Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Options, Volatility 1
Options, Volatility 1
Payoff
Payoff
Asset
Price
K1 K2 K1 K2 Asset
Price
Short Long
Position Position
Exotic options
These are basically structured options,
used for specific purpose.
1)Asian options
2) Barrier options
3) Basket options
4) Swing Options
Volatility
Volatility
is the uncertainity about the returns
provided by underlying asset.
The volatility is the standard deviation of the
continuously compounded rate of return in 1
year.
The standard deviation of the return in time Dt
is t
8
Estimating Volatility from Historical
Data
1. Take observations S1, . . . , Sn on the
variable at end of each trading day
2. Define daily return as:
Si
ui ln
S i1
9
Market Implied volatility
The volatility implied from market prices of
options are called implied volatility.
The implied volatility of an option is the volatility
for which the Black-Scholes price equals the
market price
It measures, the market expectation of the future
volatility of the underlying.
Implied price distribution are different than Log
normal distribution.
10
The Volatility Smile
Implied
Volatility
Strike
Price
11
Volatility Term Structure
The volatility term structure tend to be
downward sloping when volatility is high
and upward sloping when it is low
12
Volatility Surface
It
combines volatility term structure and volatility
smile in a matrix form.
13
Example of a Volatility Surface
S trik e P ric e
0 .9 0 0 .9 5 1 .0 0 1 .0 5 1 .1 0
1 m n th 1 4 .2 1 3 .0 1 2 .0 1 3 .1 1 4 .5
3 m n th 1 4 .0 1 3 .0 1 2 .0 1 3 .1 1 4 .2
6 m n th 1 4 .1 1 3 .3 1 2 .5 1 3 .4 1 4 .3
1 ye a r 1 4 .7 1 4 .0 1 3 .5 1 4 .0 1 4 .8
2 ye a r 1 5 .0 1 4 .4 1 4 .0 1 4 .5 1 5 .1
5 ye a r 1 4 .8 1 4 .6 1 4 .4 1 4 .7 1 5 .0
14