Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Main Contents
Macro Economy
CPI in 2011 rose 18.58% on year Trade deficit declined sharply thanks to exports State inspected many ministries, departments and large economic groups. Total social capital sources will be restructured 1
Infrastructure News
Construction on overhead ring road No 3
Basic completion of National Highway No 32 crossing DienNhon section Thu Thiem tunnel was officially opened to traffic and East-West Boulevard completed Construction on Long Thanh International Airport
News, Highlights
Real estate prices in Hanoi dropped sharply A series of defaults relating to real estate Government approved master plan for Hanoi Rescuing real estate
Market Overview
Housing price in 2011 in Hanoi declined 30%-40% from early 2011, decreased 5-10% in HCM City Compiled by Data Analysis and Editorial Division-CafeF Land
Add: 18th floor, VTC Online Building, 18 Tam Trinh, Hai Ba Trung, Hanoi Tel: 04 39743410. Ext: 295 Fax: 04 39744082 Email: info@cafef.vn
Office rental charge mitigated Markets of office for lease and retail space suffered pressure from the abundant new supply
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changes from 2010: the proportion of heavy industrial Total social capital sources to be restructured products and minerals increased 4% on year whereas the group of light industrial products, agro-forestry and fisheries products and gold and its products saw slight fall y-o-y. The countrys total import spending in 2011 was estimated at over $105.8 billion, up 24.7% on year. The trade gap for the whole year was estimated at more than $9.5 billion. If excluding the price factor, the countrys export turnover increased 11.4% on year and the import value posted a rise of 3.8% over 2010. Thanks to sharply increasing export, Vietnam lessened trade gap significantly in 2011. Decree No 59/2011/N-CP dated on July 8, 2011 on restructuring 100% state-owned enterprises (SOEs) to be joint stocks company has created premise to restructure a series of SOEs. Many equitization plans attracted the attention of local and foreign investors like equitization for 10 firms under Ministry of Industry and Trade; six firms of Vinachem; companies of Vietnam Airlines; six firms of Railway Corp; Urban and Housing Development Group, member companies of Song Da Group; BIDV; VNSteel; CPH Mobifone; PV Oil, Nhon Trach Power...
As of December 15, 2011, Vietnam lured $14.7 billion Mineral resources are included in planning newly-pledged and raised FDI (foreign direct investment) Facing the situation of indiscriminate mining and too many capital, down 26% from 2010, of which 76.4% was for crude exports, government has issued mining strategy to industry and construction sectors. Although FDI attraction 2020 and vision till 2030. declined, FDI disbursement quality has been improved significantly with $11 billion in 2011, equaling to the actualized figure in 2010 and contributing 25.9% to the total social investment capital. At CG meeting, pledged ODA capital for Vietnam in 2012 reached $7.386 billion, down slightly against $7.88 billion in 2011. Government discouraged exports of natural resources and definitely did not allow exports of crude minerals. Newlylicensed projects must be strictly controlled and under the plan approved by the prime minister.
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INFRASTRUCTURE NEWS
Hanoi
Overhead ring road No 3 to be built: project has total length of 8.5km, from Mai Dich to North Linh Dam. Project is now under construction. Basic completion for National Highway No 32 crossing Dien Nhon section: So far, project has been completed basically to traffic and expected to fully complete prior to Lunar New Year. Overhead urban railway to be built: Nhon Hanoi Railway Station, Cat Linh Ha Dong
HCM City
Thu Thiem tunnel was officially opened to traffic and East-West Boulevard was completed: Thu Thiem tunnel was fully completed. Extended section to Trung Luong highway was started construction. Eastern ring road was completed: connecting Phu My Bridge to Hanoi highway and promoting projects in district 2 & 9. Provincial road No 25B was completed: connecting Hanoi highway to Cat Lai Port in district 2. Long Thanh international airport to be built: 5,000 ha with maximum transport capacity of 100 million passengers and five million tones of cargos per year.
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Policy News
Resolution No11 on real estate credit crunch: facing pressure to control inflation and stabilize macro economy, on February 24, 2011, government issued Resolution No11 and on March 1, 2011, the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV)s governor issued Directive No01. Accordingly, banks will tight credit and reduce loans for non-production sectors, especially real estate sector, in comparison with 2010 (the non-production loan ratio in total loans at maximum 16% as of December 31, 2011). This measure has great impacts on the realty market, leading to big gap between supply and demand, strong decline of realty prices while buyers are waiting for further falls in prices. Government approved master plan for Hanoi: on July 26, 2011, prime minister approved the master plan to build Hanoi to 203 and vision till 2050. Accordingly, national political and administrative centre will be still located in Ba Dinh. However, some ministries and departments will move headquarters to My Dinh area and the west of West Lake. Governmental institutions will not be located in Ba Vi. As planned, Hanoi will have central urban zone from ring road IV inwards namely the countrys high quality centre of politics, culture, service, health and education. In addition, the plan will build five satellite urban zones of Hoa Lac, Son Tay, Xuan Mai, Phu Xuyen-Phu Minh and Soc Son and ecology urban zones. Especially, Hanoi will have green corridor area between downtown and satellite urban zones. As calculated, the total investment for the master plan would be up to $300 billion, even up to $400 billion. As estimated, 20 years for Hanoi will be equal to countrys GDP in four years. Excluding four real estate groups from nonproduction credit: In November, the central bank issued a Document No 8844/NHNN-CSTT excluding four real estate groups from the non-manufacturing credit, including house repairing and purchase for living using salaries to pay for bank loans, building houses to sell and lease for low income earners and workers; building accommodation for workers in industrial zones and housing development projects to be handed over in 2012.
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Business News
Vincom transferred Tower B Vincom Centre Hanoi for Techcombank: Vincom sold entire office area from the seventh floor upwards, lobby area on the first floor, partly area on first and second floors of trade centre and some areas and other assets at No191 Ba Trieu, Hanoi for Techcombank. The transfer is estimated to finished on March 1, 2012. Vinaconex will merge subsidiaries in real estate sector: Vinaconex planned to set up a core company in real estate sector, including investments in urban zones, housing areas, residential areas, entertainment areas, real estate management and realty services. CBRE acquired real estate investment management division of ING Group: CBRE has acquired real estate investment management division (ING REIM) of ING Group NV in Asia, and merged operations with counterpart department of CBRE. The payment is part cash and part of loans under guaranteed credit line, including $800 million of bank loan raised in March 2011. Vinpearl merged into Vincom: on October 4, director board of Vinpearl JSC and Vincom JSC adopted resolution to merge Vinpearl JSC into Vincom JSC, at the same time changed name to Vietnam Investment Group JSC (hereinafter referred to as Vingroup). VPL share will be swapped to VIC share at the ratio of 1: 0.77. Saigon Xanh Real Estate Co merged into Quoc Cuong Gia Lai: Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC has submitted document to offer 2,926,997 shares to merge into Saigon Xanh Real Estate Development and Investment JSC (SaiGonXanh - SGX). The swap ratio was 1.5:1. SaiGonXanh has 295 billion VND equity, of which QCG holds 85.16% stake. Therefore, it is necessary to issue additional only 15% for shareholders outside QCG for the merger.
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MARKET OVERVIEW
In 2011, Vietnams economy entered into an extremely difficult period, GDP growth rate declined while inflation accelerated, input basic raw materials prices for productions surged and labour costs also soared, Therefore, in a bid to tame inflation and stabilise the macro economy, government issued a Resolution No11/NQ-CP by late February 2011 and the central bank issued Directive No01/CTNHNN in early March 2011. This has had a strong impact on the entire economy, including finance, stock market and real estate sector. Limited money supply have caused considerable difficulties for realty firms in capital mobilisation while this field always requires a huge amount of medium and long term capital. Hence, a series of real estate projects had to halt deployment, market remained stagnant, supply was scarce and many companies faced risk of bankruptcy. Preliminary statistics showed that in 2011, there were up to 48,000 enterprises going bankrupt, including many real estate companies. For real estate market, the central banks Directive No01/CT-NHNN ruled commercial banks to reduce non-production loan ratio (mainly in real estate and stock market) to 16% of total loans as of December 31, 2011. This measure has caused great impact on the real estate market, leading to more gloomy situation of real estate market, decreasing supply, low liquidity and decline of real estate prices. Housing prices (including apartments, adjacent houses and villas) in 2011 tended to go down by averagely 30%-40% from early 2011 in Hanoi and 5-10% in HCM City.
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2012 is said to continue a difficult year, not only for real estate market. The unsolved capital problem and economic restructuring effort, including banking system, will cause great impacts on the market.
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In HCM City There were no strong discounts and sells-off in the past time but the market is still witnessing downward tendency, discounts and payment reschedules. These forms aimed at supporting customers to stipulate the real demands. In addition, businesses are accelerating the recovery of cash flows and sale of outstanding projects. In December, there were three typical projects for this trend namely Petro Land Tower apartment project in district 7, An Tien (Gold House) apartment project and V-Citi Light apartment project.
Source: Apartment price in Hanoi in Q4/2011 (CBRE Vietnam)
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Retail market
Retail market by the end of the year saw many high-class projects in operations such as Vincom Centre Long Bien, Savico Mall Long Bien and Parkson Landmark Keangnam,... It is easy to see that the supply is constantly increasing and it is estimated to welcome 1.5 million m2 of new floor area in the next three years, of which in 2014 Thanh Xuan district is forecasted to provide the biggest area with about 50% of the total supply. This will create competitive pressure in rental price in the following years.
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OUTSTANDING PROJECT
Vincom Village ecology urban zone located on a total area of more than 183ha is the most modern, luxurious and high-end urban zone in Vietnam. With the idea of an urban zone development of not only beauty, modern and high-class special standards in facilities but also a perfect habitat, Vincom Village is organized and planned on inward basis, focusing on green walking garden, curving lake with large area. Designed in the neoclassical style by a team of talented architects, each villa at Vincom Village is a work of architecture that is the luxury, elegance, sophistication and class claims of the employer. Villas at Vincom Village are the convergence of quintessence with French architectural style as we see in tourism areas such as Da Lat, Tam Dao, Sapa or centre of Hanoi streets Vincom Village project, despite being commenced in the middle of May 2011 on a huge area, the whole items of project in phase 1 would be completed by the end of 2011, including trade centre, schools, villas, infrastrutures and landscapes. Accordingly, from now till the end of December, whole villas will be handed over to customers and in 2012, first 300 families will officially become residents of Vincom Village. The investor said: Currently, all items of project are being deployed by over 20,000 workers of contractors. In addition, hundreds of officials and technical experts are also regularly examining and available for inspection to monitor the progress and quality of construction. All are for ensuring for the operation with the best quality.
Overall perspective of project Project: Investor: and Investment JSC Location: Scale: Volume: On sale: Current price:
Vincom Village
Sai Dong Urban Development Long Bien, HN 183.6 ha More than 1,000 villas On May 28, 2011 60 - 70 million VND/m2
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LAND PRICE TABLE OF TYPICAL PROJECTS Project land price table in Hanoi December 2011
Project Road >10m Adjacent Villa
Ha Dong Thanh Ha (A, B) Duong Noi Zone D Tay Do Villas Van Phu Van Khe An Hung Park City 46-63 90-120 63-70 92-93 Thang Long Boulevard Le Trong Tan Geleximco (A, B, C, D) Bac An Khanh Nam An Khanh 25-30 National Highway 32 North National Highway 32 New Tay Do Phoenix Garden Kim Chung Di Trach Van Canh HUD 32-35 36-40 38-43 23-35 30 33-35 41-43 40-45 50-55 53-55 38-40 50-55 60 A:45-47 C:45-47 D:39-43 A:52-53 C: 40-45 63-76 70 40-43 90-100 100-115 31-35 40-45 55-60 65-70 52-57 60-70 28-29 70-80 70-95 30
Northeast Area Viet Hung Hanoi Garden City Minh Giang Dam Va Vincom Village AIC Me Linh Tung Phuong Cienco 5 Me Linh 15.5 14-16 53-60 65 14-19 58-70 12-15 14-15 10-11 18-20 12-14 24-25 17-22 45-55
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LAND PRICE TABLE OF TYPICAL PROJECTS Condominium price table in Hanoi December 2011
Location Cau Giay Project/Zone Discovery Complex Indochina Plaza Madarin Garden Dolphin Plaza No5 - Vinaconex
Dong Da
Area (m2) 119.16 112 130.1 112 146 125 112 79-146 96.1 -120 77-84 78 75-108 86 78 125.59 182 91-117 109 76-110 70-110 101 118 133 70.9 83.3
Reference price 52.5-45.5 57.2-62.7 45-47.5 45-55 42-44.6 36-37.5 57-58 22.5 -26 17.8 20-27 18-20 14-18 29.8-34.2 24,1 -27 20-22 21-24 24-26 46.5-51 27-28.5 42.2-45 32-35 25,5 - 27 27-27,5 15 57-60 17,8-18 39-42 19.44-23.67 18.9-22.68 19.62-4.12
170 De La Thanh Sky city Tower Usilk City Van Phu Victoria Xala Mekong Plaza Sails Tower
Ha Dong
TimesCity Hoa Binh Green City Megastar 409 Linh Dam 282 Linh Nam CT10 Viet Hung Ciputra SaKuRa Royal City Hapulico
Tu Liem
C37 An Bnh Tower Keangnam Dream Tower Viglacera Tower Hung Yen Ecopark
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+/%
HCM City
21st Century Him LamLuong Dinh Cua Thanh My Loi - Phu Nhuan Thu Duc House
37.2 61.3
45.449.8 65.8
30.8 34.5
43.6-47.5
38.7 - 43.3
District 7
51.4
38 40.5
-1.5>0 0>3.3 0 0
34 36 70 80
38 40.5
-1.5>0
10.5 12
District 9
15 17.2
15.7 17 12.8 14.2 11.5 12.6 12.2 14.516.5 17.3 Note: Price table for reference only (Million VND/m2)
0>0.3 0>0.6 0 0
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S<120 120<S<240 S>240 S<120 120<S<240 S>240 S<120 120<S<240 S>240 m2 m2 m2 m2 m2 m2 m2 m2 m2 Binh Chanh District
40 51 13.5 14.5 12.5 6-7 9.8 12 17.9 19.4 16.5 17.6 Binh Tan District 14 15 11.5 13 9.5 11 15 16 18 7-8
52 56.5 27 - 30 26.5 29
0 0 0 0
14.5 15
Ho Hoc Lam Ao Sen- Ten Lua Phu XuanVan Phat Hung Cotec Phu Xuan Thai Son 1
36 Nha Be District 12
39
13.5
8 14 16
8.5
10 16 19
0 6.8>11.8
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No
Investor
Area
Location
Progress
Description
Vingroup
364.500 m2
Under construction for infrastructure and crude work for some buildings Preparation to hand over villas
Project includes 9 land plots, including 7 land plots to build house for living and ancillary works and 2 remaining land plots to build Vinmedicare international general hospital. These buildings are planed to have 22 - 35 floors.
Vincom Village
Vingroup
10 trillion VND
183.5 ha
Phuc Loi, Phuc Dong, Viet Hung, Gia Thuy, Long Bien, HN Southeast Tran Duy Hung, Hanoi
Project consists of about 1,000 villas ranging an area of 38.2ha, traffic road 50ha, green area and water surface 60ha, Vincom Centre trade centre 45,000m2, 01 Vinmec hospital and 2 office and condominium areas
Mandarin Garden
25,886 m2
Under Project comprises 4 condominium buildings of from 25-29 construction for floors, and scale of 1,008 high-class apartments and trade seventh floor centre Project includes trade complex, office, housing area at 52.31 ha, or 2.53%. Living land area: 341.66 ha, or 16.51 %. Green area: 1092.54 ha, or 52.97%, Under Construction land area accounts for 56.5ha, including single construction for villas, adjacent houses and condos. Land area for public infrastructure works at 9.89 ha, land area for traffic at 29.2 ha, green park
Dream City
Viet Han
2.069,28 ha
Suoi Son
117 ha
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Bom, Dong Nai 6 The Empire Thanh Do Group 10 trillion VND 51,5 ha Truong Sa street, Hoa Hai ward, Ngu Hanh Son district, Da Nang City Under construction for infrastructure. Fully completion is expected in 2018
and sport area 15.22 ha and river and lake at 6.19 ha. Project is divided into two zones, zone Q1 is adjacent Truong Sa street with 30 ha area, including sea view villas, hotel and apartments, zone Q2 with 21.5 h, villas and hotel, Project was kicked off construction on July 24, 2011. As expected, in Q2 2013 project will complete walking streets, townhouses and infrastructure of zone Q2. In Q2 2014, project will complete villas of zone 1 and complete basically for villas of zone Q2. In Q4 2016 project will complete hotel and building complex areas. Project is located on two main axises of new city of Nhon Trach. Urban zone project has the front of road No 1 of 53m, near administrative centre area, about 25km from HCM City on road 25C. Housing area is 66ha, including 512 single villas, 836 duplex villas and over 1,000 adjacent villas. Construction density is 44%. Project includes 300 townhouses with structure of one ground floor and two floors and terrace. Land area of each townhouse is from 125m2 to 145m2, construction floor area is from 381.5m2 each. Traffic system at Golden Hills accounts for 25.5% including internal road, inter-district road, main road private road of ecology villa area with width of 7.5m; 11.5m; 13.5m; 15.5m; 30m; 33mCurrently Trung Nam is gearing up construction
HUD Group
6 trillion VND
150 ha
Under construction
Becamex IJC
43,923 m2
Under deployment
Golden Hills
$1.67 billion
400ha
Hoa Hiep Nam commune; Hoa Hiep Bac; Hoa Lien, Hoa Vang, Lien Chieu
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district, Da Nang
10
UNI Town
Becamex -TDC
54,503 m2
Under construction
Project comprises 285 townhouses ranging various areas of 105, 108, 110, 131 and 148m2, price is about 4.8 billion VND/unit.
Disclaimer: The information included herein is compiled and edited by CafeF Land Editorial Division on the basis of public sources believed to be reliable and proved to be valuable for investors. However, we accept no responsibility for any risks or losses of investors when using information in this report.
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