Professional Documents
Culture Documents
High risk
0 E(EBIT) EBIT
13-3
What is operating leverage, and how
does it affect a firm’s business risk?
Operating leverage is the use of
fixed costs rather than variable
costs.
If most costs are fixed, hence do not
decline when demand falls, then the
firm has high operating leverage.
13-4
Effect of operating leverage
More operating leverage leads to more
business risk, for then a small sales decline
causes a big profit decline.
$ Rev. $ Rev.
TC } Profit
TC
FC
FC
QBE Sales QBE Sales
EBITL EBITH
13-7
Business risk vs. Financial risk
Business risk depends on business
factors such as competition, product
liability, and operating leverage.
Financial risk depends only on the
types of securities issued.
More debt, more financial risk.
Concentrates business risk on
stockholders.
13-8
An example:
Illustrating effects of financial leverage
Two firms with the same operating leverage,
business risk, and probability distribution of
EBIT.
Only differ with respect to their use of debt
(capital structure).
Firm U Firm L
No debt $10,000 of 12% debt
$20,000 in assets $20,000 in assets
40% tax rate 40% tax rate
13-9
Firm U: Unleveraged
Economy
Bad Avg. Good
Prob. 0.25 0.50 0.25
EBIT $2,000 $3,000 $4,000
Interest 0 0 0
EBT $2,000 $3,000 $4,000
Taxes (40%) 800 1,200 1,600
NI $1,200 $1,800 $2,400
13-10
Firm L: Leveraged
Economy
Bad Avg. Good
Prob.* 0.25 0.50 0.25
EBIT* $2,000 $3,000 $4,000
Interest 1,200 1,200 1,200
EBT $ 800 $1,800 $2,800
Taxes (40%) 320 720 1,120
NI $ 480 $1,080 $1,680
Risk Measures:
Firm U Firm L
σROE 2.12% 4.24%
CVROE 0.24 0.39
13-13
The effect of leverage on
profitability and debt coverage
For leverage to raise expected ROE, must
have BEP > kd.
Why? If kd > BEP, then the interest expense
will be higher than the operating income
produced by debt-financed assets, so
leverage will depress income.
As debt increases, TIE decreases because
EBIT is unaffected by debt, and interest
expense increases (Int Exp = kdD).
13-14
Conclusions
Basic earning power (BEP) is
unaffected by financial leverage.
L has higher expected ROE because
BEP > kd.
L has much wider ROE (and EPS)
swings because of fixed interest
charges. Its higher expected return
is accompanied by higher risk.
13-15
Optimal Capital Structure
That capital structure (mix of debt,
preferred, and common equity) at which P0
is maximized. Trades off higher E(ROE)
and EPS against higher risk. The tax-
related benefits of leverage are exactly
offset by the debt’s risk-related costs.
The target capital structure is the mix of
debt, preferred stock, and common equity
with which the firm intends to raise capital.
13-16
Describe the sequence of
events in a recapitalization.
Campus Deli announces the
recapitalization.
New debt is issued.
Proceeds are used to repurchase
stock.
The number of shares repurchased is
equal to the amount of debt issued
divided by price per share.
13-17
Cost of debt at different levels of debt,
after the proposed recapitalization
13-18
Why do the bond rating and cost of debt
depend upon the amount borrowed?
13-19
Analyze the proposed recapitalization
at various levels of debt. Determine
the EPS and TIE at each level of debt.
D $0
( EBIT - k dD )( 1 - T )
EPS
Shares outstanding
($400,000)(0.6)
80,000
$3.00
13-20
Determining EPS and TIE at different
levels of debt.
(D = $250,000 and kd = 8%)
$250,000
Shares repurchase d 10,000
$25
( EBIT - k dD )( 1 - T )
EPS
Shares outstandin g
($400,000 - 0.08($250,000))(0.6)
80,000 - 10,000
$3.26
EBIT $400,000
TIE 20x
Int Exp $20,000
13-21
Determining EPS and TIE at different
levels of debt.
(D = $500,000 and kd = 9%)
$500,000
Shares repurchase d 20,000
$25
( EBIT - k dD )( 1 - T )
EPS
Shares outstandin g
($400,000 - 0.09($500,000))(0.6)
80,000 - 20,000
$3.55
EBIT $400,000
TIE 8.9x
Int Exp $45,000
13-22
Determining EPS and TIE at different
levels of debt.
(D = $750,000 and kd = 11.5%)
$750,000
Shares repurchase d 30,000
$25
( EBIT - k dD )( 1 - T )
EPS
Shares outstandin g
($400,000 - 0.115($750,000))(0.6)
80,000 - 30,000
$3.77
EBIT $400,000
TIE 4.6x
Int Exp $86,250
13-23
Determining EPS and TIE at different
levels of debt.
(D = $1,000,000 and kd = 14%)
$1,000,000
Shares repurchase d 40,000
$25
( EBIT - k dD )( 1 - T )
EPS
Shares outstandin g
($400,000 - 0.14($1,000,000))(0.6)
80,000 - 40,000
$3.90
EBIT $400,000
TIE 2.9x
Int Exp $140,000
13-24
Stock Price, with zero growth
D1 EPS DPS
P0
ks - g ks ks
13-26
The Hamada Equation
Because the increased use of debt causes
both the costs of debt and equity to increase,
we need to estimate the new cost of equity.
The Hamada equation attempts to quantify
the increased cost of equity due to financial
leverage.
Uses the unlevered beta of a firm, which
represents the business risk of a firm as if it
had no debt.
13-27
The Hamada Equation
βL = βU[ 1 + (1 - T) (D/E)]
13-28
Calculating levered betas and
costs of equity
If D = $250,
βL = 1.0 [ 1 + (0.6)($250/$1,750) ]
βL = 1.0857
13-31
Table for calculating WACC and
determining the minimum WACC
13-33
What debt ratio maximizes EPS?
Maximum EPS = $3.90 at D = $1,000,000,
and D/A = 50%. (Remember DPS = EPS
because payout = 100%.)
Risk is too high at D/A = 50%.
13-34
What is Campus Deli’s optimal
capital structure?
P0 is maximized ($26.89) at D/A =
$500,000/$2,000,000 = 25%, so optimal D/A
= 25%.
EPS is maximized at 50%, but primary
interest is stock price, not E(EPS).
The example shows that we can push up
E(EPS) by using more debt, but the risk
resulting from increased leverage more than
offsets the benefit of higher E(EPS).
13-35
What if there were more/less business
risk than originally estimated, how would
the analysis be affected?
If there were higher business risk, then
the probability of financial distress would
be greater at any debt level, and the
optimal capital structure would be one
that had less debt. On the other hand,
lower business risk would lead to an
optimal capital structure with more debt.
13-36
Other factors to consider when
establishing the firm’s target capital
structure
Actual
No leverage
D/A
0 D1 D2
13-39
Modigliani-Miller Irrelevance Theory
The graph shows MM’s tax benefit vs.
bankruptcy cost theory.
Logical, but doesn’t tell whole capital
structure story. Main problem--assumes
investors have same information as
managers.
13-40
Incorporating signaling effects
Signaling theory suggests firms
should use less debt than MM
suggest.
This unused debt capacity helps
avoid stock sales, which depress
stock price because of signaling
effects.
13-41
What are “signaling” effects in
capital structure?
Assume:
Managers have better information about a
firm’s long-run value than outside
investors.
Managers act in the best interests of
current stockholders.
13-42
What can managers be
expected to do?
Issue stock if they think stock is
overvalued.
Issue debt if they think stock is
undervalued.
As a result, investors view a common
stock offering as a negative signal--
managers think stock is overvalued.
13-43
Conclusions on Capital Structure
Need to make calculations as we did, but
should also recognize inputs are
“guesstimates.”
As a result of imprecise numbers, capital
structure decisions have a large judgmental
content.
We end up with capital structures varying
widely among firms, even similar ones in
same industry.
13-44