Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Determination of
Gross Domestic Product
Learning Objectives
At the end of the lecture class, students will be
able to:
1. Define the GDP, GNP, real and nominal GDP
and GDP deflator.
2. Discuss the elements under the
macroeconomics perspective
R eal G D P
20X X
N o m in a l G D P 20X X
100
G D P d e f la to r2 0 X X
EXAMPLE
Pizza
Latte
year
2005
$10
400
$2.00
1000
2006
$11
500
$2.50
1100
2007
$12
600
$3.00
1200
$10 x 400 +
2006:
2007:
$12 x 600 +
$2 x 1000
$3 x 1200
= $6,000
Increase
:
37.5%
= $8,250
= $10,800
30.9%
EXAMPLE:
Pizza
Latte
year
2005
$10 $10
400
$2.00
$2.00
1000
2006
$11
500
$2.50
1100
2007
$12
600
$3.00
1200
2006:
2007:
Increase:
20.0%
16.7%
EXAMPLE
year
Nominal
GDP
Real
GDP
2005
$6000
$6000
2006
$8250
$7200
2007
$10,800
$8400
In each year,
nominal GDP is measured using the (then) current
prices.
real GDP is measured using constant prices from the
base year (2005 in this example).
EXAMPLE
year
Nominal
GDP
2005
$6000
2006
$8250
2007
$10,800
Real
GDP
37.5%
$6000
20.0%
$7200
30.9%
$8400
16.7%
nominal
GDP
GDP
GDP deflator
deflator == 100
100 xx
real GDP
One way to measure the economys inflation rate is
to compute the percentage increase in the GDP
deflator from one year to the next.
EXAMPLE
year
Nominal
GDP
Real
GDP
GDP
Deflator
2005
$6000
$6000
100.0
2006
$8250
$7200
114.6
2007
$10,800
$8400
128.6
100 x (6000/6000) =
100.0
2006:
100 x (8250/7200) =
114.6
2007:
100 x (10,800/8400) =
10
128.6
14.6%
12.2%
Computing GDP
2007 (base yr)
P
Good A
Good B
$30
$100
Q
900
192
2008
2009
$31
$102
1,000
200
$36
$100
1050
205
11
Answers
2007 (base yr)
P
2008
2009
Q
Good A
$30
900
$31
1,000
$36
1050
Good B
$100
192
$102
200
$100
205
JuiceInc
35,000
40,000
25,000
35,000
15,000
50,000
35,000
40,000
15,000
10,000
25,000
20,000
5,000
15,000
10,000
35,000
15,000
50,000
JuiceInc
35,000
40,000
15,000
10,000
25,000
5,000
2,000
15,000
3,000
+ wages
15,000
10,000
+ taxes
5,000
2,000
35,000
15,000
Income
Total Income
50,000
Expenditure Approach
User purchase
Total expenditure
10,000
40,000
50,000
Measurement of GDP
A. The Product Approach To Measuring GDP
GDP is the market value of final goods and services newly
produced within a nation during a fixed period of time.
Using market values to measure production makes sense
because it takes into account differences in the relative
economic importance of different goods and services.
A problem with using market values to measure GDP is
that some useful goods and services are not sold in
formal markets.
Measurement of GDP
Newly produced: counts only things produced in the given
period; excludes things produced earlier
Final goods and services:
Measurement of GDP
GNP vs. GDP:
Measurement GDP
B. The Expenditure Approach To Measuring GDP
Measures total spending on final goods and services
produced within a nation during a specified period of time.
Y = C+ I + G + NX (NX = X - M)
Consumption (C) is the spending by domestic households on
final goods and services (including those produced abroad).
C: (durables, semi-durables, non-durables, services) e.g.
fridges, clothes, groceries, health care.
Investment (I) is the spending for new capital goods (fixed
investment) plus inventory investment.
I: (residential construction, non-residential fixed
investment, machinery and equipment, increases in firms
inventory holdings) e.g. new homes, new factory buildings,
tractors.
Measurement GDP
Government purchases of goods and services (G) is the
spending by the government on goods or services (foreign or
domestic).
Not all government expenditures are purchases of goods
& services.
Some are payments that are not made in exchange for
current goods & services, such as transfers (social
security payments, welfare, unemployment benefits) and
interest payments on the government debt.
Net export (NX) refers to exports minus imposts
NX: must add domestic production going abroad and
remove foreign production used domestically.
Billions of
dollars
6257
759
1843
3656
Percent of
GDP
67.6
8.2
19.9
39.5
1623
1167
273
893
411
45
17.5
12.6
3.0
9.7
4.4
0.5
1630
571
365
206
1059
17.6
6.2
3.9
2.2
11.4
-254
998
1252
-2.7
10.8
13.5
9256
100.0
Measurement GDP
C. The Income Approach To Measuring GDP
Adds up income generated by production (including profits
and taxes paid to the government).
National income is the sum of 5 types of income:
a. Compensation of employees - wages, salaries, benefits.
b. Proprietors income the income of the nonincorporated self-employed (both labor & capital
income).
c. Rental income of persons income earned by
individuals who own land or structures that they rent
to others.
d. Corporate profits firms revenue after wages,
interest, rents, and other costs.
e. Net interest interest earned by individuals from
businesses and foreign sources minus interest paid by
individuals.
Measurement GDP
National income = compensation of employees + proprietors
income + rental income of persons + corporate profits + net
interest.
National income + indirect business taxes = net national
product
Indirect business taxes (sales & excise taxes) do not
appear in any of the five categories of income above, but as
they are income to the government, they must be added to
national income.
Net national product + depreciation = gross national product
(GNP)
Depreciation is the consumption of fixed capital.
In the calculation of the components of national income,
depreciation is subtracted from total or gross income.
Thus, to compute the total or gross amount of income, we
must add back in depreciation.
GNP - net factor payments (NFP) = GDP
Billions of Percent of
dollars
GDP
Compensation of employees
5332
57.6
Proprietors income
659
7.1
Rental income of persons
146
1.6
Corporate profits
893
9.6
Net interest
468
5.1
Total (equals National Income)
7496
81.0
+ Indirect business taxes (and other small items)
604
6.5
Equals Net National Product
8100
87.5
+ Consumption of fixed capital
1136
12.3
Equals Gross National Product (GNP)
9236
99.8
- Factor income received from rest of world
302
3.3
+ Payments of factor income to rest of world
322
3.5
Equals Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
9256
100.0
Measurement GDP
C. Private Sector & Government Sector Income
Private disposable income = income of the private
sector = private sector income earned at home (Y or
GDP) and abroad (NFP) + payments from the
government sector [transfers (TR), and interest on
government debt (INT) - taxes paid to government
(T)].
Private disposable income = GDP + NFP + TR +
INT T
Governments net income = taxes - transfers interest payments.
Governments net income = T - TR INT
Private disposable income + governments net income
= GDP + NFP
= GNP
Injections (J)
There are also three types of injections into the circular
flow of income:
Investment (I)
Investment in capital goods is a form of spending an
output, which is additional to expenditure by
households.
Just as savings are a withdrawal of funds,
investment
is an injection of funds into the circular flow of income,
adding to the total economic wealth that is being created
by the country.
Injections (J)
Government spending (G)
Government spending is also an injection into the
circular flow of income.
In most mixed economies, total spending by the
government on goods and services represents a large
proportion of total national expenditure.
The funds to spend come from either taxation
income or government borrowing.
Exports (X)
Firms produce goods and services for export.
Exports earn income from abroad, and therefore
provide an injection into a country's circular flow
of income.
Withdrawals (W)
These are movements of funds out of the circular flow of
income. There are three types of withdrawal from the
circular flow of income:
Savings (S)
Households do not spend all their income.
They save some, and these savings out of income are
withdrawals from the circular flow of income quite
simply because savings are not spent.
Taxation (T)
Households must pay some of their income to the
government, as taxation.
Taxes cannot be spent by households, because the funds
go to the government.
Withdrawals (W)
Imports (M)
Spending on imports is expenditure, but on goods made
by firms in other countries.
The payments for imported goods go to firms in other
countries. Spending on imports therefore withdraws
funds out of a country's circular flow of income.
J=I+G+X
Incomes
Equilibrium achieve
when J=W
Cd
W=S+T+M
until J=W]
Multiplier Effect
Equilibrium GDP:
Withdrawals and Injections
W, J
At (a-b) injection more than withdrawals and
GDP is less than GDPe while at (c-d) W>J and
GDP is more than GDPe
W
c
a
x
d
b
O
GDP1
J
GDP
GDPe
GDP2
Equilibrium Level of
Gross Domestic Product
2. The Keynesian diagram: the Income and Expenditure
approach
the 45 line (GDP=C+W)
the expenditure curve (E=AD=C+J)
Equilibrium (point Z)
If the national expenditure exceeded GDP at GDP1,
there would be excess demand in the economy (e-f).
People would buy more than what been produced. Firm
would increased the production and GDP would rise
until it reach at equilibrium at point Z.
If GDP > national expenditure, there would be
insufficient demand for goods and services currently
being produced. Firm would produce less and
employing fewer factor of production. GDP would fall
until point Z.
Cd, W, J
g
h
z
E = AD = Cd + J
Cd
e
f
GDP
O
GDP1
GDPe
GDP2
The Multiplier
When the J rise (or W fall), this will cause GDP to rise. But
by how much?
By definition multiplier is the number of times by which
a rise in GDP (GDP) exceeds the rise in the (J)
that cause it [GDP/J].
Example: If J rose by RM 10 million and as the results
GDP rose by RM20 million then multiplier is 2.
The Multiplier is the ratio of the change in the
equilibrium level of output to a change in some
autonomous variable (always regarded as J=I+G+X).
The Multiplier
The Withdrawals and Injections approach
Graphical analysis: shift in the E line
J increase will make equilibrium adjust from a to b. GDP
will also increase to GDPe2.
Size of multiplier is depends on the slope of W curve
( GDP/ W).
The flatter the curve the bigger the multiplier and
( GDP/ W) is known as marginal propensity to
withdraw (MPW).
If MPW is 0.1 then multiplier is 10 and if J increased
RM 10 million then GDP would increased to RM100 million
Multiplier = GDP / J
= GDP/ W
= c-a / b-c
= 1/mpw or 1/(1mpcd)
J2
J1
O
b
J
c
GDPe1
GDP
GDPe2
J2
J1
GDP
The Multiplier
The Income and Expenditure approach
graphical analysis: shift in the E line
Assume that J rise RM20 billion. The expenditure line
would shift to E2. GDP increase RM60 billion (point e).
Then the size of multiplier is RM60 billion/RM20 billion
= 3.
Also can be derived as 1/(1mpcd), where mpcd is given by
slope Cd/ GDP = RM40billion/RM60billion =2/3 and
1/1-2/3= 3
The multiplier:
A shift in the expenditure curve
GDP = Cd + W
Cd, E, W, J
($bn)
Multiplier = GDP / J
= 60 /20 = 3
E2
160
Cd
GDP
120
J
100
Cd = 40
E1
100 GDP
160
E1 = Cd + J
160 = Cd + 120
GDP ($bn)
Keynesian Analysis of
Unemployment and Inflation
'Full-employment GDP
GDP
E
a
b
Deflationary gap
W
c
d
O
GDPe
GDPF
J
GDP
Keynesian Analysis of
Unemployment and Inflation
The inflationary gap if at full employment of GDP,
national expenditure exceeds GDP. This will result in
the demand-pull inflation. This situation is refer to
inflationary gap.
This is shown by gaps (e-f) and (g-h) in the next figure.
At the gap (e-f) the E>GDP while at (g-h) the J>W.
Policy implication to close the deflationary gap is by
raising aggregate demand (increase government
expenditure or lower tax) while to close inflationary
gap government can reduce aggregate demand.
e
Inflationary gap
W
g
GDPF
GDPe
GDP