of International Trade International trade: Exchange of goods and services across national boundaries
International Trade requires the least
commitment of/ risk to the companies’ resources. A firm can use intermediaries
It is an inexpensive way of testing a product
Growth of trade: Dollar value of merchandise export: $18.3 trillion (2012); services: $4.3 trillion (2012). Growth rate in value (volume): 0.2 percent (2.1 percent), respectively.
Merchandise trade: four-fifths of world trade.
Slower growth attributed to falling prices for
traded goods such as coffee, cotton etc. Trade allows manufacturers and distributors to seek out products and services from other countries Trade helps acquire low cost merchandise (not necessarily low quality)
Trade provides consumers with a variety of
goods and services
Trade increases incomes and employment
(see examples) Example 1: The number of US jobs supported by exports ($2.2 trillion) reached 9.8 million in 2012.
Example 2: A survey of 3032 small and
medium sized manufacturing firms in Canada (during 1994-1997) shows the association of exports to increase in jobs. Example 3: Exporters in the US pay wages that are 6% higher than non-exporters. Imports are associated with loss of jobs (plant closings, production cutbacks due to competition).
Export job generation effect is about 7.5%
larger than the import job loss effect.
Imports also have a positive effect on wages
through their positive effects on productivity. Determinants of Exports Trade and exchange rate regime Presence of an entrepreneurial class Efficiency-enhancing government policy Secure access to transport and marketing services High per capita incomes price of imports Exchange rates Government restrictions Availability of foreign currency (in the case of developing countries) Volume of trade: The volume of world exports in 2012 was over four times what it was in 1990 and approached 19 trillion U.S dollars. Some of the major factors for this increase include increased incomes due to the expanding middle class in many countries, trade liberalization and new technologies that assist in the physical integration of world markets. Larger countries (in terms of population) tend to depend less on trade than small ones.
Larger countries such as the US or Japan tend
to have a more diversified economy that enables them to produce many products and services locally. The Value of World trade: $ 18 trillion (merchandise exports); $4 trillion (export of services) Direction of trade: Industrial countries account for the largest share (52 percent) of world merchandise trade. Their share (value) declined from 69 percent in 1995 to 52 percent in 2011. Steady growth in the role of developing nations, especially emerging economies
Increasing levels of trade among developing
nations Important Developments in Trade Complete Stalemate in the Doha Round WTO negotiations. Focused on reducing trade distorting agricultural subsidies in developed nations and equitable rules for developing nations Failure also attributed to the emerging multipolar world (where no one is in charge) and proliferation of national interests Increase in the establishment of regional Trading blocs ( common markets, free trade areas) between countries
US: Trans-Pacific Partnership for Asia; Transatlantic
trade and investment partnership with Europe
Developing nations: Find such agreements as more
feasible than the multilateral ones Global trade imbalances: US trade deficit: 5 percent of GDP. East Asian economies with increasing trade surpluses hold over $ 6 trillion in foreign currency reserves in 2012.
Growing trade imbalances between nations
leading to destabilizing capital flows. Developing nations in world trade: Share of developing nations (merchandise trade) jumped from 29 percent (1995) to 48 percent in 2011.
Another significant development is the
opening up of China and its dynamic role in world trade. China’s share alone increased from 2.6 percent in 1995 to 11 percent in 2011. China Joined the WTO in 2001. Within three years, its exports doubled. It is now the world’s largest merchandise exporter ($1.9 trillion in 2011) and the second largest importer of goods (1.74 trillion in 2011). The BRICs account for about one-thirds of world exports and two-thirds of developing countries’ exports in 2011. South-South trade increased at a rate of 14 percent per year during the period 1995- 2010. Transportation and security About 60 percent (by value) of total world merchandise trade is carried by sea. In volume terms, 75 percent of world merchandise trade is carried by sea whereas 16 percent is by rail and road (9 percent by pipeline, and 0.3 percent by air). World air cargo traffic has grown during the past decade due to increased trade in high- value-low weight cargo, globalization and associated just-in time production and distribution systems.
In light of increasing threats of terrorism,
countries have put in place procedures to screen cargo across the entire supply chain.