él es pastor y ella dama,
puede Felicia añadirle á él más
valor del que tiene, dándole
muchíssima riqueza y sabiduría,
que es la verdadera nobleza. Y
prosiguiendo su razon Arethea,
vuelta á Marcelio dijo: Por esso
tú, pastor, pues ves tu bien en
peligro de venir á manos ajenas,
no te detengas un punto, que si
llegas á tiempo podrás hurtarle la
ventura á Syreno. Diana, después
de haber oído estas palabras,
sintió bravíssima pena, y la
señalara con voces y lágrimas si
la vergüenza y la honestidad no
se lo impidieran. El mesmo dolor,
y por la mesma causa, sintió
Marcelio, y quedó dél tan
atormentado que pensó morirse,
haciendo grandíssimos extremos:
de manera que un mesmo
cuchillo travessó los corazones de
Marcelio y Diana, y un mesmo
recelo les fatigó las almas.
Marcelio temía el casamiento de
Alcida con Syreno y Diana el de
Syreno con Alcida. La hermosa
Nympha bien conocía á Marcelio
y Diana y todos los demás; pero
por orden sapientíssima, que
Felicia les había dado, había
dissimulado con ellos y había
dicho una verdad, para darle á
Marcelio una no pensada alegría,
y una mentira para más avivar su
deseo y el de Diana, y para que
con esta amargura después les
fuessen más dulces los placeres
que allí habían de recebir.
Llegados ya á una plaza ancha y
hermosíssima, que está delante la
puerta de aquel palacio, vieron
salir por ella una venerable dueña
con una saya de terciopelo negro,
tocada con unos largos y blancos
velos, acompañada de tres
hermosíssimas Nymphas,
representando una honestíssima
Sibila. Esta era la sabia Felicia, y
las Nymphas eran Dorida, Cynthia
y Polydora. Llegando Arethea
delante su señora, avisada
primero su compañía cómo
aquélla era Felicia, se le arrodilló
á sus pies y le besó las manos, y
lo mesmo hicieron todos. Mostró
Felicia tener gran contento de su
venida, y con gesto muy alegre
les dijo: Preciados caballeros,
dama y pastoras señaladas,
aunque es muy grande el placer
que tengo de vuestra llegada, no
será menor el que recibiréis de mi
vista. Mas porque venís algo
fatigados id á tomar descanso y
olvidad vuestro tormento, pues lo
primero no podrá faltaros en mi
casa y lo segundo con mi
poderoso saber será presto
remediado. Mostraron todos allí
muchas señales y palabras de
agradescimiento, y al fin dellas se
despidieron de Felicia. Hizo la
sabia que Polydoro y Clenarda
quedassen allí diciendo tener que
hablar con ellos; y los demás,
guiados por Arethea, se fueron á
un aposento del rico palacio,
donde fueron aquella noche
festejados y proveídos de lo que
convenía para su descanso. Era
esta casa tan sumptuosa y
magnífica, tenía tanta riqueza, era
poblada de tantos jardines, que
no hay cosa que de gran parte se
le pueda comparar. Mas no quiero
detenerme en contar
particularmente su hermosura y
riqueza, pues largamente fué
contada en la primera parte. Sólo
quiero decir que Marcelio, Diana y
Ismenia fueron aposentados en
dos piezas del palacio
entapizadas con paños de oro y
seda ricamente labrados, cosa no
acostumbrada para las simples
pastoras. Fueron allí proveídos de
una abundante y delicada cena,
servidos con vasos de oro y de
cristal, y al tiempo de dormir se
acostaron en tales camas, que
aunque los cuerpos de sus penas
y cansancios venían fatigados, la
blandura y limpiezas dellas y la
esperanza que Felicia les había
dado les convidó á dulce y
reposado sueño. Por otra parte,
Felicia en compañía de sus tres
Nymphas, y de Polydoro y
Clenarda; y avisándoles que no
dijessen nada de la venida de
Marcelio, Diana é Ismenia, fué á
un ameníssimo jardín, donde
vieron que en un corredor Eugerio
con su hija Alcida estaba
passeando. Don Félix y
Felismena, Syreno, Sylvano y
Selvagia, Arsileo y Belisa y otro
pastor estaban más apartados
sentados en torno de una fuente.
Estaba aún Alcida con los mismos
vestidos de pastora con que aquel
día había llegado, pero luego por
sus hermanos fué conoscida. La
alegría que todos tres hermanos
recibieron de verse juntos, y la
que el padre tuvo de ver á sí y á
ellos con tanto contento, el gozo
con que se abrazaron, las
lágrimas que vertieron, las
razones que passaron y las
preguntas que se hicieron, no se
pueden con palabras declarar.
Grandes fiestas hizo Alcida á los
hermanos, pero muchas más á
Polydoro que á Clenarda, por la
presumpción que tenía que con
Marcelio se había ido, dejándola
en la desierta isla, como habéis
oído. Pero queriendo Felicia
aclarar estos errores y dar fin á
tantas desdichas, habló ansí:
Hermosa Alcida, por más que la
fortuna con desventuras muy
grandes se ha mostrado tu
enemiga, no negarás que con el
contento que agora tienes, de
todas sus injurias no estés
cumplidamente vengada. Y
porque el engaño, que hasta
agora tuviste, aborresciendo sin
razón á tu Marcelio, si vives más
en él, es bastante para alterar tu
corazón y darle mucho
desabrimiento, será menester que
de tu error y sospecha quedes
desengañada. Lo que de Marcelio
presumes es al revés de lo que
piensas: porque dejarte allí en la
isla no fué culpa suya, sino de un
traidor y de la fortuna. La cual, por
satisfacer el daño que te hizo, te
ha encaminado á mí, en cuya
boca no hallarás cosa ajena de
verdad. Todo lo que acerca desto
passa, tu hermana Clenarda
largamente lo dirá; oye su razón y
da crédito á sus palabras, que por
mí te juro que cuantas cosas
sobre ello te contará serán
certíssimas y verdaderas.
Comenzó entonces Clenarda á
contar el caso como había
passado, desculpando á Marcelio
y á sí, recitando largamente la
grande traición y maldad de
Bartofano y todo lo demás que
está contado. Oído lo cual, Alcida
quedó muy satisfecha, y junto con
el engaño salió de su corazón el
aborrescimiento. Y tanto por estar
fuera del error passado como por
la obra que las poderosas
palabras de Felicia hacían en su
alma, comenzó á despertarse en
ella el adormido amor y avivarse
el sepultado fuego, y como tal le
dijo á Felicia: Sabia señora, bien
conozco el yerro mío y la merced
que me heciste en librarme dél,
pero si yo desengañada amo á
Marcelio, estando él ausente
como está, no tendré el
cumplimiento de alegría que de tu
mano espero, antes recibiré tan
extremada pena, que para el
remedio della será menester que
me hagas nuevos favores.
Respondió á esto Felicia: Buena
señal es de amor tener miedo de
la ausencia; pero ésta no tardará
mucho, pues yo tomé á cargo tu
salud. El sol ya sus rayos ha
escondido, y es hora de
recogerse; vete con tu padre y
hermanos á reposar, que mañana
hablaremos en lo demás. Dicho
esto se salió del jardín, y lo
mesmo hicieron Eugerio y sus
hijas, yendo á los aposentos del
palacio que Felicia les tenía
señalados, que estaban
apartados de los de Marcelio y
sus compañeras. Quedaron un
rato Don Félix y Felismena, los
otros pastores y pastoras en torno
de la fuente; pero luego se fueron
á cenar dejando concertado de
volver allí al día siguiente, una
hora antes del día, para gozar de
la frescura de la mañana. Pues
como la esperanza del placer les
hiciesse passar la noche con
cuidado, todos madrugaron tanto
que antes de la hora concertada
acudieron con sus instrumentos á
la fuente. Eugerio, con el hijo y
hijas, avisado de la música,
madrugó, y fué también allá.
Comenzaron á tañer, cantar y
mover grandes juegos y bullicios
á la lumbre de la Luna, que con
lleno y resplandeciente gesto los
alumbraba como si fuera día.
Marcelio, Diana y Ismenia
dormían en dos aposentos, el uno
al lado del otro, cuyas ventanas
daban en el jardín. Y aunque por
ellas no podían ver la fuente, á
causa de unos espessos y altos
álamos que lo estorbaban, pero
podían oir lo que en torno della se
hablaba. Pues como al bullicio,
regocijo y cantares de los
pastores Ismenia recordasse,
despertó á Diana, y luego Diana
dando golpes en la pared que los
dos aposentos dividía, despertó á
Marcelio, y todos se asomaron á
las ventanas, donde estuvieron
sin ser vistos ni conoscidos.
Marcelio se paró á escuchar si
por ventura sentiría la voz de
Alcida. Diana estaba muy atenta
por oir la de Syreno. Sola Ismenia
no tenía confianza de oir á
Montano, pues no sabía que allí
estuviesse. Pero ella tuvo más
ventura, porque á la sazón un
pastor al son de su zampoña
cantaba deste modo:

Sextina.
La hermosa, rubicunda y
fresca Aurora
ha de venir tras la importuna
noche;
sucede á la tiniebla el claro
día,
las Nymphas salirán al
verde prado,
y el aire sonará el suave
canto,
y dulce son de cantadoras
aves.

Yo soy menos dichoso que las


aves
que saludando están la
alegre Aurora,
mostrando allí regocijado
canto;
que al alba triste estoy como
la noche,
ó esté desierto ó muy florido
el prado,
ó esté ñubloso ó muy
sereno el día.

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