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ADC Investor Presentation - May 2021
ADC Investor Presentation - May 2021
RETHINKING RETAIL
As of March 31, 2021, unless otherwise noted. (1) As of May 14, 2021.
Focus on 21st
century
industry- Leverage our Maintain a Provide
leading real estate conservative consistent,
retailers acumen and and flexible high-quality
Capitalize on through our relationships capital earnings
distinct market three unique to identify structure that growth and a
RETHINK positioning in external superior risk- enables our well-covered,
the retail net growth adjusted growth growing
RETAIL lease space platforms opportunities trajectory dividend
noun
steadfast adherence to the same
principles, course, or form
As of May 14, 2021, unless otherwise noted. (1) Reflects increased full-year 2021 acquisition guidance provided by the Company on May 3, 2021. (2) Proforma for the settlement of the Company’s
outstanding ATM forward equity offerings as of March 31, 2021. (3) Refer to footnote 1 on slide 7 for the Company’s definition of Investment Grade. (4) As of April 30, 2021. Reflects rent collections for
September 2020 through April 2021.
As of March 31, 2021, unless otherwise noted. (1) As of May 14, 2021. (2) Reflects shares and OP units outstanding multiplied by the closing price as of 5/14/2021. (3) Proforma for the settlement of the
Company’s outstanding ATM forward equity offerings as of March 31, 2021. (4) Refer to footnote 1 on slide 7 for the Company’s definition of Investment Grade.
67%
INVESTMENT GRADE(1)
16% 17%
SUB-INVESTMENT GRADE NOT RATED
As of March 31, 2021. Any differences are a result of rounding. (1) Based on ABR derived from tenants, or parent entities thereof, with an investment grade credit rating from S&P Global Ratings, Moody’s
Investors Service, Fitch Ratings, or the National Association of Insurance Commissioners.
86%
NATIONAL
2% 12%
FRANCHISE SUPER-REGIONAL
12.5 17%
16%
120 11.4% years
of total weighted-
Leases portfolio average
ABR lease term 13%
11%
8%
89% 6%
INVESTMENT
GRADE(1)
5%
Ground Lease
Credit Overview 9% 3%
(%ABR) NOT
RATED
3%
2%
SUB-INVESTMENT 2%
GRADE
2%
As of March 31, 2021. (1) Refer to footnote 1 on slide 7 for the Company’s definition of Investment Grade.
CHANGE IN
EXPOSURE PRIVATE
E-COMMERCE RECESSION EQUITY REAL ESTATE
SECTOR % ABR(1) SINCE NOTABLE TENANTS RESISTANCE RESISTANCE ATTRIBUTES COMMENTS
1/1/2018(2) SPONSORSHIP
Private equity
sponsorship,
Health & 358 proliferation
2.2% HIGH YES HIGH WEAK
Fitness BPS of low-cost
operators + single
purpose boxes.
Single purpose
boxes + online
Movie 126 disruption =
1.2% LOW MODERATE LIMITED WEAK
Theaters BPS minimal exposure
to leading
operators.
Discretionary
nature = limited
exposure to
Entertainment 98
0.7% HIGH MODERATE ACCELERATING MODERATE leading operator
Retail(3) BPS
with strong
underlying
real estate.
(1) As of March 31, 2021, unless otherwise noted. (2) Represents the change in the Company’s exposure, measured as the % of total ABR, from January 1, 2018 to March 31, 2021. (3) Reflects the sale of
Dave & Buster’s in Austin, Texas as announced on the Company’s first quarter earnings call on May 4, 2021.
PARTNER CAPITAL
ACQUISITIONS
DEVELOPMENT
SOLUTIONS
Engage in consistent dialogue
to understand store performance
RETAILER RELATIONSHIPS and tenant sustainability
Leverage relationships to identify
the best risk-adjusted opportunities
MARKET RENTS
• Rents ≤ market
• Fungibility of building
COMPETITION
• Limited competition
• Strong market presence
REAL ESTATE
FUNDAMENTALS
• Access
• Visibility
• Demos
RETAIL SYNERGY
• Major retail corridor
• Strong traffic drivers
$3.0 BILLION
acquired since 2018
As of March 31, 2021.
Investment Activity
($ in millions)
$ 1,500
1,400 $43.2
$33.1
1,300
$1.31B $1.1B
1,200 To
$1.3B
1,100
1,000
900
800
$32.4
700
$74.4 $701.4
600
$607.0
500
400
$38.0 $62.7
300 $336.9
$14.9 $295.8
200 $220.1
100
0
(1)
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021E
As of March 31, 2021, unless otherwise noted. (1) Reflects increased full-year 2021 acquisition guidance provided by the Company on May 3, 2021. Includes development and PCS activity
announced on the Company’s first quarter earnings call on May 4, 2021. (2) Represents development and PCS activity, completed or commenced.
UPLAND, CA MAPLEWOOD, MN
NORTH DAKOTA (3) WICHITA FALLS, TX OH (2) & PA (2) OH (3), WV, & VA
$67.6M
OCALA, FL OSCODA, MI
$67.2M
UT (2), ND & MT
RANCHO CORDOVA, CA
$45.8M $49.4M
PORT ST. JOHN, FL BIG RAPIDS, MI
AURORA, IL
$8.7M
2016 2017 2018(1) 2019 2020 Q1 2021
As of March 31, 2021. Graph is representative and does not include all dispositions. (1) Includes Meijer’s exercise of a purchase option totaling $3.9 million.
$400 $410
$300
$300
$200
1
c
$100 $125
$100
$50 $50
$28 $5
$0
$0 (1) $0 $0
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033
REVOLVING CREDIT FACILITY UNSECURED SECURED
Equity Market Capitalization $4.5 Billion Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio(3) 5.0x
Enterprise Value(2) $5.9 Billion Net Debt to Recurring EBITDA(3)(4) 4.9x / 4.2x(5)
As of May 14, 2021, unless otherwise noted. (1) There were no outstanding borrowings under the Company’s $500 million Revolving Credit Facility as of May 14, 2021. The Revolving Credit Facility
matures in January 2025 assuming two 6-month extension options are exercised. (2) Enterprise value is calculated as the sum of net debt and equity market capitalization. (3) As of March 31, 2021.
(4) Reflects net debt to annualized Q1 2021 recurring EBITDA. (5) Proforma for the settlement of the Company’s outstanding ATM forward equity offerings as of March 31, 2021.
$1,400
$988
(74%)
$1,200
$1,000
$250
(28%)
$800
$531
(70%)
$600 $650
(72%)
$433
(78%)
$400
$200 $225
(30%)
$40
$100 $125
$100 $100 (22%)
$0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Reflects gross proceeds for debt raised through May 14, 2021, and equity raised through March 31, 2021. Forward equity offerings are shown in the year they were initially raised, rather than settled.
5.4X
5.1X
5.0X
4.8X 4.8X 4.8X 4.9X
4.7X 4.7X 4.7X
4.4X 4.5X
4.2X
4.0X 4.0X 4.0X
3.7X 3.7X
3.5X
3.4X
3.3X
3.2X 3.2X 3.2X
2.5X
1.6X
Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021
As of March 31, 2021. Proforma Net Debt to Recurring EBTIDA deducts the Company’s outstanding forward equity offerings for each period from the Company’s net debt for each period.
trajectory
growth
Robust
Well-covered
FORTIFIED
BALANCE SHEET ÷nd
consistent
For further information about the Company’s business and financial results, please refer to the “Management’s
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and “Risk Factors” sections of the Company’s
SEC filings, including, but not limited to, its Annual Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, copies of
which may be obtained at the Investors section of the Company’s website at www.agreerealty.com.
All information in this presentation is as of March 31, 2021, unless otherwise noted. The Company undertakes no duty to
update the statements in this presentation to conform the statements to actual results or changes in the Company’s
expectations.
Net Income $16,636 $13,068 $15,756 $13,338 $18,516 $18,722 $20,781 $22,744 $21,370 $25,424 $21,416 $23,760 $30,278
Interest expense, net 5,465 5,961 6,538 6,908 7,558 7,455 8,352 9,730 9,670 8,479 10,158 11,791 11,653
Income tax expense 50 216 125 125 (170) 195 184 328 259 260 306 260 1,009
Depreciation of rental real
5,654 5,934 6,156 6,808 7,643 8,276 8,866 9,563 10,402 11,316 12,669 13,980 15,292
estate assets
Amortization of lease
intangibles - in-place leases 4,284 4,563 4,914 4,987 2,157 2,496 2,965 3,453 3,621 4,170 4,523 5,567 6,050
and leasing costs
Provision for impairment 0 1,163 488 668 416 1,193 82 0 0 1,128 2,868 141 0
(Gain) loss on sale of assets,
(4,598) (2,434) (3,917) 0 (3,427) (2,949) (2,597) (4,333) (1,645) (4,952) (970) (437) (3,062)
net
EBITDAre $27,557 $28,533 $30,170 $32,703 $32,757 $35,452 $38,617 $41,574 $43,786 $45,946 $51,105 $55,206 $61,367
Run-Rate Impact of
Investment, Disposition & $647 $1,129 $1,964 $3,272 $1,657 $1,641 $2,782 $1,435 $1,160 $3,015 $5,093 $3,973 $4,175
Leasing Activity
Amortization of above
(below) market lease 0 0 0 0 3,276 3,225 3,381 3,618 3,809 3,779 3,964 4,333 4,756
intangibles, net
Other expense (income) 94 (45) (53) 0 0 0 0 0 0 (23) 0 0 0
Recurring EBITDA $28,298 $29,617 $32,081 $35,975 $37,690 $40,318 $44,780 $46,627 $48,755 $52,717 $60,162 $63,512 $70,298
Annualized Recurring EBITDA $113,192 $118,468 $128,324 $143,900 $150,760 $161,272 $179,120 $186,508 $195,020 $210,868 $240,648 $254,048 $281,192
Total Debt $558,579 $647,752 $619,913 $724,063 $775,200 $739,166 $931,867 $876,115 $1,026,111 $783,878 $1,153,642 $1,225,433 $1,371,238
Net Debt $547,475 $638,766 $601,666 $670,088 $749,851 $716,737 $921,065 $833,958 $933,971 $747,494 $1,137,412 $1,217,478 $1,363,869
Net Debt to Recurring EBITDA 4.8x 5.4x 4.7x 4.7x 5.0x 4.4x 5.1x 4.5x 4.8x 3.5x 4.7x 4.8x 4.9x
Proforma Net Debt 384,575 475,866 411,666 480,088 559,851 516,837 723,709 689,282 496,206 336,432 $761,016 $1,014,267 $1,174,291
100%
67%
60%
80%
84%
77%
50%
50%
60%
67%
40%
55%
40%
38%
30%
20%
20%
23%
19%
0% 10%
ADC NNN O SRC VER1 STOR2 ADC O VER SRC NNN STOR
14
99.6%
99.5%
99.4%
99% 11 YRS
10.6
98.3%
10.1
98% 10 YRS
98.0%
98.0%
9.8
97% 9 YRS
8.4
8.9
96% 8 YRS
STOR SRC ADC NNN VER O STOR NNN SRC ADC O VER
ADC data as of March 31, 2021. Peer data from supplementals, SEC filings, earnings releases or earnings calls. NNN, O, SRC, STOR and VER as of Q1 2021. (1) Excludes Office and Industrial, as disclosed.
(2) Excludes Early Childhood Education, Behavioral Health, Elementary and Secondary Schools, Lumber & Construction Materials Wholesalers, Wholesale Automobile Auction, Logistics, Metal & Mineral
Merchant Wholesalers and All Other Service, as disclosed.
CONTACT
SIMON LEOPOLD
Chief Financial Officer
(248) 737-4190
sleopold@agreerealty.com