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Recommendation
We recommend buying Nike versus Under
Armour, due to superior industry positioning,
company strategy, financial health, and a
favorable valuation.
Summary
Industry
Strategy
Accounting
Financial
Valuation
Industry Analysis
Nikes competitive
advantage
Top company that is well
known globally
Differentiates its
products from
substitutes
Established brand
loyalty
Accounting Analysis
Adjustments
Differing fiscal years
Capitalizing operating leases for both Under Armour and Nike
After capitalization, Nike still has a more attractive RNOA
Nike
Under Armour
FY2016
Actual
$2,207.37 $2,924.44
Capitalized
NOPAT
$3,661.60 $3,661.60
NOA
$8,856.00 $12,087.00
$8,450.00 $10,065.00
AVG NOA
1,624.35
1,982.89
Avg NOA
RNOA
15.13%
12.39%
RNOA
43.33%
36.38%
Financial Analysis
NOPAT
1,400.0
1,200.0
1,000.0
800.0
$ (in Millions)
600.0
$ (in Millions)
400.0
200.0
0.0
Year Start
Under Armour NOPAT
Nike NOPAT
10,000.0
9,000.0
8,000.0
7,000.0
6,000.0
5,000.0
4,000.0
3,000.0
2,000.0
1,000.0
0.0
Year Start
Under Armour
Nike
Ratio Analysis
Return on Equity
Return on Assets
35.00
20.00
18.00
30.00
16.00
25.00
14.00
20.00
12.00
10.00
15.00
8.00
6.00
10.00
4.00
5.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
Year start
Under Armour
Year Start
Nike
Under Armour
Nike
Profit Margin
16.00
14.00
12.00
10.00
Nike
8.00
%
6.00
4.00
2.00
Current Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio
(earnings)
Debt-to-Equity (earnings)
0.00
Year start
Under Armour
Nike
Under
Armour
Q1 2017
08/31/201 Q3 2016
6
09/30/2016
2.72
2.36
111.45
16.93
24.34
55.83
Valuation Analysis
Sensitivity Analysis
Biggest drivers are cost of equity and
revenue growth
UAs extreme sensitivity to growth
puts its valuation at risk
Difficulty of valuing growth
Conclusion