• What is the capital market line (CML)? • How is the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) developed? • What is the difference between the standard deviation risk and beta risk measures? • How can an investor apply the CAPM to security analysis? • How do you estimate beta? • What are the good news and the bad news about beta? Contemporary Investments: Chapter 18 Assumptions of the Capital Asset Pricing Model • Investors have homogeneous expectations • Frictionless capital markets • Investors are rational and seek to maximize their expected utility functions • Investment is for one-period only • All investors can borrow or lend at the riskfree rate
Contemporary Investments: Chapter 18
Efficient frontier and the optimal risky portfolio • Developing the capital market line (CML) – Introducing the riskfree asset. – The capital market line (CML) or the borrowing-lending line. – The Portfolio Separation Theorem – The market portfolio, M
Contemporary Investments: Chapter 18
Figure 18.1 – Efficient Frontier
Contemporary Investments: Chapter 18
Figure 18.2 – Efficient Frontier and Utility Curves for Investors A and B
Contemporary Investments: Chapter 18
Figure 18.3 – Combinations of the Risk-Free Asset RF and Risky Portfolios P1 and P2
Contemporary Investments: Chapter 18
Figure 18.4 – Combinations of the Risk-Free Asset RF and the Risky Portfolio M
Contemporary Investments: Chapter 18
Figure 18.5 – CML and Individual Utility Curves
Contemporary Investments: Chapter 18
Figure 18.6 – CML: The Borrowing-Lending Line
Contemporary Investments: Chapter 18
Capital Asset Pricing Model • Developing a relative risk measure • Understanding beta – Systematic risk or market risk – Diversifiable risk or firm-specific risk
Contemporary Investments: Chapter 18
Figure 18.7 – CML and Individual Securities
Contemporary Investments: Chapter 18
CAPM derivation • Security risk and return – Reward for investing in a security – Security risk – Security’s reward-to-risk ratio – Risk/return relationship – The security market line (SML) • Differences between the CML and SML
Contemporary Investments: Chapter 18
Figure 18.8 – Security Market Line (SML)
Contemporary Investments: Chapter 18
CAPM and security analysis • Estimating the required return. • Estimating the predicted return. • Security analysis decision rule. • Comparison with fundamental analysis.
Contemporary Investments: Chapter 18
Estimating Beta • Security characteristic line • Information service beta estimates • Calculating beta: Separating systematic risk from diversifiable risk. • Differences between the SML and the security characteristic line Contemporary Investments: Chapter 18 Good news and bad news about Beta • How reliable are beta estimates? • Does beta really measure risk? • The verdict on beta.
• Implications for investors
Contemporary Investments: Chapter 18
Figure 18.9 – Security Market Line Analysis
Contemporary Investments: Chapter 18
Figure 18.10 – Regression Analysis to Estimate Beta