ALEXIE VERA P. MAGAWAY THE GLOBALIZATION OF WORLD ECONOMICS
• THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND (IMF) REGARDS
“ECONOMIC GLOBALIZATION” AS A HISTORICAL PROCESS REPRESENTING THE RESULT OF HUMAN INNOVATION AND TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS. IT IS CHARACTERIZED BY THE INCREASING INTEGRATION OF ECONOMIES AROUND THE WORLD THROUGH THE MOVEMENT OF GOODS, SERVICES, AND CAPITAL ACROSS BORDERS. • THESE CHANGES ARE THE PRODUCTS OF PEOPLE, ORGANIZATIONS, INSTITUTIONS AND TECHNOLOGIES. • WHILE IT IS DIFFICULT TO ARRIVE AT A PRECISE DEFINITION OF GLOBALIZATION, IT IS UNIVERSALLY AGREED THAT A DRASTIC ECONOMIC CHANGE IS OCCURRING THROUGHOUT THE WORLD. • ACCORDING TO THE IMF, THE VALUE OF TRADE AS A PERCENTAGE OF WORLD GDP INCREASED FROM 42.1% IN 1980 TO 62.1% IN 2007. • INCREASED TRADE ALSO MEANS THAT INVESTMENTS ARE MOVING ALL OVER THE WORLD AT FASTER SPEEDS. • ACCORDING TO THE UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT (UNCTAD), THE AMOUNT OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS FLOWING ACROSS THE WORLD WAS US$57 BILLION IN 1982 AND BY 2015 THAT NUMBER INCREASED TO $1.76 TRILLION. • APART FROM THE SHEER MAGNITUDE OF COMMERCE, WE SHOULD ALSO NOTE THE INCREASED SPEED AND FREQUENCY OF TRADING. • THESE DAYS, SUPERCOMPUTERS CAN EXECUTE MILLIONS OF STOCK PURCHASES AND SALES BETWEEN DIFFERENT CITIES IN A MATTER OF SECONDS THROUGH A PROCESS CALLED HIGH-FREQUENCY TRADING. INTERNATIONAL TRADING SYSTEMS
• INTERNATIONAL TRADING SYSTEMS ARE NOT NEW
AND THE OLDEST EXAMPLE WAS THE INTERNATIONAL TRADE ROUTE, THE SILK ROAD. • WHILE THE SILK ROAD WAS INTERNATIONAL, IT WASN’T TRULY GLOBAL BECAUSE IT HAD NO OCEAN ROUTES THAT COULD REACH THE AMERICAS. SO WHEN DID FULL ECONOMIC GLOBALIZATION BEGIN?
• HISTORIANS, DENNIS O. FLYNN AND ARTURO GIRALDEZ, AGREED THAT
IT BEGAN WHEN ALL IMPORTANT AND POPULATED CONTINENTS BEGAN TO EXCHANGE PRODUCTS CONTINUOUSLY-- WITH EACH OTHER DIRECTLY AND INDIRECTLY VIA OTHER CONTINENTS– AND IN VALUES SUFFICIENT TO GENERATE CRUCIAL IMPACTS ON ALL TRADING PARTNERS. • THIS WAS TRACED BACK TO 1571 WITH THE ESTABLISHMENT OF THE GALLEON TRADE THAT CONNECTED MANILA, PHILIPPINES, TO ACAPULCO, MEXICO. MERCANTILISM • THE GALLEON TRADE WAS PART OF THE AGE OF MERCANTILISM. FROM THE 16TH CENTURY TO THE 18TH CENTURY, EUROPEAN COUNTRIES COMPETED WITH ONE ANOTHER TO SELL MORE GOODS AS A MEANS TO BOOST THEIR COUNTRY’S INCOME (MONETARY RESERVES) • AS A COUNTERMEASURE FOR COMPETITORS WHO SOLD THEIR GOODS CHEAPLY, THEY IMPOSED HIGH TARIFFS, FORBADE COLONIES TO TRADE WITH OTHER NATIONS, RESTRICTED TRADE ROUTES AND SUBSIDIZED ITS EXPORTS. • A MORE OPEN TRADE EMERGED IN 1867, WHEN THE US AND OTHER EUROPEAN NATIONS TOOK AFTER THE FOOTSTEPS OF UK. • THEY ADOPTED THE GOLD STANDARD AT AN INTERNATIONAL MONETARY CONFERENCE IN PARIS. • THE GOAL WAS TO CREATE A COMMON SYSTEM THAT WOULD ALLOW MORE EFFICIENT TRADE AND PREVENT ISOLATION OF THE MERCANTILIST ERA. • THE COUNTRIES DEVELOPED A COMMON BASIS FOR CURRENCY PRICES AND A FIXED EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM– ALL BASED ON THE VALUE OF GOLD. • DESPITE FACILITATING SIMPLER TRADE, THE GOLD STANDARD WAS STILL VERY RESTRICTIVE. • WHEN WORLD WAR I ERUPTED, GOLD RESERVES WERE DEPLETED TO FUND THEIR ARMIES. THUS, THEY WERE FORCED TO ABANDON THE GOLD STANDARD. • RETURNING TO A PURE STANDARD BECAME MORE DIFFICULT AS THE ECONOMIC CRISIS CALLED THE GREAT DEPRESSION STARTED DURING THE 1920S AND AND EXTENDED UP TO THE 1930S. • THIS DEPRESSION WAS THE WORST AND LONGEST RECESSION EVER EXPERIENCED BY THE WESTERN WORLD. • ECONOMIC HISTORIAN, BARRY EICHENGREEN, ARGUES THAT THE US ONLY BEGAN TO RECOVER WHEN, AFTER ABANDONING THE GOLD STANDARD, THEY WERE ABLE TO FREE UP MONEY TO SPEND ON REVIVING THE ECONOMY. • THOUGH OTHER INDIRECT VERSIONS OF THE GOLD STANDARD WERE USED UP TO THE LATE 1970S, THE WORLD NEVER RETURNED TO THE GOLD STANDARD OF THE EARLY 20TH CENTURY. • THE WORLD ECONOMY NOW OPERATES ON WHAT ARE CALLED FIAT CURRENCIES. • THIS SYSTEM ALLOWS GOVERNMENTS TO ACTIVELY MANAGE THEIR ECONOMIES BY INCREASING OR DECREASING THE AMOUNT OF MONEY IN CIRCULATION. THE BRETTON WOODS SYSTEM
• AFTER THE TWO WORLD WARS, WORLD LEADERS
SOUGHT TO CREATE A GLOBAL ECONOMIC SYSTEM THAT WOULD ENSURE LONG-LASTING GLOBAL PEACE. • TO ACHIEVE THIS, THEY WANTED TO SET UP A NETWORK OF GLOBAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS THAT WOULD PROMOTE ECONOMIC INTERDEPENDENCE AND PROSPERITY. • THE BRETTON WOODS SYSTEM WAS INAUGURATED IN 1944 DURING THE UNITED NATIONS MONETARY AND FINANCIAL CONFERENCE TO PREVENT THE CATASTROPHES OF THE EARLY DECADES FROM REOCCURRING AND AFFECTING INTERNATIONAL TIES. • THE BRETTON WOODS SYSTEM WAS LARGELY INFLUENCED BY BRITISH ECONOMIST JOHN MAYNARD KEYNES. • HE BELIEVED THAT ECONOMIC CRISES OCCUR NOT WHEN A COUNTRY DOES NOT HAVE ENOUGH MONEY, BUT WHEN MONEY IS NOT BEING SPENT, AND THEREBY NOT MOVING. • WHEN ECONOMIES SLOW DOWN, GOVERNMENTS HAVE TO REINVIGORATE MARKETS WITH INFUSIONS OF CAPITAL. • THIS ACTIVE ROLE OF GOVERNMENTS IN MANAGING SPENDING SERVED AS THE ANCHOR FOR WHAT WE CALL A SYSTEM OF GLOBAL KEYNESIANISM. • DELEGATES AT BRETTON WOODS AGREED TO CREATE TWO FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS. • THE INTERNATIONAL BANK FOR RECONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT (IBRD, OR WORLD BANK) • THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND (IMF) • SHORTLY AFTER BRETTON WOODS, VARIOUS COUNTRIES ALSO COMMITTED THEMSELVES TO FURTHER GLOBAL ECONOMIC INTEGRATION THROUGH THE GENERAL AGREEMENT ON TARIFFS AND TRADE (GATT) IN 1947. NEOLIBERALISM AND ITS DISCONTENTS
• FROM MID-1940S TO THE EARLY 1970S, GOVERNMENTS
POURED MONEY INTO THEIR ECONOMIES, ALLOWING PEOPLE TO PURCHASE MORE GOODS AND, IN THE PROCESS INCREASE DEMAND FOR THESE PRODUCTS. • AS DEMAND INCREASED, SO DID THE PRICES OF THESE GOODS. • KEYNESIAN ECONOMISTS BELIEVED THIS WAS A NECESSARY TRADE-OFF FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT. • IN THE EARLY 1970S HOWEVER, THE PRICES OF OIL ROSE SHARPLY BECAUSE OF THE OAPEC’S IMPOSITION OF AN EMBARGO IN RESPONSE TO THE USA AND OTHER COUNTRIES’ DECISION TO RESUPPLY THE ISRAELI MILITARY WITH FIREARMS DURING THE YOM KIPPUR WAR. • THE RESULT WAS UNEXPECTED AND IT WAS CALLED STAGFLATION. • ECONOMISTS SUCH AS FRIEDRICH HAYEK AND MILTON FRIEDMAN ARGUED THAT THE GOVERNMENT’S PRACTICE OF POURING MONEY INTO THEIR ECONOMIES HAD CAUSED INFLATION BY INCREASING DEMAND FOR GOODS WITHOUT NECESSARILY INCREASING SUPPLY. • THE ECONOMIC TURMOIL BECAME THE FOUNDATION TO CHALLENGE KEYNE’S IDEAS. WHAT EMERGED WAS A NEW FOR OF ECONOMIC THINKING CALLED NEOLIBERALISM. WASHINGTON CONSENSUS • IT DOMINATED GLOBAL ECONOMIC POLICIES FROM THE 1980S UNTIL EARLY 2000S. • IT PUSHED FOR MINIMAL GOVERNMENT SPENDING TO REDUCE GOVERNMENT DEBT; PRIVATIZATION OF GOVERNMENT-CONTROLLED SERVICES LIKE WATER, POWER, COMMUNICATIONS AND TRANSPORT, BELIEVING THAT A FREE MARKET CAN PRODUCE BEST RESULTS. • THEY PRESSURED DEVELOPING WORLD GOVERNMENTS TO REDUCE TARIFFS AND OPEN UP ECONOMIES. • JUST LIKE OTHER SYSTEMS, CERTAIN INDUSTRIES WOULD BE AFFECTED AND DIE BUT THEY CONSIDERED THIS AS “SHOCK THERAPY” NECESSARY FOR LONG-TERM ECONOMIC GROWTH. • ADVOCATES OF NEOLIBERALISM LIKE US PRESIDENT RONALD REAGAN AND BRITISH PRIME MINISTER MARGARET THATCHER JUSTIFIED THEIR REDUCTION IN GOVERNMENT SPENDING AND COMPARED NATIONAL ECONOMIES TO HOUSEHOLDS. • THE DEFECTS OF THE WASHINGTON CONSENSUS BECAME NOTICEABLE. ONE EXAMPLE IS POST-COMMUNIST RUSSIA. • ECONOMIC ELITES WHO HAD EASY ACCESS TO GOVERNMENT FUNDS TOOK OVER THE INDUSTRIES AND THUS THIS PRACTICE RESULTED TO OLIGARCHY AND CONTINUES EVEN UP TO THIS DAY NOT ONLY IN RUSSIA BUT ALSO THE PHILIPPINES.