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MRITUNJAY SRIVASTAVA
HEAD MARKET OPERATIONS
Natural Gas Basics
Terminal/ Distribution
Domestic supply Pipeline
sourcing of gas and marketing
Key
players Number of JV/companies
operating
• Domestic prices regulated • Regas tariffs • Regulated pipeline tariff • End-customer prices
• LNG prices unregulated unregulated margins to give at most unregulated
12% post-tax ROCE
Regulatory
regime
Source: Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, BCG Analysis
Power vs Gas market: Fundamental differences
3 No system operator
• No system operator to do system balancing.
• Multiple pipeline operators with their own operating norms.
Supply
In mmscmd
India Gas Transportation
Existing Pipelines
A : HVJ - Hazira Vijaipur Jagdishpur PL (GAIL)-4222 KM-53 MMSCMD
B : GERP - Part of HVJ PL (GAIL)-1280 KM-54 MMSCMD
C : DUPL/DPPL - Dahej – Uran – Dabhol PL (GAIL)-815-19.9 MMSCMD
Delivered Contracts
Gas Transactions and Scheduling
CASES in Excel
India-Gas Pricing
Regulated Pricing like Cost of Service, No Price etc. more available in Domestic Market of Russia, Middle East,
India etc.
Natural Gas Regional Markets
Indian gas sector is poised for a breakout growth Led by CGD and fertilizer sectors.. Coupled with domestic supply shortfall and increasing dependency
in demand…. on imported LNG ...
+150% +70%
380 180 162 166
400 227 143 144 153
25 141
+8%
300 281 75 79
120 49 51 59 68
208 15
200 166 179
91 60 LNG
100 95 90 85 85 87 88 impor
ts
0 0
FY 19 FY 20 FY 22 FY 26 FY 30 2018 2027e 2018 2022e FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19
CGD Geographical CGD Geographical Ammonia India gas consumption split by domestic and
India estimated gas demandAreas
(MMSCMD)
areas production cap. imported gas, FY14-19
MRITUNJAY SRIVASTAVA
HEAD MARKET OPERATIONS
In this Presentation…..
S S B S B S
B S S S S
B S B S B
S B B B B
Liquid Marketplace-Many buyers and many sellers; lack of market power at both buyer and
seller sides of the market;
Efficient marketplaces- participants cannot predict which way prices will move
Complete Market-Full set of forward and spot markets (marketplaces) and risk-management
tools
No External Intervention and hence Equal and Sufficient access to any essential facilities (in
our case transmission and distribution wires)
Prices published in Public Domain
MWhr different from a Barrel of Oil, 1 ounce of Gold?
Electrical energy is linked with a physical system that functions much faster than
any other market. Supply and Demand – generation and load – must be
balanced on a second-by-second basis which cannot be left to a relatively slow-
moving and unaccountable entity such as a market.
Demand for electrical energy exhibits predictable daily and weekly cyclical
variations. Due to extremely small short-run price elasticity of demand,
Generating units have to response as per demand which is very unusual in
other commodities.
Markets for Electrical Energy
Features of Electricity That Constrain Trading Arrangements
Feature Problem Design Issues
No storage Contract amounts will not Imbalances
match usage or output
Path of least resistance Possible overloading Congestion management
Network interactions Plants need to produce several Ancillary services
outputs and stand as
Reserve
Conclusion:
Conclusion:-- While a large proportion of the electrical energy can be traded through an unmanaged open
market
• Open(like Long-Term,
Electrical EnergyDay-Ahead • Managed
Markets and Contingency Contracts),
Marketssuch a market
by System is unable to maintain the
Operatpr
reliability
Bilateralof Trading
the power system. A managed market run by SystemMarket
Reserve/Ancillary Operator that provides a mechanism for
balancing loadPools/PXs
Electricity and generation must therefore supersedeMechanism
Balancing the open energy market as the time of delivery
approaches. Its function is to match residual load and generation by adjusting the production of flexible
generators and curtailing the demand of willing consumers. It should also be able to respond to major
disruptions caused by the sudden and unforeseen disconnection of large generating units because of
unavoidable technical problems.
Markets for Electrical Energy-Managed Market
In Electricity, Imbalances between generation and load must be corrected very quickly
to make system in balance and the Responsibility is given to System Operator. Here the
bids are submitted in advance by generators and loads and selection of bid is done by
System Operator depending on system/network conditions.
Balancing Services/
Long-Term Medium-Term Short-Term Power Exchange Contingency Contracts Ancillary Services
Forward Contracts Forward Contracts Forward Contracts Day-Ahead Contracts
Ancillary services for a specific period are normally offered by market participants to
the SO after the open energy market for that period has closed/Gate Closure.
Generating units that are not fully loaded can submit bids to increase their output. A
generating unit can also offer to pay to reduce its output. The demand side can also
provide balancing resources.
INDIAN ELECTRICITY MARKET…..1
OPEN ELECTRICITY ENERGY MARKET
DSM as Balancing
Congestion Charges Schedule Curtailment Ancillary Services
Mechanism
1. Started in Dec’ 2009. 1. Schedules Curtailed due 1. CERC (Ancillary Services 1. Started in ‘02.
2. Penalty and Reward for to outage of important Operations) Regulations, 2015 2. Penalty and Reward
Deviation during Transmission elements. 2. Restore Frequency and relieve Provision,
specific system 2. Short-Term First and congestion 3. Freq. Linked Rate
conditions. Long-Term last to
3. Current rate is 545 p/u. curtail.
As per CERC MMC Report Oct’19
SCHEDULING PROCESS OF DAY-AHEAD MARKET
“No Objection” or “ Prior Standing Clearance”:-
Pre-requisite for Buyers and Sellers
State 1 (Power System Operated by SLDC A) State 2 (Power System Operated by SLDC B)
Intra-State Transm. System
Inter-State Transm. System
Operated
by RLDC
State Utilities and intra-State Entities proposing to participate Regional Entity shall obtain prior
requires NoC from respective SLDCs with preconditions of:- approval from the respective
a) Existence of necessary infrastructure for time block wise metering RLDCs/RPCs, by making an application.
and energy accounting,
b) Availability of transmission capacity in the grid
c) Affidavit regarding absence of any other contract for sale of same power
Processing of Format PX-I
• Clause 2.2 State Utilities and intra-State Entities proposing to participate in trading through Power
Exchange(s) shall obtain “Concurrence” or “No Objection” or “Prior Standing Clearance” from the
respective State Load Despatch Centres (SLDCs), as per the enclosed format. [FORMAT-PX-I:
“Concurrence” or “No Objection” or “Prior Standing Clearance” by SLDCs to Power Exchange.]
PoC Loss-3.7%
State Loss-5.5%
91 MW ex-bus quantity
in Format PX-I
Buyer-DEF
BID, PRICE MATCHING and TRADE
• Two regions have been considered i.e. ER and SR.
• Four Sellers and Two Buyers in a 15-Min Block are taken with following Bid Scenario: -
ER REGION SR REGION
Buyer Buyer
100 MW @3000 300 MW @4000
ER REGION SR REGION
Buyer Buyer
100 MW @3000 300 MW @4000
Price (Rs./MWh) 0 999 1000 1999 2000 2999 3000 3001 3999 4000 4001 6000 8000 10000 20000
ER Seller-1 0 0 0 0 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200
Understanding Aggregation of Bids
Seller Seller Seller Seller
200 MW @2000
100 MW@3000 100 MW @3000 100 MW@4000
ER REGION SR REGION
Buyer Buyer
100 MW @3000 300 MW @4000
Understanding Provisional Unconstrained
Price Matching
3005
ER Seller-1 ER Seller-2 SR Seller-1 SR Seller-2 SR(MW)
Total Buy Buyer Total Sell (MW)ER Buyer
200 MW@ 100 MW@ 100 MW@ 100 MW@
3004
300 MW@
Demand-Supply 100 MW@
2000/MWhr 3000/MWhr 3000/MWhr 4000/MWhr
3003 intersection
4000/MWhr with 3000/MWhr
3002 high resolution
3001
3000
2999
2998
150 200 250 300
(300,4000)
350 400
(300,4000)
(500,4000)
(500,4000)
(500,4000)
(400,3000)
(400,3000)
(400,3000)
(400,3000)
(400,3000)
(200,2000)
(200,2000)
(200,2000)
(200,2000)
(200,2000)
ER SR
ER REGION SR REGION
Buyer Buyer
100 MW @3000 300 MW @4000
Constraint Solution (Market Splitting)
Congestion was reported by NLDC from ER to SR corridor and flow is constrained to 100MW. Due to
Congestion was reported by NLDC from ER to SR corridor and flow is constrained to 100MW. Due to
flow constraint, system will “Split” the market in to two regions i.e. Deficit (SR Region) and Surplus
flow constraint, system will “Split” the market in to two regions i.e. Deficit (SR Region) and Surplus
region (ER Region),and will again run the calculation chronology for both the regions separately
region (ER Region),and will again run the calculation chronology for both the regions separately
considering the flow constraint and will derive the ACP and ACV.
considering the flow constraint and will derive the ACP and ACV.
Price (Rs./kWh) 0 999 1000 1999 2000 2999 3000 3001 3999 4000 4001 6000 8000 10000 20000
ER Seller-1 0 0 0 0 -200 -200 -200 -200 -200 -200 -200 -200 -200 -200 -200
ER-Surplus ER Seller-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -100 -100 -100 -100 -100 -100 -100 -100 -100
Region ER Buyer 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net (Buy-Sell) 100 100 100 100 -100 -100 -200 -300 -300 -300 -300 -300 -300 -300 -300
Price (Rs./kWh) 0 999 1000 1999 2000 2999 3000 3001 3999 4000 4001 6000 8000 10000 20000
SR Seller-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -100 -100 -100 -100 -100 -100 -100 -100 -100
SR-Deficit SR Seller-2
SR Buyer
0
300
0
300
0
300
0
300
0
300
0
300
0
300
0
300
0
300
-100
300
-100
0
-100
0
-100
0
-100
0
-100
0
Region
Net (Buy-Sell) 300 300 300 300 300 300 200 200 200 100 -200 -200 -200 -200 -200
ER Surplus Region SR Deficit Region
Demand-Supply Curve Demand-Supply Curve
A Punjab Trade and Schedule
STU Charges @
107.07 MW Punjab Loss-6.6%
Rs. 80/MWHr Northern Region
Scheduling & Operating
103.09
Charges @Rs. MW
2000/Day PoC/CTU Charges @ Eastern Region
Rs. 100/MWHr
NR Loss-3%
Scheduling & Operating
Charges
Trade Selected:
100 MW 100 MW Sell
West Bengal
Exchange B
Trade Selected:
100 MW Sell
Trade Selected:
200 MW 200 MW Buy
C
Submission of Provisional Report to NLDC
3.2 Power exchange(s) shall furnish by 13:00 Hrs, the interchange on various interfaces/control areas/regional
transmission systems as intimated by NLDC. Power Exchange(s), shall also furnish the information of total drawal and
injection in each of the regions.
Exception Report from NLDC
3.3 Based on the information furnished as per Para 3.2 by Power Exchange(s), NLDC shall check for congestion. If there is
no congestion, the Power Exchange(s) shall submit the application as per clause 3.5. However, in case of congestion,
NLDC shall inform the exchange(s) by 14:00 Hrs. about the period of congestion and the available limit for scheduling of
collective transaction on respective interfaces/control areas/transmission system(s) during the period of congestion for
scheduling of Collective Transaction through that respective Power Exchange.
3.8 After getting acceptance from the RLDCs, NLDC shall convey the
acceptance of scheduling of Collective Transaction to Power Exchange(s)
by 17:30 Hrs.
Accommodation of Collective Transactions
4.1 Concerned RLDCs shall accommodate the Schedule of Collective Transactions in the respective Regional
Entity’s and inter-Regional Schedules, which would be issued finally by RLDCs at 18:00 Hrs of each day.
4.3 RLDCs shall incorporate all buyers within a State (clubbed together as one group) and all sellers within a
State (clubbed together as another group), in the schedules of the Collective Transactions.
Trade at Regional Periphery
for a Regional Entity
Trade-Breakup of Schedule to SLDC
4.4 The individual transactions for State Utilities/intra-State Entities shall be scheduled by the respective
SLDCs. Power Exchange(s) shall send the detailed breakup of each point of injection and each point of
drawal within the State to respective SLDCs by 18:00 Hrs. after receipt of acceptance from NLDC.
Summary:- Scheduling Process
Open Access: What a consumer pays Charges
PoC charges
• Inter-State Transmission charges payable by the open access consumer
Wheeling charges
• Charge to the Discom for conveyance of electricity through open access as determined by the SERCs
Others
• Additional Charges, if any
• NLDC application fee, scheduling and operating charges, SLDC Charges
• IEX transaction charges/Trading Margin
‘Make in India’ to thrust OA aimed at PX Markets
Open Access seen as one of the Cross subsidy surcharges for Collective Transactions
thrust areas for ‘Make in India’, so
as to provide industries cheap
energy through Power Exchanges
States continue to restrict Open
Access through tariff or non-tariff
barriers
Open Access Charges (Rs./u)
Tariff
Region State Voltage Lvl Rate/Energy State Distribution/ Tariff Barriers Non-Tariff Barriers
Charge (Rs/u) Transmission Wheeling Cross Subsidy Additional Surcharge
• An open access consumer has to bear in kind the following losses as defined by the
relevant regulations
Wheeling loss
Short-Term Trade executed at DEEP Portal, TAM Market, Banking or Negotiated Arrangements
are Scheduled as per Provisions of “Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (Open Access in
inter-State Transmission) Regulations, 2008” and Procedure for “Scheduling of Bilateral
Transactions”.
Delivery point is Seller Regional Periphery.
Application for Scheduling is made by “Applicant” to the “Buyer” Regional Load Despatch Centre
of the Region.
The Application is accompanied with Concurrence of SLDC from buyer and seller state as
under:-
i) For Advance Scheduling and First Come First Serve basis (FCFS):- Under Format-II
ii) For Contingency Contracts- Either Format-II or Format PX-I.
Advance Scheduling Application for delivery dates of “M+1”, “M+2”, and “M+3” to be received
to RLDC in current Month “M” on “L-10”, “L-5” and “L” date, where in “L” stands for Last Date of
Current Month.
FCFS Application for delivery in current month to be received on at least “D-3” basis, where “D”
is Delivery Start Date.
Contingency Application to be received at least 2 hrs. prior to start of delivery hour.
Format-II “Concurrence from SLDC”
Seller SLDC Consent Buyer SLDC Consent
Format-I “Application to RLDC”
On-Line Application Punching at Nodal RLDC Web Site
Format-VI “Approval from RLDC”
Scheduling by RLDC at Website
Treatment of Charges and Losses
PCKL Karnataka
Trade:
218 MW 218 MW Sell
Trade:
218 MW
218 MW Buy
West Bengal
Eastern Region
WBSEDCL
Difference Between Short-Term Bilateral and Collective Transactions
Dimension Short-Term Bilateral DAM Collective
Open Access Duration Up to 3 months and Intra Day Only Day ahead
Nodal Agency Regional Load Dispatch Centre National Load Dispatch Centre (NLDC)
(RLDCs)
Charges for use of Transmission i) PoC Charges for use of Inter-Regional i) PoC Charges for use of Inter-Regional
System Transmission System (in Rs./MWhr) Transmission System (in Rs./MWhr)
ii) State Charges for use of State ii) State Charges for use of State
Transmission System (in Rs./MWhr) Transmission System (in Rs./MWhr)
Charges of System Operators (as i) RLDC Charges for Scheduling over Inter- i) NLDC Charges for Scheduling over Inter-
Scheduling and Operating Charges) Regional Transmission System (in Rs./day) Regional Transmission System (in Rs./day)
ii) SLDC Charges for Scheduling over State ii) SLDC Charges for Scheduling over State
Transmission System (in Rs./day) Transmission System (in Rs./day)
Congestion Management E-Bidding (Explicit Auction), FCFS Market splitting (NLDC in
Basis, Pro-Rata basis coordination with IEX)
Hence the Seller Bidders will be able to see the Lowest Tariff and Total Required Qty.
An Illustration of DEEP E-Bidding Portal
Process 5:- Reverse Auction Process
L1 3.000 L1 2.900 L1 2.800 L1 2.800
Bidder Quantity IPO Rate Quantity Rate Quantity Rate Quantity Rate
(MW) (Rs./kWh) (MW) (Rs./kWhr) (MW) (Rs./kWhr) (MW) (Rs./kWhr)
Bidder 1 (Min. 20, Q-200) 200 3.100 200 3.100 300 2.800 300 2.800
Bidder 2 (Min. 40, Q-400) 400 3.200 500 2.900 500 2.900 600 2.900
Bidder 3 (Min. 60, Q-500) 500 3.900 500 3.900 500 3.900 500 3.900
Bidder 4 (Min. 80, Q-600) 600 3.300 600 3.300 600 2.900 600 2.900
Bidder 5 (Min. 100, Q700) 700 3.000 700 3.000 700 3.000 700 3.000
Process 7:- Procurers shall have the right to issue Letter of Award (LoA) to the Successful Bidder
Highlights of DEEP Portal
Trading Platform: -DEEP E-Bidding Portal www.mstcecommerce.com
E-Bidding followed by Reverse Auction at Deep Portal
Platform provider (s):- MSTC Ltd, with PFC Consulting Ltd as the consultant
Registration to participate in e-bidding:- Bidders would be able to participate in the eBidding events on
making payment of the requisite fees of 500 per MW for the maximum capacity, a bidder is willing to bid,
to PFCCL. Non-successful bidders will be refunded within 7 working days.
Offer Price Quote:- Single price quote, upto 3 decimal places, at the delivery point which includes
capacity charge, energy charge, trading margin, applicable transmission charges upto delivery point, and
all taxes, duties, cess etc
Delivery Point : -State/Regional periphery of the Procurer, for inter-state transactions
Pre-trade Margin by Bidder (Seller)
a. EMD (as BG) to MSTC for the maximum capacity on offer @ Rs. 30,000/- per MW per month on RTC
(30days, 24 hours) basis, or prorate for non-RTC power
b. EMD (as BG) of the Successful Bidder(s) shall be refunded after furnishing the Contract Performance
Guarantee (CPG)
Post-trade Margin by Bidder Contract Performance Guarantee (CPG, as BG) to the Procurer within 7 days
from the date of selection of Successful Bidder(s) for an amount calculated at Rs. 2 lac per MW per
month. For performing the terms of contractual obligations, and released within 30 days after completion
of Contract Period.
Procurers shall have the right to issue Letter of Award (LoA) to the Successful Bidder(s) upto 15 days from
close of e-RA
RECENT…
RfP Notice by Telangana State Power Coordination Committee (TSPCC):-
RfP-Telangana
Auction Results:-
Real Time Electricity Markets in India
CERC has issued framework for Real Time Electricity Markets in India onAug’19.
Summaryoftheproposalisasunder:
1. Issues in present market design: The volume traded under intra-day market is at a very
miniscule level of less than 1% due to:
The price discovery methodology viz., continuous trading based on pay as you bid
principle
Absence of gate closure
The original beneficiaries (discoms) have the right to recall contracted generation at any
time from the fourth time block ahead. This often leads to sub-optimal utilization.
Substantial growth in RE generation -issues related to its integration
Alternatively, the discoms themselves can sell the surplus power from their contracted
generation sources in the real time market and earn the revenue in full.
Real Time Electricity Markets in India
Doublesidedclosedauctionswithuniformmarketclearingprice.
Energyhourfordeliveryintwofifteenminuteblocksineachhalfhour.
Energytradeforthefirsthalfhour(00.00Hrs.to00.30Hrs.)ofthedaystartsat
22.30Hrs.ofthepreviousdayandisrepeatedeveryhourthereafter.
Toensurefirmnessofsuchbidsandoffers,thegateforschedulerevisionwillclose
beforethestartoftheauction.
Revenueoverandabovetheregulatedvariablecostshallbesharedintheratioof
50:50,BuyersconsentnotrequiredforURSPower
TransmissionCorridorAllocationandCongestionManagement:POSOCOto
declareinadvancethetransmissioncorridormarginavailableforreal-time
transaction.
Proposed Model for Real time market
Liquidity in the proposed RTM will increase because of the design change in the
formofauctionandgateclosure.
Resourceoptimizationacrossregionstotakeadvantageofcheapresources.
Accesstolargerpoolofgenerationresourcestomeetcontingentrequirementinreal
timeasagainsttheexistingbilateralresources.
Prices discovered in such real time market are likely to be more efficient than the
costofprocurementofpowerfromthebilateralarrangementundertherighttorecall;
Netgainsshallbesharedwiththediscomsintheratioof50:50;
Alternatively, the discoms themselves can sell the surplus power from their
contractedgenerationsourcesintherealtimemarketandearntherevenueinfull.
MANAGED TOOL BY SYSTEM OPERATOR
Intra-day STOA
Day-ahead STOA
RELIABILITY MARGIN RM
Link:- https://posoco.in/market/monthly-atc-inter-regional/
Real Time Power flow in the corridor is also published by NLDC:-
http://wbs.nldc.in:82/Web_TTC_ATC.aspx
CONGESTION CHARGES
As per Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (Measures to relieve congestion in real time
operation) Regulations, 2009.
Control Area A
(Region or State)
No Schedule Deviation
by any Seller or Buyer
Control Area B
(Region or State)
Settlement
1) Regulation Up- RRAS provider paid at their fixed & variable charges with markup
2) Regulation Down-RRAS provider shall pay 75 % of variable charges to Pool Fund
3) Average Mark Up paid to RRAS provider- 50 Paise/Unit
4) Fixed charges to be reimbursed by RRAS providers to the original beneficiaries
5) Penalties for sustained failure to provide RRAS and violation of directions of RLDC
Oct-19 Ancillary Services