Demography, Density & the Demographic Transition Model
Cartogram of the World’s Population What is Demography? • Demography: The scientific study of population characteristics • Demographers look at: • Statistically at how people are distributed spatially • Age • Gender • Occupation • Fertility • Health • And other factors Population Concentrations • 2/3 of the world’s population is clustered in 4 regions- East Asia, South Asia, Southeast Asia, and Western Europe • Similar characteristics of these regions: • Most live near a river or to easy access to the Ocean • 2/3 of world’s pop lives with 300 miles of an ocean • 4/5 live within 500 miles • Occupy low-lying areas, fertile soil and temperate climate Sparsely Populated Regions • Ecumene: the portion of the Earth’s surface occupied by permanent human settlement • Relatively few people live in regions that are too dry, too wet, too cold, or too mountainous • Dry Lands: Areas like deserts. Generally lack sufficient water to grow crops. Difficult to raise animals • Wet Lands: Too much water can deplete nutrients to the soil • Cold Lands: Ground is usually permanently frozen (permafrost) Can’t plant and animals can’t survive extreme cold • High Lands: Difficult to settle onto mountains that are steep and snow covered 3 Types of Population Density • Why Population Density? Helps geographers to describe the distribution density of people in comparison to available resources Arithmetic Density • Arithmetic Density: Total number of people divided by total land area • Also called Population Density • Geographers use this to compare conditions in different countries because the 2 conditions Total Population and Total Land Area are easy to obtain • Allows geographers to answer the “where” question Physiological Density • Physiological Density: The number of people supported by a unit area of arable land • Arable Land: land suited for agriculture • Ex. US Physiological Density is (445 people/sq. mi) vs. Egypt Physiological Density is 6,682 people/sq. mi. • The difference means that more crops are grown on a hectare (100 acres) of land in Egypt than the US in order to feed its population. • Higher physiological density puts pressure on areas to produce enough foods • Provides insight into relationship between the size of a population & availability of resources in a region. Agricultural Density • Agricultural Density: ratio of the number of farmers to the amount of arable land • This type of density measure helps to account for the economic differences in different areas • Often times Agricultural and Physiological Densities are studied together in order to understand the relationship between population and resources Increases in Population • Crude Birth Rate (CBR): total number of live births in a year for every 1,000 people alive in society. • Crude Death Rate (CDR): total number of deaths in a year for every 1,000 people alive in society. • Natural Increase Rate (NIR): the percentage by which a population grows in a year. • Computed by subtracting CDR from CBR • Total Fertility Rate (TFR): to measure the number of births in society. • Average number of children a woman will have during her child bearing years The Demographic Transition Model Demographic Transition Model- Population Pyramids Stages of the Demographic Transition Model • Stage 1: Low Growth • which applied to most of the world before the Industrial Revolution, both birth rates and death rates are high. As a result, population size remains fairly constant but can have major swings with events such as wars or pandemics. • Stage 2: High Growth • the introduction of modern medicine lowers death rates, especially among children, while birth rates remain high; the result is rapid population growth. • Many of the least developed countries today are in Stage 2. Stages of the Demographic Transition Model • Stage 3: Moderate Growth • birth rates gradually decrease, usually as a result of improved economic conditions, an increase in women’s status, and access to contraception. Population growth continues, but at a lower rate. • Most developing countries are in Stage 3. • Stage 4: Low Growth • birth and death rates are both low, stabilizing the population. These countries tend to have stronger economies, higher levels of education, better healthcare, a higher proportion of working women, and a fertility rate hovering around two children per woman. • Most developed countries are in Stage 4. • Zero Population Growth (ZPG): term to describe when CBR declines to the point where it equals the CDR Possible Stage 5 to the DTM • Stage 5: would include countries in which fertility rates have fallen significantly below replacement level (2 children) and the elderly population is greater than the youthful population. Sources: • https://pediaview.com/openpedia/Population_pyramid • http://www.lewishistoricalsociety.com/wiki/tiki- read_article.php?articleId=126 • http://www.maproomblog.com/2006/03/cartograms_from_worldmapper. php • http://www.newgeography.com/content/002591-looking-new- demography • http://blackpoolsixthasgeography.pbworks.com/w/page/23074673/The%2 0demographic%20transition%20model%20and%20it%E2%80%99s%205%2 0stages • http://blogs.dickinson.edu/gis/2012/11/01/community-agriculture-along- the-trans-america-cycling-route/