BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT MBA FT-G II SEM SUBMITTED TO:- SUBMITTED BY:- PROF. VANDANA DUBEY AKSHAY TOMAR INTRODUCTION Corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome corona virus . The disease was first identified in December 2019 in Wuhan, the capital of China's Hubei province, and has since spread globally, resulting in the ongoing 2019–20 corona virus pandemic. Common symptoms include fever, cough and shortness of breath. Other symptoms may include fatigue, muscle pain, diarrhea, sore throat, loss of smell and abdominal pain. While the majority of cases result in mild symptoms, some progress to viral pneumonia and multi-organ failure. As of 6 April 2020, more than 1,280,000 cases of have been reported in more than 200 countries and territories, resulting in more than 70,400 deaths. More than 270,000 people have recovered. INTRODUCTION The virus is mainly spread during close contact and by small droplets produced when those infected cough, sneeze or talk. These small droplets may be produced during breathing, but the virus is not generally airborne. People may also become infected by touching a contaminated surface and then their face. The virus can survive on surfaces for up to 72 hours. It is most contagious during the first three days after onset of symptoms, however it may be possible to spread the virus before symptoms appear and in later stages of the disease. Recommended measures to prevent infection include frequent hand washing, social distancing (maintaining physical distance from others, especially from those with symptoms), covering coughs and sneezes with a tissue or inner elbow and keeping unwashed hands away from the face. The use of masks is recommended for those who suspect they have the virus and their caregivers. IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON ECONOMY Global shares take a hit Big shifts in stock markets, where shares in companies are bought and sold, can affect many investments in pensions or individual savings accounts (ISAs). Investors fear the spread of the corona virus will destroy economic growth and that government action may not be enough to stop the decline. In response, central banks in many countries, including the United Kingdom, have slashed interest rates. Travel among hardest hit The travel industry has been badly damaged, with airlines cutting flights and tourists cancelling business trips and holidays. Governments around the world have introduced travel restrictions to try to contain the virus. IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON ECONOMY ▸ Consumers stockpiling food Supermarkets and online delivery services have reported a huge growth in demand as customers stockpile goods such as toilet paper, rice and orange juice as the pandemic escalates. ▸ The effects of lockdowns are visible In order to stop the spread of the Covid-19 outbreak, many countries across the world have started implementing very tough measures. Countries and world capital have been put under strict lockdown, bringing a total halt to major industrial production chains. IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON ECONOMY ▸ Factories in China slowed down In China, where the corona virus first appeared, industrial production, sales and investment all fell in the first two months of the year, compared with the same period in 2019. China makes up a third of manufacturing globally, and is the world's largest exporter of goods. IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON ECONOMY Even 'safer' investments hit When a crisis hits, investors often choose less risky investments. Gold is traditionally considered a "safe haven" for investment in times of uncertainty. But even the price of gold tumbled briefly in March, as investors were fearful about a global recession. Likewise, oil has slumped to prices not seen since June 2001. Investors fear that the global spread of the virus will further hit the global economy and demand for oil. IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON ECONOMY Growth set to stagnate If the economy is growing, that generally means more wealth and more new jobs. It's measured by looking at the percentage change in gross domestic product, or the value of goods and services produced, typically over three months or a year. The world's economy could grow at its slowest rate since 2009 this year due to the corona virus outbreak, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). ASSUMPTIONS On the assumption that the epidemic peaks in China in the first quarter of 2020 and outbreaks in other countries prove mild and contained, global growth could be lowered by around ½ percentage point this year relative to that expected in the November 2019 Economic Outlook. Accordingly, annual global GDP growth is projected to drop to 2.4% in 2020 as a whole, from an already weak 2.9% in 2019, with growth possibly even being negative in the first quarter of 2020. The adverse impact on confidence, financial markets, the travel sector and disruption to supply chains contributes to the downward revisions in all G20 economies in 2020, particularly ones strongly interconnected to China, such as Japan, Korea and Australia. ASSUMPTIONS Provided the effects of the virus outbreak fade as assumed, the impact on confidence and incomes of well-targeted policy actions in the most exposed economies could help global GDP growth recover to 3¼ per cent in 2021. A longer lasting and more intensive corona virus outbreak, spreading widely throughout the Asia-Pacific region, Europe and North America, would weaken prospects considerably. In this event, global growth could drop to 1½ per cent in 2020, half the rate projected prior to the virus outbreak. ‘Beyond Corona virus: The Path To Next Normal’ Governments need to act swiftly and forcefully to overcome the corona virus and its economic impact:- Governments need to ensure effective and well-resourced public health measures to prevent infection and contagion, and implement well-targeted policies to support health care systems and workers, and protect the incomes of vulnerable social groups and businesses during the virus outbreak. Supportive macroeconomic policies can help to restore confidence and aid the recovery of demand as virus outbreaks ease, but cannot offset the immediate disruptions that result from enforced shutdowns and travel restrictions. ‘Beyond Corona virus: The Path To Next Normal’ If downside risks materialize, and growth appears set to be much weaker for an extended period, coordinated multilateral actions to ensure effective health policies, containment and mitigation measures, support low-income economies, and jointly raise fiscal spending would be the most effective means of restoring confidence and supporting incomes. THANK YOU