Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Chapter 15
Business Risk
Operating Leverage
Financial Risk
Optimal Capital Structure
Capital Structure Theory
15-1
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
High risk
0 E(ROIC) EBIT
• Competition
• Uncertainty about demand (sales)
• Uncertainty about output prices
• Uncertainty about costs
• Product obsolescence
• Foreign risk exposure
• Regulatory risk and legal exposure
• Operating leverage
15-3
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-4
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
ROICL ROICH
15-6
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-7
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-8
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-9
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
An Example:
Illustrating Effects of Financial Leverage
Firm U Firm L
No debt $10,000 of 12% debt
$20,000 invested capital $20,000 invested capital
40% tax rate 40% tax rate
15-10
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
Firm U: Unleveraged
Economy
Bad Average Good
Probability 0.25 0.50 0.25
15-11
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
Firm L: Leveraged
Economy
Bad Average Good
Probability* 0.25 0.50 0.25
15-12
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-13
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
Expected values:
Firm U Firm L
E(ROIC) 9.0% 9.0%
E(ROE) 9.0% 10.8%
E(TIE) 2.5×
Risk measures:
Firm U Firm L
ROIC 2.12% 2.12%
ROE 2.12% 4.24%
TIE 0 0.6×
15-14
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-15
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
Conclusions
15-16
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-17
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-18
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-19
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-20
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
D = $0
(EBIT rdD)(1 T)
EPS
Shares outstandin g
($400,000)(0.6)
80,000
$3.00
15-21
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
$250,000
Shares repurchased 10,000
$25
(EBIT rdD)(1 T)
EPS
Shares outstandin g
[$400,000 (0.08)($250,000 )](0.6)
80,000 10,000
$3.26
EBIT $400,000
TIE 20x
Int. Exp. $20,000
15-22
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
$500,000
Shares repurchased 20,000
$25
(EBIT rdD)(1 T)
EPS
Shares outstandin g
[$400,000 (0.09)($500,000 )](0.6)
80,000 20,000
$3.55
EBIT $400,000
TIE 8 .9 x
Int. Exp. $45,000
15-23
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
$750,000
Shares repurchased 30,000
$25
(EBIT rdD)(1 T)
EPS
Shares outstandin g
[$400,000 (0.115 )($750,000 )](0.6)
80,000 30,000
$3.77
EBIT $400,000
TIE 4 .6 x
Int. Exp. $86,250
15-24
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
$1,000,000
Shares repurchased 40,000
$25
(EBIT rdD)(1 T)
EPS
Shares outstandin g
[$400,000 (0.14)($1,000,000 )](0.6)
80,000 40,000
$3.90
EBIT $400,000
TIE 2.9x
Int. Exp. $140,000
15-25
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-26
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-27
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
bL = bU[1 + (1 – T)(D/E)]
15-28
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
If D = $250,
bL = 1.0[1 + (0.6)($250/$1,750)]
= 1.0857
15-29
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-30
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-31
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-32
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
D1 EPS DPS
P̂0
rs g rs rs
15-33
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
Amount
Borrowed DPS rs P0
$ 0 $3.00 12.00% $25.00
15-34
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-35
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
• P0 is maximized ($26.89) at
D/Cap. = $500,000/$2,000,000 = 25%, so
optimal D/Cap. = 25%.
• EPS is maximized at 50%, but primary interest
is stock price, not E(EPS).
• The example shows that we can push up
E(EPS) by using more debt, but the risk
resulting from increased leverage more than
offsets the benefit of higher E(EPS).
15-36
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-37
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
1. Sales stability?
2. High operating leverage?
3. Increase in the corporate tax rate?
4. Increase in the personal tax rate?
5. Increase in bankruptcy costs?
6. Management spending lots of money on lavish
perks?
7. Financial flexibility?
8. Firm’s growth rate?
15-38
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-39
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-40
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-41
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
• Assumptions:
– Managers have better information about a firm’s
long-run value than outside investors.
– Managers act in the best interests of current
stockholders.
• What can managers be expected to do?
– Issue stock if they think stock is overvalued.
– Issue debt if they think stock is undervalued.
– As a result, investors view a stock offering
negatively; managers think stock is overvalued.
15-42
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BUSINESS RISK OPER LEVERAGE FINANCIAL RISK OPT CAP STRUCT CAP STRUCT THEORY
15-43
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