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Basic Biostatistics Part 1

Wednesday 27th February, 2013

Content
Types of Data Descriptive/Summary Statistics

Frequency Distributions and Contingency


Tables

Graphical Presentations

Types of Data

Variables

Variables

Numerical counted or measured on a numerical scale

Categorical nonnumerical, classification into categories

Continuous measured on a scale; e.g. height

Discrete counts, whole numbers; e.g. number of patients

Nominal categories; e.g. cause of death

Ordinal ordered categories; e.g. level of pain

Exercise
Consider the following variables and decide if they are
Numerical or Categorical; continuous, discrete, nominal or ordinal Gender Height Number of staff in a department Length of psychiatric inpatient treatment Preferred strength of coffee Organisational size Types of anxiety disorder Levels of anxiety Types of medication

Derived data
In the medical field, other types of data may be
encountered

Percentages e.g. % of operational interactions Ratios or quotients e.g. Body Mass Index (BMI), kg/m2 Rates e.g. number of disease events/total number of

years of follow-up Scores e.g. quality of life scores

In most analyses these can be treated as numerical


variables

Descriptive/Summary Statistics

Measures of location
Measures of location summarise data with a
single number

There are three common measures of location


- Mean - Mode - Median

Quartiles/Percentiles are another measure

Mean
The mean (more precisely, the arithmetic mean) is
commonly called the average

In formulas the mean is usually represented by x


read as x-bar.

The formula is;

x x n
All the values (x) are added together and the sum divided by the number of observations (n)

Mode
The mode represents the most commonly occurring
value within a dataset

The mode can found by creating a frequency


distribution in which how often each value occurs is counted

If every value occurs only once, the distribution has no mode.


If two or more values are tied as the most common value then the distribution has more than one mode

Median
Median means middle, and the median is the middle of
a set of data that has been put into rank order

Specifically, it is the value that divides a set of data into


two halves, with one half of the observations being larger than the median value, and one half smaller
Half the data < 29 Half the data > 29

18

24

29

30

32

Quartiles
Are a subset of percentiles
Lower quartile - 25% of the data is below this
value

Upper quartile 75% of the data is below


this value

Measures of Dispersion
The dispersion in a set of data is the variation among
the set of data values

It measures whether they are all close together, or


more scattered

4 6 8 10 12 14 16 No. of days to receive treatment

2 4 6 8 10 12 No. of days to receive treatment

Common Measures of Dispersion


Four common measures of spread are
- the range - the inter-quartile range - the variance

- the standard deviation

Range
The range is the difference between the largest and the
smallest values in the dataset

It is sensitive to extreme values The range of a list is 0 if and only if all the data values
are equal

4 Range

16

Days

Inter-quartile Range
Upper Quartile Lower Quartile Describes how much the middle 50% of the dataset
varies
- example: if all patients at a clinic took more-or-less the same time to be treated with only one or two exceptionally quick or long appointments you would expect the inter-quartile range to be very small - but if all appointments were either very quick or very long, with few in between then the inter-quartile range would be larger

Variance and Standard Deviation


(s2, s2) =(population notation, sample notation)

The variance (s2, s2) and standard deviation (s, s)


are measures of the deviation or dispersion of observations (x) around the mean (m) of a distribution

Variance is an average deviation from the mean,


squared

Variance and Standard Deviation


The standard deviation (SD) is the square root of the
variance
- small SD = values cluster closely around the mean - large SD = values are scattered
1 SD Mean 1 SD

1 SD

Mean

1 SD

10

12

14

16

Days

10

12

Variance and Standard Deviation


The following formulae define these measures
Population
Variance s 2
2 ) x m

Sample
N Variance s 2

x x)
n 1

StandardDeviation s s 2

StandardDeviation s s 2

Measures of Distribution
Measures of distribution are
- Skewness - Kurtosis

The terms Skewness and Kurtosis refer to


distribution shapes that deviate from the shape of a normal distribution

Skewness
A skewed distribution is characterised by a tail off
towards the high end of the scale (a positive skew) or towards the low end of the scale (a negative skew)

Normal Distribution
Skewness statistic ~ 0

Positive Skew
Skewness statistic > 0

Negative Skew
Skewness statistic < 0

Skewness
If the distribution has no skewness, then the
skewness statistic will be zero

If the distribution has positive skewness, then


the skewness statistic will be positive

If the distribution has negative skewness, then


the skewness statistic will be negative

Kurtosis
A distribution with kurtosis is characterised by the
distribution being too narrow and peaked (a positive kurtosis) or too wide and flat (a negative kurtosis)

Normal Distribution
Kurtosis statistic ~ 0

Positive Kurtosis
Kurtosis statistic > 0

Negative Kurtosis
Kurtosis statistic < 0

Frequency Distributions and Contingency Tables

Definition of a Frequency Distribution


A few examples:
a representation, either in a graphical or tabular format,
which displays the number of observations within a given interval a mathematical function showing the number of instances in which a variable takes each of its possible values an arrangement of statistical data that exhibits the frequency of the occurrence of the values of a variable

Contingency Table
A table in which the entries are frequencies
A matrix format that displays the frequency
distribution of the variables

If there are 2 rows and 2 columns it is called a 2x2


contingency table

Often used in conjunction with statistical tests e.g.


Chi-squared test, Diagnostic test

Example: Contingency table

Contingency table: 2 x 2

Characteristic Group 1 Group 2 Total Present a b a+b Absent c d c+d Total a+c b+d n=a+b+c+d

Use in Diagnostic Testing


Gold Standard Test Characteristic Disease No disease Total Positive a b a+b Negative c d c+d Total a+c b+d n=a+b+c+d
How many individuals have the disease? What proportion have the disease (the prevalence)?

True/False Positive/Negative
Of the a + c individuals who have the disease, how
many have positive test results (true positives)?

Of the a + c individuals who have the disease, how


many have negative test results (false negatives)

Of the b + d individuals who do not have the disease,


how many have negative test results (true negatives)?

Of the b + d individuals who do not have the disease,


how many have positive test results (false positives)?

Sensitivity and Specificity


The proportion of individuals with the disease
who are correctly identified by the test = Sensitivity

a a c )

The proportion of individuals without the


disease who are correctly identified by the test
= Specificity

d b d )

Graphical Presentations

Typical graphs

Bar Chart Pareto Chart Pie Chart Box Plot Histogram

Useful for getting an initial feel for the data Useful for explaining/presenting results to others Useful for identifying outliers

Displaying Frequency Distributions


Categorical or some Discrete Numerical data can be
displayed visually in a:

Bar (or Column) Chart Pareto Chart Pie Chart Continuous Numerical data (and some Discrete
Numerical data) can be displayed visually in a:

Box Plot Histogram

Bar chart
Why use it?

to count the number of occurrences of


categorical or discrete data

Example: Bar Chart


Bar chart - the number of different types of patient in a study
20

15

Frequency

10

g Type of patient

Pareto chart: 80 / 20 rule


Vilfredo Pareto (Italian economist), studied the
distributions of wealth in different countries

Concluded that a fairly consistent minority (about


20%) of people controlled the large majority (about 80%) of a society's wealth from 20% of the causes (Pareto effect)

Often said that that 80% of problems usually stem

Pareto chart
Why use it?

Identifies areas that provide the greatest


potential for improvement

Pareto chart
What does it do?

helps a team to focus on the problems that have


most impact displays the relevant importance of problems allows progress to be measured in a visible format

Frequency vs. Cost


The most frequent problems may not always

have the largest impact in terms of quality, time or costs In these situations it may be best to use two Pareto charts:

one for frequency/count one for impact (cost)


both?

Obvious Pareto effect


Obvious Pareto effect
Project focus

80 70 60

100 80 60 40 20 0

Frequency

40 30 20 10 0 Cause Count Percent Cum % A 30 41.7 41.7 B 25 34.7 76.4 C D E Other 3 4.2 100.0

6 8.3 84.7

5 6.9 91.7

3 4.2 95.8

Percent

50

No Pareto effect
No Pareto effect
70 60 80 50 100

Frequency

40 30 20 10 0 Cause Count Percent Cum % A 18 26.5 26.5 B 15 22.1 48.5 C 14 20.6 69.1 D 10 14.7 83.8 E other 5 7.4 100.0

40 20 0

6 8.8 92.6

Percent

60

Causes of medication errors


Causes of medication errors
60
Project focus

50

100

Frequency

30 20 10 Cause

60 40 20

g g g ly in g in in l t r n i r du ro a de w g e r v w n o a ch nd d e ro s a e un s H w o n ct ck d o n e o i i r t t t s or ec ca ed d c i r e M In or ed M c M In Count 21 8 6 6 5 5 Percent 39.6 15.1 11.3 11.3 9.4 9.4 Cum % 39.6 54.7 66.0 77.4 86.8 96.2 e bl a il e ac l p

er h Ot

2 3.8 100.0

Percent

40

80

Pie chart
Why use it?

to evaluate the percentage/proportion


contribution of categories of data

Example: Pie Chart


Pie Chart - type of patients in a study
Category dental insurance gov ernment healthcare priv ate 15, 30.0% 15, 30.0%

What could improve this chart?


20, 40.0%

Box (and Whisker) plot


Why use it?

to provide an instant picture of variation in a


data set

to compare multiple data sets


to identify outliers

Box plot
What does it do?

allows visualisation of the distribution and variation of a data set


allows a comparison to be made before and after interventions graphically shows key statistics such as the Median, Inter-quartile Range (IQR) and Quartiles

Box Plot
Whisker extends to this adjacent value the highest value within the upper limit

Third Quartile (Q3) Median

First Quartile (Q1) Whisker extends to this adjacent value the lowest value within the lower limit Outliers *

Box Plot: Example 1


Reaction Time (s) Reaction times of 2 groups

0 Group A Group B

Box Plot: Example 2

Histogram
Why use it?

- to evaluate the distribution of a data set


- to evaluate whether certain statistical tests
can be applied

Histogram
What does it do? Displays bars representing the count within different intervals of data Allows visualisation of the shape and spread of a data set Allows patterns to be identified Provides an indication of where the mean lies

Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
25

20

Data symmetrical about the mean

Frequency

15

10

45.0

46.5

48.0

49.5 Data

51.0

52.5

54.0

Bimodal distribution
Bimodal distribution
40

30

Frequency

20

10

44

48

52 data

56

60

64

Skewed distribution
Skewed distribution
60 50 40

Frequency

30 20 10 0

40

80

120 Data

160

200

240

Histogram: Example 1

Histogram: Example 2

Exercise
Identify situations in your research/work
environment where Bar charts, Pareto charts, Pie charts, Box plots, and Histograms could be used

For each situation:


describe the situation identify the type of data determine the x and y axis variables describe typical visual output

Summary
Types of Data Descriptive/Summary Statistics

Frequency Distributions and Contingency


Tables

Graphical Presentations