Probability

How likely is an event to

occur?

What are the chances of that

happening??!!
 Lesson objectives:
 To understand the terms ‘equal
chance’ and ‘outcome’ when
thinking about probability.

 To complete a maths investigation

involving tossing a coin and rolling
a dice!
- to test the ‘equal chance’ theory!
 Mathematical Vocabulary

 We can describe the probability or

chance of an event happening by
saying:
 It is IMPOSSIBLE.

 It is UNLIKELY.

 It is LIKELY.

 It is CERTAIN.
Some events have an equal
chance of happening or not
happening.

Can you think

of any?
 We discussed these:
 If you toss a coin you have an equal
chance of getting a head or a tail.
Heads or tails are the ‘outcomes’.

 If a baby is born it has an equal chance

of being a boy or a girl. Boy or girl are
the ‘outcomes’.

 If you roll a dice you have an equal

chance of getting the number 1, 2, 3, 4,
5 or 6! These scores are the ‘outcomes’.
 Today’s task:
 We are going to carry out a maths
investigation.
 We are going to investigate whether we
have an equal number of heads and
tails when we toss a coin 30 times.
 We will also investigate whether we get
an equal number of 1s, 2s, 3s, 4, 5s and
6s when we roll a dice 30 times.
 We will record our findings.
What do you think we will
find out?
 Perhaps we will have 15 heads and
15 tails when we toss our coin 30
times??
 Perhaps we will have each number
on the dice 5 times. (five scores of 1,
five scores of 2 etc.)

 It’s up to you to find out!!!!

Did we achieve out learning objectives
today?

 We understand what is meant by the

terms ‘equal chance’ and ‘outcomes’.

 We have carried out an investigation

into ‘equal chance’.

 We have recorded our findings.

 Things to think about!

 If we rolled 2 coins what possible

outcomes could we get?

 If we rolled more than 1 dice what

possible outcomes could we get?

 What would our chances of getting 2

heads or a 6 be like then?!!!