Tools for Company Analysis Qualitative Management reputation Market position Quantitative Financial indicators Profitability analysis Operational efficiency Capacity utilisation Cost vs sales efficiency Presented by Anita Singhal 2 Qualitative Factors Management reputation Strong Growth oriented Professional Nature of its goals and principles Past behaviour pattern
Presented by Anita Singhal 3
Qualitative Factors Market position Threat of New Entrants Threat of substitute products and services Bargaining power of suppliers Customer Bargaining power Existing rivalry
Presented by Anita Singhal 4
Case study Discussion Maruti Udyog Ltd Entry barriers Substitutes Suppliers Customers Competitors
Presented by Anita Singhal 5
Ratio Analysis Profitability ratios Turnover ratios Leverage ratios Per share ratios Price Ratios
Presented by Anita Singhal 6
Profitability ratios Operating Profit calculation Re-state the P&L statement Account for only the operating sales and operating expenses Exclude financial and non-cash expenses Arrive at operating profit Operating Profit margin Operating Profit / Sales * 100 Reflects true earnings capability And operational efficiency
Presented by Anita Singhal 7
Profitability ratios Net Profit Ratio Overall business performance Operating loss but net profits Check for presence of other income and other extra-ordinary incomes Net profit / net sales * 100
Presented by Anita Singhal 8
Profitability ratios Return on Assets Indicates firm’s strategic success Cost leadership Product differentiation ROA should be rising or keep pace with competitors Product of net profit margin and asset turnover ratios Net profit/total income * total income/total assets Presented by Anita Singhal 9 Profitability ratios Return on equity Measures how much an equity shareholder’s investment is actually earning Higher the return- the better it is Suggests usefulness of Co.’s projects [Net Profit /( value of specific owner’s contbn.to business)] * 100 Denominator different for equity and pref. shareholders Presented by Anita Singhal 10 Liquidity Ratios Current ratio Match asset-liability structure profitably Liquidity position of the Co. Considered relative to industry standards Current assets / current liabilities Very high ratio not considered favourably Quick Ratio Current assets – inventory / current liabilities Only those assets which are cash and cash equivalents Presented by Anita Singhal 11 Leverage ratios Debt Equity ratio Total long-term debt / equity (shareholders’ funds) Ideal - 2:1 Capital intensive industries have higher ratios Compare with industry averages Interest Coverage ratio Ability to pay interest obligations EBITDA (incl. other income) / interest Alternatively also include principal payments due in denominator High ratio indicates high confidence levels Presented by Anita Singhal 12 Turnover ratios Inventory Turnover ratio Cost of goods sold / average inventory Indicates utilisation of inventory Larger the ratio better is the profit performance Inventory holding period No. of days / inventory turnover ratio High inventory turnover ratio means low holding period Presented by Anita Singhal 13 Turnover ratios Debtors Turnover ratio / collection period Ratio = Credit sales / average collectibles Collection period = no. of days / Drs. t/o ratio High ratio indicates fast collection Compare with industry average Creditors Turnover ratio / payment period Ratio = Credit purchases / average credit obligations Payment period = no. of days / Crs. t/o ratio Compared with collection period compare with industry average Presented by Anita Singhal 14 Per Share ratios Earnings Per Share Net profit / no. of shares Profit available to shareholders Calculated specifically for classes of shareholders Actual growth in EPS is also a good measure for determining investment interest Very imp. ratio Presented by Anita Singhal 15 Per Share ratios Dividend per Share Total dividend payment / no. of shares Different interpretations Payout ratio DPS / EPS * 100 Indicates percentage of payment to shareholders {1 – payout ratio} indicates retention ratio Determine cash outflows and retained earnings for ploughback Presented by Anita Singhal 16 Per Share ratios Dividend yield Relate dividend to market price of the share DPS / market price per share * 100 High div. yields indicate under-valued shares Low div. yields do not indicate over-valued shares Real measure in such cases will be EPS Presented by Anita Singhal 17 Per Share ratios Book Value per share Gives historical valuation of the Co. Book value of shareholders funds – intangibles / no. of shares Co.’s shares expected to have atleast book value as starting point But historical accounting method Need not necessarily reflect the true worth of the Co. Presented by Anita Singhal 18 Per Share ratios Cash Earnings per Share Net Profit after Tax + non-cash expenses / no. of shares Reflects cash flows However, not available to shareholders Utilised in business operations Increases operational efficiency
Presented by Anita Singhal 19
Price-Earnings Ratio (P/E) Current market price / EPS Mkt price reflects value of shares at present Low P/E multiplier might indicate undervalued Cos. High P/E – could indicate over-valued Alone does not give true picture of the Co. Generally – low P/E Cos. Are considered better investment opportunities But high price can also indicate management potential and high quality of operations Presented by Anita Singhal 20 Growth rates Growth in sales Sales in final period / sales in base period Growth In return ROA in final period / ROA in base period Growth in EPS EPS in final period / EPS in base period Inflationary growth Source of growth Determine cause of shortfall, if any Industry growth rates Presented by Anita Singhal 21 Analyzing Ratios Time series analysis Compare Co.’s ratios over the last 3 years Arrive at improvement / worsening position Cross Series Analysis Compare ratios against peer/competitors’ Compare against industry average Will arrive at position of Co. vis-à-vis peers
Presented by Anita Singhal 22
Projections Time Series Analysis Compare growth rates over minimum of the last 3 years Estimate next years’ growth rates Consider present economic conditions for greater accuracy Meet with Co. officers to get a better view of sales estimations Check quarterly figures and their growth rates Presented by Anita Singhal 23 Projections Common Size Analysis Analyse every item on the P&L as a fraction of sales Check for consistency over the last 3 years Check for current cost control measures Check for a VRS scheme, if any Account for conditions in raw material markets
Presented by Anita Singhal 24
Projections Draw up the P&L a/c for the next 2 years Estimate growth in sales All other costs as percentage of sales Difficult to estimate ‘other income’.