The Role of Deception in CND & IO

Dr. Stilianos Vidalis Information Security Research Group J133 School of Computing University of Glamorgan 0044 (0)1443 482731 svidalis@glam.ac.uk

Pro-logos

At the beginning there was light then the cosmos then all the species and finally there was WAR!!!

Threat Assessment

A threat assessment is a statement of threats that are related to vulnerabilities, an organisations assets, and threat agents, and also a statement of the believed capabilities that those threat agents possess.

Threat = f (Motivation, Capability, Opportunity, Impact)

Motivation

Motivation is the degree to which a threat agent is prepared to implement a threat. The motivational factors are the elements that drive a threat agent to consider attacking a computer system:

political, secular, personal gain, religious, revenge, power, terrorism, and curiosity

Q: Can we deceive Them in believing that they do not want to target us?

Capability

Capability is the degree to which a threat agent is able to implement a threat:

The availability of a number of tools and techniques to implement an attack, and the ability to use the tools and techniques correctly. The availability of education and training to support the correct use of various tools and techniques. The level of resource that a threat agent has, or can acquire over a certain time.

Q: Can we deceive Them in believing that they are not able to target us?

Opportunity

The easiest of the 3 to manage? Opportunity can be defined as a favourable occasion for action. Past:

make sure that threat agents will be in no position of creating or exploiting opportunities. Risk is not managed by as but by the threat agents, so concentrate on Motivation

Present:

Threat Agents?

The term threat agent is used to denote an individual or group that can manifest a threat. Hackers are good people!!!

. . . .

Threat Agent Categories

Nation States Corporation

Threat Agents

Partners Competitors

Non-Target Specific Bacteria Worms Trojans

Employees

Terrorists

ESA

Organized Crime Gangs (blocks) Gangs (city) Fatria (national) Fatria (international)

Natural Disasters Fire Flood Lightning Vermin Wind Sand Frost Earthquake

Staff Contractors Cleaners Guards Operations Staff

Political Religious Anarchists

Political parties

Media
Enthusiasts Activists Vandals General Public Extremists Religious Followers Governments

Logic Bombs Trapdoors Viruses

Maintenance Staff

Why do we analyse Them?

It is a game, the aim: achieve information superiority We need to understand what motivates them We need to know of their technical and educational capability We need to know how they think

Security has to be proactive and not reactive

How do we analyse Them?

We start by identifying them:

Threat agent catalogue Historical threat agent data Environmental reports Knowledge of personnel Stakeholder List

How do we analyse Them?

Capability Opportunity Motivation

Vulnerabilities

Threat Agents

How do we analyse Them?

Capability: capability metrics available on request Opportunity:

Access to Information Changing Technologies Target Vulnerability Target profile Public Perception

Motivation

InfoSec Requirements
the activities to protect hardware, software and intangible information at the hardware and software levels (E. Waltz) Information has three abstractions: data, information & knowledge When threat agents acquire knowledge then they are able to launch active attacks with high probability of success. Q: How do we ensure information superiority?

IO Taxonomy
IO Layer Offence Defence
Perceptual

Function
Manage perception, Disrupt decision processes

NETWAR
PSYOPS, Deception

Information
Physical

Dominate information infrastructure

Break things, Incapacitate/kill people

NETOPS
Physical destruction

Perceptual
Information Physical

Protect perceptions and decision-making processes

Protect information infrastructure Protect operations, protect people

Intelligence, Counterintelligence
INFOSEC OPSEC

What do we do!!!

Could we possibly deceive threat agents? Through deception we can manage our adversarys perception and disrupt his decision-making processes. The outcome can be twofold:

either the defenders have time to react and deploy the necessary countermeasures (or finely tune the existing ones), or the threat agent will call off the attack and return to the information gathering process in order to re-examine his plan of action.

Is there a limit?

Facts:

Infrastructures follow a certain logic which allows threat agents to easily enumerate them Administrators introduce vulnerabilities to their system in order to make their lives easier The users of a system are its biggest vulnerability Can we use deception techniques on our own users?

Argument:

Security through Deception

Actions executed to deliberately mislead adversary military decision makers as to friendly military capabilities, intentions, and operations, thereby causing the adversary to take specific actions that will contribute to the accomplishment of the friendly mission Deception can be used in two ways for ensuring security:

Simulating showing the false, drawing attention away from the real Dissimulating hiding the real, producing confusion about what is real

Technical Solution
G4DS system that brings enterprises together in virtual communities in order to identify and monitor threat agents Virtual Honeypots system that takes input from G4DS in order to perform near real-time threat agent deception

Deception Methodology

Everything should be dedicated to the execution of the deception Intelligence must be brought fully into the picture Intelligence must be assessed Secrecy must be enforced The deception plan must be designed at the top levels Full implementation & consistency of all elements of deception Deception must be continuous

Epi-logos

Need to move reference point from risk assessment to threat assessment Need to be able to identify and monitor threat agents Hackers are good people!!! G4DS system that brings enterprises together in virtual communities in order to identify and monitor threat agents Virtual Honeypots system that takes input from G4DS in order to perform near real-time threat agent deception

Questions?