Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Aria Kekalih
Community Medicine Department Epidemiology and Biostatistic Unit
Acknowledgement
L.G.
does the author interpret result Did the author clarify if hypothesis were rejected or accepted What alternative explanations does the author consider for the obtained findings How are the findings related to prior report What limitations are described? Are there limitations that are not addressed?
the result are not significant, does the author consider the possibility of type II error? Regardless of the statistical outcome, are the result clinically important? Does the author discuss how the result apply to practice
the author present suggestions for further study Do the stated conclusion flow logically from the obtained result?
Conclusion Validity
Conclusion validity is the degree to which conclusions we reach about relationships in our data are reasonable
Conclusion Validity
Conclusion validity is the degree to which the conclusion we reach is credible or believable
A statistically significant result OR A nonsignificant result Statistically labeled - Often Misunderstood, Least Considered Relevance in Qualitative Research as well as Quantitative Research
Conclusion Validity
Quantitative Example
An inventor has developed a new, energy-efficient lawn mower engine. The inventor claims that the engine will run continuously for 5 hours (300 minutes) on a single gallon of regular gasoline
Qualitative Example
Accountability as practices in our primary health care system creates an undesirable atmosphere of anxiety among nurses
Construct Validity
External Validity
Error Types
Type I error: Conclude there is a relationship when in fact there is not (concluding/seeing an effect that in reality is not there) Type II error: Conclude there is no relationship when in fact there is a relationship (miss a true effect)
Assumption that the respondent is free to say anything but under pressure from supervisors respond in a particular to
Willingness to risk being wrong in Alpha level finding an effect (rejecting the null hypothesis)
Statistical Conclusions
Statistical conclusions involve constructing two mutually exclusive hypotheses, termed the null (labeled H0) and alternative (labeled H1)
H0:
What we conclude
What we conclude
What we conclude
Accept null Reject alternative We say...
There is no real program effect There is no difference, gain Our theory is wrong
What we conclude
What we conclude
TYPE I ERROR The odds of saying there is an effect or gain when in fact there is none
# of times out of 100 when there is no effect, well say there is one
What we conclude
What we conclude
Accept null Reject alternative We say...
There is no real program effect There is no difference, gain Our theory is wrong
In reality...
There is a real program effect There is a difference, gain Our theory is correct
What we conclude
Accept null Reject alternative We say...
There is no real program effect There is no difference, gain Our theory is wrong
In reality...
There is a real program effect There is a difference, gain Our theory is correct
TYPE II ERROR The odds of saying there is no effect or gain when in fact there is one
# of times out of 100 when there is an effect, well say there is none
What we conclude
In reality...
There is a real program effect There is a difference, gain Our theory is correct
What we conclude
In reality...
There is a real program effect There is a difference, gain Our theory is correct
1- POWER The odds of saying there is an effect or gain when in fact there is one
# of times out of 100 when there is an effect, well say there is one
What we conclude
Accept null Reject alternative We say...
There is no real program effect There is no difference, gain Our theory is wrong
1- THE CONFIDENCE LEVEL The odds of saying there is no effect or gain when in x fact there is none
# of times out of 100 when there is no effect, well say there is none
TYPE II ERROR The odds of saying there is no effect or gain when in fact there is one
# of times out of 100 when there is an effect, well say there is none
TYPE I ERROR The odds of saying there is an effect or gain when in fact there is none
# of times out of 100 when there is no effect, well say there is one
1- POWER The odds of saying there is an effect or gain when in fact there is one
# of times out of 100 when there is an effect, well say there is one
What we conclude
Accept null Reject alternative We say...
There is no real program effect There is no difference, gain Our theory is wrong
1-
TYPE II ERROR
1-
TYPE I ERROR
POWER
What we conclude
Accept null Reject alternative We say...
1-
TYPE II ERROR
There is no real program effect There is no difference, gain Our theory is wrong
1-
TYPE I ERROR
POWER
CORRECT
Thank you
Questions ?