Economic Analysis Replacement Studies • Opportunity costs is a conceptual term referring to the foregone returns of an investment not pursued, or what you will “lose” by not doing anything • Opportunity costs are most often representing in engineering economics problems as the cash flows forfeited by not selling (replacing) an asset before its useful life is up Replacement Studies • When examining whether to continue using (economically) an existing process or product (equipment), the calculation is called a replacement study • Any of the basic methods will work for comparison, but the annual cost method is most common • Existing equipment is sometimes called the defender and the new is the challenger Replacement Studies • Salvage in replacement studies is an estimate of future value (F) • Treat salvage as an opportunity cost- not as a “trade-in” cost (keep defender costs and values together, and separate from the challenger costs and values) • Convention is to use present value if lives are equal and annualized cost if lives are different because discount of F will vary based on number of terms Replacement Studies • Economic life- when the cost to keep an asset (O & M) exceeds the value (revenue) it can produce. • Cost to keep is sum of amortized initial cost (decrease with time) PLUS the operating cost (increase with time) • Summation of amortization and operation produces a U-shaped curve Replacement Studies • Economic life calculation operation
amortization
time
time Economic life
Replacement Studies • Example 16 on page 39 is a good illustration of replacement scheduling calculations • Replacement schedules are only as good as the data/ estimates used to calculate operation costs and economic life.